{
 "@context": "https://clearank.com/llms.txt",
 "@type": "clearank:AssetAnalysis",
 "url": "https://clearank.com/etf/vpu-etf-analysis/",
 "dataUrl": "https://clearank.com/etf/vpu-etf-analysis/data.json",
 "title": "Vanguard Utilities (VPU) ETF Forecast & Price Target (2026)",
 "description": "Vanguard Utilities (VPU) ETF: 0.09% expense ratio. $10.1B net assets. Utilities. Vanguard. Fund facts, AI rating, technicals and 2030 projection.",
 "headline": "Vanguard Utilities ETF (VPU)",
 "published": "2026-07-23T10:03:19+00:00",
 "modified": "2026-09-16T07:31:18.103+00:00",
 "generated": "2026-09-16T10:08:42.074Z",
 "language": "en-US",
 "publisher": {
  "name": "CleaRank",
  "url": "https://clearank.com/"
 },
 "disclaimer": "Educational and informational only; not financial advice. AI-generated analysis reviewed by the CleaRank editorial team; prices delayed up to 15 minutes.",
 "asset": {
  "ticker": "VPU",
  "name": "Vanguard Utilities ETF",
  "type": "ETF",
  "exchange": "NYSE",
  "currency": "USD",
  "sector": null,
  "industry": null,
  "country": "United States",
  "website": null
 },
 "quote": {
  "price": 178.82,
  "previousClose": 180.77,
  "change": -1.95,
  "changePercent": -1.08,
  "open": 181.23,
  "high": 181.25999,
  "low": 178.72,
  "volume": 1888100,
  "averageVolume": 433870,
  "marketCap": 5347119104,
  "fiftyTwoWeekHigh": 206.10001,
  "fiftyTwoWeekLow": 178.50999,
  "marketOpen": false,
  "asOf": "2026-09-16T07:31:18.000Z"
 },
 "statistics": {
  "pe": 19.017319,
  "eps": null,
  "dividendYield": 0.02910188897691197,
  "beta": null,
  "priceToSales": null,
  "priceToBook": null,
  "revenueTtm": 0,
  "grossMargin": null,
  "returnOnEquity": null
 },
 "technicals": {
  "rsi": 29.19,
  "macd": -2.36,
  "sma50": 190.45,
  "sma200": 193.09,
  "rsiSignal": "Oversold",
  "trend": "Bearish",
  "pricePosition": "Bearish",
  "macdSignal": "Bearish",
  "rating": "Bearish"
 },
 "analysis": {
  "rating": "Buy",
  "score": 70,
  "consensus": "Buy",
  "fairValue": null,
  "analystTarget": 193.13,
  "analystCount": null,
  "wallStreetConsensus": "",
  "generatedAt": "2026-09-16T07:31:18.000Z",
  "priceAtAnalysis": 178.82001,
  "volatility": {
   "daily": 0.85,
   "risk": "etf"
  }
 },
 "tradePlan": {
  "bias": "Bullish",
  "conservativeEntry": 175.24,
  "aggressiveEntry": 178.82,
  "stopLoss": 169.46,
  "stopLossPercent": 3.3,
  "targets": [
   184.01,
   192.77,
   201.53
  ]
 },
 "projections": {
  "basis": "Monte Carlo simulation on historical return distribution, re-run daily; not price targets",
  "years": [
   {
    "year": 2027,
    "downside10th": 148.39,
    "base": 189.72,
    "upside90th": 242.57
   },
   {
    "year": 2028,
    "downside10th": 142.2,
    "base": 201.29,
    "upside90th": 284.94
   },
   {
    "year": 2029,
    "downside10th": 139.54,
    "base": 213.57,
    "upside90th": 326.87
   },
   {
    "year": 2030,
    "downside10th": 138.62,
    "base": 226.59,
    "upside90th": 370.41
   },
   {
    "year": 2031,
    "downside10th": 138.78,
    "base": 240.41,
    "upside90th": 416.47
   },
   {
    "year": 2032,
    "downside10th": 139.72,
    "base": 255.07,
    "upside90th": 465.66
   },
   {
    "year": 2033,
    "downside10th": 141.26,
    "base": 270.63,
    "upside90th": 518.47
   },
   {
    "year": 2034,
    "downside10th": 143.3,
    "base": 287.13,
    "upside90th": 575.34
   },
   {
    "year": 2035,
    "downside10th": 145.76,
    "base": 304.64,
    "upside90th": 636.71
   },
   {
    "year": 2036,
    "downside10th": 148.6,
    "base": 323.22,
    "upside90th": 703.02
   }
  ]
 },
 "faqCount": 7,
 "sources": [
  "TwelveData",
  "Wall Street consensus"
 ],
 "sections": [
  {
   "id": "price",
   "title": "VPU Price Analysis"
  },
  {
   "id": "market-metrics",
   "title": "Market Metrics",
   "facts": {
    "Open": "$181.23",
    "Day Range": "$178.72 to $181.26",
    "Prev Close": "$180.77",
    "Volume": "1.89M",
    "52-Week Range": "$178.51 to $206.10",
    "Market Cap": "$5.35B"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "mi-fund-facts",
   "title": "VPU Fund Facts",
   "text": [
    "Vanguard Utilities ETF is an exchange-traded fund that provides diversified exposure to the U.S. utilities sector. The fund seeks to track the performance of an index composed of large-, mid-, and small-capitalization utility companies, including electric, gas, water, and independent power businesses. Its portfolio typically includes regulated and competitive utility operators, along with related energy infrastructure names, making it a focused way to access an essential services segment of the market.",
    "Fund reference data as of Sep 16, 2026. Expense ratio and net assets are reported by the fund; returns are total returns and can differ from price change."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "",
     "columns": [
      "Period",
      "VPU",
      "Category"
     ],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "YTD",
       "cells": [
        "0.13%",
        "12.44%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "1 month",
       "cells": [
        "-4.41%",
        "3.15%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "3 months",
       "cells": [
        "-4.55%",
        "9.48%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "1 year",
       "cells": [
        "2.75%",
        "24.77%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "3 years",
       "cells": [
        "13.68%",
        "15.27%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "5 years",
       "cells": [
        "7.34%",
        "10.64%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "10 years",
       "cells": [
        "8.79%",
        "9.94%"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "analysis",
   "title": "VPU Analysis",
   "text": [
    "Vanguard Utilities ETF is currently trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($190.45 and $193.09), with its price also below the 20-day exponential moving average. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 29.19, indicating oversold conditions. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) is negative, suggesting bearish momentum. These technical indicators collectively point to a strong downtrend, but the oversold RSI may signal a potential short-term reversal.",
    "The outlook for Vanguard Utilities ETF (VPU) is cautiously optimistic, leaning on its oversold technical conditions. While the sector has faced headwinds, leading to significant underperformance against its category, the current RSI suggests a potential for a rebound. A 6-12 month forecast would depend on a broader market rotation back into defensive sectors or a stabilization of interest rate expectations. If VPU can reclaim its key moving averages, particularly the 20-day EMA, it could signal a shift in momentum. However, continued sector weakness or rising rates could prolong the current downtrend."
   ],
   "lists": {
    "ProTips": [
     "Consider VPU for its defensive sector exposure and low expense ratio.",
     "Monitor sector rotation and interest rate movements as key drivers for VPU's performance.",
     "The current oversold technicals suggest a potential entry point for short-term traders anticipating a bounce.",
     "Compare VPU's long-term performance against its category to assess its strategic value."
    ]
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "correlations",
   "title": "Market Correlations",
   "text": [
    "How this etf moves relative to other assets",
    "Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods."
   ],
   "facts": {
    "Correlation with S&P 500 (SPY)": "+0.34",
    "Correlation with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)": "+0.22",
    "Correlation with Bitcoin (BTC)": "+0.07",
    "Correlation with Gold (XAU)": "+0.15"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "key-statistics",
   "title": "Key Statistics",
   "text": [
    "Vanguard Utilities ETF is heavily concentrated in the Utilities sector, holding 99.32% in stocks within this industry. The fund's expense ratio is a low 0.09%, costing investors $9.00 per $10,000 invested. With net assets of over $10 billion, VPU is a substantial fund. The sector's defensive nature typically appeals to investors seeking stability and income, though recent performance data shows it lagging its category. The fund's low turnover rate of 6% suggests a buy-and-hold strategy for its underlying holdings.",
    "The underlying utilities sector is generally characterized by stable, albeit slower, earnings growth compared to other sectors. Companies within the utilities space often operate under regulated frameworks, providing predictable revenue streams. However, recent trailing returns indicate that the sector, and by extension VPU, has experienced a downturn relative to its category, suggesting potential pressure on the earnings of its constituents or a broader market rotation away from defensive sectors.",
    "The primary risk for VPU lies in its high sector concentration, with nearly all assets in Utilities. This makes the fund vulnerable to sector-specific downturns, regulatory changes impacting utility providers, or shifts in interest rate policy that can affect dividend-paying stocks. Additionally, the significant underperformance against its category over multiple periods suggests potential fundamental challenges within the utilities sector that could persist."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "",
     "columns": [],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "Net Assets (Market Cap)",
       "cells": [
        "5.35B"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Yield",
       "cells": [
        "2.89%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Day High",
       "cells": [
        "$181.26"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Day Low",
       "cells": [
        "$178.72"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "52 Week High",
       "cells": [
        "206.10"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "52 Week Low",
       "cells": [
        "178.51"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "technical-indicators",
   "title": "Technical Indicators",
   "text": [
    "Technical Rating Bearish RSI Oversold SMA Cross Bearish Price vs SMA Bearish MACD Bearish Moving averages show a lagging Death Cross (50-day: $190.45, 200-day: $193.09), price is trading below the 50-day SMA, RSI at 29.2 suggests oversold conditions; potential bounce setup."
   ],
   "facts": {
    "RSI": "Oversold",
    "SMA Cross": "Bearish",
    "Price vs SMA": "Bearish",
    "MACD": "Bearish"
   },
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "",
     "columns": [],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "RSI (14)",
       "cells": [
        "29.19"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "MACD",
       "cells": [
        "-2.36"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "SMA 50",
       "cells": [
        "190.45"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "SMA 200",
       "cells": [
        "193.09"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "trade-plans",
   "title": "VPU Trade Plans",
   "text": [
    "Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels",
    "Lower risk, wait for pullback",
    "Higher risk, immediate entry",
    "Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss Calculated based on RSI (29.2) and current market volatility",
    "Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3"
   ],
   "facts": {
    "TARGET 1": "$184.01",
    "TARGET 2": "$192.77",
    "TARGET 3": "$201.53",
    "STOP LOSS": "$169.46"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "seasonality",
   "title": "Seasonal Patterns",
   "text": [
    "Historical monthly performance trends",
    "Based on 3 years of historical monthly returns"
   ],
   "facts": {
    "Average Jan return": "+0.76%",
    "Average Feb return": "-0.28%",
    "Average Mar return": "+1.54%",
    "Average Apr return": "+1.96%",
    "Average May return": "+1.53%",
    "Average Jun return": "-1.36%",
    "Average Jul return": "+2.79%",
    "Average Aug return": "+0.27%",
    "Average Sep return": "-1.96%",
    "Average Oct return": "+2.01%",
    "Average Nov return": "+1.89%",
    "Average Dec return": "-0.80%"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "risk",
   "title": "Risk & Volatility",
   "facts": {
    "Daily Volatility": "0.85%"
   },
   "lists": {
    "Risk considerations": [
     "Monitor position sizing based on current volatility levels",
     "Consider stop-loss placement beyond recent price range",
     "Diversification helps mitigate single-stock risk exposure"
    ]
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "growth",
   "title": "Growth of $10,000",
   "text": [
    "A $10,000 investment in VPU in September 2016 would be worth about $16,519 today, compared with about $35,497 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "monte-carlo",
   "title": "Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)",
   "text": [
    "CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in VPU today could grow to about $18,075 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $39,314 and a bear case around $8,310. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "price-prediction",
   "title": "VPU ETF Price Prediction: 2030",
   "text": [
    "CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $227 for VPU by 2030 in the base case, from $179 today (1.3x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $139. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on VPU's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.",
    "Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using VPU's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "VPU simulated price paths by year",
     "columns": [
      "Year",
      "Downside (10th pct)",
      "Base case",
      "Upside (90th pct)"
     ],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "2027",
       "cells": [
        "$148",
        "$190",
        "$243"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2028",
       "cells": [
        "$142",
        "$201",
        "$285"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2029",
       "cells": [
        "$140",
        "$214",
        "$327"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2030",
       "cells": [
        "$139",
        "$227",
        "$370"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2031",
       "cells": [
        "$139",
        "$240",
        "$416"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2032",
       "cells": [
        "$140",
        "$255",
        "$466"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2033",
       "cells": [
        "$141",
        "$271",
        "$518"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2034",
       "cells": [
        "$143",
        "$287",
        "$575"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2035",
       "cells": [
        "$146",
        "$305",
        "$637"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2036",
       "cells": [
        "$149",
        "$323",
        "$703"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
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  {
   "id": "faq",
   "title": "Frequently Asked Questions"
  }
 ],
 "faq": [
  {
   "question": "What is the expense ratio for the Vanguard Utilities ETF (VPU)?",
   "answer": "The Vanguard Utilities ETF has a very low expense ratio of 0.09%, which translates to a cost of $9.00 per $10,000 invested annually."
  },
  {
   "question": "What sectors does the Vanguard Utilities ETF (VPU) hold?",
   "answer": "The Vanguard Utilities ETF is highly concentrated in the Utilities sector, with 99.30% of its assets allocated to this industry. This includes companies involved in electric, gas, and water services, as well as power generation."
  },
  {
   "question": "What is the current distribution yield for VPU?",
   "answer": "The Vanguard Utilities ETF currently offers a distribution yield of 2.89%."
  },
  {
   "question": "How has VPU performed against its category over the past year?",
   "answer": "Over the past year, VPU returned 2.75% while its category returned 24.77%, indicating significant underperformance."
  },
  {
   "question": "What is the price prediction for VPU ETF in 2030?",
   "answer": "Based on a Monte Carlo simulation, the base case price prediction for VPU ETF in 2030 is $226.59. The simulation also indicates a downside price of $138.62 and an upside price of $370.41, representing statistical outcomes, not guarantees."
  },
  {
   "question": "What are the key technical indicators for VPU?",
   "answer": "VPU is currently showing oversold conditions with an RSI at 29.2. It is trading below its 50-day, 200-day, and 20-day exponential moving averages, suggesting a bearish trend."
  },
  {
   "question": "What are the main risks associated with investing in VPU?",
   "answer": "The primary risks include high sector concentration in Utilities, vulnerability to regulatory changes, interest rate sensitivity, and the recent trend of underperformance relative to its category."
  }
 ],
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    "ticker": "SBET",
    "text": "↓ 8.96%",
    "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/sharplink-sbet/"
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    "text": "↑ 19.42%",
    "url": "https://clearank.com/crypto/arbitrum-arb-usd/"
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    "text": "↓ 11.80%",
    "url": "https://clearank.com/crypto/injective-inj/"
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    "ticker": "CRV/USD",
    "text": "↓ 11.53%",
    "url": "https://clearank.com/crypto/crv-usd-crypto-analysis/"
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   {
    "ticker": "XLU",
    "text": "Utilities Select Sector SPDR",
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}