{
 "@context": "https://clearank.com/llms.txt",
 "@type": "clearank:AssetAnalysis",
 "url": "https://clearank.com/forex/usd-zar/",
 "dataUrl": "https://clearank.com/forex/usd-zar/data.json",
 "title": "USD/ZAR Forecast 2026: Outlook, Buy or Sell & Key Levels",
 "description": "US Dollar / South African Rand (USD/ZAR) forecast and outlook 2026: buy or sell? CleaRank Financial AI rates it Buy, 61/100. Key levels updated daily.",
 "headline": "US Dollar / South African Rand (USD/ZAR)",
 "published": "2026-10-25T15:05:47.560097+00:00",
 "modified": "2026-10-27T15:06:15.09+00:00",
 "generated": "2026-10-28T02:26:49.480Z",
 "language": "en-US",
 "publisher": {
  "name": "CleaRank",
  "url": "https://clearank.com/"
 },
 "disclaimer": "Educational and informational only; not financial advice. AI-generated analysis reviewed by Shaun David, Co-Founder; prices delayed up to 15 minutes.",
 "asset": {
  "ticker": "USD/ZAR",
  "name": "US Dollar / South African Rand",
  "type": "Physical Currency",
  "exchange": "FOREX",
  "currency": "ZAR ",
  "sector": "Currency",
  "industry": "Foreign Exchange",
  "country": null,
  "website": null
 },
 "quote": {
  "price": 16.59,
  "previousClose": 16.65,
  "change": -0.063,
  "changePercent": -0.3784,
  "open": 16.64945,
  "high": 16.70355,
  "low": 16.58411,
  "volume": null,
  "averageVolume": null,
  "marketCap": null,
  "fiftyTwoWeekHigh": 17.5789,
  "fiftyTwoWeekLow": 15.63635,
  "marketOpen": true,
  "asOf": "2026-10-27T15:06:15.000Z"
 },
 "statistics": {
  "pe": "N/A",
  "eps": null,
  "dividendYield": null,
  "beta": null,
  "priceToSales": null,
  "priceToBook": null,
  "revenueTtm": null,
  "grossMargin": null,
  "returnOnEquity": null
 },
 "technicals": {
  "rsi": 55.95,
  "macd": 0.03659,
  "sma50": 16.43,
  "sma200": 16.39,
  "rsiSignal": "Neutral",
  "trend": "Neutral",
  "pricePosition": "Bullish",
  "macdSignal": "Bullish",
  "rating": "Neutral"
 },
 "analysis": {
  "rating": "Buy",
  "score": 61,
  "consensus": "Buy",
  "fairValue": null,
  "analystTarget": null,
  "analystCount": null,
  "wallStreetConsensus": null,
  "generatedAt": "2026-10-27T15:06:15.000Z",
  "priceAtAnalysis": 16.5869,
  "volatility": {
   "daily": 0.463,
   "risk": "forex"
  }
 },
 "tradePlan": {
  "bias": "Bullish",
  "conservativeEntry": 16.26,
  "aggressiveEntry": 16.59,
  "stopLoss": 15.77,
  "stopLossPercent": 3,
  "targets": [
   17.07,
   17.88,
   18.69
  ]
 },
 "projections": {
  "basis": "Monte Carlo simulation on historical return distribution, re-run daily; not price targets",
  "years": [
   {
    "year": 2027,
    "downside10th": 13.87,
    "base": 16.59,
    "upside90th": 19.84
   },
   {
    "year": 2028,
    "downside10th": 12.88,
    "base": 16.59,
    "upside90th": 21.37
   },
   {
    "year": 2029,
    "downside10th": 12.17,
    "base": 16.59,
    "upside90th": 22.62
   },
   {
    "year": 2030,
    "downside10th": 11.6,
    "base": 16.59,
    "upside90th": 23.73
   }
  ]
 },
 "faqCount": 10,
 "atAGlance": {
  "asOf": "October 27, 2026",
  "rating": "Buy",
  "score": 61,
  "evidence": [
   {
    "label": "Trend",
    "text": "Up: the price is above both its 50- and 200-day moving averages (ZAR 16.43 and ZAR 16.39)."
   },
   {
    "label": "Volatility",
    "text": "Daily moves average 0.46% (30-day standard deviation)."
   }
  ]
 },
 "figures": {
  "asOf": "October 27, 2026",
  "earningsReaction": null,
  "insiders": null,
  "drawdown": null,
  "seasonality": {
   "years": 10,
   "bestMonth": {
    "month": "Aug",
    "averagePercent": 2.44,
    "upYearsPercent": 70
   },
   "worstMonth": {
    "month": "Dec",
    "averagePercent": -1.68,
    "upYearsPercent": 20
   }
  },
  "correlations": null,
  "analystTargets": null,
  "dividend": null,
  "simulation": {
   "year": 2030,
   "base": 16.59,
   "percentile10": 11.6,
   "percentile90": 23.73,
   "note": "Monte Carlo simulation outcomes, not price targets"
  }
 },
 "sources": [
  "TwelveData"
 ],
 "sections": [
  {
   "id": "ch-overview",
   "title": "USD/ZAR forecast today",
   "text": [
    "Where USD/ZAR stands today, and what CleaRank Financial AI makes of it.",
    "US Dollar / South African Rand (USD/ZAR): Buy, 61/100 on CleaRank's AI score.",
    "Figures as of October 27, 2026.",
    "USD/ZAR (US Dollar / South African Rand) earns a Buy rating from CleaRank, with a model score of 61/100. Trend is the biggest contributor: the price trades 1.19% above its 200-day average and 0.97% above its 50-day average, and the 50-day average is 0.22% above the 200-day. Weighing the score down most is the one-year record, in which the price fell 3.71%. The 50-day average is ZAR 16.4281 and the 200-day average is ZAR 16.3920.",
    "Figures we compute ourselves from USD/ZAR's own price history. Tap one to see it in context."
   ],
   "lists": {
    "USD/ZAR at a glance": [
     "Trend Up: the price is above both its 50- and 200-day moving averages (ZAR 16.43 and ZAR 16.39).",
     "Volatility Daily moves average 0.46% (30-day standard deviation)."
    ]
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "ch-price",
   "title": "USD/ZAR price and trading",
   "text": [
    "The chart, today's range and how far the price has moved over each period.",
    "Pick a period: each tab shows how far USD/ZAR has moved over it, to the last close.",
    "Where USD/ZAR sits inside today's range and its 52-week range."
   ],
   "lists": {
    "items": [
     "Price above its 50-day average › The price of ZAR 16.59 is 1.0% above the 50-day simple moving average of ZAR 16.43.",
     "Price above its 200-day average › The price is 1.2% above the 200-day simple moving average of ZAR 16.39.",
     "50-day average above the 200-day › The 50-day average (ZAR 16.43) is 0.2% above the 200-day average (ZAR 16.39), the arrangement of a rising longer-term trend.",
     "In the upper half of its 52-week range › The price sits at 49% of its 52-week range, between ZAR 15.64 and ZAR 17.58."
    ]
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "ch-fundamentals",
   "title": "USD/ZAR key levels",
   "text": [
    "The figures the trade plan is built on.",
    "The averages and the year's range that USD/ZAR's trade plan is built on.",
    "Short-term trend: USD/ZAR is above its 50-day average of ZAR 16.4281.",
    "Long-term trend: It is above its 200-day average of ZAR 16.3920.",
    "52-week range: ZAR 15.6364 to ZAR 17.5789; the price sits 49% of the way up.",
    "CleaRank Financial AI's reading of USD/ZAR's drivers and risks.",
    "Over the past year USD/ZAR fell 3.71%, trading between ZAR 15.6364 and ZAR 17.5789. USD/ZAR moves an average of 0.46% a day, based on the 30-day standard deviation of daily returns. The pair is a price between two currencies, so it reacts to any shift in demand for one against the other. Interest rate expectations, trade flows and changes in risk appetite are the usual drivers.",
    "Day-to-day volatility is the first thing to plan around: USD/ZAR has moved 0.46% on an average session. The one-year record is a loss of 3.71%."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "ch-analysis",
   "title": "USD/ZAR AI analysis and technical indicators",
   "text": [
    "CleaRank's score and reasoning, the indicators behind it, and what the price moves with.",
    "The score, the reasoning behind it, and what could move the price next.",
    "USD/ZAR (US Dollar / South African Rand) is in an uptrend. The price of ZAR 16.5869 sits 1.19% above its 200-day average of ZAR 16.3920 and 0.97% above its 50-day average of ZAR 16.4281. Over the past year, the price has climbed 6.08% above the 52-week low of ZAR 15.6364, while remaining 5.64% below the 52-week high of ZAR 17.5789. Recent gains sit against a weaker longer record: the price rose 1.83% over the past month, fell 0.64% over the past three months and fell 3.71% over the past year. The 14-day RSI of 56.0 is in the neutral zone, and the MACD line is positive.",
    "The uptrend rests on USD/ZAR staying above its 50-day average at ZAR 16.4281 and its 200-day average at ZAR 16.3920; a close below the 50-day would be the first crack in it. On a pullback, the first level the price would meet is the 20-day EMA at ZAR 16.5239. USD/ZAR's next overhead level is the 52-week high at ZAR 17.5789.",
    "Momentum and trend for USD/ZAR, from its daily closes.",
    "As of October 27, 2026, with USD/ZAR at ZAR 16.59, its 14-day RSI is 56.0 (neutral territory), its 50-day simple moving average is ZAR 16.43 and its 200-day is ZAR 16.39.",
    "Calculated by CleaRank on daily closes as of October 27, 2026: Wilder's 14-day RSI, 50- and 200-day simple moving averages, MACD line (12, 26). How we calculate these",
    "Correlation of daily returns over one year: +1 moves in step, 0 has no link, -1 moves the opposite way.",
    "As of October 27, 2026, USD/ZAR's 1-year correlation of daily returns is -0.48 with S&P 500 (SPY), -0.45 with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), -0.31 with Bitcoin (BTC) and -0.51 with gold (XAU)."
   ],
   "lists": {
    "items": [
     "RSI Neutral",
     "SMA cross Neutral",
     "Price vs SMA Bullish",
     "MACD Bullish"
    ]
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "ch-plan",
   "title": "USD/ZAR trade plan: entry, stop loss and targets",
   "text": [
    "Entry, stop and target levels from the moving averages and recent volatility. Educational, not advice.",
    "Entry, stop and target levels, sized to your account. Change the bias or the risk and every level updates.",
    "Lower risk, wait for pullback",
    "Higher risk, immediate entry",
    "With leverage, losses on USD/ZAR can exceed the deposit, and news can gap the price through these levels. Educational levels, not financial advice; the full disclaimer is at the foot of the page.",
    "Would this USD/ZAR plan have made money the last ten times?",
    "Your entry, stop and targets are set above. Replay them against USD/ZAR's own history and count how often the target hit before the stop.",
    "How much USD/ZAR tends to move, against the market and on its own."
   ],
   "lists": {
    "items": [
     "Wins vs stops",
     "Best exit",
     "Max drawdown"
    ]
   },
   "links": [
    {
     "text": "Position Size",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/tools/position-size-calculator/"
    },
    {
     "text": "Stop Loss",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/tools/stop-loss-calculator/"
    },
    {
     "text": "Risk/Reward",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/tools/risk-reward-calculator/"
    },
    {
     "text": "P&L Calculator",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/tools/profit-loss-calculator/"
    },
    {
     "text": "Trailing Stop",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/tools/trailing-stop-calculator/"
    },
    {
     "text": "Fibonacci",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/tools/fibonacci-calculator/"
    },
    {
     "text": "Pivot Points",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/tools/pivot-point-calculator/"
    },
    {
     "text": "Win Rate",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/tools/breakeven-win-rate-calculator/"
    },
    {
     "text": "Expectancy",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/tools/trade-expectancy-calculator/"
    },
    {
     "text": "Replay this plan on USD/ZARStart free trial · $0 today",
     "url": "https://trade.clearank.com/portfolio/demo?utm_source=clearank&amp;utm_medium=cta&amp;utm_campaign=asset_plan&amp;utm_content=trial7"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "ch-risk",
   "title": "USD/ZAR price history and drawdowns",
   "text": [
    "USD/ZAR's worst falls and recoveries, what $10,000 became, and which months have been kind to it.",
    "What $10,000 put into USD/ZAR in October 2016 is worth now, against the same amount in the S&P 500.",
    "Against the market: USD/ZAR trailed the S&P 500 over this period: $12,001 against $35,904.",
    "A $10,000 investment in USD/ZAR in October 2016 would be worth about $12,001 today, compared with about $35,904 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark.",
    "Which calendar months have been kind to USD/ZAR, and which have not.",
    "Strongest month, August: an average of +2.44%, up in 7 of 10 years.",
    "Weakest month, December: an average of -1.68%, up in 2 of 10 years.",
    "This month, October: has averaged +0.88%, up in 5 of 9 years. Past seasonality does not repeat on schedule.",
    "Over the last 10 years, USD/ZAR's strongest calendar month has been August (average +2.44%, up in 7 of 10 years) and its weakest December (average -1.68%, up in 2 of 10 years).",
    "Average return for each calendar month over the last 10 years, from weekly closing prices."
   ],
   "lists": {
    "items": [
     "Average daily move under 2% › The price has moved 0.46% on an average day (30-day standard deviation of daily returns).",
     "Beat the S&P 500 since the chart begins › $10,000 invested in October 2016 is now worth $12,001, against $35,904 in the S&P 500 (SPY)."
    ]
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "ch-scenarios",
   "title": "USD/ZAR long-term forecast 2030",
   "text": [
    "Thousands of simulated paths from the price history. A range of outcomes, not a forecast.",
    "Thousands of simulated paths for $10,000 in USD/ZAR, from its own past volatility. The shaded area holds 80% of them.",
    "CleaRank's 4-year Monte Carlo simulation, based on 10 years of price history, projects that a $10,000 investment in USD/ZAR today could grow to about $10,000 by 2030 in the base case, with a 90th-percentile outcome near $14,305 and a 10th-percentile outcome around $6,991. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.",
    "The same simulation in prices, year by year.",
    "CleaRank's simulation projects a price near ZAR 16.59 for USD/ZAR by 2030 in the base case, from ZAR 16.59 today (1.0x over 4 years). The 10th-percentile path ends near ZAR 11.60. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on USD/ZAR's historical return distribution, not price targets.",
    "Method: a lognormal simulation of USD/ZAR's own volatility with no trend assumed, re-run daily; base case is the median path, the outer columns the 10th and 90th percentiles. How the simulation works",
    "What would USD/ZAR do to your portfolio?",
    "Add it to what you already hold. Ten-year backtest, the drawdown it brings, and how much of it is just the S&P in disguise."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "USD/ZAR simulated price paths by year",
     "columns": [
      "Year",
      "10th percentile",
      "Base case",
      "90th percentile",
      "range base today"
     ],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "2027",
       "cells": [
        "ZAR 13.87",
        "ZAR 16.59",
        "ZAR 19.84",
        ""
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2028",
       "cells": [
        "ZAR 12.88",
        "ZAR 16.59",
        "ZAR 21.37",
        ""
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2029",
       "cells": [
        "ZAR 12.17",
        "ZAR 16.59",
        "ZAR 22.62",
        ""
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2030",
       "cells": [
        "ZAR 11.60",
        "ZAR 16.59",
        "ZAR 23.73",
        ""
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ],
   "lists": {
    "items": [
     "10-year backtest",
     "Drawdown added",
     "Correlation"
    ]
   },
   "links": [
    {
     "text": "Backtest my portfolio with USD/ZARStart free trial · $0 today",
     "url": "https://trade.clearank.com/portfolio/demo?utm_source=clearank&amp;utm_medium=cta&amp;utm_campaign=asset_longterm&amp;utm_content=trial7"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "ch-faq",
   "title": "USD/ZAR forecast: questions people ask",
   "text": [
    "Answered from the figures on this page, as of October 27, 2026."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "ch-related",
   "title": "Compare USD/ZAR with similar assets",
   "text": [
    "Assets people compare with this one."
   ],
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 ],
 "faq": [
  {
   "question": "Is US Dollar / South African Rand (USD/ZAR) a buy right now?",
   "answer": "A score of 61/100 gives USD/ZAR its Buy rating. The trend does the most to lift the score, since the price is 1.19% above its 200-day average and 0.97% above its 50-day average, and the 50-day average is 0.22% above the 200-day. The main offset is one-year performance: the price fell 3.71% over the past year. This describes the data on this page and is not a personal recommendation."
  },
  {
   "question": "How has US Dollar / South African Rand (USD/ZAR) performed over the past year?",
   "answer": "The price fell 3.71% over the past year. Across shorter spans, it dropped 0.64% over three months but gained 1.83% in the last month. Currently, USD/ZAR sits 5.64% below its 52-week high of ZAR 17.5789."
  },
  {
   "question": "What are the key price levels for USD/ZAR?",
   "answer": "The nearest level above the price is the 52-week high at ZAR 17.5789. Below the price, the first two levels are the 20-day EMA at ZAR 16.5239 and the 50-day SMA at ZAR 16.4281."
  },
  {
   "question": "How volatile is USD/ZAR?",
   "answer": "On an average day USD/ZAR moves 0.46%, measured as the 30-day standard deviation of daily returns."
  },
  {
   "question": "What is the 52-week range of USD/ZAR?",
   "answer": "Over the past 52 weeks, USD/ZAR has moved between ZAR 15.6364 and ZAR 17.5789. Priced at ZAR 16.5869, the pair stands at 49% of that band, 6.08% above the low and 5.64% below the high."
  },
  {
   "question": "Is USD/ZAR in an uptrend?",
   "answer": "Yes. US Dollar / South African Rand (USD/ZAR) trades at ZAR 16.59, above both its 50- and 200-day moving averages (ZAR 16.43 and ZAR 16.39). Its 14-day RSI on daily closes is 56.0, in neutral territory."
  },
  {
   "question": "What are USD/ZAR's best and worst months?",
   "answer": "Over the last 10 years, August has been USD/ZAR's strongest month on average (+2.44%, rising in 7 of 10 years) and December its weakest (-1.68%, rising in 2 of 10 years). Seasonal averages describe the past and do not predict a given year."
  },
  {
   "question": "How closely does USD/ZAR move with the stock market?",
   "answer": "Over the past year USD/ZAR's daily returns were moderately inversely correlated with the S&P 500 (SPY) (-0.48). Nasdaq 100 (QQQ): -0.45; Bitcoin (BTC): -0.31; Gold (XAU): -0.51. A figure near +1 means the two usually move together; near 0 means little relationship."
  },
  {
   "question": "What would $10,000 invested in USD/ZAR be worth today?",
   "answer": "$10,000 put into USD/ZAR in October 2016 would be worth about $12,001 today, against about $35,904 for the same amount in the S&P 500."
  },
  {
   "question": "What does CleaRank's simulation show for USD/ZAR in 2030?",
   "answer": "CleaRank's Monte Carlo simulation, built from USD/ZAR's own historical volatility, puts the 2030 base case near ZAR 16.59, with 10th and 90th percentile outcomes of ZAR 11.60 and ZAR 23.73. It is a range of simulated outcomes, not a price target."
  }
 ],
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    "url": "https://clearank.com/compare/lmt-vs-rtx/"
   }
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      "text": "A score of 61/100 gives USD/ZAR its Buy rating. The trend does the most to lift the score, since the price is 1.19% above its 200-day average and 0.97% above its 50-day average, and the 50-day average is 0.22% above the 200-day. The main offset is one-year performance: the price fell 3.71% over the past year. This describes the data on this page and is not a personal recommendation."
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      "text": "Over the past 52 weeks, USD/ZAR has moved between ZAR 15.6364 and ZAR 17.5789. Priced at ZAR 16.5869, the pair stands at 49% of that band, 6.08% above the low and 5.64% below the high."
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      "text": "Yes. US Dollar / South African Rand (USD/ZAR) trades at ZAR 16.59, above both its 50- and 200-day moving averages (ZAR 16.43 and ZAR 16.39). Its 14-day RSI on daily closes is 56.0, in neutral territory."
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      "text": "Over the past year USD/ZAR's daily returns were moderately inversely correlated with the S&P 500 (SPY) (-0.48). Nasdaq 100 (QQQ): -0.45; Bitcoin (BTC): -0.31; Gold (XAU): -0.51. A figure near +1 means the two usually move together; near 0 means little relationship."
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      "text": "$10,000 put into USD/ZAR in October 2016 would be worth about $12,001 today, against about $35,904 for the same amount in the S&P 500."
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      "text": "CleaRank's Monte Carlo simulation, built from USD/ZAR's own historical volatility, puts the 2030 base case near ZAR 16.59, with 10th and 90th percentile outcomes of ZAR 11.60 and ZAR 23.73. It is a range of simulated outcomes, not a price target."
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}