{
 "@context": "https://clearank.com/llms.txt",
 "@type": "clearank:AssetAnalysis",
 "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/adp-stock-analysis/",
 "dataUrl": "https://clearank.com/stock/adp-stock-analysis/data.json",
 "title": "Automatic Data Processing Inc (ADP) Stock Forecast (2026)",
 "description": "Is Automatic Data Processing (ADP) a Buy or Sell today? Get the AI trade setup, key support levels and payroll demand outlook. Updated daily.",
 "headline": "Automatic Data Processing Inc. (ADP)",
 "published": "2026-08-31T09:34:22+00:00",
 "modified": "2026-09-11T01:19:06.176+00:00",
 "generated": "2026-09-11T20:41:22.968Z",
 "language": "en-US",
 "publisher": {
  "name": "CleaRank",
  "url": "https://clearank.com/"
 },
 "disclaimer": "Educational and informational only; not financial advice. AI-generated analysis reviewed by the CleaRank editorial team; prices delayed up to 15 minutes.",
 "asset": {
  "ticker": "ADP",
  "name": "Automatic Data Processing Inc.",
  "type": "Common Stock",
  "exchange": "NASDAQ",
  "currency": "USD",
  "sector": "Technology",
  "industry": "Software - Application",
  "country": "United States",
  "website": "https://www.adp.com"
 },
 "quote": {
  "price": 267.33,
  "previousClose": 265.22,
  "change": 2.11,
  "changePercent": 0.8,
  "open": 265.82999,
  "high": 268.73001,
  "low": 265.14499,
  "volume": 1660682,
  "averageVolume": 1849588,
  "marketCap": 106200243509,
  "fiftyTwoWeekHigh": 305.31,
  "fiftyTwoWeekLow": 188.16,
  "marketOpen": false,
  "asOf": "2026-09-11T01:19:04.000Z"
 },
 "statistics": {
  "pe": 24.512016,
  "eps": 10.82,
  "dividendYield": 0.025435775017388307,
  "beta": 0.83,
  "priceToSales": 4.800661,
  "priceToBook": 17.493568,
  "revenueTtm": 21947400192,
  "grossMargin": 0.45878548723007784,
  "returnOnEquity": 0.72239
 },
 "technicals": {
  "rsi": 35.38,
  "macd": 2.09,
  "sma50": 264.56,
  "sma200": 237.3,
  "rsiSignal": "Bearish",
  "trend": "Bullish",
  "pricePosition": "Bullish",
  "macdSignal": "Bullish",
  "rating": "Bullish"
 },
 "analysis": {
  "rating": "Hold",
  "score": 51,
  "consensus": "Hold",
  "fairValue": 287,
  "analystTarget": 287,
  "analystCount": 18,
  "wallStreetConsensus": "Hold",
  "generatedAt": "2026-09-11T01:19:04.000Z",
  "priceAtAnalysis": 267.32999,
  "volatility": {
   "daily": 1.39,
   "risk": "standard"
  }
 },
 "tradePlan": {
  "bias": "Neutral",
  "conservativeEntry": 264.66,
  "aggressiveEntry": 267.33,
  "stopLoss": 256.72,
  "stopLossPercent": 3,
  "targets": [
   272.6,
   277.89,
   285.83
  ]
 },
 "projections": {
  "basis": "Monte Carlo simulation on historical return distribution, re-run daily; not price targets",
  "years": [
   {
    "year": 2027,
    "downside10th": 212.55,
    "base": 292.58,
    "upside90th": 402.76
   },
   {
    "year": 2028,
    "downside10th": 203.78,
    "base": 320.22,
    "upside90th": 503.19
   },
   {
    "year": 2029,
    "downside10th": 201.49,
    "base": 350.47,
    "upside90th": 609.61
   },
   {
    "year": 2030,
    "downside10th": 202.43,
    "base": 383.58,
    "upside90th": 726.85
   },
   {
    "year": 2031,
    "downside10th": 205.45,
    "base": 419.82,
    "upside90th": 857.85
   },
   {
    "year": 2032,
    "downside10th": 210.04,
    "base": 459.48,
    "upside90th": 1005.16
   },
   {
    "year": 2033,
    "downside10th": 215.9,
    "base": 502.88,
    "upside90th": 1171.33
   },
   {
    "year": 2034,
    "downside10th": 222.9,
    "base": 550.39,
    "upside90th": 1359.05
   },
   {
    "year": 2035,
    "downside10th": 230.94,
    "base": 602.38,
    "upside90th": 1571.27
   },
   {
    "year": 2036,
    "downside10th": 239.98,
    "base": 659.29,
    "upside90th": 1811.24
   }
  ]
 },
 "faqCount": 7,
 "sources": [
  "TwelveData",
  "Wall Street consensus"
 ],
 "sections": [
  {
   "id": "price",
   "title": "ADP Price Analysis"
  },
  {
   "id": "market-metrics",
   "title": "Market Metrics",
   "facts": {
    "Open": "$265.83",
    "Day Range": "$265.14 to $268.73",
    "Prev Close": "$265.22",
    "Volume": "1.66M",
    "52-Week Range": "$188.16 to $305.31",
    "Market Cap": "$106.20B"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "peer-benchmarking",
   "title": "Peer Benchmarking",
   "text": [
    "Sector Position Analysis Valuation is broadly in line with sector peers (0.008225% difference), suggesting fair market pricing relative to industry standards."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "analysis",
   "title": "ADP Analysis",
   "text": [
    "Automatic Data Processing (ADP) is currently trading above its 50-day SMA of $264.56 and its 200-day SMA of $237.30, indicating a generally positive long-term trend. However, the stock is trading below its 20-day EMA of $274.85, suggesting near-term weakness. The RSI is at 35.38, signaling bearish momentum, and the MACD is at 2.09, indicating a slight positive trend but with limited strength.The nearest support level is the 50-day SMA at $264.56, while resistance is seen at the 20-day EMA around $274.85. Volume has been slightly below average recently, with the latest volume at 1.66 million compared to an average of 1.85 million. The current technical setup suggests a neutral to slightly bearish short-term outlook, with potential for a pullback if key support levels are breached.",
    "Insiders have sold over $58.7 million worth of ADP stock, significantly outweighing purchases of $745.7 thousand. This 'Heavy Sell Signal' indicates a lack of confidence from management and could pressure the stock price.",
    "The stock's Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 35.38, signaling bearish momentum. Additionally, ADP is trading below its 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA), suggesting near-term weakness.",
    "ADP is expected to maintain approximately 6.00% revenue growth across its upcoming quarters and fiscal years, providing a stable operational outlook.",
    "The median Wall Street price target for ADP is $287.00, implying a limited upside potential of 7.4% from the current price, suggesting a balanced view from analysts.",
    "The base case outlook for Automatic Data Processing (ADP) suggests a period of consolidation, with the stock likely trading within a range defined by its key moving averages and the median analyst target price of $287.00 over the next 6-12 months. The company's steady revenue growth projections and in-line sector valuation provide a stable foundation, but the significant insider selling and bearish technical momentum present headwinds.Upside potential could be unlocked if insider selling subsides and technical momentum shifts to bullish, potentially driving the stock towards its higher analyst targets. Conversely, a breach of the 50-day SMA support level at $264.56, coupled with continued insider dispositions, could lead to a re-evaluation of the stock's fundamental outlook and a move towards the lower end of analyst targets."
   ],
   "lists": {
    "ProTips": [
     "Monitor insider transaction trends closely; a continuation of heavy selling could signal underlying concerns not reflected in the current consensus.",
     "Given the bearish RSI and the stock trading below its 20-day EMA, consider waiting for a confirmed technical breakout above resistance levels before initiating new positions.",
     "With a modest upside to the median price target, risk-averse investors may want to focus on assets with clearer bullish catalysts or stronger technical momentum."
    ]
   },
   "catalysts": [
    {
     "type": "Bearish",
     "title": "Heavy Insider Selling Activity",
     "text": "Insiders have sold over $58.7 million worth of ADP stock, significantly outweighing purchases of $745.7 thousand. This 'Heavy Sell Signal' indicates a lack of confidence from management and could pressure the stock price.",
     "source": "Insider Transactions"
    },
    {
     "type": "Bearish",
     "title": "Bearish Technical Momentum",
     "text": "The stock's Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 35.38, signaling bearish momentum. Additionally, ADP is trading below its 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA), suggesting near-term weakness.",
     "source": "Technical Analysis"
    },
    {
     "type": "Neutral",
     "title": "Steady Revenue Growth Projections",
     "text": "ADP is expected to maintain approximately 6.00% revenue growth across its upcoming quarters and fiscal years, providing a stable operational outlook.",
     "source": "Wall Street Estimates"
    },
    {
     "type": "Neutral",
     "title": "Median Analyst Target Price",
     "text": "The median Wall Street price target for ADP is $287.00, implying a limited upside potential of 7.4% from the current price, suggesting a balanced view from analysts.",
     "source": "Wall Street Consensus"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "key-statistics",
   "title": "Key Statistics",
   "text": [
    "Automatic Data Processing (ADP) exhibits a P/E ratio of 24.51, which is comparable to the sector average of 24.51, suggesting fair valuation relative to its peers. The company's revenue growth is projected at approximately 6.00% for the upcoming quarters and fiscal years, indicating stable expansion.The balance sheet strength is not detailed, but the consistent revenue growth projections imply operational stability. The current valuation does not appear excessively stretched given the sector averages and projected growth, but the significant insider selling activity could signal underlying concerns not immediately apparent in the valuation multiples.",
    "Automatic Data Processing (ADP) recently reported an EPS of $0.36 for the quarter ending July 20, 2026, beating the estimate of $0.34 by 5.88%. This positive surprise was followed by a price decrease of 3.53%. Prior to this, the company met estimates with an EPS of $0.30 for the quarter ending April 13, 2026, resulting in a minor price drop of 0.15%.The pattern of earnings suggests the company is meeting analyst expectations, but the market reaction has been slightly negative following these recent reports, indicating a lack of strong positive sentiment despite the earnings beats.",
    "Significant insider selling represents a key risk for Automatic Data Processing (ADP), with over $58.7 million in sales versus minimal purchases. The stock's bearish momentum, as indicated by its RSI below 40 and trading below the 20-day EMA, suggests potential for further downside. Additionally, the modest upside to the median Wall Street price target of $287.00 implies limited immediate catalysts for significant price appreciation."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "",
     "columns": [],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "Market Cap",
       "cells": [
        "106.20B"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "P/E Ratio",
       "cells": [
        "24.51"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "EPS (TTM)",
       "cells": [
        "10.82"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Dividend Yield",
       "cells": [
        "2.54%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "52 Week High",
       "cells": [
        "305.31"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "52 Week Low",
       "cells": [
        "188.16"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "technical-indicators",
   "title": "Technical Indicators",
   "text": [
    "Technical Rating Bullish RSI Bearish SMA Cross Bullish Price vs SMA Bullish MACD Bullish Golden Cross in effect with the 50-day SMA ($264.56) above the 200-day SMA ($237.30), price action is firmly bullish above key moving averages."
   ],
   "facts": {
    "RSI": "Bearish",
    "SMA Cross": "Bullish",
    "Price vs SMA": "Bullish",
    "MACD": "Bullish"
   },
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "",
     "columns": [],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "RSI (14)",
       "cells": [
        "35.38"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "MACD",
       "cells": [
        "2.09"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "SMA 50",
       "cells": [
        "264.56"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "SMA 200",
       "cells": [
        "237.30"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "correlations",
   "title": "Market Correlations",
   "text": [
    "How this stock moves relative to other assets",
    "Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods."
   ],
   "facts": {
    "Correlation with S&P 500 (SPY)": "+0.30",
    "Correlation with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)": "+0.16",
    "Correlation with Bitcoin (BTC)": "+0.22",
    "Correlation with Gold (XAU)": "-0.11"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "trade-plans",
   "title": "ADP Trade Plans",
   "text": [
    "Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels",
    "Enter now if confident",
    "Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss Calculated based on RSI (35.4) and current market volatility",
    "Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3"
   ],
   "facts": {
    "TARGET 1": "$272.60",
    "TARGET 2": "$277.89",
    "TARGET 3": "$285.83",
    "STOP LOSS": "$256.72"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "risk",
   "title": "Risk & Volatility",
   "facts": {
    "Daily Volatility": "1.39%"
   },
   "lists": {
    "Risk considerations": [
     "Monitor position sizing based on current volatility levels",
     "Consider stop-loss placement beyond recent price range",
     "Diversification helps mitigate single-stock risk exposure"
    ]
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "growth",
   "title": "Growth of $10,000",
   "text": [
    "A $10,000 investment in ADP in September 2016 would be worth about $30,330 today, compared with about $35,030 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "monte-carlo",
   "title": "Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)",
   "text": [
    "CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in ADP today could grow to about $24,662 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $67,753 and a bear case around $8,977. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "price-prediction",
   "title": "ADP Stock Price Prediction: 2030",
   "text": [
    "CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $384 for ADP by 2030 in the base case, from $267 today (1.4x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $202. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on ADP's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.",
    "Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using ADP's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "ADP simulated price paths by year",
     "columns": [
      "Year",
      "Downside (10th pct)",
      "Base case",
      "Upside (90th pct)"
     ],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "2027",
       "cells": [
        "$213",
        "$293",
        "$403"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2028",
       "cells": [
        "$204",
        "$320",
        "$503"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2029",
       "cells": [
        "$201",
        "$350",
        "$610"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2030",
       "cells": [
        "$202",
        "$384",
        "$727"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2031",
       "cells": [
        "$205",
        "$420",
        "$858"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2032",
       "cells": [
        "$210",
        "$459",
        "$1,005"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2033",
       "cells": [
        "$216",
        "$503",
        "$1,171"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2034",
       "cells": [
        "$223",
        "$550",
        "$1,359"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2035",
       "cells": [
        "$231",
        "$602",
        "$1,571"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2036",
       "cells": [
        "$240",
        "$659",
        "$1,811"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "people-also-watch",
   "title": "People Also Watch",
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  },
  {
   "id": "insider-trading",
   "title": "ADP Insider Trading Analysis",
   "facts": {
    "Bought": "$745.7K",
    "Sold": "$58.7M",
    "Insiders": "25",
    "Avg Transaction": "$1.6M"
   },
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "Recent insider transactions in ADP",
     "columns": [
      "Date",
      "Insider",
      "Type",
      "Shares",
      "Value"
     ],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "Jan 5, 2023",
       "cells": [
        "RODRIGUEZ CARLOS ANTONIO Officer",
        "Sell",
        "111.1K",
        "$26.3M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Sep 7, 2023",
       "cells": [
        "RODRIGUEZ CARLOS ANTONIO Officer",
        "Sell",
        "98.1K",
        "$24.6M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Aug 1, 2024",
       "cells": [
        "RODRIGUEZ CARLOS ANTONIO Officer",
        "Sell",
        "87.8K",
        "$22.9M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Sep 14, 2022",
       "cells": [
        "RODRIGUEZ CARLOS A Chief Executive Officer",
        "Sell",
        "89.8K",
        "$21.2M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Dec 14, 2021",
       "cells": [
        "RODRIGUEZ CARLOS A Chief Executive Officer",
        "Sell",
        "89.8K",
        "$20.9M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Sep 8, 2022",
       "cells": [
        "RODRIGUEZ CARLOS A Chief Executive Officer",
        "Sell",
        "87.8K",
        "$20.8M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Nov 14, 2019",
       "cells": [
        "RODRIGUEZ CARLOS A Chief Executive Officer",
        "Sell",
        "97.1K",
        "$16.4M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Sep 11, 2024",
       "cells": [
        "RODRIGUEZ CARLOS ANTONIO Director",
        "Sell",
        "58.9K",
        "$16.3M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Dec 8, 2021",
       "cells": [
        "RODRIGUEZ CARLOS A Chief Executive Officer",
        "Sell",
        "56.5K",
        "$13.2M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Sep 12, 2023",
       "cells": [
        "RODRIGUEZ CARLOS ANTONIO Officer",
        "Sell",
        "52.3K",
        "$13.0M"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ],
   "links": [
    {
     "text": "SEC Form 4",
     "url": "https://www.sec.gov/cgi-bin/browse-edgar?action=getcompany&company=Automatic+Data+Processing+Inc.&type=4&dateb=&owner=include&count=40&search_text=&action=getcompany"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "faq",
   "title": "Frequently Asked Questions"
  }
 ],
 "faq": [
  {
   "question": "What is Automatic Data Processing's (ADP) current stock price and consensus rating?",
   "answer": "As of September 11, 2026, Automatic Data Processing (ADP) is trading at $267.33. The consensus rating among Wall Street analysts is 'Hold', with a consensus score of 51 out of 100."
  },
  {
   "question": "What is the median analyst price target for ADP stock?",
   "answer": "The median analyst price target for Automatic Data Processing (ADP) is $287.00, suggesting an upside potential of 7.4% from its current trading price of $267.33."
  },
  {
   "question": "How has ADP performed in its recent earnings reports?",
   "answer": "ADP recently reported an EPS of $0.36 for the quarter ending July 20, 2026, beating estimates by 5.88%, though the stock saw a 3.53% decline. The previous quarter's EPS met estimates, also resulting in a slight price decrease."
  },
  {
   "question": "What are the key technical indicators for ADP stock?",
   "answer": "ADP's technical indicators show mixed signals. While trading above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($264.56 and $237.30), it is below its 20-day EMA. The RSI is bearish at 35.38, indicating weakening momentum."
  },
  {
   "question": "Are there any significant insider transactions for ADP?",
   "answer": "Yes, there has been substantial insider selling activity for ADP, with total sales exceeding $58.7 million compared to only $745.7 thousand in purchases, indicating a 'Heavy Sell Signal'."
  },
  {
   "question": "How does ADP's valuation compare to its sector averages?",
   "answer": "Automatic Data Processing (ADP) has a P/E ratio of 24.51, which is in line with the Technology sector average of 24.51, suggesting its valuation is currently fair relative to its peers."
  },
  {
   "question": "What is the projected revenue growth for ADP?",
   "answer": "Revenue growth for Automatic Data Processing (ADP) is projected to be approximately 6.00% for the current and next quarters, as well as for the current and next fiscal years."
  }
 ],
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