{
 "@context": "https://clearank.com/llms.txt",
 "@type": "clearank:AssetAnalysis",
 "url": "https://clearank.com/etf/cowz-etf-analysis/",
 "dataUrl": "https://clearank.com/etf/cowz-etf-analysis/data.json",
 "title": "Pacer US Cash Cows 100 (COWZ) ETF Forecast 2026",
 "description": "Pacer US Cash Cows 100 (COWZ) ETF: 0.49% expense ratio. $18.6B net assets. Mid-Cap Value. Pacer. Fund facts, AI rating, technicals and 2030 projection.",
 "headline": "Pacer US Cash Cows 100 ETF (COWZ)",
 "published": "2026-07-19T10:00:49+00:00",
 "modified": "2026-10-23T09:10:55.608+00:00",
 "generated": "2026-10-23T11:05:40.519Z",
 "language": "en-US",
 "publisher": {
  "name": "CleaRank",
  "url": "https://clearank.com/"
 },
 "disclaimer": "Educational and informational only; not financial advice. AI-generated analysis reviewed by Kate Leaman, Financial Journalist and Market Analyst; prices delayed up to 15 minutes.",
 "asset": {
  "ticker": "COWZ",
  "name": "Pacer US Cash Cows 100 ETF",
  "type": "ETF",
  "exchange": "CBOE",
  "currency": "USD",
  "sector": null,
  "industry": null,
  "country": "United States",
  "website": null
 },
 "quote": {
  "price": 71.78,
  "previousClose": 70.88,
  "change": 0.9,
  "changePercent": 1.27,
  "open": 70.78,
  "high": 71.8,
  "low": 70.78,
  "volume": 904500,
  "averageVolume": 869590,
  "marketCap": 0,
  "fiftyTwoWeekHigh": 72.52,
  "fiftyTwoWeekLow": 56.84,
  "marketOpen": false,
  "asOf": "2026-10-23T09:10:55.000Z"
 },
 "statistics": {
  "pe": 17.015379,
  "eps": null,
  "dividendYield": 0.018950742166329203,
  "beta": null,
  "priceToSales": null,
  "priceToBook": null,
  "revenueTtm": 0,
  "grossMargin": null,
  "returnOnEquity": null
 },
 "technicals": {
  "rsi": 70.25,
  "macd": 0.5654,
  "sma50": 69.87,
  "sma200": 65.17,
  "rsiSignal": "Overbought",
  "trend": "Bullish",
  "pricePosition": "Bullish",
  "macdSignal": "Bullish",
  "rating": "Bullish"
 },
 "analysis": {
  "rating": "Strong Buy",
  "score": 85,
  "consensus": "Strong Buy",
  "fairValue": null,
  "analystTarget": null,
  "analystCount": null,
  "wallStreetConsensus": "",
  "generatedAt": "2026-10-23T09:10:55.000Z",
  "priceAtAnalysis": 71.78,
  "volatility": {
   "daily": 0.7537,
   "risk": "etf"
  }
 },
 "tradePlan": {
  "bias": "Bullish",
  "conservativeEntry": 70.34,
  "aggressiveEntry": 71.78,
  "stopLoss": 67.81,
  "stopLossPercent": 3.6,
  "targets": [
   73.86,
   77.38,
   80.9
  ]
 },
 "projections": {
  "basis": "Monte Carlo simulation on historical return distribution, re-run daily; not price targets",
  "years": [
   {
    "year": 2027,
    "downside10th": 60.21,
    "base": 77.68,
    "upside90th": 100.23
   },
   {
    "year": 2028,
    "downside10th": 58.63,
    "base": 84.07,
    "upside90th": 120.55
   },
   {
    "year": 2029,
    "downside10th": 58.52,
    "base": 90.98,
    "upside90th": 141.47
   },
   {
    "year": 2030,
    "downside10th": 59.15,
    "base": 98.47,
    "upside90th": 163.92
   },
   {
    "year": 2031,
    "downside10th": 60.28,
    "base": 106.56,
    "upside90th": 188.4
   }
  ]
 },
 "faqCount": 10,
 "atAGlance": {
  "asOf": "October 23, 2026",
  "rating": "Strong Buy",
  "score": 85,
  "evidence": [
   {
    "label": "Trend",
    "text": "Up: the price is above both its 50- and 200-day moving averages ($69.87 and $65.17)."
   },
   {
    "label": "Fund",
    "text": "Expense ratio 0.49%, $18.6B in net assets, price up 24.5% over 1 year."
   }
  ]
 },
 "figures": {
  "asOf": "October 23, 2026",
  "earningsReaction": null,
  "insiders": null,
  "drawdown": {
   "years": 10,
   "worstFallPercent": -38.55,
   "peak": "January 2020",
   "trough": "March 2020",
   "recoveredBy": "November 2020",
   "recoveryMonths": 8,
   "belowThatPeakNowPercent": null,
   "fromHighNowPercent": -0.8564,
   "oneYearHoldsPositivePercent": 80,
   "dividendsReinvested": true
  },
  "seasonality": {
   "years": 10,
   "bestMonth": {
    "month": "Nov",
    "averagePercent": 5.34,
    "upYearsPercent": 100
   },
   "worstMonth": {
    "month": "Sep",
    "averagePercent": -1.52,
    "upYearsPercent": 20
   }
  },
  "correlations": null,
  "analystTargets": null,
  "dividend": {
   "yieldPercent": 2.04,
   "annualPerShare": null
  },
  "simulation": {
   "year": 2030,
   "base": 98.47,
   "percentile10": 59.15,
   "percentile90": 163.92,
   "note": "Monte Carlo simulation outcomes, not price targets"
  }
 },
 "sources": [
  "TwelveData",
  "Wall Street consensus"
 ],
 "sections": [
  {
   "id": "ch-overview",
   "title": "The short version",
   "text": [
    "Where COWZ stands today, and what CleaRank Financial AI makes of it.",
    "Pacer US Cash Cows 100 ETF (COWZ): Strong Buy, 85/100 on CleaRank's AI score.",
    "Figures as of October 23, 2026.",
    "Pacer US Cash Cows 100 ETF (COWZ) earns a Strong Buy rating from CleaRank, with a model score of 85/100. Trend is the factor that pushes the score up the most. The price stands 10.14% above its 200-day average and 2.73% above its 50-day average, while the 50-day average sits 7.22% above the 200-day. Those averages are $69.87 for the 50-day and $65.17 for the 200-day. Across the past year, the price climbed 24.49%.",
    "Figures we compute ourselves from COWZ's own price history. Tap one to see it in context."
   ],
   "lists": {
    "COWZ at a glance": [
     "Trend Up: the price is above both its 50- and 200-day moving averages ($69.87 and $65.17).",
     "Fund Expense ratio 0.49%, $18.6B in net assets, price up 24.5% over 1 year."
    ]
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "ch-price",
   "title": "Price and trading",
   "text": [
    "The chart, today's range and how far the price has moved over each period.",
    "Pick a period: each tab shows how far COWZ has moved over it, to the last close.",
    "Where COWZ sits inside today's range and its 52-week range."
   ],
   "lists": {
    "items": [
     "Price above its 50-day average › The price of $71.78 is 2.7% above the 50-day simple moving average of $69.87.",
     "Price above its 200-day average › The price is 10.1% above the 200-day simple moving average of $65.17.",
     "50-day average above the 200-day › The 50-day average ($69.87) is 7.2% above the 200-day average ($65.17), the arrangement of a rising longer-term trend.",
     "In the upper half of its 52-week range › The price sits at 95% of its 52-week range, between $56.84 and $72.52."
    ]
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "ch-fundamentals",
   "title": "Fund facts and valuation",
   "text": [
    "What the fund holds, what it costs and how it is valued.",
    "Pacer US Cash Cows 100 ETF is an exchange-traded fund that seeks to track the Pacer US Cash Cows 100 Index, using a rules-based approach to identify U.S. large- and mid-cap companies with high free cash flow yields. The fund focuses on businesses that generate strong cash flow relative to their enterprise value, and it weights holdings by trailing free cash flow with a cap on individual positions.",
    "As of Oct 23, 2026, COWZ has an expense ratio of 0.49%, $18.59B in net assets and a distribution yield of 2.04%.",
    "Fund reference data as of Oct 23, 2026. Expense ratio and net assets are reported by the fund. The trailing returns are the fund family's own month-end total returns, with distributions included, so they can differ from the price changes elsewhere on this page.",
    "The headline figures for COWZ.",
    "CleaRank Financial AI's reading of COWZ's holdings, performance and risks.",
    "Technology is the leading sector in Pacer US Cash Cows 100 ETF (COWZ), and it makes up 23.7% of the fund. Energy comes next at 19.3%, followed by Healthcare at 15.0%. COWZ is a Mid-Cap Value fund from Pacer, and it launched on December 16, 2016.At 0.49%, the expense ratio works out to $49.00 a year on a $10,000 holding. The fund's net assets total $18.6B, and its distribution yield is 2.04%. Turnover in the portfolio is 86%.",
    "The price of COWZ typically moves 0.75% in a day, based on the 30-day standard deviation of its daily returns."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "",
     "columns": [
      "Period",
      "COWZ"
     ],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "YTD",
       "cells": [
        "12.15%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "1 month",
       "cells": [
        "-6.84%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "3 months",
       "cells": [
        "7.98%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "1 year",
       "cells": [
        "18.57%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "3 years",
       "cells": [
        "12.67%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "5 years",
       "cells": [
        "11.00%"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ],
   "lists": {
    "items": [
     "Expense ratio at or below 0.20% › The fund charges 0.49% a year, $49.00 on a $10,000 holding.",
     "Over $1B in net assets › Net assets total $18.6B.",
     "No sector above 35% of the fund › The largest sector, Technology, makes up 23.7% of the fund.",
     "Pays a distribution › The distribution yield is 2.04%.",
     "Price up over one year › The price rose 24.49% over the past year."
    ]
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "ch-analysis",
   "title": "AI analysis and technicals",
   "text": [
    "CleaRank's score and reasoning, the indicators behind it, and what the price moves with.",
    "The score, the reasoning behind it, and what could move the price next.",
    "Pacer US Cash Cows 100 ETF (COWZ) remains in an upward trend, with the price at $71.78. That price sits 2.73% above its 50-day average of $69.87 and 10.14% above its 200-day average of $65.17. The price is 1.02% below the 52-week high of $72.52, which places it at 95% of its 52-week range. Because the 50-day average is 7.22% above the 200-day average, the shorter-term trend is pulling ahead of the longer one.On momentum, the 14-day RSI reads 70.3, in overbought territory, with the MACD line positive. Every period on the chart shows a gain, with the price up 12.74% over the past three months, 14.24% over the past six months and 24.49% over the past year.",
    "COWZ trades above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($69.87 and $65.17), which is what makes the trend up; losing the 50-day would be the first warning. The nearest level under the price is the 50-day SMA at $69.87.The next level overhead for COWZ is the 52-week high at $72.52. The RSI is in overbought territory, so a pause in the rise would not on its own end the trend. A slide back out of the bullish zone would be the sign that momentum is fading.",
    "Momentum and trend for COWZ, from its daily closes.",
    "As of October 23, 2026, with COWZ at $71.78, its 14-day RSI is 70.3 (overbought territory), its 50-day simple moving average is $69.87 and its 200-day is $65.17.",
    "Calculated by CleaRank on daily closes as of October 23, 2026: Wilder's 14-day RSI, 50- and 200-day simple moving averages, MACD line (12, 26).",
    "Correlation of daily returns over one year: +1 moves in step, 0 has no link, -1 moves the opposite way.",
    "As of October 23, 2026, COWZ's 1-year correlation of daily returns is +0.71 with S&P 500 (SPY), +0.53 with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), +0.19 with Bitcoin (BTC) and +0.11 with gold (XAU)."
   ],
   "lists": {
    "items": [
     "RSI Overbought",
     "SMA cross Bullish",
     "Price vs SMA Bullish",
     "MACD Bullish"
    ]
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "ch-plan",
   "title": "A trade plan, if you want one",
   "text": [
    "Entry, stop and target levels from the moving averages and recent volatility. Educational, not advice.",
    "Entry, stop and target levels, sized to your account. Change the bias or the risk and every level updates.",
    "Lower risk, wait for pullback",
    "Higher risk, immediate entry",
    "These levels come from COWZ's moving averages and recent volatility, not from a forecast. Educational levels, not financial advice; the full disclaimer is at the foot of the page.",
    "Would this COWZ plan have made money the last ten times?",
    "Your entry, stop and targets are set above. Replay them against COWZ's own history and count how often the target hit before the stop.",
    "How much COWZ tends to move, against the market and on its own."
   ],
   "lists": {
    "items": [
     "Wins vs stops",
     "Best exit",
     "Max drawdown"
    ]
   },
   "links": [
    {
     "text": "Position Size",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/tools/position-size-calculator/"
    },
    {
     "text": "Stop Loss",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/tools/stop-loss-calculator/"
    },
    {
     "text": "Risk/Reward",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/tools/risk-reward-calculator/"
    },
    {
     "text": "P&L Calculator",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/tools/profit-loss-calculator/"
    },
    {
     "text": "Trailing Stop",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/tools/trailing-stop-calculator/"
    },
    {
     "text": "Fibonacci",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/tools/fibonacci-calculator/"
    },
    {
     "text": "Pivot Points",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/tools/pivot-point-calculator/"
    },
    {
     "text": "Win Rate",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/tools/breakeven-win-rate-calculator/"
    },
    {
     "text": "Expectancy",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/tools/trade-expectancy-calculator/"
    },
    {
     "text": "Replay this plan on COWZStart free trial · $0 today",
     "url": "https://trade.clearank.com/portfolio/demo?utm_source=clearank&amp;utm_medium=cta&amp;utm_campaign=asset_plan&amp;utm_content=trial7"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "ch-risk",
   "title": "The long record",
   "text": [
    "COWZ's worst falls and recoveries, what $10,000 became, and which months have been kind to it.",
    "As of October 23, 2026, COWZ's worst peak-to-trough fall over the last 10 years with dividends reinvested was -38.6% (January 2020 to March 2020); it regained that peak by November 2020, 8 months after the low, and 80% of 1-year holding periods ended with a gain.",
    "From weekly closing values with dividends reinvested. A drawdown is the fall from the highest value reached so far to a later low.",
    "What $10,000 put into COWZ in December 2016 is worth now, against the same amount in the S&P 500.",
    "Against the market: COWZ trailed the S&P 500 over this period: $35,282 against $39,435.",
    "A $10,000 investment in COWZ in December 2016 would be worth about $35,282 today with dividends reinvested, compared with about $39,435 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark (also with dividends reinvested).",
    "Which calendar months have been kind to COWZ, and which have not.",
    "Strongest month, November: an average of +5.34%, up in 9 of 9 years.",
    "Weakest month, September: an average of -1.52%, up in 2 of 10 years.",
    "This month, October: has averaged +0.62%, up in 6 of 9 years. Past seasonality does not repeat on schedule.",
    "Over the last 10 years, COWZ's strongest calendar month has been November (average +5.34%, up in 9 of 9 years) and its weakest September (average -1.52%, up in 2 of 10 years).",
    "Average return for each calendar month over the last 10 years, from weekly closing prices with dividends included."
   ],
   "lists": {
    "items": [
     "Average daily move under 2% › The price has moved 0.75% on an average day (30-day standard deviation of daily returns).",
     "Recovered from its worst fall › The worst fall was 38.6%, from January 2020 to March 2020, regained by November 2020.",
     "Most 1-year holds ended higher › 80% of 1-year holding periods in the last 10 years ended with a gain.",
     "Beat the S&P 500 since the chart begins › $10,000 invested in December 2016 is now worth $35,282, against $39,435 in the S&P 500 (SPY)."
    ]
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "ch-scenarios",
   "title": "Long-term scenarios",
   "text": [
    "Thousands of simulated paths from the price history. A range of outcomes, not a forecast.",
    "Thousands of simulated paths for $10,000 in COWZ, from its own past volatility. The shaded area holds 80% of them.",
    "CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in COWZ today could grow to about $22,040 by 2036 in the base case, with a 90th-percentile outcome near $49,340 and a 10th-percentile outcome around $9,846. The simulation models price only; at today's 2.04% yield, dividends would add to these figures. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.",
    "The same simulation in prices, year by year.",
    "CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $98.47 for COWZ by 2030 in the base case, from $71.78 today (1.4x over 4 years). The 10th-percentile path ends near $59.15. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on COWZ's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.",
    "Method: a lognormal simulation of COWZ's own volatility and capped historical trend, re-run daily; base case is the median path, the outer columns the 10th and 90th percentiles.",
    "What would COWZ do to your portfolio?",
    "Add it to what you already hold. Ten-year backtest, the drawdown it brings, and how much of it is just the S&P in disguise."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "COWZ simulated price paths by year",
     "columns": [
      "Year",
      "10th percentile",
      "Base case",
      "90th percentile",
      "range base today"
     ],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "2027",
       "cells": [
        "$60.21",
        "$77.68",
        "$100",
        ""
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2028",
       "cells": [
        "$58.63",
        "$84.07",
        "$121",
        ""
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2029",
       "cells": [
        "$58.52",
        "$90.98",
        "$141",
        ""
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2030",
       "cells": [
        "$59.15",
        "$98.47",
        "$164",
        ""
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2031",
       "cells": [
        "$60.28",
        "$107",
        "$188",
        ""
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ],
   "lists": {
    "items": [
     "10-year backtest",
     "Drawdown added",
     "Correlation"
    ]
   },
   "links": [
    {
     "text": "Backtest my portfolio with COWZStart free trial · $0 today",
     "url": "https://trade.clearank.com/portfolio/demo?utm_source=clearank&amp;utm_medium=cta&amp;utm_campaign=asset_longterm&amp;utm_content=trial7"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "ch-faq",
   "title": "Questions people ask",
   "text": [
    "Answered from the figures on this page, as of October 23, 2026."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "ch-related",
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 "faq": [
  {
   "question": "Is Pacer US Cash Cows 100 ETF (COWZ) a buy right now?",
   "answer": "CleaRank rates COWZ Strong Buy, on a model score of 85/100. Most of the lift comes from the trend, as the price is 10.14% above its 200-day average and 2.73% above its 50-day average, and the 50-day average is 7.22% above the 200-day. Every factor in the model is neutral or positive. This describes the data on this page and is not a personal recommendation."
  },
  {
   "question": "How has Pacer US Cash Cows 100 ETF (COWZ) performed over the past year?",
   "answer": "Over the past year the price rose 24.49%. Over shorter periods it rose 12.74% in three months and rose 5.00% in the past month. It now trades 1.02% below its 52-week high of $72.52."
  },
  {
   "question": "What does COWZ cost to own?",
   "answer": "Holding COWZ costs an expense ratio of 0.49%, which works out to $49.00 a year on a $10,000 position. That fee is paid out of the fund's assets and is not billed separately."
  },
  {
   "question": "What are the largest sectors in COWZ?",
   "answer": "Technology makes up 23.7% of the fund, the largest share. Energy is next at 19.3%, and Healthcare follows at 15.0%."
  },
  {
   "question": "Does COWZ pay a dividend?",
   "answer": "COWZ pays a distribution yield of 2.04%. Yield is the payout divided by the price, so the figure moves whenever either of those changes."
  },
  {
   "question": "What are the key price levels for COWZ?",
   "answer": "Above the price, the level is the 52-week high at $72.52. Below it, the levels are the 50-day SMA at $69.87 and the 20-day EMA at $69.60."
  },
  {
   "question": "How volatile is COWZ?",
   "answer": "On an average day, COWZ's price moves 0.75%, which is the 30-day standard deviation of its daily returns."
  },
  {
   "question": "What is the 52-week range of COWZ?",
   "answer": "Over the last 52 weeks, COWZ has moved between $56.84 and $72.52. With the price at $71.78, it sits at 95% of that band, 26.28% above the low and 1.02% under the high."
  },
  {
   "question": "Is COWZ in an uptrend?",
   "answer": "Yes. Pacer US Cash Cows 100 ETF (COWZ) trades at $71.78, above both its 50- and 200-day moving averages ($69.87 and $65.17). Its 14-day RSI on daily closes is 70.3, in overbought territory."
  },
  {
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     "description": "Pacer US Cash Cows 100 (COWZ) ETF: 0.49% expense ratio. $18.6B net assets. Mid-Cap Value. Pacer. Fund facts, AI rating, technicals and 2030 projection.",
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      "description": "Pacer US Cash Cows 100 ETF is an exchange-traded fund that seeks to track the Pacer US Cash Cows 100 Index, using a rules-based approach to identify U.S. large- and mid-cap companies with high free cash flow yields. The fund focuses on businesses that generate strong cash flow relative to their ente"
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      "text": "CleaRank rates COWZ Strong Buy, on a model score of 85/100. Most of the lift comes from the trend, as the price is 10.14% above its 200-day average and 2.73% above its 50-day average, and the 50-day average is 7.22% above the 200-day. Every factor in the model is neutral or positive. This describes the data on this page and is not a personal recommendation."
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      "text": "Over the past year the price rose 24.49%. Over shorter periods it rose 12.74% in three months and rose 5.00% in the past month. It now trades 1.02% below its 52-week high of $72.52."
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      "text": "Technology makes up 23.7% of the fund, the largest share. Energy is next at 19.3%, and Healthcare follows at 15.0%."
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     "name": "Does COWZ pay a dividend?",
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      "text": "COWZ pays a distribution yield of 2.04%. Yield is the payout divided by the price, so the figure moves whenever either of those changes."
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      "text": "Above the price, the level is the 52-week high at $72.52. Below it, the levels are the 50-day SMA at $69.87 and the 20-day EMA at $69.60."
     }
    },
    {
     "@type": "Question",
     "name": "How volatile is COWZ?",
     "acceptedAnswer": {
      "@type": "Answer",
      "text": "On an average day, COWZ's price moves 0.75%, which is the 30-day standard deviation of its daily returns."
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      "text": "Over the last 52 weeks, COWZ has moved between $56.84 and $72.52. With the price at $71.78, it sits at 95% of that band, 26.28% above the low and 1.02% under the high."
     }
    },
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      "text": "Yes. Pacer US Cash Cows 100 ETF (COWZ) trades at $71.78, above both its 50- and 200-day moving averages ($69.87 and $65.17). Its 14-day RSI on daily closes is 70.3, in overbought territory."
     }
    },
    {
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     "name": "What is COWZ's biggest drop in the last 10 years?",
     "acceptedAnswer": {
      "@type": "Answer",
      "text": "Pacer US Cash Cows 100 ETF (COWZ)'s worst peak-to-trough fall over the last 10 years was -38.6%, from January 2020 to March 2020 (with dividends reinvested). It regained that peak by November 2020, 8 months after the low. Over the same period, 80% of 1-year holding periods ended with a gain."
     }
    }
   ]
  }
 ]
}