{
 "@context": "https://clearank.com/llms.txt",
 "@type": "clearank:AssetAnalysis",
 "url": "https://clearank.com/etf/spdr-semiconductor-xsd/",
 "dataUrl": "https://clearank.com/etf/spdr-semiconductor-xsd/data.json",
 "title": "SPDR S&P Semiconductor ETF (XSD) ETF Forecast (2026)",
 "description": "State Street SPDR S&P Semiconductor (XSD) ETF: 0.35% expense ratio. $2.6B net assets. Technology. Fund facts, AI rating, technicals and 2030 projection.",
 "headline": "State Street SPDR S&amp;P Semiconductor ETF (XSD)",
 "published": "2026-06-26T09:37:38+00:00",
 "modified": "2026-09-27T07:11:02.908+00:00",
 "generated": "2026-09-27T14:26:15.070Z",
 "language": "en-US",
 "publisher": {
  "name": "CleaRank",
  "url": "https://clearank.com/"
 },
 "disclaimer": "Educational and informational only; not financial advice. AI-generated analysis reviewed by the CleaRank editorial team; prices delayed up to 15 minutes.",
 "asset": {
  "ticker": "XSD",
  "name": "State Street SPDR S&P Semiconductor ETF",
  "type": "ETF",
  "exchange": "NYSE",
  "currency": "USD",
  "sector": null,
  "industry": null,
  "country": "United States",
  "website": null
 },
 "quote": {
  "price": 540.74,
  "previousClose": 526.7,
  "change": 14.04,
  "changePercent": 2.67,
  "open": 531.84998,
  "high": 545.15002,
  "low": 530.95001,
  "volume": 110400,
  "averageVolume": 153100,
  "marketCap": 1652515456,
  "fiftyTwoWeekHigh": 658.14001,
  "fiftyTwoWeekLow": 280.82999,
  "marketOpen": false,
  "asOf": "2026-09-27T07:11:02.000Z"
 },
 "statistics": {
  "pe": 37.53177,
  "eps": null,
  "dividendYield": 0.0013606448703194708,
  "beta": null,
  "priceToSales": null,
  "priceToBook": null,
  "revenueTtm": 0,
  "grossMargin": null,
  "returnOnEquity": null
 },
 "technicals": {
  "rsi": 67.72,
  "macd": 6.54,
  "sma50": 504.6,
  "sma200": 450.56,
  "rsiSignal": "Bullish",
  "trend": "Bullish",
  "pricePosition": "Bullish",
  "macdSignal": "Bullish",
  "rating": "Bullish"
 },
 "analysis": {
  "rating": "Buy",
  "score": 78,
  "consensus": "Buy",
  "fairValue": null,
  "analystTarget": 584,
  "analystCount": null,
  "wallStreetConsensus": "",
  "generatedAt": "2026-09-27T07:11:02.000Z",
  "priceAtAnalysis": 540.73999,
  "volatility": {
   "daily": 2.52,
   "risk": "etf"
  }
 },
 "tradePlan": {
  "bias": "Bullish",
  "conservativeEntry": 529.93,
  "aggressiveEntry": 540.74,
  "stopLoss": 508.68,
  "stopLossPercent": 4.01,
  "targets": [
   556.42,
   582.92,
   609.41
  ]
 },
 "projections": {
  "basis": "Monte Carlo simulation on historical return distribution, re-run daily; not price targets",
  "years": [
   {
    "year": 2027,
    "downside10th": 390.18,
    "base": 620.9,
    "upside90th": 988.05
   },
   {
    "year": 2028,
    "downside10th": 369.6,
    "base": 712.95,
    "upside90th": 1375.27
   },
   {
    "year": 2029,
    "downside10th": 366.14,
    "base": 818.65,
    "upside90th": 1830.41
   },
   {
    "year": 2030,
    "downside10th": 371.21,
    "base": 940.01,
    "upside90th": 2380.38
   },
   {
    "year": 2031,
    "downside10th": 381.97,
    "base": 1079.37,
    "upside90th": 3050.08
   },
   {
    "year": 2032,
    "downside10th": 397.2,
    "base": 1239.39,
    "upside90th": 3867.28
   },
   {
    "year": 2033,
    "downside10th": 416.34,
    "base": 1423.13,
    "upside90th": 4864.51
   },
   {
    "year": 2034,
    "downside10th": 439.16,
    "base": 1634.1,
    "upside90th": 6080.4
   },
   {
    "year": 2035,
    "downside10th": 465.64,
    "base": 1876.36,
    "upside90th": 7561.08
   },
   {
    "year": 2036,
    "downside10th": 495.84,
    "base": 2154.53,
    "upside90th": 9361.83
   }
  ]
 },
 "faqCount": 7,
 "sources": [
  "TwelveData",
  "Wall Street consensus"
 ],
 "sections": [
  {
   "id": "price",
   "title": "XSD Price Analysis"
  },
  {
   "id": "market-metrics",
   "title": "Market Metrics",
   "facts": {
    "Open": "$531.85",
    "Day Range": "$530.95 to $545.15",
    "Prev Close": "$526.70",
    "Volume": "110.4K",
    "52-Week Range": "$280.83 to $658.14",
    "Market Cap": "$1.65B"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "mi-fund-facts",
   "title": "XSD Fund Facts",
   "text": [
    "State Street SPDR S&P Semiconductor ETF is an exchange-traded fund that provides focused exposure to the U.S. semiconductor industry. The fund seeks to track the performance of the S&P Semiconductor Select Industry Index, which is designed to represent semiconductor companies within the broader U.S. market and uses an equal-weight approach that reduces concentration in the largest holdings.",
    "Fund reference data as of Sep 27, 2026. Expense ratio and net assets are reported by the fund; returns are total returns and can differ from price change."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "",
     "columns": [
      "Period",
      "XSD",
      "Category"
     ],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "YTD",
       "cells": [
        "51.00%",
        "13.51%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "1 month",
       "cells": [
        "-0.34%",
        "19.10%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "3 months",
       "cells": [
        "-20.78%",
        "10.83%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "1 year",
       "cells": [
        "69.93%",
        "54.99%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "3 years",
       "cells": [
        "31.85%",
        "27.86%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "5 years",
       "cells": [
        "19.43%",
        "9.93%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "10 years",
       "cells": [
        "25.73%",
        "19.36%"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "analysis",
   "title": "XSD Analysis",
   "text": [
    "At 67.72, XSD's RSI is in bullish territory, indicating strong upward momentum. The ETF is trading above its 20-day, 50-day, and 200-day simple moving averages, with the 50-day SMA at $504.60 and the 200-day SMA at $450.56. The price is also above its 20-day EMA at $508.87.The Stochastic indicator at 93.82 suggests the ETF is approaching overbought conditions, but the overall trend remains strongly bullish. The MACD at 6.54 further supports the positive momentum. With a volume that is currently below its average, the strength of the current trend will be tested on increased trading activity.",
    "The outlook for XSD remains positive, driven by the continued importance of semiconductors in technological advancement and the ETF's strong technical positioning. The fund's price is trading well above key moving averages, supported by bullish momentum indicators like the RSI.The semiconductor sector is expected to benefit from ongoing demand in areas such as artificial intelligence, cloud computing, and advanced electronics. While potential headwinds include supply chain disruptions and cyclical demand fluctuations, the secular growth trend provides a favorable backdrop for XSD over the next 6-12 months. Key resistance levels will be closely watched as the ETF seeks to build on its current upward trajectory."
   ],
   "lists": {
    "ProTips": [
     "Monitor the RSI for potential overbought conditions, although strong uptrends can persist.",
     "Keep an eye on the semiconductor sector's overall earnings reports for signs of fundamental strength or weakness.",
     "Consider the impact of geopolitical events on global semiconductor supply chains.",
     "XSD's equal-weighting offers diversification but can lead to higher volatility compared to market-cap weighted ETFs."
    ]
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "correlations",
   "title": "Market Correlations",
   "text": [
    "How this etf moves relative to other assets",
    "Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods."
   ],
   "facts": {
    "Correlation with S&P 500 (SPY)": "+0.78",
    "Correlation with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)": "+0.86",
    "Correlation with Bitcoin (BTC)": "+0.30",
    "Correlation with Gold (XAU)": "+0.18"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "key-statistics",
   "title": "Key Statistics",
   "text": [
    "XSD is heavily concentrated in the Technology sector, with 98.41% of its assets allocated to it, and a minor 1.59% in Industrials. This focus provides direct exposure to the performance drivers within the semiconductor industry, a critical component of the broader technology market. The fund's equal-weight methodology ensures that a wider range of semiconductor companies contribute to its performance, rather than being dominated by a few mega-cap stocks.The expense ratio for XSD is 0.35%, costing $35.00 per $10,000 invested, which is competitive for sector-specific ETFs. With net assets of $2,594,918,656, the fund is substantial and liquid. The dividend yield is currently 0.15%, offering a small income component to its total return strategy.",
    "However, the performance of its underlying holdings, which are semiconductor companies, is directly tied to the earnings trends within this vital technology sub-sector. The semiconductor industry is characterized by cyclicality but also by long-term secular growth trends driven by demand for advanced computing, AI, and data processing.The aggregate earnings performance of the companies within the S&P Semiconductor Select Industry Index will dictate the fund's overall trajectory. Positive earnings surprises or strong forward guidance from key semiconductor players would likely translate into upward price movement for XSD, while negative trends could pressure its performance.",
    "The primary risk for XSD is its high concentration in the technology sector, specifically semiconductors. This makes the ETF vulnerable to sector-specific downturns, regulatory changes impacting chip manufacturing or sales, and geopolitical tensions affecting global supply chains.Additionally, the ETF's equal-weighting strategy, while reducing single-stock risk, means that smaller companies within the index can have a disproportionate impact on performance compared to market-cap weighted funds. Volatility inherent in the semiconductor industry also presents a risk, as demand can fluctuate rapidly based on technological advancements and consumer spending."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "",
     "columns": [],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "Net Assets (Market Cap)",
       "cells": [
        "1.65B"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Yield",
       "cells": [
        "0.15%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Day High",
       "cells": [
        "$545.15"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Day Low",
       "cells": [
        "$530.95"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "52 Week High",
       "cells": [
        "658.14"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "52 Week Low",
       "cells": [
        "280.83"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "technical-indicators",
   "title": "Technical Indicators",
   "text": [
    "Technical Rating Bullish RSI Bullish SMA Cross Bullish Price vs SMA Bullish MACD Bullish Golden Cross in effect with the 50-day SMA ($504.60) above the 200-day SMA ($450.56), price action is firmly bullish above key moving averages."
   ],
   "facts": {
    "RSI": "Bullish",
    "SMA Cross": "Bullish",
    "Price vs SMA": "Bullish",
    "MACD": "Bullish"
   },
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "",
     "columns": [],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "RSI (14)",
       "cells": [
        "67.72"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "MACD",
       "cells": [
        "6.54"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "SMA 50",
       "cells": [
        "504.60"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "SMA 200",
       "cells": [
        "450.56"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "trade-plans",
   "title": "XSD Trade Plans",
   "text": [
    "Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels",
    "Lower risk, wait for pullback",
    "Higher risk, immediate entry",
    "Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss Calculated based on RSI (67.7) and current market volatility",
    "Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3"
   ],
   "facts": {
    "TARGET 1": "$556.42",
    "TARGET 2": "$582.92",
    "TARGET 3": "$609.41",
    "STOP LOSS": "$508.68"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "seasonality",
   "title": "Seasonal Patterns",
   "text": [
    "Historical monthly performance trends",
    "Based on 3 years of historical monthly returns"
   ],
   "facts": {
    "Average Jan return": "+1.51%",
    "Average Feb return": "-0.59%",
    "Average Mar return": "-2.88%",
    "Average Apr return": "+3.52%",
    "Average May return": "+8.44%",
    "Average Jun return": "+2.41%",
    "Average Jul return": "+3.72%",
    "Average Aug return": "+1.49%",
    "Average Sep return": "+0.22%",
    "Average Oct return": "+0.75%",
    "Average Nov return": "+6.61%",
    "Average Dec return": "+1.74%"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "risk",
   "title": "Risk & Volatility",
   "facts": {
    "Daily Volatility": "2.52%"
   },
   "lists": {
    "Risk considerations": [
     "Monitor position sizing based on current volatility levels",
     "Consider stop-loss placement beyond recent price range",
     "Diversification helps mitigate single-stock risk exposure"
    ]
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "growth",
   "title": "Growth of $10,000",
   "text": [
    "A $10,000 investment in XSD in September 2016 would be worth about $103,769 today, compared with about $35,782 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "monte-carlo",
   "title": "Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)",
   "text": [
    "CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in XSD today could grow to about $39,844 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $173,130 and a bear case around $9,170. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "price-prediction",
   "title": "XSD ETF Price Prediction: 2030",
   "text": [
    "CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $940 for XSD by 2030 in the base case, from $541 today (1.7x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $371. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on XSD's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.",
    "Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using XSD's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "XSD simulated price paths by year",
     "columns": [
      "Year",
      "Downside (10th pct)",
      "Base case",
      "Upside (90th pct)"
     ],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "2027",
       "cells": [
        "$390",
        "$621",
        "$988"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2028",
       "cells": [
        "$370",
        "$713",
        "$1,375"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2029",
       "cells": [
        "$366",
        "$819",
        "$1,830"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2030",
       "cells": [
        "$371",
        "$940",
        "$2,380"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2031",
       "cells": [
        "$382",
        "$1,079",
        "$3,050"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2032",
       "cells": [
        "$397",
        "$1,239",
        "$3,867"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2033",
       "cells": [
        "$416",
        "$1,423",
        "$4,865"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2034",
       "cells": [
        "$439",
        "$1,634",
        "$6,080"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2035",
       "cells": [
        "$466",
        "$1,876",
        "$7,561"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2036",
       "cells": [
        "$496",
        "$2,155",
        "$9,362"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "people-also-watch",
   "title": "People Also Watch",
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     "url": "https://clearank.com/etf/vanguard-sp-500-growth-voog/"
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     "url": "https://clearank.com/etf/iaum-etf-analysis/"
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     "url": "https://clearank.com/etf/urnj-etf-analysis/"
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  },
  {
   "id": "related-comparisons",
   "title": "Popular Comparisons",
   "links": [
    {
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     "url": "https://clearank.com/compare/ccj-vs-ceg/"
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  },
  {
   "id": "faq",
   "title": "Frequently Asked Questions"
  }
 ],
 "faq": [
  {
   "question": "What is the price prediction for XSD ETF in 2030?",
   "answer": "Based on Monte Carlo simulations, the base case price projection for XSD ETF in 2030 is $940.01. The downside projection is $371.21, and the upside projection is $2,380.38. These figures represent statistical simulation outcomes, not price targets or guarantees."
  },
  {
   "question": "What is the expense ratio for the State Street SPDR S&P Semiconductor ETF?",
   "answer": "The expense ratio for XSD is 0.35%, which translates to a cost of $35.00 per $10,000 invested. This fee covers the management and operational costs of the fund."
  },
  {
   "question": "What sectors does the State Street SPDR S&P Semiconductor ETF hold?",
   "answer": "XSD is heavily concentrated in the Technology sector, holding approximately 98.41% of its assets. A small portion, about 1.59%, is allocated to the Industrials sector."
  },
  {
   "question": "How has XSD performed against its category over the past year?",
   "answer": "Over the past year, XSD has returned 69.93%, significantly outperforming its category return of 54.98%."
  },
  {
   "question": "What are the key technical levels for XSD ETF?",
   "answer": "XSD is currently trading above its 50-day SMA of $504.60 and its 200-day SMA of $450.56, indicating a strong uptrend. The RSI is at 67.72, suggesting bullish momentum."
  },
  {
   "question": "What is the dividend yield for XSD?",
   "answer": "The current dividend yield for XSD is approximately 0.15%."
  },
  {
   "question": "What is the main strategy of the State Street SPDR S&P Semiconductor ETF?",
   "answer": "The ETF seeks to track the performance of the S&P Semiconductor Select Industry Index using an equal-weight approach to provide diversified exposure to U.S. semiconductor companies."
  }
 ],
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   },
   {
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