{
 "@context": "https://clearank.com/llms.txt",
 "@type": "clearank:AssetAnalysis",
 "url": "https://clearank.com/forex/usd-cnh/",
 "dataUrl": "https://clearank.com/forex/usd-cnh/data.json",
 "title": "USD/CNH Forecast 2026: Outlook, Buy or Sell & Key Levels",
 "description": "US Dollar / Chinese Yuan (USD/CNH) forecast and outlook 2026: buy or sell? CleaRank Financial AI rates it Strong Sell, 13/100. Key levels updated daily.",
 "headline": "US Dollar / Chinese Yuan Offshore (USD/CNH)",
 "published": "2026-10-25T15:05:47.560097+00:00",
 "modified": "2026-10-27T15:05:53.367+00:00",
 "generated": "2026-10-28T02:26:50.686Z",
 "language": "en-US",
 "publisher": {
  "name": "CleaRank",
  "url": "https://clearank.com/"
 },
 "disclaimer": "Educational and informational only; not financial advice. AI-generated analysis reviewed by Jacob Bakshi, Senior Market Strategist; prices delayed up to 15 minutes.",
 "asset": {
  "ticker": "USD/CNH",
  "name": "US Dollar / Chinese Yuan Offshore",
  "type": "Physical Currency",
  "exchange": "FOREX",
  "currency": "CNH ",
  "sector": "Currency",
  "industry": "Foreign Exchange",
  "country": null,
  "website": null
 },
 "quote": {
  "price": 6.66,
  "previousClose": 6.67,
  "change": -0.00325,
  "changePercent": -0.04874,
  "open": 6.66757,
  "high": 6.67076,
  "low": 6.66399,
  "volume": null,
  "averageVolume": null,
  "marketCap": null,
  "fiftyTwoWeekHigh": 7.13822,
  "fiftyTwoWeekLow": 6.63237,
  "marketOpen": true,
  "asOf": "2026-10-27T15:05:53.000Z"
 },
 "statistics": {
  "pe": "N/A",
  "eps": null,
  "dividendYield": null,
  "beta": null,
  "priceToSales": null,
  "priceToBook": null,
  "revenueTtm": null,
  "grossMargin": null,
  "returnOnEquity": null
 },
 "technicals": {
  "rsi": 29.23,
  "macd": -0.01027,
  "sma50": 6.7,
  "sma200": 6.76,
  "rsiSignal": "Oversold",
  "trend": "Neutral",
  "pricePosition": "Bearish",
  "macdSignal": "Bearish",
  "rating": "Neutral"
 },
 "analysis": {
  "rating": "Strong Sell",
  "score": 13,
  "consensus": "Strong Sell",
  "fairValue": null,
  "analystTarget": null,
  "analystCount": null,
  "wallStreetConsensus": null,
  "generatedAt": "2026-10-27T15:05:53.000Z",
  "priceAtAnalysis": 6.66447,
  "volatility": {
   "daily": 0.06635,
   "risk": "forex"
  }
 },
 "tradePlan": {
  "bias": "Bearish",
  "conservativeEntry": 6.8,
  "aggressiveEntry": 6.66,
  "stopLoss": 7.02,
  "stopLossPercent": 3.3,
  "targets": [
   6.46,
   6.12,
   5.78
  ]
 },
 "projections": {
  "basis": "Monte Carlo simulation on historical return distribution, re-run daily; not price targets",
  "years": [
   {
    "year": 2027,
    "downside10th": 6.28,
    "base": 6.66,
    "upside90th": 7.07
   },
   {
    "year": 2028,
    "downside10th": 6.13,
    "base": 6.66,
    "upside90th": 7.25
   },
   {
    "year": 2029,
    "downside10th": 6.01,
    "base": 6.66,
    "upside90th": 7.39
   },
   {
    "year": 2030,
    "downside10th": 5.92,
    "base": 6.66,
    "upside90th": 7.5
   }
  ]
 },
 "faqCount": 10,
 "atAGlance": {
  "asOf": "October 27, 2026",
  "rating": "Strong Sell",
  "score": 13,
  "evidence": [
   {
    "label": "Trend",
    "text": "Down: the price is below both its 50- and 200-day moving averages (CNH 6.70 and CNH 6.76)."
   },
   {
    "label": "Volatility",
    "text": "Daily moves average 0.07% (30-day standard deviation)."
   }
  ]
 },
 "figures": {
  "asOf": "October 27, 2026",
  "earningsReaction": null,
  "insiders": null,
  "drawdown": null,
  "seasonality": {
   "years": 10,
   "bestMonth": {
    "month": "May",
    "averagePercent": 0.471,
    "upYearsPercent": 50
   },
   "worstMonth": {
    "month": "Jan",
    "averagePercent": -1.11,
    "upYearsPercent": 10
   }
  },
  "correlations": null,
  "analystTargets": null,
  "dividend": null,
  "simulation": {
   "year": 2030,
   "base": 6.66,
   "percentile10": 5.92,
   "percentile90": 7.5,
   "note": "Monte Carlo simulation outcomes, not price targets"
  }
 },
 "sources": [
  "TwelveData"
 ],
 "sections": [
  {
   "id": "ch-overview",
   "title": "USD/CNH forecast today",
   "text": [
    "Where USD/CNH stands today, and what CleaRank Financial AI makes of it.",
    "US Dollar / Chinese Yuan Offshore (USD/CNH): Strong Sell, 13/100 on CleaRank's AI score.",
    "Figures as of October 27, 2026.",
    "CleaRank rates US Dollar / Chinese Yuan Offshore (USD/CNH) Strong Sell, with a model score of 13/100. The trend holds it back most: the price is 1.41% below its 200-day average and 0.51% below its 50-day average, and the 50-day average is 0.90% below the 200-day. The 50-day average stands at CNH 6.6989 and the 200-day at CNH 6.7600.",
    "Figures we compute ourselves from USD/CNH's own price history. Tap one to see it in context."
   ],
   "lists": {
    "USD/CNH at a glance": [
     "Trend Down: the price is below both its 50- and 200-day moving averages (CNH 6.70 and CNH 6.76).",
     "Volatility Daily moves average 0.07% (30-day standard deviation)."
    ]
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "ch-price",
   "title": "USD/CNH price and trading",
   "text": [
    "The chart, today's range and how far the price has moved over each period.",
    "Pick a period: each tab shows how far USD/CNH has moved over it, to the last close.",
    "Where USD/CNH sits inside today's range and its 52-week range."
   ],
   "lists": {
    "items": [
     "Price above its 50-day average › The price of CNH 6.66 is 0.5% below the 50-day simple moving average of CNH 6.70.",
     "Price above its 200-day average › The price is 1.4% below the 200-day simple moving average of CNH 6.76.",
     "50-day average above the 200-day › The 50-day average (CNH 6.70) is 0.9% below the 200-day average (CNH 6.76), the arrangement of a falling longer-term trend.",
     "In the upper half of its 52-week range › The price sits at 6% of its 52-week range, between CNH 6.63 and CNH 7.14."
    ]
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "ch-fundamentals",
   "title": "USD/CNH key levels",
   "text": [
    "The figures the trade plan is built on.",
    "The averages and the year's range that USD/CNH's trade plan is built on.",
    "Short-term trend: USD/CNH is below its 50-day average of CNH 6.6989.",
    "Long-term trend: It is below its 200-day average of CNH 6.7600.",
    "52-week range: CNH 6.6324 to CNH 7.1382; the price sits 6% of the way up.",
    "CleaRank Financial AI's reading of USD/CNH's drivers and risks.",
    "Across the last twelve months, US Dollar / Chinese Yuan Offshore (USD/CNH) lost 6.24%, with its price moving between CNH 6.6324 and CNH 7.1382. Its average daily move is 0.07%, measured as the 30-day standard deviation of daily returns. As a currency pair, USD/CNH reflects the relative value of two currencies, so it responds to anything that changes demand for one against the other, such as interest rate expectations, trade flows and risk appetite.",
    "Until the price regains its moving averages, the trend works against holders. Normal swings for USD/CNH run at about 0.07% a day. The one-year record is a loss of 6.24%."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "ch-analysis",
   "title": "USD/CNH AI analysis and technical indicators",
   "text": [
    "CleaRank's score and reasoning, the indicators behind it, and what the price moves with.",
    "The score, the reasoning behind it, and what could move the price next.",
    "USD/CNH is in a downtrend. The price of CNH 6.6645 sits 1.41% below its 200-day average of CNH 6.7600, and it is also 0.51% below its 50-day average of CNH 6.6989. Near the floor of its 52-week range, the price is 0.48% above the low of CNH 6.6324 and 6.64% below the high of CNH 7.1382. The 14-day RSI of 29.2 is in oversold territory, and the MACD line is negative. The recent returns are all negative: the price fell 1.58% over the past three months, fell 2.57% over the past six months and fell 6.24% over the past year.",
    "The price is below both the 50-day average of CNH 6.6989 and the 200-day average of CNH 6.7600, and that positioning is why the trend reads down. A recovery back above the 50-day would be the first sign of repair. Just above the price, the 20-day EMA sits at CNH 6.6809, which is the first level a rise would meet. The 52-week low at CNH 6.6324 is the next level below. Momentum is washed out, with the RSI below the oversold line; a turn back above it would be an early sign of stabilising.",
    "Momentum and trend for USD/CNH, from its daily closes.",
    "As of October 27, 2026, with USD/CNH at CNH 6.66, its 14-day RSI is 29.2 (oversold territory), its 50-day simple moving average is CNH 6.70 and its 200-day is CNH 6.76.",
    "Calculated by CleaRank on daily closes as of October 27, 2026: Wilder's 14-day RSI, 50- and 200-day simple moving averages, MACD line (12, 26). How we calculate these",
    "Correlation of daily returns over one year: +1 moves in step, 0 has no link, -1 moves the opposite way.",
    "As of October 27, 2026, USD/CNH's 1-year correlation of daily returns is -0.33 with S&P 500 (SPY), -0.33 with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), -0.20 with Bitcoin (BTC) and -0.25 with gold (XAU)."
   ],
   "lists": {
    "items": [
     "RSI Oversold",
     "SMA cross Neutral",
     "Price vs SMA Bearish",
     "MACD Bearish"
    ]
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "ch-plan",
   "title": "USD/CNH trade plan: entry, stop loss and targets",
   "text": [
    "Entry, stop and target levels from the moving averages and recent volatility. Educational, not advice.",
    "Entry, stop and target levels, sized to your account. Change the bias or the risk and every level updates.",
    "Lower risk, wait for rally",
    "Higher risk, chasing the move",
    "With leverage, losses on USD/CNH can exceed the deposit, and news can gap the price through these levels. Educational levels, not financial advice; the full disclaimer is at the foot of the page.",
    "Would this USD/CNH plan have made money the last ten times?",
    "Your entry, stop and targets are set above. Replay them against USD/CNH's own history and count how often the target hit before the stop.",
    "How much USD/CNH tends to move, against the market and on its own."
   ],
   "lists": {
    "items": [
     "Wins vs stops",
     "Best exit",
     "Max drawdown"
    ]
   },
   "links": [
    {
     "text": "Position Size",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/tools/position-size-calculator/"
    },
    {
     "text": "Stop Loss",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/tools/stop-loss-calculator/"
    },
    {
     "text": "Risk/Reward",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/tools/risk-reward-calculator/"
    },
    {
     "text": "P&L Calculator",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/tools/profit-loss-calculator/"
    },
    {
     "text": "Trailing Stop",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/tools/trailing-stop-calculator/"
    },
    {
     "text": "Fibonacci",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/tools/fibonacci-calculator/"
    },
    {
     "text": "Pivot Points",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/tools/pivot-point-calculator/"
    },
    {
     "text": "Win Rate",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/tools/breakeven-win-rate-calculator/"
    },
    {
     "text": "Expectancy",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/tools/trade-expectancy-calculator/"
    },
    {
     "text": "Replay this plan on USD/CNHStart free trial · $0 today",
     "url": "https://trade.clearank.com/portfolio/demo?utm_source=clearank&amp;utm_medium=cta&amp;utm_campaign=asset_plan&amp;utm_content=trial7"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "ch-risk",
   "title": "USD/CNH price history and drawdowns",
   "text": [
    "USD/CNH's worst falls and recoveries, what $10,000 became, and which months have been kind to it.",
    "What $10,000 put into USD/CNH in October 2016 is worth now, against the same amount in the S&P 500.",
    "Against the market: USD/CNH trailed the S&P 500 over this period: $9,812.11 against $35,904.",
    "A $10,000 investment in USD/CNH in October 2016 would be worth about $9,812 today, compared with about $35,904 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark.",
    "Which calendar months have been kind to USD/CNH, and which have not.",
    "Strongest month, May: an average of +0.47%, up in 5 of 10 years.",
    "Weakest month, January: an average of -1.11%, up in 1 of 10 years.",
    "This month, October: has averaged +0.17%, up in 4 of 9 years. Past seasonality does not repeat on schedule.",
    "Over the last 10 years, USD/CNH's strongest calendar month has been May (average +0.47%, up in 5 of 10 years) and its weakest January (average -1.11%, up in 1 of 10 years).",
    "Average return for each calendar month over the last 10 years, from weekly closing prices."
   ],
   "lists": {
    "items": [
     "Average daily move under 2% › The price has moved 0.07% on an average day (30-day standard deviation of daily returns).",
     "Beat the S&P 500 since the chart begins › $10,000 invested in October 2016 is now worth $9,812, against $35,904 in the S&P 500 (SPY)."
    ]
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "ch-scenarios",
   "title": "USD/CNH long-term forecast 2030",
   "text": [
    "Thousands of simulated paths from the price history. A range of outcomes, not a forecast.",
    "Thousands of simulated paths for $10,000 in USD/CNH, from its own past volatility. The shaded area holds 80% of them.",
    "CleaRank's 4-year Monte Carlo simulation, based on 10 years of price history, projects that a $10,000 investment in USD/CNH today could grow to about $10,000 by 2030 in the base case, with a 90th-percentile outcome near $11,259 and a 10th-percentile outcome around $8,881. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.",
    "The same simulation in prices, year by year.",
    "CleaRank's simulation projects a price near CNH 6.66 for USD/CNH by 2030 in the base case, from CNH 6.66 today (1.0x over 4 years). The 10th-percentile path ends near CNH 5.92. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on USD/CNH's historical return distribution, not price targets.",
    "Method: a lognormal simulation of USD/CNH's own volatility with no trend assumed, re-run daily; base case is the median path, the outer columns the 10th and 90th percentiles. How the simulation works",
    "What would USD/CNH do to your portfolio?",
    "Add it to what you already hold. Ten-year backtest, the drawdown it brings, and how much of it is just the S&P in disguise."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "USD/CNH simulated price paths by year",
     "columns": [
      "Year",
      "10th percentile",
      "Base case",
      "90th percentile",
      "range base today"
     ],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "2027",
       "cells": [
        "CNH 6.28",
        "CNH 6.66",
        "CNH 7.07",
        ""
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2028",
       "cells": [
        "CNH 6.13",
        "CNH 6.66",
        "CNH 7.25",
        ""
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2029",
       "cells": [
        "CNH 6.01",
        "CNH 6.66",
        "CNH 7.39",
        ""
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2030",
       "cells": [
        "CNH 5.92",
        "CNH 6.66",
        "CNH 7.50",
        ""
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ],
   "lists": {
    "items": [
     "10-year backtest",
     "Drawdown added",
     "Correlation"
    ]
   },
   "links": [
    {
     "text": "Backtest my portfolio with USD/CNHStart free trial · $0 today",
     "url": "https://trade.clearank.com/portfolio/demo?utm_source=clearank&amp;utm_medium=cta&amp;utm_campaign=asset_longterm&amp;utm_content=trial7"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "ch-faq",
   "title": "USD/CNH forecast: questions people ask",
   "text": [
    "Answered from the figures on this page, as of October 27, 2026."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "ch-related",
   "title": "Compare USD/CNH with similar assets",
   "text": [
    "Assets people compare with this one."
   ],
   "links": [
    {
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    {
     "text": "GBP/JPY British Pound / Japanese Yen ¥210.17 0.00%",
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    },
    {
     "text": "AUD/NZD Australian Dollar / New Zealand Dollar NZD 1.2349 -0.02%",
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    },
    {
     "text": "GBP/USD British Pound / US Dollar $1.3330 -0.12%",
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    },
    {
     "text": "AUD/JPY Australian Dollar / Japanese Yen ¥111.06 +0.47%",
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    },
    {
     "text": "EUR/JPY Euro / Japanese Yen ¥175.94 -0.06%",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/forex/eur-jpy/"
    },
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   ]
  }
 ],
 "faq": [
  {
   "question": "Is US Dollar / Chinese Yuan Offshore (USD/CNH) a buy right now?",
   "answer": "A score of 13/100 gives USD/CNH its Strong Sell rating. The trend holds the score back, because the price is 1.41% below its 200-day average and 0.51% below its 50-day average, and the 50-day average is 0.90% below the 200-day. This describes the data on this page and is not a personal recommendation."
  },
  {
   "question": "How has US Dollar / Chinese Yuan Offshore (USD/CNH) performed over the past year?",
   "answer": "Over the past year the price fell 6.24%. Over shorter periods it fell 1.58% in three months and fell 0.88% in the past month. It now trades 6.64% below its 52-week high of CNH 7.1382."
  },
  {
   "question": "What are the key price levels for USD/CNH?",
   "answer": "Overhead, the first hurdle is the 20-day EMA at CNH 6.6809, followed by the 50-day SMA at CNH 6.6989. On the downside, the 52-week low at CNH 6.6324 is the level to watch."
  },
  {
   "question": "How volatile is USD/CNH?",
   "answer": "On an average day, USD/CNH's price changes by 0.07%, based on the 30-day standard deviation of daily returns."
  },
  {
   "question": "What is the 52-week range of USD/CNH?",
   "answer": "Over the last 52 weeks, USD/CNH has moved between CNH 6.6324 and CNH 7.1382. The price of CNH 6.6645 sits at 6% of that span, 0.48% above the low and 6.64% under the high."
  },
  {
   "question": "Is USD/CNH in an uptrend?",
   "answer": "No. US Dollar / Chinese Yuan Offshore (USD/CNH) trades at CNH 6.66, below both its 50- and 200-day moving averages (CNH 6.70 and CNH 6.76). Its 14-day RSI on daily closes is 29.2, in oversold territory."
  },
  {
   "question": "What are USD/CNH's best and worst months?",
   "answer": "Over the last 10 years, May has been USD/CNH's strongest month on average (+0.47%, rising in 5 of 10 years) and January its weakest (-1.11%, rising in 1 of 10 years). Seasonal averages describe the past and do not predict a given year."
  },
  {
   "question": "How closely does USD/CNH move with the stock market?",
   "answer": "Over the past year USD/CNH's daily returns were weakly inversely correlated with the S&P 500 (SPY) (-0.33). Nasdaq 100 (QQQ): -0.33; Bitcoin (BTC): -0.20; Gold (XAU): -0.25. A figure near +1 means the two usually move together; near 0 means little relationship."
  },
  {
   "question": "What would $10,000 invested in USD/CNH be worth today?",
   "answer": "$10,000 put into USD/CNH in October 2016 would be worth about $9,812 today, against about $35,904 for the same amount in the S&P 500."
  },
  {
   "question": "What does CleaRank's simulation show for USD/CNH in 2030?",
   "answer": "CleaRank's Monte Carlo simulation, built from USD/CNH's own historical volatility, puts the 2030 base case near CNH 6.66, with 10th and 90th percentile outcomes of CNH 5.92 and CNH 7.50. It is a range of simulated outcomes, not a price target."
  }
 ],
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    "ticker": "XAU/USD vs XPT/USD Comparison",
    "name": "",
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      "text": "A score of 13/100 gives USD/CNH its Strong Sell rating. The trend holds the score back, because the price is 1.41% below its 200-day average and 0.51% below its 50-day average, and the 50-day average is 0.90% below the 200-day. This describes the data on this page and is not a personal recommendation."
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      "text": "Over the past year USD/CNH's daily returns were weakly inversely correlated with the S&P 500 (SPY) (-0.33). Nasdaq 100 (QQQ): -0.33; Bitcoin (BTC): -0.20; Gold (XAU): -0.25. A figure near +1 means the two usually move together; near 0 means little relationship."
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      "text": "$10,000 put into USD/CNH in October 2016 would be worth about $9,812 today, against about $35,904 for the same amount in the S&P 500."
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      "text": "CleaRank's Monte Carlo simulation, built from USD/CNH's own historical volatility, puts the 2030 base case near CNH 6.66, with 10th and 90th percentile outcomes of CNH 5.92 and CNH 7.50. It is a range of simulated outcomes, not a price target."
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