{ "@context": "https://clearank.com/llms.txt", "@type": "clearank:AssetAnalysis", "url": "https://clearank.com/etf/sgov-etf-analysis/", "dataUrl": "https://clearank.com/etf/sgov-etf-analysis/data.json", "title": "iShares 0-3 Month (SGOV) ETF Forecast & Price Target (2026)", "description": "iShares 0-3 Month Treasury Bond (SGOV) ETF: 0.09% expense ratio. $106.0B net assets. Ultrashort Bond. Fund facts, AI rating, technicals and 2030 projection.", "headline": "iShares 0-3 Month Treasury Bond ETF (SGOV)", "published": "2026-07-24T10:01:54+00:00", "modified": "2026-09-11T02:52:12.982+00:00", "generated": "2026-09-11T21:01:03.074Z", "language": "en-US", "publisher": { "name": "CleaRank", "url": "https://clearank.com/" }, "disclaimer": "Educational and informational only; not financial advice. AI-generated analysis reviewed by the CleaRank editorial team; prices delayed up to 15 minutes.", "asset": { "ticker": "SGOV", "name": "iShares 0-3 Month Treasury Bond ETF", "type": "ETF", "exchange": "NYSE", "currency": "USD", "sector": null, "industry": null, "country": "United States", "website": null }, "quote": { "price": 100.5, "previousClose": 100.49, "change": 0.01, "changePercent": 0.01, "open": 100.49, "high": 100.5, "low": 100.49, "volume": 20209600, "averageVolume": 25279180, "marketCap": 0, "fiftyTwoWeekHigh": 100.74, "fiftyTwoWeekLow": 100.27, "marketOpen": false, "asOf": "2026-09-11T02:52:12.000Z" }, "statistics": { "pe": null, "eps": null, "dividendYield": 0.036658539223984425, "beta": null, "priceToSales": null, "priceToBook": null, "revenueTtm": 0, "grossMargin": null, "returnOnEquity": null }, "technicals": { "rsi": 40.43, "macd": -0.02, "sma50": 100.55, "sma200": 100.52, "rsiSignal": "Neutral", "trend": "Neutral", "pricePosition": "Bearish", "macdSignal": "Neutral", "rating": "Bearish" }, "analysis": { "rating": "Hold", "score": 50, "consensus": "Hold", "fairValue": null, "analystTarget": 103.52, "analystCount": null, "wallStreetConsensus": "", "generatedAt": "2026-09-11T02:52:12.000Z", "priceAtAnalysis": 100.5, "volatility": { "daily": 0.08, "risk": "etf" } }, "tradePlan": { "bias": "Neutral", "conservativeEntry": 99.5, "aggressiveEntry": 100.5, "stopLoss": 96.51, "stopLossPercent": 3, "targets": [ 102.48, 104.47, 107.45 ] }, "projections": { "basis": "Monte Carlo simulation on historical return distribution, re-run daily; not price targets", "years": [ { "year": 2027, "downside10th": 102.43, "base": 103.73, "upside90th": 105.06 }, { "year": 2028, "downside10th": 105.17, "base": 107.07, "upside90th": 109.01 }, { "year": 2029, "downside10th": 108.12, "base": 110.52, "upside90th": 112.97 }, { "year": 2030, "downside10th": 111.22, "base": 114.08, "upside90th": 117.01 }, { "year": 2031, "downside10th": 114.46, "base": 117.75, "upside90th": 121.13 }, { "year": 2032, "downside10th": 117.82, "base": 121.54, "upside90th": 125.37 }, { "year": 2033, "downside10th": 121.31, "base": 125.45, "upside90th": 129.73 }, { "year": 2034, "downside10th": 124.93, "base": 129.49, "upside90th": 134.21 }, { "year": 2035, "downside10th": 128.67, "base": 133.66, "upside90th": 138.84 }, { "year": 2036, "downside10th": 132.54, "base": 137.96, "upside90th": 143.6 } ] }, "faqCount": 7, "sources": [ "TwelveData", "Wall Street consensus" ], "sections": [ { "id": "price", "title": "SGOV Price Analysis" }, { "id": "market-metrics", "title": "Market Metrics", "facts": { "Open": "$100.49", "Day Range": "$100.49 to $100.50", "Prev Close": "$100.49", "Volume": "20.21M", "52-Week Range": "$100.27 to $100.74" } }, { "id": "mi-fund-facts", "title": "SGOV Fund Facts", "text": [ "iShares 0-3 Month Treasury Bond ETF is an exchange-traded fund focused on U.S. Treasury securities with very short maturities, generally up to three months. Managed by BlackRock under the iShares brand, it seeks to track the ICE 0-3 Month U.S. Treasury Securities Index and provides exposure to short-term government bonds through a passive, index-based approach.", "Fund reference data as of Sep 11, 2026. Expense ratio and net assets are reported by the fund; returns are total returns and can differ from price change." ], "tables": [ { "caption": "", "columns": [ "Period", "SGOV", "Category" ], "rows": [ { "label": "YTD", "cells": [ "2.41%", "1.14%" ] }, { "label": "1 month", "cells": [ "0.29%", "0.38%" ] }, { "label": "3 months", "cells": [ "0.92%", "0.78%" ] }, { "label": "1 year", "cells": [ "3.78%", "4.48%" ] }, { "label": "3 years", "cells": [ "4.59%", "5.26%" ] }, { "label": "5 years", "cells": [ "3.72%", "3.46%" ] }, { "label": "10 years", "cells": [ "N/A", "2.64%" ] } ] } ] }, { "id": "analysis", "title": "SGOV Analysis", "text": [ "Momentum has shifted for SGOV: the price has moved below its 20-day, 50-day, and 200-day simple moving averages. The ETF's current price of $100.50 is below the 20-day EMA ($100.53), the 50-day SMA ($100.55), and the 200-day SMA ($100.52), indicating a neutral to slightly bearish short-term trend. The RSI is at 40.43, which is in neutral territory, and the Stochastic indicator is at 33.33, suggesting it is not overbought or oversold. Trading volume was approximately 20.21 million on the latest day, which is about 20.1% below its average volume of 25.28 million.", "The outlook for SGOV remains stable, driven by its objective of capital preservation and income generation from short-term U.S. Treasury securities. As an ultrashort bond ETF, its performance is closely tied to prevailing short-term interest rates. Given its current yield of 3.71% and a neutral technical posture, SGOV is expected to continue serving its purpose as a cash-management tool. Any significant shifts in Federal Reserve policy or short-term rate movements will be the primary drivers of its future performance." ], "lists": { "ProTips": [ "Consider SGOV as a cash-like holding for capital preservation and modest income generation.", "Monitor Federal Reserve policy and short-term interest rate changes, as they directly impact SGOV's yield.", "Understand that SGOV's NAV can fluctuate slightly with interest rate movements, despite its ultrashort duration." ] } }, { "id": "correlations", "title": "Market Correlations", "text": [ "How this etf moves relative to other assets", "Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods." ], "facts": { "Correlation with S&P 500 (SPY)": "+0.07", "Correlation with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)": "+0.07", "Correlation with Bitcoin (BTC)": "+0.07", "Correlation with Gold (XAU)": "-0.02" } }, { "id": "key-statistics", "title": "Key Statistics", "text": [ "The iShares 0-3 Month Treasury Bond ETF (SGOV) is built upon U.S. Treasury securities with very short maturities, emphasizing principal preservation. Its expense ratio is a low 0.09%, costing approximately $9 per $10,000 invested annually. The fund boasts substantial net assets of $105.98 billion, indicating significant investor demand for this ultrashort fixed-income product. The asset allocation is heavily weighted towards cash (96.73%), with a small allocation to bonds (3.27%), reinforcing its role as a cash-like investment vehicle. The fund distributes income monthly, with a current dividend yield of 3.71%.", "As an ETF focused on short-term U.S. Its performance is driven by interest rate movements affecting short-term yields. Recent earnings data for underlying holdings, where available, shows mixed results with some negative EPS surprises. However, the fund's objective is capital preservation and income generation from short-term debt, not capital appreciation based on corporate earnings.", "The primary risk for SGOV is interest rate sensitivity, although its ultrashort duration significantly mitigates this. A rapid and unexpected increase in short-term interest rates could lead to a decrease in the fund's net asset value, though this is less pronounced than with longer-duration bonds. Concentration risk is minimal due to the diversified nature of U.S. Treasury securities. Macroeconomic shifts impacting Federal Reserve policy are the most significant external factor influencing the fund's yield and NAV." ], "tables": [ { "caption": "", "columns": [], "rows": [ { "label": "Yield", "cells": [ "3.69%" ] }, { "label": "Day High", "cells": [ "$100.50" ] }, { "label": "Day Low", "cells": [ "$100.49" ] }, { "label": "52 Week High", "cells": [ "100.74" ] }, { "label": "52 Week Low", "cells": [ "100.27" ] } ] } ] }, { "id": "technical-indicators", "title": "Technical Indicators", "text": [ "Technical Rating Bearish RSI Neutral SMA Cross Neutral Price vs SMA Bearish MACD Neutral Price is trading below the 50-day SMA." ], "facts": { "RSI": "Neutral", "SMA Cross": "Neutral", "Price vs SMA": "Bearish", "MACD": "Neutral" }, "tables": [ { "caption": "", "columns": [], "rows": [ { "label": "RSI (14)", "cells": [ "40.43" ] }, { "label": "MACD", "cells": [ "-0.02" ] }, { "label": "SMA 50", "cells": [ "100.55" ] }, { "label": "SMA 200", "cells": [ "100.52" ] } ] } ] }, { "id": "trade-plans", "title": "SGOV Trade Plans", "text": [ "Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels", "Enter now if confident", "Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss Calculated based on RSI (40.4) and current market volatility", "Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3" ], "facts": { "TARGET 1": "$102.48", "TARGET 2": "$104.47", "TARGET 3": "$107.45", "STOP LOSS": "$96.51" } }, { "id": "seasonality", "title": "Seasonal Patterns", "text": [ "Historical monthly performance trends", "Based on 3 years of historical monthly returns" ], "facts": { "Average Jan return": "+0.22%", "Average Feb return": "+0.22%", "Average Mar return": "+0.23%", "Average Apr return": "+0.23%", "Average May return": "+0.25%", "Average Jun return": "+0.21%", "Average Jul return": "+0.21%", "Average Aug return": "+0.23%", "Average Sep return": "+0.22%", "Average Oct return": "+0.22%", "Average Nov return": "+0.22%", "Average Dec return": "+0.00%" } }, { "id": "risk", "title": "Risk & Volatility", "facts": { "Daily Volatility": "0.0760%" }, "lists": { "Risk considerations": [ "Monitor position sizing based on current volatility levels", "Consider stop-loss placement beyond recent price range", "Diversification helps mitigate single-stock risk exposure" ] } }, { "id": "growth", "title": "Growth of $10,000", "text": [ "A $10,000 investment in SGOV in June 2020 would be worth about $10,049 today, compared with about $24,802 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark." ] }, { "id": "monte-carlo", "title": "Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)", "text": [ "CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in SGOV today could grow to about $13,727 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $14,289 and a bear case around $13,188. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees." ] }, { "id": "price-prediction", "title": "SGOV ETF Price Prediction: 2030", "text": [ "CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $114 for SGOV by 2030 in the base case, from $101 today (1.1x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $111. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on SGOV's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.", "Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using SGOV's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice." ], "tables": [ { "caption": "SGOV simulated price paths by year", "columns": [ "Year", "Downside (10th pct)", "Base case", "Upside (90th pct)" ], "rows": [ { "label": "2027", "cells": [ "$102", "$104", "$105" ] }, { "label": "2028", "cells": [ "$105", "$107", "$109" ] }, { "label": "2029", "cells": [ "$108", "$111", "$113" ] }, { "label": "2030", "cells": [ "$111", "$114", "$117" ] }, { "label": "2031", "cells": [ "$114", "$118", "$121" ] }, { "label": "2032", "cells": [ "$118", "$122", "$125" ] }, { "label": "2033", "cells": [ "$121", "$125", "$130" ] }, { "label": "2034", "cells": [ "$125", "$129", "$134" ] }, { "label": "2035", "cells": [ "$129", "$134", "$139" ] }, { "label": "2036", "cells": [ "$133", "$138", "$144" ] } ] } ] }, { "id": "people-also-watch", "title": "People Also Watch", "links": [ { "text": "IYF iShares U.S. Financials ETF NYSE $135.46 +0.4040%", "url": "https://clearank.com/etf/ishares-us-financials-iyf/" }, { "text": "IWF iShares Russell 1000 Growth ETF NYSE $121.32 -0.9309%", "url": "https://clearank.com/etf/iwf-etf-analysis/" }, { "text": "AMLP Alerian MLP ETF NYSE $56.03 -0.2847%", "url": "https://clearank.com/etf/amlp-etf-analysis/" }, { "text": "IYW iShares U.S. Technology ETF NYSE $253.58 +1.31%", "url": "https://clearank.com/etf/iyw-etf-analysis/" }, { "text": "FTEC Fidelity MSCI Information Technology Index ETF NYSE $289.96 +1.57%", "url": "https://clearank.com/etf/fidelity-info-tech-ftec/" }, { "text": "CRAK VanEck Oil Refiners ETF NYSE $65.61 -1.04%", "url": "https://clearank.com/etf/crak-etf-analysis/" }, { "text": "VXUS Vanguard Total International Stock ETF NASDAQ $87.26 +1.14%", "url": "https://clearank.com/etf/vxus-etf-analysis/" }, { "text": "WGMI CoinShares Bitcoin Mining and Digital Power ETF NASDAQ $45.58 -4.70%", "url": "https://clearank.com/etf/wgmi-etf-analysis/" } ] }, { "id": "related-comparisons", "title": "Popular Comparisons", "links": [ { "text": "VUG vs VOO Comparison Head-to-head analysis →", "url": "https://clearank.com/compare/vug-vs-voo/" }, { "text": "NUE vs STLD Comparison Head-to-head analysis →", "url": "https://clearank.com/compare/nue-vs-stld/" }, { "text": "VGT vs SCHG Comparison Head-to-head analysis →", "url": "https://clearank.com/compare/vgt-vs-schg/" } ] }, { "id": "faq", "title": "Frequently Asked Questions" } ], "faq": [ { "question": "What is the expense ratio for the iShares 0-3 Month Treasury Bond ETF (SGOV)?", "answer": "The expense ratio for SGOV is 0.09%, which translates to approximately $9 per $10,000 invested annually. This low cost is a key feature for investors seeking efficient access to short-term Treasury exposure." }, { "question": "What sectors or asset classes does SGOV primarily hold?", "answer": "SGOV primarily holds U.S. Treasury securities with maturities of up to three months. As of its latest profile, the fund's asset allocation is 96.73% cash and 3.27% bonds, reflecting its ultrashort duration and focus on principal preservation." }, { "question": "What is the distribution yield for SGOV?", "answer": "The iShares 0-3 Month Treasury Bond ETF (SGOV) offers a distribution yield of approximately 3.71%." }, { "question": "How has SGOV performed against its category over the past year?", "answer": "In the past year, SGOV returned 3.78%, while its category returned 4.48%. This indicates that the fund underperformed its category average over the last 12 months." }, { "question": "What is the price prediction for SGOV in 2030?", "answer": "Based on Monte Carlo simulations, the projected base price for SGOV in 2030 is $114.08, with a downside projection of $111.22 and an upside projection of $117.01. These figures represent statistical simulation outcomes, not price targets or guarantees." }, { "question": "What are the main risks associated with investing in SGOV?", "answer": "The primary risks for SGOV include potential decreases in NAV due to rising short-term interest rates, although its ultrashort duration minimizes this impact. Macroeconomic shifts influencing Federal Reserve policy are also a key factor to monitor." }, { "question": "How does SGOV's strategy align with current market conditions?", "answer": "SGOV's strategy of focusing on short-term Treasury securities provides a stable, low-volatility option that is well-suited for investors seeking capital preservation and a modest income stream in uncertain economic environments." } ], "related": { "peopleAlsoWatch": [ { "ticker": "IYF", "name": "iShares U.S. Financials ETF NYSE", "price": "$135.46", "change": "+0.4040%", "url": "https://clearank.com/etf/ishares-us-financials-iyf/" }, { "ticker": "IWF", "name": "iShares Russell 1000 Growth ETF NYSE", "price": "$121.32", "change": "-0.9309%", "url": "https://clearank.com/etf/iwf-etf-analysis/" }, { "ticker": "AMLP", "name": "Alerian MLP ETF NYSE", "price": "$56.03", "change": "-0.2847%", "url": "https://clearank.com/etf/amlp-etf-analysis/" }, { "ticker": "IYW", "name": "iShares U.S. Technology ETF NYSE", "price": "$253.58", "change": "+1.31%", "url": "https://clearank.com/etf/iyw-etf-analysis/" }, { "ticker": "FTEC", "name": "Fidelity MSCI Information Technology Index ETF NYSE", "price": "$289.96", "change": "+1.57%", "url": "https://clearank.com/etf/fidelity-info-tech-ftec/" }, { "ticker": "CRAK", "name": "VanEck Oil Refiners ETF NYSE", "price": "$65.61", "change": "-1.04%", "url": "https://clearank.com/etf/crak-etf-analysis/" }, { "ticker": "VXUS", "name": "Vanguard Total International Stock ETF NASDAQ", "price": "$87.26", "change": "+1.14%", "url": "https://clearank.com/etf/vxus-etf-analysis/" }, { "ticker": "WGMI", "name": "CoinShares Bitcoin Mining and Digital Power ETF NASDAQ", "price": "$45.58", "change": "-4.70%", "url": "https://clearank.com/etf/wgmi-etf-analysis/" } ], "comparisons": [ { "ticker": "VUG vs VOO Comparison", "name": "", "url": "https://clearank.com/compare/vug-vs-voo/" }, { "ticker": "NUE vs STLD Comparison", "name": "", "url": "https://clearank.com/compare/nue-vs-stld/" }, { "ticker": "VGT vs SCHG Comparison", "name": "", "url": "https://clearank.com/compare/vgt-vs-schg/" } ], "Newly Tracked": [ { "ticker": "IAUM", "text": "iShares Gold Trust Micro", "url": "https://clearank.com/etf/iaum-etf-analysis/" }, { "ticker": "SLVR", "text": "Sprott Silver Miners & Physical Silver ETF", "url": "https://clearank.com/etf/slvr-etf-analysis/" }, { "ticker": "NTES", "text": "NetEase, Inc.", "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/ntes-stock-analysis/" }, { "ticker": "PCAR", "text": "PACCAR Inc.", "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/pcar-stock-analysis/" }, { "ticker": "O", "text": "Realty Income Corp.", "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/o-stock-analysis/" } ], "Top Movers (24h)": [ { "ticker": "SOXL", "text": "↓ 8.03%", "url": "https://clearank.com/etf/direxion-semiconductor-bull-soxl/" }, { "ticker": "WOLF", "text": "↓ 7.73%", "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/wolfspeed-wolf/" }, { "ticker": "NEAR/USD", "text": "↑ 18.46%", "url": "https://clearank.com/crypto/near-protocol-near-usd/" }, { "ticker": "THETA/USD", "text": "↑ 15.25%", "url": "https://clearank.com/crypto/theta-network-theta-usd/" }, { "ticker": "HPE", "text": "↑ 10.41%", "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/hewlett-packard-enterprise-hpe/" } ], "Also in Ultrashort Bond ETFs": [ { "ticker": "SGOL", "text": "abrdn Physical", "url": "https://clearank.com/etf/abrdn-physical-gold-sgol/" }, { "ticker": "SIL", "text": "Global X Silver Miners", "url": "https://clearank.com/etf/global-x-silver-miners-sil/" }, { "ticker": "SIVR", "text": "abrdn Physical Silver Shares", "url": "https://clearank.com/etf/sivr-etf-analysis/" } ] }, "schema": [ { "@context": "https://schema.org", "@graph": [ { "@type": "Place", "@id": "https://clearank.com/#place", "address": { "@type": "PostalAddress", "streetAddress": "Beni Berman 2", "addressLocality": "Netanya", "addressRegion": "Center", "postalCode": "4249330", "addressCountry": "IL" } }, { "@type": "Organization", "@id": "https://clearank.com/#organization", "name": "CleaRank", "url": "https://clearank.com", "sameAs": [ "https://twitter.com/CleaRank", "https://www.linkedin.com/company/clearank/", "https://www.youtube.com/@CleaRank" ], "email": "info@clearank.com", "address": { "@type": "PostalAddress", "streetAddress": "Beni Berman 2", "addressLocality": "Netanya", "addressRegion": "Center", "postalCode": "4249330", "addressCountry": "IL" }, "logo": { "@type": "ImageObject", "@id": "https://clearank.com/#logo", "url": "https://clearank.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/02/CleaRank-Logo-e1738621466340.jpg", "contentUrl": "https://clearank.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/02/CleaRank-Logo-e1738621466340.jpg", "caption": "CleaRank", "inLanguage": "en-US", "width": "336", "height": "153" }, "description": "The CleaRank vision is to bring clarity to the online trading industry and protect trader interests. 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Ultrashort Bond. 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This low cost is a key feature for investors seeking efficient access to short-term Treasury exposure." } }, { "@type": "Question", "name": "What sectors or asset classes does SGOV primarily hold?", "acceptedAnswer": { "@type": "Answer", "text": "SGOV primarily holds U.S. Treasury securities with maturities of up to three months. As of its latest profile, the fund's asset allocation is 96.73% cash and 3.27% bonds, reflecting its ultrashort duration and focus on principal preservation." } }, { "@type": "Question", "name": "What is the distribution yield for SGOV?", "acceptedAnswer": { "@type": "Answer", "text": "The iShares 0-3 Month Treasury Bond ETF (SGOV) offers a distribution yield of approximately 3.71%." } }, { "@type": "Question", "name": "How has SGOV performed against its category over the past year?", "acceptedAnswer": { "@type": "Answer", "text": "In the past year, SGOV returned 3.78%, while its category returned 4.48%. This indicates that the fund underperformed its category average over the last 12 months." } }, { "@type": "Question", "name": "What is the price prediction for SGOV in 2030?", "acceptedAnswer": { "@type": "Answer", "text": "Based on Monte Carlo simulations, the projected base price for SGOV in 2030 is $114.08, with a downside projection of $111.22 and an upside projection of $117.01. These figures represent statistical simulation outcomes, not price targets or guarantees." } }, { "@type": "Question", "name": "What are the main risks associated with investing in SGOV?", "acceptedAnswer": { "@type": "Answer", "text": "The primary risks for SGOV include potential decreases in NAV due to rising short-term interest rates, although its ultrashort duration minimizes this impact. Macroeconomic shifts influencing Federal Reserve policy are also a key factor to monitor." } }, { "@type": "Question", "name": "How does SGOV's strategy align with current market conditions?", "acceptedAnswer": { "@type": "Answer", "text": "SGOV's strategy of focusing on short-term Treasury securities provides a stable, low-volatility option that is well-suited for investors seeking capital preservation and a modest income stream in uncertain economic environments." } } ] } ] }