{
 "@context": "https://clearank.com/llms.txt",
 "@type": "clearank:AssetAnalysis",
 "url": "https://clearank.com/etf/us-natural-gas-fund-ung/",
 "dataUrl": "https://clearank.com/etf/us-natural-gas-fund-ung/data.json",
 "title": "US Natural Gas Fund (UNG) ETF Forecast & Price Target (2026)",
 "description": "AI analysis of United States Natural Gas Fund (UNG) ETF. Real-time price data, holdings & daily forecasts. Updated daily.",
 "headline": "United States Natural Gas Fund, LP (UNG)",
 "published": "2026-06-19T09:21:34+00:00",
 "modified": "2026-09-27T03:06:18.017+00:00",
 "generated": "2026-09-27T14:28:41.454Z",
 "language": "en-US",
 "publisher": {
  "name": "CleaRank",
  "url": "https://clearank.com/"
 },
 "disclaimer": "Educational and informational only; not financial advice. AI-generated analysis reviewed by the CleaRank editorial team; prices delayed up to 15 minutes.",
 "asset": {
  "ticker": "UNG",
  "name": "United States Natural Gas Fund, LP",
  "type": "ETF",
  "exchange": "NYSE",
  "currency": "USD",
  "sector": null,
  "industry": null,
  "country": "United States",
  "website": null
 },
 "quote": {
  "price": 11.13,
  "previousClose": 11.55,
  "change": -0.42,
  "changePercent": -3.64,
  "open": 11.05,
  "high": 11.2,
  "low": 10.86,
  "volume": 43589500,
  "averageVolume": 33813120,
  "marketCap": 126767448,
  "fiftyTwoWeekHigh": 17.030001,
  "fiftyTwoWeekLow": 9.55,
  "marketOpen": false,
  "asOf": "2026-09-27T03:06:17.000Z"
 },
 "statistics": {
  "pe": null,
  "eps": null,
  "dividendYield": 0,
  "beta": null,
  "priceToSales": null,
  "priceToBook": null,
  "revenueTtm": 0,
  "grossMargin": null,
  "returnOnEquity": null
 },
 "technicals": {
  "rsi": 59.16,
  "macd": 0.19,
  "sma50": 10.28,
  "sma200": 11.43,
  "rsiSignal": "Neutral",
  "trend": "Bearish",
  "pricePosition": "Bullish",
  "macdSignal": "Bullish",
  "rating": "Bullish"
 },
 "analysis": {
  "rating": "Hold",
  "score": 55,
  "consensus": "Hold",
  "fairValue": null,
  "analystTarget": 11.46,
  "analystCount": null,
  "wallStreetConsensus": "",
  "generatedAt": "2026-09-27T03:06:17.000Z",
  "priceAtAnalysis": 11.13,
  "volatility": {
   "daily": 2.18,
   "risk": "etf"
  }
 },
 "tradePlan": {
  "bias": "Neutral",
  "conservativeEntry": 11.02,
  "aggressiveEntry": 11.13,
  "stopLoss": 10.5,
  "stopLossPercent": 4.7,
  "targets": [
   11.35,
   11.57,
   11.9
  ]
 },
 "projections": {
  "basis": "Monte Carlo simulation on historical return distribution, re-run daily; not price targets",
  "years": [
   {
    "year": 2027,
    "downside10th": 5.31,
    "base": 10.08,
    "upside90th": 19.13
   },
   {
    "year": 2028,
    "downside10th": 3.69,
    "base": 9.13,
    "upside90th": 22.59
   },
   {
    "year": 2029,
    "downside10th": 2.73,
    "base": 8.27,
    "upside90th": 25.09
   },
   {
    "year": 2030,
    "downside10th": 2.08,
    "base": 7.49,
    "upside90th": 26.98
   },
   {
    "year": 2031,
    "downside10th": 1.62,
    "base": 6.78,
    "upside90th": 28.42
   },
   {
    "year": 2032,
    "downside10th": 1.28,
    "base": 6.14,
    "upside90th": 29.51
   },
   {
    "year": 2033,
    "downside10th": 1.02,
    "base": 5.56,
    "upside90th": 30.31
   },
   {
    "year": 2034,
    "downside10th": 0.82,
    "base": 5.04,
    "upside90th": 30.86
   },
   {
    "year": 2035,
    "downside10th": 0.67,
    "base": 4.56,
    "upside90th": 31.2
   },
   {
    "year": 2036,
    "downside10th": 0.54,
    "base": 4.13,
    "upside90th": 31.35
   }
  ]
 },
 "faqCount": 7,
 "sources": [
  "TwelveData",
  "Wall Street consensus"
 ],
 "sections": [
  {
   "id": "price",
   "title": "UNG Price Analysis"
  },
  {
   "id": "market-metrics",
   "title": "Market Metrics",
   "facts": {
    "Open": "$11.05",
    "Day Range": "$10.86 to $11.20",
    "Prev Close": "$11.55",
    "Volume": "43.59M",
    "52-Week Range": "$9.55 to $17.03",
    "Market Cap": "$126.77M"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "mi-fund-facts",
   "title": "UNG Fund Facts",
   "text": [
    "United States Natural Gas Fund, LP is a commodity-focused exchange-traded fund designed to provide direct market exposure to natural gas through futures contracts rather than physical holdings. The fund primarily uses near-month natural gas futures tied to Henry Hub pricing, with positions rolled as contracts approach expiration to maintain continuous exposure. It is used by market participants seeking a liquid, exchange-traded way to track short-term movements in natural gas prices within a brokerage account.",
    "Fund reference data as of Sep 27, 2026. Expense ratio and net assets are reported by the fund; returns are total returns and can differ from price change."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "",
     "columns": [
      "Period",
      "UNG",
      "Category"
     ],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "YTD",
       "cells": [
        "-13.54%",
        "29.92%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "1 month",
       "cells": [
        "5.33%",
        "3.11%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "3 months",
       "cells": [
        "-11.58%",
        "11.90%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "1 year",
       "cells": [
        "-17.24%",
        "71.37%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "3 years",
       "cells": [
        "-28.12%",
        "17.21%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "5 years",
       "cells": [
        "-29.63%",
        "12.75%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "10 years",
       "cells": [
        "-22.55%",
        "7.26%"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "analysis",
   "title": "UNG Analysis",
   "text": [
    "UNG's technical indicators present a mixed outlook. The price is currently trading above its 50-day (10.28) and 20-day (10.59) moving averages, indicating some short-term positive momentum. However, it is trading below its 200-day moving average (11.43), which is often seen as a longer-term trend indicator, suggesting a potentially bearish longer-term trend. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 59.16, which falls into the neutral category, indicating neither overbought nor oversold conditions. The Stochastic Oscillator is at 70.33, suggesting it is approaching overbought territory, while the Commodity Channel Index (CCI) at 139.28 indicates strong positive momentum, potentially signaling an overbought condition.The volume for UNG has been significantly above its average, with the latest volume at 43,589,500, representing a 28.9% increase compared to the average volume of 33,813,120. This heightened trading activity could signal increased investor interest or a reaction to recent market events. The MACD is at 0.19, suggesting a slight bullish crossover or consolidation.",
    "The outlook for the United States Natural Gas Fund, LP (UNG) is cautiously neutral to bearish in the short to medium term, given its current position below the 200-day moving average and its history of significant long-term underperformance relative to its category. While recent price action shows some positive signs above shorter-term moving averages, the overall trend indicated by the 200-day SMA suggests headwinds. The high volatility inherent in natural gas futures, coupled with the potential drag from futures contract rollovers in a contango market, presents ongoing challenges.For the next 6-12 months, UNG's performance will likely remain highly sensitive to fluctuations in natural gas prices, driven by seasonal demand, weather forecasts, and global energy supply dynamics. Investors should be aware that the fund's structure is designed for short-term tracking of daily price movements, and sustained long-term gains are not guaranteed, as evidenced by its trailing returns. Any significant shift in the energy market, such as a sustained increase in demand or a decrease in supply, could alter this outlook, but the inherent risks remain substantial."
   ],
   "lists": {
    "ProTips": [
     "Monitor natural gas supply and demand fundamentals closely, including weather patterns and storage levels.",
     "Be aware of the impact of contango and backwardation on futures contract rollovers, which can significantly affect returns.",
     "Consider UNG primarily for short-term tactical acts rather than long-term investment due to its volatility and historical underperformance.",
     "Compare UNG's performance against its category and other natural gas tracking instruments to assess its effectiveness."
    ]
   },
   "links": [
    {
     "text": "CCI",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/cci-stock-analysis/"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "correlations",
   "title": "Market Correlations",
   "text": [
    "How this etf moves relative to other assets",
    "Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods."
   ],
   "facts": {
    "Correlation with S&P 500 (SPY)": "-0.01",
    "Correlation with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)": "-0.01",
    "Correlation with Bitcoin (BTC)": "+0.10",
    "Correlation with Gold (XAU)": "+0.11"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "key-statistics",
   "title": "Key Statistics",
   "text": [
    "The United States Natural Gas Fund, LP (UNG) is managed by USCF Investments and operates within the Commodities Focused fund type. It has a net asset value of $579,413,120 and an expense ratio of 1.17%, translating to a cost of $117.00 per $10,000 invested. The fund's strategy centers on providing direct exposure to natural gas prices through futures contracts, rather than holding physical commodities. This approach means its performance is closely tied to the dynamics of the natural gas futures market, including contango and backwardation effects.UNG's asset allocation includes 21.65% in cash, 18.07% in bonds, and 46.85% in other assets, with 13.43% in convertibles and preferred stocks. This diversification within the fund's structure aims to manage risk and provide liquidity. The fund's performance has lagged its category significantly over multiple timeframes, particularly over the 1, 3, 5, and 10-year periods, indicating challenges in consistently tracking or outperforming the broader natural gas market trends or its peers.",
    "Its performance is driven by the price movements of natural gas futures contracts. The underlying trend in natural gas prices, influenced by supply and demand factors such as weather patterns, storage levels, and industrial consumption, directly impacts the fund's returns. Recent trends in natural gas prices, which have shown a negative year-to-date return of -13.54%, reflect the current market conditions affecting the commodity.The fund's strategy of rolling futures contracts means that its returns can be affected by the shape of the futures curve. If the market is in contango (longer-dated futures are more expensive than near-term ones), the continuous rolling of contracts can lead to a drag on performance, a phenomenon known as roll yield loss. Conversely, backwardation (near-term futures are more expensive) can provide a positive roll yield. Understanding these futures market dynamics is key to assessing UNG's performance beyond simple spot price movements.",
    "The primary risk for the United States Natural Gas Fund, LP (UNG) is its direct exposure to the volatile natural gas futures market. This includes significant price fluctuations driven by weather, geopolitical events, and supply/demand imbalances, leading to substantial potential losses. The fund's strategy of rolling futures contracts introduces roll yield risk, which can negatively impact returns, especially in a contango market. Also, the fund's long-term trailing returns indicate a persistent underperformance relative to its category, highlighting the difficulty in achieving consistent positive results in this asset class over extended periods."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "",
     "columns": [],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "Net Assets (Market Cap)",
       "cells": [
        "126.77M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Yield",
       "cells": [
        "0.00%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Day High",
       "cells": [
        "$11.20"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Day Low",
       "cells": [
        "$10.86"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "52 Week High",
       "cells": [
        "17.03"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "52 Week Low",
       "cells": [
        "9.55"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "technical-indicators",
   "title": "Technical Indicators",
   "text": [
    "Technical Rating Bullish RSI Neutral SMA Cross Bearish Price vs SMA Bullish MACD Bullish Moving averages show a lagging Death Cross (50-day: $10.28, 200-day: $11.43), price sits above the 50-day SMA but below the 200-day SMA - a mixed posture."
   ],
   "facts": {
    "RSI": "Neutral",
    "SMA Cross": "Bearish",
    "Price vs SMA": "Bullish",
    "MACD": "Bullish"
   },
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "",
     "columns": [],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "RSI (14)",
       "cells": [
        "59.16"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "MACD",
       "cells": [
        "0.19"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "SMA 50",
       "cells": [
        "10.28"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "SMA 200",
       "cells": [
        "11.43"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "trade-plans",
   "title": "UNG Trade Plans",
   "text": [
    "Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels",
    "Enter now if confident",
    "Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss Calculated based on RSI (59.2) and current market volatility",
    "Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3"
   ],
   "facts": {
    "TARGET 1": "$11.35",
    "TARGET 2": "$11.57",
    "TARGET 3": "$11.90",
    "STOP LOSS": "$10.50"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "seasonality",
   "title": "Seasonal Patterns",
   "text": [
    "Historical monthly performance trends",
    "Based on 3 years of historical monthly returns"
   ],
   "facts": {
    "Average Jan return": "+2.46%",
    "Average Feb return": "-3.93%",
    "Average Mar return": "-2.74%",
    "Average Apr return": "+1.55%",
    "Average May return": "+0.19%",
    "Average Jun return": "-2.00%",
    "Average Jul return": "+0.98%",
    "Average Aug return": "+5.51%",
    "Average Sep return": "+0.39%",
    "Average Oct return": "-1.17%",
    "Average Nov return": "+1.98%",
    "Average Dec return": "-9.45%"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "risk",
   "title": "Risk & Volatility",
   "facts": {
    "Daily Volatility": "2.18%"
   },
   "lists": {
    "Risk considerations": [
     "Monitor position sizing based on current volatility levels",
     "Consider stop-loss placement beyond recent price range",
     "Diversification helps mitigate single-stock risk exposure"
    ]
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "growth",
   "title": "Growth of $10,000",
   "text": [
    "A $10,000 investment in UNG in September 2016 would be worth about $797 today, compared with about $35,782 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "monte-carlo",
   "title": "Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)",
   "text": [
    "CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in UNG today could grow to about $3,713 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $28,169 and a bear case around $489. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "price-prediction",
   "title": "UNG ETF Price Prediction: 2030",
   "text": [
    "CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $7.49 for UNG by 2030 in the base case, from $11.13 today (0.7x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $2.08. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on UNG's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.",
    "Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using UNG's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "UNG simulated price paths by year",
     "columns": [
      "Year",
      "Downside (10th pct)",
      "Base case",
      "Upside (90th pct)"
     ],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "2027",
       "cells": [
        "$5.31",
        "$10.08",
        "$19.13"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2028",
       "cells": [
        "$3.69",
        "$9.13",
        "$22.59"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2029",
       "cells": [
        "$2.73",
        "$8.27",
        "$25.09"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2030",
       "cells": [
        "$2.08",
        "$7.49",
        "$26.98"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2031",
       "cells": [
        "$1.62",
        "$6.78",
        "$28.42"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2032",
       "cells": [
        "$1.28",
        "$6.14",
        "$29.51"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2033",
       "cells": [
        "$1.02",
        "$5.56",
        "$30.31"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2034",
       "cells": [
        "$0.8225",
        "$5.04",
        "$30.86"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2035",
       "cells": [
        "$0.6673",
        "$4.56",
        "$31.20"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2036",
       "cells": [
        "$0.5447",
        "$4.13",
        "$31.35"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "people-also-watch",
   "title": "People Also Watch",
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   "id": "related-comparisons",
   "title": "Popular Comparisons",
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  },
  {
   "id": "faq",
   "title": "Frequently Asked Questions"
  }
 ],
 "faq": [
  {
   "question": "What is the expense ratio for the United States Natural Gas Fund, LP (UNG) and what does it cost per $10,000 invested?",
   "answer": "The United States Natural Gas Fund, LP (UNG) has an expense ratio of 1.17%. This translates to an annual cost of $117.00 for every $10,000 invested in the fund."
  },
  {
   "question": "What sectors or assets does the United States Natural Gas Fund, LP (UNG) hold, and how concentrated is it?",
   "answer": "UNG is a commodity-focused ETF that provides exposure to natural gas through futures contracts, rather than holding specific stocks or bonds. Its asset allocation includes 21.65% in cash, 18.07% in bonds, and 46.85% in other assets, with 13.43% in convertibles and preferred stocks, reflecting its strategy to track natural gas prices."
  },
  {
   "question": "How has the United States Natural Gas Fund, LP (UNG) performed against its category over time?",
   "answer": "UNG has significantly underperformed its category over longer periods. For instance, its 1-year trailing return was -17.24% compared to the category's 71.37%, and its 3-year return was -28.12% versus the category's 17.21%."
  },
  {
   "question": "What is the current price trend for UNG?",
   "answer": "UNG is currently trading above its 50-day and 20-day moving averages, indicating some short-term positive momentum. However, it is trading below its 200-day moving average, suggesting a potentially bearish longer-term trend."
  },
  {
   "question": "What are the key technical indicators for UNG?",
   "answer": "UNG's RSI is neutral at 59.16, while its Stochastic Oscillator is at 70.33, approaching overbought territory. The CCI at 139.28 indicates strong positive momentum, potentially signaling an overbought condition."
  },
  {
   "question": "What are the potential risks associated with investing in UNG?",
   "answer": "The primary risks include high volatility in natural gas futures, roll yield risk due to futures contract rollovers, and potential underperformance relative to its category over the long term."
  },
  {
   "question": "What is the price prediction for UNG ETF in 2030?",
   "answer": "Based on Monte Carlo simulations, the projected base price for UNG in 2030 is $7.49, with a downside price projection of $2.08 and an upside price projection of $26.98. These figures represent statistical simulation outcomes, not price targets or guarantees."
  }
 ],
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   {
    "ticker": "FEPI",
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