{
 "@context": "https://clearank.com/llms.txt",
 "@type": "clearank:AssetAnalysis",
 "url": "https://clearank.com/etf/vug-etf-analysis/",
 "dataUrl": "https://clearank.com/etf/vug-etf-analysis/data.json",
 "title": "Vanguard Growth ETF (VUG) ETF Forecast & Price Target (2026)",
 "description": "Vanguard Morningstar Growth (VUG) ETF: 0.03% expense ratio. $379.4B net assets. Large Growth. Vanguard. Fund facts, AI rating, technicals and 2030 projection.",
 "headline": "Vanguard Morningstar Growth ETF (VUG)",
 "published": "2026-07-10T09:49:02+00:00",
 "modified": "2026-09-16T07:51:27.831+00:00",
 "generated": "2026-09-16T08:17:41.064Z",
 "language": "en-US",
 "publisher": {
  "name": "CleaRank",
  "url": "https://clearank.com/"
 },
 "disclaimer": "Educational and informational only; not financial advice. AI-generated analysis reviewed by the CleaRank editorial team; prices delayed up to 15 minutes.",
 "asset": {
  "ticker": "VUG",
  "name": "Vanguard Morningstar Growth ETF",
  "type": "ETF",
  "exchange": "NYSE",
  "currency": "USD",
  "sector": null,
  "industry": null,
  "country": "United States",
  "website": null
 },
 "quote": {
  "price": 87.06,
  "previousClose": 87.71,
  "change": -0.65,
  "changePercent": -0.74,
  "open": 87.6,
  "high": 87.68,
  "low": 86.91,
  "volume": 6027500,
  "averageVolume": 4969740,
  "marketCap": 20210173952,
  "fiftyTwoWeekHigh": 90.6,
  "fiftyTwoWeekLow": 69.63333,
  "marketOpen": false,
  "asOf": "2026-09-16T07:51:27.000Z"
 },
 "statistics": {
  "pe": 31.41471,
  "eps": null,
  "dividendYield": 0.004226484452622266,
  "beta": null,
  "priceToSales": null,
  "priceToBook": null,
  "revenueTtm": 0,
  "grossMargin": null,
  "returnOnEquity": null
 },
 "technicals": {
  "rsi": 47.87,
  "macd": 0.08,
  "sma50": 87.1,
  "sma200": 82.67,
  "rsiSignal": "Neutral",
  "trend": "Bullish",
  "pricePosition": "Bearish",
  "macdSignal": "Neutral",
  "rating": "Neutral"
 },
 "analysis": {
  "rating": "Hold",
  "score": 55,
  "consensus": "Hold",
  "fairValue": null,
  "analystTarget": 89.67,
  "analystCount": null,
  "wallStreetConsensus": "",
  "generatedAt": "2026-09-16T07:51:27.000Z",
  "priceAtAnalysis": 87.059998,
  "volatility": {
   "daily": 0.7,
   "risk": "etf"
  }
 },
 "tradePlan": {
  "bias": "Neutral",
  "conservativeEntry": 86.19,
  "aggressiveEntry": 87.06,
  "stopLoss": 83.6,
  "stopLossPercent": 3,
  "targets": [
   88.78,
   90.5,
   93.08
  ]
 },
 "projections": {
  "basis": "Monte Carlo simulation on historical return distribution, re-run daily; not price targets",
  "years": [
   {
    "year": 2027,
    "downside10th": 73.66,
    "base": 97.19,
    "upside90th": 128.23
   },
   {
    "year": 2028,
    "downside10th": 73.31,
    "base": 108.49,
    "upside90th": 160.56
   },
   {
    "year": 2029,
    "downside10th": 74.94,
    "base": 121.11,
    "upside90th": 195.74
   },
   {
    "year": 2030,
    "downside10th": 77.67,
    "base": 135.2,
    "upside90th": 235.36
   },
   {
    "year": 2031,
    "downside10th": 81.21,
    "base": 150.93,
    "upside90th": 280.5
   },
   {
    "year": 2032,
    "downside10th": 85.45,
    "base": 168.49,
    "upside90th": 332.21
   },
   {
    "year": 2033,
    "downside10th": 90.35,
    "base": 188.09,
    "upside90th": 391.59
   },
   {
    "year": 2034,
    "downside10th": 95.88,
    "base": 209.97,
    "upside90th": 459.85
   },
   {
    "year": 2035,
    "downside10th": 102.06,
    "base": 234.4,
    "upside90th": 538.34
   },
   {
    "year": 2036,
    "downside10th": 108.92,
    "base": 261.67,
    "upside90th": 628.61
   }
  ]
 },
 "faqCount": 7,
 "sources": [
  "TwelveData",
  "Wall Street consensus"
 ],
 "sections": [
  {
   "id": "price",
   "title": "VUG Price Analysis"
  },
  {
   "id": "market-metrics",
   "title": "Market Metrics",
   "facts": {
    "Open": "$87.60",
    "Day Range": "$86.91 to $87.68",
    "Prev Close": "$87.71",
    "Volume": "6.03M",
    "52-Week Range": "$69.63 to $90.60",
    "Market Cap": "$20.21B"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "mi-fund-facts",
   "title": "VUG Fund Facts",
   "text": [
    "Vanguard Morningstar Growth ETF is an exchange-traded fund that seeks to provide broad exposure to large-cap U.S. growth stocks. The fund is designed to track a market-cap-weighted growth index, giving investors diversified access to companies that typically emphasize earnings and revenue expansion rather than value characteristics.",
    "Fund reference data as of Sep 16, 2026. Expense ratio and net assets are reported by the fund; returns are total returns and can differ from price change."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "",
     "columns": [
      "Period",
      "VUG",
      "Category"
     ],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "YTD",
       "cells": [
        "8.76%",
        "2.85%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "1 month",
       "cells": [
        "3.58%",
        "12.27%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "3 months",
       "cells": [
        "-1.40%",
        "3.28%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "1 year",
       "cells": [
        "15.90%",
        "29.03%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "3 years",
       "cells": [
        "22.94%",
        "23.49%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "5 years",
       "cells": [
        "12.15%",
        "10.17%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "10 years",
       "cells": [
        "17.76%",
        "15.87%"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "analysis",
   "title": "VUG Analysis",
   "text": [
    "Momentum has shifted for VUG: the price has moved below its 20-day and 50-day simple moving averages, indicating short-term weakness. The ETF's current price of $87.06 is below the 50-day SMA of $87.10 and the 20-day EMA of $87.76, but remains above the 200-day SMA of $82.67. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 47.87, signaling neutral momentum. Volume has recently been 21.3% above its average, suggesting increased trading activity around current price levels.",
    "The 6-12 month outlook for VUG is cautiously optimistic, contingent on the continued strength of the technology sector and broader market sentiment towards growth stocks. While short-term technicals are mixed, with the price below key short-term moving averages, the fund's long-term outperformance and substantial net assets suggest underlying resilience. A sustained upward trend in technology earnings and a supportive macroeconomic environment could drive VUG towards higher price levels, potentially retesting previous highs. Conversely, a significant downturn in technology or a shift towards value investing could pressure the ETF's performance."
   ],
   "lists": {
    "ProTips": [
     "Consider VUG as a core holding for growth-oriented portfolios, but be mindful of its sector concentration.",
     "Monitor technology sector performance and macroeconomic indicators that influence growth stock valuations.",
     "Given its neutral technicals, VUG may be suitable for investors looking to add exposure during periods of consolidation rather than chasing strong momentum."
    ]
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "correlations",
   "title": "Market Correlations",
   "text": [
    "How this etf moves relative to other assets",
    "Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods."
   ],
   "facts": {
    "Correlation with S&P 500 (SPY)": "+0.96",
    "Correlation with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)": "+0.97",
    "Correlation with Bitcoin (BTC)": "+0.46",
    "Correlation with Gold (XAU)": "+0.13"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "key-statistics",
   "title": "Key Statistics",
   "text": [
    "Vanguard Morningstar Growth ETF (VUG) offers exposure to large-cap U.S. growth stocks, with its portfolio heavily weighted towards the Technology sector at 56.32%. This significant concentration in technology, alongside substantial allocations to Communication Services (15.45%) and Consumer Cyclical (11.5%), positions the fund to benefit from innovation and expansion in these areas. The fund's expense ratio is a very low 0.03%, costing investors approximately $3.00 per $10,000 invested annually. With net assets totaling $379.42 billion, VUG is a substantial and liquid vehicle for accessing growth-oriented companies. The fund's strategy is to provide a passive, rules-based approach to this market segment.",
    "Its significant exposure to the technology sector means its performance is closely tied to the earnings trends of major tech companies. The sector's aggregate earnings growth is a key driver for VUG's returns. Given the fund's focus on growth, underlying companies are expected to reinvest profits to expand revenue and market share, which can lead to higher valuations but also greater potential for future earnings expansion. The current neutral RSI suggests that market sentiment regarding future earnings growth is not overly exuberant or pessimistic.",
    "The primary risk for VUG is its high concentration in the technology sector, which accounts for over half of its assets. This makes the fund vulnerable to sector-specific downturns or regulatory changes impacting large tech firms. Additionally, as a growth-focused ETF, VUG may experience higher volatility compared to broader market or value-oriented funds, especially during periods of economic uncertainty or rising interest rates."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "",
     "columns": [],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "Net Assets (Market Cap)",
       "cells": [
        "20.21B"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Yield",
       "cells": [
        "0.39%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Day High",
       "cells": [
        "$87.68"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Day Low",
       "cells": [
        "$86.91"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "52 Week High",
       "cells": [
        "90.60"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "52 Week Low",
       "cells": [
        "69.63"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "technical-indicators",
   "title": "Technical Indicators",
   "text": [
    "Technical Rating Neutral RSI Neutral SMA Cross Bullish Price vs SMA Bearish MACD Neutral Golden Cross in effect with the 50-day SMA ($87.10) above the 200-day SMA ($82.67), price is trading below the 50-day SMA."
   ],
   "facts": {
    "RSI": "Neutral",
    "SMA Cross": "Bullish",
    "Price vs SMA": "Bearish",
    "MACD": "Neutral"
   },
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "",
     "columns": [],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "RSI (14)",
       "cells": [
        "47.87"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "MACD",
       "cells": [
        "0.08"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "SMA 50",
       "cells": [
        "87.10"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "SMA 200",
       "cells": [
        "82.67"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "trade-plans",
   "title": "VUG Trade Plans",
   "text": [
    "Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels",
    "Enter now if confident",
    "Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss Calculated based on RSI (47.9) and current market volatility",
    "Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3"
   ],
   "facts": {
    "TARGET 1": "$88.78",
    "TARGET 2": "$90.50",
    "TARGET 3": "$93.08",
    "STOP LOSS": "$83.60"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "seasonality",
   "title": "Seasonal Patterns",
   "text": [
    "Historical monthly performance trends",
    "Based on 3 years of historical monthly returns"
   ],
   "facts": {
    "Average Jan return": "+2.60%",
    "Average Feb return": "-1.39%",
    "Average Mar return": "-1.36%",
    "Average Apr return": "+3.23%",
    "Average May return": "+3.20%",
    "Average Jun return": "+2.08%",
    "Average Jul return": "+3.21%",
    "Average Aug return": "+1.77%",
    "Average Sep return": "-1.60%",
    "Average Oct return": "+0.13%",
    "Average Nov return": "+3.67%",
    "Average Dec return": "-0.30%"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "risk",
   "title": "Risk & Volatility",
   "facts": {
    "Daily Volatility": "0.70%"
   },
   "lists": {
    "Risk considerations": [
     "Monitor position sizing based on current volatility levels",
     "Consider stop-loss placement beyond recent price range",
     "Diversification helps mitigate single-stock risk exposure"
    ]
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "growth",
   "title": "Growth of $10,000",
   "text": [
    "A $10,000 investment in VUG in September 2016 would be worth about $47,149 today, compared with about $35,497 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "monte-carlo",
   "title": "Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)",
   "text": [
    "CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in VUG today could grow to about $30,056 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $72,205 and a bear case around $12,511. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "price-prediction",
   "title": "VUG ETF Price Prediction: 2030",
   "text": [
    "CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $135 for VUG by 2030 in the base case, from $87.06 today (1.6x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $77.67. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on VUG's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.",
    "Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using VUG's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "VUG simulated price paths by year",
     "columns": [
      "Year",
      "Downside (10th pct)",
      "Base case",
      "Upside (90th pct)"
     ],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "2027",
       "cells": [
        "$73.66",
        "$97.19",
        "$128"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2028",
       "cells": [
        "$73.31",
        "$108",
        "$161"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2029",
       "cells": [
        "$74.94",
        "$121",
        "$196"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2030",
       "cells": [
        "$77.67",
        "$135",
        "$235"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2031",
       "cells": [
        "$81.21",
        "$151",
        "$281"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2032",
       "cells": [
        "$85.45",
        "$168",
        "$332"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2033",
       "cells": [
        "$90.35",
        "$188",
        "$392"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2034",
       "cells": [
        "$95.88",
        "$210",
        "$460"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2035",
       "cells": [
        "$102",
        "$234",
        "$538"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2036",
       "cells": [
        "$109",
        "$262",
        "$629"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "people-also-watch",
   "title": "People Also Watch",
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     "url": "https://clearank.com/etf/iyr-etf-analysis/"
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   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "related-comparisons",
   "title": "Compare VUG",
   "links": [
    {
     "text": "VUG vs VOOG Comparison Head-to-head analysis →",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/compare/vug-vs-voog/"
    },
    {
     "text": "VUG vs VGT Comparison Head-to-head analysis →",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/compare/vug-vs-vgt/"
    },
    {
     "text": "VUG vs QQQ Comparison Head-to-head analysis →",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/compare/vug-vs-qqq/"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "faq",
   "title": "Frequently Asked Questions"
  }
 ],
 "faq": [
  {
   "question": "What is the expense ratio for the Vanguard Morningstar Growth ETF (VUG)?",
   "answer": "The Vanguard Morningstar Growth ETF (VUG) has a very low expense ratio of 0.03%, which translates to an annual cost of approximately $3.00 for every $10,000 invested. This low cost is a key feature for long-term investors."
  },
  {
   "question": "What sectors does the Vanguard Morningstar Growth ETF (VUG) hold?",
   "answer": "VUG is heavily concentrated in Technology, holding 56.32% of its assets in this sector. It also has significant allocations to Communication Services at 15.45% and Consumer Cyclical at 11.5%, reflecting its focus on growth-oriented industries."
  },
  {
   "question": "How has the Vanguard Morningstar Growth ETF (VUG) performed against its category?",
   "answer": "In the year-to-date period, VUG's return was 8.76%, lagging its category's 2.85%. However, over the longer term, VUG has outperformed its category, with a 1-year return of 15.90% versus the category's 29.03%, a 3-year return of 22.94% versus 23.49%, and a 10-year return of 17.76% compared to the category's 15.87%."
  },
  {
   "question": "What is the price prediction for VUG ETF in 2030?",
   "answer": "Based on a Monte Carlo simulation, the projected base price for the VUG ETF in 2030 is $135.20. The simulation also indicates a downside price of $77.67 and an upside price of $235.36. These figures represent statistical outcomes and are not guarantees."
  },
  {
   "question": "What is the current technical outlook for VUG?",
   "answer": "VUG's technicals show neutral momentum, with its RSI at 47.9. The price is currently trading below its 20-day and 50-day moving averages but above its 200-day moving average, suggesting a mixed short-to-medium term trend."
  },
  {
   "question": "What is the dividend yield of the Vanguard Morningstar Growth ETF?",
   "answer": "The Vanguard Morningstar Growth ETF (VUG) has a current dividend yield of approximately 0.39%."
  },
  {
   "question": "What are the main risks associated with investing in VUG?",
   "answer": "The primary risks include significant concentration in the technology sector, which can lead to sector-specific volatility, and the inherent higher volatility of growth stocks compared to value or broad market investments."
  }
 ],
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    "ticker": "O",
    "text": "Realty Income Corp.",
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    "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/hubspot-hubs/"
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    "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/tempus-ai-tem/"
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    "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/coinbase-coin/"
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    "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/axon-enterprise-axon/"
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    "url": "https://clearank.com/crypto/aero-usd-crypto-analysis/"
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    "url": "https://clearank.com/etf/invesco-nasdaq-100-qqqm/"
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    "url": "https://clearank.com/etf/schwab-us-large-cap-growth-schg/"
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}