{
 "@context": "https://clearank.com/llms.txt",
 "@type": "clearank:AssetAnalysis",
 "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/applied-digital-apld/",
 "dataUrl": "https://clearank.com/stock/applied-digital-apld/data.json",
 "title": "Applied Digital (APLD) Stock Forecast & Price Target (2026)",
 "description": "Applied Digital Corporation (APLD) stock: Technology, Information Technology Services. $7.3B market cap. AI rating, technicals, 2030 forecast and trade plans.",
 "headline": "Applied Digital Corporation (APLD)",
 "published": "2026-07-01T09:21:19+00:00",
 "modified": "2026-09-11T18:01:14.496+00:00",
 "generated": "2026-09-11T20:41:07.106Z",
 "language": "en-US",
 "publisher": {
  "name": "CleaRank",
  "url": "https://clearank.com/"
 },
 "disclaimer": "Educational and informational only; not financial advice. AI-generated analysis reviewed by the CleaRank editorial team; prices delayed up to 15 minutes.",
 "asset": {
  "ticker": "APLD",
  "name": "Applied Digital Corporation",
  "type": "Common Stock",
  "exchange": "NASDAQ",
  "currency": "USD",
  "sector": "Technology",
  "industry": "Information Technology Services",
  "country": "United States",
  "website": "https://applieddigital.com"
 },
 "quote": {
  "price": 26.68,
  "previousClose": 25.78,
  "change": 0.9,
  "changePercent": 3.49,
  "open": 26.42,
  "high": 26.855,
  "low": 25.95,
  "volume": 363173,
  "averageVolume": 13744817,
  "marketCap": 7329352273,
  "fiftyTwoWeekHigh": 50.725,
  "fiftyTwoWeekLow": 13.16,
  "marketOpen": false,
  "asOf": "2026-09-11T18:01:12.000Z"
 },
 "statistics": {
  "pe": -29.318681318681318,
  "eps": -0.91,
  "dividendYield": 0,
  "beta": 5.728,
  "priceToSales": 11.989564,
  "priceToBook": 4.321153,
  "revenueTtm": 611310976,
  "grossMargin": 0.15659190953394989,
  "returnOnEquity": -0.08376
 },
 "technicals": {
  "rsi": 48.3,
  "macd": -0.9,
  "sma50": 28.44,
  "sma200": 32.3,
  "rsiSignal": "Neutral",
  "trend": "Bearish",
  "pricePosition": "Bearish",
  "macdSignal": "Bearish",
  "rating": "Bearish"
 },
 "analysis": {
  "rating": "Buy",
  "score": 77,
  "consensus": "Buy",
  "fairValue": 26.68,
  "analystTarget": 79,
  "analystCount": 11,
  "wallStreetConsensus": "Buy",
  "generatedAt": "2026-09-11T18:01:12.000Z",
  "priceAtAnalysis": 26.68,
  "volatility": {
   "daily": 4.49,
   "risk": "volatile"
  }
 },
 "tradePlan": {
  "bias": "Bullish",
  "conservativeEntry": 26.15,
  "aggressiveEntry": 26.68,
  "stopLoss": 24.32,
  "stopLossPercent": 7,
  "targets": [
   27.45,
   28.76,
   30.07
  ]
 },
 "projections": {
  "basis": "Monte Carlo simulation on historical return distribution, re-run daily; not price targets",
  "years": [
   {
    "year": 2027,
    "downside10th": 16.76,
    "base": 31.81,
    "upside90th": 60.37
   },
   {
    "year": 2028,
    "downside10th": 15.32,
    "base": 37.92,
    "upside90th": 93.86
   },
   {
    "year": 2029,
    "downside10th": 14.9,
    "base": 45.21,
    "upside90th": 137.18
   },
   {
    "year": 2030,
    "downside10th": 14.96,
    "base": 53.9,
    "upside90th": 194.18
   },
   {
    "year": 2031,
    "downside10th": 15.33,
    "base": 64.26,
    "upside90th": 269.31
   },
   {
    "year": 2032,
    "downside10th": 15.95,
    "base": 76.62,
    "upside90th": 368.13
   },
   {
    "year": 2033,
    "downside10th": 16.76,
    "base": 91.34,
    "upside90th": 497.71
   },
   {
    "year": 2034,
    "downside10th": 17.78,
    "base": 108.9,
    "upside90th": 667.07
   },
   {
    "year": 2035,
    "downside10th": 18.99,
    "base": 129.83,
    "upside90th": 887.72
   },
   {
    "year": 2036,
    "downside10th": 20.4,
    "base": 154.79,
    "upside90th": 1174.33
   }
  ]
 },
 "faqCount": 7,
 "sources": [
  "TwelveData",
  "Wall Street consensus"
 ],
 "sections": [
  {
   "id": "price",
   "title": "APLD Price Analysis"
  },
  {
   "id": "market-metrics",
   "title": "Market Metrics",
   "facts": {
    "Open": "$26.42",
    "Day Range": "$25.95 to $26.86",
    "Prev Close": "$25.78",
    "Volume": "363.2K",
    "52-Week Range": "$13.16 to $50.73",
    "Market Cap": "$7.33B"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "peer-benchmarking",
   "title": "Peer Benchmarking",
   "text": [
    "Sector Position Analysis On price-to-sales, the yardstick used here in place of P/E, APLD trades at 11.99x, +185% versus the sector average of 4.20x."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "financials",
   "title": "APLD Financial Performance",
   "text": [
    "Analysis: In the last 2 quarters, APLD beat estimates 2 times. The stock rose 2 times the next day. Price tends to react positively to beats."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "analysis",
   "title": "APLD Analysis",
   "text": [
    "At $26.68, Applied Digital Corporation (APLD) is trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($28.44 and $32.30), signaling a bearish trend in the short to medium term. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 48.3, indicating neutral momentum, neither overbought nor oversold. The MACD is currently at -0.90, suggesting a bearish crossover or weakening momentum. Volume on the latest trading day was significantly below the average, with a 97.4% decrease, which could imply a lack of conviction behind the current price action. Key support levels are not clearly defined by the moving averages given the current trend, and resistance is likely to be encountered at the aforementioned moving average levels. Investors should monitor for a sustained move above the 50-day SMA to signal a potential shift in momentum.",
    "Applied Digital Corporation's projected 127.00% revenue growth for next year, significantly higher than current year growth, could act as a strong catalyst if actual results surpass these optimistic forecasts.",
    "The company's recent track record of beating EPS estimates, including a 121.05% surprise in the latest quarter, suggests improving operational efficiency and could continue to drive positive price action.",
    "Over $34.5 million in insider sales across 53 transactions indicates a lack of confidence from management, posing a potential headwind to the stock's upward momentum.",
    "The company's negative EPS of -$0.91 makes traditional valuation metrics like P/E unusable and raises questions about its path to profitability, which could deter investors.",
    "The base case for Applied Digital Corporation (APLD) over the next 6-12 months hinges on its ability to sustain its rapid revenue growth and translate it into profitability, supported by a median analyst price target of $79. This target suggests a significant upward re-rating potential from the current price of $26.68, driven by market confidence in its growth trajectory and recent earnings beats. Potential catalysts for upside include continued strong revenue expansion, successful scaling of operations, and positive earnings surprises that could accelerate the path to profitability. Conversely, downside risks involve the company's persistent negative EPS, the substantial insider selling activity, and the current technical downtrend. Failure to achieve profitability or a slowdown in revenue growth could lead to a reassessment of the optimistic analyst targets."
   ],
   "lists": {
    "ProTips": [
     "Monitor Applied Digital Corporation's (APLD) ability to convert its impressive revenue growth into positive earnings, as this remains a key factor for long-term valuation.",
     "Given the stock is trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($28.44 and $32.30), consider waiting for a confirmed technical breakout above resistance levels before initiating or adding to a position.",
     "The significant insider selling activity warrants close attention; any shift towards net buying could be a strong signal of renewed management confidence."
    ]
   },
   "catalysts": [
    {
     "type": "Bullish",
     "title": "Continued Revenue Growth Exceeding Expectations",
     "text": "Applied Digital Corporation's projected 127.00% revenue growth for next year, significantly higher than current year growth, could act as a strong catalyst if actual results surpass these optimistic forecasts.",
     "source": "Wall Street Revenue Estimates"
    },
    {
     "type": "Bullish",
     "title": "Sustained Earnings Beats",
     "text": "The company's recent track record of beating EPS estimates, including a 121.05% surprise in the latest quarter, suggests improving operational efficiency and could continue to drive positive price action.",
     "source": "Earnings Reports"
    },
    {
     "type": "Bearish",
     "title": "Insider Net Selling Activity",
     "text": "Over $34.5 million in insider sales across 53 transactions indicates a lack of confidence from management, posing a potential headwind to the stock's upward momentum.",
     "source": "Insider Summary"
    },
    {
     "type": "Bearish",
     "title": "Negative EPS and Valuation Concerns",
     "text": "The company's negative EPS of -$0.91 makes traditional valuation metrics like P/E unusable and raises questions about its path to profitability, which could deter investors.",
     "source": "Fundamental Analysis"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "key-statistics",
   "title": "Key Statistics",
   "text": [
    "Applied Digital Corporation (APLD) exhibits a negative EPS of -$0.91, making its P/E ratio mathematically negative and thus not a reliable valuation metric. However, the company's revenue growth is exceptionally strong, projected to increase by 127.00% next year, far exceeding the sector average of 10.00%. This rapid expansion suggests significant market adoption and scaling. While valuation metrics like P/E are not applicable due to negative earnings, the forward revenue growth estimates are a key indicator of future potential. The sector's average P/E is 25.5 and Price-to-Sales is 4.2, against which APLD's current valuation cannot be directly compared without positive earnings. The company's ability to convert this revenue growth into profitability will be critical for its long-term fundamental health.",
    "Applied Digital Corporation (APLD) has demonstrated a strong trend of beating earnings estimates in recent quarters. The latest report on July 27, 2026, showed an EPS of $0.04, significantly exceeding the estimated -$0.19 by 121.05%, and the stock reacted positively with a 0.93% gain. Prior to this, the Q1 2026 earnings also beat expectations by 142.86%, although the stock saw a negative price reaction of -7.99%. The company has consistently surprised positively on EPS in the last four reported quarters, indicating an improving operational performance and effective cost management relative to analyst expectations.",
    "Applied Digital Corporation (APLD) faces significant risks related to its current valuation and profitability. The company's negative EPS and the resulting inability to calculate a meaningful P/E ratio suggest that profitability remains a key challenge. Also, insider activity shows a net seller position with over $34.5 million in sales, indicating a lack of confidence from management in the short term, despite the overall positive analyst sentiment. The stock is also trading below key moving averages, highlighting technical headwinds that could persist."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "",
     "columns": [],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "Market Cap",
       "cells": [
        "7.33B"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "P/E Ratio",
       "cells": [
        "N/A (Negative EPS)"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "EPS (TTM)",
       "cells": [
        "-0.9100"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Dividend Yield",
       "cells": [
        "0.00%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "52 Week High",
       "cells": [
        "50.73"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "52 Week Low",
       "cells": [
        "13.16"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "technical-indicators",
   "title": "Technical Indicators",
   "text": [
    "Technical Rating Bearish RSI Neutral SMA Cross Bearish Price vs SMA Bearish MACD Bearish Moving averages show a lagging Death Cross (50-day: $28.44, 200-day: $32.30), price is trading below the 50-day SMA."
   ],
   "facts": {
    "RSI": "Neutral",
    "SMA Cross": "Bearish",
    "Price vs SMA": "Bearish",
    "MACD": "Bearish"
   },
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "",
     "columns": [],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "RSI (14)",
       "cells": [
        "48.30"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "MACD",
       "cells": [
        "-0.90"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "SMA 50",
       "cells": [
        "28.44"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "SMA 200",
       "cells": [
        "32.30"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "correlations",
   "title": "Market Correlations",
   "text": [
    "How this stock moves relative to other assets",
    "Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods."
   ],
   "facts": {
    "Correlation with S&P 500 (SPY)": "+0.40",
    "Correlation with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)": "+0.44",
    "Correlation with Bitcoin (BTC)": "+0.40",
    "Correlation with Gold (XAU)": "+0.15"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "trade-plans",
   "title": "APLD Trade Plans",
   "text": [
    "Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels",
    "Lower risk, wait for pullback",
    "Higher risk, immediate entry",
    "Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss Calculated based on RSI (48.3) and current market volatility",
    "Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3"
   ],
   "facts": {
    "TARGET 1": "$27.45",
    "TARGET 2": "$28.76",
    "TARGET 3": "$30.07",
    "STOP LOSS": "$24.32"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "seasonality",
   "title": "Seasonal Patterns",
   "text": [
    "Historical monthly performance trends",
    "⚠️ Limited data: Based on ~1 year of trading history. Patterns may not be statistically significant."
   ],
   "facts": {
    "Average Jan return": "+27.61%",
    "Average Feb return": "+5.35%",
    "Average Mar return": "-3.38%",
    "Average Apr return": "+44.17%",
    "Average May return": "+102.08%",
    "Average Jun return": "+5.71%",
    "Average Jul return": "+9.37%",
    "Average Aug return": "-2.86%",
    "Average Sep return": "+27.11%",
    "Average Oct return": "+8.07%",
    "Average Nov return": "+0.86%",
    "Average Dec return": "+9.43%"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "risk",
   "title": "Risk & Volatility",
   "facts": {
    "Daily Volatility": "4.49%"
   },
   "lists": {
    "Risk considerations": [
     "Monitor position sizing based on current volatility levels",
     "Consider stop-loss placement beyond recent price range",
     "Diversification helps mitigate single-stock risk exposure"
    ]
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "growth",
   "title": "Growth of $10,000",
   "text": [
    "A $10,000 investment in APLD in September 2016 would be worth about $14,483,146 today, compared with about $35,030 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "monte-carlo",
   "title": "Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)",
   "text": [
    "CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in APLD today could grow to about $58,017 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $440,155 and a bear case around $7,647. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "price-prediction",
   "title": "APLD Stock Price Prediction: 2030",
   "text": [
    "CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $53.90 for APLD by 2030 in the base case, from $26.68 today (2.0x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $14.96. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on APLD's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.",
    "Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using APLD's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. APLD is highly volatile, so its upside column reaches an extreme multiple; treat it as a statistical tail, not an expectation. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "APLD simulated price paths by year",
     "columns": [
      "Year",
      "Downside (10th pct)",
      "Base case",
      "Upside (90th pct)"
     ],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "2027",
       "cells": [
        "$16.76",
        "$31.81",
        "$60.37"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2028",
       "cells": [
        "$15.32",
        "$37.92",
        "$93.86"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2029",
       "cells": [
        "$14.90",
        "$45.21",
        "$137"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2030",
       "cells": [
        "$14.96",
        "$53.90",
        "$194"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2031",
       "cells": [
        "$15.33",
        "$64.26",
        "$269"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2032",
       "cells": [
        "$15.95",
        "$76.62",
        "$368"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2033",
       "cells": [
        "$16.76",
        "$91.34",
        "$498"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2034",
       "cells": [
        "$17.78",
        "$109",
        "$667"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2035",
       "cells": [
        "$18.99",
        "$130",
        "$888"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2036",
       "cells": [
        "$20.40",
        "$155",
        "$1,174"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "people-also-watch",
   "title": "People Also Watch",
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  },
  {
   "id": "related-comparisons",
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  },
  {
   "id": "insider-trading",
   "title": "APLD Insider Trading Analysis",
   "facts": {
    "Bought": "None",
    "Sold": "$34.5M",
    "Insiders": "10",
    "Avg Transaction": "$1.3M"
   },
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "Recent insider transactions in APLD",
     "columns": [
      "Date",
      "Insider",
      "Type",
      "Shares",
      "Value"
     ],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "Sep 3, 2025",
       "cells": [
        "CUMMINS WESLEY Chief Executive Officer",
        "Sell",
        "400.0K",
        "$6.1M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Jan 16, 2026",
       "cells": [
        "CUMMINS WESLEY Chief Executive Officer",
        "Sell",
        "165.0K",
        "$6.0M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Oct 28, 2025",
       "cells": [
        "MOHMAND MOHAMMAD SAIDAL LAVANWAY Chief Financial Officer",
        "Sell",
        "137.5K",
        "$4.8M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Oct 31, 2025",
       "cells": [
        "HASTINGS CHUCK Director",
        "Sell",
        "75.0K",
        "$2.6M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Aug 4, 2026",
       "cells": [
        "NOTTENBURG RICHARD N Director",
        "Sell",
        "75.0K",
        "$2.3M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Nov 27, 2024",
       "cells": [
        "CUMMINS WESLEY Chief Executive Officer",
        "Sell",
        "200.0K",
        "$1.8M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Jan 29, 2026",
       "cells": [
        "HASTINGS CHUCK Director",
        "Sell",
        "46.0K",
        "$1.8M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Oct 29, 2025",
       "cells": [
        "BENSON ELLA G Director",
        "Sell",
        "42.6K",
        "$1.5M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Aug 4, 2025",
       "cells": [
        "HASTINGS CHUCK Director",
        "Sell",
        "100.0K",
        "$1.3M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Mar 27, 2023",
       "cells": [
        "MOORE VIRGINIA Director",
        "Sell",
        "613.2K",
        "$1.2M"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ],
   "links": [
    {
     "text": "SEC Form 4",
     "url": "https://www.sec.gov/cgi-bin/browse-edgar?action=getcompany&company=Applied+Digital+Corporation&type=4&dateb=&owner=include&count=40&search_text=&action=getcompany"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "faq",
   "title": "Frequently Asked Questions"
  }
 ],
 "faq": [
  {
   "question": "Is Applied Digital Corporation (APLD) stock a buy right now?",
   "answer": "Wall Street analysts maintain a strong Buy consensus for APLD, with a median price target of $79, implying substantial upside from the current $26.68 price. However, the stock is trading below its key moving averages, and insiders have been net sellers, suggesting potential near-term risks."
  },
  {
   "question": "What is Applied Digital Corporation's (APLD) price prediction for 2030?",
   "answer": "Based on Monte Carlo simulations, Applied Digital Corporation's (APLD) projected price for 2030 ranges from a downside of $14.96 to an upside of $194.18, with a base case of $53.9. These are statistical outcomes, not guarantees."
  },
  {
   "question": "How has Applied Digital Corporation (APLD) performed in recent earnings reports?",
   "answer": "APLD has consistently beaten EPS estimates in its last four reported quarters. The most recent report showed a 121.05% surprise, with actual EPS of $0.04 against an estimate of -$0.19."
  },
  {
   "question": "What are the main risks facing Applied Digital Corporation (APLD)?",
   "answer": "Key risks include the company's negative EPS, which makes traditional valuation metrics difficult to apply, and significant insider selling totaling over $34.5 million. The stock's current trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($28.44 and $32.30) also presents technical challenges."
  },
  {
   "question": "How does Applied Digital Corporation (APLD) compare to its sector averages?",
   "answer": "APLD's revenue growth is exceptionally strong, projected at 127.00% next year, far surpassing the sector average of 10.00%. However, its negative EPS means it cannot be compared on P/E or ROE metrics against the sector averages of 25.5 and 15.0, respectively."
  },
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   "answer": "The Wall Street consensus for APLD is predominantly Buy, with 2 Strong Buys and 8 Buys out of 11 analysts, contributing to a consensus score of 77. There are no Sell or Strong Sell ratings."
  },
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   "question": "What is the outlook for Applied Digital Corporation's (APLD) revenue growth?",
   "answer": "Applied Digital Corporation (APLD) has a very strong revenue growth outlook, with projections indicating a 40.00% increase next quarter and a substantial 127.00% growth for next year, significantly outpacing current year growth of 37.00%."
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      "text": "Wall Street analysts maintain a strong Buy consensus for APLD, with a median price target of $79, implying substantial upside from the current $26.68 price. However, the stock is trading below its key moving averages, and insiders have been net sellers, suggesting potential near-term risks."
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      "text": "APLD's revenue growth is exceptionally strong, projected at 127.00% next year, far surpassing the sector average of 10.00%. However, its negative EPS means it cannot be compared on P/E or ROE metrics against the sector averages of 25.5 and 15.0, respectively."
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      "text": "The Wall Street consensus for APLD is predominantly Buy, with 2 Strong Buys and 8 Buys out of 11 analysts, contributing to a consensus score of 77. There are no Sell or Strong Sell ratings."
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     "name": "What is the outlook for Applied Digital Corporation's (APLD) revenue growth?",
     "acceptedAnswer": {
      "@type": "Answer",
      "text": "Applied Digital Corporation (APLD) has a very strong revenue growth outlook, with projections indicating a 40.00% increase next quarter and a substantial 127.00% growth for next year, significantly outpacing current year growth of 37.00%."
     }
    }
   ]
  }
 ]
}