{
 "@context": "https://clearank.com/llms.txt",
 "@type": "clearank:AssetAnalysis",
 "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/bwxt-stock-analysis/",
 "dataUrl": "https://clearank.com/stock/bwxt-stock-analysis/data.json",
 "title": "Bwx (BWXT) Stock Forecast & Price Target (2026)",
 "description": "BWX Technologies, Inc. (BWXT) stock: Industrials, Aerospace & Defense. $14.0B market cap. AI rating, technicals, 2030 forecast and trade plans.",
 "headline": "BWX Technologies, Inc. (BWXT)",
 "published": "2026-07-07T09:38:29+00:00",
 "modified": "2026-09-11T20:16:02.009+00:00",
 "generated": "2026-09-11T20:41:22.952Z",
 "language": "en-US",
 "publisher": {
  "name": "CleaRank",
  "url": "https://clearank.com/"
 },
 "disclaimer": "Educational and informational only; not financial advice. AI-generated analysis reviewed by the CleaRank editorial team; prices delayed up to 15 minutes.",
 "asset": {
  "ticker": "BWXT",
  "name": "BWX Technologies, Inc.",
  "type": "Common Stock",
  "exchange": "NYSE",
  "currency": "USD",
  "sector": "Industrials",
  "industry": "Aerospace & Defense",
  "country": "United States",
  "website": "https://www.bwxt.com"
 },
 "quote": {
  "price": 150.13,
  "previousClose": 152.49,
  "change": -2.36,
  "changePercent": -1.55,
  "open": 154,
  "high": 154.03,
  "low": 149.455,
  "volume": 39582,
  "averageVolume": 917878,
  "marketCap": 13971436646,
  "fiftyTwoWeekHigh": 241.82001,
  "fiftyTwoWeekLow": 147.74001,
  "marketOpen": false,
  "asOf": "2026-09-11T20:15:59.000Z"
 },
 "statistics": {
  "pe": 41.457676,
  "eps": 3.78,
  "dividendYield": 0.007193765403317126,
  "beta": 0.743,
  "priceToSales": 4.086,
  "priceToBook": 10.759356,
  "revenueTtm": 3513969920,
  "grossMargin": 0.2243782060169139,
  "returnOnEquity": 0.28289
 },
 "technicals": {
  "rsi": 43.68,
  "macd": -4.2,
  "sma50": 168.06,
  "sma200": 192.36,
  "rsiSignal": "Neutral",
  "trend": "Bearish",
  "pricePosition": "Bearish",
  "macdSignal": "Bearish",
  "rating": "Bearish"
 },
 "analysis": {
  "rating": "Buy",
  "score": 74,
  "consensus": "Buy",
  "fairValue": 230,
  "analystTarget": 230,
  "analystCount": 17,
  "wallStreetConsensus": "Buy",
  "generatedAt": "2026-09-11T20:15:59.000Z",
  "priceAtAnalysis": 150.13,
  "volatility": {
   "daily": 2.41,
   "risk": "standard"
  }
 },
 "tradePlan": {
  "bias": "Bullish",
  "conservativeEntry": 147.13,
  "aggressiveEntry": 150.13,
  "stopLoss": 140.37,
  "stopLossPercent": 4.59,
  "targets": [
   154.48,
   161.84,
   169.2
  ]
 },
 "projections": {
  "basis": "Monte Carlo simulation on historical return distribution, re-run daily; not price targets",
  "years": [
   {
    "year": 2027,
    "downside10th": 110.76,
    "base": 166.21,
    "upside90th": 249.43
   },
   {
    "year": 2028,
    "downside10th": 103.64,
    "base": 184.01,
    "upside90th": 326.71
   },
   {
    "year": 2029,
    "downside10th": 100.85,
    "base": 203.72,
    "upside90th": 411.51
   },
   {
    "year": 2030,
    "downside10th": 100.15,
    "base": 225.54,
    "upside90th": 507.94
   },
   {
    "year": 2031,
    "downside10th": 100.75,
    "base": 249.7,
    "upside90th": 618.89
   },
   {
    "year": 2032,
    "downside10th": 102.28,
    "base": 276.45,
    "upside90th": 747.19
   },
   {
    "year": 2033,
    "downside10th": 104.56,
    "base": 306.06,
    "upside90th": 895.82
   },
   {
    "year": 2034,
    "downside10th": 107.49,
    "base": 338.84,
    "upside90th": 1068.11
   },
   {
    "year": 2035,
    "downside10th": 111,
    "base": 375.13,
    "upside90th": 1267.8
   },
   {
    "year": 2036,
    "downside10th": 115.05,
    "base": 415.31,
    "upside90th": 1499.17
   }
  ]
 },
 "faqCount": 7,
 "sources": [
  "TwelveData",
  "Wall Street consensus"
 ],
 "sections": [
  {
   "id": "price",
   "title": "BWXT Price Analysis"
  },
  {
   "id": "market-metrics",
   "title": "Market Metrics",
   "facts": {
    "Open": "$154.00",
    "Day Range": "$149.46 to $154.03",
    "Prev Close": "$152.49",
    "Volume": "39.6K",
    "52-Week Range": "$147.74 to $241.82",
    "Market Cap": "$13.97B"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "peer-benchmarking",
   "title": "Peer Benchmarking",
   "text": [
    "Sector Position Analysis Trading at a significant premium to sector peers (+22%), suggesting market expectations for superior growth or market position."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "financials",
   "title": "BWXT Financial Performance",
   "text": [
    "Analysis: In the last 4 quarters, BWXT beat estimates 3 times. However, the stock fell 2 times the next day. This suggests positive news is often \"priced in\" or investors are selling the news."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "analysis",
   "title": "BWXT Analysis",
   "text": [
    "BWXT is currently trading at $150.13, below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($168.06 and $192.36), signaling a bearish trend. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 43.68, indicating neutral momentum. The MACD is negative at -4.197, further suggesting downward pressure. Volume on the latest trading day was significantly below average, at 39,582 compared to a daily average of 917,878, indicating a lack of strong conviction from traders. Key support levels are not clearly defined by the current chart structure, while resistance is expected around the 50-day moving average.",
    "BWXT's revenue growth of 18% significantly outpaces the Industrials sector median of 11.7%, indicating strong market demand and effective business execution.",
    "With a 'Buy' consensus from 17 analysts and a median price target of $230, BWXT has significant upside potential of 53.2% from its current price.",
    "Analysts project current year revenue growth of 19.00% and next year growth of 10.00%, indicating sustained top-line expansion.",
    "Insiders have sold $14.4 million worth of stock across 37 transactions, signaling a 'Moderate Sell Signal' which warrants investor attention.",
    "BWXT is currently trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($168.06 and $192.36), indicating bearish short-term technical momentum.",
    "BWXT is expected to see continued growth driven by its strong position in the defense sector and consistent revenue expansion. The company's revenue is projected to grow by 19.00% in the current year to $3.8 billion, with further growth of 10.00% anticipated next year. Wall Street's median price target of $230 reflects confidence in these growth prospects, suggesting a potential upside of over 53%. The company's ability to secure new contracts and manage its operational costs will be key to achieving this target. Potential upside catalysts include new government defense spending initiatives and successful execution on existing contracts, while downside risks include increased competition and potential shifts in defense budgets."
   ],
   "lists": {
    "ProTips": [
     "Given the moderate insider selling signal, investors should monitor future insider transactions closely for any changes in sentiment.",
     "The stock's current position below key moving averages suggests caution for short-term traders, with potential support levels to watch around $150.",
     "Consider the company's strong revenue growth and its critical role in the defense sector as a long-term investment thesis, despite current technical headwinds."
    ]
   },
   "catalysts": [
    {
     "type": "Bullish",
     "title": "Strong Revenue Growth Exceeding Sector Average",
     "text": "BWXT's revenue growth of 18% significantly outpaces the Industrials sector median of 11.7%, indicating strong market demand and effective business execution.",
     "source": "DATA"
    },
    {
     "type": "Bullish",
     "title": "Positive Wall Street Consensus and Price Targets",
     "text": "With a 'Buy' consensus from 17 analysts and a median price target of $230, BWXT has significant upside potential of 53.2% from its current price.",
     "source": "Wall Street Summary"
    },
    {
     "type": "Bullish",
     "title": "Forward Revenue Growth Estimates",
     "text": "Analysts project current year revenue growth of 19.00% and next year growth of 10.00%, indicating sustained top-line expansion.",
     "source": "Wall Street Revenue Estimates"
    },
    {
     "type": "Bearish",
     "title": "Moderate Insider Selling Signal",
     "text": "Insiders have sold $14.4 million worth of stock across 37 transactions, signaling a 'Moderate Sell Signal' which warrants investor attention.",
     "source": "Insider Summary"
    },
    {
     "type": "Bearish",
     "title": "Trading Below Key Moving Averages",
     "text": "BWXT is currently trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($168.06 and $192.36), indicating bearish short-term technical momentum.",
     "source": "Technical Analysis"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "key-statistics",
   "title": "Key Statistics",
   "text": [
    "BWX Technologies (BWXT) trades at a P/E ratio of 41.46, which is above the sector median of 34.00, suggesting a premium valuation. However, its revenue growth of 18% outpaces the sector average of 11.7%. The company's earnings per share (EPS) for the trailing twelve months is $3.78. While the current P/E is elevated, the strong revenue growth and its position in the defense sector, which typically commands higher valuations due to its stability and government contracts, may justify this premium. The company's balance sheet strength and profitability metrics should be monitored closely against its current valuation.",
    "BWXT's recent earnings performance shows a mixed but generally positive trend. The latest reported quarter (August 2026) saw an EPS of $1.07, beating estimates by 2.88%, although the stock experienced a minor price decline of 0.8%. The prior quarter (May 2026) reported an EPS of -$0.11, in line with estimates, with a price drop of 2.95%. Notably, the company has demonstrated an ability to beat EPS estimates in two of the last four reported quarters, with significant positive surprises in February 2026 (+22.73%) and May 2026 (+20.43%). This pattern suggests underlying operational strength, despite some recent price weakness following earnings releases.",
    "A primary risk for BWXT is the moderate insider selling signal, with $14.4 million in sales observed across 37 transactions, indicating a potential lack of immediate insider confidence. The stock is also trading below its key moving averages, suggesting potential for further downside pressure in the short term. Additionally, its P/E ratio of 41.46 is higher than the sector median, presenting a valuation risk if growth expectations are not met."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "",
     "columns": [],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "Market Cap",
       "cells": [
        "13.97B"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "P/E Ratio",
       "cells": [
        "41.46"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "EPS (TTM)",
       "cells": [
        "3.78"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Dividend Yield",
       "cells": [
        "0.7061%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "52 Week High",
       "cells": [
        "241.82"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "52 Week Low",
       "cells": [
        "147.74"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "technical-indicators",
   "title": "Technical Indicators",
   "text": [
    "Technical Rating Bearish RSI Neutral SMA Cross Bearish Price vs SMA Bearish MACD Bearish Moving averages show a lagging Death Cross (50-day: $168.06, 200-day: $192.36), price is trading below the 50-day SMA."
   ],
   "facts": {
    "RSI": "Neutral",
    "SMA Cross": "Bearish",
    "Price vs SMA": "Bearish",
    "MACD": "Bearish"
   },
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "",
     "columns": [],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "RSI (14)",
       "cells": [
        "43.68"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "MACD",
       "cells": [
        "-4.20"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "SMA 50",
       "cells": [
        "168.06"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "SMA 200",
       "cells": [
        "192.36"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "correlations",
   "title": "Market Correlations",
   "text": [
    "How this stock moves relative to other assets",
    "Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods."
   ],
   "facts": {
    "Correlation with S&P 500 (SPY)": "+0.51",
    "Correlation with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)": "+0.52",
    "Correlation with Bitcoin (BTC)": "+0.35",
    "Correlation with Gold (XAU)": "+0.23"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "trade-plans",
   "title": "BWXT Trade Plans",
   "text": [
    "Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels",
    "Lower risk, wait for pullback",
    "Higher risk, immediate entry",
    "Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss Calculated based on RSI (43.7) and current market volatility",
    "Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3"
   ],
   "facts": {
    "TARGET 1": "$154.48",
    "TARGET 2": "$161.84",
    "TARGET 3": "$169.20",
    "STOP LOSS": "$140.37"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "seasonality",
   "title": "Seasonal Patterns",
   "text": [
    "Historical monthly performance trends",
    "Based on 3 years of historical monthly returns"
   ],
   "facts": {
    "Average Jan return": "+3.97%",
    "Average Feb return": "+4.78%",
    "Average Mar return": "-1.47%",
    "Average Apr return": "+2.53%",
    "Average May return": "-0.22%",
    "Average Jun return": "+3.59%",
    "Average Jul return": "+1.29%",
    "Average Aug return": "+1.71%",
    "Average Sep return": "+2.00%",
    "Average Oct return": "+3.94%",
    "Average Nov return": "-2.80%",
    "Average Dec return": "-2.50%"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "risk",
   "title": "Risk & Volatility",
   "facts": {
    "Daily Volatility": "2.41%"
   },
   "lists": {
    "Risk considerations": [
     "Monitor position sizing based on current volatility levels",
     "Consider stop-loss placement beyond recent price range",
     "Diversification helps mitigate single-stock risk exposure"
    ]
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "growth",
   "title": "Growth of $10,000",
   "text": [
    "A $10,000 investment in BWXT in September 2016 would be worth about $38,910 today, compared with about $35,030 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "monte-carlo",
   "title": "Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)",
   "text": [
    "CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in BWXT today could grow to about $27,663 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $99,858 and a bear case around $7,664. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "price-prediction",
   "title": "BWXT Stock Price Prediction: 2030",
   "text": [
    "CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $226 for BWXT by 2030 in the base case, from $150 today (1.5x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $100. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on BWXT's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.",
    "Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using BWXT's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "BWXT simulated price paths by year",
     "columns": [
      "Year",
      "Downside (10th pct)",
      "Base case",
      "Upside (90th pct)"
     ],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "2027",
       "cells": [
        "$111",
        "$166",
        "$249"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2028",
       "cells": [
        "$104",
        "$184",
        "$327"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2029",
       "cells": [
        "$101",
        "$204",
        "$412"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2030",
       "cells": [
        "$100",
        "$226",
        "$508"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2031",
       "cells": [
        "$101",
        "$250",
        "$619"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2032",
       "cells": [
        "$102",
        "$276",
        "$747"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2033",
       "cells": [
        "$105",
        "$306",
        "$896"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2034",
       "cells": [
        "$107",
        "$339",
        "$1,068"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2035",
       "cells": [
        "$111",
        "$375",
        "$1,268"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2036",
       "cells": [
        "$115",
        "$415",
        "$1,499"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "people-also-watch",
   "title": "People Also Watch",
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     "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/ame-stock-analysis/"
    },
    {
     "text": "AAL American Airlines Group Inc NASDAQ $13.06 +1.60%",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/american-airlines-aal/"
    },
    {
     "text": "UAL United Airlines Holdings, Inc. NASDAQ $106.49 -0.5881%",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/united-airlines-ual/"
    },
    {
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     "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/cmi-stock-analysis/"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "related-comparisons",
   "title": "Popular Comparisons",
   "links": [
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     "text": "Junior Gold Miners (GDXJ) vs Silver Miners (SIL) Comparison Head-to-head analysis →",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/compare/gdxj-vs-sil/"
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   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "insider-trading",
   "title": "BWXT Insider Trading Analysis",
   "facts": {
    "Bought": "None",
    "Sold": "$14.4M",
    "Insiders": "14",
    "Avg Transaction": "$1.3M"
   },
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "Recent insider transactions in BWXT",
     "columns": [
      "Date",
      "Insider",
      "Type",
      "Shares",
      "Value"
     ],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "Feb 26, 2025",
       "cells": [
        "GEVEDEN REX D Chief Executive Officer",
        "Sell",
        "45.6K",
        "$4.9M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Aug 6, 2025",
       "cells": [
        "GEVEDEN REX D Chief Executive Officer",
        "Sell",
        "25.0K",
        "$4.5M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Aug 8, 2019",
       "cells": [
        "FEES JOHN ALAN Director",
        "Sell",
        "60.0K",
        "$3.4M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "May 12, 2026",
       "cells": [
        "GEVEDEN REX D Chief Executive Officer",
        "Sell",
        "10.0K",
        "$2.0M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Feb 12, 2026",
       "cells": [
        "GEVEDEN REX D Chief Executive Officer",
        "Sell",
        "10.0K",
        "$2.0M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Mar 2, 2022",
       "cells": [
        "FEES JOHN ALAN Director",
        "Sell",
        "37.8K",
        "$2.0M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Nov 12, 2025",
       "cells": [
        "GEVEDEN REX D Chief Executive Officer",
        "Sell",
        "10.0K",
        "$2.0M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Dec 2, 2020",
       "cells": [
        "FEES JOHN ALAN Director",
        "Sell",
        "34.4K",
        "$1.9M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Aug 12, 2026",
       "cells": [
        "GEVEDEN REX D Chief Executive Officer",
        "Sell",
        "10.0K",
        "$1.7M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "May 27, 2020",
       "cells": [
        "FEES JOHN ALAN Director",
        "Sell",
        "17.2K",
        "$1.1M"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ],
   "links": [
    {
     "text": "SEC Form 4",
     "url": "https://www.sec.gov/cgi-bin/browse-edgar?action=getcompany&company=BWX+Technologies%2C+Inc.&type=4&dateb=&owner=include&count=40&search_text=&action=getcompany"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "faq",
   "title": "Frequently Asked Questions"
  }
 ],
 "faq": [
  {
   "question": "What is BWXT's stock price forecast for 2030?",
   "answer": "BWXT's stock price forecast for 2030, based on Monte Carlo simulations, projects a base case of $225.54, with a downside scenario at $100.15 and an upside scenario at $507.94. These are statistical outcomes, not guaranteed price targets."
  },
  {
   "question": "Is BWXT stock a buy right now?",
   "answer": "BWXT is currently rated as a 'Buy' by Wall Street analysts, with a consensus score of 74 and a median price target of $230, suggesting over 53% upside from the current price of $150.13. However, the stock is trading below its key moving averages, indicating bearish short-term technicals."
  },
  {
   "question": "What are the biggest risks facing BWXT?",
   "answer": "The primary risks for BWXT include moderate insider selling totaling $14.4 million, its current trading position below key moving averages, and a P/E ratio that is above the sector median, indicating a potentially stretched valuation."
  },
  {
   "question": "How is BWXT performing in terms of revenue growth compared to its peers?",
   "answer": "BWXT is demonstrating strong revenue growth at 18%, which is notably higher than the Industrials sector average of 11.7%. This suggests the company is outperforming its peers in top-line expansion."
  },
  {
   "question": "What is BWXT's current technical momentum?",
   "answer": "BWXT's technical momentum is currently neutral to bearish, with its RSI at 43.7 and trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($168.06 and $192.36). The MACD is also negative, indicating downward pressure."
  },
  {
   "question": "What is the dividend yield for BWXT?",
   "answer": "BWXT offers a dividend yield of approximately 0.71%, with a dividend rate of $1.06 per share."
  },
  {
   "question": "How does BWXT's valuation compare to the Industrials sector?",
   "answer": "BWXT's P/E ratio of 41.46 is higher than the Industrials sector median of 34.00, indicating that investors are paying a premium for its earnings. However, its superior revenue growth may justify this premium."
  }
 ],
 "related": {
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