{
 "@context": "https://clearank.com/llms.txt",
 "@type": "clearank:AssetAnalysis",
 "url": "https://clearank.com/forex/usd-inr/",
 "dataUrl": "https://clearank.com/forex/usd-inr/data.json",
 "title": "USD/INR Forecast 2026: Outlook, Buy or Sell & Key Levels",
 "description": "US Dollar / Indian Rupee (USD/INR) forecast and outlook 2026: buy or sell? CleaRank Financial AI rates it Hold, 49/100. Key levels updated daily.",
 "headline": "US Dollar / Indian Rupee (USD/INR)",
 "published": "2026-10-25T15:05:47.560097+00:00",
 "modified": "2026-10-27T15:06:03.836+00:00",
 "generated": "2026-10-28T03:25:59.081Z",
 "language": "en-US",
 "publisher": {
  "name": "CleaRank",
  "url": "https://clearank.com/"
 },
 "disclaimer": "Educational and informational only; not financial advice. AI-generated analysis reviewed by Roger Wohlner, Financial Journalist; prices delayed up to 15 minutes.",
 "asset": {
  "ticker": "USD/INR",
  "name": "US Dollar / Indian Rupee",
  "type": "Physical Currency",
  "exchange": "FOREX",
  "currency": "INR ",
  "sector": "Currency",
  "industry": "Foreign Exchange",
  "country": null,
  "website": null
 },
 "quote": {
  "price": 94.98,
  "previousClose": 95.15,
  "change": -0.1709,
  "changePercent": -0.1796,
  "open": 95.1596,
  "high": 95.51492,
  "low": 94.86529,
  "volume": null,
  "averageVolume": null,
  "marketCap": null,
  "fiftyTwoWeekHigh": 97.26743,
  "fiftyTwoWeekLow": 88.116,
  "marketOpen": true,
  "asOf": "2026-10-27T15:06:03.000Z"
 },
 "statistics": {
  "pe": "N/A",
  "eps": null,
  "dividendYield": null,
  "beta": null,
  "priceToSales": null,
  "priceToBook": null,
  "revenueTtm": null,
  "grossMargin": null,
  "returnOnEquity": null
 },
 "technicals": {
  "rsi": 42.07,
  "macd": -0.2662,
  "sma50": 95.69,
  "sma200": 95.29,
  "rsiSignal": "Neutral",
  "trend": "Neutral",
  "pricePosition": "Bearish",
  "macdSignal": "Bearish",
  "rating": "Neutral"
 },
 "analysis": {
  "rating": "Hold",
  "score": 49,
  "consensus": "Hold",
  "fairValue": null,
  "analystTarget": null,
  "analystCount": null,
  "wallStreetConsensus": null,
  "generatedAt": "2026-10-27T15:06:03.000Z",
  "priceAtAnalysis": 94.9767,
  "volatility": {
   "daily": 0.2915,
   "risk": "forex"
  }
 },
 "tradePlan": {
  "bias": "Neutral",
  "conservativeEntry": 94.03,
  "aggressiveEntry": 94.98,
  "stopLoss": 91.21,
  "stopLossPercent": 3,
  "targets": [
   96.85,
   98.73,
   101.55
  ]
 },
 "projections": {
  "basis": "Monte Carlo simulation on historical return distribution, re-run daily; not price targets",
  "years": [
   {
    "year": 2027,
    "downside10th": 89.34,
    "base": 94.98,
    "upside90th": 100.97
   },
   {
    "year": 2028,
    "downside10th": 87.1,
    "base": 94.98,
    "upside90th": 103.56
   },
   {
    "year": 2029,
    "downside10th": 85.43,
    "base": 94.98,
    "upside90th": 105.6
   },
   {
    "year": 2030,
    "downside10th": 84.04,
    "base": 94.98,
    "upside90th": 107.34
   }
  ]
 },
 "faqCount": 10,
 "atAGlance": {
  "asOf": "October 27, 2026",
  "rating": "Hold",
  "score": 49,
  "evidence": [
   {
    "label": "Trend",
    "text": "Down: the price is below both its 50- and 200-day moving averages (INR 95.69 and INR 95.29)."
   },
   {
    "label": "Volatility",
    "text": "Daily moves average 0.29% (30-day standard deviation)."
   }
  ]
 },
 "figures": {
  "asOf": "October 27, 2026",
  "earningsReaction": null,
  "insiders": null,
  "drawdown": null,
  "seasonality": {
   "years": 10,
   "bestMonth": {
    "month": "Sep",
    "averagePercent": 0.725,
    "upYearsPercent": 80
   },
   "worstMonth": {
    "month": "Nov",
    "averagePercent": -0.2145,
    "upYearsPercent": 50
   }
  },
  "correlations": null,
  "analystTargets": null,
  "dividend": null,
  "simulation": {
   "year": 2030,
   "base": 94.98,
   "percentile10": 84.04,
   "percentile90": 107.34,
   "note": "Monte Carlo simulation outcomes, not price targets"
  }
 },
 "sources": [
  "TwelveData"
 ],
 "sections": [
  {
   "id": "ch-overview",
   "title": "USD/INR forecast today",
   "text": [
    "Where USD/INR stands today, and what CleaRank Financial AI makes of it.",
    "US Dollar / Indian Rupee (USD/INR): Hold, 49/100 on CleaRank's AI score.",
    "Figures as of October 27, 2026.",
    "CleaRank rates US Dollar / Indian Rupee (USD/INR) Hold with a model score of 49/100. The biggest lift to the score comes from one-year performance, as the price rose 7.72% over the past year. The biggest drag comes from momentum, where the MACD line is negative. The trend is down, since USD/INR sits 0.74% under its 50-day average of INR 95.69 and 0.33% under its 200-day average of INR 95.29.",
    "Figures we compute ourselves from USD/INR's own price history. Tap one to see it in context."
   ],
   "lists": {
    "USD/INR at a glance": [
     "Trend Down: the price is below both its 50- and 200-day moving averages (INR 95.69 and INR 95.29).",
     "Volatility Daily moves average 0.29% (30-day standard deviation)."
    ]
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "ch-price",
   "title": "USD/INR price and trading",
   "text": [
    "The chart, today's range and how far the price has moved over each period.",
    "Pick a period: each tab shows how far USD/INR has moved over it, to the last close.",
    "Where USD/INR sits inside today's range and its 52-week range."
   ],
   "lists": {
    "items": [
     "Price above its 50-day average › The price of INR 94.98 is 0.7% below the 50-day simple moving average of INR 95.69.",
     "Price above its 200-day average › The price is 0.3% below the 200-day simple moving average of INR 95.29.",
     "50-day average above the 200-day › The 50-day average (INR 95.69) is 0.4% above the 200-day average (INR 95.29), the arrangement of a rising longer-term trend.",
     "In the upper half of its 52-week range › The price sits at 75% of its 52-week range, between INR 88.12 and INR 97.27."
    ]
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "ch-fundamentals",
   "title": "USD/INR key levels",
   "text": [
    "The figures the trade plan is built on.",
    "The averages and the year's range that USD/INR's trade plan is built on.",
    "Short-term trend: USD/INR is below its 50-day average of INR 95.69.",
    "Long-term trend: It is below its 200-day average of INR 95.29.",
    "52-week range: INR 88.12 to INR 97.27; the price sits 75% of the way up.",
    "CleaRank Financial AI's reading of USD/INR's drivers and risks.",
    "US Dollar / Indian Rupee (USD/INR) gained 7.72% across the past year, with its price moving between INR 88.12 and INR 97.27. USD/INR typically moves 0.29% on an average day, based on the 30-day standard deviation of daily returns. As a currency pair, it expresses the relative value of two currencies, so anything that shifts demand for one against the other can move it, including interest rate expectations, trade flows and risk appetite.",
    "Until the price regains its moving averages, the trend works against holders. USD/INR's average daily move is 0.29%."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "ch-analysis",
   "title": "USD/INR AI analysis and technical indicators",
   "text": [
    "CleaRank's score and reasoning, the indicators behind it, and what the price moves with.",
    "The score, the reasoning behind it, and what could move the price next.",
    "USD/INR is in a downtrend: the price of INR 94.98 sits 0.33% below its 200-day average of INR 95.29 and 0.74% below its 50-day average of INR 95.69. Even so, the pair is near the top of its 52-week range, 2.36% below the high of INR 97.27 and 7.79% above the low of INR 88.12. The 50-day average is 0.42% above the 200-day average, but the price has slipped beneath the shorter of the two. A recent pullback sits inside a stronger longer record: the price fell 0.87% over the past month, fell 0.74% over the past three months and rose 7.72% over the past year. The 14-day RSI of 42.1 is in the neutral zone, and the MACD line is negative.",
    "The price sits below both its 50-day average of INR 95.69 and its 200-day average of INR 95.29, which is why the trend reads down. A move back above the 200-day would be the first sign of repair. The 20-day EMA at INR 95.22 is the nearest level above the price. The next level below the price is the 52-week low at INR 88.12.",
    "Momentum and trend for USD/INR, from its daily closes.",
    "As of October 27, 2026, with USD/INR at INR 94.98, its 14-day RSI is 42.1 (neutral territory), its 50-day simple moving average is INR 95.69 and its 200-day is INR 95.29.",
    "Calculated by CleaRank on daily closes as of October 27, 2026: Wilder's 14-day RSI, 50- and 200-day simple moving averages, MACD line (12, 26). How we calculate these",
    "Correlation of daily returns over one year: +1 moves in step, 0 has no link, -1 moves the opposite way.",
    "As of October 27, 2026, USD/INR's 1-year correlation of daily returns is -0.19 with S&P 500 (SPY), -0.17 with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), -0.03 with Bitcoin (BTC) and -0.14 with gold (XAU)."
   ],
   "lists": {
    "items": [
     "RSI Neutral",
     "SMA cross Neutral",
     "Price vs SMA Bearish",
     "MACD Bearish"
    ]
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "ch-plan",
   "title": "USD/INR trade plan: entry, stop loss and targets",
   "text": [
    "Entry, stop and target levels from the moving averages and recent volatility. Educational, not advice.",
    "Entry, stop and target levels, sized to your account. Change the bias or the risk and every level updates.",
    "Entry at the current price",
    "With leverage, losses on USD/INR can exceed the deposit, and news can gap the price through these levels. Educational levels, not financial advice; the full disclaimer is at the foot of the page.",
    "Would this USD/INR plan have made money the last ten times?",
    "Your entry, stop and targets are set above. Replay them against USD/INR's own history and count how often the target hit before the stop.",
    "How much USD/INR tends to move, against the market and on its own."
   ],
   "lists": {
    "items": [
     "Wins vs stops",
     "Best exit",
     "Max drawdown"
    ]
   },
   "links": [
    {
     "text": "Position Size",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/tools/position-size-calculator/"
    },
    {
     "text": "Stop Loss",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/tools/stop-loss-calculator/"
    },
    {
     "text": "Risk/Reward",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/tools/risk-reward-calculator/"
    },
    {
     "text": "P&L Calculator",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/tools/profit-loss-calculator/"
    },
    {
     "text": "Trailing Stop",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/tools/trailing-stop-calculator/"
    },
    {
     "text": "Fibonacci",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/tools/fibonacci-calculator/"
    },
    {
     "text": "Pivot Points",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/tools/pivot-point-calculator/"
    },
    {
     "text": "Win Rate",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/tools/breakeven-win-rate-calculator/"
    },
    {
     "text": "Expectancy",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/tools/trade-expectancy-calculator/"
    },
    {
     "text": "Replay this plan on USD/INRStart free trial · $0 today",
     "url": "https://trade.clearank.com/portfolio/demo?utm_source=clearank&amp;utm_medium=cta&amp;utm_campaign=asset_plan&amp;utm_content=trial7"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "ch-risk",
   "title": "USD/INR price history and drawdowns",
   "text": [
    "USD/INR's worst falls and recoveries, what $10,000 became, and which months have been kind to it.",
    "What $10,000 put into USD/INR in October 2016 is worth now, against the same amount in the S&P 500.",
    "Against the market: USD/INR trailed the S&P 500 over this period: $14,226 against $35,904.",
    "A $10,000 investment in USD/INR in October 2016 would be worth about $14,226 today, compared with about $35,904 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark.",
    "Which calendar months have been kind to USD/INR, and which have not.",
    "Strongest month, September: an average of +0.73%, up in 8 of 10 years.",
    "Weakest month, November: an average of -0.21%, up in 5 of 10 years.",
    "This month, October: has averaged +0.29%, up in 7 of 9 years. Past seasonality does not repeat on schedule.",
    "Over the last 10 years, USD/INR's strongest calendar month has been September (average +0.73%, up in 8 of 10 years) and its weakest November (average -0.21%, up in 5 of 10 years).",
    "Average return for each calendar month over the last 10 years, from weekly closing prices."
   ],
   "lists": {
    "items": [
     "Average daily move under 2% › The price has moved 0.29% on an average day (30-day standard deviation of daily returns).",
     "Beat the S&P 500 since the chart begins › $10,000 invested in October 2016 is now worth $14,226, against $35,904 in the S&P 500 (SPY)."
    ]
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "ch-scenarios",
   "title": "USD/INR long-term forecast 2030",
   "text": [
    "Thousands of simulated paths from the price history. A range of outcomes, not a forecast.",
    "Thousands of simulated paths for $10,000 in USD/INR, from its own past volatility. The shaded area holds 80% of them.",
    "CleaRank's 4-year Monte Carlo simulation, based on 10 years of price history, projects that a $10,000 investment in USD/INR today could grow to about $10,000 by 2030 in the base case, with a 90th-percentile outcome near $11,302 and a 10th-percentile outcome around $8,848. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.",
    "The same simulation in prices, year by year.",
    "CleaRank's simulation projects a price near INR 94.98 for USD/INR by 2030 in the base case, from INR 94.98 today (1.0x over 4 years). The 10th-percentile path ends near INR 84.04. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on USD/INR's historical return distribution, not price targets.",
    "Method: a lognormal simulation of USD/INR's own volatility with no trend assumed, re-run daily; base case is the median path, the outer columns the 10th and 90th percentiles. How the simulation works",
    "What would USD/INR do to your portfolio?",
    "Add it to what you already hold. Ten-year backtest, the drawdown it brings, and how much of it is just the S&P in disguise."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "USD/INR simulated price paths by year",
     "columns": [
      "Year",
      "10th percentile",
      "Base case",
      "90th percentile",
      "range base today"
     ],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "2027",
       "cells": [
        "INR 89.34",
        "INR 94.98",
        "INR 101",
        ""
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2028",
       "cells": [
        "INR 87.10",
        "INR 94.98",
        "INR 104",
        ""
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2029",
       "cells": [
        "INR 85.43",
        "INR 94.98",
        "INR 106",
        ""
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2030",
       "cells": [
        "INR 84.04",
        "INR 94.98",
        "INR 107",
        ""
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ],
   "lists": {
    "items": [
     "10-year backtest",
     "Drawdown added",
     "Correlation"
    ]
   },
   "links": [
    {
     "text": "Backtest my portfolio with USD/INRStart free trial · $0 today",
     "url": "https://trade.clearank.com/portfolio/demo?utm_source=clearank&amp;utm_medium=cta&amp;utm_campaign=asset_longterm&amp;utm_content=trial7"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "ch-faq",
   "title": "USD/INR forecast: questions people ask",
   "text": [
    "Answered from the figures on this page, as of October 27, 2026."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "ch-related",
   "title": "Compare USD/INR with similar assets",
   "text": [
    "Assets people compare with this one."
   ],
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 ],
 "faq": [
  {
   "question": "Is US Dollar / Indian Rupee (USD/INR) a buy right now?",
   "answer": "A score of 49/100 gives USD/INR its Hold rating. One-year performance carries the score: the price rose 7.72% over the past year. Momentum holds the score back, because the MACD line is negative. This describes the data on this page and is not a personal recommendation."
  },
  {
   "question": "How has US Dollar / Indian Rupee (USD/INR) performed over the past year?",
   "answer": "Over the past year the price rose 7.72%. Over shorter periods it fell 0.74% in three months and fell 0.87% in the past month. It now trades 2.36% below its 52-week high of INR 97.27."
  },
  {
   "question": "What are the key price levels for USD/INR?",
   "answer": "The levels above the price are the 20-day EMA at INR 95.22 and the 200-day SMA at INR 95.29. The level below it is the 52-week low at INR 88.12."
  },
  {
   "question": "How volatile is USD/INR?",
   "answer": "On an average day, the price of USD/INR moves 0.29%, measured as the 30-day standard deviation of daily returns."
  },
  {
   "question": "What is the 52-week range of USD/INR?",
   "answer": "Over the past 52 weeks USD/INR has ranged from INR 88.12 to INR 97.27. With the price at INR 94.98, it sits at 75% of that span, 7.79% over the low and 2.36% under the high."
  },
  {
   "question": "Is USD/INR in an uptrend?",
   "answer": "No. US Dollar / Indian Rupee (USD/INR) trades at INR 94.98, below both its 50- and 200-day moving averages (INR 95.69 and INR 95.29). Its 14-day RSI on daily closes is 42.1, in neutral territory."
  },
  {
   "question": "What are USD/INR's best and worst months?",
   "answer": "Over the last 10 years, September has been USD/INR's strongest month on average (+0.73%, rising in 8 of 10 years) and November its weakest (-0.21%, rising in 5 of 10 years). Seasonal averages describe the past and do not predict a given year."
  },
  {
   "question": "How closely does USD/INR move with the stock market?",
   "answer": "Over the past year USD/INR's daily returns were weakly inversely correlated with the S&P 500 (SPY) (-0.19). Nasdaq 100 (QQQ): -0.17; Bitcoin (BTC): -0.03; Gold (XAU): -0.14. A figure near +1 means the two usually move together; near 0 means little relationship."
  },
  {
   "question": "What would $10,000 invested in USD/INR be worth today?",
   "answer": "$10,000 put into USD/INR in October 2016 would be worth about $14,226 today, against about $35,904 for the same amount in the S&P 500."
  },
  {
   "question": "What does CleaRank's simulation show for USD/INR in 2030?",
   "answer": "CleaRank's Monte Carlo simulation, built from USD/INR's own historical volatility, puts the 2030 base case near INR 94.98, with 10th and 90th percentile outcomes of INR 84.04 and INR 107.34. It is a range of simulated outcomes, not a price target."
  }
 ],
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   },
   {
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      "text": "A score of 49/100 gives USD/INR its Hold rating. One-year performance carries the score: the price rose 7.72% over the past year. Momentum holds the score back, because the MACD line is negative. This describes the data on this page and is not a personal recommendation."
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      "text": "$10,000 put into USD/INR in October 2016 would be worth about $14,226 today, against about $35,904 for the same amount in the S&P 500."
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      "text": "CleaRank's Monte Carlo simulation, built from USD/INR's own historical volatility, puts the 2030 base case near INR 94.98, with 10th and 90th percentile outcomes of INR 84.04 and INR 107.34. It is a range of simulated outcomes, not a price target."
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}