{
 "@context": "https://clearank.com/llms.txt",
 "@type": "clearank:AssetAnalysis",
 "url": "https://clearank.com/etf/iyr-etf-analysis/",
 "dataUrl": "https://clearank.com/etf/iyr-etf-analysis/data.json",
 "title": "iShares U.S. Real Estate (IYR) ETF Forecast (2026)",
 "description": "iShares U.S. Real Estate (IYR) ETF: 0.37% expense ratio. $4.4B net assets. Real Estate. iShares. Fund facts, AI rating, technicals and 2030 projection.",
 "headline": "iShares U.S. Real Estate ETF (IYR)",
 "published": "2026-07-23T10:07:11+00:00",
 "modified": "2026-09-11T12:57:07.333+00:00",
 "generated": "2026-09-11T20:41:01.355Z",
 "language": "en-US",
 "publisher": {
  "name": "CleaRank",
  "url": "https://clearank.com/"
 },
 "disclaimer": "Educational and informational only; not financial advice. AI-generated analysis reviewed by the CleaRank editorial team; prices delayed up to 15 minutes.",
 "asset": {
  "ticker": "IYR",
  "name": "iShares U.S. Real Estate ETF",
  "type": "ETF",
  "exchange": "NYSE",
  "currency": "USD",
  "sector": null,
  "industry": null,
  "country": "United States",
  "website": null
 },
 "quote": {
  "price": 99.97,
  "previousClose": 100.91,
  "change": -0.94,
  "changePercent": -0.93,
  "open": 101.21,
  "high": 101.33,
  "low": 99.8,
  "volume": 9325700,
  "averageVolume": 5641220,
  "marketCap": 5004583936,
  "fiftyTwoWeekHigh": 108.17,
  "fiftyTwoWeekLow": 92.45,
  "marketOpen": false,
  "asOf": "2026-09-11T12:56:33.000Z"
 },
 "statistics": {
  "pe": 27.580923,
  "eps": null,
  "dividendYield": 0.0204,
  "beta": null,
  "priceToSales": null,
  "priceToBook": null,
  "revenueTtm": 0,
  "grossMargin": null,
  "returnOnEquity": null
 },
 "technicals": {
  "rsi": 21.2,
  "macd": -0.91,
  "sma50": 104.21,
  "sma200": 99.93,
  "rsiSignal": "Oversold",
  "trend": "Bullish",
  "pricePosition": "Bearish",
  "macdSignal": "Bearish",
  "rating": "Bearish"
 },
 "analysis": {
  "rating": "Sell",
  "score": 35,
  "consensus": "Sell",
  "fairValue": null,
  "analystTarget": 91.97,
  "analystCount": null,
  "wallStreetConsensus": "",
  "generatedAt": "2026-09-11T12:56:33.000Z",
  "priceAtAnalysis": 99.97,
  "volatility": {
   "daily": 0.68,
   "risk": "etf"
  }
 },
 "tradePlan": {
  "bias": "Bearish",
  "conservativeEntry": 101.97,
  "aggressiveEntry": 99.97,
  "stopLoss": 105.33,
  "stopLossPercent": 3.3,
  "targets": [
   96.87,
   91.77,
   86.67
  ]
 },
 "projections": {
  "basis": "Monte Carlo simulation on historical return distribution, re-run daily; not price targets",
  "years": [
   {
    "year": 2027,
    "downside10th": 80.15,
    "base": 104.39,
    "upside90th": 135.95
   },
   {
    "year": 2028,
    "downside10th": 75.02,
    "base": 109,
    "upside90th": 158.37
   },
   {
    "year": 2029,
    "downside10th": 72.02,
    "base": 113.82,
    "upside90th": 179.86
   },
   {
    "year": 2030,
    "downside10th": 70.07,
    "base": 118.84,
    "upside90th": 201.58
   },
   {
    "year": 2031,
    "downside10th": 68.74,
    "base": 124.09,
    "upside90th": 224.03
   },
   {
    "year": 2032,
    "downside10th": 67.84,
    "base": 129.58,
    "upside90th": 247.5
   },
   {
    "year": 2033,
    "downside10th": 67.26,
    "base": 135.3,
    "upside90th": 272.18
   },
   {
    "year": 2034,
    "downside10th": 66.92,
    "base": 141.28,
    "upside90th": 298.26
   },
   {
    "year": 2035,
    "downside10th": 66.78,
    "base": 147.52,
    "upside90th": 325.88
   },
   {
    "year": 2036,
    "downside10th": 66.81,
    "base": 154.04,
    "upside90th": 355.19
   }
  ]
 },
 "faqCount": 7,
 "sources": [
  "TwelveData",
  "Wall Street consensus"
 ],
 "sections": [
  {
   "id": "price",
   "title": "IYR Price Analysis"
  },
  {
   "id": "market-metrics",
   "title": "Market Metrics",
   "facts": {
    "Open": "$101.21",
    "Day Range": "$99.80 to $101.33",
    "Prev Close": "$100.91",
    "Volume": "9.33M",
    "52-Week Range": "$92.45 to $108.17",
    "Market Cap": "$5.00B"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "mi-fund-facts",
   "title": "IYR Fund Facts",
   "text": [
    "iShares U.S. Real Estate ETF is an exchange-traded fund that provides diversified exposure to U.S. real estate equities, with a primary focus on real estate investment trusts and related property companies. The fund seeks to track the Dow Jones U.S. Real Estate Capped Index, which includes companies operating across key property segments such as healthcare real estate, industrial warehouses, retail centers, data centers, self-storage, and real estate services.",
    "Fund reference data as of Sep 11, 2026. Expense ratio and net assets are reported by the fund; returns are total returns and can differ from price change."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "",
     "columns": [
      "Period",
      "IYR",
      "Category"
     ],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "YTD",
       "cells": [
        "10.09%",
        "11.54%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "1 month",
       "cells": [
        "-2.32%",
        "9.00%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "3 months",
       "cells": [
        "1.66%",
        "8.50%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "1 year",
       "cells": [
        "7.54%",
        "14.73%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "3 years",
       "cells": [
        "9.13%",
        "9.62%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "5 years",
       "cells": [
        "1.38%",
        "3.81%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "10 years",
       "cells": [
        "5.24%",
        "5.85%"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "analysis",
   "title": "IYR Analysis",
   "text": [
    "Momentum has shifted for IYR: the RSI has moved from a neutral level to oversold at 21.2. The ETF's volume was 65.3% above its average on the latest trading day, indicating significant selling pressure. IYR is trading below its 20-day EMA (102.96) and its 50-day SMA (104.21), with the 50-day SMA now acting as resistance. The price is currently above its 200-day SMA (99.93), but the proximity suggests a potential breakdown. The MACD is negative at -0.91, reinforcing the bearish short-term trend.",
    "The 6-12 month outlook for the iShares U.S. Real Estate ETF (IYR) is bearish, despite its current oversold technical status. The ETF's price is trending downwards, with the 50-day SMA acting as resistance, and it has shown consistent underperformance against its category. Significant headwinds in the real estate sector, potentially driven by interest rate sensitivity and evolving demand for commercial properties, are likely to continue pressuring the ETF. Any potential shift in the thesis would require a decisive break above the 50-day SMA, sustained positive momentum, and a reversal of the sector's underperformance. Until then, investors should anticipate continued volatility and potential further downside."
   ],
   "lists": {
    "ProTips": [
     "Consider the high concentration risk in the Real Estate sector before investing in IYR.",
     "Monitor interest rate movements and their impact on REITs and property values.",
     "Compare IYR's performance against broader real estate sector ETFs and its category for a comprehensive view."
    ]
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "correlations",
   "title": "Market Correlations",
   "text": [
    "How this etf moves relative to other assets",
    "Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods."
   ],
   "facts": {
    "Correlation with S&P 500 (SPY)": "+0.49",
    "Correlation with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)": "+0.30",
    "Correlation with Bitcoin (BTC)": "+0.11",
    "Correlation with Gold (XAU)": "+0.12"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "key-statistics",
   "title": "Key Statistics",
   "text": [
    "The iShares U.S. Real Estate ETF (IYR) is heavily concentrated in the Real Estate sector, with 99.45% of its assets allocated to this industry. The fund's overview highlights its strategy to provide broad exposure to U.S. property companies and REITs across various segments like healthcare, industrial, and retail. While the sector itself is not detailed, the fund's underperformance against its category in multiple timeframes, including year-to-date (10.09% vs 11.54%) and the past year (7.54% vs 14.73%), suggests potential headwinds within the real estate market or a rotation out of the sector by investors. The expense ratio for this fund is 0.37%.",
    "Recent earnings reports for underlying holdings in the real estate sector show mixed results. In February 2026, an earnings estimate surprise of 3.3% was reported, with actual EPS at $4.07 against an estimate of $3.94, though the stock price saw a minor decline of 1.19%. A prior report in September 2025 also showed a positive surprise of 4.88% in EPS ($0.86 vs $0.82), with a negligible price change of -0.11%. These figures suggest that while some companies are meeting or slightly exceeding expectations, it is not translating into sustained positive price action for the ETF.",
    "The primary risk for the iShares U.S. Real Estate ETF (IYR) is its significant concentration in the Real Estate sector, making it vulnerable to sector-specific downturns. The ETF is currently exhibiting extreme oversold technical conditions, which could lead to a sharp rebound, but the bearish price trend and underperformance against its category indicate underlying weakness. Macroeconomic factors impacting interest rates and commercial real estate demand could further pressure the fund's performance."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "",
     "columns": [],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "Net Assets (Market Cap)",
       "cells": [
        "5.00B"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Yield",
       "cells": [
        "2.26%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Day High",
       "cells": [
        "$101.33"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Day Low",
       "cells": [
        "$99.80"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "52 Week High",
       "cells": [
        "108.17"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "52 Week Low",
       "cells": [
        "92.45"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "technical-indicators",
   "title": "Technical Indicators",
   "text": [
    "Technical Rating Bearish RSI Oversold SMA Cross Bullish Price vs SMA Bearish MACD Bearish Golden Cross in effect with the 50-day SMA ($104.21) above the 200-day SMA ($99.93), price is trading below the 50-day SMA, RSI at 21.2 suggests oversold conditions; potential bounce setup."
   ],
   "facts": {
    "RSI": "Oversold",
    "SMA Cross": "Bullish",
    "Price vs SMA": "Bearish",
    "MACD": "Bearish"
   },
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "",
     "columns": [],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "RSI (14)",
       "cells": [
        "21.20"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "MACD",
       "cells": [
        "-0.91"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "SMA 50",
       "cells": [
        "104.21"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "SMA 200",
       "cells": [
        "99.93"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "trade-plans",
   "title": "IYR Trade Plans",
   "text": [
    "Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels",
    "Lower risk, wait for rally",
    "Higher risk, chasing the move",
    "Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss Calculated based on RSI (21.2) and current market volatility",
    "Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3"
   ],
   "facts": {
    "TARGET 1": "$96.87",
    "TARGET 2": "$91.77",
    "TARGET 3": "$86.67",
    "STOP LOSS": "$105.33"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "seasonality",
   "title": "Seasonal Patterns",
   "text": [
    "Historical monthly performance trends",
    "Based on 3 years of historical monthly returns"
   ],
   "facts": {
    "Average Jan return": "+1.84%",
    "Average Feb return": "-0.57%",
    "Average Mar return": "-1.84%",
    "Average Apr return": "+2.05%",
    "Average May return": "+0.77%",
    "Average Jun return": "+0.64%",
    "Average Jul return": "+2.77%",
    "Average Aug return": "+0.77%",
    "Average Sep return": "-3.57%",
    "Average Oct return": "-0.76%",
    "Average Nov return": "+3.46%",
    "Average Dec return": "-0.33%"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "risk",
   "title": "Risk & Volatility",
   "facts": {
    "Daily Volatility": "0.6836%"
   },
   "lists": {
    "Risk considerations": [
     "Monitor position sizing based on current volatility levels",
     "Consider stop-loss placement beyond recent price range",
     "Diversification helps mitigate single-stock risk exposure"
    ]
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "growth",
   "title": "Growth of $10,000",
   "text": [
    "A $10,000 investment in IYR in September 2016 would be worth about $12,368 today, compared with about $35,030 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "monte-carlo",
   "title": "Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)",
   "text": [
    "CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in IYR today could grow to about $15,409 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $35,529 and a bear case around $6,683. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "price-prediction",
   "title": "IYR ETF Price Prediction: 2030",
   "text": [
    "CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $119 for IYR by 2030 in the base case, from $99.97 today (1.2x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $70.07. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on IYR's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.",
    "Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using IYR's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "IYR simulated price paths by year",
     "columns": [
      "Year",
      "Downside (10th pct)",
      "Base case",
      "Upside (90th pct)"
     ],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "2027",
       "cells": [
        "$80.15",
        "$104",
        "$136"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2028",
       "cells": [
        "$75.02",
        "$109",
        "$158"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2029",
       "cells": [
        "$72.02",
        "$114",
        "$180"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2030",
       "cells": [
        "$70.07",
        "$119",
        "$202"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2031",
       "cells": [
        "$68.74",
        "$124",
        "$224"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2032",
       "cells": [
        "$67.84",
        "$130",
        "$247"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2033",
       "cells": [
        "$67.26",
        "$135",
        "$272"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2034",
       "cells": [
        "$66.92",
        "$141",
        "$298"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2035",
       "cells": [
        "$66.78",
        "$148",
        "$326"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2036",
       "cells": [
        "$66.81",
        "$154",
        "$355"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "people-also-watch",
   "title": "People Also Watch",
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   "title": "Popular Comparisons",
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  },
  {
   "id": "faq",
   "title": "Frequently Asked Questions"
  }
 ],
 "faq": [
  {
   "question": "What is the expense ratio for the iShares U.S. Real Estate ETF (IYR)?",
   "answer": "The iShares U.S. Real Estate ETF (IYR) has an expense ratio of 0.37%. This means that for every $10,000 invested, $37 would be allocated to fund expenses annually."
  },
  {
   "question": "What does the iShares U.S. Real Estate ETF (IYR) hold and which sectors is it concentrated in?",
   "answer": "The iShares U.S. Real Estate ETF (IYR) is highly concentrated in the Real Estate sector, holding 99.45% in this industry. It provides exposure to U.S. real estate equities, primarily focusing on Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) and related property companies across various segments."
  },
  {
   "question": "How has the iShares U.S. Real Estate ETF (IYR) performed against its category?",
   "answer": "The iShares U.S. Real Estate ETF (IYR) has underperformed its category over multiple periods. Year-to-date, its return was 10.09% compared to the category's 11.54%. Over the past year, IYR returned 7.54% while the category achieved 14.73%."
  },
  {
   "question": "What is the current price prediction for IYR ETF in 2030?",
   "answer": "Based on Monte Carlo simulations, the projected base price for the IYR ETF in 2030 is $118.84. The simulation also indicates a downside price of $70.07 and an upside price of $201.58. These figures represent statistical outcomes and are not price targets or guarantees."
  },
  {
   "question": "What are the biggest risks associated with the iShares U.S. Real Estate ETF (IYR)?",
   "answer": "The primary risks for IYR include significant concentration in the Real Estate sector, making it susceptible to sector-specific downturns. Additionally, the ETF faces bearish price trends and underperformance relative to its category, alongside potential impacts from macroeconomic factors affecting real estate demand and interest rates."
  },
  {
   "question": "What is the technical outlook for the iShares U.S. Real Estate ETF (IYR)?",
   "answer": "The iShares U.S. Real Estate ETF (IYR) is currently in an oversold technical condition with an RSI at 21.2. However, it is trading below key moving averages (20-day EMA and 50-day SMA), indicating a bearish short-term trend. High volume suggests significant selling pressure."
  },
  {
   "question": "How does the iShares U.S. Real Estate ETF (IYR) compare to its benchmark index?",
   "answer": "The iShares U.S. Real Estate ETF (IYR) seeks to track the Dow Jones U.S. Real Estate Capped Index."
  }
 ],
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    "ticker": "VRSK",
    "text": "Verisk Analytics, Inc.",
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