{
 "@context": "https://clearank.com/llms.txt",
 "@type": "clearank:AssetAnalysis",
 "url": "https://clearank.com/etf/urnj-etf-analysis/",
 "dataUrl": "https://clearank.com/etf/urnj-etf-analysis/data.json",
 "title": "Sprott Junior (URNJ) ETF Forecast & Price Target (2026)",
 "description": "Sprott Junior Uranium Miners (URNJ) ETF: 0.80% expense ratio. $395M net assets. Natural Resources. Fund facts, AI rating, technicals and 2030 projection.",
 "headline": "Sprott Junior Uranium Miners ETF (URNJ)",
 "published": "2026-07-20T09:59:01+00:00",
 "modified": "2026-09-11T14:41:41.553+00:00",
 "generated": "2026-09-11T20:41:00.723Z",
 "language": "en-US",
 "publisher": {
  "name": "CleaRank",
  "url": "https://clearank.com/"
 },
 "disclaimer": "Educational and informational only; not financial advice. AI-generated analysis reviewed by the CleaRank editorial team; prices delayed up to 15 minutes.",
 "asset": {
  "ticker": "URNJ",
  "name": "Sprott Junior Uranium Miners ETF",
  "type": "ETF",
  "exchange": "NASDAQ",
  "currency": "USD",
  "sector": null,
  "industry": null,
  "country": "United States",
  "website": null
 },
 "quote": {
  "price": 23.74,
  "previousClose": 24.59,
  "change": -0.85,
  "changePercent": -3.46,
  "open": 24.18,
  "high": 24.18,
  "low": 23.74,
  "volume": 2069,
  "averageVolume": 307382,
  "marketCap": 0,
  "fiftyTwoWeekHigh": 40.81,
  "fiftyTwoWeekLow": 20.6,
  "marketOpen": false,
  "asOf": "2026-09-11T14:41:40.000Z"
 },
 "statistics": {
  "pe": null,
  "eps": null,
  "dividendYield": 0.27952316764953666,
  "beta": null,
  "priceToSales": null,
  "priceToBook": null,
  "revenueTtm": 0,
  "grossMargin": null,
  "returnOnEquity": null
 },
 "technicals": {
  "rsi": 36.98,
  "macd": 0.2,
  "sma50": 23.99,
  "sma200": 28.13,
  "rsiSignal": "Bearish",
  "trend": "Bearish",
  "pricePosition": "Bearish",
  "macdSignal": "Bullish",
  "rating": "Bearish"
 },
 "analysis": {
  "rating": "Sell",
  "score": 25,
  "consensus": "Sell",
  "fairValue": null,
  "analystTarget": 21.84,
  "analystCount": null,
  "wallStreetConsensus": "",
  "generatedAt": "2026-09-11T14:41:40.000Z",
  "priceAtAnalysis": 23.74,
  "volatility": {
   "daily": 3.15,
   "risk": "etf"
  }
 },
 "tradePlan": {
  "bias": "Bearish",
  "conservativeEntry": 24.21,
  "aggressiveEntry": 23.74,
  "stopLoss": 25.36,
  "stopLossPercent": 4.72,
  "targets": [
   23,
   21.79,
   20.58
  ]
 },
 "projections": {
  "basis": "Monte Carlo simulation on historical return distribution, re-run daily; not price targets",
  "years": [
   {
    "year": 2027,
    "downside10th": 13.33,
    "base": 25.3,
    "upside90th": 48.01
   },
   {
    "year": 2028,
    "downside10th": 10.89,
    "base": 26.95,
    "upside90th": 66.71
   },
   {
    "year": 2029,
    "downside10th": 9.47,
    "base": 28.72,
    "upside90th": 87.14
   },
   {
    "year": 2030,
    "downside10th": 8.5,
    "base": 30.6,
    "upside90th": 110.25
   },
   {
    "year": 2031,
    "downside10th": 7.78,
    "base": 32.61,
    "upside90th": 136.66
   },
   {
    "year": 2032,
    "downside10th": 7.23,
    "base": 34.75,
    "upside90th": 166.96
   },
   {
    "year": 2033,
    "downside10th": 6.8,
    "base": 37.02,
    "upside90th": 201.74
   },
   {
    "year": 2034,
    "downside10th": 6.44,
    "base": 39.45,
    "upside90th": 241.66
   },
   {
    "year": 2035,
    "downside10th": 6.15,
    "base": 42.04,
    "upside90th": 287.43
   },
   {
    "year": 2036,
    "downside10th": 5.9,
    "base": 44.79,
    "upside90th": 339.83
   }
  ]
 },
 "faqCount": 7,
 "sources": [
  "TwelveData",
  "Wall Street consensus"
 ],
 "sections": [
  {
   "id": "price",
   "title": "URNJ Price Analysis"
  },
  {
   "id": "market-metrics",
   "title": "Market Metrics",
   "facts": {
    "Open": "$24.18",
    "Day Range": "$23.74 to $24.18",
    "Prev Close": "$24.59",
    "Volume": "2.1K",
    "52-Week Range": "$20.60 to $40.81"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "mi-fund-facts",
   "title": "URNJ Fund Facts",
   "text": [
    "Sprott Junior Uranium Miners ETF is an exchange-traded fund that provides focused exposure to smaller uranium industry companies. The fund is designed to track the Nasdaq Sprott Junior Uranium Miners Index, which includes mid-, small-, and micro-cap businesses involved in uranium mining, exploration, development, production, royalties, and supply. Its portfolio is concentrated in firms with substantial ties to uranium-related activities, making it a targeted vehicle for investors seeking broad access to the junior uranium segment of the global resources market.",
    "Fund reference data as of Sep 11, 2026. Expense ratio and net assets are reported by the fund; returns are total returns and can differ from price change."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "",
     "columns": [
      "Period",
      "URNJ",
      "Category"
     ],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "YTD",
       "cells": [
        "2.74%",
        "17.99%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "1 month",
       "cells": [
        "19.10%",
        "5.51%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "3 months",
       "cells": [
        "-7.93%",
        "5.28%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "1 year",
       "cells": [
        "15.69%",
        "68.30%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "3 years",
       "cells": [
        "16.31%",
        "16.21%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "5 years",
       "cells": [
        "N/A",
        "11.05%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "10 years",
       "cells": [
        "N/A",
        "11.07%"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "analysis",
   "title": "URNJ Analysis",
   "text": [
    "URNJ is currently trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($23.99 and $28.13), indicating a bearish trend. The 50-day SMA is at $23.99, while the 200-day SMA is at $28.13, with the current price of $23.74 sitting below both. The 20-day exponential moving average is at $25.21, also above the current price. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 36.98, which is in bearish territory, suggesting a lack of buying momentum. The MACD is slightly positive at 0.20, but the overall technical picture points to downward pressure.",
    "The outlook for the Sprott Junior Uranium Miners ETF (URNJ) is cautious, with a bearish short-term technical trend. The ETF is trading below its key moving averages, and its RSI indicates a lack of buying momentum. While the uranium sector can experience significant cyclical swings driven by supply and demand dynamics, URNJ's current positioning suggests it may face headwinds in the near term. Investor sentiment towards junior miners, often more volatile than their larger counterparts, will be a critical factor. Any significant shift in global energy policy or demand for nuclear power could influence the sector's trajectory."
   ],
   "lists": {
    "ProTips": [
     "Consider the high concentration risk in the junior uranium mining sector.",
     "Monitor uranium prices and global nuclear energy demand for sector-specific catalysts.",
     "Be aware of the ETF's underperformance relative to its category over the past year.",
     "Evaluate the broader macro-economic environment for its impact on commodity-linked equities."
    ]
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "correlations",
   "title": "Market Correlations",
   "text": [
    "How this etf moves relative to other assets",
    "Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods."
   ],
   "facts": {
    "Correlation with S&P 500 (SPY)": "+0.43",
    "Correlation with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)": "+0.46",
    "Correlation with Bitcoin (BTC)": "+0.31",
    "Correlation with Gold (XAU)": "+0.48"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "key-statistics",
   "title": "Key Statistics",
   "text": [
    "The Sprott Junior Uranium Miners ETF (URNJ) is heavily concentrated in the Energy sector, with 92.68% of its assets allocated to this area, and 7.32% in Basic Materials. This concentration highlights the fund's specific focus on uranium-related companies. The fund's expense ratio is 0.80%, costing $80 per $10,000 invested annually, and it holds net assets of $395.16 million. The fund's overview indicates it tracks an index of smaller uranium companies, providing broad access to the junior segment of the global uranium market. The international nature of the uranium supply chain means holdings are likely diversified geographically.",
    "Its underlying holdings in the junior uranium mining sector have shown mixed earnings performance. Recent earnings reports from constituent companies indicate some volatility. For instance, in July 2026, an earnings surprise of -2.56% was reported, followed by a positive surprise of 6% in April 2026. The aggregate earnings trend for the sector will be a key driver for the fund's performance, as positive surprises can boost sentiment and negative surprises can weigh on prices.",
    "The primary risk for URNJ is its high concentration in the junior uranium mining segment, which is inherently volatile. This concentration exposes investors to significant sector-specific risks, including commodity price fluctuations for uranium and regulatory changes affecting mining operations. Also, the fund's performance has lagged its category significantly over the past year, indicating potential headwinds or underperformance within the specific sub-sector it targets."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "",
     "columns": [],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "Yield",
       "cells": [
        "6.99%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Day High",
       "cells": [
        "$24.18"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Day Low",
       "cells": [
        "$23.74"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "52 Week High",
       "cells": [
        "40.81"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "52 Week Low",
       "cells": [
        "20.60"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "technical-indicators",
   "title": "Technical Indicators",
   "text": [
    "Technical Rating Bearish RSI Bearish SMA Cross Bearish Price vs SMA Bearish MACD Bullish Moving averages show a lagging Death Cross (50-day: $23.99, 200-day: $28.13), price is trading below the 50-day SMA."
   ],
   "facts": {
    "RSI": "Bearish",
    "SMA Cross": "Bearish",
    "Price vs SMA": "Bearish",
    "MACD": "Bullish"
   },
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "",
     "columns": [],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "RSI (14)",
       "cells": [
        "36.98"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "MACD",
       "cells": [
        "0.20"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "SMA 50",
       "cells": [
        "23.99"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "SMA 200",
       "cells": [
        "28.13"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "trade-plans",
   "title": "URNJ Trade Plans",
   "text": [
    "Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels",
    "Lower risk, wait for rally",
    "Higher risk, chasing the move",
    "Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss Calculated based on RSI (37.0) and current market volatility",
    "Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3"
   ],
   "facts": {
    "TARGET 1": "$23.00",
    "TARGET 2": "$21.79",
    "TARGET 3": "$20.58",
    "STOP LOSS": "$25.36"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "seasonality",
   "title": "Seasonal Patterns",
   "text": [
    "Historical monthly performance trends",
    "Based on 3 years of historical monthly returns"
   ],
   "facts": {
    "Average Jan return": "+12.80%",
    "Average Feb return": "-11.95%",
    "Average Mar return": "-8.15%",
    "Average Apr return": "+1.56%",
    "Average May return": "+3.28%",
    "Average Jun return": "-1.09%",
    "Average Jul return": "-3.73%",
    "Average Aug return": "+10.18%",
    "Average Sep return": "+22.11%",
    "Average Oct return": "+4.18%",
    "Average Nov return": "-0.42%",
    "Average Dec return": "-8.31%"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "risk",
   "title": "Risk & Volatility",
   "facts": {
    "Daily Volatility": "3.15%"
   },
   "lists": {
    "Risk considerations": [
     "Monitor position sizing based on current volatility levels",
     "Consider stop-loss placement beyond recent price range",
     "Diversification helps mitigate single-stock risk exposure"
    ]
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "growth",
   "title": "Growth of $10,000",
   "text": [
    "A $10,000 investment in URNJ in February 2023 would be worth about $12,005 today, compared with about $18,183 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "monte-carlo",
   "title": "Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)",
   "text": [
    "CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in URNJ today could grow to about $18,868 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $143,147 and a bear case around $2,487. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "price-prediction",
   "title": "URNJ ETF Price Prediction: 2030",
   "text": [
    "CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $30.60 for URNJ by 2030 in the base case, from $23.74 today (1.3x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $8.50. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on URNJ's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.",
    "Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using URNJ's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "URNJ simulated price paths by year",
     "columns": [
      "Year",
      "Downside (10th pct)",
      "Base case",
      "Upside (90th pct)"
     ],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "2027",
       "cells": [
        "$13.33",
        "$25.30",
        "$48.01"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2028",
       "cells": [
        "$10.89",
        "$26.95",
        "$66.71"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2029",
       "cells": [
        "$9.47",
        "$28.72",
        "$87.14"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2030",
       "cells": [
        "$8.50",
        "$30.60",
        "$110"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2031",
       "cells": [
        "$7.78",
        "$32.61",
        "$137"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2032",
       "cells": [
        "$7.23",
        "$34.75",
        "$167"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2033",
       "cells": [
        "$6.80",
        "$37.02",
        "$202"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2034",
       "cells": [
        "$6.44",
        "$39.45",
        "$242"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2035",
       "cells": [
        "$6.15",
        "$42.04",
        "$287"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2036",
       "cells": [
        "$5.90",
        "$44.79",
        "$340"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
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  {
   "id": "faq",
   "title": "Frequently Asked Questions"
  }
 ],
 "faq": [
  {
   "question": "What is the expense ratio for the Sprott Junior Uranium Miners ETF (URNJ)?",
   "answer": "The Sprott Junior Uranium Miners ETF (URNJ) has an expense ratio of 0.80%, which amounts to $80 per $10,000 invested annually."
  },
  {
   "question": "What sectors does the Sprott Junior Uranium Miners ETF (URNJ) hold?",
   "answer": "URNJ is heavily concentrated in the Energy sector, holding 92.68% of its assets, with an additional 7.32% in Basic Materials, reflecting its focus on uranium miners."
  },
  {
   "question": "What is the distribution yield for the Sprott Junior Uranium Miners ETF (URNJ)?",
   "answer": "The Sprott Junior Uranium Miners ETF (URNJ) has a distribution yield of 6.99%."
  },
  {
   "question": "How has the Sprott Junior Uranium Miners ETF (URNJ) performed against its category?",
   "answer": "Over the past year, URNJ returned 15.69% while its category returned 68.30%. Its year-to-date return was 2.74% compared to the category's 17.99%. The fund has shown stronger performance over the 3-year period, with a return of 16.31% versus the category's 16.21%."
  },
  {
   "question": "What are the key risks associated with investing in the Sprott Junior Uranium Miners ETF (URNJ)?",
   "answer": "The main risks include high concentration in the volatile junior uranium mining sector, susceptibility to uranium price fluctuations, and regulatory changes impacting mining. Its recent underperformance relative to its category also presents a risk."
  },
  {
   "question": "What is the outlook for the Sprott Junior Uranium Miners ETF (URNJ) in the next 6-12 months?",
   "answer": "The outlook for URNJ is cautious due to its bearish technical trend and sector concentration. While the uranium market can be cyclical, the current trading below key moving averages suggests potential for continued weakness unless market sentiment shifts favorably."
  },
  {
   "question": "What is the URNJ etf price prediction for 2030?",
   "answer": "Based on Monte Carlo simulations, the projected price for URNJ in 2030 is $30.60 as a base case. The downside projection is $8.50, and the upside projection is $110.25. These figures represent statistical simulation outcomes, not price targets or guarantees."
  }
 ],
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   }
  ],
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}