{
 "@context": "https://clearank.com/llms.txt",
 "@type": "clearank:AssetAnalysis",
 "url": "https://clearank.com/etf/sivr-etf-analysis/",
 "dataUrl": "https://clearank.com/etf/sivr-etf-analysis/data.json",
 "title": "abrdn Physical Silver Shares ETF (SIVR) ETF Forecast (2026)",
 "description": "Is abrdn Physical Silver Shares (SIVR) a Buy or Sell today? Get the latest AI trade setup, key support levels and risk analysis. Updated daily.",
 "headline": "abrdn Physical Silver Shares ETF (SIVR)",
 "published": "2026-09-03T09:12:01+00:00",
 "modified": "2026-09-12T13:22:48.417+00:00",
 "generated": "2026-09-12T23:15:00.397Z",
 "language": "en-US",
 "publisher": {
  "name": "CleaRank",
  "url": "https://clearank.com/"
 },
 "disclaimer": "Educational and informational only; not financial advice. AI-generated analysis reviewed by the CleaRank editorial team; prices delayed up to 15 minutes.",
 "asset": {
  "ticker": "SIVR",
  "name": "abrdn Physical Silver Shares ETF",
  "type": "ETF",
  "exchange": "NYSE",
  "currency": "USD",
  "sector": null,
  "industry": null,
  "country": "United States",
  "website": null
 },
 "quote": {
  "price": 61.15,
  "previousClose": 60.48,
  "change": 0.67,
  "changePercent": 1.11,
  "open": 61.76,
  "high": 61.98,
  "low": 60.86,
  "volume": 1211600,
  "averageVolume": 1294880,
  "marketCap": 0,
  "fiftyTwoWeekHigh": 115.26,
  "fiftyTwoWeekLow": 37.080002,
  "marketOpen": false,
  "asOf": "2026-09-12T13:22:46.000Z"
 },
 "statistics": {
  "pe": null,
  "eps": null,
  "dividendYield": 0,
  "beta": null,
  "priceToSales": null,
  "priceToBook": null,
  "revenueTtm": 0,
  "grossMargin": null,
  "returnOnEquity": null
 },
 "technicals": {
  "rsi": 36.26,
  "macd": 0.49,
  "sma50": 59.35,
  "sma200": 68.89,
  "rsiSignal": "Bearish",
  "trend": "Bearish",
  "pricePosition": "Bullish",
  "macdSignal": "Bullish",
  "rating": "Neutral"
 },
 "analysis": {
  "rating": "Hold",
  "score": 55,
  "consensus": "Hold",
  "fairValue": null,
  "analystTarget": 62.98,
  "analystCount": null,
  "wallStreetConsensus": "",
  "generatedAt": "2026-09-12T13:22:46.000Z",
  "priceAtAnalysis": 61.15,
  "volatility": {
   "daily": 2.46,
   "risk": "etf"
  }
 },
 "tradePlan": {
  "bias": "Neutral",
  "conservativeEntry": 60.54,
  "aggressiveEntry": 61.15,
  "stopLoss": 58.3,
  "stopLossPercent": 3.69,
  "targets": [
   62.35,
   63.57,
   65.38
  ]
 },
 "projections": {
  "basis": "Monte Carlo simulation on historical return distribution, re-run daily; not price targets",
  "years": [
   {
    "year": 2027,
    "downside10th": 43.97,
    "base": 67.16,
    "upside90th": 102.58
   },
   {
    "year": 2028,
    "downside10th": 40.52,
    "base": 73.76,
    "upside90th": 134.27
   },
   {
    "year": 2029,
    "downside10th": 38.89,
    "base": 81,
    "upside90th": 168.71
   },
   {
    "year": 2030,
    "downside10th": 38.13,
    "base": 88.96,
    "upside90th": 207.56
   },
   {
    "year": 2031,
    "downside10th": 37.89,
    "base": 97.71,
    "upside90th": 251.93
   },
   {
    "year": 2032,
    "downside10th": 38.02,
    "base": 107.31,
    "upside90th": 302.87
   },
   {
    "year": 2033,
    "downside10th": 38.42,
    "base": 117.85,
    "upside90th": 361.46
   },
   {
    "year": 2034,
    "downside10th": 39.06,
    "base": 129.43,
    "upside90th": 428.92
   },
   {
    "year": 2035,
    "downside10th": 39.89,
    "base": 142.15,
    "upside90th": 506.57
   },
   {
    "year": 2036,
    "downside10th": 40.9,
    "base": 156.12,
    "upside90th": 595.94
   }
  ]
 },
 "faqCount": 7,
 "sources": [
  "TwelveData",
  "Wall Street consensus"
 ],
 "sections": [
  {
   "id": "price",
   "title": "SIVR Price Analysis"
  },
  {
   "id": "market-metrics",
   "title": "Market Metrics",
   "facts": {
    "Open": "$61.76",
    "Day Range": "$60.86 to $61.98",
    "Prev Close": "$60.48",
    "Volume": "1.21M",
    "52-Week Range": "$37.08 to $115.26"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "mi-fund-facts",
   "title": "SIVR Fund Facts",
   "text": [
    "Abrdn Physical Silver Shares ETF is an exchange-traded fund designed to track the spot price of silver by holding physical silver bullion. The primary function of this ETF is to provide investors an accessible and cost-effective method to gain direct exposure to silver's price movements without having to directly manage the physical commodity themselves.",
    "Fund reference data as of Sep 12, 2026. Expense ratio and net assets are reported by the fund; returns are total returns and can differ from price change."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "",
     "columns": [
      "Period",
      "SIVR",
      "Category"
     ],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "YTD",
       "cells": [
        "-2.60%",
        "29.92%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "1 month",
       "cells": [
        "21.68%",
        "3.11%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "3 months",
       "cells": [
        "-7.36%",
        "11.90%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "1 year",
       "cells": [
        "80.54%",
        "71.37%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "3 years",
       "cells": [
        "41.58%",
        "17.21%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "5 years",
       "cells": [
        "23.55%",
        "12.75%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "10 years",
       "cells": [
        "13.79%",
        "7.26%"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "analysis",
   "title": "SIVR Analysis",
   "text": [
    "SIVR is currently trading above its 50-day SMA ($59.35) of $59.35 and its 200-day simple moving average of $68.89, indicating a bearish trend. The 20-day exponential moving average is at $62.25, also above the current price of $61.15. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 36.26, which is considered oversold. The Stochastic indicator is at 11.16, further reinforcing the oversold condition. The Commodity Channel Index (CCI) is at -99.52, also signaling an oversold state.",
    "The outlook for SIVR is cautiously optimistic, contingent on a reversal of its current bearish technical trend. While the ETF is trading below key moving averages, its oversold RSI and Stochastic indicators suggest a potential for a short-term bounce. Silver's role as a safe-haven asset and its industrial applications could drive demand, especially if market volatility increases or economic conditions improve. However, sustained weakness in the broader commodity markets or a strengthening US dollar could present headwinds. A move above the 50-day SMA would be a key signal for a potential trend change."
   ],
   "lists": {
    "ProTips": [
     "Monitor silver's industrial demand trends for insights into potential price drivers.",
     "Consider SIVR as a tactical hedge against inflation or market uncertainty.",
     "Be aware of the ETF's sensitivity to broader commodity market sentiment and macroeconomic factors."
    ]
   },
   "links": [
    {
     "text": "CCI",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/cci-stock-analysis/"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "correlations",
   "title": "Market Correlations",
   "text": [
    "How this etf moves relative to other assets",
    "Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods."
   ],
   "facts": {
    "Correlation with S&P 500 (SPY)": "+0.28",
    "Correlation with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)": "+0.31",
    "Correlation with Bitcoin (BTC)": "+0.33",
    "Correlation with Gold (XAU)": "+0.73"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "key-statistics",
   "title": "Key Statistics",
   "text": [
    "Abrdn Physical Silver Shares ETF, managed by Aberdeen Standard Investments, is a commodities-focused ETF with $4.88 billion in net assets and an expense ratio of 0.30%. The fund's primary function is to provide direct exposure to the spot price of silver through physical bullion holdings. Its strategy is geared towards investors seeking diversification with precious metals, leveraging silver's industrial and investment demand. The ETF's asset allocation is heavily weighted towards physical silver, with 'others' accounting for the remaining 1%. The fund's overview highlights its role in providing a cost-effective method for engaging with the silver market, backed by tangible assets.",
    "However, the performance of its underlying commodity is influenced by global economic factors and industrial demand. Recent earnings reports from companies within the broader precious metals and mining sector, such as those with EPS surprises like a 14.58% positive surprise on May 5, 2026, can indirectly reflect the market sentiment and demand for silver. These reports, alongside price changes, offer insights into the economic environment that impacts silver prices.",
    "The primary risk for SIVR lies in the inherent volatility of silver prices, which can be influenced by industrial demand, geopolitical events, and investor sentiment. Its technicals indicate a bearish trend, trading below key moving averages, and while currently oversold, this momentum could persist. Concentration risk is also a factor, as the ETF's performance is tied almost exclusively to the price of a single commodity."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "",
     "columns": [],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "Yield",
       "cells": [
        "0.00%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Day High",
       "cells": [
        "$61.98"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Day Low",
       "cells": [
        "$60.86"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "52 Week High",
       "cells": [
        "115.26"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "52 Week Low",
       "cells": [
        "37.08"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "technical-indicators",
   "title": "Technical Indicators",
   "text": [
    "Technical Rating Neutral RSI Bearish SMA Cross Bearish Price vs SMA Bullish MACD Bullish Moving averages show a lagging Death Cross (50-day: $59.35, 200-day: $68.89), price sits above the 50-day SMA but below the 200-day SMA - a mixed posture."
   ],
   "facts": {
    "RSI": "Bearish",
    "SMA Cross": "Bearish",
    "Price vs SMA": "Bullish",
    "MACD": "Bullish"
   },
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "",
     "columns": [],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "RSI (14)",
       "cells": [
        "36.26"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "MACD",
       "cells": [
        "0.49"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "SMA 50",
       "cells": [
        "59.35"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "SMA 200",
       "cells": [
        "68.89"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "trade-plans",
   "title": "SIVR Trade Plans",
   "text": [
    "Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels",
    "Enter now if confident",
    "Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss Calculated based on RSI (36.3) and current market volatility",
    "Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3"
   ],
   "facts": {
    "TARGET 1": "$62.35",
    "TARGET 2": "$63.57",
    "TARGET 3": "$65.38",
    "STOP LOSS": "$58.30"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "risk",
   "title": "Risk & Volatility",
   "facts": {
    "Daily Volatility": "2.46%"
   },
   "lists": {
    "Risk considerations": [
     "Monitor position sizing based on current volatility levels",
     "Consider stop-loss placement beyond recent price range",
     "Diversification helps mitigate single-stock risk exposure"
    ]
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "growth",
   "title": "Growth of $10,000",
   "text": [
    "A $10,000 investment in SIVR in September 2016 would be worth about $32,648 today, compared with about $35,328 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "monte-carlo",
   "title": "Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)",
   "text": [
    "CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in SIVR today could grow to about $25,530 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $97,455 and a bear case around $6,688. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "price-prediction",
   "title": "SIVR ETF Price Prediction: 2030",
   "text": [
    "CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $88.96 for SIVR by 2030 in the base case, from $61.15 today (1.5x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $38.13. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on SIVR's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.",
    "Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using SIVR's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "SIVR simulated price paths by year",
     "columns": [
      "Year",
      "Downside (10th pct)",
      "Base case",
      "Upside (90th pct)"
     ],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "2027",
       "cells": [
        "$43.97",
        "$67.16",
        "$103"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2028",
       "cells": [
        "$40.52",
        "$73.76",
        "$134"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2029",
       "cells": [
        "$38.89",
        "$81.00",
        "$169"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2030",
       "cells": [
        "$38.13",
        "$88.96",
        "$208"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2031",
       "cells": [
        "$37.89",
        "$97.71",
        "$252"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2032",
       "cells": [
        "$38.02",
        "$107",
        "$303"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2033",
       "cells": [
        "$38.42",
        "$118",
        "$361"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2034",
       "cells": [
        "$39.06",
        "$129",
        "$429"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2035",
       "cells": [
        "$39.89",
        "$142",
        "$507"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2036",
       "cells": [
        "$40.90",
        "$156",
        "$596"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "people-also-watch",
   "title": "People Also Watch",
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  {
   "id": "related-comparisons",
   "title": "Compare SIVR",
   "links": [
    {
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     "url": "https://clearank.com/compare/slv-vs-sivr/"
    },
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  },
  {
   "id": "faq",
   "title": "Frequently Asked Questions"
  }
 ],
 "faq": [
  {
   "question": "What is the expense ratio for the Abrdn Physical Silver Shares ETF (SIVR)?",
   "answer": "The expense ratio for SIVR is 0.30%. This means that for every $10,000 invested, $30 would be allocated to fund expenses annually."
  },
  {
   "question": "What does the Abrdn Physical Silver Shares ETF hold and which sectors is it concentrated in?",
   "answer": "The Abrdn Physical Silver Shares ETF is designed to track the spot price of silver by holding physical silver bullion. Its asset allocation is concentrated in physical silver, with 'others' making up the remaining 1%."
  },
  {
   "question": "What is the distribution yield for the Abrdn Physical Silver Shares ETF (SIVR)?",
   "answer": "The Abrdn Physical Silver Shares ETF (SIVR) currently has a distribution yield of 0%."
  },
  {
   "question": "How has the Abrdn Physical Silver Shares ETF performed against its category over different timeframes?",
   "answer": "SIVR has underperformed its category year-to-date (-2.60% vs 29.92%), but has outperformed over the 1-year (80.54% vs 71.37%), 3-year (41.58% vs 17.21%), 5-year (23.55% vs 12.75%), and 10-year (13.79% vs 7.26%) periods."
  },
  {
   "question": "What are the key technical indicators for SIVR?",
   "answer": "SIVR's technical indicators show a bearish trend with its price above its 50-day SMA ($59.35) but below its 200-day SMA ($68.89). The RSI is at 36.26 (oversold), and the Stochastic indicator is at 11.16, also indicating oversold conditions."
  },
  {
   "question": "What is the outlook for SIVR based on its long-range projections?",
   "answer": "Based on Monte Carlo simulations, SIVR's long-range projections for 2030 show a base price of $88.96, a downside price of $38.13, and an upside price of $207.56. These are statistical outcomes, not price targets."
  },
  {
   "question": "What is the primary strategy of the Abrdn Physical Silver Shares ETF?",
   "answer": "The ETF's strategy is to provide investors with direct exposure to the spot price of silver by holding physical silver bullion, serving as a diversification tool and a hedge against market volatility."
  }
 ],
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   {
    "ticker": "HPE",
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