{
 "@context": "https://clearank.com/llms.txt",
 "@type": "clearank:AssetAnalysis",
 "url": "https://clearank.com/etf/spdr-dow-jones-dia/",
 "dataUrl": "https://clearank.com/etf/spdr-dow-jones-dia/data.json",
 "title": "Dow Jones (DIA) ETF Forecast & Price Target (2026)",
 "description": "AI analysis of SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average (DIA) ETF. Real-time price data, holdings & daily forecasts. Updated daily.",
 "headline": "State Street SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF Trust (DIA)",
 "published": "2026-06-18T09:13:34+00:00",
 "modified": "2026-09-27T03:26:26.393+00:00",
 "generated": "2026-09-27T13:37:28.789Z",
 "language": "en-US",
 "publisher": {
  "name": "CleaRank",
  "url": "https://clearank.com/"
 },
 "disclaimer": "Educational and informational only; not financial advice. AI-generated analysis reviewed by the CleaRank editorial team; prices delayed up to 15 minutes.",
 "asset": {
  "ticker": "DIA",
  "name": "State Street SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF Trust",
  "type": "ETF",
  "exchange": "NYSE",
  "currency": "USD",
  "sector": null,
  "industry": null,
  "country": "United States",
  "website": null
 },
 "quote": {
  "price": 517.49,
  "previousClose": 512.68,
  "change": 4.81,
  "changePercent": 0.94,
  "open": 514,
  "high": 517.91998,
  "low": 512.59003,
  "volume": 2788600,
  "averageVolume": 3466630,
  "marketCap": 39988563968,
  "fiftyTwoWeekHigh": 546.75,
  "fiftyTwoWeekLow": 450.44,
  "marketOpen": false,
  "asOf": "2026-09-27T03:26:26.000Z"
 },
 "statistics": {
  "pe": 20.863956,
  "eps": null,
  "dividendYield": 0.027642183720466115,
  "beta": null,
  "priceToSales": null,
  "priceToBook": null,
  "revenueTtm": 0,
  "grossMargin": null,
  "returnOnEquity": null
 },
 "technicals": {
  "rsi": 33.53,
  "macd": -4.08,
  "sma50": 527.56,
  "sma200": 502.02,
  "rsiSignal": "Bearish",
  "trend": "Bullish",
  "pricePosition": "Bearish",
  "macdSignal": "Bearish",
  "rating": "Bearish"
 },
 "analysis": {
  "rating": "Sell",
  "score": 35,
  "consensus": "Sell",
  "fairValue": null,
  "analystTarget": 476.09,
  "analystCount": null,
  "wallStreetConsensus": "",
  "generatedAt": "2026-09-27T03:26:26.000Z",
  "priceAtAnalysis": 517.48999,
  "volatility": {
   "daily": 0.67,
   "risk": "etf"
  }
 },
 "tradePlan": {
  "bias": "Bearish",
  "conservativeEntry": 527.84,
  "aggressiveEntry": 517.49,
  "stopLoss": 543.67,
  "stopLossPercent": 3,
  "targets": [
   501.45,
   475.06,
   448.66
  ]
 },
 "projections": {
  "basis": "Monte Carlo simulation on historical return distribution, re-run daily; not price targets",
  "years": [
   {
    "year": 2027,
    "downside10th": 450.37,
    "base": 564.62,
    "upside90th": 707.85
   },
   {
    "year": 2028,
    "downside10th": 447.46,
    "base": 616.04,
    "upside90th": 848.13
   },
   {
    "year": 2029,
    "downside10th": 454.36,
    "base": 672.14,
    "upside90th": 994.3
   },
   {
    "year": 2030,
    "downside10th": 466.6,
    "base": 733.35,
    "upside90th": 1152.61
   },
   {
    "year": 2031,
    "downside10th": 482.64,
    "base": 800.14,
    "upside90th": 1326.51
   },
   {
    "year": 2032,
    "downside10th": 501.78,
    "base": 873.01,
    "upside90th": 1518.86
   },
   {
    "year": 2033,
    "downside10th": 523.72,
    "base": 952.51,
    "upside90th": 1732.37
   },
   {
    "year": 2034,
    "downside10th": 548.3,
    "base": 1039.26,
    "upside90th": 1969.83
   },
   {
    "year": 2035,
    "downside10th": 575.47,
    "base": 1133.9,
    "upside90th": 2234.23
   },
   {
    "year": 2036,
    "downside10th": 605.26,
    "base": 1237.17,
    "upside90th": 2528.8
   }
  ]
 },
 "faqCount": 7,
 "sources": [
  "TwelveData",
  "Wall Street consensus"
 ],
 "sections": [
  {
   "id": "price",
   "title": "DIA Price Analysis"
  },
  {
   "id": "market-metrics",
   "title": "Market Metrics",
   "facts": {
    "Open": "$514.00",
    "Day Range": "$512.59 to $517.92",
    "Prev Close": "$512.68",
    "Volume": "2.79M",
    "52-Week Range": "$450.44 to $546.75",
    "Market Cap": "$39.99B"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "mi-fund-facts",
   "title": "DIA Fund Facts",
   "text": [
    "State Street SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF Trust is an exchange-traded fund designed to track the performance of the Dow Jones Industrial Average by holding substantially all of the index’s component stocks in a price-weighted structure. The fund offers investors broad exposure to 30 large, established U.S. companies across sectors such as financials, industrials, health care, technology, consumer discretionary, and materials.",
    "Fund reference data as of Sep 27, 2026. Expense ratio and net assets are reported by the fund; returns are total returns and can differ from price change."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "",
     "columns": [
      "Period",
      "DIA",
      "Category"
     ],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "YTD",
       "cells": [
        "11.55%",
        "7.82%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "1 month",
       "cells": [
        "1.45%",
        "6.23%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "3 months",
       "cells": [
        "4.45%",
        "3.90%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "1 year",
       "cells": [
        "18.29%",
        "26.16%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "3 years",
       "cells": [
        "17.05%",
        "15.87%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "5 years",
       "cells": [
        "10.36%",
        "10.13%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "10 years",
       "cells": [
        "13.35%",
        "11.26%"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "analysis",
   "title": "DIA Analysis",
   "text": [
    "Momentum has turned for DIA: the RSI has moved from neutral to 33.53, indicating bearish momentum. The ETF is currently trading below its 20-day (521.91) and 50-day (527.56) simple moving averages, signaling short-term weakness. While DIA remains above its 200-day SMA (502.02), the price action below shorter-term averages suggests a potential downtrend. Volume was 19.60% below its average on the latest trading day, indicating subdued investor interest.",
    "The outlook for DIA is cautiously bearish in the short term, given its current technical positioning below key moving averages and a bearish RSI. While the ETF remains above its long-term 200-day SMA, the negative momentum suggests potential for further downside. A sustained break below the 200-day SMA would confirm a more significant bearish trend. The performance of the underlying Dow Jones Industrial Average components, particularly in financials and industrials, will be critical."
   ],
   "lists": {
    "ProTips": [
     "Monitor DIA's price action relative to its 200-day SMA for trend confirmation.",
     "Assess the earnings reports of major constituents in the Financial Services and Technology sectors for sector-specific insights.",
     "Consider the broader market sentiment and sector rotation trends when evaluating DIA's potential."
    ]
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "correlations",
   "title": "Market Correlations",
   "text": [
    "How this etf moves relative to other assets",
    "Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods."
   ],
   "facts": {
    "Correlation with S&P 500 (SPY)": "+0.89",
    "Correlation with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)": "+0.76",
    "Correlation with Bitcoin (BTC)": "+0.39",
    "Correlation with Gold (XAU)": "+0.14"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "key-statistics",
   "title": "Key Statistics",
   "text": [
    "As an ETF tracking the Dow Jones Industrial Average, DIA provides broad exposure to 30 large-cap U.S. companies, primarily in Financial Services (27.46%), Technology (18.40%), and Industrials (15.54%). The fund's strategy focuses on capturing the overall movement of major U.S. corporate leaders, with a 0.16% expense ratio and $45.46 billion in net assets. The sector allocation reflects a concentration in established blue-chip names, offering a core large-cap equity exposure.",
    "Its underlying holdings, representing 30 large U.S. companies, are expected to show mixed earnings trends. The sector composition, heavily weighted towards Financial Services and Technology, suggests that the aggregate earnings performance of these components will drive the ETF's overall behavior. Investors should monitor the earnings reports of major constituents like UnitedHealth Group and Home Depot for insights into sector-specific trends.",
    "The primary risk for DIA lies in its concentration within a limited number of large-cap stocks, making it susceptible to sector-specific downturns or the underperformance of key constituents. Given its price-weighted structure, significant price movements in a few top holdings can disproportionately impact the ETF's overall performance. Additionally, a broad market downturn or sector rotation away from traditional industrials and financials could negatively affect DIA."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "",
     "columns": [],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "Net Assets (Market Cap)",
       "cells": [
        "39.99B"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Yield",
       "cells": [
        "1.40%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Day High",
       "cells": [
        "$517.92"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Day Low",
       "cells": [
        "$512.59"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "52 Week High",
       "cells": [
        "546.75"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "52 Week Low",
       "cells": [
        "450.44"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "technical-indicators",
   "title": "Technical Indicators",
   "text": [
    "Technical Rating Bearish RSI Bearish SMA Cross Bullish Price vs SMA Bearish MACD Bearish Golden Cross in effect with the 50-day SMA ($527.56) above the 200-day SMA ($502.02), price is trading below the 50-day SMA."
   ],
   "facts": {
    "RSI": "Bearish",
    "SMA Cross": "Bullish",
    "Price vs SMA": "Bearish",
    "MACD": "Bearish"
   },
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "",
     "columns": [],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "RSI (14)",
       "cells": [
        "33.53"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "MACD",
       "cells": [
        "-4.08"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "SMA 50",
       "cells": [
        "527.56"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "SMA 200",
       "cells": [
        "502.02"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "trade-plans",
   "title": "DIA Trade Plans",
   "text": [
    "Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels",
    "Lower risk, wait for rally",
    "Higher risk, chasing the move",
    "Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss Calculated based on RSI (33.5) and current market volatility",
    "Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3"
   ],
   "facts": {
    "TARGET 1": "$501.45",
    "TARGET 2": "$475.06",
    "TARGET 3": "$448.66",
    "STOP LOSS": "$543.67"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "seasonality",
   "title": "Seasonal Patterns",
   "text": [
    "Historical monthly performance trends",
    "Based on 3 years of historical monthly returns"
   ],
   "facts": {
    "Average Jan return": "+1.58%",
    "Average Feb return": "-1.33%",
    "Average Mar return": "-1.85%",
    "Average Apr return": "+1.88%",
    "Average May return": "+1.03%",
    "Average Jun return": "+1.22%",
    "Average Jul return": "+2.39%",
    "Average Aug return": "+1.09%",
    "Average Sep return": "-0.98%",
    "Average Oct return": "+1.04%",
    "Average Nov return": "+4.18%",
    "Average Dec return": "+0.31%"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "risk",
   "title": "Risk & Volatility",
   "facts": {
    "Daily Volatility": "0.67%"
   },
   "lists": {
    "Risk considerations": [
     "Monitor position sizing based on current volatility levels",
     "Consider stop-loss placement beyond recent price range",
     "Diversification helps mitigate single-stock risk exposure"
    ]
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "growth",
   "title": "Growth of $10,000",
   "text": [
    "A $10,000 investment in DIA in September 2016 would be worth about $28,434 today, compared with about $35,782 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "monte-carlo",
   "title": "Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)",
   "text": [
    "CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in DIA today could grow to about $23,907 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $48,867 and a bear case around $11,696. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "price-prediction",
   "title": "DIA ETF Price Prediction: 2030",
   "text": [
    "CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $733 for DIA by 2030 in the base case, from $517 today (1.4x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $467. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on DIA's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.",
    "Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using DIA's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "DIA simulated price paths by year",
     "columns": [
      "Year",
      "Downside (10th pct)",
      "Base case",
      "Upside (90th pct)"
     ],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "2027",
       "cells": [
        "$450",
        "$565",
        "$708"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2028",
       "cells": [
        "$447",
        "$616",
        "$848"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2029",
       "cells": [
        "$454",
        "$672",
        "$994"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2030",
       "cells": [
        "$467",
        "$733",
        "$1,153"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2031",
       "cells": [
        "$483",
        "$800",
        "$1,327"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2032",
       "cells": [
        "$502",
        "$873",
        "$1,519"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2033",
       "cells": [
        "$524",
        "$953",
        "$1,732"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2034",
       "cells": [
        "$548",
        "$1,039",
        "$1,970"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2035",
       "cells": [
        "$575",
        "$1,134",
        "$2,234"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2036",
       "cells": [
        "$605",
        "$1,237",
        "$2,529"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "people-also-watch",
   "title": "People Also Watch",
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     "url": "https://clearank.com/etf/us-natural-gas-fund-ung/"
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    {
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     "url": "https://clearank.com/etf/mtum-etf-analysis/"
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   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "related-comparisons",
   "title": "Compare DIA",
   "links": [
    {
     "text": "DIA vs SPY Comparison Head-to-head analysis →",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/compare/dia-vs-spy/"
    },
    {
     "text": "SNPS vs CDNS Comparison Head-to-head analysis →",
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   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "faq",
   "title": "Frequently Asked Questions"
  }
 ],
 "faq": [
  {
   "question": "What is the expense ratio for the State Street SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF Trust (DIA)?",
   "answer": "The expense ratio for DIA is 0.16%, which translates to $16.00 per $10,000 invested. This covers the costs associated with managing the fund."
  },
  {
   "question": "What sectors does the State Street SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF Trust (DIA) hold?",
   "answer": "DIA holds a concentrated portfolio, with the largest sector allocations being Financial Services at 27.46%, Technology at 18.40%, and Industrials at 15.54%. Other significant allocations include Healthcare (13.78%) and Consumer Cyclical (9.95%)."
  },
  {
   "question": "How has DIA performed against its category over different timeframes?",
   "answer": "Year-to-date, DIA has returned 11.55% compared to its category's 7.82%. However, its 1-year return of 18.29% lags the category's 26.16%. Over longer periods, DIA has shown competitive performance, with 3-year, 5-year, and 10-year returns of 17.05%, 10.36%, and 13.35% respectively, against category figures of 15.87%, 10.13%, and 11.26%."
  },
  {
   "question": "What are the key technical levels for DIA?",
   "answer": "DIA is currently trading below its 20-day ($521.91) and 50-day ($527.56) SMAs, indicating bearish short-term momentum. It remains above its 200-day SMA at $502.02, which may act as support."
  },
  {
   "question": "What is the dividend yield for DIA?",
   "answer": "The dividend yield for DIA is approximately 1.40%, with a dividend rate of $7.23."
  },
  {
   "question": "What is the price prediction for DIA ETF in 2030?",
   "answer": "Based on a Monte Carlo simulation, the base case price prediction for DIA in 2030 is $733.35. The downside price projection is $466.60, and the upside price projection is $1152.61. These figures are statistical simulation outcomes and not price targets or guarantees."
  },
  {
   "question": "What are the main risks associated with investing in DIA?",
   "answer": "Key risks include concentration in a limited number of large-cap stocks, making it vulnerable to sector-specific downturns or underperformance of major constituents. The price-weighted structure means a few large companies can heavily influence the ETF's performance."
  }
 ],
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    "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/be-stock-analysis/"
   },
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    "url": "https://clearank.com/crypto/eigen-usd-crypto-analysis/"
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    "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/credo-crdo/"
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    "url": "https://clearank.com/etf/vtv-etf-analysis/"
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