{
 "@context": "https://clearank.com/llms.txt",
 "@type": "clearank:AssetAnalysis",
 "url": "https://clearank.com/forex/aud-jpy/",
 "dataUrl": "https://clearank.com/forex/aud-jpy/data.json",
 "title": "AUD/JPY Forecast & Price Target (2026)",
 "description": "AI analysis of AUD/JPY forex pair. Real-time exchange-rate data, technical indicators & daily forecasts. Updated daily.",
 "headline": "Australian Dollar / Japanese Yen (AUD/JPY)",
 "published": "2026-06-17T09:18:17+00:00",
 "modified": "2026-09-28T11:11:44.296+00:00",
 "generated": "2026-09-28T12:02:40.316Z",
 "language": "en-US",
 "publisher": {
  "name": "CleaRank",
  "url": "https://clearank.com/"
 },
 "disclaimer": "Educational and informational only; not financial advice. AI-generated analysis reviewed by the CleaRank editorial team; prices delayed up to 15 minutes.",
 "asset": {
  "ticker": "AUD/JPY",
  "name": "Australian Dollar / Japanese Yen",
  "type": "Physical Currency",
  "exchange": "Forex",
  "currency": "¥",
  "sector": "Currency",
  "industry": "Foreign Exchange",
  "country": null,
  "website": null
 },
 "quote": {
  "price": 110.13,
  "previousClose": 110.33,
  "change": -0.2,
  "changePercent": -0.18,
  "open": 110.31359,
  "high": 110.88878,
  "low": 109.87846,
  "volume": null,
  "averageVolume": null,
  "marketCap": null,
  "fiftyTwoWeekHigh": 114.96483,
  "fiftyTwoWeekLow": 105.21088,
  "marketOpen": true,
  "asOf": "2026-09-28T11:11:44.000Z"
 },
 "statistics": {
  "pe": "N/A",
  "eps": null,
  "dividendYield": null,
  "beta": null,
  "priceToSales": null,
  "priceToBook": null,
  "revenueTtm": null,
  "grossMargin": null,
  "returnOnEquity": null
 },
 "technicals": {
  "rsi": 49.08,
  "macd": -0.45,
  "sma50": 112.33,
  "sma200": 112.62,
  "rsiSignal": "Neutral",
  "trend": "Neutral",
  "pricePosition": "Bearish",
  "macdSignal": "Bearish",
  "rating": "Bearish"
 },
 "analysis": {
  "rating": "Sell",
  "score": 35,
  "consensus": "Sell",
  "fairValue": null,
  "analystTarget": 112.62,
  "analystCount": null,
  "wallStreetConsensus": null,
  "generatedAt": "2026-09-28T11:11:44.000Z",
  "priceAtAnalysis": 110.13279,
  "volatility": {
   "daily": 0.41,
   "risk": "forex"
  }
 },
 "tradePlan": {
  "bias": "Bearish",
  "conservativeEntry": 112.34,
  "aggressiveEntry": 110.13,
  "stopLoss": 115.71,
  "stopLossPercent": 3,
  "targets": [
   106.72,
   101.1,
   95.49
  ]
 },
 "projections": {
  "basis": "Monte Carlo simulation on historical return distribution, re-run daily; not price targets",
  "years": [
   {
    "year": 2027,
    "downside10th": 101.39,
    "base": 115.71,
    "upside90th": 132.05
   },
   {
    "year": 2028,
    "downside10th": 100.85,
    "base": 121.56,
    "upside90th": 146.53
   },
   {
    "year": 2029,
    "downside10th": 101.59,
    "base": 127.71,
    "upside90th": 160.54
   },
   {
    "year": 2030,
    "downside10th": 103.02,
    "base": 134.17,
    "upside90th": 174.74
   },
   {
    "year": 2031,
    "downside10th": 104.91,
    "base": 140.96,
    "upside90th": 189.4
   },
   {
    "year": 2032,
    "downside10th": 107.16,
    "base": 148.1,
    "upside90th": 204.68
   },
   {
    "year": 2033,
    "downside10th": 109.7,
    "base": 155.59,
    "upside90th": 220.68
   },
   {
    "year": 2034,
    "downside10th": 112.5,
    "base": 163.46,
    "upside90th": 237.51
   },
   {
    "year": 2035,
    "downside10th": 115.54,
    "base": 171.73,
    "upside90th": 255.25
   },
   {
    "year": 2036,
    "downside10th": 118.82,
    "base": 180.42,
    "upside90th": 273.97
   }
  ]
 },
 "faqCount": 7,
 "sources": [
  "TwelveData",
  "Wall Street consensus"
 ],
 "sections": [
  {
   "id": "price",
   "title": "AUD/JPY Price Analysis"
  },
  {
   "id": "market-metrics",
   "title": "Market Metrics",
   "facts": {
    "Open": "¥110.31",
    "Day Range": "¥109.88 to ¥110.89",
    "Prev Close": "¥110.33",
    "52-Week Range": "¥105.21 to ¥114.96"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "analysis",
   "title": "AUD/JPY Analysis",
   "text": [
    "The AUD/JPY is currently trading below its 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) of 112.33 and its 200-day SMA of 112.62, indicating a bearish trend. The 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at 111.20 also acts as resistance, reinforcing the downward pressure.Nearest support is seen at the current price level, with significant resistance found at the 50-day SMA (112.33) and the 200-day SMA (112.62). The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 49.08, which is in neutral territory but suggests a lack of strong buying conviction. The Stochastic indicator is at 9.32, indicating oversold conditions, which could precede a short-term bounce, but the overall trend remains bearish.",
    "The outlook for AUD/JPY over the next 6-12 months is cautiously bearish. The divergence in monetary policy, with the BOJ normalizing and the RBA facing domestic constraints, is expected to persist. This fundamental backdrop suggests continued pressure on the Australian Dollar against the Japanese Yen.Key levels to watch include the 50-day SMA at 112.33 and the 200-day SMA at 112.62, which are expected to act as significant resistance. A sustained break below the current price levels could lead to further downside towards the 103.02 level projected by long-range simulations. A significant shift in either central bank's policy stance or a major geopolitical event could alter this outlook."
   ],
   "lists": {
    "ProTips": [
     "Monitor upcoming inflation and employment data from both Australia and Japan closely.",
     "Pay attention to any forward guidance from the RBA and BOJ regarding future interest rate decisions.",
     "Watch for shifts in global risk sentiment, which can impact commodity currencies like the AUD."
    ]
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "correlations",
   "title": "Market Correlations",
   "text": [
    "How this forex pair moves relative to other assets",
    "Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods."
   ],
   "facts": {
    "Correlation with S&P 500 (SPY)": "+0.56",
    "Correlation with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)": "+0.56",
    "Correlation with Bitcoin (BTC)": "+0.26",
    "Correlation with Gold (XAU)": "+0.16"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "key-statistics",
   "title": "Key Statistics",
   "text": [
    "The divergence in central bank policy between Japan and Australia is a key driver for the AUD/JPY pair. The Bank of Japan's recent move away from negative interest rates and yield-curve control signals a tightening bias, which typically supports the Yen. This policy shift is based on signs of sustainable inflation and wage growth in Japan.Conversely, Australia's economic performance presents a mixed picture. While inflation remains a concern, slowing domestic growth and potential headwinds from global demand could constrain the Reserve Bank of Australia's aggressive policy tightening options. This policy divergence creates a fundamental basis for Yen strength against the Australian Dollar.",
    "Recent economic releases from Australia have indicated a slowdown in key sectors, impacting the outlook for the Australian Dollar. Inflationary pressures persist, but the pace of economic activity may limit the RBA's room for further significant rate hikes. Employment data will be closely watched for signs of labor market resilience or deterioration.In Japan, recent data has shown some signs of economic recovery, supporting the BOJ's decision to normalize monetary policy. Continued positive inflation and wage growth figures would further solidify the case for higher Japanese interest rates, providing underlying support for the Yen.",
    "A primary risk to this bearish outlook is a sudden shift in RBA policy towards more aggressive tightening, perhaps driven by unexpectedly high inflation prints. Geopolitical events that disrupt global trade or commodity markets could also impact AUD/JPY, potentially leading to increased volatility.Intervention by Japanese authorities to curb excessive Yen weakness, though less likely given recent policy shifts, remains a tail risk. Unexpectedly strong Australian economic data could also challenge the current bearish thesis."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "",
     "columns": [],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "AUD/JPY is analysed on price action, rate differentials and macro flows: 50-day average ¥112.33, 200-day average ¥112.62, RSI 49. The trade plan below is built on these levels.",
       "cells": []
      },
      {
       "label": "52 Week High",
       "cells": [
        "114.96"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "52 Week Low",
       "cells": [
        "105.21"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "technical-indicators",
   "title": "Technical Indicators",
   "text": [
    "Technical Rating Bearish RSI Neutral SMA Cross Neutral Price vs SMA Bearish MACD Bearish Price is trading below the 50-day SMA."
   ],
   "facts": {
    "RSI": "Neutral",
    "SMA Cross": "Neutral",
    "Price vs SMA": "Bearish",
    "MACD": "Bearish"
   },
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "",
     "columns": [],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "RSI (14)",
       "cells": [
        "49.08"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "MACD",
       "cells": [
        "-0.45"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "SMA 50",
       "cells": [
        "112.33"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "SMA 200",
       "cells": [
        "112.62"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "trade-plans",
   "title": "AUD/JPY Trade Plans",
   "text": [
    "Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels",
    "Lower risk, wait for rally",
    "Higher risk, chasing the move",
    "Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss Calculated based on RSI (49.1) and current market volatility",
    "Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3"
   ],
   "facts": {
    "TARGET 1": "¥106.72",
    "TARGET 2": "¥101.10",
    "TARGET 3": "¥95.49",
    "STOP LOSS": "¥115.71"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "seasonality",
   "title": "Seasonal Patterns",
   "text": [
    "Historical monthly performance trends",
    "Based on 3 years of historical monthly returns"
   ],
   "facts": {
    "Average Jan return": "+0.35%",
    "Average Feb return": "-0.28%",
    "Average Mar return": "-0.42%",
    "Average Apr return": "+1.10%",
    "Average May return": "+0.37%",
    "Average Jun return": "+1.38%",
    "Average Jul return": "-0.68%",
    "Average Aug return": "+0.60%",
    "Average Sep return": "+0.09%",
    "Average Oct return": "+1.12%",
    "Average Nov return": "+0.13%",
    "Average Dec return": "+0.37%"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "risk",
   "title": "Risk & Volatility",
   "facts": {
    "Daily Volatility": "0.41%"
   },
   "lists": {
    "Risk considerations": [
     "Monitor position sizing based on current volatility levels",
     "Consider stop-loss placement beyond recent price range",
     "Diversification helps mitigate single-stock risk exposure"
    ]
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "growth",
   "title": "Growth of $10,000",
   "text": [
    "A $10,000 investment in AUD/JPY in September 2016 would be worth about $14,247 today, compared with about $35,605 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "monte-carlo",
   "title": "Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)",
   "text": [
    "CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in AUD/JPY today could grow to about $16,382 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $24,877 and a bear case around $10,788. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "price-prediction",
   "title": "AUD/JPY Price Prediction: 2030",
   "text": [
    "CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $134 for AUD/JPY by 2030 in the base case, from $110 today (1.2x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $103. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on AUD/JPY's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.",
    "Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using AUD/JPY's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "AUD/JPY simulated price paths by year",
     "columns": [
      "Year",
      "Downside (10th pct)",
      "Base case",
      "Upside (90th pct)"
     ],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "2027",
       "cells": [
        "$101",
        "$116",
        "$132"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2028",
       "cells": [
        "$101",
        "$122",
        "$147"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2029",
       "cells": [
        "$102",
        "$128",
        "$161"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2030",
       "cells": [
        "$103",
        "$134",
        "$175"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2031",
       "cells": [
        "$105",
        "$141",
        "$189"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2032",
       "cells": [
        "$107",
        "$148",
        "$205"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2033",
       "cells": [
        "$110",
        "$156",
        "$221"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2034",
       "cells": [
        "$112",
        "$163",
        "$238"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2035",
       "cells": [
        "$116",
        "$172",
        "$255"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2036",
       "cells": [
        "$119",
        "$180",
        "$274"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "people-also-watch",
   "title": "People Also Watch",
   "links": [
    {
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     "url": "https://clearank.com/forex/eur-usd/"
    },
    {
     "text": "USD/CHF US Dollar / Swiss Franc ¥0.8304 +0.21%",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/forex/usd-chf/"
    },
    {
     "text": "CAD/JPY Canadian Dollar / Japanese Yen ¥111.34 +0.13%",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/forex/cad-jpy/"
    },
    {
     "text": "CHF/JPY Swiss Franc / Japanese Yen ¥189.73 -0.03%",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/forex/chf-jpy/"
    },
    {
     "text": "EUR/GBP Euro / British Pound ¥0.8580 -0.31%",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/forex/eur-gbp/"
    },
    {
     "text": "NZD/USD New Zealand Dollar / US Dollar ¥0.5663 +0.05%",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/forex/nzd-usd/"
    },
    {
     "text": "USD/CAD US Dollar / Canadian Dollar ¥1.42 +0.07%",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/forex/usd-cad/"
    },
    {
     "text": "GBP/CHF British Pound / Swiss Franc ¥1.10 +0.01%",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/forex/gbp-chf/"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "related-comparisons",
   "title": "Popular Comparisons",
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  },
  {
   "id": "faq",
   "title": "Frequently Asked Questions"
  }
 ],
 "faq": [
  {
   "question": "What is the outlook for AUD/JPY in September 2026?",
   "answer": "In September 2026, AUD/JPY is trading at 110.13. The outlook is bearish, influenced by diverging central bank policies and technical indicators suggesting further downside."
  },
  {
   "question": "Why is the Bank of Japan ending negative interest rates?",
   "answer": "The Bank of Japan ended negative interest rates and yield-curve control due to signs of sustainable inflation and wage growth, signaling a move towards monetary policy normalization."
  },
  {
   "question": "What are the key technical levels for AUD/JPY?",
   "answer": "The AUD/JPY is currently below resistance at its 50-day SMA of 112.33 and its 200-day SMA of 112.62. The 20-day EMA at 111.20 also acts as resistance."
  },
  {
   "question": "How do central bank policies affect AUD/JPY?",
   "answer": "Diverging central bank policies are a major driver. A more hawkish stance from the Bank of Japan, compared to potential constraints on the Reserve Bank of Australia, creates a fundamental basis for Yen strength against the Australian Dollar."
  },
  {
   "question": "What are the main risks for the AUD/JPY?",
   "answer": "Key risks include unexpected RBA policy tightening, geopolitical events impacting commodity markets, or potential intervention by Japanese authorities."
  },
  {
   "question": "What are the long-range projections for AUD/JPY?",
   "answer": "Based on Monte Carlo simulations for 2030, the base price projection for AUD/JPY is 134.17, with a downside price of 103.02 and an upside price of 174.74. These are statistical simulation outcomes, not price targets or guarantees."
  },
  {
   "question": "What is the current RSI status for AUD/JPY?",
   "answer": "The current RSI for AUD/JPY is 49.08, which is interpreted as neutral momentum."
  }
 ],
 "related": {
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    "name": "Euro / US Dollar",
    "price": "¥1.14",
    "change": "-0.03%",
    "url": "https://clearank.com/forex/eur-usd/"
   },
   {
    "ticker": "USD/CHF",
    "name": "US Dollar / Swiss Franc",
    "price": "¥0.8304",
    "change": "+0.21%",
    "url": "https://clearank.com/forex/usd-chf/"
   },
   {
    "ticker": "CAD/JPY",
    "name": "Canadian Dollar / Japanese Yen",
    "price": "¥111.34",
    "change": "+0.13%",
    "url": "https://clearank.com/forex/cad-jpy/"
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   {
    "ticker": "CHF/JPY",
    "name": "Swiss Franc / Japanese Yen",
    "price": "¥189.73",
    "change": "-0.03%",
    "url": "https://clearank.com/forex/chf-jpy/"
   },
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    "ticker": "EUR/GBP",
    "name": "Euro / British Pound",
    "price": "¥0.8580",
    "change": "-0.31%",
    "url": "https://clearank.com/forex/eur-gbp/"
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    "ticker": "NZD/USD",
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    "url": "https://clearank.com/forex/chf-jpy/"
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    "ticker": "EUR/AUD",
    "text": "EUR/AUD Forex Pair",
    "url": "https://clearank.com/forex/eur-aud/"
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 },
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