{
 "@context": "https://clearank.com/llms.txt",
 "@type": "clearank:AssetAnalysis",
 "url": "https://clearank.com/etf/spy-spdr-sp-500/",
 "dataUrl": "https://clearank.com/etf/spy-spdr-sp-500/data.json",
 "title": "S&P 500 (SPY) ETF Forecast & Price Target (2026)",
 "description": "Is SPY a Buy or Sell? Get the latest AI trade setup, key support levels, and technical analysis for the S&P 500 ETF. Updated daily.",
 "headline": "State Street SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF Trust (SPY)",
 "published": "2026-01-20T22:43:15+00:00",
 "modified": "2026-09-27T10:55:51.903+00:00",
 "generated": "2026-09-27T13:34:40.158Z",
 "language": "en-US",
 "publisher": {
  "name": "CleaRank",
  "url": "https://clearank.com/"
 },
 "disclaimer": "Educational and informational only; not financial advice. AI-generated analysis reviewed by the CleaRank editorial team; prices delayed up to 15 minutes.",
 "asset": {
  "ticker": "SPY",
  "name": "State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust",
  "type": "ETF",
  "exchange": "NYSE",
  "currency": "USD",
  "sector": null,
  "industry": null,
  "country": "United States",
  "website": null
 },
 "quote": {
  "price": 771.35,
  "previousClose": 767.18,
  "change": 4.17,
  "changePercent": 0.54,
  "open": 768.78003,
  "high": 772.28003,
  "low": 766.28998,
  "volume": 36629600,
  "averageVolume": 48528500,
  "marketCap": 655998451712,
  "fiftyTwoWeekHigh": 779.37,
  "fiftyTwoWeekLow": 629.28003,
  "marketOpen": false,
  "asOf": "2026-09-27T10:55:51.000Z"
 },
 "statistics": {
  "pe": 24.936777,
  "eps": null,
  "dividendYield": 0.009796447711118298,
  "beta": null,
  "priceToSales": null,
  "priceToBook": null,
  "revenueTtm": 0,
  "grossMargin": null,
  "returnOnEquity": null
 },
 "technicals": {
  "rsi": 50.95,
  "macd": 1.58,
  "sma50": 761.57,
  "sma200": 718.45,
  "rsiSignal": "Neutral",
  "trend": "Bullish",
  "pricePosition": "Bullish",
  "macdSignal": "Bullish",
  "rating": "Bullish"
 },
 "analysis": {
  "rating": "Hold",
  "score": 50,
  "consensus": "Hold",
  "fairValue": null,
  "analystTarget": 794.49,
  "analystCount": null,
  "wallStreetConsensus": "",
  "generatedAt": "2026-09-27T10:55:51.000Z",
  "priceAtAnalysis": 771.34998,
  "volatility": {
   "daily": 0.62,
   "risk": "etf"
  }
 },
 "tradePlan": {
  "bias": "Neutral",
  "conservativeEntry": 763.64,
  "aggressiveEntry": 771.35,
  "stopLoss": 740.73,
  "stopLossPercent": 3,
  "targets": [
   786.55,
   801.82,
   824.73
  ]
 },
 "projections": {
  "basis": "Monte Carlo simulation on historical return distribution, re-run daily; not price targets",
  "years": [
   {
    "year": 2027,
    "downside10th": 675.05,
    "base": 850.75,
    "upside90th": 1072.2
   },
   {
    "year": 2028,
    "downside10th": 676.5,
    "base": 938.33,
    "upside90th": 1301.5
   },
   {
    "year": 2029,
    "downside10th": 693.25,
    "base": 1034.93,
    "upside90th": 1545.01
   },
   {
    "year": 2030,
    "downside10th": 718.66,
    "base": 1141.46,
    "upside90th": 1813.02
   },
   {
    "year": 2031,
    "downside10th": 750.51,
    "base": 1258.97,
    "upside90th": 2111.9
   },
   {
    "year": 2032,
    "downside10th": 787.89,
    "base": 1388.57,
    "upside90th": 2447.2
   },
   {
    "year": 2033,
    "downside10th": 830.42,
    "base": 1531.51,
    "upside90th": 2824.5
   },
   {
    "year": 2034,
    "downside10th": 878.01,
    "base": 1689.17,
    "upside90th": 3249.73
   },
   {
    "year": 2035,
    "downside10th": 930.71,
    "base": 1863.05,
    "upside90th": 3729.39
   },
   {
    "year": 2036,
    "downside10th": 988.69,
    "base": 2054.84,
    "upside90th": 4270.66
   }
  ]
 },
 "faqCount": 7,
 "sources": [
  "TwelveData",
  "Wall Street consensus"
 ],
 "sections": [
  {
   "id": "price",
   "title": "SPY Price Analysis"
  },
  {
   "id": "market-metrics",
   "title": "Market Metrics",
   "facts": {
    "Open": "$768.78",
    "Day Range": "$766.29 to $772.28",
    "Prev Close": "$767.18",
    "Volume": "36.63M",
    "52-Week Range": "$629.28 to $779.37",
    "Market Cap": "$656.00B"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "mi-fund-facts",
   "title": "SPY Fund Facts",
   "text": [
    "State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust is an exchange-traded fund designed to provide broad exposure to large-cap U.S. equities by tracking the S&P 500 Index. It holds a diversified portfolio of approximately 500 leading companies across major sectors, including technology, financials, healthcare, consumer, and industrials, making it a widely used vehicle for gaining access to the overall U.S. equity market.",
    "Fund reference data as of Sep 27, 2026. Expense ratio and net assets are reported by the fund; returns are total returns and can differ from price change."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "",
     "columns": [
      "Period",
      "SPY",
      "Category"
     ],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "YTD",
       "cells": [
        "13.07%",
        "5.14%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "1 month",
       "cells": [
        "2.71%",
        "9.43%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "3 months",
       "cells": [
        "1.66%",
        "3.42%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "1 year",
       "cells": [
        "20.26%",
        "27.72%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "3 years",
       "cells": [
        "20.91%",
        "19.34%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "5 years",
       "cells": [
        "12.69%",
        "11.20%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "10 years",
       "cells": [
        "15.27%",
        "13.77%"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "analysis",
   "title": "SPY Analysis",
   "text": [
    "SPY is currently trading above its 20-day, 50-day, and 200-day simple moving averages, indicating an overall uptrend. The 20-day EMA is at 765.83, the 50-day SMA is at 761.57, and the 200-day SMA is at 718.45. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 50.95, which is neutral, suggesting neither overbought nor oversold conditions. The MACD is slightly positive at 1.58, indicating some underlying bullish momentum, but the overall picture is one of consolidation around these key technical levels.",
    "The outlook for SPY remains largely tied to the performance of the broader U.S. equity market and the S&P 500 Index. Given its neutral technical momentum, the ETF may experience a period of sideways trading or a gradual upward trend if the market continues to advance. The significant weighting in technology presents both an opportunity for growth and a risk if the sector faces headwinds. Over the next 6-12 months, SPY is expected to track the market's overall direction, with potential for modest gains if economic conditions remain stable and corporate earnings continue to grow. Key resistance levels will be closely watched for potential breakouts."
   ],
   "lists": {
    "ProTips": [
     "Consider SPY as a core holding for broad U.S. equity market exposure due to its diversification and low expense ratio.",
     "Monitor the performance of the Technology sector, as it significantly influences SPY's overall returns.",
     "Compare SPY's trailing returns against its category to understand its long-term performance relative to similar funds."
    ]
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "correlations",
   "title": "Market Correlations",
   "text": [
    "How this etf moves relative to other assets",
    "Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods."
   ],
   "facts": {
    "Correlation with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)": "+0.95",
    "Correlation with Bitcoin (BTC)": "+0.49",
    "Correlation with Gold (XAU)": "+0.14"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "key-statistics",
   "title": "Key Statistics",
   "text": [
    "As a passively managed ETF tracking the S&P 500, SPY's fundamental health is tied to the performance of the underlying U.S. large-cap equity market. The sector allocation is heavily weighted towards Technology (38.69%), which can drive performance but also introduces concentration risk. Financial Services (12.06%) and Communication Services (9.50%) are the next largest exposures. The fund's expense ratio is a low 0.095%, costing approximately $9.50 per $10,000 invested annually. With net assets of over $811 billion, SPY is a highly liquid and stable vehicle.",
    "SPY's earnings analysis is derived from the aggregate performance of its underlying holdings in the S&P 500. The broad sector exposure suggests that trends in Technology, Financial Services, and Healthcare will significantly influence the fund's overall performance. The sector's overall health, reflected in the collective earnings growth of these large-cap companies, is a key driver for SPY's returns.",
    "The primary risk for SPY lies in its significant concentration within the Technology sector, which accounts for over a third of its assets. A downturn in technology stocks could disproportionately impact the ETF's performance. Additionally, broad market downturns or significant sector rotations away from large-cap growth stocks could lead to underperformance relative to its category, as seen in the 1-year trailing returns."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "",
     "columns": [],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "Net Assets (Market Cap)",
       "cells": [
        "656.00B"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Expense Ratio",
       "cells": [
        "0.0945%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Yield",
       "cells": [
        "0.98%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Day High",
       "cells": [
        "$772.28"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Day Low",
       "cells": [
        "$766.29"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "52 Week High",
       "cells": [
        "779.37"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "52 Week Low",
       "cells": [
        "629.28"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "technical-indicators",
   "title": "Technical Indicators",
   "text": [
    "Technical Rating Bullish RSI Neutral SMA Cross Bullish Price vs SMA Bullish MACD Bullish Golden Cross in effect with the 50-day SMA ($761.57) above the 200-day SMA ($718.45), price action is firmly bullish above key moving averages."
   ],
   "facts": {
    "RSI": "Neutral",
    "SMA Cross": "Bullish",
    "Price vs SMA": "Bullish",
    "MACD": "Bullish"
   },
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "",
     "columns": [],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "RSI (14)",
       "cells": [
        "50.95"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "MACD",
       "cells": [
        "1.58"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "SMA 50",
       "cells": [
        "761.57"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "SMA 200",
       "cells": [
        "718.45"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "trade-plans",
   "title": "SPY Trade Plans",
   "text": [
    "Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels",
    "Enter now if confident",
    "Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss Calculated based on RSI (51.0) and current market volatility",
    "Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3"
   ],
   "facts": {
    "TARGET 1": "$786.55",
    "TARGET 2": "$801.82",
    "TARGET 3": "$824.73",
    "STOP LOSS": "$740.73"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "seasonality",
   "title": "Seasonal Patterns",
   "text": [
    "Historical monthly performance trends",
    "Based on 3 years of historical monthly returns"
   ],
   "facts": {
    "Average Jan return": "+2.05%",
    "Average Feb return": "-0.92%",
    "Average Mar return": "-1.62%",
    "Average Apr return": "+2.58%",
    "Average May return": "+2.19%",
    "Average Jun return": "+1.11%",
    "Average Jul return": "+2.77%",
    "Average Aug return": "+1.40%",
    "Average Sep return": "-1.40%",
    "Average Oct return": "+0.45%",
    "Average Nov return": "+3.90%",
    "Average Dec return": "-0.22%"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "risk",
   "title": "Risk & Volatility",
   "facts": {
    "Daily Volatility": "0.62%"
   },
   "lists": {
    "Risk considerations": [
     "Monitor position sizing based on current volatility levels",
     "Consider stop-loss placement beyond recent price range",
     "Diversification helps mitigate single-stock risk exposure"
    ]
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "growth",
   "title": "Growth of $10,000",
   "text": [
    "A $10,000 investment in SPY in September 2016 would be worth about $35,782 today, compared with about $35,782 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "monte-carlo",
   "title": "Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)",
   "text": [
    "CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in SPY today could grow to about $26,640 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $55,366 and a bear case around $12,818. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "price-prediction",
   "title": "SPY ETF Price Prediction: 2030",
   "text": [
    "CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $1,141 for SPY by 2030 in the base case, from $771 today (1.5x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $719. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on SPY's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.",
    "Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using SPY's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "SPY simulated price paths by year",
     "columns": [
      "Year",
      "Downside (10th pct)",
      "Base case",
      "Upside (90th pct)"
     ],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "2027",
       "cells": [
        "$675",
        "$851",
        "$1,072"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2028",
       "cells": [
        "$677",
        "$938",
        "$1,301"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2029",
       "cells": [
        "$693",
        "$1,035",
        "$1,545"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2030",
       "cells": [
        "$719",
        "$1,141",
        "$1,813"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2031",
       "cells": [
        "$751",
        "$1,259",
        "$2,112"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2032",
       "cells": [
        "$788",
        "$1,389",
        "$2,447"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2033",
       "cells": [
        "$830",
        "$1,532",
        "$2,824"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2034",
       "cells": [
        "$878",
        "$1,689",
        "$3,250"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2035",
       "cells": [
        "$931",
        "$1,863",
        "$3,729"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2036",
       "cells": [
        "$989",
        "$2,055",
        "$4,271"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "people-also-watch",
   "title": "People Also Watch",
   "links": [
    {
     "text": "MTUM iShares MSCI USA Momentum Factor ETF CBOE $318.50 +0.33%",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/etf/mtum-etf-analysis/"
    },
    {
     "text": "SCHG Schwab U.S. Large-Cap Growth ETF NYSE $36.26 +0.55%",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/etf/schwab-us-large-cap-growth-schg/"
    },
    {
     "text": "BITB Bitwise Bitcoin ETF NYSE $45.57 -0.48%",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/etf/bitb-etf-analysis/"
    },
    {
     "text": "IGV iShares Expanded Tech-Software Sector ETF CBOE $106.01 -1.06%",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/etf/ishares-software-igv/"
    },
    {
     "text": "RSP Invesco S&P 500 Equal Weight ETF NYSE $211.11 +0.40%",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/etf/rsp-etf-analysis/"
    },
    {
     "text": "VOO Vanguard S&P 500 ETF NYSE $710.79 +0.54%",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/etf/voo-vanguard-sp-500/"
    },
    {
     "text": "ITB iShares U.S. Home Construction ETF CBOE $89.43 +1.27%",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/etf/itb-etf-analysis/"
    },
    {
     "text": "FDVV Fidelity High Dividend ETF NYSE $61.70 +0.78%",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/etf/fdvv-etf-analysis/"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "related-comparisons",
   "title": "Compare SPY",
   "links": [
    {
     "text": "XAU/USD vs SPY Comparison Head-to-head analysis →",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/compare/gold-vs-sp500/"
    },
    {
     "text": "VTI vs SPY Comparison Head-to-head analysis →",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/compare/vti-vs-spy/"
    },
    {
     "text": "DIA vs SPY Comparison Head-to-head analysis →",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/compare/dia-vs-spy/"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "faq",
   "title": "Frequently Asked Questions"
  }
 ],
 "faq": [
  {
   "question": "What is the expense ratio for the State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY)?",
   "answer": "The expense ratio for SPY is 0.095%, which translates to approximately $9.50 per $10,000 invested annually. This low cost is a key feature for investors seeking broad market exposure."
  },
  {
   "question": "What sectors does the SPY ETF hold and how concentrated is it?",
   "answer": "SPY holds a diversified portfolio of approximately 500 large-cap U.S. companies. The largest sector exposure is Technology at 38.69%, followed by Financial Services at 12.06% and Communication Services at 9.50%. This indicates a significant concentration in technology."
  },
  {
   "question": "How has SPY performed against its category over different timeframes?",
   "answer": "SPY's trailing returns show it has underperformed its category over the past year (20.26% vs 27.72%). However, over longer periods, SPY has outperformed its category, with 3-year returns of 20.91% vs 19.34%, 5-year returns of 12.69% vs 11.20%, and 10-year returns of 15.27% vs 13.77%."
  },
  {
   "question": "What is the price prediction for SPY ETF in 2030?",
   "answer": "Based on a Monte Carlo simulation, the base case price projection for SPY in 2030 is $1141.46. The downside projection is $718.66, and the upside projection is $1813.02. These figures represent statistical simulation outcomes, not price targets or guarantees."
  },
  {
   "question": "What are the key technical indicators for SPY?",
   "answer": "SPY's RSI is neutral at 50.95, indicating a lack of strong momentum. It is trading above its 20-day, 50-day, and 200-day moving averages, suggesting an overall uptrend but with current consolidation."
  },
  {
   "question": "What is the dividend yield of the SPY ETF?",
   "answer": "The SPY ETF has a dividend yield of approximately 0.98%."
  },
  {
   "question": "What is the overall health score of SPY?",
   "answer": "SPY has a health score of 5, indicating a generally healthy ETF, likely due to its broad diversification, low costs, and strong long-term performance trends."
  }
 ],
 "related": {
  "peopleAlsoWatch": [
   {
    "ticker": "MTUM",
    "name": "iShares MSCI USA Momentum Factor ETF CBOE",
    "price": "$318.50",
    "change": "+0.33%",
    "url": "https://clearank.com/etf/mtum-etf-analysis/"
   },
   {
    "ticker": "SCHG",
    "name": "Schwab U.S. Large-Cap Growth ETF NYSE",
    "price": "$36.26",
    "change": "+0.55%",
    "url": "https://clearank.com/etf/schwab-us-large-cap-growth-schg/"
   },
   {
    "ticker": "BITB",
    "name": "Bitwise Bitcoin ETF NYSE",
    "price": "$45.57",
    "change": "-0.48%",
    "url": "https://clearank.com/etf/bitb-etf-analysis/"
   },
   {
    "ticker": "IGV",
    "name": "iShares Expanded Tech-Software Sector ETF CBOE",
    "price": "$106.01",
    "change": "-1.06%",
    "url": "https://clearank.com/etf/ishares-software-igv/"
   },
   {
    "ticker": "RSP",
    "name": "Invesco S&P 500 Equal Weight ETF NYSE",
    "price": "$211.11",
    "change": "+0.40%",
    "url": "https://clearank.com/etf/rsp-etf-analysis/"
   },
   {
    "ticker": "VOO",
    "name": "Vanguard S&P 500 ETF NYSE",
    "price": "$710.79",
    "change": "+0.54%",
    "url": "https://clearank.com/etf/voo-vanguard-sp-500/"
   },
   {
    "ticker": "ITB",
    "name": "iShares U.S. Home Construction ETF CBOE",
    "price": "$89.43",
    "change": "+1.27%",
    "url": "https://clearank.com/etf/itb-etf-analysis/"
   },
   {
    "ticker": "FDVV",
    "name": "Fidelity High Dividend ETF NYSE",
    "price": "$61.70",
    "change": "+0.78%",
    "url": "https://clearank.com/etf/fdvv-etf-analysis/"
   }
  ],
  "comparisons": [
   {
    "ticker": "XAU/USD vs SPY Comparison",
    "name": "",
    "url": "https://clearank.com/compare/gold-vs-sp500/"
   },
   {
    "ticker": "VTI vs SPY Comparison",
    "name": "",
    "url": "https://clearank.com/compare/vti-vs-spy/"
   },
   {
    "ticker": "DIA vs SPY Comparison",
    "name": "",
    "url": "https://clearank.com/compare/dia-vs-spy/"
   }
  ],
  "Newly Tracked": [
   {
    "ticker": "AME",
    "text": "AMETEK Inc",
    "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/ame-stock-analysis/"
   },
   {
    "ticker": "VRSK",
    "text": "Verisk Analytics, Inc.",
    "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/vrsk-stock-analysis/"
   },
   {
    "ticker": "DEO",
    "text": "Diageo plc Sponsored",
    "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/deo-stock-analysis/"
   },
   {
    "ticker": "KMB",
    "text": "Kimberly-Clark Corporation",
    "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/kmb-stock-analysis/"
   },
   {
    "ticker": "IAUM",
    "text": "iShares Gold Trust Micro",
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}