{
 "@context": "https://clearank.com/llms.txt",
 "@type": "clearank:AssetAnalysis",
 "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/apa-stock-analysis/",
 "dataUrl": "https://clearank.com/stock/apa-stock-analysis/data.json",
 "title": "APA Corporation (APA) Stock Forecast & Price Target (2026)",
 "description": "APA Corporation (APA) stock: Energy, Oil & Gas E&P. $15.0B market cap. AI rating, technicals, 2030 forecast and trade plans.",
 "headline": "APA Corporation (APA)",
 "published": "2026-07-09T09:16:46+00:00",
 "modified": "2026-09-26T17:16:08.591+00:00",
 "generated": "2026-09-27T15:18:34.394Z",
 "language": "en-US",
 "publisher": {
  "name": "CleaRank",
  "url": "https://clearank.com/"
 },
 "disclaimer": "Educational and informational only; not financial advice. AI-generated analysis reviewed by the CleaRank editorial team; prices delayed up to 15 minutes.",
 "asset": {
  "ticker": "APA",
  "name": "APA Corporation",
  "type": "Common Stock",
  "exchange": "NASDAQ",
  "currency": "USD",
  "sector": "Energy",
  "industry": "Oil & Gas E&P",
  "country": "United States",
  "website": "https://www.apacorp.com"
 },
 "quote": {
  "price": 42.74,
  "previousClose": 43.68,
  "change": -0.94,
  "changePercent": -2.15,
  "open": 42.8,
  "high": 43.26,
  "low": 42.23,
  "volume": 5333400,
  "averageVolume": 6919260,
  "marketCap": 14974023537,
  "fiftyTwoWeekHigh": 47.44,
  "fiftyTwoWeekLow": 21.63,
  "marketOpen": false,
  "asOf": "2026-09-26T17:16:08.000Z"
 },
 "statistics": {
  "pe": 9.016878,
  "eps": 4.74,
  "dividendYield": 0.023402761776572294,
  "beta": 0.366,
  "priceToSales": 1.746853,
  "priceToBook": 2.1346521,
  "revenueTtm": 8572000256,
  "grossMargin": 0.6536030341340076,
  "returnOnEquity": 0.26659
 },
 "technicals": {
  "rsi": 49.89,
  "macd": 0.65,
  "sma50": 40.89,
  "sma200": 34.92,
  "rsiSignal": "Neutral",
  "trend": "Bullish",
  "pricePosition": "Bullish",
  "macdSignal": "Bullish",
  "rating": "Bullish"
 },
 "analysis": {
  "rating": "Hold",
  "score": 58,
  "consensus": "Hold",
  "fairValue": 46,
  "analystTarget": 46,
  "analystCount": 27,
  "wallStreetConsensus": "Hold",
  "generatedAt": "2026-09-26T17:16:08.000Z",
  "priceAtAnalysis": 42.74,
  "volatility": {
   "daily": 2.49,
   "risk": "standard"
  }
 },
 "tradePlan": {
  "bias": "Neutral",
  "conservativeEntry": 42.31,
  "aggressiveEntry": 42.74,
  "stopLoss": 40.73,
  "stopLossPercent": 3.74,
  "targets": [
   43.58,
   44.43,
   45.7
  ]
 },
 "projections": {
  "basis": "Monte Carlo simulation on historical return distribution, re-run daily; not price targets",
  "years": [
   {
    "year": 2027,
    "downside10th": 22.79,
    "base": 43.25,
    "upside90th": 82.09
   },
   {
    "year": 2028,
    "downside10th": 17.69,
    "base": 43.77,
    "upside90th": 108.33
   },
   {
    "year": 2029,
    "downside10th": 14.6,
    "base": 44.3,
    "upside90th": 134.39
   },
   {
    "year": 2030,
    "downside10th": 12.44,
    "base": 44.83,
    "upside90th": 161.48
   },
   {
    "year": 2031,
    "downside10th": 10.82,
    "base": 45.36,
    "upside90th": 190.11
   },
   {
    "year": 2032,
    "downside10th": 9.55,
    "base": 45.91,
    "upside90th": 220.58
   },
   {
    "year": 2033,
    "downside10th": 8.53,
    "base": 46.46,
    "upside90th": 253.14
   },
   {
    "year": 2034,
    "downside10th": 7.68,
    "base": 47.01,
    "upside90th": 287.98
   },
   {
    "year": 2035,
    "downside10th": 6.96,
    "base": 47.58,
    "upside90th": 325.31
   },
   {
    "year": 2036,
    "downside10th": 6.35,
    "base": 48.15,
    "upside90th": 365.28
   }
  ]
 },
 "faqCount": 7,
 "sources": [
  "TwelveData",
  "Wall Street consensus"
 ],
 "sections": [
  {
   "id": "price",
   "title": "APA Price Analysis"
  },
  {
   "id": "market-metrics",
   "title": "Market Metrics",
   "facts": {
    "Open": "$42.80",
    "Day Range": "$42.23 to $43.26",
    "Prev Close": "$43.68",
    "Volume": "5.33M",
    "52-Week Range": "$21.63 to $47.44",
    "Market Cap": "$14.97B"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "peer-benchmarking",
   "title": "Peer Benchmarking",
   "text": [
    "Sector Position Analysis Trading at a notable discount to sector peers (-51%), which may indicate undervaluation or specific company headwinds."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "financials",
   "title": "APA Financial Performance",
   "text": [
    "Analysis: In the last 2 quarters, APA beat estimates 2 times. The stock rose 2 times the next day. Price tends to react positively to beats."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "analysis",
   "title": "APA Analysis",
   "text": [
    "APA Corporation's stock is currently trading above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($40.89 and $34.92), indicating a generally positive long-term trend. However, it is trading below its 20-day EMA ($43.59), suggesting some near-term weakness. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is neutral at 49.89, reflecting a lack of strong momentum in either direction. MACD is slightly positive at 0.65, hinting at a mild bullish bias but without significant conviction. Volume has been below average recently, with current volume at 5.33 million compared to the average of 6.92 million, suggesting subdued investor interest. Key support is seen around the 50-day SMA, while resistance may form near the 20-day EMA.",
    "APA Corporation has exceeded analyst EPS estimates in its last two reported quarters, leading to positive stock price reactions, suggesting operational improvements.",
    "Insiders have recently purchased $1.4 million worth of APA Corporation stock, signaling confidence in the company's future prospects.",
    "Forward revenue estimates indicate a 2.00% decrease for the current year and a 10.00% decrease for the next year, posing a significant challenge to future growth.",
    "APA Corporation's revenue growth of 9.2% significantly trails the energy sector average of 32.8%, indicating potential competitive disadvantages or market share loss.",
    "APA Corporation's outlook is tempered by projected declines in future revenue and earnings growth. Wall Street revenue estimates suggest a 2.00% decrease for the current year and a 10.00% decrease for the next year, with a projected five-year compound annual growth rate of -8.23%. While the company has demonstrated strong operational efficiency and profitability, with a net profit margin of 19.56%, this forward-looking trend poses a significant headwind. The energy sector, on average, is experiencing strong revenue growth of 32.8%, highlighting APA's relative underperformance in this area. The median analyst price target of $46.00 suggests limited upside, reinforcing a cautious near-to-medium term outlook."
   ],
   "lists": {
    "ProTips": [
     "Insiders have been net buyers of APA Corporation stock, with $1.4 million in purchases versus $833,373 in sales, indicating a degree of internal confidence.",
     "APA Corporation's stock is trading above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($40.89 and $34.92) but below its 20-day EMA, suggesting a consolidation phase with potential for either a breakout or a pullback.",
     "Given the projected decline in future revenue growth, investors should closely monitor upcoming earnings reports and management guidance for any signs of a turnaround or further deterioration."
    ]
   },
   "catalysts": [
    {
     "type": "Bullish",
     "title": "Positive Earnings Surprises",
     "text": "APA Corporation has exceeded analyst EPS estimates in its last two reported quarters, leading to positive stock price reactions, suggesting operational improvements.",
     "source": "Earnings Reports"
    },
    {
     "type": "Bullish",
     "title": "Insider Net Buying Activity",
     "text": "Insiders have recently purchased $1.4 million worth of APA Corporation stock, signaling confidence in the company's future prospects.",
     "source": "Insider Transactions"
    },
    {
     "type": "Bearish",
     "title": "Projected Revenue Decline",
     "text": "Forward revenue estimates indicate a 2.00% decrease for the current year and a 10.00% decrease for the next year, posing a significant challenge to future growth.",
     "source": "Wall Street Estimates"
    },
    {
     "type": "Bearish",
     "title": "Lagging Sector Revenue Growth",
     "text": "APA Corporation's revenue growth of 9.2% significantly trails the energy sector average of 32.8%, indicating potential competitive disadvantages or market share loss.",
     "source": "Sector Analysis"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "key-statistics",
   "title": "Key Statistics",
   "text": [
    "APA Corporation exhibits a mixed fundamental profile. Its Price-to-Earnings (P/E) ratio stands at 9.02, which is significantly lower than the sector average of 18.4, suggesting it may be undervalued on this metric. The company's profit margin is strong at 19.56%, and its operating margin is even higher at 56.33%, indicating efficient operations. However, its revenue growth of 9.2% lags considerably behind the sector average of 32.8%. The debt-to-equity ratio is 0.49, which is manageable. While the company demonstrates strong profitability and operational efficiency, the lagging revenue growth and a projected decline in future earnings growth present a challenge when compared to sector averages.",
    "APA Corporation has recently demonstrated positive earnings surprises, beating analyst estimates in its last two reported quarters. The quarter to June 2026 saw an EPS actual of -0.09 against an estimate of -0.33, a 72.73% surprise, with the stock reacting positively with a 0.65% gain. Similarly, the quarter to March 2026 beat estimates by 18.18%, leading to a 3.21% stock price increase. Despite these beats, forward revenue growth estimates for the current year are projected to decrease by 2.00%, and next year by 10.00%, indicating a potential slowdown.",
    "A primary risk for APA Corporation is the projected decline in future revenue growth, with estimates showing a 10.00% decrease next year and a negative compound annual growth rate for the next five years. While current earnings have shown positive surprises, this forward-looking trend suggests potential headwinds. Additionally, the stock's current price is below its 20-day EMA, indicating some near-term selling pressure. The neutral RSI and below-average volume suggest a lack of strong conviction from investors, which could lead to sideways price action or a potential pullback if negative catalysts emerge."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "",
     "columns": [],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "Market Cap",
       "cells": [
        "14.97B"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "P/E Ratio",
       "cells": [
        "9.02"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "EPS (TTM)",
       "cells": [
        "4.74"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Dividend Yield",
       "cells": [
        "2.34%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "52 Week High",
       "cells": [
        "47.44"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "52 Week Low",
       "cells": [
        "21.63"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "technical-indicators",
   "title": "Technical Indicators",
   "text": [
    "Technical Rating Bullish RSI Neutral SMA Cross Bullish Price vs SMA Bullish MACD Bullish Golden Cross in effect with the 50-day SMA ($40.89) above the 200-day SMA ($34.92), price action is firmly bullish above key moving averages."
   ],
   "facts": {
    "RSI": "Neutral",
    "SMA Cross": "Bullish",
    "Price vs SMA": "Bullish",
    "MACD": "Bullish"
   },
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "",
     "columns": [],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "RSI (14)",
       "cells": [
        "49.89"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "MACD",
       "cells": [
        "0.65"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "SMA 50",
       "cells": [
        "40.89"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "SMA 200",
       "cells": [
        "34.92"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "correlations",
   "title": "Market Correlations",
   "text": [
    "How this stock moves relative to other assets",
    "Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods."
   ],
   "facts": {
    "Correlation with S&P 500 (SPY)": "+0.28",
    "Correlation with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)": "+0.20",
    "Correlation with Bitcoin (BTC)": "-0.09",
    "Correlation with Gold (XAU)": "-0.03"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "trade-plans",
   "title": "APA Trade Plans",
   "text": [
    "Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels",
    "Enter now if confident",
    "Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss Calculated based on RSI (49.9) and current market volatility",
    "Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3"
   ],
   "facts": {
    "TARGET 1": "$43.58",
    "TARGET 2": "$44.43",
    "TARGET 3": "$45.70",
    "STOP LOSS": "$40.73"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "seasonality",
   "title": "Seasonal Patterns",
   "text": [
    "Historical monthly performance trends",
    "Based on 3 years of historical monthly returns"
   ],
   "facts": {
    "Average Jan return": "+2.57%",
    "Average Feb return": "-0.85%",
    "Average Mar return": "-2.05%",
    "Average Apr return": "+18.07%",
    "Average May return": "-2.81%",
    "Average Jun return": "+0.97%",
    "Average Jul return": "+3.87%",
    "Average Aug return": "+1.26%",
    "Average Sep return": "+2.48%",
    "Average Oct return": "-3.49%",
    "Average Nov return": "+4.21%",
    "Average Dec return": "+1.62%"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "risk",
   "title": "Risk & Volatility",
   "facts": {
    "Daily Volatility": "2.49%"
   },
   "lists": {
    "Risk considerations": [
     "Monitor position sizing based on current volatility levels",
     "Consider stop-loss placement beyond recent price range",
     "Diversification helps mitigate single-stock risk exposure"
    ]
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "growth",
   "title": "Growth of $10,000",
   "text": [
    "A $10,000 investment in APA in September 2016 would be worth about $7,130 today, compared with about $36,004 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "monte-carlo",
   "title": "Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)",
   "text": [
    "CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in APA today could grow to about $11,265 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $85,466 and a bear case around $1,485. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "price-prediction",
   "title": "APA Stock Price Prediction: 2030",
   "text": [
    "CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $44.83 for APA by 2030 in the base case, from $42.74 today (1.0x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $12.44. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on APA's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.",
    "Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using APA's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "APA simulated price paths by year",
     "columns": [
      "Year",
      "Downside (10th pct)",
      "Base case",
      "Upside (90th pct)"
     ],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "2027",
       "cells": [
        "$22.79",
        "$43.25",
        "$82.09"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2028",
       "cells": [
        "$17.69",
        "$43.77",
        "$108"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2029",
       "cells": [
        "$14.60",
        "$44.30",
        "$134"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2030",
       "cells": [
        "$12.44",
        "$44.83",
        "$161"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2031",
       "cells": [
        "$10.82",
        "$45.36",
        "$190"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2032",
       "cells": [
        "$9.55",
        "$45.91",
        "$221"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2033",
       "cells": [
        "$8.53",
        "$46.46",
        "$253"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2034",
       "cells": [
        "$7.68",
        "$47.01",
        "$288"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2035",
       "cells": [
        "$6.96",
        "$47.58",
        "$325"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2036",
       "cells": [
        "$6.35",
        "$48.15",
        "$365"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "people-also-watch",
   "title": "People Also Watch",
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    {
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    },
    {
     "text": "DGXX Digi Power X Inc. NASDAQ $4.59 +1.32%",
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    },
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     "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/sre-stock-analysis/"
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    {
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     "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/duk-stock-analysis/"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "related-comparisons",
   "title": "Compare APA",
   "links": [
    {
     "text": "APA vs OVV Comparison Head-to-head analysis →",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/compare/apa-vs-ovv/"
    },
    {
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     "url": "https://clearank.com/compare/gs-vs-ms/"
    },
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     "url": "https://clearank.com/compare/oklo-vs-tln/"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "insider-trading",
   "title": "APA Insider Trading Analysis",
   "facts": {
    "Bought": "$1.4M",
    "Sold": "$833.4K",
    "Insiders": "17",
    "Avg Transaction": "$1.1M"
   },
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "Recent insider transactions in APA",
     "columns": [
      "Date",
      "Insider",
      "Type",
      "Shares",
      "Value"
     ],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "May 16, 2022",
       "cells": [
        "LANNIE PAUL ANTHONY General Counsel",
        "Sell",
        "86.8K",
        "$3.6M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Mar 7, 2022",
       "cells": [
        "LANNIE PAUL ANTHONY General Counsel",
        "Sell",
        "40.8K",
        "$1.6M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Mar 18, 2026",
       "cells": [
        "BOB MATTHEW REGIS Director",
        "Sell",
        "23.0K",
        "$833.4K"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Mar 18, 2021",
       "cells": [
        "RINEY STEPHEN J Chief Financial Officer",
        "Sell",
        "35.0K",
        "$678.4K"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Feb 24, 2022",
       "cells": [
        "RINEY STEPHEN J Chief Financial Officer",
        "Sell",
        "12.3K",
        "$386.4K"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Aug 10, 2021",
       "cells": [
        "JOUNG CHANSOO Director",
        "Sell",
        "20.0K",
        "$381.2K"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Apr 6, 2020",
       "cells": [
        "LANNIE PAUL ANTHONY General Counsel",
        "Sell",
        "32.9K",
        "$185.8K"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Jun 30, 2026",
       "cells": [
        "BAY ANNELL R Director",
        "Grant",
        "1.5K",
        "-"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Jun 30, 2026",
       "cells": [
        "ELLIS JULIET S. Director",
        "Grant",
        "1.5K",
        "-"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Jun 30, 2026",
       "cells": [
        "FISHER KENNETH M Director",
        "Grant",
        "1.5K",
        "-"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ],
   "links": [
    {
     "text": "SEC Form 4",
     "url": "https://www.sec.gov/cgi-bin/browse-edgar?action=getcompany&company=APA+Corporation&type=4&dateb=&owner=include&count=40&search_text=&action=getcompany"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "faq",
   "title": "Frequently Asked Questions"
  }
 ],
 "faq": [
  {
   "question": "What is APA Corporation's stock price forecast for 2030?",
   "answer": "APA Corporation's stock price forecast for 2030, based on Monte Carlo simulations, projects a base case of $44.83, with a downside scenario of $12.44 and an upside scenario of $161.48. These figures represent statistical outcomes and are not guaranteed price targets."
  },
  {
   "question": "Is APA Corporation a buy right now?",
   "answer": "APA Corporation is currently rated as 'Hold' by Wall Street analysts, with a consensus score of 58. The median analyst price target is $46.00, suggesting a limited 7.6% upside from the current price of $42.74."
  },
  {
   "question": "What are APA Corporation's recent earnings results?",
   "answer": "APA Corporation recently reported positive earnings surprises, beating estimates by 72.73% for the quarter to June 2026 and by 18.18% for the quarter to March 2026. The stock saw positive price reactions following these announcements."
  },
  {
   "question": "How does APA Corporation compare to its sector averages?",
   "answer": "APA Corporation's P/E ratio of 9.02 is significantly lower than the sector average of 18.4, indicating potential undervaluation. However, its revenue growth of 9.2% lags behind the sector average of 32.8%."
  },
  {
   "question": "What is the insider sentiment for APA Corporation?",
   "answer": "Insider sentiment for APA Corporation is positive, with insiders being net buyers. Total purchases amount to $1.4 million, while total sales are $833,373, indicating a slight buy signal from management."
  },
  {
   "question": "What are the main risks facing APA Corporation?",
   "answer": "Key risks for APA Corporation include projected declines in future revenue growth, with estimates showing a 10.00% decrease next year and a negative five-year CAGR. Additionally, the stock's current technical positioning below its 20-day EMA and neutral RSI suggest a lack of strong upward momentum."
  },
  {
   "question": "What is APA Corporation's outlook for the next year?",
   "answer": "The outlook for APA Corporation is cautious, with Wall Street revenue estimates projecting a 2.00% decrease for the current year and a 10.00% decrease for the next year. While the company has shown recent earnings beats, the forward-looking revenue trend and a negative five-year growth estimate present significant challenges."
  }
 ],
 "related": {
  "peopleAlsoWatch": [
   {
    "ticker": "D",
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