{
 "@context": "https://clearank.com/llms.txt",
 "@type": "clearank:AssetAnalysis",
 "url": "https://clearank.com/etf/ishares-semiconductor-soxx/",
 "dataUrl": "https://clearank.com/etf/ishares-semiconductor-soxx/data.json",
 "title": "iShares Semiconductor (SOXX) ETF Forecast (2026)",
 "description": "iShares Semiconductor (SOXX) ETF: 0.33% expense ratio. $41.8B net assets. Technology. iShares. Fund facts, AI rating, technicals and 2030 projection.",
 "headline": "iShares Semiconductor ETF (SOXX)",
 "published": "2026-06-05T09:19:15+00:00",
 "modified": "2026-09-15T10:06:59.99+00:00",
 "generated": "2026-09-16T07:38:55.869Z",
 "language": "en-US",
 "publisher": {
  "name": "CleaRank",
  "url": "https://clearank.com/"
 },
 "disclaimer": "Educational and informational only; not financial advice. AI-generated analysis reviewed by the CleaRank editorial team; prices delayed up to 15 minutes.",
 "asset": {
  "ticker": "SOXX",
  "name": "iShares Semiconductor ETF",
  "type": "ETF",
  "exchange": "NASDAQ",
  "currency": "USD",
  "sector": null,
  "industry": null,
  "country": "United States",
  "website": null
 },
 "quote": {
  "price": 497.4,
  "previousClose": 527.07,
  "change": -29.67,
  "changePercent": -5.63,
  "open": 497.17001,
  "high": 503.17999,
  "low": 495.14999,
  "volume": 11248000,
  "averageVolume": 7459800,
  "marketCap": 3483886592,
  "fiftyTwoWeekHigh": 655.95001,
  "fiftyTwoWeekLow": 238.14999,
  "marketOpen": false,
  "asOf": "2026-09-15T10:06:59.000Z"
 },
 "statistics": {
  "pe": 36.563084,
  "eps": null,
  "dividendYield": 0.0022760102819325964,
  "beta": null,
  "priceToSales": null,
  "priceToBook": null,
  "revenueTtm": 0,
  "grossMargin": null,
  "returnOnEquity": null
 },
 "technicals": {
  "rsi": 46.74,
  "macd": -4.98,
  "sma50": 530.15,
  "sma200": 437.64,
  "rsiSignal": "Neutral",
  "trend": "Bullish",
  "pricePosition": "Bearish",
  "macdSignal": "Bearish",
  "rating": "Bearish"
 },
 "analysis": {
  "rating": "Hold",
  "score": 50,
  "consensus": "Hold",
  "fairValue": null,
  "analystTarget": 512.32,
  "analystCount": null,
  "wallStreetConsensus": "",
  "generatedAt": "2026-09-15T10:06:59.000Z",
  "priceAtAnalysis": 497.39999,
  "volatility": {
   "daily": 2.54,
   "risk": "etf"
  }
 },
 "tradePlan": {
  "bias": "Neutral",
  "conservativeEntry": 492.43,
  "aggressiveEntry": 497.4,
  "stopLoss": 473.66,
  "stopLossPercent": 3.81,
  "targets": [
   507.2,
   517.05,
   531.82
  ]
 },
 "projections": {
  "basis": "Monte Carlo simulation on historical return distribution, re-run daily; not price targets",
  "years": [
   {
    "year": 2027,
    "downside10th": 368.41,
    "base": 575.59,
    "upside90th": 899.27
   },
   {
    "year": 2028,
    "downside10th": 354.38,
    "base": 666.07,
    "upside90th": 1251.87
   },
   {
    "year": 2029,
    "downside10th": 355.87,
    "base": 770.77,
    "upside90th": 1669.37
   },
   {
    "year": 2030,
    "downside10th": 365.4,
    "base": 891.92,
    "upside90th": 2177.12
   },
   {
    "year": 2031,
    "downside10th": 380.57,
    "base": 1032.13,
    "upside90th": 2799.19
   },
   {
    "year": 2032,
    "downside10th": 400.39,
    "base": 1194.37,
    "upside90th": 3562.82
   },
   {
    "year": 2033,
    "downside10th": 424.48,
    "base": 1382.12,
    "upside90th": 4500.18
   },
   {
    "year": 2034,
    "downside10th": 452.76,
    "base": 1599.37,
    "upside90th": 5649.81
   },
   {
    "year": 2035,
    "downside10th": 485.32,
    "base": 1850.78,
    "upside90th": 7058.07
   },
   {
    "year": 2036,
    "downside10th": 522.38,
    "base": 2141.71,
    "upside90th": 8780.87
   }
  ]
 },
 "faqCount": 8,
 "sources": [
  "TwelveData",
  "Wall Street consensus"
 ],
 "sections": [
  {
   "id": "price",
   "title": "SOXX Price Analysis"
  },
  {
   "id": "market-metrics",
   "title": "Market Metrics",
   "facts": {
    "Open": "$497.17",
    "Day Range": "$495.15 to $503.18",
    "Prev Close": "$527.07",
    "Volume": "11.25M",
    "52-Week Range": "$238.15 to $655.95",
    "Market Cap": "$3.48B"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "mi-fund-facts",
   "title": "SOXX Fund Facts",
   "text": [
    "iShares Semiconductor ETF is an exchange-traded fund that provides focused exposure to the U.S. semiconductor industry. It seeks to track a semiconductor index composed of listed companies involved in chip design, fabrication, manufacturing equipment, and related technology services, making it a concentrated way to access a core segment of the information technology market.",
    "Fund reference data as of Sep 15, 2026. Expense ratio and net assets are reported by the fund; returns are total returns and can differ from price change."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "",
     "columns": [
      "Period",
      "SOXX",
      "Category"
     ],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "YTD",
       "cells": [
        "69.94%",
        "13.51%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "1 month",
       "cells": [
        "1.40%",
        "19.10%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "3 months",
       "cells": [
        "-10.12%",
        "10.83%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "1 year",
       "cells": [
        "109.44%",
        "54.99%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "3 years",
       "cells": [
        "45.24%",
        "27.86%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "5 years",
       "cells": [
        "27.79%",
        "9.93%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "10 years",
       "cells": [
        "31.56%",
        "19.36%"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "analysis",
   "title": "SOXX Analysis",
   "text": [
    "iShares Semiconductor ETF (SOXX) is currently trading below its 50-day ($530.15) and 20-day ($518.92) moving averages, indicating short-term weakness. The ETF is, however, trading above its 200-day ($437.64) moving average, suggesting a longer-term bullish trend remains intact. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 46.74, which is considered neutral, showing no strong overbought or oversold conditions. The Stochastic indicator is at 17.70, approaching oversold territory, while the Commodity Channel Index (CCI) is at -113.19, indicating bearish momentum. Volume has been significantly above average recently, with the latest volume at 11,248,000 compared to an average of 7,459,800.",
    "The outlook for the iShares Semiconductor ETF (SOXX) is cautiously optimistic, balanced by short-term technical headwinds and sector-specific risks. While the fund remains above its long-term 200-day moving average, its current position below shorter-term averages suggests a period of consolidation or potential further downside before a sustained recovery. The semiconductor sector's growth trajectory, driven by AI and digital transformation, provides a strong fundamental backdrop. However, investors should monitor macroeconomic conditions, consumer spending trends, and geopolitical developments that could impact chip demand and supply chains. A break above the $530 level would signal a return to a more bullish technical posture."
   ],
   "lists": {
    "ProTips": [
     "Monitor the 200-day moving average ($437.64) as a key support level for the iShares Semiconductor ETF (SOXX).",
     "Given the sector concentration, be aware of potential volatility driven by industry-specific news or shifts in technology demand.",
     "Compare SOXX's performance against its category and benchmark ETFs to assess relative strength and identify potential opportunities.",
     "Consider the impact of broader economic trends on semiconductor demand, as this sector is sensitive to consumer and enterprise spending.",
     "Evaluate the fund's expense ratio (0.33%) in relation to its performance and the cost of alternative semiconductor investments."
    ]
   },
   "links": [
    {
     "text": "CCI",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/cci-stock-analysis/"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "correlations",
   "title": "Market Correlations",
   "text": [
    "How this etf moves relative to other assets",
    "Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods."
   ],
   "facts": {
    "Correlation with S&P 500 (SPY)": "+0.77",
    "Correlation with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)": "+0.88",
    "Correlation with Bitcoin (BTC)": "+0.27",
    "Correlation with Gold (XAU)": "+0.19"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "key-statistics",
   "title": "Key Statistics",
   "text": [
    "The iShares Semiconductor ETF (SOXX) is heavily concentrated in the Technology sector, with 100% of its assets allocated to stocks. This high concentration means the fund's performance is closely tied to the fortunes of the semiconductor industry. The fund's expense ratio is 0.33%, costing $33.00 per $10,000 invested. As of September 2026, SOXX has net assets of $41.81 billion. The semiconductor sector is a critical component of the broader technology market, influenced by demand for electronics, cloud computing infrastructure, and overall technology spending. While the sector has shown strong year-over-year growth, potential headwinds include supply chain vulnerabilities and moderating demand in specific end-markets.",
    "However, the performance of its underlying holdings, which are primarily semiconductor companies, reflects the sector's earnings trends. The strong year-to-date return of 69.94% for SOXX suggests that the aggregate earnings of its constituent companies have been positive, driven by strong demand in areas like AI and data centers. The recent moderation in its 1-month and 3-month returns, however, may indicate a slowdown in earnings growth expectations or a shift in market sentiment towards the sector.",
    "The primary risk for the iShares Semiconductor ETF (SOXX) is its high sector concentration in semiconductors, making it vulnerable to industry-specific downturns, supply chain disruptions, and intense competition. Additionally, geopolitical tensions and trade policies could impact global semiconductor supply and demand dynamics. Given its significant year-over-year gains, there is also a risk of a sector rotation out of technology into other asset classes."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "",
     "columns": [],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "Net Assets (Market Cap)",
       "cells": [
        "3.48B"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Yield",
       "cells": [
        "0.30%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Day High",
       "cells": [
        "$503.18"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Day Low",
       "cells": [
        "$495.15"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "52 Week High",
       "cells": [
        "655.95"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "52 Week Low",
       "cells": [
        "238.15"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "technical-indicators",
   "title": "Technical Indicators",
   "text": [
    "Technical Rating Bearish RSI Neutral SMA Cross Bullish Price vs SMA Bearish MACD Bearish Golden Cross in effect with the 50-day SMA ($530.15) above the 200-day SMA ($437.64), price is trading below the 50-day SMA."
   ],
   "facts": {
    "RSI": "Neutral",
    "SMA Cross": "Bullish",
    "Price vs SMA": "Bearish",
    "MACD": "Bearish"
   },
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "",
     "columns": [],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "RSI (14)",
       "cells": [
        "46.74"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "MACD",
       "cells": [
        "-4.98"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "SMA 50",
       "cells": [
        "530.15"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "SMA 200",
       "cells": [
        "437.64"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "trade-plans",
   "title": "SOXX Trade Plans",
   "text": [
    "Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels",
    "Enter now if confident",
    "Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss Calculated based on RSI (46.7) and current market volatility",
    "Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3"
   ],
   "facts": {
    "TARGET 1": "$507.20",
    "TARGET 2": "$517.05",
    "TARGET 3": "$531.82",
    "STOP LOSS": "$473.66"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "seasonality",
   "title": "Seasonal Patterns",
   "text": [
    "Historical monthly performance trends",
    "Based on 3 years of historical monthly returns"
   ],
   "facts": {
    "Average Jan return": "+3.82%",
    "Average Feb return": "+0.64%",
    "Average Mar return": "-1.36%",
    "Average Apr return": "+3.11%",
    "Average May return": "+8.18%",
    "Average Jun return": "+3.31%",
    "Average Jul return": "+2.94%",
    "Average Aug return": "+0.76%",
    "Average Sep return": "+0.18%",
    "Average Oct return": "+0.71%",
    "Average Nov return": "+6.17%",
    "Average Dec return": "+1.49%"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "risk",
   "title": "Risk & Volatility",
   "facts": {
    "Daily Volatility": "2.54%"
   },
   "lists": {
    "Risk considerations": [
     "Monitor position sizing based on current volatility levels",
     "Consider stop-loss placement beyond recent price range",
     "Diversification helps mitigate single-stock risk exposure"
    ]
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "growth",
   "title": "Growth of $10,000",
   "text": [
    "A $10,000 investment in SOXX in September 2016 would be worth about $136,987 today, compared with about $35,344 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "monte-carlo",
   "title": "Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)",
   "text": [
    "CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in SOXX today could grow to about $43,058 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $176,535 and a bear case around $10,502. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "price-prediction",
   "title": "SOXX ETF Price Prediction: 2030",
   "text": [
    "CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $892 for SOXX by 2030 in the base case, from $497 today (1.8x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $365. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on SOXX's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.",
    "Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using SOXX's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "SOXX simulated price paths by year",
     "columns": [
      "Year",
      "Downside (10th pct)",
      "Base case",
      "Upside (90th pct)"
     ],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "2027",
       "cells": [
        "$368",
        "$576",
        "$899"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2028",
       "cells": [
        "$354",
        "$666",
        "$1,252"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2029",
       "cells": [
        "$356",
        "$771",
        "$1,669"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2030",
       "cells": [
        "$365",
        "$892",
        "$2,177"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2031",
       "cells": [
        "$381",
        "$1,032",
        "$2,799"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2032",
       "cells": [
        "$400",
        "$1,194",
        "$3,563"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2033",
       "cells": [
        "$424",
        "$1,382",
        "$4,500"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2034",
       "cells": [
        "$453",
        "$1,599",
        "$5,650"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2035",
       "cells": [
        "$485",
        "$1,851",
        "$7,058"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2036",
       "cells": [
        "$522",
        "$2,142",
        "$8,781"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "people-also-watch",
   "title": "People Also Watch",
   "links": [
    {
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     "url": "https://clearank.com/etf/wgmi-etf-analysis/"
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     "url": "https://clearank.com/etf/us-natural-gas-fund-ung/"
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     "text": "FINX Global X FinTech ETF NASDAQ $25.68 -3.44%",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/etf/finx-fintech-etf/"
    },
    {
     "text": "EIS iShares MSCI Israel ETF NYSE $123.03 -0.56%",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/etf/eis-etf-analysis/"
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    {
     "text": "ARKW ARK Next Generation Internet ETF CBOE $158.56 +1.97%",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/etf/arkw-etf-analysis/"
    },
    {
     "text": "SPY State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust NYSE $760.88 -0.45%",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/etf/spy-spdr-sp-500/"
    },
    {
     "text": "VPU Vanguard Utilities ETF NYSE $178.82 -1.08%",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/etf/vpu-etf-analysis/"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "related-comparisons",
   "title": "Compare SOXX",
   "links": [
    {
     "text": "SMH vs SOXX Comparison Head-to-head analysis →",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/compare/smh-vs-soxx/"
    },
    {
     "text": "Gold vs Bitcoin Analysis and Targets Head-to-head analysis →",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/compare/gold-vs-bitcoin/"
    },
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     "url": "https://clearank.com/compare/vgt-vs-qqqm/"
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   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "faq",
   "title": "Frequently Asked Questions"
  }
 ],
 "faq": [
  {
   "question": "What is the expense ratio for the iShares Semiconductor ETF (SOXX) and what does it cost per $10,000 invested?",
   "answer": "The iShares Semiconductor ETF (SOXX) has an expense ratio of 0.33%. This translates to a cost of $33.00 for every $10,000 invested over a year."
  },
  {
   "question": "What sectors does the iShares Semiconductor ETF (SOXX) hold, and how concentrated is it?",
   "answer": "The iShares Semiconductor ETF (SOXX) is highly concentrated in the Technology sector, holding 100% of its assets in this area. Its strategy focuses on companies involved in chip design, fabrication, manufacturing equipment, and related technology services."
  },
  {
   "question": "What is the distribution yield for the iShares Semiconductor ETF (SOXX)?",
   "answer": "The iShares Semiconductor ETF (SOXX) has a distribution yield of 0.30%."
  },
  {
   "question": "How has the iShares Semiconductor ETF (SOXX) performed against its category over different time periods?",
   "answer": "As of September 2026, SOXX has outperformed its category year-to-date (69.94% vs 13.51%) and over the last year (109.44% vs 54.99%) and 5 years (27.79% vs 9.93%). However, it underperformed its category in the last month (1.40% vs 19.10%) and last 3 months (-10.12% vs 10.83%)."
  },
  {
   "question": "What is the price prediction for SOXX ETF in 2030?",
   "answer": "Based on Monte Carlo simulations, the projected base price for the SOXX ETF in 2030 is $891.92. The downside projection is $365.40, and the upside projection is $2177.12. These figures represent statistical simulation outcomes, not price targets or guarantees."
  },
  {
   "question": "What are the key technical levels for the iShares Semiconductor ETF (SOXX)?",
   "answer": "The iShares Semiconductor ETF (SOXX) is currently trading below its 50-day ($530.15) and 20-day ($518.92) moving averages, which are acting as resistance. Its 200-day moving average ($437.64) is providing support."
  },
  {
   "question": "What is the insider and institutional activity in the iShares Semiconductor ETF (SOXX)?",
   "answer": "Data on insider and institutional activity specific to the iShares Semiconductor ETF (SOXX) is not provided."
  },
  {
   "question": "What is the turnover rate for the iShares Semiconductor ETF (SOXX)?",
   "answer": "The iShares Semiconductor ETF (SOXX) has a turnover rate of 33%."
  }
 ],
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    "url": "https://clearank.com/compare/vgt-vs-qqqm/"
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