{
 "@context": "https://clearank.com/llms.txt",
 "@type": "clearank:AssetAnalysis",
 "url": "https://clearank.com/etf/iyt-etf-analysis/",
 "dataUrl": "https://clearank.com/etf/iyt-etf-analysis/data.json",
 "title": "iShares U.S. Transportation (IYT) ETF Forecast (2026)",
 "description": "iShares U.S. Transportation (IYT) ETF: 0.37% expense ratio. $2.2B net assets. Industrials. iShares. Fund facts, AI rating, technicals and 2030 projection.",
 "headline": "iShares U.S. Transportation ETF (IYT)",
 "published": "2026-07-09T09:54:19+00:00",
 "modified": "2026-09-27T06:11:37.887+00:00",
 "generated": "2026-09-27T15:20:31.249Z",
 "language": "en-US",
 "publisher": {
  "name": "CleaRank",
  "url": "https://clearank.com/"
 },
 "disclaimer": "Educational and informational only; not financial advice. AI-generated analysis reviewed by the CleaRank editorial team; prices delayed up to 15 minutes.",
 "asset": {
  "ticker": "IYT",
  "name": "iShares U.S. Transportation ETF",
  "type": "ETF",
  "exchange": "CBOE",
  "currency": "USD",
  "sector": null,
  "industry": null,
  "country": "United States",
  "website": null
 },
 "quote": {
  "price": 79.35,
  "previousClose": 78.92,
  "change": 0.43,
  "changePercent": 0.54,
  "open": 79.12,
  "high": 79.61,
  "low": 78.82,
  "volume": 866400,
  "averageVolume": 1235760,
  "marketCap": 228480000,
  "fiftyTwoWeekHigh": 90.059998,
  "fiftyTwoWeekLow": 68.099998,
  "marketOpen": false,
  "asOf": "2026-09-27T06:11:37.000Z"
 },
 "statistics": {
  "pe": 18.900719,
  "eps": null,
  "dividendYield": 0.009378545100559322,
  "beta": null,
  "priceToSales": null,
  "priceToBook": null,
  "revenueTtm": 0,
  "grossMargin": null,
  "returnOnEquity": null
 },
 "technicals": {
  "rsi": 24.36,
  "macd": -1.7,
  "sma50": 84.99,
  "sma200": 81.18,
  "rsiSignal": "Oversold",
  "trend": "Bullish",
  "pricePosition": "Bearish",
  "macdSignal": "Bearish",
  "rating": "Bearish"
 },
 "analysis": {
  "rating": "Sell",
  "score": 25,
  "consensus": "Sell",
  "fairValue": null,
  "analystTarget": 73,
  "analystCount": null,
  "wallStreetConsensus": "",
  "generatedAt": "2026-09-27T06:11:37.000Z",
  "priceAtAnalysis": 79.35,
  "volatility": {
   "daily": 0.9,
   "risk": "etf"
  }
 },
 "tradePlan": {
  "bias": "Bearish",
  "conservativeEntry": 80.94,
  "aggressiveEntry": 79.35,
  "stopLoss": 83.61,
  "stopLossPercent": 3.3,
  "targets": [
   76.89,
   72.84,
   68.8
  ]
 },
 "projections": {
  "basis": "Monte Carlo simulation on historical return distribution, re-run daily; not price targets",
  "years": [
   {
    "year": 2027,
    "downside10th": 63.53,
    "base": 85.5,
    "upside90th": 115.06
   },
   {
    "year": 2028,
    "downside10th": 60.53,
    "base": 92.12,
    "upside90th": 140.2
   },
   {
    "year": 2029,
    "downside10th": 59.34,
    "base": 99.26,
    "upside90th": 166.01
   },
   {
    "year": 2030,
    "downside10th": 59.05,
    "base": 106.95,
    "upside90th": 193.69
   },
   {
    "year": 2031,
    "downside10th": 59.32,
    "base": 115.23,
    "upside90th": 223.84
   },
   {
    "year": 2032,
    "downside10th": 59.99,
    "base": 124.16,
    "upside90th": 256.97
   },
   {
    "year": 2033,
    "downside10th": 60.98,
    "base": 133.78,
    "upside90th": 293.49
   },
   {
    "year": 2034,
    "downside10th": 62.23,
    "base": 144.14,
    "upside90th": 333.85
   },
   {
    "year": 2035,
    "downside10th": 63.72,
    "base": 155.3,
    "upside90th": 378.52
   },
   {
    "year": 2036,
    "downside10th": 65.43,
    "base": 167.34,
    "upside90th": 427.97
   }
  ]
 },
 "faqCount": 7,
 "sources": [
  "TwelveData",
  "Wall Street consensus"
 ],
 "sections": [
  {
   "id": "price",
   "title": "IYT Price Analysis"
  },
  {
   "id": "market-metrics",
   "title": "Market Metrics",
   "facts": {
    "Open": "$79.12",
    "Day Range": "$78.82 to $79.61",
    "Prev Close": "$78.92",
    "Volume": "866.4K",
    "52-Week Range": "$68.10 to $90.06",
    "Market Cap": "$228.48M"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "mi-fund-facts",
   "title": "IYT Fund Facts",
   "text": [
    "iShares U.S. Transportation ETF is an exchange-traded fund that provides targeted exposure to U.S. transportation companies. The fund seeks to track an index of equities in the transportation sector, giving investors a diversified way to access businesses involved in railroads, trucking, airlines, air freight, logistics, and ride-hailing services. Its portfolio typically includes major operators across ground, air, and delivery networks, reflecting the broad role transportation plays in moving goods and people through the U.S. economy.",
    "Fund reference data as of Sep 27, 2026. Expense ratio and net assets are reported by the fund; returns are total returns and can differ from price change."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "",
     "columns": [
      "Period",
      "IYT",
      "Category"
     ],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "YTD",
       "cells": [
        "14.85%",
        "13.30%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "1 month",
       "cells": [
        "0.22%",
        "9.31%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "3 months",
       "cells": [
        "1.72%",
        "5.10%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "1 year",
       "cells": [
        "20.61%",
        "45.64%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "3 years",
       "cells": [
        "12.14%",
        "21.72%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "5 years",
       "cells": [
        "7.36%",
        "11.25%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "10 years",
       "cells": [
        "10.43%",
        "13.58%"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "analysis",
   "title": "IYT Analysis",
   "text": [
    "IYT is currently in a bearish technical state, trading below its key moving averages. The price is below the 20-day EMA ($81.73), 50-day SMA ($84.99), and 200-day SMA ($81.18). The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 24.36, indicating oversold conditions. The Stochastic indicator is also low at 11.70, further supporting the oversold narrative. The Commodity Channel Index (CCI) at -104.03 also points to significant downward momentum.",
    "The outlook for IYT is cautiously bearish in the short term, given its current technical setup. The oversold RSI and MACD suggest a potential for a bounce, but the sustained trading below key moving averages indicates underlying weakness. A move above the 50-day SMA ($84.99) would be needed to signal a potential trend reversal. The medium to long-term outlook will depend on the broader economic environment, fuel prices, and the performance of the U.S. transportation sector. Key factors to watch include inflation trends, consumer spending patterns, and any significant shifts in supply chain dynamics. If the Federal Reserve signals a pivot or if economic data improves, transportation stocks could see a resurgence. Conversely, persistent inflation or a recessionary environment would likely weigh further on IYT."
   ],
   "lists": {
    "ProTips": [
     "Monitor the 50-day and 200-day moving averages for potential trend changes.",
     "Pay close attention to the RSI and other momentum indicators for signs of a sustained rebound or continued oversold conditions.",
     "Consider the broader economic indicators, such as GDP growth and inflation, as they significantly influence the transportation sector.",
     "Evaluate the performance of top holdings within the ETF to gauge sector-specific strength or weakness."
    ]
   },
   "links": [
    {
     "text": "CCI",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/cci-stock-analysis/"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "correlations",
   "title": "Market Correlations",
   "text": [
    "How this etf moves relative to other assets",
    "Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods."
   ],
   "facts": {
    "Correlation with S&P 500 (SPY)": "+0.72",
    "Correlation with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)": "+0.60",
    "Correlation with Bitcoin (BTC)": "+0.14",
    "Correlation with Gold (XAU)": "+0.08"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "key-statistics",
   "title": "Key Statistics",
   "text": [
    "The iShares U.S. Transportation ETF is heavily concentrated in the Industrials sector, representing 83.75% of its holdings, with Technology making up the remaining 16.25%. This concentration exposes the fund to the specific economic drivers and risks affecting the transportation industry. The fund's expense ratio is 0.37%, costing $37.00 per $10,000 invested. With net assets of $2.20 billion, IYT is a substantial fund within its category. The overview suggests the ETF provides broad access to U.S. transportation businesses, including railroads, trucking, and airlines.",
    "However, the performance of its underlying holdings, which are primarily U.S. transportation companies, reflects the aggregate earnings trends within the sector. The current bearish technicals suggest that investors may be anticipating or reacting to weaker forward earnings expectations for these companies, or a general slowdown in economic activity impacting freight and passenger volumes.",
    "The primary risk for IYT is its significant concentration in the Industrials sector, making it vulnerable to sector-specific downturns. Given its current oversold technical status, a failure to rebound could lead to further price declines. Additionally, macroeconomic factors such as fuel price volatility, supply chain disruptions, and changes in consumer or business spending can significantly impact the transportation sector."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "",
     "columns": [],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "Net Assets (Market Cap)",
       "cells": [
        "228.48M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Yield",
       "cells": [
        "0.95%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Day High",
       "cells": [
        "$79.61"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Day Low",
       "cells": [
        "$78.82"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "52 Week High",
       "cells": [
        "90.06"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "52 Week Low",
       "cells": [
        "68.10"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "technical-indicators",
   "title": "Technical Indicators",
   "text": [
    "Technical Rating Bearish RSI Oversold SMA Cross Bullish Price vs SMA Bearish MACD Bearish Golden Cross in effect with the 50-day SMA ($84.99) above the 200-day SMA ($81.18), price is trading below the 50-day SMA, RSI at 24.4 suggests oversold conditions; potential bounce setup."
   ],
   "facts": {
    "RSI": "Oversold",
    "SMA Cross": "Bullish",
    "Price vs SMA": "Bearish",
    "MACD": "Bearish"
   },
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "",
     "columns": [],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "RSI (14)",
       "cells": [
        "24.36"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "MACD",
       "cells": [
        "-1.70"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "SMA 50",
       "cells": [
        "84.99"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "SMA 200",
       "cells": [
        "81.18"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "trade-plans",
   "title": "IYT Trade Plans",
   "text": [
    "Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels",
    "Lower risk, wait for rally",
    "Higher risk, chasing the move",
    "Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss Calculated based on RSI (24.4) and current market volatility",
    "Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3"
   ],
   "facts": {
    "TARGET 1": "$76.89",
    "TARGET 2": "$72.84",
    "TARGET 3": "$68.80",
    "STOP LOSS": "$83.61"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "seasonality",
   "title": "Seasonal Patterns",
   "text": [
    "Historical monthly performance trends",
    "Based on 3 years of historical monthly returns"
   ],
   "facts": {
    "Average Jan return": "+1.46%",
    "Average Feb return": "+0.59%",
    "Average Mar return": "-2.88%",
    "Average Apr return": "+1.00%",
    "Average May return": "+1.35%",
    "Average Jun return": "+1.45%",
    "Average Jul return": "+1.80%",
    "Average Aug return": "+1.73%",
    "Average Sep return": "-0.99%",
    "Average Oct return": "+0.21%",
    "Average Nov return": "+5.98%",
    "Average Dec return": "-1.24%"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "risk",
   "title": "Risk & Volatility",
   "facts": {
    "Daily Volatility": "0.90%"
   },
   "lists": {
    "Risk considerations": [
     "Monitor position sizing based on current volatility levels",
     "Consider stop-loss placement beyond recent price range",
     "Diversification helps mitigate single-stock risk exposure"
    ]
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "growth",
   "title": "Growth of $10,000",
   "text": [
    "A $10,000 investment in IYT in September 2016 would be worth about $22,125 today, compared with about $35,782 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "monte-carlo",
   "title": "Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)",
   "text": [
    "CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in IYT today could grow to about $21,088 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $53,935 and a bear case around $8,245. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "price-prediction",
   "title": "IYT ETF Price Prediction: 2030",
   "text": [
    "CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $107 for IYT by 2030 in the base case, from $79.35 today (1.3x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $59.05. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on IYT's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.",
    "Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using IYT's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "IYT simulated price paths by year",
     "columns": [
      "Year",
      "Downside (10th pct)",
      "Base case",
      "Upside (90th pct)"
     ],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "2027",
       "cells": [
        "$63.53",
        "$85.50",
        "$115"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2028",
       "cells": [
        "$60.53",
        "$92.12",
        "$140"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2029",
       "cells": [
        "$59.34",
        "$99.26",
        "$166"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2030",
       "cells": [
        "$59.05",
        "$107",
        "$194"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2031",
       "cells": [
        "$59.32",
        "$115",
        "$224"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2032",
       "cells": [
        "$59.99",
        "$124",
        "$257"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2033",
       "cells": [
        "$60.98",
        "$134",
        "$293"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2034",
       "cells": [
        "$62.23",
        "$144",
        "$334"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2035",
       "cells": [
        "$63.72",
        "$155",
        "$379"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2036",
       "cells": [
        "$65.43",
        "$167",
        "$428"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "people-also-watch",
   "title": "People Also Watch",
   "links": [
    {
     "text": "ARKX ARK Space & Defense Innovation ETF CBOE $32.70 -0.23%",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/etf/ark-space-exploration-arkx/"
    },
    {
     "text": "GII State Street SPDR S&P Global Infrastructure ETF NYSE $70.98 +0.45%",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/etf/gii-etf-analysis/"
    },
    {
     "text": "IRBO iShares Future AI & Tech ETF NYSE $79.32 +0.99%",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/etf/irbo-etf-analysis/"
    },
    {
     "text": "SCHD Schwab U.S. Dividend Equity ETF NYSE $33.21 +0.33%",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/etf/schwab-us-dividend-schd/"
    },
    {
     "text": "BEDZ Advisorshares Hotel ETF NYSE $36.55 +0.00%",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/etf/bedz-etf-analysis/"
    },
    {
     "text": "FEPI REX FANG & Innovation Equity Premium Income ETF NASDAQ $43.19 +0.23%",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/etf/fepi-etf-analysis/"
    },
    {
     "text": "AIQ Global X Artificial Intelligence & Technology ETF NASDAQ $65.97 -0.02%",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/etf/global-x-ai-aiq/"
    },
    {
     "text": "QQQM Invesco NASDAQ 100 ETF NASDAQ $306.54 +0.46%",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/etf/invesco-nasdaq-100-qqqm/"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "related-comparisons",
   "title": "Popular Comparisons",
   "links": [
    {
     "text": "Junior Gold Miners (GDXJ) vs Silver Miners (SIL) Comparison Head-to-head analysis →",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/compare/gdxj-vs-sil/"
    },
    {
     "text": "USB vs PNC Comparison Head-to-head analysis →",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/compare/usb-vs-pnc/"
    },
    {
     "text": "UEC vs CCJ Comparison Head-to-head analysis →",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/compare/uec-vs-ccj/"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "faq",
   "title": "Frequently Asked Questions"
  }
 ],
 "faq": [
  {
   "question": "What is the current price prediction for IYT ETF in 2030?",
   "answer": "Based on Monte Carlo simulations, the base case price for IYT in 2030 is $106.95. The downside projection is $59.05, and the upside projection is $193.69. These figures represent statistical simulation outcomes, not price targets or guarantees."
  },
  {
   "question": "What is the expense ratio for the iShares U.S. Transportation ETF?",
   "answer": "The expense ratio for IYT is 0.37%, which translates to a cost of $37.00 per $10,000 invested annually."
  },
  {
   "question": "What sectors does the iShares U.S. Transportation ETF primarily hold?",
   "answer": "The iShares U.S. Transportation ETF is heavily concentrated in the Industrials sector, accounting for 83.75% of its assets. Technology represents the remaining 16.25%."
  },
  {
   "question": "How has IYT performed against its category over the past year?",
   "answer": "Over the past year, IYT returned 20.61%, while its category returned 45.64%, indicating underperformance relative to its peers."
  },
  {
   "question": "What are the key technical levels for IYT?",
   "answer": "IYT is currently trading below its 50-day SMA of $84.99 and its 200-day SMA of $81.18. The RSI is at 24.36, indicating oversold conditions, and the CCI is -104.03."
  },
  {
   "question": "What is the dividend yield for IYT?",
   "answer": "The iShares U.S. Transportation ETF has a dividend yield of approximately 0.92%."
  },
  {
   "question": "What is the overall health score for IYT?",
   "answer": "The iShares U.S. Transportation ETF has a health score of 4, suggesting a moderate level of financial health and stability."
  }
 ],
 "related": {
  "peopleAlsoWatch": [
   {
    "ticker": "ARKX",
    "name": "ARK Space & Defense Innovation ETF CBOE",
    "price": "$32.70",
    "change": "-0.23%",
    "url": "https://clearank.com/etf/ark-space-exploration-arkx/"
   },
   {
    "ticker": "GII",
    "name": "State Street SPDR S&P Global Infrastructure ETF NYSE",
    "price": "$70.98",
    "change": "+0.45%",
    "url": "https://clearank.com/etf/gii-etf-analysis/"
   },
   {
    "ticker": "IRBO",
    "name": "iShares Future AI & Tech ETF NYSE",
    "price": "$79.32",
    "change": "+0.99%",
    "url": "https://clearank.com/etf/irbo-etf-analysis/"
   },
   {
    "ticker": "SCHD",
    "name": "Schwab U.S. Dividend Equity ETF NYSE",
    "price": "$33.21",
    "change": "+0.33%",
    "url": "https://clearank.com/etf/schwab-us-dividend-schd/"
   },
   {
    "ticker": "BEDZ",
    "name": "Advisorshares Hotel ETF NYSE",
    "price": "$36.55",
    "change": "+0.00%",
    "url": "https://clearank.com/etf/bedz-etf-analysis/"
   },
   {
    "ticker": "FEPI",
    "name": "REX FANG & Innovation Equity Premium Income ETF NASDAQ",
    "price": "$43.19",
    "change": "+0.23%",
    "url": "https://clearank.com/etf/fepi-etf-analysis/"
   },
   {
    "ticker": "AIQ",
    "name": "Global X Artificial Intelligence & Technology ETF NASDAQ",
    "price": "$65.97",
    "change": "-0.02%",
    "url": "https://clearank.com/etf/global-x-ai-aiq/"
   },
   {
    "ticker": "QQQM",
    "name": "Invesco NASDAQ 100 ETF NASDAQ",
    "price": "$306.54",
    "change": "+0.46%",
    "url": "https://clearank.com/etf/invesco-nasdaq-100-qqqm/"
   }
  ],
  "comparisons": [
   {
    "ticker": "Junior Gold Miners (GDXJ) vs Silver Miners (SIL) Comparison",
    "name": "",
    "url": "https://clearank.com/compare/gdxj-vs-sil/"
   },
   {
    "ticker": "USB vs PNC Comparison",
    "name": "",
    "url": "https://clearank.com/compare/usb-vs-pnc/"
   },
   {
    "ticker": "UEC vs CCJ Comparison",
    "name": "",
    "url": "https://clearank.com/compare/uec-vs-ccj/"
   }
  ],
  "Newly Tracked": [
   {
    "ticker": "JCI",
    "text": "Johnson Controls International",
    "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/jci-stock-analysis/"
   },
   {
    "ticker": "BLDR",
    "text": "Builders FirstSource Inc",
    "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/bldr-stock-analysis/"
   },
   {
    "ticker": "ILMN",
    "text": "Illumina Inc.",
    "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/ilmn-stock-analysis/"
   },
   {
    "ticker": "EIS",
    "text": "iShares MSCI Israel ETF",
    "url": "https://clearank.com/etf/eis-etf-analysis/"
   },
   {
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