{
 "@context": "https://clearank.com/llms.txt",
 "@type": "clearank:AssetAnalysis",
 "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/affirm-holdings-afrm/",
 "dataUrl": "https://clearank.com/stock/affirm-holdings-afrm/data.json",
 "title": "Affirm Holdings (AFRM) Stock Forecast & Price Target (2026)",
 "description": "Affirm Holdings, Inc. (AFRM) stock: Financial Services, Credit Services. $22.9B market cap. AI rating, technicals, 2030 forecast and trade plans.",
 "headline": "Affirm Holdings, Inc. (AFRM)",
 "published": "2026-06-28T09:20:14+00:00",
 "modified": "2026-09-11T13:03:03.485+00:00",
 "generated": "2026-09-11T21:01:58.687Z",
 "language": "en-US",
 "publisher": {
  "name": "CleaRank",
  "url": "https://clearank.com/"
 },
 "disclaimer": "Educational and informational only; not financial advice. AI-generated analysis reviewed by the CleaRank editorial team; prices delayed up to 15 minutes.",
 "asset": {
  "ticker": "AFRM",
  "name": "Affirm Holdings, Inc.",
  "type": "Common Stock",
  "exchange": "NASDAQ",
  "currency": "USD",
  "sector": "Financial Services",
  "industry": "Credit Services",
  "country": "United States",
  "website": "https://www.affirm.com"
 },
 "quote": {
  "price": 67.99,
  "previousClose": 68.15,
  "change": -0.16,
  "changePercent": -0.23,
  "open": 66.86,
  "high": 69.029999,
  "low": 66.029999,
  "volume": 3719600,
  "averageVolume": 8467810,
  "marketCap": 22941271195,
  "fiftyTwoWeekHigh": 100,
  "fiftyTwoWeekLow": 42.095001,
  "marketOpen": false,
  "asOf": "2026-09-11T13:03:02.000Z"
 },
 "statistics": {
  "pe": 12.294755,
  "eps": 5.53,
  "dividendYield": 0,
  "beta": 3.61,
  "priceToSales": 5.383907,
  "priceToBook": 4.1803985,
  "revenueTtm": 4261082112,
  "grossMargin": 0.6899922038558751,
  "returnOnEquity": 0.45126
 },
 "technicals": {
  "rsi": 35.57,
  "macd": -1.53,
  "sma50": 76.4,
  "sma200": 66.59,
  "rsiSignal": "Bearish",
  "trend": "Bullish",
  "pricePosition": "Bearish",
  "macdSignal": "Bearish",
  "rating": "Bearish"
 },
 "analysis": {
  "rating": "Buy",
  "score": 72,
  "consensus": "Buy",
  "fairValue": 100,
  "analystTarget": 100,
  "analystCount": 35,
  "wallStreetConsensus": "Buy",
  "generatedAt": "2026-09-11T13:03:02.000Z",
  "priceAtAnalysis": 67.99,
  "volatility": {
   "daily": 3.35,
   "risk": "volatile"
  }
 },
 "tradePlan": {
  "bias": "Bullish",
  "conservativeEntry": 66.63,
  "aggressiveEntry": 67.99,
  "stopLoss": 61.97,
  "stopLossPercent": 7,
  "targets": [
   69.96,
   73.29,
   76.62
  ]
 },
 "projections": {
  "basis": "Monte Carlo simulation on historical return distribution, re-run daily; not price targets",
  "years": [
   {
    "year": 2027,
    "downside10th": 35.68,
    "base": 67.72,
    "upside90th": 128.53
   },
   {
    "year": 2028,
    "downside10th": 27.25,
    "base": 67.45,
    "upside90th": 166.93
   },
   {
    "year": 2029,
    "downside10th": 22.14,
    "base": 67.18,
    "upside90th": 203.83
   },
   {
    "year": 2030,
    "downside10th": 18.57,
    "base": 66.91,
    "upside90th": 241.04
   },
   {
    "year": 2031,
    "downside10th": 15.9,
    "base": 66.65,
    "upside90th": 279.29
   },
   {
    "year": 2032,
    "downside10th": 13.82,
    "base": 66.38,
    "upside90th": 318.95
   },
   {
    "year": 2033,
    "downside10th": 12.13,
    "base": 66.12,
    "upside90th": 360.25
   },
   {
    "year": 2034,
    "downside10th": 10.75,
    "base": 65.85,
    "upside90th": 403.37
   },
   {
    "year": 2035,
    "downside10th": 9.59,
    "base": 65.59,
    "upside90th": 448.45
   },
   {
    "year": 2036,
    "downside10th": 8.61,
    "base": 65.33,
    "upside90th": 495.62
   }
  ]
 },
 "faqCount": 7,
 "sources": [
  "TwelveData",
  "Wall Street consensus"
 ],
 "sections": [
  {
   "id": "price",
   "title": "AFRM Price Analysis"
  },
  {
   "id": "market-metrics",
   "title": "Market Metrics",
   "facts": {
    "Open": "$66.86",
    "Day Range": "$66.03 to $69.03",
    "Prev Close": "$68.15",
    "Volume": "3.72M",
    "52-Week Range": "$42.10 to $100.00",
    "Market Cap": "$22.94B"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "peer-benchmarking",
   "title": "Peer Benchmarking",
   "text": [
    "Sector Position Analysis Trading at a notable discount to sector peers (-25%), which may indicate undervaluation or specific company headwinds."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "financials",
   "title": "AFRM Financial Performance",
   "text": [
    "Analysis: In the last 3 quarters, AFRM beat estimates 2 times. The stock rose 2 times the next day. Price tends to react positively to beats."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "analysis",
   "title": "AFRM Analysis",
   "text": [
    "Affirm Holdings, Inc. (AFRM) is trading below its 50-day SMA ($76.40) but above its 200-day SMA ($66.59), with its RSI at 35.57 indicating bearish momentum. The stock's current price is below its 50-day SMA ($76.40) but above its 200-day SMA ($66.59), suggesting a bearish short-to-medium term trend. The RSI reading of 35.57 further reinforces this, signaling bearish momentum. While the stock is above its 200-day SMA, the proximity and downward trend of the 50-day SMA suggest potential resistance. Volume has been below average recently, indicating a lack of strong conviction from traders.",
    "Affirm Holdings reported an EPS surprise of 484.71% in its latest quarter, indicating strong operational execution and potential for continued earnings outperformance.",
    "Analysts forecast current year revenue growth of 28.00%, significantly above the sector average, suggesting increasing market share and demand for Affirm's services.",
    "A 'Buy' consensus rating from 35 analysts with a median price target of $100 indicates strong conviction on Wall Street regarding Affirm's future prospects.",
    "Insiders have sold a total of $186.2 million in stock, signaling potential concerns about valuation or future performance from management.",
    "The stock's RSI is below 40 and it is trading below its 50-day SMA, indicating bearish momentum and potential for further price declines.",
    "Affirm Holdings, Inc. (AFRM) is positioned for potential upside towards its median analyst target price of $100 over the next 6-12 months, driven by strong projected revenue growth and a favorable P/E ratio relative to its peers. However, the significant insider selling pressure and bearish technical momentum present considerable risks that could impede this trajectory. A failure to curb insider dispositions or a worsening competitive environment could lead to a re-evaluation of the stock's prospects, potentially pushing it towards its downside projection."
   ],
   "lists": {
    "ProTips": [
     "Monitor insider transaction activity closely, as the recent heavy selling of $186.2 million warrants attention despite positive analyst ratings.",
     "The stock's bearish technical momentum, indicated by its RSI and position relative to moving averages, suggests caution for short-term traders.",
     "Given the competitive nature of the BNPL sector, Affirm's ability to maintain its growth rate and manage credit risk will be critical for future performance."
    ]
   },
   "catalysts": [
    {
     "type": "Bullish",
     "title": "Strong Earnings Beat",
     "text": "Affirm Holdings reported an EPS surprise of 484.71% in its latest quarter, indicating strong operational execution and potential for continued earnings outperformance.",
     "source": "Company Earnings Report"
    },
    {
     "type": "Bullish",
     "title": "Projected Revenue Growth",
     "text": "Analysts forecast current year revenue growth of 28.00%, significantly above the sector average, suggesting increasing market share and demand for Affirm's services.",
     "source": "Wall Street Estimates"
    },
    {
     "type": "Bullish",
     "title": "Positive Analyst Sentiment",
     "text": "A 'Buy' consensus rating from 35 analysts with a median price target of $100 indicates strong conviction on Wall Street regarding Affirm's future prospects.",
     "source": "Wall Street Analysts"
    },
    {
     "type": "Bearish",
     "title": "Heavy Insider Selling",
     "text": "Insiders have sold a total of $186.2 million in stock, signaling potential concerns about valuation or future performance from management.",
     "source": "Insider Transactions"
    },
    {
     "type": "Bearish",
     "title": "Bearish Technical Momentum",
     "text": "The stock's RSI is below 40 and it is trading below its 50-day SMA, indicating bearish momentum and potential for further price declines.",
     "source": "Technical Analysis"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "key-statistics",
   "title": "Key Statistics",
   "text": [
    "Affirm Holdings, Inc. (AFRM) presents a compelling growth story with strong revenue expansion, though valuation metrics require careful consideration against sector averages. The company's reported P/E ratio of 12.29 is below the sector median of 16.5, which could suggest an attractive valuation if earnings are sustainable. However, the significant EPS beat in the most recent quarter (484.71% surprise) warrants scrutiny to understand its drivers. The projected revenue growth of 28.00% for the current year significantly outpaces the sector average of 11.7%, indicating strong market adoption for Affirm's services. Despite the positive growth outlook, the substantial insider selling warrants caution regarding management's near-term confidence in the stock's valuation.",
    "Affirm Holdings, Inc. (AFRM) demonstrated exceptional earnings performance in its most recent reported quarter ending August 27, 2026, delivering an EPS of $4.97 against an estimate of $0.85, a surprise of 484.71%. This follows a pattern of positive surprises in two of the last four reported quarters, with the company beating estimates in January 2026 and February 2026, though missing in February 2026. The strong EPS beat in the latest quarter, coupled with projected revenue growth of 29.00% for the current quarter, suggests a strong operational trajectory.",
    "Affirm Holdings, Inc. (AFRM) faces significant risk from heavy insider selling, with $186.2 million in dispositions reported, indicating a potential lack of management confidence in the current valuation. Additionally, the stock's bearish technical momentum, evidenced by its RSI below 40 and trading below key moving averages, suggests potential for further price declines. The competition in the Buy Now, Pay Later (BNPL) sector also poses a risk, as established financial institutions and fintech rivals continue to innovate and capture market share."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "",
     "columns": [],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "Market Cap",
       "cells": [
        "22.94B"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "P/E Ratio",
       "cells": [
        "12.29"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "EPS (TTM)",
       "cells": [
        "5.53"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Dividend Yield",
       "cells": [
        "0.00%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "52 Week High",
       "cells": [
        "100.00"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "52 Week Low",
       "cells": [
        "42.10"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "technical-indicators",
   "title": "Technical Indicators",
   "text": [
    "Technical Rating Bearish RSI Bearish SMA Cross Bullish Price vs SMA Bearish MACD Bearish Golden Cross in effect with the 50-day SMA ($76.40) above the 200-day SMA ($66.59), price is trading below the 50-day SMA."
   ],
   "facts": {
    "RSI": "Bearish",
    "SMA Cross": "Bullish",
    "Price vs SMA": "Bearish",
    "MACD": "Bearish"
   },
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "",
     "columns": [],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "RSI (14)",
       "cells": [
        "35.57"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "MACD",
       "cells": [
        "-1.53"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "SMA 50",
       "cells": [
        "76.40"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "SMA 200",
       "cells": [
        "66.59"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "correlations",
   "title": "Market Correlations",
   "text": [
    "How this stock moves relative to other assets",
    "Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods."
   ],
   "facts": {
    "Correlation with S&P 500 (SPY)": "+0.58",
    "Correlation with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)": "+0.55",
    "Correlation with Bitcoin (BTC)": "+0.39",
    "Correlation with Gold (XAU)": "+0.02"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "trade-plans",
   "title": "AFRM Trade Plans",
   "text": [
    "Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels",
    "Lower risk, wait for pullback",
    "Higher risk, immediate entry",
    "Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss Calculated based on RSI (35.6) and current market volatility",
    "Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3"
   ],
   "facts": {
    "TARGET 1": "$69.96",
    "TARGET 2": "$73.29",
    "TARGET 3": "$76.62",
    "STOP LOSS": "$61.97"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "seasonality",
   "title": "Seasonal Patterns",
   "text": [
    "Historical monthly performance trends",
    "Based on 3 years of historical monthly returns"
   ],
   "facts": {
    "Average Jan return": "+2.44%",
    "Average Feb return": "-16.19%",
    "Average Mar return": "-9.13%",
    "Average Apr return": "-1.73%",
    "Average May return": "+6.36%",
    "Average Jun return": "+5.76%",
    "Average Jul return": "+6.85%",
    "Average Aug return": "+23.88%",
    "Average Sep return": "-2.24%",
    "Average Oct return": "+8.02%",
    "Average Nov return": "+22.07%",
    "Average Dec return": "-3.87%"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "risk",
   "title": "Risk & Volatility",
   "facts": {
    "Daily Volatility": "3.35%"
   },
   "lists": {
    "Risk considerations": [
     "Monitor position sizing based on current volatility levels",
     "Consider stop-loss placement beyond recent price range",
     "Diversification helps mitigate single-stock risk exposure"
    ]
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "growth",
   "title": "Growth of $10,000",
   "text": [
    "A $10,000 investment in AFRM in January 2021 would be worth about $7,055 today, compared with about $19,954 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "monte-carlo",
   "title": "Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)",
   "text": [
    "CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in AFRM today could grow to about $9,608 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $72,895 and a bear case around $1,266. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "price-prediction",
   "title": "AFRM Stock Price Prediction: 2030",
   "text": [
    "CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $66.91 for AFRM by 2030 in the base case, from $67.99 today (1.0x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $18.57. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on AFRM's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.",
    "Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using AFRM's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "AFRM simulated price paths by year",
     "columns": [
      "Year",
      "Downside (10th pct)",
      "Base case",
      "Upside (90th pct)"
     ],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "2027",
       "cells": [
        "$35.68",
        "$67.72",
        "$129"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2028",
       "cells": [
        "$27.25",
        "$67.45",
        "$167"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2029",
       "cells": [
        "$22.14",
        "$67.18",
        "$204"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2030",
       "cells": [
        "$18.57",
        "$66.91",
        "$241"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2031",
       "cells": [
        "$15.90",
        "$66.65",
        "$279"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2032",
       "cells": [
        "$13.82",
        "$66.38",
        "$319"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2033",
       "cells": [
        "$12.13",
        "$66.12",
        "$360"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2034",
       "cells": [
        "$10.75",
        "$65.85",
        "$403"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2035",
       "cells": [
        "$9.59",
        "$65.59",
        "$448"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2036",
       "cells": [
        "$8.61",
        "$65.33",
        "$496"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "people-also-watch",
   "title": "People Also Watch",
   "links": [
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    },
    {
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     "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/ameriprise-amp/"
    },
    {
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     "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/robinhood-markets-hood/"
    },
    {
     "text": "BX Blackstone Inc. NYSE $128.47 +2.44%",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/blackstone-bx/"
    },
    {
     "text": "ETOR eToro Group Ltd. Class A Common Shares NASDAQ $30.02 -1.90%",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/etor-etoro-group/"
    },
    {
     "text": "RIOT Riot Platforms, Inc. NASDAQ $20.95 -5.07%",
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    },
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     "text": "CB Chubb Limited NYSE $336.38 -0.6762%",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/chubb-cb/"
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    {
     "text": "CPF Central Pacific Financial Corp. NYSE $37.67 -0.2119%",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/central-pacific-financial-cpf/"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "related-comparisons",
   "title": "Compare AFRM",
   "links": [
    {
     "text": "SOFI vs AFRM Comparison Head-to-head analysis →",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/compare/sofi-vs-afrm/"
    },
    {
     "text": "ADI vs TXN Comparison Head-to-head analysis →",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/compare/adi-vs-txn/"
    },
    {
     "text": "CMG vs CAVA Comparison Head-to-head analysis →",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/compare/cmg-vs-cava/"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "insider-trading",
   "title": "AFRM Insider Trading Analysis",
   "facts": {
    "Bought": "None",
    "Sold": "$186.2M",
    "Insiders": "18",
    "Avg Transaction": "$5.5M"
   },
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "Recent insider transactions in AFRM",
     "columns": [
      "Date",
      "Insider",
      "Type",
      "Shares",
      "Value"
     ],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "Dec 11, 2023",
       "cells": [
        "GIC PRIVATE LTD Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security",
        "Sell",
        "2.9M",
        "$116.3M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Jan 5, 2026",
       "cells": [
        "LEVCHIN MAKSIM RAFAEL Chief Executive Officer",
        "Sell",
        "666.7K",
        "$53.7M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Aug 28, 2025",
       "cells": [
        "LEVCHIN MAX R Chief Executive Officer",
        "Sell",
        "499.2K",
        "$40.0M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Nov 1, 2021",
       "cells": [
        "MICHALEK LIBOR Officer and Director",
        "Sell",
        "234.7K",
        "$36.1M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Dec 12, 2024",
       "cells": [
        "LINFORD MICHAEL ALAN Chief Operating Officer",
        "Sell",
        "400.0K",
        "$27.6M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Mar 3, 2021",
       "cells": [
        "MICHALEK LIBOR Officer",
        "Sell",
        "263.4K",
        "$23.7M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Nov 1, 2021",
       "cells": [
        "MARTINCEVIC SILVIJA Officer",
        "Sell",
        "150.0K",
        "$23.1M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Nov 1, 2021",
       "cells": [
        "LINFORD MICHAEL ALAN Chief Financial Officer",
        "Sell",
        "115.0K",
        "$17.7M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Aug 22, 2025",
       "cells": [
        "LINFORD MICHAEL ALAN Chief Operating Officer",
        "Sell",
        "184.2K",
        "$14.8M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Nov 25, 2024",
       "cells": [
        "MICHALEK LIBOR President",
        "Sell",
        "197.2K",
        "$13.6M"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ],
   "links": [
    {
     "text": "SEC Form 4",
     "url": "https://www.sec.gov/cgi-bin/browse-edgar?action=getcompany&company=Affirm+Holdings%2C+Inc.&type=4&dateb=&owner=include&count=40&search_text=&action=getcompany"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "faq",
   "title": "Frequently Asked Questions"
  }
 ],
 "faq": [
  {
   "question": "Is Affirm Holdings (AFRM) stock a buy right now?",
   "answer": "Affirm Holdings (AFRM) is currently rated a Buy by Wall Street analysts, with a median price target of $100 suggesting a 47.1% upside from its current price of $67.99. The company also shows strong revenue growth projections."
  },
  {
   "question": "What is Affirm Holdings' (AFRM) stock price forecast for 2030?",
   "answer": "Based on Monte Carlo simulations, Affirm Holdings' (AFRM) stock price forecast for 2030 shows a base case of $66.91, with a downside projection of $18.57 and an upside projection of $241.04. These are statistical outcomes, not guaranteed price targets."
  },
  {
   "question": "What are the biggest risks facing Affirm Holdings (AFRM)?",
   "answer": "The primary risks for Affirm Holdings (AFRM) include significant insider selling totaling $186.2 million, bearish technical momentum indicated by its RSI and moving averages, and intense competition within the Buy Now, Pay Later sector."
  },
  {
   "question": "How is Affirm Holdings (AFRM) performing financially?",
   "answer": "Affirm Holdings (AFRM) recently reported an exceptional EPS beat of 484.71% and is projected to achieve 28.00% revenue growth this year, significantly outpacing sector averages."
  },
  {
   "question": "What is the Wall Street consensus on Affirm Holdings (AFRM) stock?",
   "answer": "Wall Street analysts maintain a consensus rating of Buy for Affirm Holdings (AFRM), with 35 analysts covering the stock. The median price target is $100, and the overall Wall Street score is 72 out of 100."
  },
  {
   "question": "How does Affirm Holdings' (AFRM) valuation compare to its peers?",
   "answer": "Affirm Holdings' (AFRM) P/E ratio of 12.29 is below the sector median of 16.5, suggesting a potentially attractive valuation relative to its peers, especially given its strong projected revenue growth."
  },
  {
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      "text": "The base case outlook for Affirm Holdings (AFRM) over the next 6-12 months anticipates continued revenue growth and potential upside towards its median analyst target price of $100, contingent on managing insider selling pressures and competitive dynamics."
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}