{
 "@context": "https://clearank.com/llms.txt",
 "@type": "clearank:AssetAnalysis",
 "url": "https://clearank.com/etf/vanguard-total-market-vti/",
 "dataUrl": "https://clearank.com/etf/vanguard-total-market-vti/data.json",
 "title": "Vanguard Total Market (VTI) ETF Forecast (2026)",
 "description": "AI analysis of the Vanguard Total ETF Market (VTI) ETF. Real-time price data, technicals & daily forecasts. Updated daily.",
 "headline": "Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF (VTI)",
 "published": "2026-06-23T12:50:27+00:00",
 "modified": "2026-09-27T11:20:52.566+00:00",
 "generated": "2026-09-27T14:27:54.412Z",
 "language": "en-US",
 "publisher": {
  "name": "CleaRank",
  "url": "https://clearank.com/"
 },
 "disclaimer": "Educational and informational only; not financial advice. AI-generated analysis reviewed by the CleaRank editorial team; prices delayed up to 15 minutes.",
 "asset": {
  "ticker": "VTI",
  "name": "Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF",
  "type": "ETF",
  "exchange": "NYSE",
  "currency": "USD",
  "sector": null,
  "industry": null,
  "country": "United States",
  "website": null
 },
 "quote": {
  "price": 379.77,
  "previousClose": 378.08,
  "change": 1.69,
  "changePercent": 0.45,
  "open": 378.63,
  "high": 380.32999,
  "low": 377.45999,
  "volume": 2808400,
  "averageVolume": 2742960,
  "marketCap": 725708898304,
  "fiftyTwoWeekHigh": 385.12,
  "fiftyTwoWeekLow": 310.39999,
  "marketOpen": false,
  "asOf": "2026-09-27T11:20:52.000Z"
 },
 "statistics": {
  "pe": 24.387663,
  "eps": null,
  "dividendYield": 0.01099497124047074,
  "beta": null,
  "priceToSales": null,
  "priceToBook": null,
  "revenueTtm": 0,
  "grossMargin": null,
  "returnOnEquity": null
 },
 "technicals": {
  "rsi": 50.07,
  "macd": 0.6,
  "sma50": 375.71,
  "sma200": 354.42,
  "rsiSignal": "Neutral",
  "trend": "Bullish",
  "pricePosition": "Bullish",
  "macdSignal": "Bullish",
  "rating": "Bullish"
 },
 "analysis": {
  "rating": "Buy",
  "score": 75,
  "consensus": "Buy",
  "fairValue": null,
  "analystTarget": 410.15,
  "analystCount": null,
  "wallStreetConsensus": "",
  "generatedAt": "2026-09-27T11:20:52.000Z",
  "priceAtAnalysis": 379.76999,
  "volatility": {
   "daily": 0.63,
   "risk": "etf"
  }
 },
 "tradePlan": {
  "bias": "Bullish",
  "conservativeEntry": 372.17,
  "aggressiveEntry": 379.77,
  "stopLoss": 361.01,
  "stopLossPercent": 3,
  "targets": [
   390.78,
   409.39,
   428
  ]
 },
 "projections": {
  "basis": "Monte Carlo simulation on historical return distribution, re-run daily; not price targets",
  "years": [
   {
    "year": 2027,
    "downside10th": 330.34,
    "base": 418.02,
    "upside90th": 528.97
   },
   {
    "year": 2028,
    "downside10th": 329.83,
    "base": 460.13,
    "upside90th": 641.88
   },
   {
    "year": 2029,
    "downside10th": 336.88,
    "base": 506.47,
    "upside90th": 761.43
   },
   {
    "year": 2030,
    "downside10th": 348.15,
    "base": 557.48,
    "upside90th": 892.69
   },
   {
    "year": 2031,
    "downside10th": 362.5,
    "base": 613.63,
    "upside90th": 1038.75
   },
   {
    "year": 2032,
    "downside10th": 379.46,
    "base": 675.44,
    "upside90th": 1202.29
   },
   {
    "year": 2033,
    "downside10th": 398.82,
    "base": 743.47,
    "upside90th": 1385.96
   },
   {
    "year": 2034,
    "downside10th": 420.52,
    "base": 818.36,
    "upside90th": 1592.59
   },
   {
    "year": 2035,
    "downside10th": 444.55,
    "base": 900.79,
    "upside90th": 1825.25
   },
   {
    "year": 2036,
    "downside10th": 470.99,
    "base": 991.51,
    "upside90th": 2087.33
   }
  ]
 },
 "faqCount": 7,
 "sources": [
  "TwelveData",
  "Wall Street consensus"
 ],
 "sections": [
  {
   "id": "price",
   "title": "VTI Price Analysis"
  },
  {
   "id": "market-metrics",
   "title": "Market Metrics",
   "facts": {
    "Open": "$378.63",
    "Day Range": "$377.46 to $380.33",
    "Prev Close": "$378.08",
    "Volume": "2.81M",
    "52-Week Range": "$310.40 to $385.12",
    "Market Cap": "$725.71B"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "mi-fund-facts",
   "title": "VTI Fund Facts",
   "text": [
    "Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF is an exchange-traded fund that provides broad exposure to the U.S. equity market through a single diversified portfolio. The fund seeks to track the CRSP U.S. Total Market Index using a passive, index-sampling approach, giving investors access to large-, mid-, small-, and micro-cap stocks across growth and value styles.",
    "Fund reference data as of Sep 27, 2026. Expense ratio and net assets are reported by the fund; returns are total returns and can differ from price change."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "",
     "columns": [
      "Period",
      "VTI",
      "Category"
     ],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "YTD",
       "cells": [
        "13.45%",
        "5.14%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "1 month",
       "cells": [
        "2.66%",
        "9.43%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "3 months",
       "cells": [
        "1.80%",
        "3.42%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "1 year",
       "cells": [
        "20.25%",
        "27.72%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "3 years",
       "cells": [
        "20.65%",
        "19.34%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "5 years",
       "cells": [
        "11.71%",
        "11.20%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "10 years",
       "cells": [
        "14.81%",
        "13.77%"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "analysis",
   "title": "VTI Analysis",
   "text": [
    "As of September 2026, VTI is trading above its 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) of $375.71 and its 200-day SMA of $354.42, indicating an upward trend. The 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) is at $377.39, also above the current price, reinforcing the short-term positive momentum. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 50.07, classifying it as neutral, suggesting neither overbought nor oversold conditions. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) is positive at 0.60, further supporting a bullish technical outlook.",
    "The outlook for Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF (VTI) remains positive, supported by its broad diversification and low costs. As of September 2026, the ETF is trading above key moving averages, and its neutral RSI suggests room for further upward movement without immediate overbought conditions. The strong performance of its top sectors, particularly Technology, is expected to continue driving returns, although potential sector rotation or macroeconomic headwinds could alter this trajectory. Investors can anticipate VTI to continue serving as a core holding for long-term U.S. equity market exposure."
   ],
   "lists": {
    "ProTips": [
     "Consider VTI as a foundational holding for its broad market exposure and low expense ratio.",
     "Monitor the performance of the Technology sector, as it significantly influences VTI's returns.",
     "Given its total market exposure, VTI is sensitive to overall economic conditions and market sentiment."
    ]
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "correlations",
   "title": "Market Correlations",
   "text": [
    "How this etf moves relative to other assets",
    "Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods."
   ],
   "facts": {
    "Correlation with S&P 500 (SPY)": "+1.00",
    "Correlation with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)": "+0.94",
    "Correlation with Bitcoin (BTC)": "+0.41",
    "Correlation with Gold (XAU)": "+0.15"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "key-statistics",
   "title": "Key Statistics",
   "text": [
    "Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF (VTI) provides broad diversification across the U.S. equity market, holding approximately 99.58% in stocks. Its sector allocation is heavily weighted towards Technology (35.06%), followed by Financial Services (12.55%) and Healthcare (9.85%), indicating a significant concentration in these growth-oriented sectors. The fund's low expense ratio of 0.03% (costing $3.00 per $10,000 invested) and substantial net assets of over $2.34 trillion make it an efficient and stable vehicle for capturing overall market performance. The sector's health is largely tied to the performance of these dominant sectors and the broader economic environment.",
    "Its performance is driven by the aggregate earnings trends of its underlying holdings across the U.S. stock market. As of September 2026, the technology sector, which represents the largest portion of VTI's holdings, has shown strong earnings growth, contributing significantly to the fund's year-to-date return of 13.45%. The broad market exposure ensures that the fund benefits from positive earnings surprises across various industries, while also being exposed to any sector-specific earnings downturns.",
    "The primary risk for VTI lies in its significant concentration within the Technology sector, which accounts for over a third of its assets. A downturn in technology stocks could disproportionately impact the ETF's performance. Additionally, as a total market fund, VTI is exposed to broader market risks, including economic slowdowns, interest rate hikes, and geopolitical events that could affect the entire U.S. equity landscape."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "",
     "columns": [],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "Net Assets (Market Cap)",
       "cells": [
        "725.71B"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Expense Ratio",
       "cells": [
        "0.0300%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Yield",
       "cells": [
        "1.03%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Day High",
       "cells": [
        "$380.33"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Day Low",
       "cells": [
        "$377.46"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "52 Week High",
       "cells": [
        "385.12"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "52 Week Low",
       "cells": [
        "310.40"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "technical-indicators",
   "title": "Technical Indicators",
   "text": [
    "Technical Rating Bullish RSI Neutral SMA Cross Bullish Price vs SMA Bullish MACD Bullish Golden Cross in effect with the 50-day SMA ($375.71) above the 200-day SMA ($354.42), price action is firmly bullish above key moving averages."
   ],
   "facts": {
    "RSI": "Neutral",
    "SMA Cross": "Bullish",
    "Price vs SMA": "Bullish",
    "MACD": "Bullish"
   },
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "",
     "columns": [],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "RSI (14)",
       "cells": [
        "50.07"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "MACD",
       "cells": [
        "0.60"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "SMA 50",
       "cells": [
        "375.71"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "SMA 200",
       "cells": [
        "354.42"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "trade-plans",
   "title": "VTI Trade Plans",
   "text": [
    "Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels",
    "Lower risk, wait for pullback",
    "Higher risk, immediate entry",
    "Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss Calculated based on RSI (50.1) and current market volatility",
    "Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3"
   ],
   "facts": {
    "TARGET 1": "$390.78",
    "TARGET 2": "$409.39",
    "TARGET 3": "$428.00",
    "STOP LOSS": "$361.01"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "seasonality",
   "title": "Seasonal Patterns",
   "text": [
    "Historical monthly performance trends",
    "Based on 3 years of historical monthly returns"
   ],
   "facts": {
    "Average Jan return": "+2.13%",
    "Average Feb return": "-0.92%",
    "Average Mar return": "-2.10%",
    "Average Apr return": "+2.47%",
    "Average May return": "+2.12%",
    "Average Jun return": "+1.24%",
    "Average Jul return": "+2.70%",
    "Average Aug return": "+1.40%",
    "Average Sep return": "-1.38%",
    "Average Oct return": "+0.31%",
    "Average Nov return": "+4.07%",
    "Average Dec return": "-0.28%"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "risk",
   "title": "Risk & Volatility",
   "facts": {
    "Daily Volatility": "0.63%"
   },
   "lists": {
    "Risk considerations": [
     "Monitor position sizing based on current volatility levels",
     "Consider stop-loss placement beyond recent price range",
     "Diversification helps mitigate single-stock risk exposure"
    ]
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "growth",
   "title": "Growth of $10,000",
   "text": [
    "A $10,000 investment in VTI in September 2016 would be worth about $34,244 today, compared with about $35,782 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "monte-carlo",
   "title": "Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)",
   "text": [
    "CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in VTI today could grow to about $26,108 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $54,963 and a bear case around $12,402. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "price-prediction",
   "title": "VTI ETF Price Prediction: 2030",
   "text": [
    "CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $557 for VTI by 2030 in the base case, from $380 today (1.5x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $348. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on VTI's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.",
    "Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using VTI's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "VTI simulated price paths by year",
     "columns": [
      "Year",
      "Downside (10th pct)",
      "Base case",
      "Upside (90th pct)"
     ],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "2027",
       "cells": [
        "$330",
        "$418",
        "$529"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2028",
       "cells": [
        "$330",
        "$460",
        "$642"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2029",
       "cells": [
        "$337",
        "$506",
        "$761"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2030",
       "cells": [
        "$348",
        "$557",
        "$893"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2031",
       "cells": [
        "$362",
        "$614",
        "$1,039"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2032",
       "cells": [
        "$379",
        "$675",
        "$1,202"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2033",
       "cells": [
        "$399",
        "$743",
        "$1,386"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2034",
       "cells": [
        "$421",
        "$818",
        "$1,593"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2035",
       "cells": [
        "$445",
        "$901",
        "$1,825"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2036",
       "cells": [
        "$471",
        "$992",
        "$2,087"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "people-also-watch",
   "title": "People Also Watch",
   "links": [
    {
     "text": "ARKQ ARK Autonomous Technology & Robotics ETF CBOE $124.42 -0.37%",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/etf/ark-autonomous-robotics-arkq/"
    },
    {
     "text": "HYG iShares iBoxx $ High Yield Corporate Bond ETF NYSE $77.86 -0.04%",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/etf/hyg-etf-analysis/"
    },
    {
     "text": "EFA iShares MSCI EAFE ETF NYSE $105.56 +1.01%",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/etf/ishares-msci-eafe-efa/"
    },
    {
     "text": "FXI iShares China Large-Cap ETF NYSE $33.96 -0.82%",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/etf/fxi-etf-analysis/"
    },
    {
     "text": "ARKX ARK Space & Defense Innovation ETF CBOE $32.70 -0.23%",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/etf/ark-space-exploration-arkx/"
    },
    {
     "text": "FINX Global X FinTech ETF NASDAQ $25.36 -0.33%",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/etf/finx-fintech-etf/"
    },
    {
     "text": "IJR iShares Core S&P Small-Cap ETF NYSE $138.29 +0.37%",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/etf/ijr-etf-analysis/"
    },
    {
     "text": "IWM iShares Russell 2000 ETF NYSE $281.97 +0.11%",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/etf/russell-2000-iwm/"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "related-comparisons",
   "title": "Compare VTI",
   "links": [
    {
     "text": "VTI vs QQQ Comparison Head-to-head analysis →",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/compare/vti-vs-qqq/"
    },
    {
     "text": "VTI vs SPY Comparison Head-to-head analysis →",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/compare/vti-vs-spy/"
    },
    {
     "text": "VTI vs VT Comparison Head-to-head analysis →",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/compare/vti-vs-vt/"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "faq",
   "title": "Frequently Asked Questions"
  }
 ],
 "faq": [
  {
   "question": "What is the expense ratio for the Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF (VTI)?",
   "answer": "The Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF (VTI) has a very low expense ratio of 0.03%, which translates to a cost of $3.00 per $10,000 invested. This low cost is a key feature for investors seeking efficient market exposure."
  },
  {
   "question": "What sectors does the Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF (VTI) hold and how concentrated is it?",
   "answer": "VTI holds approximately 99.58% in stocks and is heavily concentrated in Technology (35.06%), Financial Services (12.55%), and Healthcare (9.85%). This broad diversification across market capitalizations and sectors aims to capture the overall U.S. equity market performance."
  },
  {
   "question": "How has the Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF (VTI) performed against its category?",
   "answer": "In the year-to-date period of 2026, VTI returned 13.45% compared to its category's 5.14%. Over the past year, VTI returned 20.25% while its category returned 27.72%. However, over longer periods like 3, 5, and 10 years, VTI has outperformed its category."
  },
  {
   "question": "What are the key technical levels for VTI?",
   "answer": "As of September 2026, VTI is trading above its 50-day SMA of $375.71 and its 200-day SMA of $354.42. The 20-day EMA is at $377.39, indicating a positive trend. The RSI is neutral at 50.07."
  },
  {
   "question": "What is the dividend yield for VTI?",
   "answer": "The Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF (VTI) has a dividend yield of approximately 1.03% as of September 2026, with a dividend rate of $3.90."
  },
  {
   "question": "What is the VTI ETF price prediction for 2030?",
   "answer": "Based on a Monte Carlo simulation, the projected base price for VTI in 2030 is $557.48. The simulation also indicates a downside price of $348.15 and an upside price of $892.69. These are statistical outcomes, not guarantees."
  },
  {
   "question": "What are the main risks associated with investing in VTI?",
   "answer": "The primary risks include concentration in the Technology sector, which could lead to significant underperformance if that sector declines. VTI is also subject to broad market risks, such as economic downturns and geopolitical events, due to its total market exposure."
  }
 ],
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    "change": "-0.37%",
    "url": "https://clearank.com/etf/ark-autonomous-robotics-arkq/"
   },
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    "price": "$77.86",
    "change": "-0.04%",
    "url": "https://clearank.com/etf/hyg-etf-analysis/"
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    "change": "+1.01%",
    "url": "https://clearank.com/etf/ishares-msci-eafe-efa/"
   },
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    "name": "iShares China Large-Cap ETF NYSE",
    "price": "$33.96",
    "change": "-0.82%",
    "url": "https://clearank.com/etf/fxi-etf-analysis/"
   },
   {
    "ticker": "ARKX",
    "name": "ARK Space & Defense Innovation ETF CBOE",
    "price": "$32.70",
    "change": "-0.23%",
    "url": "https://clearank.com/etf/ark-space-exploration-arkx/"
   },
   {
    "ticker": "FINX",
    "name": "Global X FinTech ETF NASDAQ",
    "price": "$25.36",
    "change": "-0.33%",
    "url": "https://clearank.com/etf/finx-fintech-etf/"
   },
   {
    "ticker": "IJR",
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    "price": "$138.29",
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    "url": "https://clearank.com/etf/ijr-etf-analysis/"
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    "price": "$281.97",
    "change": "+0.11%",
    "url": "https://clearank.com/etf/russell-2000-iwm/"
   }
  ],
  "comparisons": [
   {
    "ticker": "VTI vs QQQ Comparison",
    "name": "",
    "url": "https://clearank.com/compare/vti-vs-qqq/"
   },
   {
    "ticker": "VTI vs SPY Comparison",
    "name": "",
    "url": "https://clearank.com/compare/vti-vs-spy/"
   },
   {
    "ticker": "VTI vs VT Comparison",
    "name": "",
    "url": "https://clearank.com/compare/vti-vs-vt/"
   }
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   },
   {
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