{
 "@context": "https://clearank.com/llms.txt",
 "@type": "clearank:AssetAnalysis",
 "url": "https://clearank.com/etf/schwab-us-dividend-schd/",
 "dataUrl": "https://clearank.com/etf/schwab-us-dividend-schd/data.json",
 "title": "Schwab US Dividend (SCHD) ETF Forecast & Price Target (2026)",
 "description": "AI analysis of the Schwab US Dividend (SCHD) ETF. Real-time price data, technicals & daily forecasts. Updated daily.",
 "headline": "Schwab U.S. Dividend Equity ETF (SCHD)",
 "published": "2026-06-21T09:14:14+00:00",
 "modified": "2026-09-16T09:21:46.375+00:00",
 "generated": "2026-09-16T10:10:41.180Z",
 "language": "en-US",
 "publisher": {
  "name": "CleaRank",
  "url": "https://clearank.com/"
 },
 "disclaimer": "Educational and informational only; not financial advice. AI-generated analysis reviewed by the CleaRank editorial team; prices delayed up to 15 minutes.",
 "asset": {
  "ticker": "SCHD",
  "name": "Schwab U.S. Dividend Equity ETF",
  "type": "ETF",
  "exchange": "NYSE",
  "currency": "USD",
  "sector": null,
  "industry": null,
  "country": "United States",
  "website": null
 },
 "quote": {
  "price": 34.33,
  "previousClose": 34.34,
  "change": -0.01,
  "changePercent": -0.03,
  "open": 34.29,
  "high": 34.46,
  "low": 34.23,
  "volume": 17170100,
  "averageVolume": 22858800,
  "marketCap": 0,
  "fiftyTwoWeekHigh": 35.31,
  "fiftyTwoWeekLow": 26.32,
  "marketOpen": false,
  "asOf": "2026-09-16T09:21:46.000Z"
 },
 "statistics": {
  "pe": 18.933527,
  "eps": null,
  "dividendYield": 0.029470005693163482,
  "beta": null,
  "priceToSales": null,
  "priceToBook": null,
  "revenueTtm": 0,
  "grossMargin": null,
  "returnOnEquity": null
 },
 "technicals": {
  "rsi": 31.94,
  "macd": 0.07,
  "sma50": 33.89,
  "sma200": 31.35,
  "rsiSignal": "Bearish",
  "trend": "Bullish",
  "pricePosition": "Bullish",
  "macdSignal": "Bullish",
  "rating": "Bullish"
 },
 "analysis": {
  "rating": "Buy",
  "score": 75,
  "consensus": "Buy",
  "fairValue": null,
  "analystTarget": 37.08,
  "analystCount": null,
  "wallStreetConsensus": "",
  "generatedAt": "2026-09-16T09:21:46.000Z",
  "priceAtAnalysis": 34.33,
  "volatility": {
   "daily": 0.62,
   "risk": "etf"
  }
 },
 "tradePlan": {
  "bias": "Bullish",
  "conservativeEntry": 33.64,
  "aggressiveEntry": 34.33,
  "stopLoss": 32.63,
  "stopLossPercent": 3,
  "targets": [
   35.33,
   37.01,
   38.69
  ]
 },
 "projections": {
  "basis": "Monte Carlo simulation on historical return distribution, re-run daily; not price targets",
  "years": [
   {
    "year": 2027,
    "downside10th": 29.95,
    "base": 37.19,
    "upside90th": 46.18
   },
   {
    "year": 2028,
    "downside10th": 29.66,
    "base": 40.29,
    "upside90th": 54.72
   },
   {
    "year": 2029,
    "downside10th": 30,
    "base": 43.65,
    "upside90th": 63.5
   },
   {
    "year": 2030,
    "downside10th": 30.67,
    "base": 47.28,
    "upside90th": 72.9
   },
   {
    "year": 2031,
    "downside10th": 31.57,
    "base": 51.22,
    "upside90th": 83.12
   },
   {
    "year": 2032,
    "downside10th": 32.65,
    "base": 55.49,
    "upside90th": 94.3
   },
   {
    "year": 2033,
    "downside10th": 33.9,
    "base": 60.11,
    "upside90th": 106.59
   },
   {
    "year": 2034,
    "downside10th": 35.3,
    "base": 65.12,
    "upside90th": 120.13
   },
   {
    "year": 2035,
    "downside10th": 36.85,
    "base": 70.55,
    "upside90th": 135.07
   },
   {
    "year": 2036,
    "downside10th": 38.54,
    "base": 76.43,
    "upside90th": 151.55
   }
  ]
 },
 "faqCount": 7,
 "sources": [
  "TwelveData",
  "Wall Street consensus"
 ],
 "sections": [
  {
   "id": "price",
   "title": "SCHD Price Analysis"
  },
  {
   "id": "market-metrics",
   "title": "Market Metrics",
   "facts": {
    "Open": "$34.29",
    "Day Range": "$34.23 to $34.46",
    "Prev Close": "$34.34",
    "Volume": "17.17M",
    "52-Week Range": "$26.32 to $35.31"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "mi-fund-facts",
   "title": "SCHD Fund Facts",
   "text": [
    "Schwab U.S. Dividend Equity ETF is an exchange-traded fund that seeks to track the performance of the Dow Jones U.S. Dividend 100 Index. The fund focuses on U.S. companies with a consistent record of dividend payments and applies additional quality screens based on measures such as cash flow, return on equity, dividend yield, and dividend growth.",
    "Fund reference data as of Sep 16, 2026. Expense ratio and net assets are reported by the fund; returns are total returns and can differ from price change."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "",
     "columns": [
      "Period",
      "SCHD",
      "Category"
     ],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "YTD",
       "cells": [
        "29.20%",
        "7.82%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "1 month",
       "cells": [
        "4.28%",
        "6.23%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "3 months",
       "cells": [
        "8.24%",
        "3.90%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "1 year",
       "cells": [
        "29.45%",
        "26.16%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "3 years",
       "cells": [
        "16.18%",
        "15.87%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "5 years",
       "cells": [
        "10.01%",
        "10.13%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "10 years",
       "cells": [
        "13.17%",
        "11.26%"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "analysis",
   "title": "SCHD Analysis",
   "text": [
    "The Schwab U.S. Dividend Equity ETF (SCHD) is currently trading below its 20-day exponential moving average (EMA) of $34.46, suggesting short-term downward pressure. However, the price remains above both its 50-day simple moving average (SMA) of $33.89 and its 200-day SMA of $31.35, indicating a positive long-term trend. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 31.94, which is considered bearish momentum, falling into oversold territory. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) is slightly positive at 0.07, but the current price action suggests a potential near-term consolidation or pullback.",
    "The outlook for SCHD over the next 6-12 months is cautiously optimistic, supported by its strong long-term performance and dividend focus. While current technical indicators show bearish momentum, the underlying strength of its holdings and the fund's consistent outperformance against its category suggest resilience. A potential catalyst for renewed upward movement would be a shift in market sentiment back towards value and income-generating assets, or a stabilization of interest rate expectations. Conversely, a sustained rise in rates or a significant economic slowdown could pressure its performance."
   ],
   "lists": {
    "ProTips": [
     "Consider SCHD as a core income-generating component within a diversified portfolio.",
     "Monitor interest rate trends, as significant increases can impact dividend stock valuations.",
     "Review the fund's sector allocations periodically to ensure alignment with your investment strategy."
    ]
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "correlations",
   "title": "Market Correlations",
   "text": [
    "How this etf moves relative to other assets",
    "Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods."
   ],
   "facts": {
    "Correlation with S&P 500 (SPY)": "+0.61",
    "Correlation with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)": "+0.41",
    "Correlation with Bitcoin (BTC)": "+0.02",
    "Correlation with Gold (XAU)": "+0.08"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "key-statistics",
   "title": "Key Statistics",
   "text": [
    "SCHD's underlying strategy focuses on dividend-paying U.S. companies, with significant sector allocations in Healthcare (21.48%), Consumer Defensive (19.46%), and Energy (15.41%). This diversification across sectors aims to mitigate risk associated with any single industry. The fund's low expense ratio of 0.06% and substantial net assets of $112.34 billion reflect its popularity and efficiency. The turnover rate of 0.3% suggests a buy-and-hold approach, aligning with its objective of tracking a dividend-focused index. The fund's yield stands at 3.05%.",
    "However, its performance is tied to the aggregate earnings trends of its underlying holdings, which are primarily large-cap U.S. companies selected for their dividend consistency and financial quality. The focus on dividend payers generally implies exposure to more mature, stable companies whose earnings growth may be moderate but consistent. The Dow Jones U.S. Dividend 100 Index, which SCHD tracks, screens for companies with strong financial health, suggesting a focus on profitability and cash flow generation among its constituents.",
    "The primary risk for SCHD lies in its concentration within dividend-paying stocks, which can underperform during periods of rapid market growth or when interest rates rise significantly, making fixed-income alternatives more attractive. While the fund is diversified across sectors, a broad economic downturn impacting corporate profitability could affect dividend payouts and stock prices. Additionally, the current bearish momentum indicated by the RSI suggests potential for short-term price declines."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "",
     "columns": [],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "Expense Ratio",
       "cells": [
        "0.0600%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Yield",
       "cells": [
        "3.05%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Day High",
       "cells": [
        "$34.46"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Day Low",
       "cells": [
        "$34.23"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "52 Week High",
       "cells": [
        "35.31"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "52 Week Low",
       "cells": [
        "26.32"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "technical-indicators",
   "title": "Technical Indicators",
   "text": [
    "Technical Rating Bullish RSI Bearish SMA Cross Bullish Price vs SMA Bullish MACD Bullish Golden Cross in effect with the 50-day SMA ($33.89) above the 200-day SMA ($31.35), price action is firmly bullish above key moving averages."
   ],
   "facts": {
    "RSI": "Bearish",
    "SMA Cross": "Bullish",
    "Price vs SMA": "Bullish",
    "MACD": "Bullish"
   },
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "",
     "columns": [],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "RSI (14)",
       "cells": [
        "31.94"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "MACD",
       "cells": [
        "0.07"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "SMA 50",
       "cells": [
        "33.89"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "SMA 200",
       "cells": [
        "31.35"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "trade-plans",
   "title": "SCHD Trade Plans",
   "text": [
    "Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels",
    "Lower risk, wait for pullback",
    "Higher risk, immediate entry",
    "Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss Calculated based on RSI (31.9) and current market volatility",
    "Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3"
   ],
   "facts": {
    "TARGET 1": "$35.33",
    "TARGET 2": "$37.01",
    "TARGET 3": "$38.69",
    "STOP LOSS": "$32.63"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "seasonality",
   "title": "Seasonal Patterns",
   "text": [
    "Historical monthly performance trends",
    "Based on 3 years of historical monthly returns"
   ],
   "facts": {
    "Average Jan return": "+1.63%",
    "Average Feb return": "+0.11%",
    "Average Mar return": "-1.34%",
    "Average Apr return": "+0.97%",
    "Average May return": "+1.14%",
    "Average Jun return": "-0.54%",
    "Average Jul return": "+2.99%",
    "Average Aug return": "+1.62%",
    "Average Sep return": "-1.73%",
    "Average Oct return": "+0.46%",
    "Average Nov return": "+4.22%",
    "Average Dec return": "-0.39%"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "risk",
   "title": "Risk & Volatility",
   "facts": {
    "Daily Volatility": "0.62%"
   },
   "lists": {
    "Risk considerations": [
     "Monitor position sizing based on current volatility levels",
     "Consider stop-loss placement beyond recent price range",
     "Diversification helps mitigate single-stock risk exposure"
    ]
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "growth",
   "title": "Growth of $10,000",
   "text": [
    "A $10,000 investment in SCHD in September 2016 would be worth about $24,603 today, compared with about $35,497 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "monte-carlo",
   "title": "Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)",
   "text": [
    "CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in SCHD today could grow to about $22,262 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $44,145 and a bear case around $11,226. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "price-prediction",
   "title": "SCHD ETF Price Prediction: 2030",
   "text": [
    "CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $47.28 for SCHD by 2030 in the base case, from $34.33 today (1.4x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $30.67. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on SCHD's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.",
    "Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using SCHD's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "SCHD simulated price paths by year",
     "columns": [
      "Year",
      "Downside (10th pct)",
      "Base case",
      "Upside (90th pct)"
     ],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "2027",
       "cells": [
        "$29.95",
        "$37.19",
        "$46.18"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2028",
       "cells": [
        "$29.66",
        "$40.29",
        "$54.72"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2029",
       "cells": [
        "$30.00",
        "$43.65",
        "$63.50"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2030",
       "cells": [
        "$30.67",
        "$47.28",
        "$72.90"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2031",
       "cells": [
        "$31.57",
        "$51.22",
        "$83.12"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2032",
       "cells": [
        "$32.65",
        "$55.49",
        "$94.30"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2033",
       "cells": [
        "$33.90",
        "$60.11",
        "$107"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2034",
       "cells": [
        "$35.30",
        "$65.12",
        "$120"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2035",
       "cells": [
        "$36.85",
        "$70.55",
        "$135"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2036",
       "cells": [
        "$38.54",
        "$76.43",
        "$152"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "people-also-watch",
   "title": "People Also Watch",
   "links": [
    {
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     "url": "https://clearank.com/etf/hack-cybersecurity-etf/"
    },
    {
     "text": "IBIT iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF NASDAQ $43.11 -3.64%",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/etf/ishares-bitcoin-ibit/"
    },
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     "text": "BEDZ Advisorshares Hotel ETF NYSE $36.55 +0.00%",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/etf/bedz-etf-analysis/"
    },
    {
     "text": "FTEC Fidelity MSCI Information Technology Index ETF NYSE $284.44 -1.58%",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/etf/fidelity-info-tech-ftec/"
    },
    {
     "text": "EFA iShares MSCI EAFE ETF NYSE $105.40 -0.43%",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/etf/ishares-msci-eafe-efa/"
    },
    {
     "text": "IYW iShares U.S. Technology ETF NYSE $250.08 -0.41%",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/etf/iyw-etf-analysis/"
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     "text": "IVV iShares Core S&P 500 ETF NYSE $758.88 -0.73%",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/etf/ishares-core-sp500-ivv/"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "related-comparisons",
   "title": "Compare SCHD",
   "links": [
    {
     "text": "SCHD vs VYM Comparison Head-to-head analysis →",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/compare/schd-vs-vym/"
    },
    {
     "text": "SCHD vs SCHG Comparison Head-to-head analysis →",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/compare/schd-vs-schg/"
    },
    {
     "text": "SCHD vs JEPI Comparison Head-to-head analysis →",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/compare/schd-vs-jepi/"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "faq",
   "title": "Frequently Asked Questions"
  }
 ],
 "faq": [
  {
   "question": "What is the expense ratio for the Schwab U.S. Dividend Equity ETF (SCHD)?",
   "answer": "The Schwab U.S. Dividend Equity ETF (SCHD) has an expense ratio of 0.06%, which translates to a cost of $6.00 per $10,000 invested annually."
  },
  {
   "question": "What sectors does SCHD concentrate its holdings in?",
   "answer": "SCHD is concentrated in sectors such as Healthcare (21.48%), Consumer Defensive (19.46%), and Energy (15.41%), reflecting its strategy of tracking U.S. companies with strong dividend histories."
  },
  {
   "question": "What is the current distribution yield for SCHD?",
   "answer": "The Schwab U.S. Dividend Equity ETF (SCHD) currently offers a distribution yield of approximately 3.05%."
  },
  {
   "question": "How has SCHD performed against its category over the past year?",
   "answer": "Over the past year, SCHD returned 29.45%, outperforming its category's return of 26.16%."
  },
  {
   "question": "What is the price prediction for SCHD stock in 2030?",
   "answer": "Based on Monte Carlo simulations, the projected base price for SCHD in 2030 is $47.28, with a downside price of $30.67. These figures represent statistical simulation outcomes, not price targets or guarantees."
  },
  {
   "question": "What are the biggest risks associated with investing in SCHD?",
   "answer": "Key risks include potential underperformance during high-growth market phases or rising interest rate environments, and the impact of broad economic downturns on dividend payouts and stock prices."
  },
  {
   "question": "How has SCHD performed year-to-date in September 2026?",
   "answer": "As of September 2026, the Schwab U.S. Dividend Equity ETF (SCHD) has achieved a year-to-date return of 29.20%, significantly outpacing its category's return of 7.82%."
  }
 ],
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    "change": "+1.71%",
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    "change": "-3.64%",
    "url": "https://clearank.com/etf/ishares-bitcoin-ibit/"
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    "url": "https://clearank.com/etf/bedz-etf-analysis/"
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    "price": "$284.44",
    "change": "-1.58%",
    "url": "https://clearank.com/etf/fidelity-info-tech-ftec/"
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    "ticker": "EFA",
    "name": "iShares MSCI EAFE ETF NYSE",
    "price": "$105.40",
    "change": "-0.43%",
    "url": "https://clearank.com/etf/ishares-msci-eafe-efa/"
   },
   {
    "ticker": "IYW",
    "name": "iShares U.S. Technology ETF NYSE",
    "price": "$250.08",
    "change": "-0.41%",
    "url": "https://clearank.com/etf/iyw-etf-analysis/"
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    "name": "SPDR Gold Shares NYSE",
    "price": "$394.15",
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    "price": "$758.88",
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   {
    "ticker": "SCHD vs VYM Comparison",
    "name": "",
    "url": "https://clearank.com/compare/schd-vs-vym/"
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   {
    "ticker": "SCHD vs SCHG Comparison",
    "name": "",
    "url": "https://clearank.com/compare/schd-vs-schg/"
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   {
    "ticker": "SCHD vs JEPI Comparison",
    "name": "",
    "url": "https://clearank.com/compare/schd-vs-jepi/"
   }
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    "url": "https://clearank.com/etf/eis-etf-analysis/"
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    "ticker": "AERO/USD",
    "text": "↓ 9.65%",
    "url": "https://clearank.com/crypto/aero-usd-crypto-analysis/"
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   {
    "ticker": "STX/USD",
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    "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/fps-stock-analysis/"
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    "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/qorvo-qrvo/"
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