{
 "@context": "https://clearank.com/llms.txt",
 "@type": "clearank:AssetAnalysis",
 "url": "https://clearank.com/etf/oil-gas-exploration-xop/",
 "dataUrl": "https://clearank.com/etf/oil-gas-exploration-xop/data.json",
 "title": "SPDR Oil & Gas E&P (XOP) ETF Forecast & Price Target (2026)",
 "description": "State Street SPDR S&P Oil & Gas Exploration & Production (XOP) ETF: 0.35% expense ratio. Fund facts, AI rating, technicals and 2030 projection.",
 "headline": "State Street SPDR S&amp;P Oil &amp; Gas Exploration &amp; Production ETF (XOP)",
 "published": "2026-06-13T09:16:10+00:00",
 "modified": "2026-09-27T03:05:52.827+00:00",
 "generated": "2026-09-27T14:27:45.785Z",
 "language": "en-US",
 "publisher": {
  "name": "CleaRank",
  "url": "https://clearank.com/"
 },
 "disclaimer": "Educational and informational only; not financial advice. AI-generated analysis reviewed by the CleaRank editorial team; prices delayed up to 15 minutes.",
 "asset": {
  "ticker": "XOP",
  "name": "State Street SPDR S&P Oil & Gas Exploration & Production ETF",
  "type": "ETF",
  "exchange": "NYSE",
  "currency": "USD",
  "sector": null,
  "industry": null,
  "country": "United States",
  "website": null
 },
 "quote": {
  "price": 181.5,
  "previousClose": 184.05,
  "change": -2.55,
  "changePercent": -1.39,
  "open": 181.45,
  "high": 182.25999,
  "low": 179.69,
  "volume": 4720000,
  "averageVolume": 4135250,
  "marketCap": 11948339200,
  "fiftyTwoWeekHigh": 200.89,
  "fiftyTwoWeekLow": 122.11,
  "marketOpen": false,
  "asOf": "2026-09-27T03:05:52.000Z"
 },
 "statistics": {
  "pe": 10.494054,
  "eps": null,
  "dividendYield": 0.016682276963464738,
  "beta": null,
  "priceToSales": null,
  "priceToBook": null,
  "revenueTtm": 0,
  "grossMargin": null,
  "returnOnEquity": null
 },
 "technicals": {
  "rsi": 37.93,
  "macd": 0.26,
  "sma50": 182.3,
  "sma200": 162.45,
  "rsiSignal": "Bearish",
  "trend": "Bullish",
  "pricePosition": "Bearish",
  "macdSignal": "Bullish",
  "rating": "Neutral"
 },
 "analysis": {
  "rating": "Sell",
  "score": 35,
  "consensus": "Sell",
  "fairValue": null,
  "analystTarget": 166.98,
  "analystCount": null,
  "wallStreetConsensus": "",
  "generatedAt": "2026-09-27T03:05:52.000Z",
  "priceAtAnalysis": 181.5,
  "volatility": {
   "daily": 1.53,
   "risk": "etf"
  }
 },
 "tradePlan": {
  "bias": "Bearish",
  "conservativeEntry": 185.13,
  "aggressiveEntry": 181.5,
  "stopLoss": 190.68,
  "stopLossPercent": 3,
  "targets": [
   175.87,
   166.62,
   157.36
  ]
 },
 "projections": {
  "basis": "Monte Carlo simulation on historical return distribution, re-run daily; not price targets",
  "years": [
   {
    "year": 2027,
    "downside10th": 112.44,
    "base": 189.94,
    "upside90th": 320.88
   },
   {
    "year": 2028,
    "downside10th": 94.69,
    "base": 198.78,
    "upside90th": 417.27
   },
   {
    "year": 2029,
    "downside10th": 83.89,
    "base": 208.03,
    "upside90th": 515.87
   },
   {
    "year": 2030,
    "downside10th": 76.28,
    "base": 217.7,
    "upside90th": 621.31
   },
   {
    "year": 2031,
    "downside10th": 70.54,
    "base": 227.83,
    "upside90th": 735.89
   },
   {
    "year": 2032,
    "downside10th": 66,
    "base": 238.43,
    "upside90th": 861.31
   },
   {
    "year": 2033,
    "downside10th": 62.32,
    "base": 249.52,
    "upside90th": 999.08
   },
   {
    "year": 2034,
    "downside10th": 59.26,
    "base": 261.13,
    "upside90th": 1150.66
   },
   {
    "year": 2035,
    "downside10th": 56.68,
    "base": 273.27,
    "upside90th": 1317.54
   },
   {
    "year": 2036,
    "downside10th": 54.48,
    "base": 285.99,
    "upside90th": 1501.29
   }
  ]
 },
 "faqCount": 7,
 "sources": [
  "TwelveData",
  "Wall Street consensus"
 ],
 "sections": [
  {
   "id": "price",
   "title": "XOP Price Analysis"
  },
  {
   "id": "market-metrics",
   "title": "Market Metrics",
   "facts": {
    "Open": "$181.45",
    "Day Range": "$179.69 to $182.26",
    "Prev Close": "$184.05",
    "Volume": "4.72M",
    "52-Week Range": "$122.11 to $200.89",
    "Market Cap": "$11.95B"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "mi-fund-facts",
   "title": "XOP Fund Facts",
   "text": [
    "State Street SPDR S&P Oil & Gas Exploration & Production ETF is an exchange-traded fund designed to provide targeted exposure to the U.S. oil and gas exploration and production industry. The fund seeks to track the S&P Oil & Gas Exploration & Production Select Industry Index, using a modified equal-weighted approach that spreads holdings across large-, mid-, and small-cap energy companies. Its portfolio is concentrated in businesses involved in upstream energy activity, including exploration, production, and related oil and gas operations.",
    "Fund reference data as of Sep 27, 2026. Expense ratio and net assets are reported by the fund; returns are total returns and can differ from price change."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "",
     "columns": [
      "Period",
      "XOP",
      "Category"
     ],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "YTD",
       "cells": [
        "50.95%",
        "33.40%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "1 month",
       "cells": [
        "6.46%",
        "2.32%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "3 months",
       "cells": [
        "15.77%",
        "18.69%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "1 year",
       "cells": [
        "45.34%",
        "64.81%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "3 years",
       "cells": [
        "10.88%",
        "17.73%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "5 years",
       "cells": [
        "20.82%",
        "20.41%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "10 years",
       "cells": [
        "4.53%",
        "6.80%"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "analysis",
   "title": "XOP Analysis",
   "text": [
    "At 37.93, XOP's RSI is in bearish territory, indicating negative momentum. The ETF is trading below its 20-day exponential moving average of $187.40 and its 50-day simple moving average of $182.30. While the price is above its 200-day simple moving average of $162.45, the recent downward trend suggests that the 50-day SMA is acting as resistance. Stochastic levels are also low at 8.54, reinforcing the oversold condition in the short term.",
    "The outlook for XOP is cautiously bearish in the short to medium term, given its current technical positioning. The ETF is trading below key moving averages, and its RSI indicates bearish momentum. However, the price remains above the 200-day SMA, suggesting that the long-term trend may still be intact, contingent on a recovery in oil and gas prices. A sustained move above the 50-day SMA would be required to signal a shift in momentum. The sector's performance will remain highly sensitive to global energy demand, supply dynamics, and geopolitical events."
   ],
   "lists": {
    "ProTips": [
     "Monitor oil and natural gas price movements closely, as they are the primary drivers of XOP's performance.",
     "Consider the ETF's high sector concentration as a key risk factor and assess your overall portfolio diversification.",
     "Evaluate the broader energy sector's outlook, including regulatory policies and technological advancements, to inform investment decisions."
    ]
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "correlations",
   "title": "Market Correlations",
   "text": [
    "How this etf moves relative to other assets",
    "Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods."
   ],
   "facts": {
    "Correlation with S&P 500 (SPY)": "+0.36",
    "Correlation with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)": "+0.28",
    "Correlation with Bitcoin (BTC)": "-0.09",
    "Correlation with Gold (XAU)": "-0.02"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "key-statistics",
   "title": "Key Statistics",
   "text": [
    "XOP's underlying sector, Energy Exploration & Production, is heavily concentrated with 95.48% of assets in Energy. This focus makes the ETF susceptible to sector-specific headwinds and commodity price volatility. The fund's expense ratio is 0.35%, costing $35.00 per $10,000 invested. With net assets of $3,986,409,216, XOP is a substantial vehicle for accessing this niche. The macro environment for oil and gas producers, including regulatory changes and global demand shifts, will significantly influence the fund's performance.",
    "Its performance is tied to the aggregate earnings trends of the oil and gas exploration and production companies it holds. The sector's profitability is directly linked to crude oil and natural gas prices. Positive earnings reports from major constituents could support the ETF, while negative earnings or downward revisions would likely weigh on its price.",
    "The primary risk for XOP is its high concentration in the Energy sector, making it vulnerable to commodity price swings and regulatory changes impacting fossil fuels. Geopolitical events affecting oil supply and demand can also introduce significant volatility. Also, the ETF's performance is closely tied to the specific upstream exploration and production segment, which can be more volatile than the broader energy market."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "",
     "columns": [],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "Net Assets (Market Cap)",
       "cells": [
        "11.95B"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Yield",
       "cells": [
        "1.72%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Day High",
       "cells": [
        "$182.26"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Day Low",
       "cells": [
        "$179.69"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "52 Week High",
       "cells": [
        "200.89"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "52 Week Low",
       "cells": [
        "122.11"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "technical-indicators",
   "title": "Technical Indicators",
   "text": [
    "Technical Rating Neutral RSI Bearish SMA Cross Bullish Price vs SMA Bearish MACD Bullish Golden Cross in effect with the 50-day SMA ($182.30) above the 200-day SMA ($162.45), price is trading below the 50-day SMA."
   ],
   "facts": {
    "RSI": "Bearish",
    "SMA Cross": "Bullish",
    "Price vs SMA": "Bearish",
    "MACD": "Bullish"
   },
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "",
     "columns": [],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "RSI (14)",
       "cells": [
        "37.93"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "MACD",
       "cells": [
        "0.26"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "SMA 50",
       "cells": [
        "182.30"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "SMA 200",
       "cells": [
        "162.45"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "trade-plans",
   "title": "XOP Trade Plans",
   "text": [
    "Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels",
    "Lower risk, wait for rally",
    "Higher risk, chasing the move",
    "Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss Calculated based on RSI (37.9) and current market volatility",
    "Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3"
   ],
   "facts": {
    "TARGET 1": "$175.87",
    "TARGET 2": "$166.62",
    "TARGET 3": "$157.36",
    "STOP LOSS": "$190.68"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "seasonality",
   "title": "Seasonal Patterns",
   "text": [
    "Historical monthly performance trends",
    "Based on 3 years of historical monthly returns"
   ],
   "facts": {
    "Average Jan return": "+1.46%",
    "Average Feb return": "+0.47%",
    "Average Mar return": "-1.02%",
    "Average Apr return": "+5.03%",
    "Average May return": "+1.00%",
    "Average Jun return": "-1.86%",
    "Average Jul return": "+1.96%",
    "Average Aug return": "+1.00%",
    "Average Sep return": "+0.82%",
    "Average Oct return": "-1.33%",
    "Average Nov return": "+3.09%",
    "Average Dec return": "-1.85%"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "risk",
   "title": "Risk & Volatility",
   "facts": {
    "Daily Volatility": "1.53%"
   },
   "lists": {
    "Risk considerations": [
     "Monitor position sizing based on current volatility levels",
     "Consider stop-loss placement beyond recent price range",
     "Diversification helps mitigate single-stock risk exposure"
    ]
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "growth",
   "title": "Growth of $10,000",
   "text": [
    "A $10,000 investment in XOP in September 2016 would be worth about $12,872 today, compared with about $35,782 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "monte-carlo",
   "title": "Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)",
   "text": [
    "CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in XOP today could grow to about $15,757 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $82,716 and a bear case around $3,002. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "price-prediction",
   "title": "XOP ETF Price Prediction: 2030",
   "text": [
    "CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $218 for XOP by 2030 in the base case, from $182 today (1.2x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $76.28. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on XOP's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.",
    "Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using XOP's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "XOP simulated price paths by year",
     "columns": [
      "Year",
      "Downside (10th pct)",
      "Base case",
      "Upside (90th pct)"
     ],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "2027",
       "cells": [
        "$112",
        "$190",
        "$321"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2028",
       "cells": [
        "$94.69",
        "$199",
        "$417"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2029",
       "cells": [
        "$83.89",
        "$208",
        "$516"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2030",
       "cells": [
        "$76.28",
        "$218",
        "$621"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2031",
       "cells": [
        "$70.54",
        "$228",
        "$736"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2032",
       "cells": [
        "$66.00",
        "$238",
        "$861"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2033",
       "cells": [
        "$62.32",
        "$250",
        "$999"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2034",
       "cells": [
        "$59.26",
        "$261",
        "$1,151"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2035",
       "cells": [
        "$56.68",
        "$273",
        "$1,318"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2036",
       "cells": [
        "$54.48",
        "$286",
        "$1,501"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "people-also-watch",
   "title": "People Also Watch",
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     "url": "https://clearank.com/etf/global-x-silver-miners-sil/"
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  },
  {
   "id": "related-comparisons",
   "title": "Popular Comparisons",
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     "url": "https://clearank.com/compare/snps-vs-cdns/"
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  },
  {
   "id": "faq",
   "title": "Frequently Asked Questions"
  }
 ],
 "faq": [
  {
   "question": "What is the State Street SPDR S&P Oil & Gas Exploration & Production ETF's expense ratio and cost?",
   "answer": "The State Street SPDR S&P Oil & Gas Exploration & Production ETF has an expense ratio of 0.35%, which equates to a cost of $35.00 per $10,000 invested annually."
  },
  {
   "question": "What sectors does the State Street SPDR S&P Oil & Gas Exploration & Production ETF concentrate in?",
   "answer": "The State Street SPDR S&P Oil & Gas Exploration & Production ETF is heavily concentrated in the Energy sector, holding 95.48% of its assets in this area, with a smaller allocation of 4.17% in Basic Materials."
  },
  {
   "question": "How has the State Street SPDR S&P Oil & Gas Exploration & Production ETF performed against its category over different periods?",
   "answer": "In the year-to-date period, XOP returned 50.95% compared to the category's 33.40%. Over the past year, the fund returned 45.34% while the category returned 64.81%. Over 5 years, XOP returned 20.82% versus the category's 20.41%, and over 10 years, it returned 4.53% compared to the category's 6.80%."
  },
  {
   "question": "What is the State Street SPDR S&P Oil & Gas Exploration & Production ETF's price prediction for 2030?",
   "answer": "Based on Monte Carlo simulations, the State Street SPDR S&P Oil & Gas Exploration & Production ETF's projected price for 2030 is $217.70 as a base case, with a downside projection of $76.28 and an upside projection of $621.31. These are statistical simulation outcomes, not price targets or guarantees."
  },
  {
   "question": "What are the key technical levels for the State Street SPDR S&P Oil & Gas Exploration & Production ETF?",
   "answer": "The State Street SPDR S&P Oil & Gas Exploration & Production ETF is currently trading below its 50-day simple moving average of $182.30 and its 20-day exponential moving average of $187.40, indicating short-term weakness. The 200-day simple moving average stands at $162.45."
  },
  {
   "question": "What is the insider and institutional activity for the State Street SPDR S&P Oil & Gas Exploration & Production ETF?",
   "answer": "Insider and institutional activity data is not directly applicable to ETFs in the same way it is for individual companies. Investor flows into and out of the ETF, as reflected in net assets and trading volume, are key indicators of institutional sentiment."
  },
  {
   "question": "What is the current dividend yield for the State Street SPDR S&P Oil & Gas Exploration & Production ETF?",
   "answer": "The State Street SPDR S&P Oil & Gas Exploration & Production ETF currently has a dividend yield of 1.72%."
  }
 ],
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    "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/gww-stock-analysis/"
   },
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