{
 "@context": "https://clearank.com/llms.txt",
 "@type": "clearank:AssetAnalysis",
 "url": "https://clearank.com/etf/spdr-portfolio-sp-500-splg/",
 "dataUrl": "https://clearank.com/etf/spdr-portfolio-sp-500-splg/data.json",
 "title": "SPDR Portfolio S&P 500 (SPYM) ETF Forecast (2026)",
 "description": "State Street SPDR Portfolio S&P 500 (SPYM) ETF: 0.02% expense ratio. $171.3B net assets. Large Blend. Fund facts, AI rating, technicals and 2030 projection.",
 "headline": "State Street SPDR Portfolio S&amp;P 500 ETF (SPYM)",
 "published": "2026-07-25T09:20:56+00:00",
 "modified": "2026-09-11T12:48:14.732+00:00",
 "generated": "2026-09-11T21:02:17.742Z",
 "language": "en-US",
 "publisher": {
  "name": "CleaRank",
  "url": "https://clearank.com/"
 },
 "disclaimer": "Educational and informational only; not financial advice. AI-generated analysis reviewed by the CleaRank editorial team; prices delayed up to 15 minutes.",
 "asset": {
  "ticker": "SPYM",
  "name": "State Street SPDR Portfolio S&P 500 ETF",
  "type": "ETF",
  "exchange": "NASDAQ",
  "currency": "USD",
  "sector": null,
  "industry": null,
  "country": "United States",
  "website": null
 },
 "quote": {
  "price": 89.21,
  "previousClose": 89.75,
  "change": -0.54,
  "changePercent": -0.6,
  "open": 89.23,
  "high": 89.47,
  "low": 89.07,
  "volume": 18264100,
  "averageVolume": 15956190,
  "marketCap": 0,
  "fiftyTwoWeekHigh": 91.74,
  "fiftyTwoWeekLow": 74.059998,
  "marketOpen": false,
  "asOf": "2026-09-11T12:48:14.000Z"
 },
 "statistics": {
  "pe": 24.637653,
  "eps": null,
  "dividendYield": 0.01071628752170221,
  "beta": null,
  "priceToSales": null,
  "priceToBook": null,
  "revenueTtm": 0,
  "grossMargin": null,
  "returnOnEquity": null
 },
 "technicals": {
  "rsi": 45.03,
  "macd": 0.15,
  "sma50": 89.25,
  "sma200": 83.99,
  "rsiSignal": "Neutral",
  "trend": "Bullish",
  "pricePosition": "Bearish",
  "macdSignal": "Bullish",
  "rating": "Neutral"
 },
 "analysis": {
  "rating": "Hold",
  "score": 55,
  "consensus": "Hold",
  "fairValue": null,
  "analystTarget": 91.89,
  "analystCount": null,
  "wallStreetConsensus": "",
  "generatedAt": "2026-09-11T12:48:14.000Z",
  "priceAtAnalysis": 89.21,
  "volatility": {
   "daily": 0.64,
   "risk": "etf"
  }
 },
 "tradePlan": {
  "bias": "Neutral",
  "conservativeEntry": 88.32,
  "aggressiveEntry": 89.21,
  "stopLoss": 85.67,
  "stopLossPercent": 3,
  "targets": [
   90.97,
   92.73,
   95.38
  ]
 },
 "projections": {
  "basis": "Monte Carlo simulation on historical return distribution, re-run daily; not price targets",
  "years": [
   {
    "year": 2027,
    "downside10th": 77.96,
    "base": 98.31,
    "upside90th": 123.97
   },
   {
    "year": 2028,
    "downside10th": 78.05,
    "base": 108.34,
    "upside90th": 150.4
   },
   {
    "year": 2029,
    "downside10th": 79.9,
    "base": 119.4,
    "upside90th": 178.42
   },
   {
    "year": 2030,
    "downside10th": 82.74,
    "base": 131.58,
    "upside90th": 209.24
   },
   {
    "year": 2031,
    "downside10th": 86.33,
    "base": 145,
    "upside90th": 243.56
   },
   {
    "year": 2032,
    "downside10th": 90.54,
    "base": 159.8,
    "upside90th": 282.03
   },
   {
    "year": 2033,
    "downside10th": 95.34,
    "base": 176.1,
    "upside90th": 325.28
   },
   {
    "year": 2034,
    "downside10th": 100.71,
    "base": 194.07,
    "upside90th": 373.98
   },
   {
    "year": 2035,
    "downside10th": 106.65,
    "base": 213.87,
    "upside90th": 428.87
   },
   {
    "year": 2036,
    "downside10th": 113.19,
    "base": 235.69,
    "upside90th": 490.76
   }
  ]
 },
 "faqCount": 7,
 "sources": [
  "TwelveData",
  "Wall Street consensus"
 ],
 "sections": [
  {
   "id": "price",
   "title": "SPYM Price Analysis"
  },
  {
   "id": "market-metrics",
   "title": "Market Metrics",
   "facts": {
    "Open": "$89.23",
    "Day Range": "$89.07 to $89.47",
    "Prev Close": "$89.75",
    "Volume": "18.26M",
    "52-Week Range": "$74.06 to $91.74"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "mi-fund-facts",
   "title": "SPYM Fund Facts",
   "text": [
    "State Street SPDR Portfolio S&P 500 ETF is an exchange-traded fund launched in November 2005 by State Street Global Advisors. It seeks to deliver investment results that closely correspond to the total return performance of the S&P 500 Index, which measures the large-capitalization segment of the U.S. equity market, before fees and expenses. Employing a representative sampling strategy, the fund invests at least 80% of its assets in securities comprising the index, holding approximately 507 stocks rather than replicating the full benchmark.",
    "Fund reference data as of Sep 11, 2026. Expense ratio and net assets are reported by the fund; returns are total returns and can differ from price change."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "",
     "columns": [
      "Period",
      "SPYM",
      "Category"
     ],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "YTD",
       "cells": [
        "13.12%",
        "5.14%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "1 month",
       "cells": [
        "2.72%",
        "9.43%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "3 months",
       "cells": [
        "1.67%",
        "3.42%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "1 year",
       "cells": [
        "20.35%",
        "27.72%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "3 years",
       "cells": [
        "21.01%",
        "19.34%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "5 years",
       "cells": [
        "12.76%",
        "11.20%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "10 years",
       "cells": [
        "15.37%",
        "13.77%"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "analysis",
   "title": "SPYM Analysis",
   "text": [
    "SPYM is currently trading below its 20-day and 50-day exponential moving averages, with the 50-day SMA at 89.25 and the 20-day EMA at 90.06. The price is above its 200-day SMA of 83.99, suggesting a longer-term uptrend remains intact. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 45.03, indicating neutral momentum. The Stochastic indicator is at 6.36, suggesting the ETF is in oversold territory. The MACD is slightly positive at 0.1468, hinting at mild bullish momentum. Support is found near the 50-day SMA, while resistance may be encountered near the 20-day EMA.",
    "The outlook for SPYM is neutral to slightly cautious in the short term, given its current trading range and neutral momentum indicators. The ETF is trading below its short-term moving averages, but remains above the longer-term 200-day SMA. The S&P 500 Index, which SPYM tracks, is heavily influenced by technology sector performance and overall market sentiment. A sustained rotation into value sectors or a broader market downturn could pressure SPYM. Conversely, a rebound in technology stocks or a general market rally could push the ETF higher, potentially testing its recent resistance levels."
   ],
   "lists": {
    "ProTips": [
     "Consider the ultralow expense ratio of 0.02% for cost-efficient S&P 500 exposure.",
     "Monitor the Technology sector's performance, as it represents a significant portion of SPYM's holdings.",
     "Compare SPYM's performance against its category average to assess relative strength."
    ]
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "correlations",
   "title": "Market Correlations",
   "text": [
    "How this etf moves relative to other assets",
    "Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods."
   ],
   "facts": {
    "Correlation with S&P 500 (SPY)": "+1.00",
    "Correlation with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)": "+0.95",
    "Correlation with Bitcoin (BTC)": "+0.39",
    "Correlation with Gold (XAU)": "+0.15"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "key-statistics",
   "title": "Key Statistics",
   "text": [
    "The State Street SPDR Portfolio S&P 500 ETF (SPYM) tracks the S&P 500 Index, representing the large-capitalization segment of the U.S. equity market. The fund's sector allocation shows a significant concentration in Technology (38.69%), followed by Financial Services (12.06%) and Communication Services (9.50%). This concentration reflects the current market leadership within the S&P 500. With over $171 billion in net assets, SPYM is a substantial fund. Its ultralow expense ratio of 0.02% is a key feature, minimizing costs for investors. The fund's strategy involves investing at least 80% of its assets in index securities, providing broad market exposure with efficient management.",
    "Its underlying holdings, which track the S&P 500, are influenced by corporate earnings trends. Recent earnings reports for key constituents like NVIDIA and Apple have shown mixed results. For example, one recent earnings report showed an EPS of $0.30 against an estimate of $0.30 with no surprise, and a price change of 1.24%. Another report indicated an EPS of $1.16 versus an estimate of $1.30, a surprise of -10.77%, followed by a price change of -1.69%. These individual company results contribute to the overall performance and volatility of the S&P 500 Index and, consequently, SPYM.",
    "The primary risk for SPYM lies in its concentration within the Technology sector, which is subject to higher volatility and potential regulatory scrutiny. Given that the top 10 holdings comprise approximately 39% of the portfolio, any significant downturn in these mega-cap stocks could disproportionately impact the ETF's performance. Also, the recent underperformance of SPYM compared to its category average over the past year suggests potential headwinds or a rotation out of large-cap growth stocks."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "",
     "columns": [],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "Yield",
       "cells": [
        "1.02%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Day High",
       "cells": [
        "$89.47"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Day Low",
       "cells": [
        "$89.07"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "52 Week High",
       "cells": [
        "91.74"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "52 Week Low",
       "cells": [
        "74.06"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "technical-indicators",
   "title": "Technical Indicators",
   "text": [
    "Technical Rating Neutral RSI Neutral SMA Cross Bullish Price vs SMA Bearish MACD Bullish Golden Cross in effect with the 50-day SMA ($89.25) above the 200-day SMA ($83.99), price is trading below the 50-day SMA."
   ],
   "facts": {
    "RSI": "Neutral",
    "SMA Cross": "Bullish",
    "Price vs SMA": "Bearish",
    "MACD": "Bullish"
   },
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "",
     "columns": [],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "RSI (14)",
       "cells": [
        "45.03"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "MACD",
       "cells": [
        "0.15"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "SMA 50",
       "cells": [
        "89.25"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "SMA 200",
       "cells": [
        "83.99"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "trade-plans",
   "title": "SPYM Trade Plans",
   "text": [
    "Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels",
    "Enter now if confident",
    "Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss Calculated based on RSI (45.0) and current market volatility",
    "Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3"
   ],
   "facts": {
    "TARGET 1": "$90.97",
    "TARGET 2": "$92.73",
    "TARGET 3": "$95.38",
    "STOP LOSS": "$85.67"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "seasonality",
   "title": "Seasonal Patterns",
   "text": [
    "Historical monthly performance trends",
    "Based on 3 years of historical monthly returns"
   ],
   "facts": {
    "Average Jan return": "+2.12%",
    "Average Feb return": "-0.94%",
    "Average Mar return": "-1.62%",
    "Average Apr return": "+2.57%",
    "Average May return": "+2.18%",
    "Average Jun return": "+1.16%",
    "Average Jul return": "+2.66%",
    "Average Aug return": "+1.38%",
    "Average Sep return": "-1.38%",
    "Average Oct return": "+0.47%",
    "Average Nov return": "+3.97%",
    "Average Dec return": "-0.22%"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "risk",
   "title": "Risk & Volatility",
   "facts": {
    "Daily Volatility": "0.6407%"
   },
   "lists": {
    "Risk considerations": [
     "Monitor position sizing based on current volatility levels",
     "Consider stop-loss placement beyond recent price range",
     "Diversification helps mitigate single-stock risk exposure"
    ]
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "growth",
   "title": "Growth of $10,000",
   "text": [
    "A $10,000 investment in SPYM in September 2016 would be worth about $35,139 today, compared with about $35,030 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "monte-carlo",
   "title": "Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)",
   "text": [
    "CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in SPYM today could grow to about $26,420 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $55,011 and a bear case around $12,688. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "price-prediction",
   "title": "SPYM ETF Price Prediction: 2030",
   "text": [
    "CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $132 for SPYM by 2030 in the base case, from $89.21 today (1.5x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $82.74. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on SPYM's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.",
    "Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using SPYM's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "SPYM simulated price paths by year",
     "columns": [
      "Year",
      "Downside (10th pct)",
      "Base case",
      "Upside (90th pct)"
     ],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "2027",
       "cells": [
        "$77.96",
        "$98.31",
        "$124"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2028",
       "cells": [
        "$78.05",
        "$108",
        "$150"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2029",
       "cells": [
        "$79.90",
        "$119",
        "$178"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2030",
       "cells": [
        "$82.74",
        "$132",
        "$209"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2031",
       "cells": [
        "$86.33",
        "$145",
        "$244"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2032",
       "cells": [
        "$90.54",
        "$160",
        "$282"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2033",
       "cells": [
        "$95.34",
        "$176",
        "$325"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2034",
       "cells": [
        "$101",
        "$194",
        "$374"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2035",
       "cells": [
        "$107",
        "$214",
        "$429"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2036",
       "cells": [
        "$113",
        "$236",
        "$491"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "people-also-watch",
   "title": "People Also Watch",
   "links": [
    {
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     "url": "https://clearank.com/etf/spdr-gold-minishares-gldm/"
    },
    {
     "text": "ITB iShares U.S. Home Construction ETF CBOE $89.71 +1.69%",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/etf/itb-etf-analysis/"
    },
    {
     "text": "XLV State Street Health Care Select Sector SPDR ETF NYSE $166.58 -0.3291%",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/etf/health-care-select-spdr-xlv/"
    },
    {
     "text": "JEPQ JPMorgan Nasdaq Equity Premium Income ETF NASDAQ $59.84 +0.9106%",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/etf/jpmorgan-nasdaq-equity-premium-income-jepq/"
    },
    {
     "text": "PAVE Global X U.S. Infrastructure Development ETF CBOE $53.38 -1.49%",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/etf/global-x-us-infrastructure-pave/"
    },
    {
     "text": "GDXJ VanEck Junior Gold Miners ETF NYSE $125.96 +1.50%",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/etf/vaneck-junior-gold-miners-gdxj/"
    },
    {
     "text": "TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF NASDAQ $80.88 +0.1238%",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/etf/treasury-bond-tlt/"
    },
    {
     "text": "VXUS Vanguard Total International Stock ETF NASDAQ $87.26 +1.14%",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/etf/vxus-etf-analysis/"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "related-comparisons",
   "title": "Popular Comparisons",
   "links": [
    {
     "text": "VOO vs SPYM Comparison Head-to-head analysis →",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/compare/voo-vs-splg/"
    },
    {
     "text": "SCHD vs JEPI Comparison Head-to-head analysis →",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/compare/schd-vs-jepi/"
    },
    {
     "text": "SOFI vs AFRM Comparison Head-to-head analysis →",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/compare/sofi-vs-afrm/"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "faq",
   "title": "Frequently Asked Questions"
  }
 ],
 "faq": [
  {
   "question": "What is the expense ratio for the State Street SPDR Portfolio S&P 500 ETF (SPYM)?",
   "answer": "The expense ratio for SPYM is 0.02%. This means that for every $10,000 invested, the annual cost is $2.00."
  },
  {
   "question": "What sectors does the State Street SPDR Portfolio S&P 500 ETF (SPYM) hold?",
   "answer": "SPYM is heavily concentrated in Technology, representing 38.69% of its holdings. Other significant sectors include Financial Services (12.06%), Communication Services (9.50%), Consumer Cyclical (9.31%), and Healthcare (9.28%)."
  },
  {
   "question": "What is the distribution yield for SPYM?",
   "answer": "The distribution yield for SPYM is approximately 1.02%."
  },
  {
   "question": "How has SPYM performed against its category over the past year?",
   "answer": "Over the past year, SPYM returned 20.35% while its category returned 27.72%, indicating underperformance against its peers."
  },
  {
   "question": "What are the key risks associated with investing in SPYM?",
   "answer": "Key risks include concentration in the Technology sector, potential underperformance relative to its category, and the general market risk associated with tracking the S&P 500 Index."
  },
  {
   "question": "What is the price prediction for SPYM ETF in 2030?",
   "answer": "Based on Monte Carlo simulations, the base case price for SPYM in 2030 is $131.58. The downside scenario projects a price of $82.74, while the upside scenario reaches $209.24. These are statistical outcomes, not guarantees."
  },
  {
   "question": "How does SPYM's strategy align with the S&P 500 Index?",
   "answer": "SPYM seeks to deliver investment results that closely correspond to the total return performance of the S&P 500 Index. It achieves this by investing at least 80% of its assets in securities comprising the index, employing a representative sampling strategy."
  }
 ],
 "related": {
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   {
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    "name": "SPDR Gold MiniShares Trust NYSE",
    "price": "$86.37",
    "change": "-0.7584%",
    "url": "https://clearank.com/etf/spdr-gold-minishares-gldm/"
   },
   {
    "ticker": "ITB",
    "name": "iShares U.S. Home Construction ETF CBOE",
    "price": "$89.71",
    "change": "+1.69%",
    "url": "https://clearank.com/etf/itb-etf-analysis/"
   },
   {
    "ticker": "XLV",
    "name": "State Street Health Care Select Sector SPDR ETF NYSE",
    "price": "$166.58",
    "change": "-0.3291%",
    "url": "https://clearank.com/etf/health-care-select-spdr-xlv/"
   },
   {
    "ticker": "JEPQ",
    "name": "JPMorgan Nasdaq Equity Premium Income ETF NASDAQ",
    "price": "$59.84",
    "change": "+0.9106%",
    "url": "https://clearank.com/etf/jpmorgan-nasdaq-equity-premium-income-jepq/"
   },
   {
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    "name": "Global X U.S. Infrastructure Development ETF CBOE",
    "price": "$53.38",
    "change": "-1.49%",
    "url": "https://clearank.com/etf/global-x-us-infrastructure-pave/"
   },
   {
    "ticker": "GDXJ",
    "name": "VanEck Junior Gold Miners ETF NYSE",
    "price": "$125.96",
    "change": "+1.50%",
    "url": "https://clearank.com/etf/vaneck-junior-gold-miners-gdxj/"
   },
   {
    "ticker": "TLT",
    "name": "iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF NASDAQ",
    "price": "$80.88",
    "change": "+0.1238%",
    "url": "https://clearank.com/etf/treasury-bond-tlt/"
   },
   {
    "ticker": "VXUS",
    "name": "Vanguard Total International Stock ETF NASDAQ",
    "price": "$87.26",
    "change": "+1.14%",
    "url": "https://clearank.com/etf/vxus-etf-analysis/"
   }
  ],
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    "ticker": "VOO vs SPYM Comparison",
    "name": "",
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    "name": "",
    "url": "https://clearank.com/compare/schd-vs-jepi/"
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    "ticker": "SOFI vs AFRM Comparison",
    "name": "",
    "url": "https://clearank.com/compare/sofi-vs-afrm/"
   }
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   }
  ],
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