{
 "@context": "https://clearank.com/llms.txt",
 "@type": "clearank:AssetAnalysis",
 "url": "https://clearank.com/etf/real-estate-select-sector-xlre/",
 "dataUrl": "https://clearank.com/etf/real-estate-select-sector-xlre/data.json",
 "title": "Real Estate Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLRE) Forecast (2026)",
 "description": "State Street Real Estate Select Sector SPDR (XLRE) ETF: 0.08% expense ratio. $8.3B net assets. Fund facts, AI rating, technicals and 2030 projection.",
 "headline": "State Street Real Estate Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLRE)",
 "published": "2026-06-28T09:38:21+00:00",
 "modified": "2026-09-26T23:06:02.199+00:00",
 "generated": "2026-09-27T15:22:00.104Z",
 "language": "en-US",
 "publisher": {
  "name": "CleaRank",
  "url": "https://clearank.com/"
 },
 "disclaimer": "Educational and informational only; not financial advice. AI-generated analysis reviewed by the CleaRank editorial team; prices delayed up to 15 minutes.",
 "asset": {
  "ticker": "XLRE",
  "name": "State Street Real Estate Select Sector SPDR ETF",
  "type": "ETF",
  "exchange": "NYSE",
  "currency": "USD",
  "sector": null,
  "industry": null,
  "country": "United States",
  "website": null
 },
 "quote": {
  "price": 41.56,
  "previousClose": 41.65,
  "change": -0.09,
  "changePercent": -0.22,
  "open": 41.78,
  "high": 41.795,
  "low": 41.33,
  "volume": 5782200,
  "averageVolume": 5507930,
  "marketCap": 0,
  "fiftyTwoWeekHigh": 46.455,
  "fiftyTwoWeekLow": 39.725,
  "marketOpen": false,
  "asOf": "2026-09-26T23:06:01.000Z"
 },
 "statistics": {
  "pe": 29.619303,
  "eps": null,
  "dividendYield": 0.03417157958300232,
  "beta": null,
  "priceToSales": null,
  "priceToBook": null,
  "revenueTtm": 0,
  "grossMargin": null,
  "returnOnEquity": null
 },
 "technicals": {
  "rsi": 16.05,
  "macd": -0.73,
  "sma50": 44.33,
  "sma200": 43.19,
  "rsiSignal": "Oversold",
  "trend": "Bullish",
  "pricePosition": "Bearish",
  "macdSignal": "Bearish",
  "rating": "Bearish"
 },
 "analysis": {
  "rating": "Sell",
  "score": 25,
  "consensus": "Sell",
  "fairValue": null,
  "analystTarget": 38.24,
  "analystCount": null,
  "wallStreetConsensus": "",
  "generatedAt": "2026-09-26T23:06:01.000Z",
  "priceAtAnalysis": 41.56,
  "volatility": {
   "daily": 0.63,
   "risk": "etf"
  }
 },
 "tradePlan": {
  "bias": "Bearish",
  "conservativeEntry": 42.39,
  "aggressiveEntry": 41.56,
  "stopLoss": 43.79,
  "stopLossPercent": 3.3,
  "targets": [
   40.27,
   38.15,
   36.03
  ]
 },
 "projections": {
  "basis": "Monte Carlo simulation on historical return distribution, re-run daily; not price targets",
  "years": [
   {
    "year": 2027,
    "downside10th": 33.33,
    "base": 43.41,
    "upside90th": 56.54
   },
   {
    "year": 2028,
    "downside10th": 31.21,
    "base": 45.35,
    "upside90th": 65.89
   },
   {
    "year": 2029,
    "downside10th": 29.97,
    "base": 47.37,
    "upside90th": 74.85
   },
   {
    "year": 2030,
    "downside10th": 29.17,
    "base": 49.48,
    "upside90th": 83.92
   },
   {
    "year": 2031,
    "downside10th": 28.63,
    "base": 51.68,
    "upside90th": 93.3
   },
   {
    "year": 2032,
    "downside10th": 28.26,
    "base": 53.98,
    "upside90th": 103.11
   },
   {
    "year": 2033,
    "downside10th": 28.03,
    "base": 56.39,
    "upside90th": 113.43
   },
   {
    "year": 2034,
    "downside10th": 27.9,
    "base": 58.9,
    "upside90th": 124.34
   },
   {
    "year": 2035,
    "downside10th": 27.85,
    "base": 61.52,
    "upside90th": 135.91
   },
   {
    "year": 2036,
    "downside10th": 27.87,
    "base": 64.26,
    "upside90th": 148.18
   }
  ]
 },
 "faqCount": 7,
 "sources": [
  "TwelveData",
  "Wall Street consensus"
 ],
 "sections": [
  {
   "id": "price",
   "title": "XLRE Price Analysis"
  },
  {
   "id": "market-metrics",
   "title": "Market Metrics",
   "facts": {
    "Open": "$41.78",
    "Day Range": "$41.33 to $41.80",
    "Prev Close": "$41.65",
    "Volume": "5.78M",
    "52-Week Range": "$39.73 to $46.46"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "mi-fund-facts",
   "title": "XLRE Fund Facts",
   "text": [
    "State Street Real Estate Select Sector SPDR ETF is an exchange-traded fund that provides targeted exposure to U.S. real estate equities, with a focus on real estate investment trusts and other property-related companies. It tracks the Real Estate Select Sector index, which is designed to reflect the performance of publicly traded real estate businesses in the S&P 500 while excluding mortgage REITs.",
    "Fund reference data as of Sep 26, 2026. Expense ratio and net assets are reported by the fund; returns are total returns and can differ from price change."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "",
     "columns": [
      "Period",
      "XLRE",
      "Category"
     ],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "YTD",
       "cells": [
        "11.00%",
        "11.54%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "1 month",
       "cells": [
        "-2.06%",
        "9.00%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "3 months",
       "cells": [
        "1.14%",
        "8.50%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "1 year",
       "cells": [
        "7.84%",
        "14.73%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "3 years",
       "cells": [
        "9.67%",
        "9.62%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "5 years",
       "cells": [
        "1.79%",
        "3.81%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "10 years",
       "cells": [
        "6.40%",
        "5.85%"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "analysis",
   "title": "XLRE Analysis",
   "text": [
    "Momentum has turned for XLRE: the RSI has moved from a neutral level to an oversold status, currently standing at 16.05. The ETF is trading below its 20-day, 50-day, and 200-day simple moving averages, with the 20-day EMA at $43.00 and the 50-day SMA at $44.33. The Stochastic indicator is also significantly oversold at 7.85, reinforcing the bearish technical picture. Volume has been slightly above average, with the latest volume at 5,782,200 compared to an average of 5,507,930, suggesting selling pressure is present.",
    "The outlook for XLRE is bearish in the short to medium term, given its current technical disposition. The ETF is trading significantly below its key moving averages, and its RSI is significantly oversold, suggesting potential for further downside pressure. Any recovery would likely depend on a broad market turnaround or specific positive catalysts within the real estate sector. A move back above the 50-day SMA ($44.33) would be needed to signal a potential shift in momentum."
   ],
   "lists": {
    "ProTips": [
     "Consider the significant oversold conditions as a potential indicator of a short-term bounce, but be cautious given the strong bearish trend.",
     "Monitor the 50-day and 200-day moving averages for any signs of a trend reversal.",
     "Evaluate the broader macroeconomic environment, particularly interest rate trends, as they significantly impact the real estate sector."
    ]
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "correlations",
   "title": "Market Correlations",
   "text": [
    "How this etf moves relative to other assets",
    "Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods."
   ],
   "facts": {
    "Correlation with S&P 500 (SPY)": "+0.47",
    "Correlation with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)": "+0.29",
    "Correlation with Bitcoin (BTC)": "+0.04",
    "Correlation with Gold (XAU)": "+0.12"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "key-statistics",
   "title": "Key Statistics",
   "text": [
    "XLRE provides targeted exposure to U.S. real estate equities, primarily focusing on real estate investment trusts (REITs) and property-related companies, as it tracks the Real Estate Select Sector index. The fund's strategy aims to offer diversified access to the real estate segment of the market. With net assets of $8,312,176,128 and a low expense ratio of 0.08%, it is a cost-effective vehicle for sector allocation. The sector is currently facing headwinds, as indicated by the ETF's underperformance against its category in the 1-year and 1-month trailing returns.",
    "The underlying real estate sector's performance is influenced by the earnings trends of its constituents. The broad real estate sector, which includes companies involved in property ownership, management, and services, is sensitive to interest rate environments and economic growth. The current oversold technicals suggest that market participants may be anticipating weaker earnings or outlooks from these companies, leading to significant selling pressure on the ETF.",
    "The primary risk for XLRE is its sector concentration in U.S. real estate equities, making it vulnerable to downturns specific to this industry. The current technical setup, with the ETF trading significantly below key moving averages and exhibiting oversold conditions, indicates a high risk of further price depreciation in the short term. Macroeconomic factors such as rising interest rates or a slowdown in economic activity could negatively impact property valuations and rental income, further pressuring the ETF."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "",
     "columns": [],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "Net Assets (Market Cap)",
       "cells": [
        "7.50B"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Expense Ratio",
       "cells": [
        "0.0900%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Yield",
       "cells": [
        "3.47%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Day High",
       "cells": [
        "$41.80"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Day Low",
       "cells": [
        "$41.33"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "52 Week High",
       "cells": [
        "46.46"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "52 Week Low",
       "cells": [
        "39.73"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "technical-indicators",
   "title": "Technical Indicators",
   "text": [
    "Technical Rating Bearish RSI Oversold SMA Cross Bullish Price vs SMA Bearish MACD Bearish Golden Cross in effect with the 50-day SMA ($44.33) above the 200-day SMA ($43.19), price is trading below the 50-day SMA, RSI at 16.1 suggests oversold conditions; potential bounce setup."
   ],
   "facts": {
    "RSI": "Oversold",
    "SMA Cross": "Bullish",
    "Price vs SMA": "Bearish",
    "MACD": "Bearish"
   },
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "",
     "columns": [],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "RSI (14)",
       "cells": [
        "16.05"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "MACD",
       "cells": [
        "-0.73"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "SMA 50",
       "cells": [
        "44.33"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "SMA 200",
       "cells": [
        "43.19"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "trade-plans",
   "title": "XLRE Trade Plans",
   "text": [
    "Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels",
    "Lower risk, wait for rally",
    "Higher risk, chasing the move",
    "Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss Calculated based on RSI (16.1) and current market volatility",
    "Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3"
   ],
   "facts": {
    "TARGET 1": "$40.27",
    "TARGET 2": "$38.15",
    "TARGET 3": "$36.03",
    "STOP LOSS": "$43.79"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "seasonality",
   "title": "Seasonal Patterns",
   "text": [
    "Historical monthly performance trends",
    "Based on 3 years of historical monthly returns"
   ],
   "facts": {
    "Average Jan return": "+1.95%",
    "Average Feb return": "-0.30%",
    "Average Mar return": "-1.14%",
    "Average Apr return": "+2.02%",
    "Average May return": "+0.87%",
    "Average Jun return": "+0.38%",
    "Average Jul return": "+2.62%",
    "Average Aug return": "+0.88%",
    "Average Sep return": "-3.72%",
    "Average Oct return": "-0.73%",
    "Average Nov return": "+3.50%",
    "Average Dec return": "-0.52%"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "risk",
   "title": "Risk & Volatility",
   "facts": {
    "Daily Volatility": "0.63%"
   },
   "lists": {
    "Risk considerations": [
     "Monitor position sizing based on current volatility levels",
     "Consider stop-loss placement beyond recent price range",
     "Diversification helps mitigate single-stock risk exposure"
    ]
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "growth",
   "title": "Growth of $10,000",
   "text": [
    "A $10,000 investment in XLRE in September 2016 would be worth about $12,447 today, compared with about $36,004 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "monte-carlo",
   "title": "Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)",
   "text": [
    "CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in XLRE today could grow to about $15,463 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $35,655 and a bear case around $6,706. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "price-prediction",
   "title": "XLRE ETF Price Prediction: 2030",
   "text": [
    "CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $49.48 for XLRE by 2030 in the base case, from $41.56 today (1.2x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $29.17. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on XLRE's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.",
    "Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using XLRE's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "XLRE simulated price paths by year",
     "columns": [
      "Year",
      "Downside (10th pct)",
      "Base case",
      "Upside (90th pct)"
     ],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "2027",
       "cells": [
        "$33.33",
        "$43.41",
        "$56.54"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2028",
       "cells": [
        "$31.21",
        "$45.35",
        "$65.89"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2029",
       "cells": [
        "$29.97",
        "$47.37",
        "$74.85"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2030",
       "cells": [
        "$29.17",
        "$49.48",
        "$83.92"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2031",
       "cells": [
        "$28.63",
        "$51.68",
        "$93.30"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2032",
       "cells": [
        "$28.26",
        "$53.98",
        "$103"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2033",
       "cells": [
        "$28.03",
        "$56.39",
        "$113"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2034",
       "cells": [
        "$27.90",
        "$58.90",
        "$124"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2035",
       "cells": [
        "$27.85",
        "$61.52",
        "$136"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2036",
       "cells": [
        "$27.87",
        "$64.26",
        "$148"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "people-also-watch",
   "title": "People Also Watch",
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     "url": "https://clearank.com/etf/ishares-us-financials-iyf/"
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     "url": "https://clearank.com/etf/ishares-semiconductor-soxx/"
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     "url": "https://clearank.com/etf/us-natural-gas-fund-ung/"
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    {
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     "url": "https://clearank.com/etf/finx-fintech-etf/"
    },
    {
     "text": "EEM iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF NYSE $67.98 +1.09%",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/etf/ishares-emerging-markets-eem/"
    },
    {
     "text": "MLPI NEOS MLP & Energy Infrastructure High Income ETF NYSE $51.10 -1.60%",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/etf/mlpi-etf-analysis/"
    },
    {
     "text": "IYW iShares U.S. Technology ETF NYSE $266.12 +0.68%",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/etf/iyw-etf-analysis/"
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    {
     "text": "SOXL Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X Shares NYSE $151.45 +3.50%",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/etf/direxion-semiconductor-bull-soxl/"
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  },
  {
   "id": "related-comparisons",
   "title": "Popular Comparisons",
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     "url": "https://clearank.com/compare/vgt-vs-voo/"
    },
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  },
  {
   "id": "faq",
   "title": "Frequently Asked Questions"
  }
 ],
 "faq": [
  {
   "question": "What is the expense ratio for the State Street Real Estate Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLRE)?",
   "answer": "The expense ratio for XLRE is 0.08%, which translates to a cost of $8.00 per $10,000 invested. This is a competitive fee for sector-specific exposure."
  },
  {
   "question": "What sectors does XLRE hold and how concentrated is it?",
   "answer": "XLRE is highly concentrated in the Real Estate sector, holding 99.96% in stocks within this category. Its strategy focuses on U.S. real estate equities, including REITs and property-related companies."
  },
  {
   "question": "What is the current distribution yield for XLRE?",
   "answer": "The current distribution yield for XLRE is 3.47%."
  },
  {
   "question": "How has XLRE performed against its category over different periods?",
   "answer": "In the year-to-date period, XLRE returned 10.998% versus the category's 11.541%. Over the past year, XLRE returned 7.838% while its category returned 14.728%. The 1-month return was -2.057% for the fund compared to 9.004% for the category."
  },
  {
   "question": "What is the price prediction for XLRE ETF in 2030?",
   "answer": "Based on a Monte Carlo simulation, the projected base price for XLRE in 2030 is $49.48, with a downside price of $29.17. These figures are statistical simulation outcomes and not price targets."
  },
  {
   "question": "What are the key technical indicators for XLRE?",
   "answer": "XLRE is currently exhibiting oversold conditions with an RSI at 16.1 and a Stochastic value of 7.85. It is trading below its 20-day, 50-day, and 200-day moving averages, indicating a strong bearish trend."
  },
  {
   "question": "What is the overall health score of XLRE?",
   "answer": "XLRE has a health score of 3, reflecting its current technical weakness and underperformance relative to its category, despite a low expense ratio."
  }
 ],
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    "price": "$25.36",
    "change": "-0.33%",
    "url": "https://clearank.com/etf/finx-fintech-etf/"
   },
   {
    "ticker": "EEM",
    "name": "iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF NYSE",
    "price": "$67.98",
    "change": "+1.09%",
    "url": "https://clearank.com/etf/ishares-emerging-markets-eem/"
   },
   {
    "ticker": "MLPI",
    "name": "NEOS MLP & Energy Infrastructure High Income ETF NYSE",
    "price": "$51.10",
    "change": "-1.60%",
    "url": "https://clearank.com/etf/mlpi-etf-analysis/"
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  "Top Movers (24h)": [
   {
    "ticker": "RENDER/USD",
    "text": "↑ 10.19%",
    "url": "https://clearank.com/crypto/render-render-usd/"
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   {
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    "text": "↓ 10.06%",
    "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/zscaler-zs/"
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    "text": "↑ 10.00%",
    "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/mxl-stock-analysis/"
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   {
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    "text": "↑ 8.27%",
    "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/be-stock-analysis/"
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   {
    "ticker": "EIGEN/USD",
    "text": "↑ 8.20%",
    "url": "https://clearank.com/crypto/eigen-usd-crypto-analysis/"
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  ],
  "Also in Real Estate ETFs": [
   {
    "ticker": "IYR",
    "text": "iShares U.S. Real Estate",
    "url": "https://clearank.com/etf/iyr-etf-analysis/"
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   {
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    "url": "https://clearank.com/etf/schwab-us-reit-schh/"
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   {
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    "text": "Vanguard Real Estate",
    "url": "https://clearank.com/etf/vnq-etf-analysis/"
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