{ "@context": "https://clearank.com/llms.txt", "@type": "clearank:AssetAnalysis", "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/bti-stock-analysis/", "dataUrl": "https://clearank.com/stock/bti-stock-analysis/data.json", "title": "British American Tobacco (BTI) Stock Forecast (2026)", "description": "Is British American Tobacco (BTI) a Buy or Sell today? Get the AI trade setup, dividend view, key support levels and risk analysis. Updated daily.", "headline": "British American Tobacco (BTI)", "published": "2026-09-04T09:31:52+00:00", "modified": "2026-09-10T22:53:57.401+00:00", "generated": "2026-09-11T21:15:24.191Z", "language": "en-US", "publisher": { "name": "CleaRank", "url": "https://clearank.com/" }, "disclaimer": "Educational and informational only; not financial advice. AI-generated analysis reviewed by the CleaRank editorial team; prices delayed up to 15 minutes.", "asset": { "ticker": "BTI", "name": "British American Tobacco", "type": "American Depositary Receipt", "exchange": "NYSE", "currency": "USD", "sector": "Consumer Defensive", "industry": "Tobacco", "country": "United Kingdom", "website": "https://www.bat.com" }, "quote": { "price": 54.86, "previousClose": 54.33, "change": 0.53, "changePercent": 0.98, "open": 55.25, "high": 55.39, "low": 54.77, "volume": 10198100, "averageVolume": 5027200, "marketCap": 118132876236, "fiftyTwoWeekHigh": 67.3, "fiftyTwoWeekLow": 49.88, "marketOpen": false, "asOf": "2026-09-10T22:53:55.000Z" }, "statistics": { "pe": 13.923858, "eps": 3.94, "dividendYield": 0.060871151175822924, "beta": 0.114, "priceToSales": 4.583057, "priceToBook": 9.43331, "revenueTtm": 34875444905, "grossMargin": null, "returnOnEquity": 0.13424 }, "technicals": { "rsi": 37.08, "macd": -1.03, "sma50": 58.64, "sma200": 59.14, "rsiSignal": "Bearish", "trend": "Neutral", "pricePosition": "Bearish", "macdSignal": "Bearish", "rating": "Bearish" }, "analysis": { "rating": "Buy", "score": 75, "consensus": "Buy", "fairValue": 60.09, "analystTarget": 71.5, "analystCount": 7, "wallStreetConsensus": "Buy", "generatedAt": "2026-09-10T22:53:55.000Z", "priceAtAnalysis": 54.86, "volatility": { "daily": 1.36, "risk": "standard" } }, "tradePlan": { "bias": "Bullish", "conservativeEntry": 53.76, "aggressiveEntry": 54.86, "stopLoss": 52.15, "stopLossPercent": 3, "targets": [ 56.45, 59.14, 61.83 ] }, "projections": { "basis": "Monte Carlo simulation on historical return distribution, re-run daily; not price targets", "years": [ { "year": 2027, "downside10th": 40.98, "base": 56.12, "upside90th": 76.86 }, { "year": 2028, "downside10th": 36.8, "base": 57.41, "upside90th": 89.57 }, { "year": 2029, "downside10th": 34.07, "base": 58.73, "upside90th": 101.26 }, { "year": 2030, "downside10th": 32.04, "base": 60.09, "upside90th": 112.69 }, { "year": 2031, "downside10th": 30.43, "base": 61.47, "upside90th": 124.17 }, { "year": 2032, "downside10th": 29.11, "base": 62.88, "upside90th": 135.84 }, { "year": 2033, "downside10th": 28, "base": 64.33, "upside90th": 147.82 }, { "year": 2034, "downside10th": 27.04, "base": 65.81, "upside90th": 160.16 }, { "year": 2035, "downside10th": 26.21, "base": 67.32, "upside90th": 172.93 }, { "year": 2036, "downside10th": 25.48, "base": 68.87, "upside90th": 186.17 } ] }, "faqCount": 8, "sources": [ "TwelveData", "Wall Street consensus" ], "sections": [ { "id": "price", "title": "BTI Price Analysis" }, { "id": "market-metrics", "title": "Market Metrics", "facts": { "Open": "$55.25", "Day Range": "$54.77 to $55.39", "Prev Close": "$54.33", "Volume": "10.20M", "52-Week Range": "$49.88 to $67.30", "Market Cap": "$118.13B" } }, { "id": "peer-benchmarking", "title": "Peer Benchmarking", "text": [ "Sector Position Analysis Trading at a notable discount to sector peers (-30%), which may indicate undervaluation or specific company headwinds." ] }, { "id": "analysis", "title": "BTI Analysis", "text": [ "Volume has surged by 102.9% above its average, indicating increased trading activity as British American Tobacco (BTI) trades below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($58.64 and $59.14). The 20-day EMA is also acting as resistance at $56.22, reinforcing the current bearish trend. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) at 37.08 confirms bearish momentum, suggesting potential for further downside. Key support levels are not clearly defined by the provided data, but the current price action indicates that the moving averages are now acting as resistance. The MACD is at -1.03, further supporting the bearish sentiment. Investors should monitor for any shifts in momentum or a break above these resistance levels to signal a potential trend reversal.", "Wall Street analysts maintain a 'Buy' consensus with a median price target of $71.50, indicating a potential 30.3% upside from the current price of $54.86.", "Revenue is expected to grow by 2.00% in the current year and 3.00% in the next, suggesting steady, albeit slow, business expansion.", "The stock is trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($58.64 and $59.14), with RSI at 37.08 indicating bearish momentum, suggesting potential for further price declines.", "The latest earnings report showed a significant EPS miss (-150% surprise), following a period of mixed results, raising concerns about earnings stability.", "The base case scenario for British American Tobacco (BTI) anticipates a potential move towards its fair value of $60.09, supported by analyst price targets suggesting an average upside of 30.3% to a median target of $71.50. The company's modest revenue growth projections and consistent dividend payout provide a foundation for value investors. However, the current bearish technical momentum and recent earnings volatility present significant risks to this outlook. A sustained break above the 50-day and 200-day moving averages, coupled with improved earnings consistency, would be necessary to validate a bullish reversal. Conversely, a failure to overcome resistance levels or further earnings deterioration could lead to a retest of lower price levels." ], "lists": { "ProTips": [ "Monitor the 50-day and 200-day moving averages for signs of a technical trend reversal, as BTI is currently trading below both.", "Given the mixed earnings results, pay close attention to future earnings reports and management guidance for signs of improved operational performance.", "British American Tobacco (BTI) offers a dividend yield of approximately 5.77%, which may appeal to income-focused investors, but ensure dividend coverage is sustainable given recent earnings." ] }, "catalysts": [ { "type": "Bullish", "title": "Positive Analyst Sentiment and Price Targets", "text": "Wall Street analysts maintain a 'Buy' consensus with a median price target of $71.50, indicating a potential 30.3% upside from the current price of $54.86.", "source": "Wall Street Summary" }, { "type": "Bullish", "title": "Modest Revenue Growth Projections", "text": "Revenue is expected to grow by 2.00% in the current year and 3.00% in the next, suggesting steady, albeit slow, business expansion.", "source": "Wall Street Revenue Estimates" }, { "type": "Bearish", "title": "Bearish Technical Momentum", "text": "The stock is trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($58.64 and $59.14), with RSI at 37.08 indicating bearish momentum, suggesting potential for further price declines.", "source": "Technical Analysis" }, { "type": "Bearish", "title": "Inconsistent Recent Earnings Performance", "text": "The latest earnings report showed a significant EPS miss (-150% surprise), following a period of mixed results, raising concerns about earnings stability.", "source": "Earnings Analysis" } ] }, { "id": "key-statistics", "title": "Key Statistics", "text": [ "British American Tobacco (BTI) trades at a P/E ratio of approximately 13.92, which appears attractive relative to its projected revenue growth of 2-3% and potentially below sector averages. However, the company's recent earnings performance has been inconsistent, with a notable EPS miss in the latest reported quarter. The current valuation may not fully reflect the challenges indicated by the bearish technicals and mixed earnings. Profitability metrics are not explicitly detailed beyond EPS, but the dividend yield of 5.77% suggests a commitment to returning capital to shareholders. The company's balance sheet strength and long-term growth prospects will be key factors in determining if the current valuation represents a compelling entry point for investors seeking value and income.", "British American Tobacco (BTI) reported a significant EPS miss in its most recent earnings release on July 9, 2026, with an actual EPS of -$0.02 against an estimate of $0.04, a surprise of -150%. This followed a positive surprise in the prior quarter. The stock experienced a 1.4% decline following the latest earnings report. Prior to that, the company had shown a mix of beats and misses, indicating some volatility in its earnings performance.", "British American Tobacco (BTI) faces significant headwinds from its bearish technical indicators, with the stock trading below key moving averages and exhibiting bearish momentum on the RSI. The inconsistent earnings performance, highlighted by a substantial miss in the latest quarter, also presents a risk to future profitability and investor confidence. Also, the company operates in a highly regulated industry, which can introduce unforeseen challenges and impact growth prospects." ], "tables": [ { "caption": "", "columns": [], "rows": [ { "label": "Market Cap", "cells": [ "118.13B" ] }, { "label": "P/E Ratio", "cells": [ "13.92" ] }, { "label": "EPS (TTM)", "cells": [ "3.94" ] }, { "label": "Dividend Yield", "cells": [ "5.77%" ] }, { "label": "52 Week High", "cells": [ "67.30" ] }, { "label": "52 Week Low", "cells": [ "49.88" ] } ] } ] }, { "id": "technical-indicators", "title": "Technical Indicators", "text": [ "Technical Rating Bearish RSI Bearish SMA Cross Neutral Price vs SMA Bearish MACD Bearish Price is trading below the 50-day SMA." ], "facts": { "RSI": "Bearish", "SMA Cross": "Neutral", "Price vs SMA": "Bearish", "MACD": "Bearish" }, "tables": [ { "caption": "", "columns": [], "rows": [ { "label": "RSI (14)", "cells": [ "37.08" ] }, { "label": "MACD", "cells": [ "-1.03" ] }, { "label": "SMA 50", "cells": [ "58.64" ] }, { "label": "SMA 200", "cells": [ "59.14" ] } ] } ] }, { "id": "correlations", "title": "Market Correlations", "text": [ "How this stock moves relative to other assets", "Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods." ], "facts": { "Correlation with S&P 500 (SPY)": "+0.07", "Correlation with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)": "-0.02", "Correlation with Bitcoin (BTC)": "+0.23", "Correlation with Gold (XAU)": "+0.05" } }, { "id": "trade-plans", "title": "BTI Trade Plans", "text": [ "Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels", "Lower risk, wait for pullback", "Higher risk, immediate entry", "Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss Calculated based on RSI (37.1) and current market volatility", "Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3" ], "facts": { "TARGET 1": "$56.45", "TARGET 2": "$59.14", "TARGET 3": "$61.83", "STOP LOSS": "$52.15" } }, { "id": "risk", "title": "Risk & Volatility", "facts": { "Daily Volatility": "1.36%" }, "lists": { "Risk considerations": [ "Monitor position sizing based on current volatility levels", "Consider stop-loss placement beyond recent price range", "Diversification helps mitigate single-stock risk exposure" ] } }, { "id": "growth", "title": "Growth of $10,000", "text": [ "A $10,000 investment in BTI in September 2016 would be worth about $8,618 today, compared with about $35,241 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark." ] }, { "id": "monte-carlo", "title": "Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)", "text": [ "CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in BTI today could grow to about $12,554 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $33,935 and a bear case around $4,645. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees." ] }, { "id": "price-prediction", "title": "BTI Stock Price Prediction: 2030", "text": [ "CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $60.09 for BTI by 2030 in the base case, from $54.86 today (1.1x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $32.04. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on BTI's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.", "Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using BTI's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice." ], "tables": [ { "caption": "BTI simulated price paths by year", "columns": [ "Year", "Downside (10th pct)", "Base case", "Upside (90th pct)" ], "rows": [ { "label": "2027", "cells": [ "$40.98", "$56.12", "$76.86" ] }, { "label": "2028", "cells": [ "$36.80", "$57.41", "$89.57" ] }, { "label": "2029", "cells": [ "$34.07", "$58.73", "$101" ] }, { "label": "2030", "cells": [ "$32.04", "$60.09", "$113" ] }, { "label": "2031", "cells": [ "$30.43", "$61.47", "$124" ] }, { "label": "2032", "cells": [ "$29.11", "$62.88", "$136" ] }, { "label": "2033", "cells": [ "$28.00", "$64.33", "$148" ] }, { "label": "2034", "cells": [ "$27.04", "$65.81", "$160" ] }, { "label": "2035", "cells": [ "$26.21", "$67.32", "$173" ] }, { "label": "2036", "cells": [ "$25.48", "$68.87", "$186" ] } ] } ] }, { "id": "people-also-watch", "title": "People Also Watch", "links": [ { "text": "DG Dollar General Corp. 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However, the stock is currently exhibiting bearish technical momentum, trading below its key moving averages." }, { "question": "What is the outlook for British American Tobacco's revenue growth?", "answer": "Analysts project revenue growth of 2.00% for the current year and 3.00% for the next year, indicating modest but positive expansion for British American Tobacco (BTI)." }, { "question": "What are the key risks for British American Tobacco (BTI)?", "answer": "Key risks for British American Tobacco (BTI) include bearish technical trends, inconsistent recent earnings performance, and operating within a highly regulated industry. The stock is currently trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($58.64 and $59.14)." }, { "question": "What is the dividend yield for British American Tobacco (BTI)?", "answer": "British American Tobacco (BTI) offers a dividend yield of approximately 5.77%, with a reported dividend rate of $3.17." }, { "question": "How does British American Tobacco (BTI) compare to its sector averages?", "answer": "British American Tobacco's P/E ratio of 13.92 appears potentially attractive given its projected revenue growth, though its recent earnings have been mixed." }, { "question": "What is the consensus rating for British American Tobacco (BTI) stock?", "answer": "The consensus rating for British American Tobacco (BTI) stock is 'Buy', supported by a Wall Street score of 75 out of 100, with 7 analysts covering the stock." }, { "question": "What does the insider trading activity suggest for British American Tobacco (BTI)?", "answer": "Insider transactions for British American Tobacco (BTI) show no open-market buying or selling activity, with all recorded transactions having $0 market value, suggesting they are likely grants or awards rather than significant management sentiment indicators." }, { "question": "What is the long-range projection for British American Tobacco (BTI) stock?", "answer": "The Monte Carlo simulation for British American Tobacco (BTI) projects a base case price of $60.09 by 2030, with a downside projection of $32.04 and an upside projection of $112.69. 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We use our proprietary technology, expert analysis and verified trader insights, to deliver data driven broker evaluations you can trust. Our CLEAR™ Score is our foundation, a transparent, unbiased methodology that assesses brokers and firms based on the most critical factors including regulation, fees, platform reliability, and real user experiences. We are here to change an unfair system and unlike other review sites that are influenced by partnerships or subjective opinions, CleaRank is 100% independent–abiding by our rigorous CLEAR™ editorial code. We do not accept financial incentives from brokers, so what you see is what you get with no hidden agendas, just honest, actionable feedback. Clear data. Honest reviews. 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However, the stock is currently exhibiting bearish technical momentum, trading below its key moving averages." } }, { "@type": "Question", "name": "What is the outlook for British American Tobacco's revenue growth?", "acceptedAnswer": { "@type": "Answer", "text": "Analysts project revenue growth of 2.00% for the current year and 3.00% for the next year, indicating modest but positive expansion for British American Tobacco (BTI)." } }, { "@type": "Question", "name": "What are the key risks for British American Tobacco (BTI)?", "acceptedAnswer": { "@type": "Answer", "text": "Key risks for British American Tobacco (BTI) include bearish technical trends, inconsistent recent earnings performance, and operating within a highly regulated industry. The stock is currently trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages." } }, { "@type": "Question", "name": "What is the dividend yield for British American Tobacco (BTI)?", "acceptedAnswer": { "@type": "Answer", "text": "British American Tobacco (BTI) offers a dividend yield of approximately 5.77%, with a reported dividend rate of $3.17." } }, { "@type": "Question", "name": "How does British American Tobacco (BTI) compare to its sector averages?", "acceptedAnswer": { "@type": "Answer", "text": "British American Tobacco's P/E ratio of 13.92 appears potentially attractive given its projected revenue growth, though its recent earnings have been mixed." } }, { "@type": "Question", "name": "What is the consensus rating for British American Tobacco (BTI) stock?", "acceptedAnswer": { "@type": "Answer", "text": "The consensus rating for British American Tobacco (BTI) stock is 'Buy', supported by a Wall Street score of 75 out of 100, with 7 analysts covering the stock." } }, { "@type": "Question", "name": "What does the insider trading activity suggest for British American Tobacco (BTI)?", "acceptedAnswer": { "@type": "Answer", "text": "Insider transactions for British American Tobacco (BTI) show no open-market buying or selling activity, with all recorded transactions having $0 market value, suggesting they are likely grants or awards rather than significant management sentiment indicators." } }, { "@type": "Question", "name": "What is the long-range projection for British American Tobacco (BTI) stock?", "acceptedAnswer": { "@type": "Answer", "text": "The Monte Carlo simulation for British American Tobacco (BTI) projects a base case price of $60.09 by 2030, with a downside projection of $32.04 and an upside projection of $112.69. These are statistical outcomes, not guarantees." } } ] } ] }