{
 "@context": "https://clearank.com/llms.txt",
 "@type": "clearank:AssetAnalysis",
 "url": "https://clearank.com/etf/industrials-xli/",
 "dataUrl": "https://clearank.com/etf/industrials-xli/data.json",
 "title": "Industrials Select (XLI) ETF Forecast & Price Target (2026)",
 "description": "State Street Industrial Select Sector SPDR (XLI) ETF: 0.08% expense ratio. $31.9B net assets. Fund facts, AI rating, technicals and 2030 projection.",
 "headline": "State Street Industrial Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLI)",
 "published": "2026-06-12T09:14:31+00:00",
 "modified": "2026-09-27T08:36:37.764+00:00",
 "generated": "2026-09-27T15:06:45.997Z",
 "language": "en-US",
 "publisher": {
  "name": "CleaRank",
  "url": "https://clearank.com/"
 },
 "disclaimer": "Educational and informational only; not financial advice. AI-generated analysis reviewed by the CleaRank editorial team; prices delayed up to 15 minutes.",
 "asset": {
  "ticker": "XLI",
  "name": "State Street Industrial Select Sector SPDR ETF",
  "type": "ETF",
  "exchange": "NYSE",
  "currency": "USD",
  "sector": null,
  "industry": null,
  "country": "United States",
  "website": null
 },
 "quote": {
  "price": 170.43,
  "previousClose": 168.83,
  "change": 1.6,
  "changePercent": 0.95,
  "open": 169.53,
  "high": 171.029999,
  "low": 169.029999,
  "volume": 7292700,
  "averageVolume": 7922600,
  "marketCap": 23569350656,
  "fiftyTwoWeekHigh": 188.19,
  "fiftyTwoWeekLow": 147.14,
  "marketOpen": false,
  "asOf": "2026-09-27T08:36:37.000Z"
 },
 "statistics": {
  "pe": 27.670252,
  "eps": null,
  "dividendYield": 0.010678871549694251,
  "beta": null,
  "priceToSales": null,
  "priceToBook": null,
  "revenueTtm": 0,
  "grossMargin": null,
  "returnOnEquity": null
 },
 "technicals": {
  "rsi": 33.65,
  "macd": -2.55,
  "sma50": 177.91,
  "sma200": 172.03,
  "rsiSignal": "Bearish",
  "trend": "Bullish",
  "pricePosition": "Bearish",
  "macdSignal": "Bearish",
  "rating": "Bearish"
 },
 "analysis": {
  "rating": "Sell",
  "score": 35,
  "consensus": "Sell",
  "fairValue": null,
  "analystTarget": 156.8,
  "analystCount": null,
  "wallStreetConsensus": "",
  "generatedAt": "2026-09-27T08:36:37.000Z",
  "priceAtAnalysis": 170.42999,
  "volatility": {
   "daily": 0.78,
   "risk": "etf"
  }
 },
 "tradePlan": {
  "bias": "Bearish",
  "conservativeEntry": 173.84,
  "aggressiveEntry": 170.43,
  "stopLoss": 179.05,
  "stopLossPercent": 3,
  "targets": [
   165.15,
   156.45,
   147.76
  ]
 },
 "projections": {
  "basis": "Monte Carlo simulation on historical return distribution, re-run daily; not price targets",
  "years": [
   {
    "year": 2027,
    "downside10th": 143.91,
    "base": 186.27,
    "upside90th": 241.1
   },
   {
    "year": 2028,
    "downside10th": 141.34,
    "base": 203.58,
    "upside90th": 293.22
   },
   {
    "year": 2029,
    "downside10th": 142.31,
    "base": 222.49,
    "upside90th": 347.86
   },
   {
    "year": 2030,
    "downside10th": 145.14,
    "base": 243.17,
    "upside90th": 407.4
   },
   {
    "year": 2031,
    "downside10th": 149.26,
    "base": 265.76,
    "upside90th": 473.22
   },
   {
    "year": 2032,
    "downside10th": 154.39,
    "base": 290.46,
    "upside90th": 546.47
   },
   {
    "year": 2033,
    "downside10th": 160.4,
    "base": 317.45,
    "upside90th": 628.28
   },
   {
    "year": 2034,
    "downside10th": 167.23,
    "base": 346.95,
    "upside90th": 719.8
   },
   {
    "year": 2035,
    "downside10th": 174.86,
    "base": 379.19,
    "upside90th": 822.29
   },
   {
    "year": 2036,
    "downside10th": 183.27,
    "base": 414.43,
    "upside90th": 937.13
   }
  ]
 },
 "faqCount": 7,
 "sources": [
  "TwelveData",
  "Wall Street consensus"
 ],
 "sections": [
  {
   "id": "price",
   "title": "XLI Price Analysis"
  },
  {
   "id": "market-metrics",
   "title": "Market Metrics",
   "facts": {
    "Open": "$169.53",
    "Day Range": "$169.03 to $171.03",
    "Prev Close": "$168.83",
    "Volume": "7.29M",
    "52-Week Range": "$147.14 to $188.19",
    "Market Cap": "$23.57B"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "mi-fund-facts",
   "title": "XLI Fund Facts",
   "text": [
    "State Street Industrial Select Sector SPDR ETF is an exchange-traded fund that provides targeted exposure to the U.S. industrials sector. The fund seeks to track the performance of the S&P Industrial Select Sector Index, using a passive, index-based approach that concentrates on large-cap industrial companies from the S&P 500. Its portfolio spans industries such as aerospace and defense, machinery, transportation, electrical equipment, construction and engineering, and industrial services.",
    "Fund reference data as of Sep 27, 2026. Expense ratio and net assets are reported by the fund; returns are total returns and can differ from price change."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "",
     "columns": [
      "Period",
      "XLI",
      "Category"
     ],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "YTD",
       "cells": [
        "13.52%",
        "13.30%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "1 month",
       "cells": [
        "-2.56%",
        "9.31%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "3 months",
       "cells": [
        "1.39%",
        "5.10%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "1 year",
       "cells": [
        "16.70%",
        "45.64%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "3 years",
       "cells": [
        "19.10%",
        "21.72%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "5 years",
       "cells": [
        "12.56%",
        "11.25%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "10 years",
       "cells": [
        "13.50%",
        "13.58%"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "analysis",
   "title": "XLI Analysis",
   "text": [
    "XLI is currently trading below its 20-day, 50-day, and 200-day Simple Moving Averages, indicating a bearish trend. The 50-day SMA is at 177.91, and the 200-day SMA is at 172.03, both acting as resistance levels above the current price of 170.43. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 33.65, which is classified as bearish momentum. The MACD is also negative at -2.55, further confirming the bearish sentiment in the short to medium term.",
    "The outlook for XLI over the next 6-12 months appears cautious, given the current bearish technical setup and recent underperformance relative to its category. The ETF is trading below key moving averages, and the RSI indicates bearish momentum. For the thesis to improve, XLI would need to reclaim its 50-day and 200-day SMAs, ideally with increasing volume. A sustained move above 178 would signal a potential shift in trend. Conversely, failure to recover could lead to further declines, potentially testing lower support levels."
   ],
   "lists": {
    "ProTips": [
     "Monitor XLI's ability to reclaim its 50-day and 200-day moving averages for signs of trend reversal.",
     "Consider the broader economic indicators impacting the industrials sector, such as manufacturing output and infrastructure spending.",
     "Compare XLI's performance against its category and other industrial sector ETFs to identify relative strength or weakness."
    ]
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "correlations",
   "title": "Market Correlations",
   "text": [
    "How this etf moves relative to other assets",
    "Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods."
   ],
   "facts": {
    "Correlation with S&P 500 (SPY)": "+0.82",
    "Correlation with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)": "+0.73",
    "Correlation with Bitcoin (BTC)": "+0.11",
    "Correlation with Gold (XAU)": "+0.17"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "key-statistics",
   "title": "Key Statistics",
   "text": [
    "The State Street Industrial Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLI) is heavily concentrated in the Industrials sector, with 92.81% of its assets allocated to this segment, and a smaller 6.66% in Technology. This concentration means the fund's performance is closely tied to the health and trends within the industrial economy, which encompasses manufacturing, transportation, and infrastructure. The fund's expense ratio is a low 0.08%, costing approximately $8.00 per $10,000 invested annually. With net assets of $31.95 billion, XLI is a substantial vehicle for accessing this critical economic sector.",
    "Its underlying holdings are major players in the industrial sector. The sector's aggregate performance, reflected in the fund's trailing returns, shows a year-to-date gain of 13.52%. However, the 1-year return of 16.70% significantly underperformed the category's 45.64%, suggesting recent headwinds for industrial companies compared to broader market trends. The fund's dividend yield is 1.18%, providing a modest income stream to investors.",
    "The primary risk for XLI lies in its high concentration within the Industrials sector, making it susceptible to sector-specific downturns. Recent underperformance relative to its category over the past year highlights potential headwinds. Also, the current bearish technical indicators, including prices below key moving averages and a low RSI, suggest that the fund may face further downside pressure in the near term."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "",
     "columns": [],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "Net Assets (Market Cap)",
       "cells": [
        "23.57B"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Expense Ratio",
       "cells": [
        "0.0900%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Yield",
       "cells": [
        "1.11%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Day High",
       "cells": [
        "$171.03"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Day Low",
       "cells": [
        "$169.03"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "52 Week High",
       "cells": [
        "188.19"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "52 Week Low",
       "cells": [
        "147.14"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "technical-indicators",
   "title": "Technical Indicators",
   "text": [
    "Technical Rating Bearish RSI Bearish SMA Cross Bullish Price vs SMA Bearish MACD Bearish Golden Cross in effect with the 50-day SMA ($177.91) above the 200-day SMA ($172.03), price is trading below the 50-day SMA."
   ],
   "facts": {
    "RSI": "Bearish",
    "SMA Cross": "Bullish",
    "Price vs SMA": "Bearish",
    "MACD": "Bearish"
   },
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "",
     "columns": [],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "RSI (14)",
       "cells": [
        "33.65"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "MACD",
       "cells": [
        "-2.55"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "SMA 50",
       "cells": [
        "177.91"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "SMA 200",
       "cells": [
        "172.03"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "trade-plans",
   "title": "XLI Trade Plans",
   "text": [
    "Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels",
    "Lower risk, wait for rally",
    "Higher risk, chasing the move",
    "Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss Calculated based on RSI (33.7) and current market volatility",
    "Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3"
   ],
   "facts": {
    "TARGET 1": "$165.15",
    "TARGET 2": "$156.45",
    "TARGET 3": "$147.76",
    "STOP LOSS": "$179.05"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "seasonality",
   "title": "Seasonal Patterns",
   "text": [
    "Historical monthly performance trends",
    "Based on 3 years of historical monthly returns"
   ],
   "facts": {
    "Average Jan return": "+2.23%",
    "Average Feb return": "+0.94%",
    "Average Mar return": "-2.58%",
    "Average Apr return": "+1.52%",
    "Average May return": "+1.50%",
    "Average Jun return": "+1.34%",
    "Average Jul return": "+3.06%",
    "Average Aug return": "+1.07%",
    "Average Sep return": "-0.93%",
    "Average Oct return": "+0.23%",
    "Average Nov return": "+5.11%",
    "Average Dec return": "-0.61%"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "risk",
   "title": "Risk & Volatility",
   "facts": {
    "Daily Volatility": "0.78%"
   },
   "lists": {
    "Risk considerations": [
     "Monitor position sizing based on current volatility levels",
     "Consider stop-loss placement beyond recent price range",
     "Diversification helps mitigate single-stock risk exposure"
    ]
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "growth",
   "title": "Growth of $10,000",
   "text": [
    "A $10,000 investment in XLI in September 2016 would be worth about $29,450 today, compared with about $35,782 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "monte-carlo",
   "title": "Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)",
   "text": [
    "CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in XLI today could grow to about $24,317 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $54,986 and a bear case around $10,753. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "price-prediction",
   "title": "XLI ETF Price Prediction: 2030",
   "text": [
    "CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $243 for XLI by 2030 in the base case, from $170 today (1.4x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $145. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on XLI's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.",
    "Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using XLI's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "XLI simulated price paths by year",
     "columns": [
      "Year",
      "Downside (10th pct)",
      "Base case",
      "Upside (90th pct)"
     ],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "2027",
       "cells": [
        "$144",
        "$186",
        "$241"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2028",
       "cells": [
        "$141",
        "$204",
        "$293"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2029",
       "cells": [
        "$142",
        "$222",
        "$348"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2030",
       "cells": [
        "$145",
        "$243",
        "$407"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2031",
       "cells": [
        "$149",
        "$266",
        "$473"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2032",
       "cells": [
        "$154",
        "$290",
        "$546"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2033",
       "cells": [
        "$160",
        "$317",
        "$628"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2034",
       "cells": [
        "$167",
        "$347",
        "$720"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2035",
       "cells": [
        "$175",
        "$379",
        "$822"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2036",
       "cells": [
        "$183",
        "$414",
        "$937"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "people-also-watch",
   "title": "People Also Watch",
   "links": [
    {
     "text": "XLB State Street Materials Select Sector SPDR ETF NYSE $49.80 +0.24%",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/etf/materials-select-sector-xlb/"
    },
    {
     "text": "FDN First Trust Dow Jones Internet Index Fund NYSE $291.61 -0.32%",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/etf/first-trust-dj-internet-fdn/"
    },
    {
     "text": "DIA State Street SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF Trust NYSE $517.49 +0.94%",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/etf/spdr-dow-jones-dia/"
    },
    {
     "text": "SPY State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust NYSE $771.35 +0.54%",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/etf/spy-spdr-sp-500/"
    },
    {
     "text": "SLV iShares Silver Trust NYSE $58.14 +0.90%",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/etf/ishares-silver-slv/"
    },
    {
     "text": "HACK Amplify Cybersecurity ETF NYSE $118.35 -3.13%",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/etf/hack-cybersecurity-etf/"
    },
    {
     "text": "SGOL abrdn Physical Gold Shares ETF NYSE $40.83 +0.39%",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/etf/abrdn-physical-gold-sgol/"
    },
    {
     "text": "XOP State Street SPDR S&P Oil & Gas Exploration & Production ETF NYSE $181.50 -1.39%",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/etf/oil-gas-exploration-xop/"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "related-comparisons",
   "title": "Popular Comparisons",
   "links": [
    {
     "text": "NEM vs AEM Comparison Head-to-head analysis →",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/compare/nem-vs-aem/"
    },
    {
     "text": "AMAT vs LRCX Comparison Head-to-head analysis →",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/compare/amat-vs-lrcx/"
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    {
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     "url": "https://clearank.com/compare/vgt-vs-voo/"
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   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "faq",
   "title": "Frequently Asked Questions"
  }
 ],
 "faq": [
  {
   "question": "What is the price prediction for XLI ETF in 2030?",
   "answer": "Based on Monte Carlo simulations, the statistical base case price projection for XLI in 2030 is $243.17. The downside projection is $145.14, and the upside projection is $407.4. These figures represent simulation outcomes, not guaranteed price targets."
  },
  {
   "question": "What is the expense ratio for the State Street Industrial Select Sector SPDR ETF?",
   "answer": "The State Street Industrial Select Sector SPDR ETF has a low expense ratio of 0.08%, which translates to an annual cost of $8.00 for every $10,000 invested."
  },
  {
   "question": "What sectors does the XLI ETF primarily hold?",
   "answer": "The XLI ETF is heavily concentrated in the Industrials sector, making up 92.81% of its holdings. A smaller portion, 6.66%, is allocated to the Technology sector."
  },
  {
   "question": "How has XLI performed against its category over different periods?",
   "answer": "In the past year, XLI returned 16.70% compared to its category's 45.64%. Over 3 years, the fund returned 19.10% versus the category's 21.72%. However, over 5 and 10 years, XLI has performed slightly better than its category, with returns of 12.56% and 13.50% respectively, compared to the category's 11.25% and 13.58%."
  },
  {
   "question": "What is the current dividend yield for XLI?",
   "answer": "The State Street Industrial Select Sector SPDR ETF currently offers a dividend yield of 1.18%."
  },
  {
   "question": "What are the key technical levels for XLI?",
   "answer": "XLI is currently trading below its 50-day SMA of 177.91 and its 200-day SMA of 172.03, both of which are now acting as resistance. The RSI is at 33.65, indicating bearish momentum."
  },
  {
   "question": "What is the overall health score of the XLI ETF?",
   "answer": "The XLI ETF has a health score of 4, suggesting a generally stable fund, despite current bearish technical indicators."
  }
 ],
 "related": {
  "peopleAlsoWatch": [
   {
    "ticker": "XLB",
    "name": "State Street Materials Select Sector SPDR ETF NYSE",
    "price": "$49.80",
    "change": "+0.24%",
    "url": "https://clearank.com/etf/materials-select-sector-xlb/"
   },
   {
    "ticker": "FDN",
    "name": "First Trust Dow Jones Internet Index Fund NYSE",
    "price": "$291.61",
    "change": "-0.32%",
    "url": "https://clearank.com/etf/first-trust-dj-internet-fdn/"
   },
   {
    "ticker": "DIA",
    "name": "State Street SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF Trust NYSE",
    "price": "$517.49",
    "change": "+0.94%",
    "url": "https://clearank.com/etf/spdr-dow-jones-dia/"
   },
   {
    "ticker": "SPY",
    "name": "State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust NYSE",
    "price": "$771.35",
    "change": "+0.54%",
    "url": "https://clearank.com/etf/spy-spdr-sp-500/"
   },
   {
    "ticker": "SLV",
    "name": "iShares Silver Trust NYSE",
    "price": "$58.14",
    "change": "+0.90%",
    "url": "https://clearank.com/etf/ishares-silver-slv/"
   },
   {
    "ticker": "HACK",
    "name": "Amplify Cybersecurity ETF NYSE",
    "price": "$118.35",
    "change": "-3.13%",
    "url": "https://clearank.com/etf/hack-cybersecurity-etf/"
   },
   {
    "ticker": "SGOL",
    "name": "abrdn Physical Gold Shares ETF NYSE",
    "price": "$40.83",
    "change": "+0.39%",
    "url": "https://clearank.com/etf/abrdn-physical-gold-sgol/"
   },
   {
    "ticker": "XOP",
    "name": "State Street SPDR S&P Oil & Gas Exploration & Production ETF NYSE",
    "price": "$181.50",
    "change": "-1.39%",
    "url": "https://clearank.com/etf/oil-gas-exploration-xop/"
   }
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    "ticker": "AMAT vs LRCX Comparison",
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    "url": "https://clearank.com/compare/amat-vs-lrcx/"
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   {
    "ticker": "VGT vs VOO Comparison",
    "name": "",
    "url": "https://clearank.com/compare/vgt-vs-voo/"
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    "text": "iShares Gold Trust Micro",
    "url": "https://clearank.com/etf/iaum-etf-analysis/"
   },
   {
    "ticker": "SLVR",
    "text": "Sprott Silver Miners & Physical Silver ETF",
    "url": "https://clearank.com/etf/slvr-etf-analysis/"
   },
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    "ticker": "NTES",
    "text": "NetEase, Inc.",
    "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/ntes-stock-analysis/"
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    "ticker": "PCAR",
    "text": "PACCAR Inc.",
    "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/pcar-stock-analysis/"
   },
   {
    "ticker": "O",
    "text": "Realty Income Corp.",
    "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/o-stock-analysis/"
   }
  ],
  "Top Movers (24h)": [
   {
    "ticker": "ZS",
    "text": "↓ 10.06%",
    "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/zscaler-zs/"
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    "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/be-stock-analysis/"
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    "url": "https://clearank.com/crypto/eigen-usd-crypto-analysis/"
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    "url": "https://clearank.com/etf/ppa-etf-analysis/"
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    "ticker": "XAR",
    "text": "SPDR S&P Aerospace & Defense",
    "url": "https://clearank.com/etf/spdr-sp-aerospace-defense-xar/"
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