{
 "@context": "https://clearank.com/llms.txt",
 "@type": "clearank:AssetAnalysis",
 "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/allegion-alle/",
 "dataUrl": "https://clearank.com/stock/allegion-alle/data.json",
 "title": "Allegion (ALLE) Stock Forecast & Price Target (2026)",
 "description": "Allegion (ALLE) stock: Industrials, Security & Protection Services. $12.9B market cap. AI rating, technicals, 2030 forecast and trade plans.",
 "headline": "Allegion (ALLE)",
 "published": "2026-07-26T09:31:03+00:00",
 "modified": "2026-09-11T18:12:07.913+00:00",
 "generated": "2026-09-11T20:13:18.695Z",
 "language": "en-US",
 "publisher": {
  "name": "CleaRank",
  "url": "https://clearank.com/"
 },
 "disclaimer": "Educational and informational only; not financial advice. AI-generated analysis reviewed by the CleaRank editorial team; prices delayed up to 15 minutes.",
 "asset": {
  "ticker": "ALLE",
  "name": "Allegion",
  "type": "Common Stock",
  "exchange": "NYSE",
  "currency": "USD",
  "sector": "Industrials",
  "industry": "Security & Protection Services",
  "country": "Ireland",
  "website": "https://www.allegion.com"
 },
 "quote": {
  "price": 152.99,
  "previousClose": 151.27,
  "change": 1.72,
  "changePercent": 1.14,
  "open": 153.735,
  "high": 154.9,
  "low": 152.015,
  "volume": 21904,
  "averageVolume": 1523510,
  "marketCap": 12863514618,
  "fiftyTwoWeekHigh": 183.11,
  "fiftyTwoWeekLow": 125,
  "marketOpen": false,
  "asOf": "2026-09-11T18:11:55.000Z"
 },
 "statistics": {
  "pe": 20.034122,
  "eps": 7.62,
  "dividendYield": 0.01438002483822472,
  "beta": 0.841,
  "priceToSales": 3.0270994,
  "priceToBook": 6.129201,
  "revenueTtm": 4288499968,
  "grossMargin": 0.44941380807642206,
  "returnOnEquity": 0.3373
 },
 "technicals": {
  "rsi": 30.58,
  "macd": -1.03,
  "sma50": 153.76,
  "sma200": 150.93,
  "rsiSignal": "Bearish",
  "trend": "Bullish",
  "pricePosition": "Bearish",
  "macdSignal": "Bearish",
  "rating": "Bearish"
 },
 "analysis": {
  "rating": "Hold",
  "score": 59,
  "consensus": "Hold",
  "fairValue": 170,
  "analystTarget": 170,
  "analystCount": 11,
  "wallStreetConsensus": "Hold",
  "generatedAt": "2026-09-11T18:11:55.000Z",
  "priceAtAnalysis": 152.99,
  "volatility": {
   "daily": 1.45,
   "risk": "standard"
  }
 },
 "tradePlan": {
  "bias": "Neutral",
  "conservativeEntry": 151.46,
  "aggressiveEntry": 152.99,
  "stopLoss": 146.92,
  "stopLossPercent": 3,
  "targets": [
   156,
   159.03,
   163.58
  ]
 },
 "projections": {
  "basis": "Monte Carlo simulation on historical return distribution, re-run daily; not price targets",
  "years": [
   {
    "year": 2027,
    "downside10th": 116.47,
    "base": 164.97,
    "upside90th": 233.65
   },
   {
    "year": 2028,
    "downside10th": 108.72,
    "base": 177.88,
    "upside90th": 291.02
   },
   {
    "year": 2029,
    "downside10th": 104.95,
    "base": 191.8,
    "upside90th": 350.51
   },
   {
    "year": 2030,
    "downside10th": 103.09,
    "base": 206.82,
    "upside90th": 414.9
   },
   {
    "year": 2031,
    "downside10th": 102.39,
    "base": 223,
    "upside90th": 485.69
   },
   {
    "year": 2032,
    "downside10th": 102.5,
    "base": 240.46,
    "upside90th": 564.1
   },
   {
    "year": 2033,
    "downside10th": 103.23,
    "base": 259.28,
    "upside90th": 651.26
   },
   {
    "year": 2034,
    "downside10th": 104.45,
    "base": 279.58,
    "upside90th": 748.35
   },
   {
    "year": 2035,
    "downside10th": 106.09,
    "base": 301.46,
    "upside90th": 856.59
   },
   {
    "year": 2036,
    "downside10th": 108.12,
    "base": 325.06,
    "upside90th": 977.31
   }
  ]
 },
 "faqCount": 7,
 "sources": [
  "TwelveData",
  "Wall Street consensus"
 ],
 "sections": [
  {
   "id": "price",
   "title": "ALLE Price Analysis"
  },
  {
   "id": "market-metrics",
   "title": "Market Metrics",
   "facts": {
    "Open": "$153.74",
    "Day Range": "$152.02 to $154.90",
    "Prev Close": "$151.27",
    "Volume": "21.9K",
    "52-Week Range": "$125.00 to $183.11",
    "Market Cap": "$12.86B"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "peer-benchmarking",
   "title": "Peer Benchmarking",
   "text": [
    "Sector Position Analysis Trading at a notable discount to sector peers (-21%), which may indicate undervaluation or specific company headwinds."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "financials",
   "title": "ALLE Financial Performance",
   "text": [
    "Analysis: In the last 4 quarters, ALLE beat estimates 2 times. However, the stock fell 1 times the next day. This suggests positive news is often \"priced in\" or investors are selling the news."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "analysis",
   "title": "ALLE Analysis",
   "text": [
    "Volume has been exceptionally low, down 98.6% versus its average, indicating a significant lack of trading interest. Allegion's stock is trading below its 50-day SMA of $153.76 and its 20-day EMA of $156.44, reinforcing a bearish short-term trend. The price is currently above its 200-day SMA of $150.93, which may act as a support level. The RSI is at 30.58, firmly in bearish territory, suggesting further downside potential before any significant bounce. The MACD is also negative, indicating bearish momentum.",
    "Insiders have sold $5.2 million worth of stock versus $590.8 thousand purchased, resulting in a moderate sell signal that could weigh on investor sentiment.",
    "The stock is trading below its 50-day and 20-day moving averages, with a bearish RSI of 30.58, indicating potential for further price declines.",
    "Allegion has demonstrated an ability to beat EPS estimates, as seen in the recent Q2 2026 report, which could provide underlying support if sustained.",
    "Projected revenue growth of approximately 6% for the current and next quarters, and 9% for the current year, suggests consistent business performance.",
    "Allegion's outlook is cautiously neutral, with a base case scenario projecting a price around its median analyst target of $170 within the next 6-12 months. This projection assumes a stabilization of insider selling and a potential reversal of current bearish technical trends. The company's steady revenue growth and reasonable valuation provide a foundation for this outlook, supported by the sector's average performance."
   ],
   "lists": {
    "ProTips": [
     "Consider monitoring insider transaction patterns closely, as the current moderate sell signal could indicate underlying concerns that may impact future price performance.",
     "Given the stock is trading below its 50-day and 20-day moving averages, traders may want to wait for confirmation of a bullish trend reversal before initiating new positions.",
     "Allegion's dividend yield of 1.39% offers a modest income stream, but investors should prioritize capital appreciation given the current market signals."
    ]
   },
   "catalysts": [
    {
     "type": "Bearish",
     "title": "Moderate Insider Selling Signal",
     "text": "Insiders have sold $5.2 million worth of stock versus $590.8 thousand purchased, resulting in a moderate sell signal that could weigh on investor sentiment.",
     "source": "Insider Summary"
    },
    {
     "type": "Bearish",
     "title": "Bearish Technical Momentum",
     "text": "The stock is trading below its 50-day and 20-day moving averages, with a bearish RSI of 30.58, indicating potential for further price declines.",
     "source": "Technical Analysis"
    },
    {
     "type": "Bullish",
     "title": "Positive Earnings Surprise",
     "text": "Allegion has demonstrated an ability to beat EPS estimates, as seen in the recent Q2 2026 report, which could provide underlying support if sustained.",
     "source": "Earnings Analysis"
    },
    {
     "type": "Neutral",
     "title": "Steady Revenue Growth Projections",
     "text": "Projected revenue growth of approximately 6% for the current and next quarters, and 9% for the current year, suggests consistent business performance.",
     "source": "Wall Street Summary"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "key-statistics",
   "title": "Key Statistics",
   "text": [
    "Allegion's P/E ratio stands at 20.03, which appears reasonable when compared to the sector average P/E of 25.5, suggesting it is trading at a discount. However, the stock's current price action and moderate insider selling warrant caution. The company's revenue growth of 12.7% is strong, exceeding the sector average of 10.0%. Profitability metrics and balance sheet strength would provide further context, but are not detailed. The median analyst price target of $170 suggests that the market sees some upside potential, but the current technicals and insider activity temper immediate bullish conviction.",
    "Allegion's most recent earnings report on July 23, 2026, showed EPS of $2.40, beating the estimate of $2.22 by 8.11%, though the stock reacted negatively with a -0.78% price change. Prior to that, on June 29, 2026, the company reported an EPS of -$0.02, significantly beating the estimate of -$0.11 by 81.82% and resulting in a positive stock price movement of 0.6%. The company has shown a mixed pattern of earnings beats and misses in recent quarters, with some positive surprises not translating into immediate stock gains.",
    "Allegion faces moderate selling pressure from insiders, with total sales significantly exceeding purchases, signaling potential headwinds. The stock's current trading below key short-term moving averages and its bearish RSI indicate a risk of further price depreciation. Competition within the security and protection services sector, though not explicitly detailed, remains a constant factor that could impact future growth and profitability."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "",
     "columns": [],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "Market Cap",
       "cells": [
        "12.86B"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "P/E Ratio",
       "cells": [
        "20.03"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "EPS (TTM)",
       "cells": [
        "7.62"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Dividend Yield",
       "cells": [
        "1.39%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "52 Week High",
       "cells": [
        "183.11"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "52 Week Low",
       "cells": [
        "125.00"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "technical-indicators",
   "title": "Technical Indicators",
   "text": [
    "Technical Rating Bearish RSI Bearish SMA Cross Bullish Price vs SMA Bearish MACD Bearish Golden Cross in effect with the 50-day SMA ($153.76) above the 200-day SMA ($150.93), price is trading below the 50-day SMA."
   ],
   "facts": {
    "RSI": "Bearish",
    "SMA Cross": "Bullish",
    "Price vs SMA": "Bearish",
    "MACD": "Bearish"
   },
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "",
     "columns": [],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "RSI (14)",
       "cells": [
        "30.58"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "MACD",
       "cells": [
        "-1.03"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "SMA 50",
       "cells": [
        "153.76"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "SMA 200",
       "cells": [
        "150.93"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "correlations",
   "title": "Market Correlations",
   "text": [
    "How this stock moves relative to other assets",
    "Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods."
   ],
   "facts": {
    "Correlation with S&P 500 (SPY)": "+0.39",
    "Correlation with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)": "+0.28",
    "Correlation with Bitcoin (BTC)": "-0.06",
    "Correlation with Gold (XAU)": "+0.11"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "trade-plans",
   "title": "ALLE Trade Plans",
   "text": [
    "Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels",
    "Enter now if confident",
    "Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss Calculated based on RSI (30.6) and current market volatility",
    "Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3"
   ],
   "facts": {
    "TARGET 1": "$156.00",
    "TARGET 2": "$159.03",
    "TARGET 3": "$163.58",
    "STOP LOSS": "$146.92"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "seasonality",
   "title": "Seasonal Patterns",
   "text": [
    "Historical monthly performance trends",
    "Based on 3 years of historical monthly returns"
   ],
   "facts": {
    "Average Jan return": "+2.15%",
    "Average Feb return": "-1.47%",
    "Average Mar return": "-1.58%",
    "Average Apr return": "+2.78%",
    "Average May return": "-0.48%",
    "Average Jun return": "+2.58%",
    "Average Jul return": "+4.03%",
    "Average Aug return": "+0.30%",
    "Average Sep return": "+0.26%",
    "Average Oct return": "-0.55%",
    "Average Nov return": "+3.65%",
    "Average Dec return": "-1.17%"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "risk",
   "title": "Risk & Volatility",
   "facts": {
    "Daily Volatility": "1.45%"
   },
   "lists": {
    "Risk considerations": [
     "Monitor position sizing based on current volatility levels",
     "Consider stop-loss placement beyond recent price range",
     "Diversification helps mitigate single-stock risk exposure"
    ]
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "growth",
   "title": "Growth of $10,000",
   "text": [
    "A $10,000 investment in ALLE in September 2016 would be worth about $22,450 today, compared with about $35,030 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "monte-carlo",
   "title": "Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)",
   "text": [
    "CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in ALLE today could grow to about $21,247 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $63,881 and a bear case around $7,067. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "price-prediction",
   "title": "ALLE Stock Price Prediction: 2030",
   "text": [
    "CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $207 for ALLE by 2030 in the base case, from $153 today (1.4x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $103. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on ALLE's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.",
    "Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using ALLE's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "ALLE simulated price paths by year",
     "columns": [
      "Year",
      "Downside (10th pct)",
      "Base case",
      "Upside (90th pct)"
     ],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "2027",
       "cells": [
        "$116",
        "$165",
        "$234"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2028",
       "cells": [
        "$109",
        "$178",
        "$291"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2029",
       "cells": [
        "$105",
        "$192",
        "$351"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2030",
       "cells": [
        "$103",
        "$207",
        "$415"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2031",
       "cells": [
        "$102",
        "$223",
        "$486"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2032",
       "cells": [
        "$103",
        "$240",
        "$564"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2033",
       "cells": [
        "$103",
        "$259",
        "$651"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2034",
       "cells": [
        "$104",
        "$280",
        "$748"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2035",
       "cells": [
        "$106",
        "$301",
        "$857"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2036",
       "cells": [
        "$108",
        "$325",
        "$977"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "people-also-watch",
   "title": "People Also Watch",
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  },
  {
   "id": "related-comparisons",
   "title": "Popular Comparisons",
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     "url": "https://clearank.com/compare/smh-vs-soxx/"
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   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "insider-trading",
   "title": "ALLE Insider Trading Analysis",
   "facts": {
    "Bought": "$590.8K",
    "Sold": "$5.2M",
    "Insiders": "18",
    "Avg Transaction": "$443.9K"
   },
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "Recent insider transactions in ALLE",
     "columns": [
      "Date",
      "Insider",
      "Type",
      "Shares",
      "Value"
     ],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "Feb 20, 2020",
       "cells": [
        "PETRATIS DAVID D Chief Executive Officer",
        "Sell",
        "170.8K",
        "$22.4M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Sep 2, 2021",
       "cells": [
        "PETRATIS DAVID D Chief Executive Officer",
        "Sell",
        "68.2K",
        "$10.0M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Feb 20, 2019",
       "cells": [
        "SHANNON PATRICK S Chief Financial Officer",
        "Sell",
        "34.9K",
        "$3.1M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Oct 26, 2021",
       "cells": [
        "SHANNON PATRICK S Chief Financial Officer",
        "Sell",
        "20.1K",
        "$2.6M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Oct 25, 2019",
       "cells": [
        "SHANNON PATRICK S Chief Financial Officer",
        "Sell",
        "20.4K",
        "$2.3M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Nov 25, 2024",
       "cells": [
        "ECKERSLEY TIMOTHY P Officer",
        "Sell",
        "14.7K",
        "$2.1M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Oct 31, 2019",
       "cells": [
        "KEMP TRACY L Officer",
        "Sell",
        "17.9K",
        "$2.1M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Nov 26, 2019",
       "cells": [
        "ECKERSLEY TIMOTHY P Officer",
        "Sell",
        "15.0K",
        "$1.8M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Aug 7, 2025",
       "cells": [
        "ECKERSLEY TIMOTHY P Officer",
        "Sell",
        "10.8K",
        "$1.8M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Mar 12, 2024",
       "cells": [
        "ECKERSLEY TIMOTHY P Officer",
        "Sell",
        "12.4K",
        "$1.6M"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ],
   "links": [
    {
     "text": "SEC Form 4",
     "url": "https://www.sec.gov/cgi-bin/browse-edgar?action=getcompany&company=Allegion&type=4&dateb=&owner=include&count=40&search_text=&action=getcompany"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "faq",
   "title": "Frequently Asked Questions"
  }
 ],
 "faq": [
  {
   "question": "What is Allegion's stock forecast for 2030?",
   "answer": "Allegion's stock forecast for 2030, based on Monte Carlo simulations, projects a base case price of $206.82, with a downside scenario of $103.09 and an upside scenario of $414.9. These figures represent statistical outcomes, not guaranteed price targets."
  },
  {
   "question": "Is Allegion stock a buy right now?",
   "answer": "Allegion is currently rated a 'Hold' by Wall Street analysts with a median price target of $170, suggesting an 11.1% upside. However, bearish technical indicators and moderate insider selling suggest caution for immediate buying."
  },
  {
   "question": "What are the biggest risks for Allegion?",
   "answer": "The primary risks for Allegion include moderate insider selling activity, bearish technical momentum indicated by its RSI and moving averages, and potential competitive pressures within the security and protection services industry."
  },
  {
   "question": "How did Allegion perform in its latest earnings report?",
   "answer": "In its latest earnings report on July 23, 2026, Allegion reported an EPS of $2.40, beating estimates by 8.11%. Despite this beat, the stock experienced a slight decline of -0.78%."
  },
  {
   "question": "What is Allegion's revenue growth outlook?",
   "answer": "Allegion's revenue is expected to grow by approximately 6.00% for the current and next quarters, and by 9.00% for the current year, indicating steady expansion."
  },
  {
   "question": "How does Allegion's valuation compare to its sector peers?",
   "answer": "Allegion's P/E ratio of 20.03 is below the sector average of 25.5, suggesting it is trading at a discount relative to its peers in the Industrials sector."
  },
  {
   "question": "What is the consensus rating for Allegion stock?",
   "answer": "The consensus rating for Allegion stock among 11 Wall Street analysts is 'Hold', with a consensus score of 59 out of 100."
  }
 ],
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    "name": "Northrop Grumman Corporation NYSE",
    "price": "$522.25",
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