{ "@context": "https://clearank.com/llms.txt", "@type": "clearank:AssetAnalysis", "url": "https://clearank.com/etf/fcg-etf-analysis/", "dataUrl": "https://clearank.com/etf/fcg-etf-analysis/data.json", "title": "First Natural (FCG) ETF Forecast & Price Target (2026)", "description": "First Trust Natural Gas (FCG) ETF: 0.59% expense ratio. $676M net assets. Equity Energy. First Trust. Fund facts, AI rating, technicals and 2030 projection.", "headline": "First Trust Natural Gas ETF (FCG)", "published": "2026-07-08T09:46:50+00:00", "modified": "2026-09-11T00:16:43.482+00:00", "generated": "2026-09-11T21:00:36.236Z", "language": "en-US", "publisher": { "name": "CleaRank", "url": "https://clearank.com/" }, "disclaimer": "Educational and informational only; not financial advice. AI-generated analysis reviewed by the CleaRank editorial team; prices delayed up to 15 minutes.", "asset": { "ticker": "FCG", "name": "First Trust Natural Gas ETF", "type": "ETF", "exchange": "NYSE", "currency": "USD", "sector": null, "industry": null, "country": "United States", "website": null }, "quote": { "price": 31.95, "previousClose": 31.87, "change": 0.08, "changePercent": 0.25, "open": 32.2, "high": 32.265, "low": 31.4, "volume": 839301, "averageVolume": 744640, "marketCap": 0, "fiftyTwoWeekHigh": 33.029999, "fiftyTwoWeekLow": 21.76, "marketOpen": false, "asOf": "2026-09-11T00:16:39.000Z" }, "statistics": { "pe": 11.461066, "eps": null, "dividendYield": 0.019145940781434733, "beta": null, "priceToSales": null, "priceToBook": null, "revenueTtm": 0, "grossMargin": null, "returnOnEquity": null }, "technicals": { "rsi": 54.29, "macd": 0.7, "sma50": 29.32, "sma200": 27.91, "rsiSignal": "Neutral", "trend": "Bullish", "pricePosition": "Bullish", "macdSignal": "Bullish", "rating": "Bullish" }, "analysis": { "rating": "Buy", "score": 70, "consensus": "Buy", "fairValue": null, "analystTarget": 34.51, "analystCount": null, "wallStreetConsensus": "", "generatedAt": "2026-09-11T00:16:39.000Z", "priceAtAnalysis": 31.95, "volatility": { "daily": 1.57, "risk": "etf" } }, "tradePlan": { "bias": "Bullish", "conservativeEntry": 31.31, "aggressiveEntry": 31.95, "stopLoss": 30.02, "stopLossPercent": 4.13, "targets": [ 32.88, 34.44, 36.01 ] }, "projections": { "basis": "Monte Carlo simulation on historical return distribution, re-run daily; not price targets", "years": [ { "year": 2027, "downside10th": 20.31, "base": 33.31, "upside90th": 54.62 }, { "year": 2028, "downside10th": 17.25, "base": 34.72, "upside90th": 69.89 }, { "year": 2029, "downside10th": 15.36, "base": 36.19, "upside90th": 85.26 }, { "year": 2030, "downside10th": 14.03, "base": 37.73, "upside90th": 101.48 }, { "year": 2031, "downside10th": 13.01, "base": 39.33, "upside90th": 118.89 }, { "year": 2032, "downside10th": 12.21, "base": 41, "upside90th": 137.74 }, { "year": 2033, "downside10th": 11.55, "base": 42.74, "upside90th": 158.23 }, { "year": 2034, "downside10th": 11, "base": 44.56, "upside90th": 180.54 }, { "year": 2035, "downside10th": 10.53, "base": 46.45, "upside90th": 204.88 }, { "year": 2036, "downside10th": 10.13, "base": 48.42, "upside90th": 231.43 } ] }, "faqCount": 7, "sources": [ "TwelveData", "Wall Street consensus" ], "sections": [ { "id": "price", "title": "FCG Price Analysis" }, { "id": "market-metrics", "title": "Market Metrics", "facts": { "Open": "$32.20", "Day Range": "$31.40 to $32.27", "Prev Close": "$31.87", "Volume": "839.3K", "52-Week Range": "$21.76 to $33.03" } }, { "id": "mi-fund-facts", "title": "FCG Fund Facts", "text": [ "First Trust Natural Gas ETF is an exchange-traded fund that provides targeted exposure to U.S. natural gas companies. The fund seeks to track an index of listed energy businesses involved in the exploration, production, and midstream transportation of natural gas, using a portfolio of equities, depositary receipts, and MLP units. Its holdings are concentrated in the energy sector and typically include companies across natural gas extraction, processing, and pipeline-related activities.", "Fund reference data as of Sep 11, 2026. Expense ratio and net assets are reported by the fund; returns are total returns and can differ from price change." ], "tables": [ { "caption": "", "columns": [ "Period", "FCG", "Category" ], "rows": [ { "label": "YTD", "cells": [ "34.47%", "33.40%" ] }, { "label": "1 month", "cells": [ "6.06%", "2.32%" ] }, { "label": "3 months", "cells": [ "9.80%", "18.69%" ] }, { "label": "1 year", "cells": [ "32.57%", "64.81%" ] }, { "label": "3 years", "cells": [ "8.38%", "17.73%" ] }, { "label": "5 years", "cells": [ "20.83%", "20.41%" ] }, { "label": "10 years", "cells": [ "4.67%", "6.80%" ] } ] } ] }, { "id": "analysis", "title": "FCG Analysis", "text": [ "FCG is trading above its 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) of $29.32 and its 200-day SMA of $27.91, indicating an overall uptrend. The 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) is at $31.04, also below the current price, reinforcing the bullish short-term momentum. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 54.29, which falls into the neutral category, suggesting neither overbought nor oversold conditions. Stochastic levels are high at 85.04, indicating strong momentum but potentially nearing overbought territory.", "The outlook for FCG is cautiously optimistic, driven by its current uptrend and neutral RSI. The fund's performance is intrinsically linked to the natural gas market, which is subject to significant volatility. A sustained increase in natural gas prices, driven by factors such as increased industrial demand or supply disruptions, could further propel FCG's price. Conversely, any downturn in energy prices or negative regulatory shifts could lead to a reversal. The fund's strong performance relative to its category year-to-date suggests resilience, but its long-term returns have lagged its category over 10 years." ], "lists": { "ProTips": [ "Monitor natural gas price trends closely as they are the primary driver of FCG's performance.", "Be aware of the high concentration risk; consider diversifying if FCG represents a large portion of your portfolio.", "Evaluate the broader energy sector outlook and any upcoming regulatory changes that could impact natural gas production or consumption." ] } }, { "id": "correlations", "title": "Market Correlations", "text": [ "How this etf moves relative to other assets", "Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods." ], "facts": { "Correlation with S&P 500 (SPY)": "+0.36", "Correlation with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)": "+0.28", "Correlation with Bitcoin (BTC)": "-0.01", "Correlation with Gold (XAU)": "+0.00" } }, { "id": "key-statistics", "title": "Key Statistics", "text": [ "The First Trust Natural Gas ETF (FCG) holds 99.29% of its assets in the Energy sector, with a minor 0.71% in Technology. Its expense ratio is 0.59%, costing investors $5.90 per $10,000 invested annually. The fund's net assets stand at $676.02 million. The underlying sector's health is tied to the volatile natural gas market, which can be influenced by global supply and demand dynamics, weather patterns, and geopolitical events. The fund's asset allocation is almost entirely in stocks (99.96%).", "FCG's underlying holdings, which are natural gas companies, recently reported earnings. The latest earnings release on February 27, 2026, showed an earnings per share (EPS) surprise of 16.67% (actual $0.21 vs. estimate $0.18). This positive surprise was accompanied by a 2.58% price change in the fund, reflecting market reaction to the earnings results of its constituents.", "The primary risk for FCG is its extreme concentration in the Energy sector, specifically natural gas, making it highly susceptible to fluctuations in commodity prices. Geopolitical events impacting global energy supply and demand, as well as regulatory changes affecting the fossil fuel industry, pose significant risks. Additionally, the high stochastic reading suggests potential for short-term pullbacks." ], "tables": [ { "caption": "", "columns": [], "rows": [ { "label": "Yield", "cells": [ "1.99%" ] }, { "label": "Day High", "cells": [ "$32.27" ] }, { "label": "Day Low", "cells": [ "$31.40" ] }, { "label": "52 Week High", "cells": [ "33.03" ] }, { "label": "52 Week Low", "cells": [ "21.76" ] } ] } ] }, { "id": "technical-indicators", "title": "Technical Indicators", "text": [ "Technical Rating Bullish RSI Neutral SMA Cross Bullish Price vs SMA Bullish MACD Bullish Golden Cross in effect with the 50-day SMA ($29.32) above the 200-day SMA ($27.91), price action is firmly bullish above key moving averages." ], "facts": { "RSI": "Neutral", "SMA Cross": "Bullish", "Price vs SMA": "Bullish", "MACD": "Bullish" }, "tables": [ { "caption": "", "columns": [], "rows": [ { "label": "RSI (14)", "cells": [ "54.29" ] }, { "label": "MACD", "cells": [ "0.70" ] }, { "label": "SMA 50", "cells": [ "29.32" ] }, { "label": "SMA 200", "cells": [ "27.91" ] } ] } ] }, { "id": "trade-plans", "title": "FCG Trade Plans", "text": [ "Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels", "Lower risk, wait for pullback", "Higher risk, immediate entry", "Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss Calculated based on RSI (54.3) and current market volatility", "Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3" ], "facts": { "TARGET 1": "$32.88", "TARGET 2": "$34.44", "TARGET 3": "$36.01", "STOP LOSS": "$30.02" } }, { "id": "seasonality", "title": "Seasonal Patterns", "text": [ "Historical monthly performance trends", "Based on 3 years of historical monthly returns" ], "facts": { "Average Jan return": "+1.73%", "Average Feb return": "+0.44%", "Average Mar return": "-1.35%", "Average Apr return": "+6.81%", "Average May return": "+0.78%", "Average Jun return": "-2.43%", "Average Jul return": "+1.52%", "Average Aug return": "+0.42%", "Average Sep return": "-0.05%", "Average Oct return": "-1.43%", "Average Nov return": "+3.53%", "Average Dec return": "-1.03%" } }, { "id": "risk", "title": "Risk & Volatility", "facts": { "Daily Volatility": "1.57%" }, "lists": { "Risk considerations": [ "Monitor position sizing based on current volatility levels", "Consider stop-loss placement beyond recent price range", "Diversification helps mitigate single-stock risk exposure" ] } }, { "id": "growth", "title": "Growth of $10,000", "text": [ "A $10,000 investment in FCG in September 2016 would be worth about $12,007 today, compared with about $35,030 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark." ] }, { "id": "monte-carlo", "title": "Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)", "text": [ "CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in FCG today could grow to about $15,155 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $72,435 and a bear case around $3,171. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees." ] }, { "id": "price-prediction", "title": "FCG ETF Price Prediction: 2030", "text": [ "CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $37.73 for FCG by 2030 in the base case, from $31.95 today (1.2x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $14.03. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on FCG's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.", "Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using FCG's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice." ], "tables": [ { "caption": "FCG simulated price paths by year", "columns": [ "Year", "Downside (10th pct)", "Base case", "Upside (90th pct)" ], "rows": [ { "label": "2027", "cells": [ "$20.31", "$33.31", "$54.62" ] }, { "label": "2028", "cells": [ "$17.25", "$34.72", "$69.89" ] }, { "label": "2029", "cells": [ "$15.36", "$36.19", "$85.26" ] }, { "label": "2030", "cells": [ "$14.03", "$37.73", "$101" ] }, { "label": "2031", "cells": [ "$13.01", "$39.33", "$119" ] }, { "label": "2032", "cells": [ "$12.21", "$41.00", "$138" ] }, { "label": "2033", "cells": [ "$11.55", "$42.74", "$158" ] }, { "label": "2034", "cells": [ "$11.00", "$44.56", "$181" ] }, { "label": "2035", "cells": [ "$10.53", "$46.45", "$205" ] }, { "label": "2036", "cells": [ "$10.13", "$48.42", "$231" ] } ] } ] }, { "id": "people-also-watch", "title": "People Also Watch", "links": [ { "text": "IWF iShares Russell 1000 Growth ETF NYSE $121.32 -0.9309%", "url": "https://clearank.com/etf/iwf-etf-analysis/" }, { "text": "SKYY First Trust Cloud Computing ETF NASDAQ $158.64 +1.30%", "url": "https://clearank.com/etf/first-trust-cloud-computing-skyy/" }, { "text": "IEO iShares U.S. Oil & Gas Exploration & Production ETF CBOE $141.49 -0.1412%", "url": "https://clearank.com/etf/ishares-oil-gas-ep-ieo/" }, { "text": "DFEN Direxion Daily Aerospace & Defense Bull 3X Shares NYSE $56.43 +1.57%", "url": "https://clearank.com/etf/dfen-etf-analysis/" }, { "text": "PSLV Sprott Physical Silver Trust NYSE $20.95 +0.2633%", "url": "https://clearank.com/etf/pslv-etf-analysis/" }, { "text": "ARKQ ARK Autonomous Technology & Robotics ETF CBOE $121.51 +0.8465%", "url": "https://clearank.com/etf/ark-autonomous-robotics-arkq/" }, { "text": "KRE State Street SPDR S&P Regional Banking ETF NYSE $73.82 +0.006777%", "url": "https://clearank.com/etf/spdr-regional-banking-kre/" }, { "text": "XLC State Street Communication Services Select Sector SPDR ETF NYSE $110.99 +0.1444%", "url": "https://clearank.com/etf/communication-services-xlc/" } ] }, { "id": "related-comparisons", "title": "Popular Comparisons", "links": [ { "text": "SPY vs VOO Comparison Head-to-head analysis →", "url": "https://clearank.com/compare/spy-vs-voo/" }, { "text": "BTC vs ETH Comparison Head-to-head analysis →", "url": "https://clearank.com/compare/btc-vs-eth/" }, { "text": "XAG/USD vs XPT/USD Comparison Head-to-head analysis →", "url": "https://clearank.com/compare/silver-vs-platinum/" } ] }, { "id": "faq", "title": "Frequently Asked Questions" } ], "faq": [ { "question": "What is the expense ratio for the First Trust Natural Gas ETF (FCG)?", "answer": "The First Trust Natural Gas ETF (FCG) has an expense ratio of 0.59%, which means it costs $5.90 per $10,000 invested annually." }, { "question": "What sectors does the First Trust Natural Gas ETF (FCG) hold?", "answer": "FCG is heavily concentrated in the Energy sector, holding 99.29% of its assets there, with a small allocation of 0.71% in Technology." }, { "question": "What is the distribution yield for the First Trust Natural Gas ETF (FCG)?", "answer": "The First Trust Natural Gas ETF (FCG) has a distribution yield of 2.04%." }, { "question": "How has the First Trust Natural Gas ETF (FCG) performed against its category over the past year?", "answer": "Over the past year, FCG returned 32.57%, while its category returned 64.81%, indicating underperformance relative to its peers." }, { "question": "What is the price prediction for FCG ETF in 2030?", "answer": "Based on Monte Carlo simulations, the projected base price for FCG ETF in 2030 is $37.73, with a downside price of $14.03 and an upside price of $101.48. These are statistical simulation outcomes, not price targets or guarantees." }, { "question": "What are the biggest risks associated with the First Trust Natural Gas ETF (FCG)?", "answer": "The main risks include extreme concentration in the natural gas sector, vulnerability to commodity price swings, geopolitical impacts on energy markets, and potential regulatory changes affecting fossil fuels." }, { "question": "How does the First Trust Natural Gas ETF (FCG) compare to its benchmark index?", "answer": "FCG's benchmark is not explicitly provided, but its sector focus is Energy. Its year-to-date return of 34.47% slightly outperforms its category average of 33.40%." } ], "related": { "peopleAlsoWatch": [ { "ticker": "IWF", "name": "iShares Russell 1000 Growth ETF NYSE", "price": "$121.32", "change": "-0.9309%", "url": "https://clearank.com/etf/iwf-etf-analysis/" }, { "ticker": "SKYY", "name": "First Trust Cloud Computing ETF NASDAQ", "price": "$158.64", "change": "+1.30%", "url": "https://clearank.com/etf/first-trust-cloud-computing-skyy/" }, { "ticker": "IEO", "name": "iShares U.S. Oil & Gas Exploration & Production ETF CBOE", "price": "$141.49", "change": "-0.1412%", "url": "https://clearank.com/etf/ishares-oil-gas-ep-ieo/" }, { "ticker": "DFEN", "name": "Direxion Daily Aerospace & Defense Bull 3X Shares NYSE", "price": "$56.43", "change": "+1.57%", "url": "https://clearank.com/etf/dfen-etf-analysis/" }, { "ticker": "PSLV", "name": "Sprott Physical Silver Trust NYSE", "price": "$20.95", "change": "+0.2633%", "url": "https://clearank.com/etf/pslv-etf-analysis/" }, { "ticker": "ARKQ", "name": "ARK Autonomous Technology & Robotics ETF CBOE", "price": "$121.51", "change": "+0.8465%", "url": "https://clearank.com/etf/ark-autonomous-robotics-arkq/" }, { "ticker": "KRE", "name": "State Street SPDR S&P Regional Banking ETF NYSE", "price": "$73.82", "change": "+0.006777%", "url": "https://clearank.com/etf/spdr-regional-banking-kre/" }, { "ticker": "XLC", "name": "State Street Communication Services Select Sector SPDR ETF NYSE", "price": "$110.99", "change": "+0.1444%", "url": "https://clearank.com/etf/communication-services-xlc/" } ], "comparisons": [ { "ticker": "SPY vs VOO Comparison", "name": "", "url": "https://clearank.com/compare/spy-vs-voo/" }, { "ticker": "BTC vs ETH Comparison", "name": "", "url": "https://clearank.com/compare/btc-vs-eth/" }, { "ticker": "XAG/USD vs XPT/USD Comparison", "name": "", "url": "https://clearank.com/compare/silver-vs-platinum/" } ], "Newly Tracked": [ { "ticker": "GWW", "text": "W.W. Grainger Inc.", "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/gww-stock-analysis/" }, { "ticker": "CDE", "text": "Coeur Mining Inc.", "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/cde-stock-analysis/" }, { "ticker": "CCI", "text": "Crown Castle Inc.", "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/cci-stock-analysis/" }, { "ticker": "AME", "text": "AMETEK, Inc.", "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/ame-stock-analysis/" }, { "ticker": "VRSK", "text": "Verisk Analytics, Inc.", "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/vrsk-stock-analysis/" } ], "Top Movers (24h)": [ { "ticker": "REPL", "text": "↓ 8.37%", "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/repl-stock-analysis/" }, { "ticker": "ALGO/USD", "text": "↓ 8.21%", "url": "https://clearank.com/crypto/algorand-algo-usd/" }, { "ticker": "SOXL", "text": "↓ 8.03%", "url": "https://clearank.com/etf/direxion-semiconductor-bull-soxl/" }, { "ticker": "WOLF", "text": "↓ 7.73%", "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/wolfspeed-wolf/" }, { "ticker": "NEAR/USD", "text": "↑ 18.46%", "url": "https://clearank.com/crypto/near-protocol-near-usd/" } ], "Also in Equity Energy ETFs": [ { "ticker": "CRAK", "text": "VanEck Oil Refiners", "url": "https://clearank.com/etf/crak-etf-analysis/" }, { "ticker": "IEO", "text": "iShares Oil &", "url": "https://clearank.com/etf/ishares-oil-gas-ep-ieo/" }, { "ticker": "OIH", "text": "VanEck Oil", "url": "https://clearank.com/etf/vaneck-oil-services-oih/" }, { "ticker": "XLE", "text": "Energy Select Sector SPDR", "url": "https://clearank.com/etf/energy-select-xle/" }, { "ticker": "XOP", "text": "SPDR Oil & Gas E&P", "url": "https://clearank.com/etf/oil-gas-exploration-xop/" } ] }, "schema": [ { "@context": "https://schema.org", "@graph": [ { "@type": "Place", "@id": "https://clearank.com/#place", "address": { "@type": "PostalAddress", "streetAddress": "Beni Berman 2", "addressLocality": "Netanya", "addressRegion": "Center", "postalCode": "4249330", "addressCountry": "IL" } }, { "@type": "Organization", "@id": "https://clearank.com/#organization", "name": "CleaRank", "url": "https://clearank.com", "sameAs": [ "https://twitter.com/CleaRank", "https://www.linkedin.com/company/clearank/", "https://www.youtube.com/@CleaRank" ], "email": "info@clearank.com", "address": { "@type": "PostalAddress", "streetAddress": "Beni Berman 2", "addressLocality": "Netanya", "addressRegion": "Center", "postalCode": "4249330", "addressCountry": "IL" }, "logo": { "@type": "ImageObject", "@id": "https://clearank.com/#logo", "url": "https://clearank.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/02/CleaRank-Logo-e1738621466340.jpg", "contentUrl": "https://clearank.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/02/CleaRank-Logo-e1738621466340.jpg", "caption": "CleaRank", "inLanguage": "en-US", "width": "336", "height": "153" }, "description": "The CleaRank vision is to bring clarity to the online trading industry and protect trader interests. 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Equity Energy. First Trust. 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These are statistical simulation outcomes, not price targets or guarantees." } }, { "@type": "Question", "name": "What are the biggest risks associated with the First Trust Natural Gas ETF (FCG)?", "acceptedAnswer": { "@type": "Answer", "text": "The main risks include extreme concentration in the natural gas sector, vulnerability to commodity price swings, geopolitical impacts on energy markets, and potential regulatory changes affecting fossil fuels." } }, { "@type": "Question", "name": "How does the First Trust Natural Gas ETF (FCG) compare to its benchmark index?", "acceptedAnswer": { "@type": "Answer", "text": "FCG's benchmark is not explicitly provided, but its sector focus is Energy. Its year-to-date return of 34.47% slightly outperforms its category average of 33.40%." } } ] } ] }