{
 "@context": "https://clearank.com/llms.txt",
 "@type": "clearank:AssetAnalysis",
 "url": "https://clearank.com/forex/wti-crude-oil-usd/",
 "dataUrl": "https://clearank.com/forex/wti-crude-oil-usd/data.json",
 "title": "WTI Crude Oil Price Forecast 2026 (WTI/USD)",
 "description": "Where is WTI Oil heading? Get daily AI trade plans for WTI/USD. Analysis of US crude inventories, global demand, the US Dollar, and technical price targets.",
 "headline": "Crude Oil WTI Spot / US Dollar (WTI/USD)",
 "published": "2026-04-03T12:52:02+00:00",
 "modified": "2026-10-22T15:26:26.35+00:00",
 "generated": "2026-10-23T03:06:37.676Z",
 "language": "en-US",
 "publisher": {
  "name": "CleaRank",
  "url": "https://clearank.com/"
 },
 "disclaimer": "Educational and informational only; not financial advice. AI-generated analysis reviewed by Michelle Sofia, Market Analyst; prices delayed up to 15 minutes.",
 "asset": {
  "ticker": "WTI/USD",
  "name": "Crude Oil WTI Spot / US Dollar",
  "type": "Commodity",
  "exchange": "FOREX",
  "currency": "USD",
  "sector": "Commodity",
  "industry": "Futures",
  "country": null,
  "website": null
 },
 "quote": {
  "price": 98.15,
  "previousClose": 97.69,
  "change": 0.4576,
  "changePercent": 0.4684,
  "open": 97.63572,
  "high": 100.12167,
  "low": 97.40929,
  "volume": null,
  "averageVolume": null,
  "marketCap": null,
  "fiftyTwoWeekHigh": 118.82805,
  "fiftyTwoWeekLow": 54.9,
  "marketOpen": true,
  "asOf": "2026-10-22T15:26:26.000Z"
 },
 "statistics": {
  "pe": "N/A",
  "eps": null,
  "dividendYield": null,
  "beta": null,
  "priceToSales": null,
  "priceToBook": null,
  "revenueTtm": null,
  "grossMargin": null,
  "returnOnEquity": null
 },
 "technicals": {
  "rsi": 56.81,
  "macd": 2.44,
  "sma50": 92.14,
  "sma200": 86.92,
  "rsiSignal": "Neutral",
  "trend": "Bullish",
  "pricePosition": "Bullish",
  "macdSignal": "Bullish",
  "rating": "Bullish"
 },
 "analysis": {
  "rating": "Strong Buy",
  "score": 85,
  "consensus": "Strong Buy",
  "fairValue": null,
  "analystTarget": null,
  "analystCount": null,
  "wallStreetConsensus": null,
  "generatedAt": "2026-10-22T15:26:26.000Z",
  "priceAtAnalysis": 98.14722,
  "volatility": {
   "daily": 2.26,
   "risk": "forex"
  }
 },
 "tradePlan": {
  "bias": "Bullish",
  "conservativeEntry": 96.18,
  "aggressiveEntry": 98.15,
  "stopLoss": 92.16,
  "stopLossPercent": 4.18,
  "targets": [
   100.99,
   105.8,
   110.61
  ]
 },
 "projections": {
  "basis": "Monte Carlo simulation on historical return distribution, re-run daily; not price targets",
  "years": [
   {
    "year": 2027,
    "downside10th": 57.03,
    "base": 98.15,
    "upside90th": 168.9
   },
   {
    "year": 2028,
    "downside10th": 45.55,
    "base": 98.15,
    "upside90th": 211.49
   },
   {
    "year": 2029,
    "downside10th": 38.33,
    "base": 98.15,
    "upside90th": 251.31
   },
   {
    "year": 2030,
    "downside10th": 33.14,
    "base": 98.15,
    "upside90th": 290.66
   },
   {
    "year": 2031,
    "downside10th": 29.16,
    "base": 98.15,
    "upside90th": 330.4
   }
  ]
 },
 "faqCount": 10,
 "atAGlance": {
  "asOf": "October 22, 2026",
  "rating": "Strong Buy",
  "score": 85,
  "evidence": [
   {
    "label": "Trend",
    "text": "Up: the price is above both its 50- and 200-day moving averages ($92.14 and $86.92)."
   },
   {
    "label": "Volatility",
    "text": "Daily moves average 2.26% (30-day standard deviation)."
   }
  ]
 },
 "figures": {
  "asOf": "October 22, 2026",
  "earningsReaction": null,
  "insiders": null,
  "drawdown": null,
  "seasonality": {
   "years": 10,
   "bestMonth": {
    "month": "Sep",
    "averagePercent": 6.8,
    "upYearsPercent": 60
   },
   "worstMonth": {
    "month": "Apr",
    "averagePercent": -3.9,
    "upYearsPercent": 60
   }
  },
  "correlations": null,
  "analystTargets": null,
  "dividend": null,
  "simulation": {
   "year": 2030,
   "base": 98.15,
   "percentile10": 33.14,
   "percentile90": 290.66,
   "note": "Monte Carlo simulation outcomes, not price targets"
  }
 },
 "sources": [
  "TwelveData",
  "Wall Street consensus"
 ],
 "sections": [
  {
   "id": "ch-overview",
   "title": "The short version",
   "text": [
    "Where WTI/USD stands today, and what CleaRank Financial AI makes of it.",
    "Crude Oil WTI Spot / US Dollar (WTI/USD): Strong Buy, 85/100 on CleaRank's AI score.",
    "Figures as of October 22, 2026.",
    "CleaRank rates Crude Oil WTI Spot / US Dollar (WTI/USD) Strong Buy, with a model score of 85/100. The trend lifts the score most: the price is 12.92% above its 200-day average and 6.52% above its 50-day average, and the 50-day average is 6.01% above the 200-day. The 50-day average stands at $92.14 and the 200-day at $86.92. Over the past year the price rose 65.26%.",
    "Figures we compute ourselves from WTI/USD's own price history. Tap one to see it in context."
   ],
   "lists": {
    "WTI/USD at a glance": [
     "Trend Up: the price is above both its 50- and 200-day moving averages ($92.14 and $86.92).",
     "Volatility Daily moves average 2.26% (30-day standard deviation)."
    ]
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "ch-price",
   "title": "Price and trading",
   "text": [
    "The chart, today's range and how far the price has moved over each period.",
    "Pick a period: each tab shows how far WTI/USD has moved over it, to the last close.",
    "Where WTI/USD sits inside today's range and its 52-week range."
   ],
   "lists": {
    "items": [
     "Price above its 50-day average › The price of $98.15 is 6.5% above the 50-day simple moving average of $92.14.",
     "Price above its 200-day average › The price is 12.9% above the 200-day simple moving average of $86.92.",
     "50-day average above the 200-day › The 50-day average ($92.14) is 6.0% above the 200-day average ($86.92), the arrangement of a rising longer-term trend.",
     "In the upper half of its 52-week range › The price sits at 68% of its 52-week range, between $54.90 and $118.83."
    ]
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "ch-fundamentals",
   "title": "Key levels",
   "text": [
    "The figures the trade plan is built on.",
    "The averages and the year's range that WTI/USD's trade plan is built on.",
    "Short-term trend: WTI/USD is above its 50-day average of $92.14.",
    "Long-term trend: It is above its 200-day average of $86.92.",
    "52-week range: $54.90 to $118.83; the price sits 68% of the way up.",
    "CleaRank Financial AI's reading of WTI/USD's drivers and risks.",
    "Crude Oil WTI Spot / US Dollar (WTI/USD) gained 65.26% across the last twelve months, with its price moving between $54.90 and $118.83.Day to day, the price moves 2.26% on average (the 30-day standard deviation of daily returns). As a traded commodity contract, WTI/USD responds to shifts in supply, industrial and investment demand, and the US dollar.",
    "WTI/USD's daily returns have a 30-day standard deviation of 2.26%. Measured from its 52-week high of $118.83, the price is 17.40% below that peak."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "ch-analysis",
   "title": "AI analysis and technicals",
   "text": [
    "CleaRank's score and reasoning, the indicators behind it, and what the price moves with.",
    "The score, the reasoning behind it, and what could move the price next.",
    "WTI/USD is in an uptrend. Its price of $98.15 sits 12.92% above its 200-day average of $86.92, and it also stands 6.52% above its 50-day average of $92.14. Within its 52-week range, which runs from a low of $54.90 to a high of $118.83, the price occupies 68%.Every period on the chart shows a gain, with the price up 6.24% over the past three months, 1.19% over the past six months and 65.26% over the past year. On momentum, the 14-day RSI reads 56.8, in the neutral zone, with the MACD line positive.",
    "WTI/USD trades above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($92.14 and $86.92), which is what makes the trend up; losing the 50-day would be the first warning. The nearest level under the price is the 20-day EMA at $96.17.The 52-week high at $118.83 is the next level overhead. The 14-day RSI of 56.8 is in the neutral band, between 40 and 60.",
    "Momentum and trend for WTI/USD, from its daily closes.",
    "As of October 22, 2026, with WTI/USD at $98.15, its 14-day RSI is 56.8 (neutral territory), its 50-day simple moving average is $92.14 and its 200-day is $86.92.",
    "Calculated by CleaRank on daily closes as of October 22, 2026: Wilder's 14-day RSI, 50- and 200-day simple moving averages, MACD line (12, 26).",
    "Correlation of daily returns over one year: +1 moves in step, 0 has no link, -1 moves the opposite way.",
    "As of October 22, 2026, WTI/USD's 1-year correlation of daily returns is -0.07 with S&P 500 (SPY), -0.08 with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), -0.14 with Bitcoin (BTC) and -0.06 with gold (XAU)."
   ],
   "lists": {
    "items": [
     "RSI Neutral",
     "SMA cross Bullish",
     "Price vs SMA Bullish",
     "MACD Bullish"
    ]
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "ch-plan",
   "title": "A trade plan, if you want one",
   "text": [
    "Entry, stop and target levels from the moving averages and recent volatility. Educational, not advice.",
    "Entry, stop and target levels, sized to your account. Change the bias or the risk and every level updates.",
    "Lower risk, wait for pullback",
    "Higher risk, immediate entry",
    "With leverage, losses on WTI/USD can exceed the deposit, and news can gap the price through these levels. Educational levels, not financial advice; the full disclaimer is at the foot of the page.",
    "Would this WTI/USD plan have made money the last ten times?",
    "Your entry, stop and targets are set above. Replay them against WTI/USD's own history and count how often the target hit before the stop.",
    "How much WTI/USD tends to move, against the market and on its own."
   ],
   "lists": {
    "items": [
     "Wins vs stops",
     "Best exit",
     "Max drawdown"
    ]
   },
   "links": [
    {
     "text": "Position Size",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/tools/position-size-calculator/"
    },
    {
     "text": "Stop Loss",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/tools/stop-loss-calculator/"
    },
    {
     "text": "Risk/Reward",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/tools/risk-reward-calculator/"
    },
    {
     "text": "P&L Calculator",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/tools/profit-loss-calculator/"
    },
    {
     "text": "Trailing Stop",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/tools/trailing-stop-calculator/"
    },
    {
     "text": "Fibonacci",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/tools/fibonacci-calculator/"
    },
    {
     "text": "Pivot Points",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/tools/pivot-point-calculator/"
    },
    {
     "text": "Win Rate",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/tools/breakeven-win-rate-calculator/"
    },
    {
     "text": "Expectancy",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/tools/trade-expectancy-calculator/"
    },
    {
     "text": "Replay this plan on WTI/USDStart free trial · $0 today",
     "url": "https://trade.clearank.com/portfolio/demo?utm_source=clearank&amp;utm_medium=cta&amp;utm_campaign=asset_plan&amp;utm_content=trial7"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "ch-risk",
   "title": "The long record",
   "text": [
    "WTI/USD's worst falls and recoveries, what $10,000 became, and which months have been kind to it.",
    "What $10,000 put into WTI/USD in October 2016 is worth now, against the same amount in the S&P 500.",
    "Against the market: WTI/USD trailed the S&P 500 over this period: $19,360 against $35,976.",
    "A $10,000 investment in WTI/USD in October 2016 would be worth about $19,360 today, compared with about $35,976 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark.",
    "Which calendar months have been kind to WTI/USD, and which have not.",
    "Strongest month, September: an average of +6.80%, up in 6 of 10 years.",
    "Weakest month, April: an average of -3.90%, up in 6 of 10 years.",
    "This month, October: has averaged +0.66%, up in 4 of 9 years. Past seasonality does not repeat on schedule.",
    "Over the last 10 years, WTI/USD's strongest calendar month has been September (average +6.80%, up in 6 of 10 years) and its weakest April (average -3.90%, up in 6 of 10 years).",
    "Average return for each calendar month over the last 10 years, from weekly closing prices."
   ],
   "lists": {
    "items": [
     "Average daily move under 2% › The price has moved 2.26% on an average day (30-day standard deviation of daily returns).",
     "Beat the S&P 500 since the chart begins › $10,000 invested in October 2016 is now worth $19,360, against $35,976 in the S&P 500 (SPY)."
    ]
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "ch-scenarios",
   "title": "Long-term scenarios",
   "text": [
    "Thousands of simulated paths from the price history. A range of outcomes, not a forecast.",
    "Thousands of simulated paths for $10,000 in WTI/USD, from its own past volatility. The shaded area holds 80% of them.",
    "CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in WTI/USD today could grow to about $10,000 by 2036 in the base case, with a 90th-percentile outcome near $55,656 and a 10th-percentile outcome around $1,797. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.",
    "The same simulation in prices, year by year.",
    "CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $98.15 for WTI/USD by 2030 in the base case, from $98.15 today (1.0x over 4 years). The 10th-percentile path ends near $33.14. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on WTI/USD's historical return distribution, not price targets.",
    "Method: a lognormal simulation of WTI/USD's own volatility with no trend assumed, re-run daily; base case is the median path, the outer columns the 10th and 90th percentiles.",
    "What would WTI/USD do to your portfolio?",
    "Add it to what you already hold. Ten-year backtest, the drawdown it brings, and how much of it is just the S&P in disguise."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "WTI/USD simulated price paths by year",
     "columns": [
      "Year",
      "10th percentile",
      "Base case",
      "90th percentile",
      "range base today"
     ],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "2027",
       "cells": [
        "$57.03",
        "$98.15",
        "$169",
        ""
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2028",
       "cells": [
        "$45.55",
        "$98.15",
        "$211",
        ""
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2029",
       "cells": [
        "$38.33",
        "$98.15",
        "$251",
        ""
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2030",
       "cells": [
        "$33.14",
        "$98.15",
        "$291",
        ""
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2031",
       "cells": [
        "$29.16",
        "$98.15",
        "$330",
        ""
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ],
   "lists": {
    "items": [
     "10-year backtest",
     "Drawdown added",
     "Correlation"
    ]
   },
   "links": [
    {
     "text": "Backtest my portfolio with WTI/USDStart free trial · $0 today",
     "url": "https://trade.clearank.com/portfolio/demo?utm_source=clearank&amp;utm_medium=cta&amp;utm_campaign=asset_longterm&amp;utm_content=trial7"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "ch-faq",
   "title": "Questions people ask",
   "text": [
    "Answered from the figures on this page, as of October 22, 2026."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "ch-related",
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 "faq": [
  {
   "question": "Is Crude Oil WTI Spot / US Dollar (WTI/USD) a buy right now?",
   "answer": "CleaRank rates WTI/USD Strong Buy, on a model score of 85/100. Most of the lift comes from the trend, as the price is 12.92% above its 200-day average and 6.52% above its 50-day average, and the 50-day average is 6.01% above the 200-day. None of the factors in the model reads negative. This describes the data on this page and is not a personal recommendation."
  },
  {
   "question": "How has Crude Oil WTI Spot / US Dollar (WTI/USD) performed over the past year?",
   "answer": "The price climbed 65.26% across the past year. Shorter stretches look similar: 6.24% over three months and 9.71% over the last month. Right now the price is 17.40% under its 52-week high of $118.83."
  },
  {
   "question": "What are the key price levels for WTI/USD?",
   "answer": "The 52-week high at $118.83 is the level directly overhead. Beneath the price, the first support is the 20-day EMA at $96.17, followed by the 50-day SMA at $92.14."
  },
  {
   "question": "How volatile is WTI/USD?",
   "answer": "On an average day, WTI/USD's price moves 2.26%, measured as the 30-day standard deviation of daily returns."
  },
  {
   "question": "What is the 52-week range of WTI/USD?",
   "answer": "Over the past 52 weeks, WTI/USD has moved between $54.90 and $118.83. At $98.15, the price stands at 68% of that span, 78.77% above the low and 17.40% below the high."
  },
  {
   "question": "Is WTI/USD in an uptrend?",
   "answer": "Yes. Crude Oil WTI Spot / US Dollar (WTI/USD) trades at $98.15, above both its 50- and 200-day moving averages ($92.14 and $86.92). Its 14-day RSI on daily closes is 56.8, in neutral territory."
  },
  {
   "question": "What are WTI/USD's best and worst months?",
   "answer": "Over the last 10 years, September has been WTI/USD's strongest month on average (+6.80%, rising in 6 of 10 years) and April its weakest (-3.90%, rising in 6 of 10 years). Seasonal averages describe the past and do not predict a given year."
  },
  {
   "question": "How closely does WTI/USD move with the stock market?",
   "answer": "Over the past year WTI/USD's daily returns were weakly inversely correlated with the S&P 500 (SPY) (-0.07). Nasdaq 100 (QQQ): -0.08; Bitcoin (BTC): -0.14; Gold (XAU): -0.06. A figure near +1 means the two usually move together; near 0 means little relationship."
  },
  {
   "question": "What would $10,000 invested in WTI/USD be worth today?",
   "answer": "$10,000 put into WTI/USD in October 2016 would be worth about $19,360 today, against about $35,976 for the same amount in the S&P 500."
  },
  {
   "question": "What does CleaRank's simulation show for WTI/USD in 2030?",
   "answer": "CleaRank's Monte Carlo simulation, built from WTI/USD's own historical volatility, puts the 2030 base case near $98.15, with 10th and 90th percentile outcomes of $33.14 and $290.66. It is a range of simulated outcomes, not a price target."
  }
 ],
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   },
   {
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      "text": "CleaRank rates WTI/USD Strong Buy, on a model score of 85/100. Most of the lift comes from the trend, as the price is 12.92% above its 200-day average and 6.52% above its 50-day average, and the 50-day average is 6.01% above the 200-day. None of the factors in the model reads negative. This describes the data on this page and is not a personal recommendation."
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      "text": "Over the past 52 weeks, WTI/USD has moved between $54.90 and $118.83. At $98.15, the price stands at 68% of that span, 78.77% above the low and 17.40% below the high."
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      "text": "Yes. Crude Oil WTI Spot / US Dollar (WTI/USD) trades at $98.15, above both its 50- and 200-day moving averages ($92.14 and $86.92). Its 14-day RSI on daily closes is 56.8, in neutral territory."
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      "text": "Over the last 10 years, September has been WTI/USD's strongest month on average (+6.80%, rising in 6 of 10 years) and April its weakest (-3.90%, rising in 6 of 10 years). Seasonal averages describe the past and do not predict a given year."
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      "text": "Over the past year WTI/USD's daily returns were weakly inversely correlated with the S&P 500 (SPY) (-0.07). Nasdaq 100 (QQQ): -0.08; Bitcoin (BTC): -0.14; Gold (XAU): -0.06. A figure near +1 means the two usually move together; near 0 means little relationship."
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      "text": "$10,000 put into WTI/USD in October 2016 would be worth about $19,360 today, against about $35,976 for the same amount in the S&P 500."
     }
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      "text": "CleaRank's Monte Carlo simulation, built from WTI/USD's own historical volatility, puts the 2030 base case near $98.15, with 10th and 90th percentile outcomes of $33.14 and $290.66. It is a range of simulated outcomes, not a price target."
     }
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 ]
}