{
 "@context": "https://clearank.com/llms.txt",
 "@type": "clearank:AssetAnalysis",
 "url": "https://clearank.com/etf/crak-etf-analysis/",
 "dataUrl": "https://clearank.com/etf/crak-etf-analysis/data.json",
 "title": "VanEck Oil Refiners ETF (CRAK) ETF Forecast (2026)",
 "description": "VanEck Oil Refiners (CRAK) ETF: 0.61% expense ratio. $452M net assets. Equity Energy. VanEck. Fund facts, AI rating, technicals and 2030 projection.",
 "headline": "VanEck Oil Refiners ETF (CRAK)",
 "published": "2026-08-27T06:30:55+00:00",
 "modified": "2026-09-11T11:56:27.633+00:00",
 "generated": "2026-09-11T21:01:03.190Z",
 "language": "en-US",
 "publisher": {
  "name": "CleaRank",
  "url": "https://clearank.com/"
 },
 "disclaimer": "Educational and informational only; not financial advice. AI-generated analysis reviewed by the CleaRank editorial team; prices delayed up to 15 minutes.",
 "asset": {
  "ticker": "CRAK",
  "name": "VanEck Oil Refiners ETF",
  "type": "ETF",
  "exchange": "NYSE",
  "currency": "USD",
  "sector": null,
  "industry": null,
  "country": "United States",
  "website": null
 },
 "quote": {
  "price": 65.61,
  "previousClose": 66.3,
  "change": -0.69,
  "changePercent": -1.04,
  "open": 66.11,
  "high": 66.19,
  "low": 65.25,
  "volume": 821100,
  "averageVolume": 562770,
  "marketCap": 0,
  "fiftyTwoWeekHigh": 66.49,
  "fiftyTwoWeekLow": 35.060001,
  "marketOpen": false,
  "asOf": "2026-09-11T11:56:25.000Z"
 },
 "statistics": {
  "pe": 14.765574,
  "eps": null,
  "dividendYield": 0.04615032322899955,
  "beta": null,
  "priceToSales": null,
  "priceToBook": null,
  "revenueTtm": 0,
  "grossMargin": null,
  "returnOnEquity": null
 },
 "technicals": {
  "rsi": 75.63,
  "macd": 2.5,
  "sma50": 56.49,
  "sma200": 47.76,
  "rsiSignal": "Overbought",
  "trend": "Bullish",
  "pricePosition": "Bullish",
  "macdSignal": "Bullish",
  "rating": "Bullish"
 },
 "analysis": {
  "rating": "Buy",
  "score": 78,
  "consensus": "Buy",
  "fairValue": null,
  "analystTarget": 70.86,
  "analystCount": null,
  "wallStreetConsensus": "",
  "generatedAt": "2026-09-11T11:56:25.000Z",
  "priceAtAnalysis": 65.61,
  "volatility": {
   "daily": 1.34,
   "risk": "etf"
  }
 },
 "tradePlan": {
  "bias": "Bullish",
  "conservativeEntry": 64.3,
  "aggressiveEntry": 65.61,
  "stopLoss": 61.98,
  "stopLossPercent": 3.6,
  "targets": [
   67.51,
   70.73,
   73.94
  ]
 },
 "projections": {
  "basis": "Monte Carlo simulation on historical return distribution, re-run daily; not price targets",
  "years": [
   {
    "year": 2027,
    "downside10th": 53.94,
    "base": 72.14,
    "upside90th": 96.48
   },
   {
    "year": 2028,
    "downside10th": 52.58,
    "base": 79.32,
    "upside90th": 119.66
   },
   {
    "year": 2029,
    "downside10th": 52.71,
    "base": 87.21,
    "upside90th": 144.31
   },
   {
    "year": 2030,
    "downside10th": 53.61,
    "base": 95.89,
    "upside90th": 171.52
   },
   {
    "year": 2031,
    "downside10th": 55.03,
    "base": 105.43,
    "upside90th": 201.99
   },
   {
    "year": 2032,
    "downside10th": 56.87,
    "base": 115.93,
    "upside90th": 236.31
   },
   {
    "year": 2033,
    "downside10th": 59.06,
    "base": 127.46,
    "upside90th": 275.09
   },
   {
    "year": 2034,
    "downside10th": 61.58,
    "base": 140.15,
    "upside90th": 318.96
   },
   {
    "year": 2035,
    "downside10th": 64.41,
    "base": 154.09,
    "upside90th": 368.64
   },
   {
    "year": 2036,
    "downside10th": 67.56,
    "base": 169.43,
    "upside90th": 424.91
   }
  ]
 },
 "faqCount": 7,
 "sources": [
  "TwelveData",
  "Wall Street consensus"
 ],
 "sections": [
  {
   "id": "price",
   "title": "CRAK Price Analysis"
  },
  {
   "id": "market-metrics",
   "title": "Market Metrics",
   "facts": {
    "Open": "$66.11",
    "Day Range": "$65.25 to $66.19",
    "Prev Close": "$66.30",
    "Volume": "821.1K",
    "52-Week Range": "$35.06 to $66.49"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "mi-fund-facts",
   "title": "CRAK Fund Facts",
   "text": [
    "VanEck Oil Refiners ETF is an exchange-traded fund that seeks to track the performance of a global index of companies involved in crude oil refining. The fund provides concentrated exposure to businesses that convert crude oil into products such as gasoline, diesel, jet fuel, fuel oil, naphtha, and related petrochemicals.",
    "Fund reference data as of Sep 11, 2026. Expense ratio and net assets are reported by the fund; returns are total returns and can differ from price change."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "",
     "columns": [
      "Period",
      "CRAK",
      "Category"
     ],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "YTD",
       "cells": [
        "62.75%",
        "33.40%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "1 month",
       "cells": [
        "10.68%",
        "2.32%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "3 months",
       "cells": [
        "26.41%",
        "18.69%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "1 year",
       "cells": [
        "76.56%",
        "64.81%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "3 years",
       "cells": [
        "26.52%",
        "17.73%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "5 years",
       "cells": [
        "20.80%",
        "20.41%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "10 years",
       "cells": [
        "15.42%",
        "6.80%"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "analysis",
   "title": "CRAK Analysis",
   "text": [
    "CRAK is exhibiting a strong bullish trend, trading above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($56.49 and $47.76), as well as its 20-day exponential moving average ($61.39). The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 75.63, indicating an overbought condition, while the Stochastic indicator is also high at 89.38. The Commodity Channel Index (CCI) at 128.18 further supports the strong bullish momentum. The ETF's volume is currently 45.9% above its average, suggesting increased investor activity.",
    "The outlook for the VanEck Oil Refiners ETF (CRAK) is cautiously optimistic, driven by strong sector performance and positive momentum. While the ETF is currently overbought, suggesting a potential for consolidation, the underlying trend remains strongly bullish. The concentrated exposure to oil refining companies positions it to benefit from sustained demand for refined products and potentially volatile crude oil prices. Investors should monitor the RSI for signs of cooling off from its overbought territory, but the overall sector strength supports continued positive performance over the next 6-12 months."
   ],
   "lists": {
    "ProTips": [
     "Consider the high concentration risk in the Energy sector; diversification may be needed for a balanced portfolio.",
     "Monitor the RSI for potential pullbacks from its current overbought level.",
     "The ETF's strong performance is tied to the oil refining cycle; stay informed on global energy demand and supply dynamics."
    ]
   },
   "links": [
    {
     "text": "CCI",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/cci-stock-analysis/"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "correlations",
   "title": "Market Correlations",
   "text": [
    "How this etf moves relative to other assets",
    "Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods."
   ],
   "facts": {
    "Correlation with S&P 500 (SPY)": "+0.43",
    "Correlation with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)": "+0.37",
    "Correlation with Bitcoin (BTC)": "-0.07",
    "Correlation with Gold (XAU)": "+0.13"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "key-statistics",
   "title": "Key Statistics",
   "text": [
    "The VanEck Oil Refiners ETF (CRAK) holds 99.99% in stocks, with a significant concentration in the Energy sector at 98.71%. This focus provides direct exposure to companies converting crude oil into refined products. The fund's expense ratio is 0.61%, costing $61 per $10,000 invested annually. Its net assets stand at $452.38 million. The macro environment appears favorable for oil refiners, potentially driving demand for products like gasoline and jet fuel.",
    "The underlying companies within the VanEck Oil Refiners ETF (CRAK) have shown mixed earnings performance. The most recent earnings report on May 5, 2026, showed an EPS actual of $3.30 against an estimate of $2.88, a positive surprise of 14.58%, though the stock price saw a 3.54% decrease following the announcement. The prior report on January 23, 2026, also beat estimates with an EPS actual of $1.87 versus $1.61, with a price change of -0.12%. These results suggest that while individual companies may be exceeding expectations, broader market sentiment or other factors can influence short-term price movements.",
    "The primary risk for the VanEck Oil Refiners ETF (CRAK) is its high concentration in the Energy sector, with 98.71% of assets dedicated to oil refiners. This makes the fund highly susceptible to sector-specific downturns, regulatory changes affecting the oil industry, or significant shifts in global oil demand and prices. The current overbought RSI of 75.63 also signals a potential for a short-term pullback."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "",
     "columns": [],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "Yield",
       "cells": [
        "1.15%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Day High",
       "cells": [
        "$66.19"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Day Low",
       "cells": [
        "$65.25"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "52 Week High",
       "cells": [
        "66.49"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "52 Week Low",
       "cells": [
        "35.06"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "technical-indicators",
   "title": "Technical Indicators",
   "text": [
    "Technical Rating Bullish RSI Overbought SMA Cross Bullish Price vs SMA Bullish MACD Bullish Golden Cross in effect with the 50-day SMA ($56.49) above the 200-day SMA ($47.76), price action is firmly bullish above key moving averages, RSI at 75.6 indicates overbought conditions; consider caution for immediate entries."
   ],
   "facts": {
    "RSI": "Overbought",
    "SMA Cross": "Bullish",
    "Price vs SMA": "Bullish",
    "MACD": "Bullish"
   },
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "",
     "columns": [],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "RSI (14)",
       "cells": [
        "75.63"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "MACD",
       "cells": [
        "2.50"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "SMA 50",
       "cells": [
        "56.49"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "SMA 200",
       "cells": [
        "47.76"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "trade-plans",
   "title": "CRAK Trade Plans",
   "text": [
    "Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels",
    "Lower risk, wait for pullback",
    "Higher risk, immediate entry",
    "Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss Calculated based on RSI (75.6) and current market volatility",
    "Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3"
   ],
   "facts": {
    "TARGET 1": "$67.51",
    "TARGET 2": "$70.73",
    "TARGET 3": "$73.94",
    "STOP LOSS": "$61.98"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "risk",
   "title": "Risk & Volatility",
   "facts": {
    "Daily Volatility": "1.34%"
   },
   "lists": {
    "Risk considerations": [
     "Monitor position sizing based on current volatility levels",
     "Consider stop-loss placement beyond recent price range",
     "Diversification helps mitigate single-stock risk exposure"
    ]
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "growth",
   "title": "Growth of $10,000",
   "text": [
    "A $10,000 investment in CRAK in September 2016 would be worth about $33,444 today, compared with about $35,030 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "monte-carlo",
   "title": "Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)",
   "text": [
    "CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in CRAK today could grow to about $25,824 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $64,763 and a bear case around $10,297. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "price-prediction",
   "title": "CRAK ETF Price Prediction: 2030",
   "text": [
    "CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $95.89 for CRAK by 2030 in the base case, from $65.61 today (1.5x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $53.61. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on CRAK's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.",
    "Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using CRAK's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "CRAK simulated price paths by year",
     "columns": [
      "Year",
      "Downside (10th pct)",
      "Base case",
      "Upside (90th pct)"
     ],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "2027",
       "cells": [
        "$53.94",
        "$72.14",
        "$96.48"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2028",
       "cells": [
        "$52.58",
        "$79.32",
        "$120"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2029",
       "cells": [
        "$52.71",
        "$87.21",
        "$144"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2030",
       "cells": [
        "$53.61",
        "$95.89",
        "$172"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2031",
       "cells": [
        "$55.03",
        "$105",
        "$202"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2032",
       "cells": [
        "$56.87",
        "$116",
        "$236"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2033",
       "cells": [
        "$59.06",
        "$127",
        "$275"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2034",
       "cells": [
        "$61.58",
        "$140",
        "$319"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2035",
       "cells": [
        "$64.41",
        "$154",
        "$369"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2036",
       "cells": [
        "$67.56",
        "$169",
        "$425"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
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  {
   "id": "faq",
   "title": "Frequently Asked Questions"
  }
 ],
 "faq": [
  {
   "question": "What is the expense ratio for the VanEck Oil Refiners ETF (CRAK)?",
   "answer": "The VanEck Oil Refiners ETF (CRAK) has an expense ratio of 0.61%, which amounts to approximately $61 for every $10,000 invested annually."
  },
  {
   "question": "What sectors does the VanEck Oil Refiners ETF (CRAK) primarily invest in?",
   "answer": "The VanEck Oil Refiners ETF (CRAK) is heavily concentrated in the Energy sector, holding 98.71% of its assets, with a small allocation of 1.29% in Basic Materials."
  },
  {
   "question": "What is the distribution yield for the VanEck Oil Refiners ETF (CRAK)?",
   "answer": "The VanEck Oil Refiners ETF (CRAK) has a distribution yield of 1.24%."
  },
  {
   "question": "How has the VanEck Oil Refiners ETF (CRAK) performed against its category year-to-date?",
   "answer": "The VanEck Oil Refiners ETF (CRAK) has significantly outperformed its category year-to-date, with a return of 62.75% compared to the category's 33.40%."
  },
  {
   "question": "What are the key risks associated with the VanEck Oil Refiners ETF (CRAK)?",
   "answer": "The primary risk is sector concentration, as CRAK is almost entirely invested in oil refiners. This exposes it to volatility in oil prices, regulatory changes, and shifts in energy demand."
  },
  {
   "question": "What is the long-range projection for the VanEck Oil Refiners ETF (CRAK)?",
   "answer": "Based on Monte Carlo simulations for 2030, the base price projection for CRAK is $95.89, with a downside price of $53.61 and an upside price of $171.52. These are statistical simulation outcomes, not price targets or guarantees."
  },
  {
   "question": "How does the VanEck Oil Refiners ETF (CRAK) compare to the S&P 500?",
   "answer": "Against the S&P 500, CRAK has shown superior performance, with a year-to-date return of 62.75% compared to the S&P 500's implied category return of 33.40%."
  }
 ],
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    "text": "↑ 10.41%",
    "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/hewlett-packard-enterprise-hpe/"
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