{
 "@context": "https://clearank.com/llms.txt",
 "@type": "clearank:AssetAnalysis",
 "url": "https://clearank.com/etf/invesco-nasdaq-100-qqqm/",
 "dataUrl": "https://clearank.com/etf/invesco-nasdaq-100-qqqm/data.json",
 "title": "Invesco NASDAQ 100 ETF (QQQM) ETF Forecast (2026)",
 "description": "Invesco NASDAQ 100 (QQQM) ETF: 0.15% expense ratio. $104.4B net assets. Large Growth. Invesco. Fund facts, AI rating, technicals and 2030 projection.",
 "headline": "Invesco NASDAQ 100 ETF (QQQM)",
 "published": "2026-06-25T09:43:00+00:00",
 "modified": "2026-09-11T02:13:28.374+00:00",
 "generated": "2026-09-11T21:02:46.207Z",
 "language": "en-US",
 "publisher": {
  "name": "CleaRank",
  "url": "https://clearank.com/"
 },
 "disclaimer": "Educational and informational only; not financial advice. AI-generated analysis reviewed by the CleaRank editorial team; prices delayed up to 15 minutes.",
 "asset": {
  "ticker": "QQQM",
  "name": "Invesco NASDAQ 100 ETF",
  "type": "ETF",
  "exchange": "NASDAQ",
  "currency": "USD",
  "sector": null,
  "industry": null,
  "country": "United States",
  "website": null
 },
 "quote": {
  "price": 291.8,
  "previousClose": 294.97,
  "change": -3.17,
  "changePercent": -1.07,
  "open": 291.41,
  "high": 293.17001,
  "low": 291.059998,
  "volume": 2295966,
  "averageVolume": 2356267,
  "marketCap": 0,
  "fiftyTwoWeekHigh": 308.20999,
  "fiftyTwoWeekLow": 228.75,
  "marketOpen": false,
  "asOf": "2026-09-11T02:13:27.000Z"
 },
 "statistics": {
  "pe": 29.194342,
  "eps": null,
  "dividendYield": 0.004827609863229414,
  "beta": null,
  "priceToSales": null,
  "priceToBook": null,
  "revenueTtm": 0,
  "grossMargin": null,
  "returnOnEquity": null
 },
 "technicals": {
  "rsi": 48.01,
  "macd": 0.29,
  "sma50": 292.6,
  "sma200": 271.54,
  "rsiSignal": "Neutral",
  "trend": "Bullish",
  "pricePosition": "Bearish",
  "macdSignal": "Neutral",
  "rating": "Neutral"
 },
 "analysis": {
  "rating": "Buy",
  "score": 78,
  "consensus": "Buy",
  "fairValue": null,
  "analystTarget": 315.14,
  "analystCount": null,
  "wallStreetConsensus": "",
  "generatedAt": "2026-09-11T02:13:27.000Z",
  "priceAtAnalysis": 291.79999,
  "volatility": {
   "daily": 1.03,
   "risk": "etf"
  }
 },
 "tradePlan": {
  "bias": "Bullish",
  "conservativeEntry": 285.96,
  "aggressiveEntry": 291.8,
  "stopLoss": 277.39,
  "stopLossPercent": 3,
  "targets": [
   300.26,
   314.56,
   328.86
  ]
 },
 "projections": {
  "basis": "Monte Carlo simulation on historical return distribution, re-run daily; not price targets",
  "years": [
   {
    "year": 2027,
    "downside10th": 244.43,
    "base": 324.9,
    "upside90th": 431.87
   },
   {
    "year": 2028,
    "downside10th": 241.89,
    "base": 361.76,
    "upside90th": 541.04
   },
   {
    "year": 2029,
    "downside10th": 246.04,
    "base": 402.81,
    "upside90th": 659.45
   },
   {
    "year": 2030,
    "downside10th": 253.84,
    "base": 448.5,
    "upside90th": 792.45
   },
   {
    "year": 2031,
    "downside10th": 264.27,
    "base": 499.39,
    "upside90th": 943.67
   },
   {
    "year": 2032,
    "downside10th": 276.91,
    "base": 556.04,
    "upside90th": 1116.53
   },
   {
    "year": 2033,
    "downside10th": 291.58,
    "base": 619.12,
    "upside90th": 1314.61
   },
   {
    "year": 2034,
    "downside10th": 308.21,
    "base": 689.36,
    "upside90th": 1541.87
   },
   {
    "year": 2035,
    "downside10th": 326.82,
    "base": 767.57,
    "upside90th": 1802.7
   },
   {
    "year": 2036,
    "downside10th": 347.48,
    "base": 854.65,
    "upside90th": 2102.09
   }
  ]
 },
 "faqCount": 7,
 "sources": [
  "TwelveData",
  "Wall Street consensus"
 ],
 "sections": [
  {
   "id": "price",
   "title": "QQQM Price Analysis"
  },
  {
   "id": "market-metrics",
   "title": "Market Metrics",
   "facts": {
    "Open": "$291.41",
    "Day Range": "$291.06 to $293.17",
    "Prev Close": "$294.97",
    "Volume": "2.30M",
    "52-Week Range": "$228.75 to $308.21"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "mi-fund-facts",
   "title": "QQQM Fund Facts",
   "text": [
    "Invesco NASDAQ 100 ETF is an exchange-traded fund that seeks to track the investment results of the NASDAQ-100 Index. The fund typically invests at least 90% of its total assets in the securities that make up the index, providing concentrated exposure to 100 of the largest domestic and international nonfinancial companies listed on Nasdaq. It is designed as a passive, physically replicated ETF, with quarterly rebalancing and annual reconstitution to keep its holdings aligned with the benchmark.",
    "Fund reference data as of Sep 11, 2026. Expense ratio and net assets are reported by the fund; returns are total returns and can differ from price change."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "",
     "columns": [
      "Period",
      "QQQM",
      "Category"
     ],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "YTD",
       "cells": [
        "17.02%",
        "2.85%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "1 month",
       "cells": [
        "4.23%",
        "12.27%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "3 months",
       "cells": [
        "-2.78%",
        "3.28%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "1 year",
       "cells": [
        "26.41%",
        "29.03%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "3 years",
       "cells": [
        "24.59%",
        "23.49%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "5 years",
       "cells": [
        "14.31%",
        "10.17%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "10 years",
       "cells": [
        "N/A",
        "15.87%"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "analysis",
   "title": "QQQM Analysis",
   "text": [
    "At $291.80, the Invesco NASDAQ 100 ETF (QQQM) is currently trading below its 20-day EMA of $294.09 and its 50-day SMA of $292.60, indicating short-term downward momentum. However, the price remains above the 200-day SMA of $271.54, suggesting that the longer-term trend is still intact. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 48.01, which falls into the neutral category, suggesting neither overbought nor oversold conditions. The Stochastic indicator at 27.48 also points to a lack of extreme momentum in either direction. The MACD is slightly positive at 0.29, hinting at a potential shift towards bullish momentum, though it is close to the zero line. The ETF is currently experiencing a neutral RSI status.",
    "The outlook for the Invesco NASDAQ 100 ETF (QQQM) remains cautiously optimistic, driven by its exposure to leading technology and growth companies. While recent price action shows a pullback below short-term moving averages, the ETF's position above the 200-day SMA suggests the long-term uptrend is likely to persist. The NASDAQ-100 Index, which QQQM tracks, continues to be a significant driver of market performance, benefiting from innovation and digital transformation trends. Over the next 6-12 months, a potential return to outperformance against its category is possible if technology leadership reasserts itself. Key factors to monitor include the overall macroeconomic environment, interest rate policies, and the earnings trajectory of the top constituent companies."
   ],
   "lists": {
    "ProTips": [
     "Consider QQQM for long-term growth exposure to the largest non-financial companies on the Nasdaq.",
     "Monitor sector rotation as technology's dominance can lead to increased volatility.",
     "The ETF's low expense ratio makes it an efficient vehicle for tracking the NASDAQ-100.",
     "Evaluate QQQM's performance relative to its category during periods of market uncertainty."
    ]
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "correlations",
   "title": "Market Correlations",
   "text": [
    "How this etf moves relative to other assets",
    "Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods."
   ],
   "facts": {
    "Correlation with S&P 500 (SPY)": "+0.95",
    "Correlation with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)": "+1.00",
    "Correlation with Bitcoin (BTC)": "+0.43",
    "Correlation with Gold (XAU)": "+0.16"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "key-statistics",
   "title": "Key Statistics",
   "text": [
    "The Invesco NASDAQ 100 ETF (QQQM) holds approximately 99.86% in stocks, providing broad exposure to the NASDAQ-100 Index. Its expense ratio is a competitive 0.15%, costing $15 per $10,000 invested annually. With net assets totaling over $104.38 billion, the fund is substantial and liquid. The sector concentration is high, with Technology comprising nearly 60% of the portfolio, followed by Communication Services and Consumer Cyclical sectors. This concentration aligns with the fund's objective of tracking the NASDAQ-100, which is heavily weighted towards large-cap growth companies. The underlying sector's health is largely driven by innovation and growth in technology, which has historically fueled strong performance for this index.",
    "Its performance is closely tied to the earnings trends of the large-cap growth companies within the NASDAQ-100 Index. Recent earnings reports from underlying holdings show mixed results. For instance, a report on July 20, 2026, indicated an EPS actual of $0.36 against an estimate of $0.34, a positive surprise of 5.88%, with the price reacting positively. Conversely, a prior report on November 7, 2025, showed an EPS actual of $1.67 versus an estimate of $1.77, a surprise of -5.65%. These fluctuations in constituent earnings can influence the ETF's short-term price movements.",
    "The primary risk for QQQM is its significant concentration in the Technology sector (59.15%), making it vulnerable to sector-specific downturns or regulatory changes impacting large tech firms. Additionally, its growth-oriented nature implies higher volatility compared to broader market indices. While the ETF has strong long-term performance, recent underperformance against its category in the 1-year and 3-month periods highlights potential short-term headwinds or sector rotation that could impact future returns."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "",
     "columns": [],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "Yield",
       "cells": [
        "0.4474%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Day High",
       "cells": [
        "$293.17"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Day Low",
       "cells": [
        "$291.06"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "52 Week High",
       "cells": [
        "308.21"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "52 Week Low",
       "cells": [
        "228.75"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "technical-indicators",
   "title": "Technical Indicators",
   "text": [
    "Technical Rating Neutral RSI Neutral SMA Cross Bullish Price vs SMA Bearish MACD Neutral Golden Cross in effect with the 50-day SMA ($292.60) above the 200-day SMA ($271.54), price is trading below the 50-day SMA."
   ],
   "facts": {
    "RSI": "Neutral",
    "SMA Cross": "Bullish",
    "Price vs SMA": "Bearish",
    "MACD": "Neutral"
   },
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "",
     "columns": [],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "RSI (14)",
       "cells": [
        "48.01"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "MACD",
       "cells": [
        "0.29"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "SMA 50",
       "cells": [
        "292.60"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "SMA 200",
       "cells": [
        "271.54"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "trade-plans",
   "title": "QQQM Trade Plans",
   "text": [
    "Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels",
    "Lower risk, wait for pullback",
    "Higher risk, immediate entry",
    "Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss Calculated based on RSI (48.0) and current market volatility",
    "Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3"
   ],
   "facts": {
    "TARGET 1": "$300.26",
    "TARGET 2": "$314.56",
    "TARGET 3": "$328.86",
    "STOP LOSS": "$277.39"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "seasonality",
   "title": "Seasonal Patterns",
   "text": [
    "Historical monthly performance trends",
    "Based on 3 years of historical monthly returns"
   ],
   "facts": {
    "Average Jan return": "+1.83%",
    "Average Feb return": "-1.75%",
    "Average Mar return": "+0.62%",
    "Average Apr return": "+0.30%",
    "Average May return": "+4.79%",
    "Average Jun return": "+2.20%",
    "Average Jul return": "+2.36%",
    "Average Aug return": "+1.16%",
    "Average Sep return": "-2.00%",
    "Average Oct return": "+0.39%",
    "Average Nov return": "+5.11%",
    "Average Dec return": "+0.08%"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "risk",
   "title": "Risk & Volatility",
   "facts": {
    "Daily Volatility": "1.03%"
   },
   "lists": {
    "Risk considerations": [
     "Monitor position sizing based on current volatility levels",
     "Consider stop-loss placement beyond recent price range",
     "Diversification helps mitigate single-stock risk exposure"
    ]
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "growth",
   "title": "Growth of $10,000",
   "text": [
    "A $10,000 investment in QQQM in October 2020 would be worth about $24,106 today, compared with about $21,644 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "monte-carlo",
   "title": "Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)",
   "text": [
    "CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in QQQM today could grow to about $29,289 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $72,039 and a bear case around $11,908. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "price-prediction",
   "title": "QQQM ETF Price Prediction: 2030",
   "text": [
    "CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $449 for QQQM by 2030 in the base case, from $292 today (1.5x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $254. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on QQQM's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.",
    "Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using QQQM's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "QQQM simulated price paths by year",
     "columns": [
      "Year",
      "Downside (10th pct)",
      "Base case",
      "Upside (90th pct)"
     ],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "2027",
       "cells": [
        "$244",
        "$325",
        "$432"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2028",
       "cells": [
        "$242",
        "$362",
        "$541"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2029",
       "cells": [
        "$246",
        "$403",
        "$659"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2030",
       "cells": [
        "$254",
        "$449",
        "$792"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2031",
       "cells": [
        "$264",
        "$499",
        "$944"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2032",
       "cells": [
        "$277",
        "$556",
        "$1,117"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2033",
       "cells": [
        "$292",
        "$619",
        "$1,315"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2034",
       "cells": [
        "$308",
        "$689",
        "$1,542"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2035",
       "cells": [
        "$327",
        "$768",
        "$1,803"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2036",
       "cells": [
        "$347",
        "$855",
        "$2,102"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "people-also-watch",
   "title": "People Also Watch",
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   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "related-comparisons",
   "title": "Compare QQQM",
   "links": [
    {
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     "url": "https://clearank.com/compare/vgt-vs-qqqm/"
    },
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  },
  {
   "id": "faq",
   "title": "Frequently Asked Questions"
  }
 ],
 "faq": [
  {
   "question": "What is the expense ratio for the Invesco NASDAQ 100 ETF (QQQM)?",
   "answer": "The Invesco NASDAQ 100 ETF (QQQM) has an expense ratio of 0.15%. This means that for every $10,000 invested, you would pay $15 annually in fees."
  },
  {
   "question": "What sectors does the Invesco NASDAQ 100 ETF (QQQM) hold?",
   "answer": "QQQM is heavily concentrated in Technology, making up 59.15% of its holdings. It also has significant exposure to Communication Services (12.7%) and Consumer Cyclical (11.11%) sectors, reflecting its focus on large-cap growth companies."
  },
  {
   "question": "What is the distribution yield for the Invesco NASDAQ 100 ETF (QQQM)?",
   "answer": "The Invesco NASDAQ 100 ETF (QQQM) has a distribution yield of 0.45% as of September 2026."
  },
  {
   "question": "How has the Invesco NASDAQ 100 ETF (QQQM) performed against its category?",
   "answer": "As of September 2026, QQQM has shown strong long-term performance, outperforming its category over 3, 5, and 10 years. However, it has recently underperformed its category over the 1-year (26.41% vs 29.03%) and 3-month (-2.78% vs 3.27%) periods."
  },
  {
   "question": "What is the price prediction for QQQM ETF in 2030?",
   "answer": "Based on Monte Carlo simulations, the projected price for QQQM in 2030 is $448.50 as a base case. The downside projection is $253.84, and the upside projection is $792.45. These are statistical simulation outcomes, not price targets or guarantees."
  },
  {
   "question": "What are the main risks associated with investing in QQQM?",
   "answer": "The primary risks include significant concentration in the Technology sector, which can lead to sector-specific downturns, and its growth-oriented nature, which implies higher volatility. Recent underperformance against its category also suggests potential short-term headwinds."
  },
  {
   "question": "How does the Invesco NASDAQ 100 ETF (QQQM) track the NASDAQ-100 Index?",
   "answer": "QQQM is designed as a passive, physically replicated ETF that typically invests at least 90% of its assets in the securities comprising the NASDAQ-100 Index. It undergoes quarterly rebalancing and annual reconstitution to maintain alignment with the benchmark."
  }
 ],
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   },
   {
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