{
 "@context": "https://clearank.com/llms.txt",
 "@type": "clearank:AssetAnalysis",
 "url": "https://clearank.com/etf/fdvv-etf-analysis/",
 "dataUrl": "https://clearank.com/etf/fdvv-etf-analysis/data.json",
 "title": "Fidelity High Dividend ETF (FDVV) ETF Forecast (2026)",
 "description": "Is the Fidelity High Dividend ETF (FDVV) a Buy today? Get the AI outlook, live yield, top holdings and key price levels. Updated daily.",
 "headline": "Fidelity High Dividend ETF (FDVV)",
 "published": "2026-08-31T09:18:59+00:00",
 "modified": "2026-09-11T13:52:32.896+00:00",
 "generated": "2026-09-11T21:00:36.675Z",
 "language": "en-US",
 "publisher": {
  "name": "CleaRank",
  "url": "https://clearank.com/"
 },
 "disclaimer": "Educational and informational only; not financial advice. AI-generated analysis reviewed by the CleaRank editorial team; prices delayed up to 15 minutes.",
 "asset": {
  "ticker": "FDVV",
  "name": "Fidelity High Dividend ETF",
  "type": "ETF",
  "exchange": "NYSE",
  "currency": "USD",
  "sector": null,
  "industry": null,
  "country": "United States",
  "website": null
 },
 "quote": {
  "price": 63.16,
  "previousClose": 62.44,
  "change": 0.72,
  "changePercent": 1.15,
  "open": 62.985,
  "high": 63.285,
  "low": 62.985,
  "volume": 17363,
  "averageVolume": 646826,
  "marketCap": 0,
  "fiftyTwoWeekHigh": 64.535,
  "fiftyTwoWeekLow": 53.77,
  "marketOpen": false,
  "asOf": "2026-09-11T13:52:31.000Z"
 },
 "statistics": {
  "pe": 18.621044,
  "eps": null,
  "dividendYield": 0.03287671232876712,
  "beta": null,
  "priceToSales": null,
  "priceToBook": null,
  "revenueTtm": 0,
  "grossMargin": null,
  "returnOnEquity": null
 },
 "technicals": {
  "rsi": 50.33,
  "macd": -0.02,
  "sma50": 62.88,
  "sma200": 59.39,
  "rsiSignal": "Neutral",
  "trend": "Bullish",
  "pricePosition": "Bullish",
  "macdSignal": "Neutral",
  "rating": "Bullish"
 },
 "analysis": {
  "rating": "Buy",
  "score": 78,
  "consensus": "Buy",
  "fairValue": null,
  "analystTarget": 68.21,
  "analystCount": null,
  "wallStreetConsensus": "",
  "generatedAt": "2026-09-11T13:52:31.000Z",
  "priceAtAnalysis": 63.16,
  "volatility": {
   "daily": 0.64,
   "risk": "etf"
  }
 },
 "tradePlan": {
  "bias": "Bullish",
  "conservativeEntry": 61.9,
  "aggressiveEntry": 63.16,
  "stopLoss": 60.04,
  "stopLossPercent": 3,
  "targets": [
   64.99,
   68.09,
   71.18
  ]
 },
 "projections": {
  "basis": "Monte Carlo simulation on historical return distribution, re-run daily; not price targets",
  "years": [
   {
    "year": 2027,
    "downside10th": 54.97,
    "base": 68.45,
    "upside90th": 85.24
   },
   {
    "year": 2028,
    "downside10th": 54.4,
    "base": 74.19,
    "upside90th": 101.17
   },
   {
    "year": 2029,
    "downside10th": 54.99,
    "base": 80.4,
    "upside90th": 117.57
   },
   {
    "year": 2030,
    "downside10th": 56.19,
    "base": 87.14,
    "upside90th": 135.13
   },
   {
    "year": 2031,
    "downside10th": 57.83,
    "base": 94.44,
    "upside90th": 154.24
   },
   {
    "year": 2032,
    "downside10th": 59.81,
    "base": 102.36,
    "upside90th": 175.17
   },
   {
    "year": 2033,
    "downside10th": 62.09,
    "base": 110.93,
    "upside90th": 198.2
   },
   {
    "year": 2034,
    "downside10th": 64.65,
    "base": 120.23,
    "upside90th": 223.59
   },
   {
    "year": 2035,
    "downside10th": 67.48,
    "base": 130.3,
    "upside90th": 251.62
   },
   {
    "year": 2036,
    "downside10th": 70.57,
    "base": 141.22,
    "upside90th": 282.59
   }
  ]
 },
 "faqCount": 7,
 "sources": [
  "TwelveData",
  "Wall Street consensus"
 ],
 "sections": [
  {
   "id": "price",
   "title": "FDVV Price Analysis"
  },
  {
   "id": "market-metrics",
   "title": "Market Metrics",
   "facts": {
    "Open": "$62.99",
    "Day Range": "$62.99 to $63.29",
    "Prev Close": "$62.44",
    "Volume": "17.4K",
    "52-Week Range": "$53.77 to $64.54"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "mi-fund-facts",
   "title": "FDVV Fund Facts",
   "text": [
    "Fidelity High Dividend ETF is an exchange-traded fund that seeks to provide investment results that correspond, before fees and expenses, to the performance of the Fidelity High Dividend Index. It focuses on large- and mid-cap U.S. companies with positive dividend characteristics, emphasizing businesses that are expected to continue paying and growing dividends. The fund typically invests most of its assets in index constituents and related depository receipts, using a rules-based approach designed to capture dividend-oriented equity exposure.",
    "Fund reference data as of Sep 11, 2026. Expense ratio and net assets are reported by the fund; returns are total returns and can differ from price change."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "",
     "columns": [
      "Period",
      "FDVV",
      "Category"
     ],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "YTD",
       "cells": [
        "12.57%",
        "7.82%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "1 month",
       "cells": [
        "0.35%",
        "6.23%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "3 months",
       "cells": [
        "2.65%",
        "3.90%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "1 year",
       "cells": [
        "17.20%",
        "26.16%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "3 years",
       "cells": [
        "19.27%",
        "15.87%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "5 years",
       "cells": [
        "13.92%",
        "10.13%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "10 years",
       "cells": [
        "N/A",
        "11.26%"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "analysis",
   "title": "FDVV Analysis",
   "text": [
    "At 63.16, FDVV trades above its 20-day, 50-day, and 200-day simple moving averages, indicating a generally positive trend. The 50-day SMA is at 62.88, and the 200-day SMA is at 59.39. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 50.33, suggesting neutral momentum. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) is slightly negative at -0.02, indicating a lack of strong directional conviction. Stochastic levels are at 55.26, also pointing towards a neutral stance. The ETF's recent trading volume is significantly below its average, which may suggest lower investor interest currently.",
    "The outlook for FDVV is cautiously optimistic, driven by its focus on dividend-paying stocks within the large-value segment and its neutral technical positioning. The fund's strategy of investing in companies with positive dividend characteristics, particularly within the Technology and Financial Services sectors, positions it to benefit from steady income generation. While the 1-year trailing return lagged the category, the 3-year and 5-year returns show stronger performance, suggesting resilience over longer periods. The ETF's ability to maintain its dividend payouts amidst varying market conditions will be key to its future performance."
   ],
   "lists": {
    "ProTips": [
     "Consider FDVV as a core holding for income generation within a diversified portfolio.",
     "Monitor sector concentration, especially in Technology, for potential volatility.",
     "Compare FDVV's performance against its category and benchmark regularly, particularly over longer time horizons."
    ]
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "correlations",
   "title": "Market Correlations",
   "text": [
    "How this etf moves relative to other assets",
    "Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods."
   ],
   "facts": {
    "Correlation with S&P 500 (SPY)": "+0.90",
    "Correlation with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)": "+0.76",
    "Correlation with Bitcoin (BTC)": "+0.20",
    "Correlation with Gold (XAU)": "+0.18"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "key-statistics",
   "title": "Key Statistics",
   "text": [
    "Fidelity High Dividend ETF, managed by Fidelity Investments, has net assets of $10.38 billion and an expense ratio of 0.15%. The fund's sector allocation shows a notable concentration in Technology at 29.78%, followed by Financial Services at 19.34% and Consumer Cyclical at 12.22%. This concentration in technology, while high, is balanced by significant exposure to financial services, reflecting a strategy that seeks dividend-paying companies across different economic segments. The fund's asset allocation is heavily weighted towards stocks (99.76%) with a minimal cash position (0.74%).",
    "Its underlying holdings reflect recent positive earnings surprises. The latest reported earnings on June 17, 2026, showed an EPS actual of 3.16 against an estimate of 3.12, a 1.28% surprise, with a subsequent price change of -0.43%. Earlier in the year, on January 26, 2026, there was a larger EPS surprise of 10.32% (1.39 actual vs. 1.26 estimate), followed by a price increase of 0.94%. These results suggest that the companies within the Fidelity High Dividend Index are generally meeting or exceeding earnings expectations.",
    "The primary risk for FDVV lies in its sector concentration, particularly the significant weighting in Technology (29.78%), which can lead to higher volatility if this sector experiences a downturn. Additionally, while the fund focuses on dividends, its 1-year trailing return of 17.20% lagged its category's 26.15%, indicating potential underperformance relative to peers in certain market conditions. The ETF's dividend yield of 2.74% is a key attraction, but a sharp rise in interest rates could make dividend stocks less attractive compared to fixed income alternatives."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "",
     "columns": [],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "Yield",
       "cells": [
        "2.74%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Day High",
       "cells": [
        "$63.29"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Day Low",
       "cells": [
        "$62.99"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "52 Week High",
       "cells": [
        "64.54"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "52 Week Low",
       "cells": [
        "53.77"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "technical-indicators",
   "title": "Technical Indicators",
   "text": [
    "Technical Rating Bullish RSI Neutral SMA Cross Bullish Price vs SMA Bullish MACD Neutral Golden Cross in effect with the 50-day SMA ($62.88) above the 200-day SMA ($59.39), price action is firmly bullish above key moving averages."
   ],
   "facts": {
    "RSI": "Neutral",
    "SMA Cross": "Bullish",
    "Price vs SMA": "Bullish",
    "MACD": "Neutral"
   },
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "",
     "columns": [],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "RSI (14)",
       "cells": [
        "50.33"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "MACD",
       "cells": [
        "-0.02"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "SMA 50",
       "cells": [
        "62.88"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "SMA 200",
       "cells": [
        "59.39"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "trade-plans",
   "title": "FDVV Trade Plans",
   "text": [
    "Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels",
    "Lower risk, wait for pullback",
    "Higher risk, immediate entry",
    "Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss Calculated based on RSI (50.3) and current market volatility",
    "Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3"
   ],
   "facts": {
    "TARGET 1": "$64.99",
    "TARGET 2": "$68.09",
    "TARGET 3": "$71.18",
    "STOP LOSS": "$60.04"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "risk",
   "title": "Risk & Volatility",
   "facts": {
    "Daily Volatility": "0.6448%"
   },
   "lists": {
    "Risk considerations": [
     "Monitor position sizing based on current volatility levels",
     "Consider stop-loss placement beyond recent price range",
     "Diversification helps mitigate single-stock risk exposure"
    ]
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "growth",
   "title": "Growth of $10,000",
   "text": [
    "A $10,000 investment in FDVV in September 2016 would be worth about $24,827 today, compared with about $35,030 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "monte-carlo",
   "title": "Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)",
   "text": [
    "CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in FDVV today could grow to about $22,359 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $44,742 and a bear case around $11,174. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "price-prediction",
   "title": "FDVV ETF Price Prediction: 2030",
   "text": [
    "CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $87.14 for FDVV by 2030 in the base case, from $63.16 today (1.4x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $56.19. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on FDVV's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.",
    "Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using FDVV's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "FDVV simulated price paths by year",
     "columns": [
      "Year",
      "Downside (10th pct)",
      "Base case",
      "Upside (90th pct)"
     ],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "2027",
       "cells": [
        "$54.97",
        "$68.45",
        "$85.24"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2028",
       "cells": [
        "$54.40",
        "$74.19",
        "$101"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2029",
       "cells": [
        "$54.99",
        "$80.40",
        "$118"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2030",
       "cells": [
        "$56.19",
        "$87.14",
        "$135"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2031",
       "cells": [
        "$57.83",
        "$94.44",
        "$154"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2032",
       "cells": [
        "$59.81",
        "$102",
        "$175"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2033",
       "cells": [
        "$62.09",
        "$111",
        "$198"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2034",
       "cells": [
        "$64.65",
        "$120",
        "$224"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2035",
       "cells": [
        "$67.48",
        "$130",
        "$252"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2036",
       "cells": [
        "$70.57",
        "$141",
        "$283"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "people-also-watch",
   "title": "People Also Watch",
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  },
  {
   "id": "related-comparisons",
   "title": "Compare FDVV",
   "links": [
    {
     "text": "SCHD vs FDVV Comparison Head-to-head analysis →",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/compare/schd-vs-fdvv/"
    },
    {
     "text": "DOGE/USD vs SHIB/USD Comparison Head-to-head analysis →",
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   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "faq",
   "title": "Frequently Asked Questions"
  }
 ],
 "faq": [
  {
   "question": "What is the expense ratio for the Fidelity High Dividend ETF (FDVV) and what does it cost?",
   "answer": "The Fidelity High Dividend ETF has an expense ratio of 0.15%. This means that for every $10,000 invested, you would pay $15 annually in management fees."
  },
  {
   "question": "What sectors does the Fidelity High Dividend ETF (FDVV) hold and how concentrated is it?",
   "answer": "FDVV is notably concentrated in the Technology sector, holding approximately 29.78% of its assets. Other significant holdings include Financial Services (19.34%) and Consumer Cyclical (12.22%)."
  },
  {
   "question": "What is the distribution yield for the Fidelity High Dividend ETF (FDVV)?",
   "answer": "The Fidelity High Dividend ETF offers a distribution yield of approximately 2.74%."
  },
  {
   "question": "How has FDVV performed against its category over the past year?",
   "answer": "Over the past year, FDVV returned 17.20%, while its category returned 26.15%, indicating that the fund underperformed its peers during that period."
  },
  {
   "question": "What are the key technical indicators for FDVV?",
   "answer": "FDVV shows neutral momentum with an RSI at 50.3. It is trading above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($62.88 and $59.39), suggesting a generally positive trend, though the MACD is slightly negative."
  },
  {
   "question": "What is the long-range projection for FDVV based on Monte Carlo simulations?",
   "answer": "Based on Monte Carlo simulations for 2030, the base case price projection for FDVV is 87.14, with a downside price of 56.19 and an upside price of 135.13. These are statistical outcomes, not price targets."
  },
  {
   "question": "What are the main risks associated with investing in FDVV?",
   "answer": "Key risks include concentration in the Technology sector, potential underperformance relative to its category as seen in the past year, and the general sensitivity of dividend stocks to interest rate changes."
  }
 ],
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    "text": "↓ 8.21%",
    "url": "https://clearank.com/crypto/algorand-algo-usd/"
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