{ "@context": "https://clearank.com/llms.txt", "@type": "clearank:AssetAnalysis", "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/aep-stock-analysis/", "dataUrl": "https://clearank.com/stock/aep-stock-analysis/data.json", "title": "American Electric Power Company, Inc (AEP) Forecast (2026)", "description": "Is American Electric Power (AEP) a Buy or Sell today? AI forecast, dividend and rate base outlook, key support levels and risk. Updated daily.", "headline": "American Electric Power Company, Inc. (AEP)", "published": "2026-09-06T09:20:52+00:00", "modified": "2026-09-11T19:41:02.345+00:00", "generated": "2026-09-11T20:41:07.116Z", "language": "en-US", "publisher": { "name": "CleaRank", "url": "https://clearank.com/" }, "disclaimer": "Educational and informational only; not financial advice. AI-generated analysis reviewed by the CleaRank editorial team; prices delayed up to 15 minutes.", "asset": { "ticker": "AEP", "name": "American Electric Power Company, Inc.", "type": "Common Stock", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "currency": "USD", "sector": "Utilities", "industry": "Utilities - Regulated Electric", "country": "United States", "website": "https://www.aep.com" }, "quote": { "price": 123.28, "previousClose": 123.47, "change": -0.19, "changePercent": -0.15, "open": 124.68, "high": 124.68, "low": 123.15, "volume": 105832, "averageVolume": 2914693, "marketCap": 67216741051, "fiftyTwoWeekHigh": 140.58, "fiftyTwoWeekLow": 105.7, "marketOpen": false, "asOf": "2026-09-11T19:40:59.000Z" }, "statistics": { "pe": 21.398613, "eps": 5.77, "dividendYield": 0.030824140168721606, "beta": 0.5, "priceToSales": 2.949267, "priceToBook": 2.0952332, "revenueTtm": 22791000064, "grossMargin": 0.624058769513315, "returnOnEquity": 0.10130999 }, "technicals": { "rsi": 62.8, "macd": -0.99, "sma50": 128.25, "sma200": 126.94, "rsiSignal": "Bullish", "trend": "Bullish", "pricePosition": "Bearish", "macdSignal": "Bearish", "rating": "Neutral" }, "analysis": { "rating": "Hold", "score": 59, "consensus": "Hold", "fairValue": 142.5, "analystTarget": 142.5, "analystCount": 23, "wallStreetConsensus": "Hold", "generatedAt": "2026-09-11T19:40:59.000Z", "priceAtAnalysis": 123.28, "volatility": { "daily": 1.01, "risk": "standard" } }, "tradePlan": { "bias": "Neutral", "conservativeEntry": 122.05, "aggressiveEntry": 123.28, "stopLoss": 118.39, "stopLossPercent": 3, "targets": [ 125.71, 128.15, 131.81 ] }, "projections": { "basis": "Monte Carlo simulation on historical return distribution, re-run daily; not price targets", "years": [ { "year": 2027, "downside10th": 100.58, "base": 131.81, "upside90th": 172.74 }, { "year": 2028, "downside10th": 96.14, "base": 140.93, "upside90th": 206.58 }, { "year": 2029, "downside10th": 94.33, "base": 150.68, "upside90th": 240.69 }, { "year": 2030, "downside10th": 93.8, "base": 161.1, "upside90th": 276.68 }, { "year": 2031, "downside10th": 94.09, "base": 172.25, "upside90th": 315.33 }, { "year": 2032, "downside10th": 94.96, "base": 184.16, "upside90th": 357.17 }, { "year": 2033, "downside10th": 96.28, "base": 196.91, "upside90th": 402.7 }, { "year": 2034, "downside10th": 97.98, "base": 210.53, "upside90th": 452.36 }, { "year": 2035, "downside10th": 100.01, "base": 225.09, "upside90th": 506.63 }, { "year": 2036, "downside10th": 102.34, "base": 240.67, "upside90th": 565.98 } ] }, "faqCount": 7, "sources": [ "TwelveData", "Wall Street consensus" ], "sections": [ { "id": "price", "title": "AEP Price Analysis" }, { "id": "market-metrics", "title": "Market Metrics", "facts": { "Open": "$124.68", "Day Range": "$123.15 to $124.68", "Prev Close": "$123.47", "Volume": "105.8K", "52-Week Range": "$105.70 to $140.58", "Market Cap": "$67.22B" } }, { "id": "peer-benchmarking", "title": "Peer Benchmarking", "text": [ "Sector Position Analysis Valuation is broadly in line with sector peers (0.00% difference), suggesting fair market pricing relative to industry standards." ] }, { "id": "analysis", "title": "AEP Analysis", "text": [ "American Electric Power (AEP) is currently trading below its 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) of $128.25 and its 200-day SMA of $126.94, indicating a bearish short-to-medium term trend. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 62.8, which falls within the 'Bullish' momentum range, suggesting underlying strength despite the price action. Volume has been significantly below average recently, which could imply a lack of conviction from traders. Key support levels are near the current price, while resistance lies at the aforementioned moving averages. The recent earnings miss and insider selling add to the cautious technical picture, suggesting that a break above the 50-day SMA would be needed to signal a potential reversal.", "A strong beat on EPS estimates in the next earnings report could reverse the current negative sentiment and drive the stock price higher.", "If insider selling persists or increases, it could indicate a lack of confidence in the company's near-term prospects, potentially pressuring the stock price.", "Additional negative earnings surprises could exacerbate concerns about operational execution and lead to a downgrade in analyst ratings and price targets.", "American Electric Power (AEP) is expected to maintain a stable performance over the next 6-12 months, driven by its regulated utility operations and projected revenue growth of around 7-8%. The median analyst price target of $142.5 suggests a potential upside of 15.6% from the current price, indicating a moderate bullish case if the stock can overcome current technical headwinds. However, the outlook is tempered by recent negative earnings surprises and insider selling, which could limit upside potential. A significant catalyst for a bullish shift would be a sustained move above the 50-day and 200-day SMAs, coupled with positive earnings reports and a reversal in insider transaction trends. Conversely, further earnings deterioration or increased regulatory scrutiny could pressure the stock lower, testing its support levels." ], "lists": { "ProTips": [ "Monitor AEP's upcoming earnings reports closely for signs of improved EPS performance following the recent miss.", "Given the stock is trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($128.25 and $126.94), consider waiting for a confirmed technical breakout before initiating new long positions.", "The moderate insider selling warrants attention; track future insider transactions for any shifts in management sentiment." ] }, "catalysts": [ { "type": "Bullish", "title": "Positive Earnings Surprise", "text": "A strong beat on EPS estimates in the next earnings report could reverse the current negative sentiment and drive the stock price higher.", "source": "Analyst Estimates" }, { "type": "Bearish", "title": "Continued Insider Selling", "text": "If insider selling persists or increases, it could indicate a lack of confidence in the company's near-term prospects, potentially pressuring the stock price.", "source": "Insider Transactions" }, { "type": "Bearish", "title": "Further Earnings Misses", "text": "Additional negative earnings surprises could exacerbate concerns about operational execution and lead to a downgrade in analyst ratings and price targets.", "source": "Earnings Reports" } ] }, { "id": "key-statistics", "title": "Key Statistics", "text": [ "American Electric Power (AEP) exhibits a Price-to-Earnings (P/E) ratio of approximately 21.4, which aligns closely with the sector average P/E of 21.4, suggesting fair valuation relative to its peers. The company's reported revenue growth of 7% for the current quarter and an estimated 8% for the full year indicates stable operational expansion within the regulated utility sector. While the P/E ratio is in line with the sector, the recent negative EPS surprise (-150% in the latest quarter) raises concerns about profitability execution. The company's dividend yield of 3.08% provides a steady income stream, which is attractive in the utility sector. However, the moderate insider selling activity warrants attention, as it contrasts with the stable fundamental outlook and the company's position as a regulated utility.", "American Electric Power (AEP) reported a significant earnings miss in its most recent quarter ending July 9, 2026, with an actual EPS of -0.02 compared to an estimate of 0.04, a surprise of -150%. This miss was accompanied by a 1.18% price increase on the day. The prior quarter ending May 5, 2026, showed a positive surprise of 4.46% (EPS actual 1.64 vs. estimate 1.57), though the stock declined 3.27% on that day. This mixed earnings performance, particularly the recent significant miss, suggests potential headwinds in operational execution or forecasting accuracy, despite the generally stable revenue growth projections for the company.", "A primary risk for American Electric Power (AEP) stems from its recent negative earnings surprise and moderate insider selling, which could signal underlying operational challenges or a lack of insider confidence. Also, the stock is trading below key technical indicators like the 50-day and 200-day SMAs, indicating potential for further downside pressure if broader market sentiment sours or sector-specific issues arise. While the utility sector is generally defensive, AEP's specific performance metrics and insider activity warrant caution. Competitive pressures within the evolving energy landscape and regulatory changes could also pose risks to future profitability and growth." ], "tables": [ { "caption": "", "columns": [], "rows": [ { "label": "Market Cap", "cells": [ "67.22B" ] }, { "label": "P/E Ratio", "cells": [ "21.40" ] }, { "label": "EPS (TTM)", "cells": [ "5.77" ] }, { "label": "Dividend Yield", "cells": [ "3.08%" ] }, { "label": "52 Week High", "cells": [ "140.58" ] }, { "label": "52 Week Low", "cells": [ "105.70" ] } ] } ] }, { "id": "technical-indicators", "title": "Technical Indicators", "text": [ "Technical Rating Neutral RSI Bullish SMA Cross Bullish Price vs SMA Bearish MACD Bearish Golden Cross in effect with the 50-day SMA ($128.25) above the 200-day SMA ($126.94), price is trading below the 50-day SMA." ], "facts": { "RSI": "Bullish", "SMA Cross": "Bullish", "Price vs SMA": "Bearish", "MACD": "Bearish" }, "tables": [ { "caption": "", "columns": [], "rows": [ { "label": "RSI (14)", "cells": [ "62.80" ] }, { "label": "MACD", "cells": [ "-0.99" ] }, { "label": "SMA 50", "cells": [ "128.25" ] }, { "label": "SMA 200", "cells": [ "126.94" ] } ] } ] }, { "id": "correlations", "title": "Market Correlations", "text": [ "How this stock moves relative to other assets", "Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods." ], "facts": { "Correlation with S&P 500 (SPY)": "-0.01", "Correlation with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)": "-0.12", "Correlation with Bitcoin (BTC)": "-0.08", "Correlation with Gold (XAU)": "+0.08" } }, { "id": "trade-plans", "title": "AEP Trade Plans", "text": [ "Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels", "Enter now if confident", "Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss Calculated based on RSI (62.8) and current market volatility", "Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3" ], "facts": { "TARGET 1": "$125.71", "TARGET 2": "$128.15", "TARGET 3": "$131.81", "STOP LOSS": "$118.39" } }, { "id": "risk", "title": "Risk & Volatility", "facts": { "Daily Volatility": "1.01%" }, "lists": { "Risk considerations": [ "Monitor position sizing based on current volatility levels", "Consider stop-loss placement beyond recent price range", "Diversification helps mitigate single-stock risk exposure" ] } }, { "id": "growth", "title": "Growth of $10,000", "text": [ "A $10,000 investment in AEP in September 2016 would be worth about $19,081 today, compared with about $35,030 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark." ] }, { "id": "monte-carlo", "title": "Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)", "text": [ "CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in AEP today could grow to about $19,522 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $45,910 and a bear case around $8,301. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees." ] }, { "id": "price-prediction", "title": "AEP Stock Price Prediction: 2030", "text": [ "CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $161 for AEP by 2030 in the base case, from $123 today (1.3x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $93.80. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on AEP's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.", "Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using AEP's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice." ], "tables": [ { "caption": "AEP simulated price paths by year", "columns": [ "Year", "Downside (10th pct)", "Base case", "Upside (90th pct)" ], "rows": [ { "label": "2027", "cells": [ "$101", "$132", "$173" ] }, { "label": "2028", "cells": [ "$96.14", "$141", "$207" ] }, { "label": "2029", "cells": [ "$94.33", "$151", "$241" ] }, { "label": "2030", "cells": [ "$93.80", "$161", "$277" ] }, { "label": "2031", "cells": [ "$94.09", "$172", "$315" ] }, { "label": "2032", "cells": [ "$94.96", "$184", "$357" ] }, { "label": "2033", "cells": [ "$96.28", "$197", "$403" ] }, { "label": "2034", "cells": [ "$97.98", "$211", "$452" ] }, { "label": "2035", "cells": [ "$100", "$225", "$507" ] }, { "label": "2036", "cells": [ "$102", "$241", "$566" ] } ] } ] }, { "id": "people-also-watch", "title": "People Also Watch", "links": [ { "text": "NRG NRG Energy, Inc. 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NASDAQ $4.75 -9.79%", "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/terrestrial-energy-imsr/" } ] }, { "id": "related-comparisons", "title": "Popular Comparisons", "links": [ { "text": "MSFT vs TSLA Comparison Head-to-head analysis →", "url": "https://clearank.com/compare/msft-vs-tsla/" }, { "text": "LINK/USD vs XRP/USD Comparison Head-to-head analysis →", "url": "https://clearank.com/compare/link-vs-xrp/" }, { "text": "SOL/USD vs ADA/USD Comparison Head-to-head analysis →", "url": "https://clearank.com/compare/sol-vs-ada/" } ] }, { "id": "insider-trading", "title": "AEP Insider Trading Analysis", "facts": { "Bought": "None", "Sold": "$7.3M", "Insiders": "14", "Avg Transaction": "$562.0K" }, "tables": [ { "caption": "Recent insider transactions in AEP", "columns": [ "Date", "Insider", "Type", "Shares", "Value" ], "rows": [ { "label": "Feb 24, 2020", "cells": [ "AKINS NICHOLAS K Chief Executive Officer", "Sell", "69.7K", "$7.0M" ] }, { "label": "Mar 1, 2021", "cells": [ "AKINS NICHOLAS K Chief Executive Officer", "Sell", "68.6K", "$5.2M" ] }, { "label": "Feb 24, 2023", "cells": [ "AKINS NICHOLAS K Officer", "Sell", "51.0K", "$4.6M" ] }, { "label": "Feb 24, 2020", "cells": [ "TIERNEY BRIAN X Chief Financial Officer", "Sell", "18.6K", "$1.9M" ] }, { "label": "May 4, 2020", "cells": [ "AKINS NICHOLAS K Chief Executive Officer", "Sell", "16.5K", "$1.4M" ] }, { "label": "May 4, 2021", "cells": [ "AKINS NICHOLAS K Chief Executive Officer", "Sell", "15.1K", "$1.3M" ] }, { "label": "May 5, 2014", "cells": [ "WELCH DENNIS E Officer", "Sell", "24.5K", "$1.3M" ] }, { "label": "Mar 23, 2021", "cells": [ "PATTON CHARLES R Officer", "Sell", "14.8K", "$1.3M" ] }, { "label": "Feb 21, 2020", "cells": [ "FEINBERG DAVID MATTHEW Officer", "Sell", "11.1K", "$1.1M" ] }, { "label": "Mar 3, 2020", "cells": [ "BARTON LISA M Officer", "Sell", "11.1K", "$1.1M" ] } ] } ], "links": [ { "text": "SEC Form 4", "url": "https://www.sec.gov/cgi-bin/browse-edgar?action=getcompany&company=American+Electric+Power+Company%2C+Inc.&type=4&dateb=&owner=include&count=40&search_text=&action=getcompany" } ] }, { "id": "faq", "title": "Frequently Asked Questions" } ], "faq": [ { "question": "Is American Electric Power (AEP) stock a buy?", "answer": "American Electric Power (AEP) is currently rated a 'Hold' by Wall Street analysts, with a median price target of $142.5, suggesting a 15.6% upside from the current price of $123.28. The stock is trading below its key moving averages, indicating a cautious technical outlook." }, { "question": "What is the outlook for American Electric Power (AEP) stock?", "answer": "The outlook for AEP is cautiously optimistic, with revenue growth projected around 7-8% annually. However, recent earnings misses and insider selling suggest potential headwinds that investors should monitor closely." }, { "question": "What are the biggest risks facing American Electric Power (AEP)?", "answer": "The primary risks include recent negative earnings surprises, moderate insider selling, and the stock trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($128.25 and $126.94). Regulatory changes and competitive pressures within the utility sector also present ongoing risks." }, { "question": "How does American Electric Power (AEP) compare to its sector averages?", "answer": "AEP's P/E ratio of approximately 21.4 is in line with the sector average P/E of 21.4. Its revenue growth of 7% is also comparable to the sector average of 7.0%." }, { "question": "What is the dividend yield for American Electric Power (AEP)?", "answer": "American Electric Power (AEP) offers a dividend yield of approximately 3.08%, providing a stable income stream for investors." }, { "question": "What did American Electric Power (AEP) report in its latest earnings?", "answer": "In its most recent earnings report (ending July 9, 2026), AEP reported an EPS of -0.02, missing the analyst estimate of 0.04 by 150%. This followed a positive surprise in the prior quarter." }, { "question": "What do Wall Street analysts recommend for American Electric Power (AEP) stock?", "answer": "The current Wall Street consensus for American Electric Power (AEP) is 'Hold', with 23 analysts covering the stock. There are no 'Sell' or 'Strong Sell' ratings, but the majority of ratings are 'Hold' or 'Buy'." } ], "related": { "peopleAlsoWatch": [ { "ticker": "NRG", "name": "NRG Energy, Inc. 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We use our proprietary technology, expert analysis and verified trader insights, to deliver data driven broker evaluations you can trust. Our CLEAR™ Score is our foundation, a transparent, unbiased methodology that assesses brokers and firms based on the most critical factors including regulation, fees, platform reliability, and real user experiences. We are here to change an unfair system and unlike other review sites that are influenced by partnerships or subjective opinions, CleaRank is 100% independent–abiding by our rigorous CLEAR™ editorial code. We do not accept financial incentives from brokers, so what you see is what you get with no hidden agendas, just honest, actionable feedback. Clear data. Honest reviews. 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(AEP) including technical indicators, market metrics, valuation, and price targets - refreshed daily by CleaRank Financial AI.", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "offers": { "@type": "Offer", "price": 123.28, "priceCurrency": "USD", "availability": "https://schema.org/InStock", "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/aep-stock-analysis/", "priceValidUntil": "2026-09-12" } }, { "@context": "https://schema.org", "@type": "FAQPage", "mainEntity": [ { "@type": "Question", "name": "Is American Electric Power (AEP) stock a buy?", "acceptedAnswer": { "@type": "Answer", "text": "American Electric Power (AEP) is currently rated a 'Hold' by Wall Street analysts, with a median price target of $142.5, suggesting a 15.6% upside from the current price of $123.28. The stock is trading below its key moving averages, indicating a cautious technical outlook." } }, { "@type": "Question", "name": "What is the outlook for American Electric Power (AEP) stock?", "acceptedAnswer": { "@type": "Answer", "text": "The outlook for AEP is cautiously optimistic, with revenue growth projected around 7-8% annually. However, recent earnings misses and insider selling suggest potential headwinds that investors should monitor closely." } }, { "@type": "Question", "name": "What are the biggest risks facing American Electric Power (AEP)?", "acceptedAnswer": { "@type": "Answer", "text": "The primary risks include recent negative earnings surprises, moderate insider selling, and the stock trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages. Regulatory changes and competitive pressures within the utility sector also present ongoing risks." } }, { "@type": "Question", "name": "How does American Electric Power (AEP) compare to its sector averages?", "acceptedAnswer": { "@type": "Answer", "text": "AEP's P/E ratio of approximately 21.4 is in line with the sector average P/E of 21.4. Its revenue growth of 7% is also comparable to the sector average of 7.0%." } }, { "@type": "Question", "name": "What is the dividend yield for American Electric Power (AEP)?", "acceptedAnswer": { "@type": "Answer", "text": "American Electric Power (AEP) offers a dividend yield of approximately 3.08%, providing a stable income stream for investors." } }, { "@type": "Question", "name": "What did American Electric Power (AEP) report in its latest earnings?", "acceptedAnswer": { "@type": "Answer", "text": "In its most recent earnings report (ending July 9, 2026), AEP reported an EPS of -0.02, missing the analyst estimate of 0.04 by 150%. This followed a positive surprise in the prior quarter." } }, { "@type": "Question", "name": "What do Wall Street analysts recommend for American Electric Power (AEP) stock?", "acceptedAnswer": { "@type": "Answer", "text": "The current Wall Street consensus for American Electric Power (AEP) is 'Hold', with 23 analysts covering the stock. There are no 'Sell' or 'Strong Sell' ratings, but the majority of ratings are 'Hold' or 'Buy'." } } ] } ] }