{
 "@context": "https://clearank.com/llms.txt",
 "@type": "clearank:AssetAnalysis",
 "url": "https://clearank.com/etf/utilities-xlu/",
 "dataUrl": "https://clearank.com/etf/utilities-xlu/data.json",
 "title": "Utilities Select (XLU) ETF Forecast & Price Target (2026)",
 "description": "State Street Utilities Select Sector SPDR (XLU) ETF: 0.08% expense ratio. $21.8B net assets. Utilities. Fund facts, AI rating, technicals and 2030 projection.",
 "headline": "State Street Utilities Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLU)",
 "published": "2026-06-11T09:17:38+00:00",
 "modified": "2026-09-27T10:41:34.148+00:00",
 "generated": "2026-09-27T15:17:39.866Z",
 "language": "en-US",
 "publisher": {
  "name": "CleaRank",
  "url": "https://clearank.com/"
 },
 "disclaimer": "Educational and informational only; not financial advice. AI-generated analysis reviewed by the CleaRank editorial team; prices delayed up to 15 minutes.",
 "asset": {
  "ticker": "XLU",
  "name": "State Street Utilities Select Sector SPDR ETF",
  "type": "ETF",
  "exchange": "NYSE",
  "currency": "USD",
  "sector": null,
  "industry": null,
  "country": "United States",
  "website": null
 },
 "quote": {
  "price": 39.51,
  "previousClose": 39.36,
  "change": 0.15,
  "changePercent": 0.38,
  "open": 39.41,
  "high": 39.6,
  "low": 39.13,
  "volume": 30274100,
  "averageVolume": 23847910,
  "marketCap": 7541625856,
  "fiftyTwoWeekHigh": 47.8,
  "fiftyTwoWeekLow": 39.13,
  "marketOpen": false,
  "asOf": "2026-09-27T10:41:34.000Z"
 },
 "statistics": {
  "pe": 17.79028,
  "eps": null,
  "dividendYield": 0.03036053013721714,
  "beta": null,
  "priceToSales": null,
  "priceToBook": null,
  "revenueTtm": 0,
  "grossMargin": null,
  "returnOnEquity": null
 },
 "technicals": {
  "rsi": 16.64,
  "macd": -1.01,
  "sma50": 43.27,
  "sma200": 44.47,
  "rsiSignal": "Oversold",
  "trend": "Bearish",
  "pricePosition": "Bearish",
  "macdSignal": "Bearish",
  "rating": "Bearish"
 },
 "analysis": {
  "rating": "Buy",
  "score": 75,
  "consensus": "Buy",
  "fairValue": null,
  "analystTarget": 42.67,
  "analystCount": null,
  "wallStreetConsensus": "",
  "generatedAt": "2026-09-27T10:41:34.000Z",
  "priceAtAnalysis": 39.51,
  "volatility": {
   "daily": 0.88,
   "risk": "etf"
  }
 },
 "tradePlan": {
  "bias": "Bullish",
  "conservativeEntry": 38.72,
  "aggressiveEntry": 39.51,
  "stopLoss": 37.44,
  "stopLossPercent": 3.3,
  "targets": [
   40.66,
   42.59,
   44.53
  ]
 },
 "projections": {
  "basis": "Monte Carlo simulation on historical return distribution, re-run daily; not price targets",
  "years": [
   {
    "year": 2027,
    "downside10th": 32.65,
    "base": 41.81,
    "upside90th": 53.54
   },
   {
    "year": 2028,
    "downside10th": 31.19,
    "base": 44.25,
    "upside90th": 62.78
   },
   {
    "year": 2029,
    "downside10th": 30.51,
    "base": 46.82,
    "upside90th": 71.87
   },
   {
    "year": 2030,
    "downside10th": 30.22,
    "base": 49.55,
    "upside90th": 81.27
   },
   {
    "year": 2031,
    "downside10th": 30.16,
    "base": 52.44,
    "upside90th": 91.17
   },
   {
    "year": 2032,
    "downside10th": 30.28,
    "base": 55.49,
    "upside90th": 101.71
   },
   {
    "year": 2033,
    "downside10th": 30.52,
    "base": 58.73,
    "upside90th": 112.99
   },
   {
    "year": 2034,
    "downside10th": 30.87,
    "base": 62.15,
    "upside90th": 125.1
   },
   {
    "year": 2035,
    "downside10th": 31.32,
    "base": 65.77,
    "upside90th": 138.13
   },
   {
    "year": 2036,
    "downside10th": 31.84,
    "base": 69.6,
    "upside90th": 152.16
   }
  ]
 },
 "faqCount": 7,
 "sources": [
  "TwelveData",
  "Wall Street consensus"
 ],
 "sections": [
  {
   "id": "price",
   "title": "XLU Price Analysis"
  },
  {
   "id": "market-metrics",
   "title": "Market Metrics",
   "facts": {
    "Open": "$39.41",
    "Day Range": "$39.13 to $39.60",
    "Prev Close": "$39.36",
    "Volume": "30.27M",
    "52-Week Range": "$39.13 to $47.80",
    "Market Cap": "$7.54B"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "mi-fund-facts",
   "title": "XLU Fund Facts",
   "text": [
    "State Street Utilities Select Sector SPDR ETF is an exchange-traded fund that provides concentrated exposure to U.S. utility companies within the S&P 500. The fund is designed to track the Utilities Select Sector Index, using a passive, replication-based approach that typically holds electric, gas, water, multi-utility, and independent power and renewable electricity businesses. Its portfolio is weighted toward large, established companies, with holdings selected from the utilities segment of the broader U.S. equity market.",
    "Fund reference data as of Sep 27, 2026. Expense ratio and net assets are reported by the fund; returns are total returns and can differ from price change."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "",
     "columns": [
      "Period",
      "XLU",
      "Category"
     ],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "YTD",
       "cells": [
        "0.21%",
        "12.44%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "1 month",
       "cells": [
        "-4.77%",
        "3.15%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "3 months",
       "cells": [
        "-4.39%",
        "9.48%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "1 year",
       "cells": [
        "2.89%",
        "24.77%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "3 years",
       "cells": [
        "13.62%",
        "15.27%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "5 years",
       "cells": [
        "7.42%",
        "10.64%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "10 years",
       "cells": [
        "8.93%",
        "9.94%"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "analysis",
   "title": "XLU Analysis",
   "text": [
    "At 16.64, XLU's RSI is significantly oversold, signaling that the ETF may be due for a bounce. The price is currently trading below its 20-day, 50-day, and 200-day simple moving averages, with values of $41.46, $43.27, and $44.47 respectively. This indicates a strong bearish momentum, with the 50-day SMA acting as resistance at $43.27 and the 200-day SMA at $44.47.The Stochastic Oscillator at 8.30 further confirms the oversold condition. The MACD is negative at -1.01, reinforcing the bearish trend. Given these indicators, XLU is approaching significant support levels, and a reversal from these oversold conditions could lead to a short-term rally. The volume on the latest trading day was 30.27 million, which is 26.9% above the average volume, suggesting increased investor activity around these price levels.",
    "The outlook for XLU is cautiously optimistic, primarily driven by its significantly oversold technical conditions and the defensive nature of the utilities sector. With the RSI at 16.64 and prices well below key moving averages, a technical rebound is plausible in the near term. The sector's role in providing essential services often makes it a refuge during periods of market volatility or economic uncertainty.However, the persistent underperformance relative to its category and the broader market in recent periods warrants attention. The thesis for a recovery hinges on a stabilization of interest rate expectations and a potential rotation back into defensive sectors. If XLU can reclaim its 50-day moving average resistance at $43.27, it could signal a shift in momentum. Conversely, a failure to rebound from oversold levels could lead to further declines, testing lower support."
   ],
   "lists": {
    "ProTips": [
     "Monitor XLU's ability to reclaim its 50-day moving average ($43.27) as a key indicator of potential trend reversal.",
     "Consider the broader interest rate environment, as utilities are sensitive to changes in borrowing costs and yield attractiveness.",
     "Evaluate the performance of XLU's specific holdings against the broader utilities sector to identify potential drivers of its underperformance."
    ]
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "correlations",
   "title": "Market Correlations",
   "text": [
    "How this etf moves relative to other assets",
    "Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods."
   ],
   "facts": {
    "Correlation with S&P 500 (SPY)": "+0.32",
    "Correlation with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)": "+0.20",
    "Correlation with Bitcoin (BTC)": "+0.00",
    "Correlation with Gold (XAU)": "+0.14"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "key-statistics",
   "title": "Key Statistics",
   "text": [
    "The State Street Utilities Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLU) tracks the Utilities Select Sector Index, providing exposure to U.S. utility companies. The sector is characterized by its essential service nature, which typically offers stable demand and dividends, making it a defensive component of a diversified portfolio. XLU's portfolio is heavily concentrated in utilities, with 100% allocation to the sector, and 99.95% to stocks, reflecting its focused investment mandate.The fund's expense ratio is a low 0.08%, translating to $8.00 per $10,000 invested, which is favorable for long-term holding. With net assets of $21.84 billion, XLU is a large and liquid ETF. While the provided data does not include sector averages for P/E, P/S, debt-to-equity, ROE, or revenue growth, the utilities sector generally exhibits stable, albeit slower, growth and is often characterized by significant capital expenditures and leverage to fund infrastructure development.",
    "However, the performance of its underlying holdings, which are U.S. utility companies, is influenced by the broader trend of sector earnings. Utilities are generally considered stable earners due to the essential nature of their services. While the provided data does not detail the earnings trends of XLU's top holdings, the sector's overall performance is often tied to regulatory environments, interest rate sensitivity, and demand for electricity and other utility services.The year-to-date return of 0.21% for XLU, compared to the category's 12.44%, suggests that the aggregate earnings or market sentiment for the specific companies within XLU have not kept pace with the broader utilities sector or market. This could be due to specific headwinds affecting its constituents or a lag in the sector's overall earnings recovery.",
    "XLU faces concentration risk, as it is entirely focused on the Utilities sector, making it vulnerable to sector-specific downturns or regulatory changes. The ETF's current technical setup, with prices below key moving averages and an oversold RSI, indicates potential for further downside in the short term if the bearish momentum continues.Also, the significant underperformance against its category year-to-date (0.21% vs. 12.44%) highlights a risk that the fund's specific holdings may not be capturing the sector's overall growth drivers as effectively as its peers. Interest rate sensitivity is also a key risk for utilities, as rising rates can increase borrowing costs and make dividend-paying stocks less attractive relative to bonds."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "",
     "columns": [],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "Net Assets (Market Cap)",
       "cells": [
        "7.54B"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Expense Ratio",
       "cells": [
        "0.0900%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Yield",
       "cells": [
        "3.06%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Day High",
       "cells": [
        "$39.60"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Day Low",
       "cells": [
        "$39.13"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "52 Week High",
       "cells": [
        "47.80"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "52 Week Low",
       "cells": [
        "39.13"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "technical-indicators",
   "title": "Technical Indicators",
   "text": [
    "Technical Rating Bearish RSI Oversold SMA Cross Bearish Price vs SMA Bearish MACD Bearish Moving averages show a lagging Death Cross (50-day: $43.27, 200-day: $44.47), price is trading below the 50-day SMA, RSI at 16.6 suggests oversold conditions; potential bounce setup."
   ],
   "facts": {
    "RSI": "Oversold",
    "SMA Cross": "Bearish",
    "Price vs SMA": "Bearish",
    "MACD": "Bearish"
   },
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "",
     "columns": [],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "RSI (14)",
       "cells": [
        "16.64"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "MACD",
       "cells": [
        "-1.01"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "SMA 50",
       "cells": [
        "43.27"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "SMA 200",
       "cells": [
        "44.47"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "trade-plans",
   "title": "XLU Trade Plans",
   "text": [
    "Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels",
    "Lower risk, wait for pullback",
    "Higher risk, immediate entry",
    "Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss Calculated based on RSI (16.6) and current market volatility",
    "Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3"
   ],
   "facts": {
    "TARGET 1": "$40.66",
    "TARGET 2": "$42.59",
    "TARGET 3": "$44.53",
    "STOP LOSS": "$37.44"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "seasonality",
   "title": "Seasonal Patterns",
   "text": [
    "Historical monthly performance trends",
    "Based on 3 years of historical monthly returns"
   ],
   "facts": {
    "Average Jan return": "+0.80%",
    "Average Feb return": "-0.17%",
    "Average Mar return": "+1.54%",
    "Average Apr return": "+2.02%",
    "Average May return": "+1.47%",
    "Average Jun return": "-1.29%",
    "Average Jul return": "+2.83%",
    "Average Aug return": "+0.37%",
    "Average Sep return": "-1.94%",
    "Average Oct return": "+2.12%",
    "Average Nov return": "+1.68%",
    "Average Dec return": "-0.86%"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "risk",
   "title": "Risk & Volatility",
   "facts": {
    "Daily Volatility": "0.88%"
   },
   "lists": {
    "Risk considerations": [
     "Monitor position sizing based on current volatility levels",
     "Consider stop-loss placement beyond recent price range",
     "Diversification helps mitigate single-stock risk exposure"
    ]
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "growth",
   "title": "Growth of $10,000",
   "text": [
    "A $10,000 investment in XLU in September 2016 would be worth about $15,757 today, compared with about $35,782 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "monte-carlo",
   "title": "Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)",
   "text": [
    "CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in XLU today could grow to about $17,616 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $38,511 and a bear case around $8,058. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "price-prediction",
   "title": "XLU ETF Price Prediction: 2030",
   "text": [
    "CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $49.55 for XLU by 2030 in the base case, from $39.51 today (1.3x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $30.22. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on XLU's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.",
    "Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using XLU's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "XLU simulated price paths by year",
     "columns": [
      "Year",
      "Downside (10th pct)",
      "Base case",
      "Upside (90th pct)"
     ],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "2027",
       "cells": [
        "$32.65",
        "$41.81",
        "$53.54"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2028",
       "cells": [
        "$31.19",
        "$44.25",
        "$62.78"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2029",
       "cells": [
        "$30.51",
        "$46.82",
        "$71.87"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2030",
       "cells": [
        "$30.22",
        "$49.55",
        "$81.27"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2031",
       "cells": [
        "$30.16",
        "$52.44",
        "$91.17"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2032",
       "cells": [
        "$30.28",
        "$55.49",
        "$102"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2033",
       "cells": [
        "$30.52",
        "$58.73",
        "$113"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2034",
       "cells": [
        "$30.87",
        "$62.15",
        "$125"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2035",
       "cells": [
        "$31.32",
        "$65.77",
        "$138"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2036",
       "cells": [
        "$31.84",
        "$69.60",
        "$152"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "people-also-watch",
   "title": "People Also Watch",
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  {
   "id": "related-comparisons",
   "title": "Popular Comparisons",
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  {
   "id": "faq",
   "title": "Frequently Asked Questions"
  }
 ],
 "faq": [
  {
   "question": "What is the expense ratio for the State Street Utilities Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLU)?",
   "answer": "The expense ratio for XLU is 0.08%, which translates to $8.00 per $10,000 invested. This is a competitive fee for accessing the utilities sector."
  },
  {
   "question": "What sectors does XLU concentrate its holdings in?",
   "answer": "XLU is highly concentrated in the Utilities sector, holding 100% of its assets in this industry. The fund's overview states it provides concentrated exposure to U.S. utility companies within the S&P 500, including electric, gas, water, multi-utility, and independent power businesses."
  },
  {
   "question": "What is the distribution yield for XLU?",
   "answer": "The distribution yield for XLU is approximately 3.06%."
  },
  {
   "question": "How has XLU performed against its category over different time periods?",
   "answer": "XLU has underperformed its category in most recent periods. Year-to-date, XLU returned 0.21% versus the category's 12.44%. Its 1-year return was 2.89% compared to the category's 24.77%, and its 3-year return was 13.62% versus the category's 15.27%. However, over longer periods like 5 and 10 years, XLU's performance has been closer to its category, with returns of 7.42% and 8.93% respectively, compared to the category's 10.64% and 9.94%."
  },
  {
   "question": "What are the key technical levels for XLU?",
   "answer": "XLU is currently trading below its 20-day ($41.46), 50-day ($43.27), and 200-day ($44.47) moving averages. Its RSI is significantly oversold at 16.64, suggesting potential for a short-term bounce from current levels."
  },
  {
   "question": "What is the outlook for XLU based on analyst consensus?",
   "answer": "Analyst consensus data is not available for XLU in the provided dataset. Therefore, an assessment of analyst targets and agreement with AI predictions cannot be provided."
  },
  {
   "question": "What is the XLU etf price prediction 2030?",
   "answer": "Based on Monte Carlo simulations, the projected base price for XLU in 2030 is $49.55. The downside projection is $30.22, and the upside projection is $81.27. These figures represent statistical simulation outcomes, not price targets or guarantees."
  }
 ],
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   },
   {
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