{
 "@context": "https://clearank.com/llms.txt",
 "@type": "clearank:AssetAnalysis",
 "url": "https://clearank.com/etf/yieldmax-mstr-option-income-msty/",
 "dataUrl": "https://clearank.com/etf/yieldmax-mstr-option-income-msty/data.json",
 "title": "MSTY ETF Forecast & Price Prediction 2026",
 "description": "MSTY ETF forecast 2026: is YieldMax MSTR Option Income Strategy ETF a buy? CleaRank Financial AI rates it Strong Sell, 15/100, with a 1.03% expense ratio.",
 "headline": "YieldMax MSTR Option Income Strategy ETF (MSTY)",
 "published": "2026-10-25T15:24:08.021486+00:00",
 "modified": "2026-10-27T21:06:29.05+00:00",
 "generated": "2026-10-28T03:26:58.027Z",
 "language": "en-US",
 "publisher": {
  "name": "CleaRank",
  "url": "https://clearank.com/"
 },
 "disclaimer": "Educational and informational only; not financial advice. AI-generated analysis reviewed by Kate Leaman, Financial Journalist and Market Analyst; prices delayed up to 15 minutes.",
 "asset": {
  "ticker": "MSTY",
  "name": "YieldMax MSTR Option Income Strategy ETF",
  "type": "ETF",
  "exchange": "NYSE",
  "currency": "USD",
  "sector": null,
  "industry": null,
  "country": "United States",
  "website": null
 },
 "quote": {
  "price": 14.08,
  "previousClose": 13.93,
  "change": 0.15,
  "changePercent": 1.08,
  "open": 13.97,
  "high": 14.13,
  "low": 13.84,
  "volume": 38462,
  "averageVolume": 2123976,
  "marketCap": 0,
  "fiftyTwoWeekHigh": 58.425,
  "fiftyTwoWeekLow": 11.53,
  "marketOpen": false,
  "asOf": "2026-10-27T21:06:28.000Z"
 },
 "statistics": {
  "pe": null,
  "eps": null,
  "dividendYield": 0.20198863636363634,
  "beta": null,
  "priceToSales": null,
  "priceToBook": null,
  "revenueTtm": 0,
  "grossMargin": null,
  "returnOnEquity": null
 },
 "technicals": {
  "rsi": 42.23,
  "macd": -0.3811,
  "sma50": 15.26,
  "sma200": 19.48,
  "rsiSignal": "Neutral",
  "trend": "Bearish",
  "pricePosition": "Bearish",
  "macdSignal": "Bearish",
  "rating": "Bearish"
 },
 "analysis": {
  "rating": "Strong Sell",
  "score": 15,
  "consensus": "Strong Sell",
  "fairValue": null,
  "analystTarget": null,
  "analystCount": null,
  "wallStreetConsensus": "",
  "generatedAt": "2026-10-27T21:06:28.000Z",
  "priceAtAnalysis": 14.08,
  "volatility": {
   "daily": 4.3,
   "risk": "etf"
  }
 },
 "tradePlan": {
  "bias": "Bearish",
  "conservativeEntry": 14.36,
  "aggressiveEntry": 14.08,
  "stopLoss": 15.37,
  "stopLossPercent": 7,
  "targets": [
   13.64,
   12.93,
   12.21
  ]
 },
 "projections": {
  "basis": "Monte Carlo simulation on historical return distribution, re-run daily; not price targets",
  "years": [
   {
    "year": 2027,
    "downside10th": 6.75,
    "base": 12.82,
    "upside90th": 24.33
   },
   {
    "year": 2028,
    "downside10th": 4.71,
    "base": 11.67,
    "upside90th": 28.88
   }
  ]
 },
 "faqCount": 10,
 "atAGlance": {
  "asOf": "October 27, 2026",
  "rating": "Strong Sell",
  "score": 15,
  "evidence": [
   {
    "label": "Trend",
    "text": "Down: the price is below both its 50- and 200-day moving averages ($15.26 and $19.48)."
   },
   {
    "label": "Fund",
    "text": "Expense ratio 1.03%, $1.1B in net assets, price down 76.6% over 1 year."
   }
  ]
 },
 "figures": {
  "asOf": "October 27, 2026",
  "earningsReaction": null,
  "insiders": null,
  "drawdown": {
   "years": 3,
   "worstFallPercent": -86.45,
   "peak": "December 2024",
   "trough": "July 2026",
   "recoveredBy": null,
   "recoveryMonths": null,
   "belowThatPeakNowPercent": -80.68,
   "fromHighNowPercent": -93.66,
   "oneYearHoldsPositivePercent": null,
   "dividendsReinvested": true
  },
  "seasonality": null,
  "correlations": null,
  "analystTargets": null,
  "dividend": {
   "yieldPercent": 24.98,
   "annualPerShare": null
  },
  "simulation": {
   "year": 2028,
   "base": 11.67,
   "percentile10": 4.71,
   "percentile90": 28.88,
   "note": "Monte Carlo simulation outcomes, not price targets"
  }
 },
 "sources": [
  "TwelveData",
  "Wall Street consensus"
 ],
 "sections": [
  {
   "id": "ch-overview",
   "title": "MSTY ETF forecast today",
   "text": [
    "Where MSTY stands today, and what CleaRank Financial AI makes of it.",
    "YieldMax MSTR Option Income Strategy ETF (MSTY): Strong Sell, 15/100 on CleaRank's AI score.",
    "Figures as of October 27, 2026.",
    "CleaRank rates YieldMax MSTR Option Income Strategy ETF (MSTY) Strong Sell, with a model score of 15/100. The trend holds it back most: the price is 27.74% below its 200-day average and 7.73% below its 50-day average, and the 50-day average is 21.68% below the 200-day. The 50-day average stands at $15.26 and the 200-day at $19.48. Over the past year the price fell 76.55%.",
    "Figures we compute ourselves from MSTY's own price history. Tap one to see it in context."
   ],
   "lists": {
    "MSTY at a glance": [
     "Trend Down: the price is below both its 50- and 200-day moving averages ($15.26 and $19.48).",
     "Fund Expense ratio 1.03%, $1.1B in net assets, price down 76.6% over 1 year."
    ]
   },
   "links": [
    {
     "text": "MSTR",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/strategy-mstr/"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "ch-price",
   "title": "MSTY ETF price and trading",
   "text": [
    "The chart, today's range and how far the price has moved over each period.",
    "Pick a period: each tab shows how far MSTY has moved over it, to the last close.",
    "Where MSTY sits inside today's range and its 52-week range."
   ],
   "lists": {
    "items": [
     "Price above its 50-day average › The price of $14.08 is 7.7% below the 50-day simple moving average of $15.26.",
     "Price above its 200-day average › The price is 27.7% below the 200-day simple moving average of $19.48.",
     "50-day average above the 200-day › The 50-day average ($15.26) is 21.7% below the 200-day average ($19.48), the arrangement of a falling longer-term trend.",
     "In the upper half of its 52-week range › The price sits at 5% of its 52-week range, between $11.53 and $58.43."
    ]
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "ch-fundamentals",
   "title": "MSTY fund facts and valuation",
   "text": [
    "What the fund holds, what it costs and how it is valued.",
    "YieldMax MSTR Option Income Strategy ETF is an actively managed exchange-traded fund designed to generate current income by using options linked to Strategy Inc. The fund focuses on a synthetic covered call approach, combining long and short option positions with U.S. Treasuries and cash collateral to create indirect exposure to Strategy’s share price while collecting option premiums. Its structure is intended to support income generation while limiting potential upside participation in the underlying stock.",
    "As of Oct 27, 2026, MSTY has an expense ratio of 1.03%, $1.11B in net assets and a distribution yield of 24.98%.",
    "Fund reference data as of Oct 27, 2026. Expense ratio and net assets are reported by the fund. The trailing returns are the fund family's own month-end total returns, with distributions included, so they can differ from the price changes elsewhere on this page.",
    "The headline figures for MSTY.",
    "CleaRank Financial AI's reading of MSTY's holdings, performance and risks.",
    "MSTY is a Derivative Income fund from YieldMax ETFs, launched on February 21, 2024. Each year the expense ratio takes 1.03% of assets, or $103.00 on a $10,000 holding. The fund has $1.1B in net assets.",
    "MSTY usually moves about 4.30% in a day. For as long as the price stays beneath both moving averages, the downtrend remains a risk in its own right."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "",
     "columns": [
      "Period",
      "MSTY"
     ],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "YTD",
       "cells": [
        "-0.81%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "1 month",
       "cells": [
        "12.18%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "3 months",
       "cells": [
        "61.61%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "1 year",
       "cells": [
        "-47.13%"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ],
   "lists": {
    "items": [
     "Expense ratio at or below 0.20% › The fund charges 1.03% a year, $103.00 on a $10,000 holding.",
     "Over $1B in net assets › Net assets total $1.1B.",
     "Pays a distribution › The distribution yield is 24.98%.",
     "Price up over one year › The price fell 76.55% over the past year."
    ]
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "ch-analysis",
   "title": "MSTY AI analysis and technical indicators",
   "text": [
    "CleaRank's score and reasoning, the indicators behind it, and what the price moves with.",
    "The score, the reasoning behind it, and what could move the price next.",
    "MSTY sits under both of its main moving averages. Its price of $14.08 is 7.73% below the 50-day average of $15.26 and 27.74% below the 200-day average of $19.48. The price is at 5% of its 52-week range and 22.12% above the 52-week low of $11.53. Both averages point the same way, since the 50-day sits 21.68% below the 200-day. Short-term and long-term readings disagree for MSTY. Over the past month the price dropped 14.61%, yet it climbed 10.09% across the past three months, and across the past year it slid 76.55%. The 14-day RSI sits at 42.2, which is neutral territory, while the MACD line is negative.",
    "As long as MSTY trades under both its 50-day average of $15.26 and its 200-day average of $19.48, the downtrend remains intact. A close above the 50-day would mark the first sign of a recovery. Overhead, the 20-day EMA at $14.93 is the first barrier a rally would have to clear. Next below the price is the 52-week low of $11.53.",
    "Momentum and trend for MSTY, from its daily closes.",
    "As of October 27, 2026, with MSTY at $14.08, its 14-day RSI is 42.2 (neutral territory), its 50-day simple moving average is $15.26 and its 200-day is $19.48.",
    "Calculated by CleaRank on daily closes as of October 27, 2026: Wilder's 14-day RSI, 50- and 200-day simple moving averages, MACD line (12, 26). How we calculate these",
    "Correlation of daily returns over one year: +1 moves in step, 0 has no link, -1 moves the opposite way.",
    "As of October 27, 2026, MSTY's 1-year correlation of daily returns is +0.46 with S&P 500 (SPY), +0.48 with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), +0.81 with Bitcoin (BTC) and +0.21 with gold (XAU)."
   ],
   "lists": {
    "items": [
     "RSI Neutral",
     "SMA cross Bearish",
     "Price vs SMA Bearish",
     "MACD Bearish"
    ]
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "ch-plan",
   "title": "MSTY trade plan: entry, stop loss and targets",
   "text": [
    "Entry, stop and target levels from the moving averages and recent volatility. Educational, not advice.",
    "Entry, stop and target levels, sized to your account. Change the bias or the risk and every level updates.",
    "Lower risk, wait for rally",
    "Higher risk, chasing the move",
    "These levels come from MSTY's moving averages and recent volatility, not from a forecast. Educational levels, not financial advice; the full disclaimer is at the foot of the page.",
    "Would this MSTY plan have made money the last ten times?",
    "Your entry, stop and targets are set above. Replay them against MSTY's own history and count how often the target hit before the stop.",
    "How much MSTY tends to move, against the market and on its own."
   ],
   "lists": {
    "items": [
     "Wins vs stops",
     "Best exit",
     "Max drawdown"
    ]
   },
   "links": [
    {
     "text": "Position Size",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/tools/position-size-calculator/"
    },
    {
     "text": "Stop Loss",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/tools/stop-loss-calculator/"
    },
    {
     "text": "Risk/Reward",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/tools/risk-reward-calculator/"
    },
    {
     "text": "P&L Calculator",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/tools/profit-loss-calculator/"
    },
    {
     "text": "Trailing Stop",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/tools/trailing-stop-calculator/"
    },
    {
     "text": "Fibonacci",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/tools/fibonacci-calculator/"
    },
    {
     "text": "Pivot Points",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/tools/pivot-point-calculator/"
    },
    {
     "text": "Win Rate",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/tools/breakeven-win-rate-calculator/"
    },
    {
     "text": "Expectancy",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/tools/trade-expectancy-calculator/"
    },
    {
     "text": "Replay this plan on MSTYStart free trial · $0 today",
     "url": "https://trade.clearank.com/portfolio/demo?utm_source=clearank&amp;utm_medium=cta&amp;utm_campaign=asset_plan&amp;utm_content=trial7"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "ch-risk",
   "title": "MSTY price history and drawdowns",
   "text": [
    "MSTY's worst falls and recoveries, what $10,000 became, and which months have been kind to it.",
    "As of October 27, 2026, MSTY's worst peak-to-trough fall over the period since February 2024 with dividends reinvested was -86.5% (December 2024 to July 2026); it is still 80.7% below that peak.",
    "From weekly closing values with dividends reinvested. A drawdown is the fall from the highest value reached so far to a later low.",
    "What $10,000 put into MSTY in February 2024 is worth now, against the same amount in the S&P 500.",
    "Against the market: MSTY trailed the S&P 500 over this period: $3,930.62 against $15,573.",
    "A $10,000 investment in MSTY in February 2024 would be worth about $3,931 today with dividends reinvested, compared with about $15,573 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark (also with dividends reinvested)."
   ],
   "lists": {
    "items": [
     "Average daily move under 2% › The price has moved 4.30% on an average day (30-day standard deviation of daily returns).",
     "Recovered from its worst fall › The worst fall was 86.5%, from December 2024 to July 2026; the price is still 80.7% below that peak.",
     "Beat the S&P 500 since the chart begins › $10,000 invested in February 2024 is now worth $3,931, against $15,573 in the S&P 500 (SPY)."
    ]
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "ch-scenarios",
   "title": "MSTY price prediction 2028",
   "text": [
    "Thousands of simulated paths from the price history. A range of outcomes, not a forecast.",
    "Thousands of simulated paths for $10,000 in MSTY, from its own past volatility. The shaded area holds 80% of them.",
    "CleaRank's 2-year Monte Carlo simulation, based on 2.7 years of price history, projects that a $10,000 investment in MSTY today could grow to about $8,286 by 2028 in the base case, with a 90th-percentile outcome near $20,509 and a 10th-percentile outcome around $3,348. The simulation models price only; at today's 24.98% yield, dividends would add to these figures. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.",
    "The same simulation in prices, year by year.",
    "CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $11.67 for MSTY by 2028 in the base case, from $14.08 today (0.8x over 2 years). The 10th-percentile path ends near $4.71. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on MSTY's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.",
    "Method: a lognormal simulation of MSTY's own volatility and capped historical trend, re-run daily; base case is the median path, the outer columns the 10th and 90th percentiles. How the simulation works",
    "What would MSTY do to your portfolio?",
    "Add it to what you already hold. Ten-year backtest, the drawdown it brings, and how much of it is just the S&P in disguise."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "MSTY simulated price paths by year",
     "columns": [
      "Year",
      "10th percentile",
      "Base case",
      "90th percentile",
      "range base today"
     ],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "2027",
       "cells": [
        "$6.75",
        "$12.82",
        "$24.33",
        ""
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2028",
       "cells": [
        "$4.71",
        "$11.67",
        "$28.88",
        ""
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ],
   "lists": {
    "items": [
     "10-year backtest",
     "Drawdown added",
     "Correlation"
    ]
   },
   "links": [
    {
     "text": "Backtest my portfolio with MSTYStart free trial · $0 today",
     "url": "https://trade.clearank.com/portfolio/demo?utm_source=clearank&amp;utm_medium=cta&amp;utm_campaign=asset_longterm&amp;utm_content=trial7"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "ch-faq",
   "title": "MSTY ETF forecast: questions people ask",
   "text": [
    "Answered from the figures on this page, as of October 27, 2026."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "ch-related",
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 ],
 "faq": [
  {
   "question": "Is YieldMax MSTR Option Income Strategy ETF (MSTY) a buy right now?",
   "answer": "MSTY scores 15/100 on CleaRank's model, which puts it in the Strong Sell band. The biggest drag is the trend: the price is 27.74% below its 200-day average and 7.73% below its 50-day average, and the 50-day average is 21.68% below the 200-day. This describes the data on this page and is not a personal recommendation."
  },
  {
   "question": "How has YieldMax MSTR Option Income Strategy ETF (MSTY) performed over the past year?",
   "answer": "The price has dropped 76.55% across the past year. Looking at shorter spans, it gained 10.09% over three months but lost 14.61% during the most recent month."
  },
  {
   "question": "What does MSTY cost to own?",
   "answer": "The expense ratio on MSTY is 1.03%, or $103.00 a year on a $10,000 holding. That fee comes out of the fund's assets instead of being billed on its own."
  },
  {
   "question": "Does MSTY pay a dividend?",
   "answer": "Yes, MSTY pays a distribution yield of 24.98%. Yield is calculated as payout over price, so the figure moves whenever either of those two changes."
  },
  {
   "question": "What are the key price levels for MSTY?",
   "answer": "Above the price, the first levels are the 20-day EMA at $14.93 and the 50-day SMA at $15.26. Below the price, the level to watch is the 52-week low at $11.53."
  },
  {
   "question": "How volatile is MSTY?",
   "answer": "On an average day, MSTY's price moves 4.30%, based on the 30-day standard deviation of daily returns."
  },
  {
   "question": "Is MSTY in an uptrend?",
   "answer": "No. YieldMax MSTR Option Income Strategy ETF (MSTY) trades at $14.08, below both its 50- and 200-day moving averages ($15.26 and $19.48). Its 14-day RSI on daily closes is 42.2, in neutral territory."
  },
  {
   "question": "What is MSTY's biggest drop in the period since February 2024?",
   "answer": "YieldMax MSTR Option Income Strategy ETF (MSTY)'s worst peak-to-trough fall over the period since February 2024 was -86.5%, from December 2024 to July 2026 (with dividends reinvested). It has not regained that peak yet and is still 80.7% below it."
  },
  {
   "question": "How closely does MSTY move with the stock market?",
   "answer": "Over the past year MSTY's daily returns were moderately correlated with the S&P 500 (SPY) (+0.46). Nasdaq 100 (QQQ): +0.48; Bitcoin (BTC): +0.81; Gold (XAU): +0.21. A figure near +1 means the two usually move together; near 0 means little relationship."
  },
  {
   "question": "What would $10,000 invested in MSTY be worth today?",
   "answer": "$10,000 put into MSTY in February 2024 would be worth about $3,931 today with dividends reinvested, against about $15,573 for the same amount in the S&P 500 on the same basis."
  }
 ],
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    "price": "$484.86",
    "change": "+4.69%",
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     "description": "MSTY ETF forecast 2026: is YieldMax MSTR Option Income Strategy ETF a buy? CleaRank Financial AI rates it Strong Sell, 15/100, with a 1.03% expense ratio.",
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      "text": "MSTY scores 15/100 on CleaRank's model, which puts it in the Strong Sell band. The biggest drag is the trend: the price is 27.74% below its 200-day average and 7.73% below its 50-day average, and the 50-day average is 21.68% below the 200-day. This describes the data on this page and is not a personal recommendation."
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      "text": "No. YieldMax MSTR Option Income Strategy ETF (MSTY) trades at $14.08, below both its 50- and 200-day moving averages ($15.26 and $19.48). Its 14-day RSI on daily closes is 42.2, in neutral territory."
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      "text": "YieldMax MSTR Option Income Strategy ETF (MSTY)'s worst peak-to-trough fall over the period since February 2024 was -86.5%, from December 2024 to July 2026 (with dividends reinvested). It has not regained that peak yet and is still 80.7% below it."
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      "text": "Over the past year MSTY's daily returns were moderately correlated with the S&P 500 (SPY) (+0.46). Nasdaq 100 (QQQ): +0.48; Bitcoin (BTC): +0.81; Gold (XAU): +0.21. A figure near +1 means the two usually move together; near 0 means little relationship."
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      "text": "$10,000 put into MSTY in February 2024 would be worth about $3,931 today with dividends reinvested, against about $15,573 for the same amount in the S&P 500 on the same basis."
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