{
 "@context": "https://clearank.com/llms.txt",
 "@type": "clearank:AssetAnalysis",
 "url": "https://clearank.com/etf/spdr-gold-shares-gld/",
 "dataUrl": "https://clearank.com/etf/spdr-gold-shares-gld/data.json",
 "title": "SPDR Gold Shares (GLD) ETF Forecast & Price Target (2026)",
 "description": "SPDR Gold Shares (GLD) ETF: 0.40% expense ratio. $152.9B net assets. Commodities Focused. Fund facts, AI rating, technicals and 2030 projection.",
 "headline": "SPDR Gold Shares (GLD)",
 "published": "2026-06-05T09:20:35+00:00",
 "modified": "2026-09-26T23:35:52.83+00:00",
 "generated": "2026-09-27T14:27:53.998Z",
 "language": "en-US",
 "publisher": {
  "name": "CleaRank",
  "url": "https://clearank.com/"
 },
 "disclaimer": "Educational and informational only; not financial advice. AI-generated analysis reviewed by the CleaRank editorial team; prices delayed up to 15 minutes.",
 "asset": {
  "ticker": "GLD",
  "name": "SPDR Gold Shares",
  "type": "ETF",
  "exchange": "NYSE",
  "currency": "USD",
  "sector": null,
  "industry": null,
  "country": "United States",
  "website": null
 },
 "quote": {
  "price": 393.41,
  "previousClose": 391.69,
  "change": 1.72,
  "changePercent": 0.44,
  "open": 392.20999,
  "high": 394.22,
  "low": 390.049988,
  "volume": 7690100,
  "averageVolume": 8206200,
  "marketCap": 112774971392,
  "fiftyTwoWeekHigh": 509.70001,
  "fiftyTwoWeekLow": 333.81,
  "marketOpen": false,
  "asOf": "2026-09-26T23:35:52.000Z"
 },
 "statistics": {
  "pe": null,
  "eps": null,
  "dividendYield": 0,
  "beta": null,
  "priceToSales": null,
  "priceToBook": null,
  "revenueTtm": 0,
  "grossMargin": null,
  "returnOnEquity": null
 },
 "technicals": {
  "rsi": 37.57,
  "macd": -1.82,
  "sma50": 395.43,
  "sma200": 416.44,
  "rsiSignal": "Bearish",
  "trend": "Bearish",
  "pricePosition": "Bearish",
  "macdSignal": "Bearish",
  "rating": "Bearish"
 },
 "analysis": {
  "rating": "Strong Sell",
  "score": 10,
  "consensus": "Strong Sell",
  "fairValue": null,
  "analystTarget": 334.4,
  "analystCount": null,
  "wallStreetConsensus": "",
  "generatedAt": "2026-09-26T23:35:52.000Z",
  "priceAtAnalysis": 393.41,
  "volatility": {
   "daily": 1.54,
   "risk": "etf"
  }
 },
 "tradePlan": {
  "bias": "Bearish",
  "conservativeEntry": 401.28,
  "aggressiveEntry": 393.41,
  "stopLoss": 413.32,
  "stopLossPercent": 3,
  "targets": [
   381.21,
   361.15,
   341.09
  ]
 },
 "projections": {
  "basis": "Monte Carlo simulation on historical return distribution, re-run daily; not price targets",
  "years": [
   {
    "year": 2027,
    "downside10th": 349.11,
    "base": 430.91,
    "upside90th": 531.88
   },
   {
    "year": 2028,
    "downside10th": 350.45,
    "base": 471.98,
    "upside90th": 635.66
   },
   {
    "year": 2029,
    "downside10th": 359.01,
    "base": 516.97,
    "upside90th": 744.44
   },
   {
    "year": 2030,
    "downside10th": 371.66,
    "base": 566.25,
    "upside90th": 862.71
   },
   {
    "year": 2031,
    "downside10th": 387.35,
    "base": 620.22,
    "upside90th": 993.09
   },
   {
    "year": 2032,
    "downside10th": 405.63,
    "base": 679.34,
    "upside90th": 1137.74
   },
   {
    "year": 2033,
    "downside10th": 426.32,
    "base": 744.1,
    "upside90th": 1298.76
   },
   {
    "year": 2034,
    "downside10th": 449.34,
    "base": 815.03,
    "upside90th": 1478.33
   },
   {
    "year": 2035,
    "downside10th": 474.71,
    "base": 892.71,
    "upside90th": 1678.8
   },
   {
    "year": 2036,
    "downside10th": 502.49,
    "base": 977.81,
    "upside90th": 1902.73
   }
  ]
 },
 "faqCount": 7,
 "sources": [
  "TwelveData",
  "Wall Street consensus"
 ],
 "sections": [
  {
   "id": "price",
   "title": "GLD Price Analysis"
  },
  {
   "id": "market-metrics",
   "title": "Market Metrics",
   "facts": {
    "Open": "$392.21",
    "Day Range": "$390.05 to $394.22",
    "Prev Close": "$391.69",
    "Volume": "7.69M",
    "52-Week Range": "$333.81 to $509.70",
    "Market Cap": "$112.77B"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "mi-fund-facts",
   "title": "GLD Fund Facts",
   "text": [
    "SPDR Gold Shares is an exchange-traded fund that seeks to reflect the price performance of gold bullion, minus the trust’s expenses. Managed by State Street Global Advisors, the fund provides investors with a straightforward way to access gold through a regulated investment vehicle rather than directly holding physical metal. Its portfolio is concentrated in allocated gold bars held in secure vaults, making it a physically backed commodity product with a single-asset focus.",
    "Fund reference data as of Sep 26, 2026. Expense ratio and net assets are reported by the fund; returns are total returns and can differ from price change."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "",
     "columns": [
      "Period",
      "GLD",
      "Category"
     ],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "YTD",
       "cells": [
        "5.64%",
        "29.92%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "1 month",
       "cells": [
        "13.28%",
        "3.11%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "3 months",
       "cells": [
        "0.27%",
        "11.90%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "1 year",
       "cells": [
        "32.54%",
        "71.37%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "3 years",
       "cells": [
        "32.42%",
        "17.21%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "5 years",
       "cells": [
        "19.78%",
        "12.75%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "10 years",
       "cells": [
        "12.85%",
        "7.26%"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "analysis",
   "title": "GLD Analysis",
   "text": [
    "SPDR Gold Shares (GLD) is technically bearish, trading below its 50-day SMA of $395.43 and its 200-day SMA of $416.44. The price is also below its 20-day EMA of $398.49, reinforcing the downward trend. The RSI is at 37.57, indicating bearish momentum, and the Stochastic indicator is at 27.63, suggesting oversold conditions within the bearish trend. The MACD is at -1.82, further confirming bearish sentiment.",
    "The outlook for SPDR Gold Shares (GLD) is bearish, driven by its current technical weakness and underperformance relative to its category. The fund is trading below critical moving averages, and its RSI indicates bearish momentum. This suggests that the current market environment is not favorable for gold. Investors seeking exposure to gold may want to consider the timing of entry, as the current trend indicates potential for further downside before any significant recovery. Looking ahead 6-12 months, a shift in macroeconomic conditions, such as rising inflation or increased geopolitical uncertainty, could potentially boost gold prices and improve GLD's performance. However, without such catalysts, the bearish technicals and category underperformance are likely to persist, making it a less attractive investment in the short to medium term."
   ],
   "lists": {
    "ProTips": [
     "Monitor gold price drivers like inflation expectations and central bank policy for potential trend reversals.",
     "Compare GLD's performance against other precious metals ETFs and broader commodity indices.",
     "Consider the impact of currency fluctuations on gold prices, as a weaker dollar can often support gold.",
     "Evaluate the fund's concentration risk; a single-commodity focus amplifies volatility.",
     "Review the expense ratio and compare it to similar gold ETFs for cost efficiency."
    ]
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "correlations",
   "title": "Market Correlations",
   "text": [
    "How this etf moves relative to other assets",
    "Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods."
   ],
   "facts": {
    "Correlation with S&P 500 (SPY)": "+0.18",
    "Correlation with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)": "+0.20",
    "Correlation with Bitcoin (BTC)": "+0.14",
    "Correlation with Gold (XAU)": "+0.98"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "key-statistics",
   "title": "Key Statistics",
   "text": [
    "SPDR Gold Shares (GLD) is a physically backed commodity ETF focused solely on gold bullion. Its sector is commodities, specifically precious metals. The fund's asset allocation is 100% in gold, indicating extreme concentration. The overview highlights its role in portfolio diversification and as a market proxy for gold. Given its single-asset nature, sector-wide fundamental analysis is less applicable than understanding the drivers of gold prices themselves, such as inflation expectations, geopolitical risks, and central bank policies.",
    "However, the performance of gold is influenced by global economic conditions and inflation expectations, which in turn affect the earnings potential of companies within the broader economy. The fund's year-to-date return is 5.64%, significantly underperforming its category's 29.92% return. This divergence suggests that the underlying commodity or the market sentiment driving it is not currently favoring gold relative to other assets in its category.",
    "The primary risk for SPDR Gold Shares (GLD) is its extreme concentration in a single commodity, gold. This makes it highly susceptible to fluctuations in gold prices driven by macroeconomic factors, central bank policies, and geopolitical events. Also, GLD has shown significant underperformance against its category over the past year (32.54% fund return vs. 71.37% category return), indicating a potential rotation away from gold as an asset class or a period of weakness in precious metals."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "",
     "columns": [],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "Net Assets (Market Cap)",
       "cells": [
        "112.77B"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Yield",
       "cells": [
        "0.00%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Day High",
       "cells": [
        "$394.22"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Day Low",
       "cells": [
        "$390.05"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "52 Week High",
       "cells": [
        "509.70"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "52 Week Low",
       "cells": [
        "333.81"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "technical-indicators",
   "title": "Technical Indicators",
   "text": [
    "Technical Rating Bearish RSI Bearish SMA Cross Bearish Price vs SMA Bearish MACD Bearish Moving averages show a lagging Death Cross (50-day: $395.43, 200-day: $416.44), price is trading below the 50-day SMA."
   ],
   "facts": {
    "RSI": "Bearish",
    "SMA Cross": "Bearish",
    "Price vs SMA": "Bearish",
    "MACD": "Bearish"
   },
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "",
     "columns": [],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "RSI (14)",
       "cells": [
        "37.57"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "MACD",
       "cells": [
        "-1.82"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "SMA 50",
       "cells": [
        "395.43"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "SMA 200",
       "cells": [
        "416.44"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "trade-plans",
   "title": "GLD Trade Plans",
   "text": [
    "Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels",
    "Lower risk, wait for rally",
    "Higher risk, chasing the move",
    "Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss Calculated based on RSI (37.6) and current market volatility",
    "Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3"
   ],
   "facts": {
    "TARGET 1": "$381.21",
    "TARGET 2": "$361.15",
    "TARGET 3": "$341.09",
    "STOP LOSS": "$413.32"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "seasonality",
   "title": "Seasonal Patterns",
   "text": [
    "Historical monthly performance trends",
    "Based on 3 years of historical monthly returns"
   ],
   "facts": {
    "Average Jan return": "+2.84%",
    "Average Feb return": "+0.70%",
    "Average Mar return": "+0.82%",
    "Average Apr return": "+1.04%",
    "Average May return": "+1.00%",
    "Average Jun return": "-2.24%",
    "Average Jul return": "+2.17%",
    "Average Aug return": "+1.68%",
    "Average Sep return": "-0.78%",
    "Average Oct return": "+1.24%",
    "Average Nov return": "-0.80%",
    "Average Dec return": "+1.73%"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "risk",
   "title": "Risk & Volatility",
   "facts": {
    "Daily Volatility": "1.54%"
   },
   "lists": {
    "Risk considerations": [
     "Monitor position sizing based on current volatility levels",
     "Consider stop-loss placement beyond recent price range",
     "Diversification helps mitigate single-stock risk exposure"
    ]
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "growth",
   "title": "Growth of $10,000",
   "text": [
    "A $10,000 investment in GLD in September 2016 would be worth about $30,844 today, compared with about $36,004 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "monte-carlo",
   "title": "Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)",
   "text": [
    "CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in GLD today could grow to about $24,855 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $48,365 and a bear case around $12,773. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "price-prediction",
   "title": "GLD ETF Price Prediction: 2030",
   "text": [
    "CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $566 for GLD by 2030 in the base case, from $393 today (1.4x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $372. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on GLD's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.",
    "Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using GLD's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "GLD simulated price paths by year",
     "columns": [
      "Year",
      "Downside (10th pct)",
      "Base case",
      "Upside (90th pct)"
     ],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "2027",
       "cells": [
        "$349",
        "$431",
        "$532"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2028",
       "cells": [
        "$350",
        "$472",
        "$636"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2029",
       "cells": [
        "$359",
        "$517",
        "$744"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2030",
       "cells": [
        "$372",
        "$566",
        "$863"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2031",
       "cells": [
        "$387",
        "$620",
        "$993"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2032",
       "cells": [
        "$406",
        "$679",
        "$1,138"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2033",
       "cells": [
        "$426",
        "$744",
        "$1,299"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2034",
       "cells": [
        "$449",
        "$815",
        "$1,478"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2035",
       "cells": [
        "$475",
        "$893",
        "$1,679"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2036",
       "cells": [
        "$502",
        "$978",
        "$1,903"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "people-also-watch",
   "title": "People Also Watch",
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  {
   "id": "related-comparisons",
   "title": "Compare GLD",
   "links": [
    {
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     "url": "https://clearank.com/compare/gld-vs-gldm/"
    },
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  },
  {
   "id": "faq",
   "title": "Frequently Asked Questions"
  }
 ],
 "faq": [
  {
   "question": "What is the expense ratio for SPDR Gold Shares (GLD) and what does it cost per $10,000 invested?",
   "answer": "The expense ratio for SPDR Gold Shares (GLD) is 0.40%, which translates to a cost of $40.00 per $10,000 invested annually."
  },
  {
   "question": "What does SPDR Gold Shares (GLD) hold and which sectors is it concentrated in?",
   "answer": "SPDR Gold Shares (GLD) is concentrated in allocated gold bars held in secure vaults, with its asset allocation being 100% in gold. It operates within the commodities segment, specifically focusing on precious metals."
  },
  {
   "question": "What is the distribution yield for SPDR Gold Shares (GLD)?",
   "answer": "SPDR Gold Shares (GLD) has a distribution yield of 0%."
  },
  {
   "question": "How has SPDR Gold Shares (GLD) performed against its category over the past year?",
   "answer": "Over the past year, SPDR Gold Shares (GLD) returned 32.54%, while its category returned 71.37%, indicating underperformance."
  },
  {
   "question": "What is the price prediction for GLD ETF in 2030?",
   "answer": "Based on a Monte Carlo simulation, the base case price for GLD ETF in 2030 is $566.25, with a downside projection of $371.66 and an upside projection of $862.71. These are statistical simulation outcomes, not price targets or guarantees."
  },
  {
   "question": "What are the key technical indicators for SPDR Gold Shares (GLD)?",
   "answer": "SPDR Gold Shares (GLD) shows a bearish technical trend with its price below key moving averages (SMA 50, SMA 200, EMA 20) and a bearish RSI at 37.6."
  },
  {
   "question": "What is the overview of SPDR Gold Shares (GLD)?",
   "answer": "SPDR Gold Shares (GLD) is an ETF that tracks the price performance of gold bullion, minus expenses. It is a physically backed commodity product offering investors a straightforward way to access gold through a regulated investment vehicle."
  }
 ],
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   }
  ],
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