{
 "@context": "https://clearank.com/llms.txt",
 "@type": "clearank:AssetAnalysis",
 "url": "https://clearank.com/etf/fxi-etf-analysis/",
 "dataUrl": "https://clearank.com/etf/fxi-etf-analysis/data.json",
 "title": "iShares China Large-Cap (FXI) ETF Forecast (2026)",
 "description": "iShares China Large-Cap (FXI) ETF: 0.73% expense ratio. $4.2B net assets. Greater China Region. Fund facts, AI rating, technicals and 2030 projection.",
 "headline": "iShares China Large-Cap ETF (FXI)",
 "published": "2026-07-19T09:57:32+00:00",
 "modified": "2026-09-27T08:31:15.517+00:00",
 "generated": "2026-09-27T13:33:26.113Z",
 "language": "en-US",
 "publisher": {
  "name": "CleaRank",
  "url": "https://clearank.com/"
 },
 "disclaimer": "Educational and informational only; not financial advice. AI-generated analysis reviewed by the CleaRank editorial team; prices delayed up to 15 minutes.",
 "asset": {
  "ticker": "FXI",
  "name": "iShares China Large-Cap ETF",
  "type": "ETF",
  "exchange": "NYSE",
  "currency": "USD",
  "sector": null,
  "industry": null,
  "country": "United States",
  "website": null
 },
 "quote": {
  "price": 33.96,
  "previousClose": 34.24,
  "change": -0.28,
  "changePercent": -0.82,
  "open": 34,
  "high": 34.060001,
  "low": 33.9,
  "volume": 13394200,
  "averageVolume": 17180810,
  "marketCap": 4691915264,
  "fiftyTwoWeekHigh": 42,
  "fiftyTwoWeekLow": 31.19,
  "marketOpen": false,
  "asOf": "2026-09-27T08:31:15.000Z"
 },
 "statistics": {
  "pe": 8.996773,
  "eps": null,
  "dividendYield": 0.015484250253115318,
  "beta": null,
  "priceToSales": null,
  "priceToBook": null,
  "revenueTtm": 0,
  "grossMargin": null,
  "returnOnEquity": null
 },
 "technicals": {
  "rsi": 31.03,
  "macd": -0.26,
  "sma50": 35.2,
  "sma200": 36.37,
  "rsiSignal": "Bearish",
  "trend": "Bearish",
  "pricePosition": "Bearish",
  "macdSignal": "Bearish",
  "rating": "Bearish"
 },
 "analysis": {
  "rating": "Sell",
  "score": 25,
  "consensus": "Sell",
  "fairValue": null,
  "analystTarget": 31.24,
  "analystCount": null,
  "wallStreetConsensus": "",
  "generatedAt": "2026-09-27T08:31:15.000Z",
  "priceAtAnalysis": 33.96,
  "volatility": {
   "daily": 1.01,
   "risk": "etf"
  }
 },
 "tradePlan": {
  "bias": "Bearish",
  "conservativeEntry": 34.64,
  "aggressiveEntry": 33.96,
  "stopLoss": 35.68,
  "stopLossPercent": 3,
  "targets": [
   32.91,
   31.18,
   29.44
  ]
 },
 "projections": {
  "basis": "Monte Carlo simulation on historical return distribution, re-run daily; not price targets",
  "years": [
   {
    "year": 2027,
    "downside10th": 24.47,
    "base": 34.81,
    "upside90th": 49.53
   },
   {
    "year": 2028,
    "downside10th": 21.68,
    "base": 35.69,
    "upside90th": 58.76
   },
   {
    "year": 2029,
    "downside10th": 19.86,
    "base": 36.59,
    "upside90th": 67.38
   },
   {
    "year": 2030,
    "downside10th": 18.53,
    "base": 37.51,
    "upside90th": 75.92
   },
   {
    "year": 2031,
    "downside10th": 17.48,
    "base": 38.45,
    "upside90th": 84.59
   },
   {
    "year": 2032,
    "downside10th": 16.62,
    "base": 39.42,
    "upside90th": 93.49
   },
   {
    "year": 2033,
    "downside10th": 15.9,
    "base": 40.41,
    "upside90th": 102.71
   },
   {
    "year": 2034,
    "downside10th": 15.28,
    "base": 41.42,
    "upside90th": 112.3
   },
   {
    "year": 2035,
    "downside10th": 14.74,
    "base": 42.46,
    "upside90th": 122.3
   },
   {
    "year": 2036,
    "downside10th": 14.27,
    "base": 43.53,
    "upside90th": 132.76
   }
  ]
 },
 "faqCount": 7,
 "sources": [
  "TwelveData",
  "Wall Street consensus"
 ],
 "sections": [
  {
   "id": "price",
   "title": "FXI Price Analysis"
  },
  {
   "id": "market-metrics",
   "title": "Market Metrics",
   "facts": {
    "Open": "$34.00",
    "Day Range": "$33.90 to $34.06",
    "Prev Close": "$34.24",
    "Volume": "13.39M",
    "52-Week Range": "$31.19 to $42.00",
    "Market Cap": "$4.69B"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "mi-fund-facts",
   "title": "FXI Fund Facts",
   "text": [
    "iShares China Large-Cap ETF is an exchange-traded fund that provides focused exposure to large-cap Chinese companies, primarily through equities listed on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange. The fund is designed to track the FTSE China 50 Index, giving investors a concentrated basket of major China-linked businesses across sectors such as financials, internet services, consumer discretionary, energy, and telecommunications.",
    "Fund reference data as of Sep 27, 2026. Expense ratio and net assets are reported by the fund; returns are total returns and can differ from price change."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "",
     "columns": [
      "Period",
      "FXI",
      "Category"
     ],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "YTD",
       "cells": [
        "-7.08%",
        "5.69%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "1 month",
       "cells": [
        "-2.60%",
        "8.72%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "3 months",
       "cells": [
        "1.50%",
        "-0.02%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "1 year",
       "cells": [
        "-7.11%",
        "33.63%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "3 years",
       "cells": [
        "11.77%",
        "10.68%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "5 years",
       "cells": [
        "-0.52%",
        "-2.35%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "10 years",
       "cells": [
        "1.97%",
        "6.41%"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "analysis",
   "title": "FXI Analysis",
   "text": [
    "At $33.96, FXI is trading below its 20-day exponential moving average of $34.68, its 50-day simple moving average of $35.20, and its 200-day simple moving average of $36.37, indicating a bearish trend. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 31.03, which is interpreted as bearish momentum. The Stochastic Oscillator is also low at 9.52, suggesting oversold conditions within the current downtrend. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) is at -0.26, further supporting the bearish sentiment.",
    "The outlook for FXI is bearish in the short to medium term, given its current technical positioning. The ETF is trading below key moving averages with weak momentum indicators. Any potential recovery would likely depend on a significant shift in the macroeconomic environment for China and improved investor sentiment towards emerging markets. A move above the 50-day SMA would be the first sign of a potential trend reversal. Over the next 6-12 months, FXI's performance will be heavily influenced by Chinese economic policy, global trade relations, and the performance of its top financial and consumer cyclical holdings. Without a clear catalyst for improvement in these areas, the ETF is likely to remain under pressure."
   ],
   "lists": {
    "ProTips": [
     "Monitor Chinese economic data and regulatory news closely, as these will significantly impact FXI.",
     "Consider the high concentration in Financial Services as a key risk factor.",
     "Compare FXI's performance against broader emerging market ETFs to assess relative strength."
    ]
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "correlations",
   "title": "Market Correlations",
   "text": [
    "How this etf moves relative to other assets",
    "Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods."
   ],
   "facts": {
    "Correlation with S&P 500 (SPY)": "+0.39",
    "Correlation with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)": "+0.37",
    "Correlation with Bitcoin (BTC)": "+0.31",
    "Correlation with Gold (XAU)": "+0.29"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "key-statistics",
   "title": "Key Statistics",
   "text": [
    "FXI's underlying holdings are heavily concentrated in Financial Services, representing 36.11% of the fund, followed by Consumer Cyclical at 26.46%. Communication Services and Technology also form significant portions of the portfolio. The fund's overview indicates it is designed to track the FTSE China 50 Index, providing exposure to major Chinese businesses. The net assets stand at $4.23 billion, with an expense ratio of 0.73%, costing investors $73.00 per $10,000 invested annually. The fund's asset allocation is nearly entirely in stocks (99.83%).",
    "However, the performance of its top holdings, heavily weighted in China's financial and consumer cyclical sectors, dictates the fund's trajectory. Aggregate earnings trends within these sectors in China will directly influence FXI's returns. Given the bearish technicals, it suggests that the market's expectation for future earnings from these Chinese large-cap companies may be subdued.",
    "The primary risk for FXI is its significant concentration in the Chinese market, making it susceptible to geopolitical tensions and regulatory changes specific to China. The heavy weighting in Financial Services (36.11%) also poses a concentration risk, as any downturn in this sector would disproportionately impact the ETF. Also, the current bearish technical trend indicates potential for further downside if market sentiment does not improve."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "",
     "columns": [],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "Net Assets (Market Cap)",
       "cells": [
        "4.69B"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Yield",
       "cells": [
        "2.00%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Day High",
       "cells": [
        "$34.06"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Day Low",
       "cells": [
        "$33.90"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "52 Week High",
       "cells": [
        "42.00"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "52 Week Low",
       "cells": [
        "31.19"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "technical-indicators",
   "title": "Technical Indicators",
   "text": [
    "Technical Rating Bearish RSI Bearish SMA Cross Bearish Price vs SMA Bearish MACD Bearish Moving averages show a lagging Death Cross (50-day: $35.20, 200-day: $36.37), price is trading below the 50-day SMA."
   ],
   "facts": {
    "RSI": "Bearish",
    "SMA Cross": "Bearish",
    "Price vs SMA": "Bearish",
    "MACD": "Bearish"
   },
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "",
     "columns": [],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "RSI (14)",
       "cells": [
        "31.03"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "MACD",
       "cells": [
        "-0.26"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "SMA 50",
       "cells": [
        "35.20"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "SMA 200",
       "cells": [
        "36.37"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "trade-plans",
   "title": "FXI Trade Plans",
   "text": [
    "Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels",
    "Lower risk, wait for rally",
    "Higher risk, chasing the move",
    "Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss Calculated based on RSI (31.0) and current market volatility",
    "Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3"
   ],
   "facts": {
    "TARGET 1": "$32.91",
    "TARGET 2": "$31.18",
    "TARGET 3": "$29.44",
    "STOP LOSS": "$35.68"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "seasonality",
   "title": "Seasonal Patterns",
   "text": [
    "Historical monthly performance trends",
    "Based on 3 years of historical monthly returns"
   ],
   "facts": {
    "Average Jan return": "+3.32%",
    "Average Feb return": "-1.39%",
    "Average Mar return": "-2.11%",
    "Average Apr return": "-0.32%",
    "Average May return": "-0.29%",
    "Average Jun return": "-0.80%",
    "Average Jul return": "+0.89%",
    "Average Aug return": "+0.42%",
    "Average Sep return": "+0.03%",
    "Average Oct return": "-2.71%",
    "Average Nov return": "+2.14%",
    "Average Dec return": "-1.95%"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "risk",
   "title": "Risk & Volatility",
   "facts": {
    "Daily Volatility": "1.01%"
   },
   "lists": {
    "Risk considerations": [
     "Monitor position sizing based on current volatility levels",
     "Consider stop-loss placement beyond recent price range",
     "Diversification helps mitigate single-stock risk exposure"
    ]
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "growth",
   "title": "Growth of $10,000",
   "text": [
    "A $10,000 investment in FXI in September 2016 would be worth about $8,937 today, compared with about $35,782 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "monte-carlo",
   "title": "Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)",
   "text": [
    "CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in FXI today could grow to about $12,819 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $39,093 and a bear case around $4,203. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "price-prediction",
   "title": "FXI ETF Price Prediction: 2030",
   "text": [
    "CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $37.51 for FXI by 2030 in the base case, from $33.96 today (1.1x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $18.53. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on FXI's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.",
    "Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using FXI's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "FXI simulated price paths by year",
     "columns": [
      "Year",
      "Downside (10th pct)",
      "Base case",
      "Upside (90th pct)"
     ],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "2027",
       "cells": [
        "$24.47",
        "$34.81",
        "$49.53"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2028",
       "cells": [
        "$21.68",
        "$35.69",
        "$58.76"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2029",
       "cells": [
        "$19.86",
        "$36.59",
        "$67.38"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2030",
       "cells": [
        "$18.53",
        "$37.51",
        "$75.92"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2031",
       "cells": [
        "$17.48",
        "$38.45",
        "$84.59"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2032",
       "cells": [
        "$16.62",
        "$39.42",
        "$93.49"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2033",
       "cells": [
        "$15.90",
        "$40.41",
        "$103"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2034",
       "cells": [
        "$15.28",
        "$41.42",
        "$112"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2035",
       "cells": [
        "$14.74",
        "$42.46",
        "$122"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2036",
       "cells": [
        "$14.27",
        "$43.53",
        "$133"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "people-also-watch",
   "title": "People Also Watch",
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  {
   "id": "faq",
   "title": "Frequently Asked Questions"
  }
 ],
 "faq": [
  {
   "question": "What is the expense ratio for the iShares China Large-Cap ETF (FXI)?",
   "answer": "The iShares China Large-Cap ETF has an expense ratio of 0.73%. This translates to an annual cost of $73.00 for every $10,000 invested in the fund."
  },
  {
   "question": "What sectors does the iShares China Large-Cap ETF (FXI) concentrate its holdings in?",
   "answer": "FXI is primarily concentrated in Financial Services, making up 36.11% of its holdings. Consumer Cyclical stocks represent another significant portion at 26.46%, followed by Communication Services at 15.56%."
  },
  {
   "question": "How has the iShares China Large-Cap ETF (FXI) performed against its category over various periods?",
   "answer": "In the year-to-date, FXI returned -7.08% compared to its category's 5.69%. Over 1 year, FXI returned -7.11% while its category returned 33.63%. Over 3 years, FXI returned 11.77% versus the category's 10.68%, and over 5 years, FXI returned -0.52% compared to the category's -2.35%."
  },
  {
   "question": "What are the key technical levels for FXI?",
   "answer": "FXI is currently trading below its 20-day EMA ($34.68), 50-day SMA ($35.20), and 200-day SMA ($36.37). Its RSI at 31.0, indicating bearish momentum."
  },
  {
   "question": "What is the current dividend yield for FXI?",
   "answer": "The iShares China Large-Cap ETF currently has a dividend yield of approximately 1.92%."
  },
  {
   "question": "What is the price prediction for FXI ETF in 2030?",
   "answer": "Based on Monte Carlo simulations, the base case price projection for FXI in 2030 is $37.51. The downside projection is $18.53, and the upside projection is $75.92. These figures represent statistical simulation outcomes, not price targets or guarantees."
  },
  {
   "question": "What is the fund family and type for FXI?",
   "answer": "FXI is part of the iShares fund family and is classified as a Greater China Region ETF."
  }
 ],
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   {
    "ticker": "BE",
    "text": "↑ 8.27%",
    "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/be-stock-analysis/"
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   {
    "ticker": "EIGEN/USD",
    "text": "↑ 8.20%",
    "url": "https://clearank.com/crypto/eigen-usd-crypto-analysis/"
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   {
    "ticker": "TWLO",
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    "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/twlo-stock-analysis/"
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    "text": "↑ 7.65%",
    "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/credo-crdo/"
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   {
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    "text": "KraneShares CSI China Internet",
    "url": "https://clearank.com/etf/kraneshares-china-internet-kweb/"
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