{
 "@context": "https://clearank.com/llms.txt",
 "@type": "clearank:AssetAnalysis",
 "url": "https://clearank.com/etf/ishares-aerospace-defense-ita/",
 "dataUrl": "https://clearank.com/etf/ishares-aerospace-defense-ita/data.json",
 "title": "iShares Aerospace & Defense (ITA) ETF Forecast (2026)",
 "description": "iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense (ITA) ETF: 0.37% expense ratio. $13.6B net assets. Industrials. Fund facts, AI rating, technicals and 2030 projection.",
 "headline": "iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA)",
 "published": "2026-06-04T09:20:57+00:00",
 "modified": "2026-09-27T08:01:20.306+00:00",
 "generated": "2026-09-27T14:28:40.611Z",
 "language": "en-US",
 "publisher": {
  "name": "CleaRank",
  "url": "https://clearank.com/"
 },
 "disclaimer": "Educational and informational only; not financial advice. AI-generated analysis reviewed by the CleaRank editorial team; prices delayed up to 15 minutes.",
 "asset": {
  "ticker": "ITA",
  "name": "iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF",
  "type": "ETF",
  "exchange": "CBOE",
  "currency": "USD",
  "sector": null,
  "industry": null,
  "country": "United States",
  "website": null
 },
 "quote": {
  "price": 213.81,
  "previousClose": 212.76,
  "change": 1.05,
  "changePercent": 0.49,
  "open": 213.28999,
  "high": 215.13,
  "low": 212.16,
  "volume": 600400,
  "averageVolume": 940320,
  "marketCap": 0,
  "fiftyTwoWeekHigh": 256.60001,
  "fiftyTwoWeekLow": 195.71001,
  "marketOpen": false,
  "asOf": "2026-09-27T08:01:20.000Z"
 },
 "statistics": {
  "pe": 32.454967,
  "eps": null,
  "dividendYield": 0.00469597748208145,
  "beta": null,
  "priceToSales": null,
  "priceToBook": null,
  "revenueTtm": 0,
  "grossMargin": null,
  "returnOnEquity": null
 },
 "technicals": {
  "rsi": 23.68,
  "macd": -6.13,
  "sma50": 233.17,
  "sma200": 230.43,
  "rsiSignal": "Oversold",
  "trend": "Bullish",
  "pricePosition": "Bearish",
  "macdSignal": "Bearish",
  "rating": "Bearish"
 },
 "analysis": {
  "rating": "Sell",
  "score": 25,
  "consensus": "Sell",
  "fairValue": null,
  "analystTarget": 196.71,
  "analystCount": null,
  "wallStreetConsensus": "",
  "generatedAt": "2026-09-27T08:01:20.000Z",
  "priceAtAnalysis": 213.81,
  "volatility": {
   "daily": 1.05,
   "risk": "etf"
  }
 },
 "tradePlan": {
  "bias": "Bearish",
  "conservativeEntry": 218.09,
  "aggressiveEntry": 213.81,
  "stopLoss": 225.28,
  "stopLossPercent": 3.3,
  "targets": [
   207.18,
   196.28,
   185.37
  ]
 },
 "projections": {
  "basis": "Monte Carlo simulation on historical return distribution, re-run daily; not price targets",
  "years": [
   {
    "year": 2027,
    "downside10th": 173.96,
    "base": 234.95,
    "upside90th": 317.34
   },
   {
    "year": 2028,
    "downside10th": 168.78,
    "base": 258.19,
    "upside90th": 394.95
   },
   {
    "year": 2029,
    "downside10th": 168.57,
    "base": 283.72,
    "upside90th": 477.52
   },
   {
    "year": 2030,
    "downside10th": 170.91,
    "base": 311.77,
    "upside90th": 568.75
   },
   {
    "year": 2031,
    "downside10th": 174.94,
    "base": 342.6,
    "upside90th": 670.95
   },
   {
    "year": 2032,
    "downside10th": 180.3,
    "base": 376.48,
    "upside90th": 786.14
   },
   {
    "year": 2033,
    "downside10th": 186.78,
    "base": 413.71,
    "upside90th": 916.37
   },
   {
    "year": 2034,
    "downside10th": 194.28,
    "base": 454.62,
    "upside90th": 1063.83
   },
   {
    "year": 2035,
    "downside10th": 202.76,
    "base": 499.58,
    "upside90th": 1230.89
   },
   {
    "year": 2036,
    "downside10th": 212.2,
    "base": 548.98,
    "upside90th": 1420.23
   }
  ]
 },
 "faqCount": 7,
 "sources": [
  "TwelveData",
  "Wall Street consensus"
 ],
 "sections": [
  {
   "id": "price",
   "title": "ITA Price Analysis"
  },
  {
   "id": "market-metrics",
   "title": "Market Metrics",
   "facts": {
    "Open": "$213.29",
    "Day Range": "$212.16 to $215.13",
    "Prev Close": "$212.76",
    "Volume": "600.4K",
    "52-Week Range": "$195.71 to $256.60"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "mi-fund-facts",
   "title": "ITA Fund Facts",
   "text": [
    "iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF is an exchange-traded fund designed to provide diversified exposure to U.S. aerospace and defense companies. It seeks to track the Dow Jones U.S. Select Aerospace & Defense Index, giving investors access to manufacturers, assemblers, and distributors involved in aircraft, defense systems, satellites, and related equipment.",
    "Fund reference data as of Sep 27, 2026. Expense ratio and net assets are reported by the fund; returns are total returns and can differ from price change."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "",
     "columns": [
      "Period",
      "ITA",
      "Category"
     ],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "YTD",
       "cells": [
        "6.52%",
        "13.30%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "1 month",
       "cells": [
        "-4.69%",
        "9.31%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "3 months",
       "cells": [
        "-3.00%",
        "5.10%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "1 year",
       "cells": [
        "15.61%",
        "45.64%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "3 years",
       "cells": [
        "26.19%",
        "21.72%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "5 years",
       "cells": [
        "17.53%",
        "11.25%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "10 years",
       "cells": [
        "14.50%",
        "13.58%"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "analysis",
   "title": "ITA Analysis",
   "text": [
    "ITA is currently in a bearish trend, trading below its 20-day, 50-day, and 200-day exponential and simple moving averages. The 50-day SMA is at 233.17 and the 200-day SMA is at 230.43, with the current price of 213.81 falling below both. Momentum indicators are signaling oversold conditions, with an RSI of 23.68 and a Stochastic reading of 15.88. The MACD is also negative at -6.13, further reinforcing the bearish short-term outlook.",
    "The 6-12 month outlook for ITA appears bearish, given its current technical positioning and recent underperformance relative to its category. While the aerospace and defense sector can benefit from increased government spending, persistent supply chain issues and potential project delays could weigh on performance. A significant shift in the macroeconomic environment or a resolution to supply chain bottlenecks could alter this outlook, but currently, the trend suggests caution."
   ],
   "lists": {
    "ProTips": [
     "Consider the fund's high concentration in the industrials sector and its exposure to large-cap defense contractors.",
     "Monitor geopolitical developments and government defense spending policies as key catalysts for the sector.",
     "Evaluate the fund's performance against its benchmark and category peers, paying close attention to divergences."
    ]
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "correlations",
   "title": "Market Correlations",
   "text": [
    "How this etf moves relative to other assets",
    "Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods."
   ],
   "facts": {
    "Correlation with S&P 500 (SPY)": "+0.65",
    "Correlation with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)": "+0.57",
    "Correlation with Bitcoin (BTC)": "+0.16",
    "Correlation with Gold (XAU)": "+0.21"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "key-statistics",
   "title": "Key Statistics",
   "text": [
    "The iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) holds 99.84% in stocks, indicating a highly concentrated exposure to the industrials sector. Its net assets stand at $13.63 billion, with an expense ratio of 0.37%, costing $37.00 per $10,000 invested. The fund's overview highlights its focus on major industry names such as GE Aerospace, RTX, Boeing, Lockheed Martin, and Northrop Grumman. This concentration means the fund's performance is heavily tied to the fortunes of these large-cap aerospace and defense companies.",
    "The underlying aerospace and defense companies it holds are critical to the sector's performance. Recent trends in the sector suggest that while defense spending remains a tailwind, supply chain issues and project delays could impact the earnings of key constituents. Investors should monitor the earnings reports of ITA's top holdings for insights into the sector's aggregate profitability and future growth prospects.",
    "The primary risk for ITA is its high concentration within the aerospace and defense sector, making it susceptible to sector-specific downturns or regulatory changes. Geopolitical events, while potentially boosting defense spending, can also introduce volatility and uncertainty. Also, the fund's current technical setup, with prices below key moving averages and oversold indicators, suggests a risk of further downside in the short term."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "",
     "columns": [],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "Yield",
       "cells": [
        "0.62%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Day High",
       "cells": [
        "$215.13"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Day Low",
       "cells": [
        "$212.16"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "52 Week High",
       "cells": [
        "256.60"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "52 Week Low",
       "cells": [
        "195.71"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ],
   "links": [
    {
     "text": "RTX",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/rtx-corporation-rtx/"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "technical-indicators",
   "title": "Technical Indicators",
   "text": [
    "Technical Rating Bearish RSI Oversold SMA Cross Bullish Price vs SMA Bearish MACD Bearish Golden Cross in effect with the 50-day SMA ($233.17) above the 200-day SMA ($230.43), price is trading below the 50-day SMA, RSI at 23.7 suggests oversold conditions; potential bounce setup."
   ],
   "facts": {
    "RSI": "Oversold",
    "SMA Cross": "Bullish",
    "Price vs SMA": "Bearish",
    "MACD": "Bearish"
   },
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "",
     "columns": [],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "RSI (14)",
       "cells": [
        "23.68"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "MACD",
       "cells": [
        "-6.13"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "SMA 50",
       "cells": [
        "233.17"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "SMA 200",
       "cells": [
        "230.43"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "trade-plans",
   "title": "ITA Trade Plans",
   "text": [
    "Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels",
    "Lower risk, wait for rally",
    "Higher risk, chasing the move",
    "Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss Calculated based on RSI (23.7) and current market volatility",
    "Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3"
   ],
   "facts": {
    "TARGET 1": "$207.18",
    "TARGET 2": "$196.28",
    "TARGET 3": "$185.37",
    "STOP LOSS": "$225.28"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "seasonality",
   "title": "Seasonal Patterns",
   "text": [
    "Historical monthly performance trends",
    "Based on 3 years of historical monthly returns"
   ],
   "facts": {
    "Average Jan return": "+2.90%",
    "Average Feb return": "+2.39%",
    "Average Mar return": "-4.37%",
    "Average Apr return": "+0.95%",
    "Average May return": "+3.68%",
    "Average Jun return": "+0.89%",
    "Average Jul return": "+2.39%",
    "Average Aug return": "+1.16%",
    "Average Sep return": "-0.47%",
    "Average Oct return": "+0.03%",
    "Average Nov return": "+4.32%",
    "Average Dec return": "+0.39%"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "risk",
   "title": "Risk & Volatility",
   "facts": {
    "Daily Volatility": "1.05%"
   },
   "lists": {
    "Risk considerations": [
     "Monitor position sizing based on current volatility levels",
     "Consider stop-loss placement beyond recent price range",
     "Diversification helps mitigate single-stock risk exposure"
    ]
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "growth",
   "title": "Growth of $10,000",
   "text": [
    "A $10,000 investment in ITA in September 2016 would be worth about $33,034 today, compared with about $35,782 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "monte-carlo",
   "title": "Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)",
   "text": [
    "CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in ITA today could grow to about $25,676 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $66,425 and a bear case around $9,925. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "price-prediction",
   "title": "ITA ETF Price Prediction: 2030",
   "text": [
    "CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $312 for ITA by 2030 in the base case, from $214 today (1.5x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $171. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on ITA's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.",
    "Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using ITA's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "ITA simulated price paths by year",
     "columns": [
      "Year",
      "Downside (10th pct)",
      "Base case",
      "Upside (90th pct)"
     ],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "2027",
       "cells": [
        "$174",
        "$235",
        "$317"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2028",
       "cells": [
        "$169",
        "$258",
        "$395"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2029",
       "cells": [
        "$169",
        "$284",
        "$478"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2030",
       "cells": [
        "$171",
        "$312",
        "$569"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2031",
       "cells": [
        "$175",
        "$343",
        "$671"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2032",
       "cells": [
        "$180",
        "$376",
        "$786"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2033",
       "cells": [
        "$187",
        "$414",
        "$916"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2034",
       "cells": [
        "$194",
        "$455",
        "$1,064"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2035",
       "cells": [
        "$203",
        "$500",
        "$1,231"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2036",
       "cells": [
        "$212",
        "$549",
        "$1,420"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "people-also-watch",
   "title": "People Also Watch",
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   "title": "Popular Comparisons",
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  {
   "id": "faq",
   "title": "Frequently Asked Questions"
  }
 ],
 "faq": [
  {
   "question": "What is the current price prediction for ITA ETF in 2030?",
   "answer": "Based on Monte Carlo simulations, the base case price projection for ITA ETF in 2030 is $311.77, with a downside scenario at $170.91. These figures represent statistical outcomes and are not price targets or guarantees."
  },
  {
   "question": "What is the expense ratio for the iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF?",
   "answer": "The expense ratio for ITA is 0.37%, which translates to a cost of $37.00 per $10,000 invested over a year."
  },
  {
   "question": "What sectors does the iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF concentrate in?",
   "answer": "ITA is heavily concentrated in the Industrials sector, with 99.84% of its asset allocation in stocks. Its overview indicates a focus on U.S. aerospace and defense companies involved in aircraft, defense systems, and related equipment."
  },
  {
   "question": "How has ITA performed against its category over the last year?",
   "answer": "In the past year, ITA returned 15.61%, while its category returned 45.64%, indicating underperformance relative to its peers."
  },
  {
   "question": "What are the key technical levels for ITA?",
   "answer": "ITA is currently trading below its 50-day SMA of 233.17 and its 200-day SMA of 230.43. The RSI is at 23.68, indicating oversold conditions."
  },
  {
   "question": "What is the dividend yield for ITA?",
   "answer": "The dividend yield for ITA is approximately 0.61%."
  },
  {
   "question": "What are the main risks associated with investing in ITA?",
   "answer": "The primary risks include sector concentration in aerospace and defense, susceptibility to geopolitical events and regulatory changes, and current bearish technical indicators suggesting potential further price declines."
  }
 ],
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    "url": "https://clearank.com/crypto/kaspa-kas-usd/"
   },
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