{
 "@context": "https://clearank.com/llms.txt",
 "@type": "clearank:AssetAnalysis",
 "url": "https://clearank.com/etf/voo-vanguard-sp-500/",
 "dataUrl": "https://clearank.com/etf/voo-vanguard-sp-500/data.json",
 "title": "Vanguard S&P 500 (VOO) ETF Forecast & Price Target (2026)",
 "description": "Is VOO the best S&P 500 ETF? AI analysis of Vanguard's low fees vs. SPY, projected 10-year returns, and \"Magnificent 7\" concentration risk.",
 "headline": "Vanguard S&amp;P 500 ETF (VOO)",
 "published": "2026-01-27T22:45:40+00:00",
 "modified": "2026-09-27T11:26:39.324+00:00",
 "generated": "2026-09-27T13:34:42.498Z",
 "language": "en-US",
 "publisher": {
  "name": "CleaRank",
  "url": "https://clearank.com/"
 },
 "disclaimer": "Educational and informational only; not financial advice. AI-generated analysis reviewed by the CleaRank editorial team; prices delayed up to 15 minutes.",
 "asset": {
  "ticker": "VOO",
  "name": "Vanguard S&P 500 ETF",
  "type": "ETF",
  "exchange": "NYSE",
  "currency": "USD",
  "sector": null,
  "industry": null,
  "country": "United States",
  "website": null
 },
 "quote": {
  "price": 710.79,
  "previousClose": 706.99,
  "change": 3.8,
  "changePercent": 0.54,
  "open": 708.44,
  "high": 711.65002,
  "low": 706.17999,
  "volume": 5462300,
  "averageVolume": 10838790,
  "marketCap": 0,
  "fiftyTwoWeekHigh": 716.39001,
  "fiftyTwoWeekLow": 578.46002,
  "marketOpen": false,
  "asOf": "2026-09-27T11:26:39.000Z"
 },
 "statistics": {
  "pe": 25.001913,
  "eps": null,
  "dividendYield": 0.011040304240752167,
  "beta": null,
  "priceToSales": null,
  "priceToBook": null,
  "revenueTtm": 0,
  "grossMargin": null,
  "returnOnEquity": null
 },
 "technicals": {
  "rsi": 52.49,
  "macd": 1.92,
  "sma50": 700.25,
  "sma200": 660.68,
  "rsiSignal": "Neutral",
  "trend": "Bullish",
  "pricePosition": "Bullish",
  "macdSignal": "Bullish",
  "rating": "Bullish"
 },
 "analysis": {
  "rating": "Buy",
  "score": 75,
  "consensus": "Buy",
  "fairValue": null,
  "analystTarget": 767.65,
  "analystCount": null,
  "wallStreetConsensus": "",
  "generatedAt": "2026-09-27T11:26:39.000Z",
  "priceAtAnalysis": 710.78998,
  "volatility": {
   "daily": 0.61,
   "risk": "etf"
  }
 },
 "tradePlan": {
  "bias": "Bullish",
  "conservativeEntry": 696.57,
  "aggressiveEntry": 710.79,
  "stopLoss": 675.68,
  "stopLossPercent": 3,
  "targets": [
   731.4,
   766.23,
   801.06
  ]
 },
 "projections": {
  "basis": "Monte Carlo simulation on historical return distribution, re-run daily; not price targets",
  "years": [
   {
    "year": 2027,
    "downside10th": 622.14,
    "base": 784.09,
    "upside90th": 988.2
   },
   {
    "year": 2028,
    "downside10th": 623.59,
    "base": 864.95,
    "upside90th": 1199.75
   },
   {
    "year": 2029,
    "downside10th": 639.13,
    "base": 954.16,
    "upside90th": 1424.46
   },
   {
    "year": 2030,
    "downside10th": 662.66,
    "base": 1052.56,
    "upside90th": 1671.86
   },
   {
    "year": 2031,
    "downside10th": 692.15,
    "base": 1161.1,
    "upside90th": 1947.8
   },
   {
    "year": 2032,
    "downside10th": 726.74,
    "base": 1280.85,
    "upside90th": 2257.43
   },
   {
    "year": 2033,
    "downside10th": 766.1,
    "base": 1412.94,
    "upside90th": 2605.91
   },
   {
    "year": 2034,
    "downside10th": 810.14,
    "base": 1558.65,
    "upside90th": 2998.75
   },
   {
    "year": 2035,
    "downside10th": 858.91,
    "base": 1719.39,
    "upside90th": 3441.96
   },
   {
    "year": 2036,
    "downside10th": 912.57,
    "base": 1896.71,
    "upside90th": 3942.18
   }
  ]
 },
 "faqCount": 7,
 "sources": [
  "TwelveData",
  "Wall Street consensus"
 ],
 "sections": [
  {
   "id": "price",
   "title": "VOO Price Analysis"
  },
  {
   "id": "market-metrics",
   "title": "Market Metrics",
   "facts": {
    "Open": "$708.44",
    "Day Range": "$706.18 to $711.65",
    "Prev Close": "$706.99",
    "Volume": "5.46M",
    "52-Week Range": "$578.46 to $716.39"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "mi-fund-facts",
   "title": "VOO Fund Facts",
   "text": [
    "Vanguard S&P 500 ETF is a passively managed exchange-traded fund designed to track the performance of the S&P 500 Index, giving investors broad exposure to large-cap U.S. equities. Managed by Vanguard, it holds a diversified portfolio of leading companies across sectors such as technology, communication services, healthcare, consumer discretionary, financials, and energy.",
    "Fund reference data as of Sep 27, 2026. Expense ratio and net assets are reported by the fund; returns are total returns and can differ from price change."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "",
     "columns": [
      "Period",
      "VOO",
      "Category"
     ],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "YTD",
       "cells": [
        "13.11%",
        "5.14%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "1 month",
       "cells": [
        "2.72%",
        "9.43%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "3 months",
       "cells": [
        "1.67%",
        "3.42%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "1 year",
       "cells": [
        "20.34%",
        "27.72%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "3 years",
       "cells": [
        "21.01%",
        "19.34%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "5 years",
       "cells": [
        "12.75%",
        "11.20%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "10 years",
       "cells": [
        "15.34%",
        "13.77%"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "analysis",
   "title": "VOO Analysis",
   "text": [
    "VOO is currently trading above its 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) of 700.25 and its 200-day SMA of 660.68, suggesting an upward trend. The 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) is at 704.77, also above the current price, indicating short-term strength. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 52.49, which is classified as neutral momentum. The Stochastic indicator is at 86.10, suggesting overbought conditions, while the Commodity Channel Index (CCI) is at 86.20, also indicating bullish momentum. The volume on the latest trading day was 5,462,300, which is approximately 49.6% below the average volume.",
    "The outlook for the Vanguard S&P 500 ETF (VOO) is cautiously optimistic, driven by its core exposure to leading U.S. large-cap companies and a generally positive sector outlook for technology and financials. The fund's technicals show it trading above key moving averages, suggesting continued upward momentum. Over the next 6-12 months, VOO is expected to benefit from the overall growth of the U.S. economy and corporate earnings, provided there are no major macroeconomic shocks or significant sector rotations against its current composition."
   ],
   "lists": {
    "ProTips": [
     "Consider VOO as a core holding for long-term equity exposure due to its diversification and low cost.",
     "Monitor the Technology sector's performance, as it represents a significant portion of VOO's holdings.",
     "Given the neutral RSI, VOO may have room for further upward movement before becoming overbought."
    ]
   },
   "links": [
    {
     "text": "CCI",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/cci-stock-analysis/"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "correlations",
   "title": "Market Correlations",
   "text": [
    "How this etf moves relative to other assets",
    "Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods."
   ],
   "facts": {
    "Correlation with S&P 500 (SPY)": "+1.00",
    "Correlation with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)": "+0.95",
    "Correlation with Bitcoin (BTC)": "+0.49",
    "Correlation with Gold (XAU)": "+0.14"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "key-statistics",
   "title": "Key Statistics",
   "text": [
    "Vanguard S&P 500 ETF (VOO) is managed by Vanguard and has an expense ratio of 0.03%, costing $3.00 per $10,000 invested. The fund's net assets stand at a substantial $1,741,139,869,696, indicating significant investor confidence and liquidity. The sector allocation shows a strong concentration in Technology (37.43%), followed by Financial Services (12.19%) and Communication Services (9.91%). The asset allocation is overwhelmingly in stocks, with 99.87% exposure. The fund's structure provides diversified access to hundreds of established American companies, making it a foundational component for many investment portfolios.",
    "As an ETF tracking the S&P 500 Index, VOO's performance is intrinsically linked to the aggregate earnings trends of its underlying constituents. The significant weighting in the Technology sector, which includes companies like NVIDIA, Apple, and Microsoft, suggests that the fund's earnings outlook is heavily influenced by the performance of these major players. The overall health of U.S. large-cap corporate earnings, particularly within the dominant sectors, will dictate the fund's trajectory.",
    "The primary risk for VOO lies in its high concentration within the Technology sector, which accounts for over 37% of its holdings. A significant downturn in technology stocks could disproportionately impact the fund's performance. Additionally, the fund's performance is closely tied to the overall health and sentiment of the U.S. equity market; any broad market sell-off or macroeconomic headwinds could lead to substantial declines. Given its broad market exposure, geopolitical events or significant shifts in monetary policy could also pose risks."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "",
     "columns": [],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "Net Assets (Market Cap)",
       "cells": [
        "614.00B"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Expense Ratio",
       "cells": [
        "0.0300%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Yield",
       "cells": [
        "1.03%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Day High",
       "cells": [
        "$711.65"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Day Low",
       "cells": [
        "$706.18"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "52 Week High",
       "cells": [
        "716.39"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "52 Week Low",
       "cells": [
        "578.46"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "technical-indicators",
   "title": "Technical Indicators",
   "text": [
    "Technical Rating Bullish RSI Neutral SMA Cross Bullish Price vs SMA Bullish MACD Bullish Golden Cross in effect with the 50-day SMA ($700.25) above the 200-day SMA ($660.68), price action is firmly bullish above key moving averages."
   ],
   "facts": {
    "RSI": "Neutral",
    "SMA Cross": "Bullish",
    "Price vs SMA": "Bullish",
    "MACD": "Bullish"
   },
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "",
     "columns": [],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "RSI (14)",
       "cells": [
        "52.49"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "MACD",
       "cells": [
        "1.92"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "SMA 50",
       "cells": [
        "700.25"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "SMA 200",
       "cells": [
        "660.68"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "trade-plans",
   "title": "VOO Trade Plans",
   "text": [
    "Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels",
    "Lower risk, wait for pullback",
    "Higher risk, immediate entry",
    "Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss Calculated based on RSI (52.5) and current market volatility",
    "Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3"
   ],
   "facts": {
    "TARGET 1": "$731.40",
    "TARGET 2": "$766.23",
    "TARGET 3": "$801.06",
    "STOP LOSS": "$675.68"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "seasonality",
   "title": "Seasonal Patterns",
   "text": [
    "Historical monthly performance trends",
    "Based on 3 years of historical monthly returns"
   ],
   "facts": {
    "Average Jan return": "+2.05%",
    "Average Feb return": "-0.96%",
    "Average Mar return": "-1.65%",
    "Average Apr return": "+2.58%",
    "Average May return": "+2.19%",
    "Average Jun return": "+1.13%",
    "Average Jul return": "+2.75%",
    "Average Aug return": "+1.41%",
    "Average Sep return": "-1.41%",
    "Average Oct return": "+0.45%",
    "Average Nov return": "+3.89%",
    "Average Dec return": "-0.20%"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "risk",
   "title": "Risk & Volatility",
   "facts": {
    "Daily Volatility": "0.61%"
   },
   "lists": {
    "Risk considerations": [
     "Monitor position sizing based on current volatility levels",
     "Consider stop-loss placement beyond recent price range",
     "Diversification helps mitigate single-stock risk exposure"
    ]
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "growth",
   "title": "Growth of $10,000",
   "text": [
    "A $10,000 investment in VOO in September 2016 would be worth about $35,915 today, compared with about $35,782 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "monte-carlo",
   "title": "Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)",
   "text": [
    "CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in VOO today could grow to about $26,685 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $55,462 and a bear case around $12,839. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "price-prediction",
   "title": "VOO ETF Price Prediction: 2030",
   "text": [
    "CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $1,053 for VOO by 2030 in the base case, from $711 today (1.5x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $663. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on VOO's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.",
    "Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using VOO's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "VOO simulated price paths by year",
     "columns": [
      "Year",
      "Downside (10th pct)",
      "Base case",
      "Upside (90th pct)"
     ],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "2027",
       "cells": [
        "$622",
        "$784",
        "$988"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2028",
       "cells": [
        "$624",
        "$865",
        "$1,200"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2029",
       "cells": [
        "$639",
        "$954",
        "$1,424"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2030",
       "cells": [
        "$663",
        "$1,053",
        "$1,672"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2031",
       "cells": [
        "$692",
        "$1,161",
        "$1,948"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2032",
       "cells": [
        "$727",
        "$1,281",
        "$2,257"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2033",
       "cells": [
        "$766",
        "$1,413",
        "$2,606"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2034",
       "cells": [
        "$810",
        "$1,559",
        "$2,999"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2035",
       "cells": [
        "$859",
        "$1,719",
        "$3,442"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2036",
       "cells": [
        "$913",
        "$1,897",
        "$3,942"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "people-also-watch",
   "title": "People Also Watch",
   "links": [
    {
     "text": "URNJ Sprott Junior Uranium Miners ETF NASDAQ $21.45 -0.14%",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/etf/urnj-etf-analysis/"
    },
    {
     "text": "JEPQ JPMorgan Nasdaq Equity Premium Income ETF NASDAQ $61.24 +0.21%",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/etf/jpmorgan-nasdaq-equity-premium-income-jepq/"
    },
    {
     "text": "MTUM iShares MSCI USA Momentum Factor ETF CBOE $318.50 +0.33%",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/etf/mtum-etf-analysis/"
    },
    {
     "text": "VOOG Vanguard S&P 500 Growth ETF NYSE $86.14 +0.68%",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/etf/vanguard-sp-500-growth-voog/"
    },
    {
     "text": "KXI iShares Global Consumer Staples ETF NYSE $66.62 +0.32%",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/etf/kxi-etf-analysis/"
    },
    {
     "text": "BITB Bitwise Bitcoin ETF NYSE $45.57 -0.48%",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/etf/bitb-etf-analysis/"
    },
    {
     "text": "SKYY First Trust Cloud Computing ETF NASDAQ $164.68 -1.34%",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/etf/first-trust-cloud-computing-skyy/"
    },
    {
     "text": "ARKQ ARK Autonomous Technology & Robotics ETF CBOE $124.42 -0.37%",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/etf/ark-autonomous-robotics-arkq/"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "related-comparisons",
   "title": "Compare VOO",
   "links": [
    {
     "text": "Invesco QQQ vs Vanguard S&P 500 (VOO) Comparison Head-to-head analysis →",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/compare/qqq-vs-voo/"
    },
    {
     "text": "VUG vs VOO Comparison Head-to-head analysis →",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/compare/vug-vs-voo/"
    },
    {
     "text": "VOO vs SCHG Comparison Head-to-head analysis →",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/compare/voo-vs-schg/"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "faq",
   "title": "Frequently Asked Questions"
  }
 ],
 "faq": [
  {
   "question": "What is the expense ratio for the Vanguard S&P 500 ETF (VOO)?",
   "answer": "The Vanguard S&P 500 ETF (VOO) has an expense ratio of 0.03%, which translates to a cost of $3.00 per $10,000 invested annually."
  },
  {
   "question": "What sectors does the Vanguard S&P 500 ETF (VOO) hold?",
   "answer": "VOO holds a diversified portfolio with significant concentration in Technology (37.43%), Financial Services (12.19%), and Communication Services (9.91%). Other notable sectors include Consumer Cyclical (9.58%) and Healthcare (9.1%)."
  },
  {
   "question": "What is the distribution yield for the Vanguard S&P 500 ETF (VOO)?",
   "answer": "The Vanguard S&P 500 ETF (VOO) has a distribution yield of 1.04%."
  },
  {
   "question": "How has VOO performed against its category over the past year?",
   "answer": "In the past year, VOO returned 20.34% while its category returned 27.72%, indicating underperformance relative to its peers over that period."
  },
  {
   "question": "What are the key technical levels for VOO?",
   "answer": "VOO is currently trading above its 50-day SMA of 700.25 and its 200-day SMA of 660.68. The 20-day EMA is at 704.77, and the RSI is at a neutral 52.49."
  },
  {
   "question": "What is the insider and institutional activity in VOO?",
   "answer": "The provided data does not contain specific information on insider or institutional activity for VOO. However, its substantial net assets of $1,741,139,869,696 suggest significant institutional adoption."
  },
  {
   "question": "What is the VOO stock price prediction for 2030?",
   "answer": "Based on Monte Carlo simulations, the projected base price for VOO in 2030 is $1,052.56, with a downside projection of $662.66 and an upside projection of $1,671.86. These figures represent statistical outcomes, not guaranteed price targets."
  }
 ],
 "related": {
  "peopleAlsoWatch": [
   {
    "ticker": "URNJ",
    "name": "Sprott Junior Uranium Miners ETF NASDAQ",
    "price": "$21.45",
    "change": "-0.14%",
    "url": "https://clearank.com/etf/urnj-etf-analysis/"
   },
   {
    "ticker": "JEPQ",
    "name": "JPMorgan Nasdaq Equity Premium Income ETF NASDAQ",
    "price": "$61.24",
    "change": "+0.21%",
    "url": "https://clearank.com/etf/jpmorgan-nasdaq-equity-premium-income-jepq/"
   },
   {
    "ticker": "MTUM",
    "name": "iShares MSCI USA Momentum Factor ETF CBOE",
    "price": "$318.50",
    "change": "+0.33%",
    "url": "https://clearank.com/etf/mtum-etf-analysis/"
   },
   {
    "ticker": "VOOG",
    "name": "Vanguard S&P 500 Growth ETF NYSE",
    "price": "$86.14",
    "change": "+0.68%",
    "url": "https://clearank.com/etf/vanguard-sp-500-growth-voog/"
   },
   {
    "ticker": "KXI",
    "name": "iShares Global Consumer Staples ETF NYSE",
    "price": "$66.62",
    "change": "+0.32%",
    "url": "https://clearank.com/etf/kxi-etf-analysis/"
   },
   {
    "ticker": "BITB",
    "name": "Bitwise Bitcoin ETF NYSE",
    "price": "$45.57",
    "change": "-0.48%",
    "url": "https://clearank.com/etf/bitb-etf-analysis/"
   },
   {
    "ticker": "SKYY",
    "name": "First Trust Cloud Computing ETF NASDAQ",
    "price": "$164.68",
    "change": "-1.34%",
    "url": "https://clearank.com/etf/first-trust-cloud-computing-skyy/"
   },
   {
    "ticker": "ARKQ",
    "name": "ARK Autonomous Technology & Robotics ETF CBOE",
    "price": "$124.42",
    "change": "-0.37%",
    "url": "https://clearank.com/etf/ark-autonomous-robotics-arkq/"
   }
  ],
  "comparisons": [
   {
    "ticker": "Invesco QQQ vs Vanguard S&P 500 (VOO) Comparison",
    "name": "",
    "url": "https://clearank.com/compare/qqq-vs-voo/"
   },
   {
    "ticker": "VUG vs VOO Comparison",
    "name": "",
    "url": "https://clearank.com/compare/vug-vs-voo/"
   },
   {
    "ticker": "VOO vs SCHG Comparison",
    "name": "",
    "url": "https://clearank.com/compare/voo-vs-schg/"
   }
  ],
  "Newly Tracked": [
   {
    "ticker": "SLVR",
    "text": "Sprott Silver Miners & Physical Silver ETF",
    "url": "https://clearank.com/etf/slvr-etf-analysis/"
   },
   {
    "ticker": "NTES",
    "text": "NetEase, Inc.",
    "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/ntes-stock-analysis/"
   },
   {
    "ticker": "PCAR",
    "text": "PACCAR Inc.",
    "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/pcar-stock-analysis/"
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   {
    "ticker": "O",
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    "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/o-stock-analysis/"
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    "ticker": "SPG",
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    "text": "↑ 8.27%",
    "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/be-stock-analysis/"
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    "url": "https://clearank.com/crypto/eigen-usd-crypto-analysis/"
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}