{
 "@context": "https://clearank.com/llms.txt",
 "@type": "clearank:AssetAnalysis",
 "url": "https://clearank.com/etf/communication-services-xlc/",
 "dataUrl": "https://clearank.com/etf/communication-services-xlc/data.json",
 "title": "Communication Services (XLC) ETF Forecast 2026",
 "description": "AI analysis of the Communication Services (XLC) ETF. Real-time price data, technicals & daily forecasts. Updated daily.",
 "headline": "State Street Communication Services Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLC)",
 "published": "2026-06-20T09:13:23+00:00",
 "modified": "2026-10-22T07:46:00.039+00:00",
 "generated": "2026-10-23T02:24:08.247Z",
 "language": "en-US",
 "publisher": {
  "name": "CleaRank",
  "url": "https://clearank.com/"
 },
 "disclaimer": "Educational and informational only; not financial advice. AI-generated analysis reviewed by Ryan Brothwell, Financial Journalist; prices delayed up to 15 minutes.",
 "asset": {
  "ticker": "XLC",
  "name": "State Street Communication Services Select Sector SPDR ETF",
  "type": "ETF",
  "exchange": "NYSE",
  "currency": "USD",
  "sector": null,
  "industry": null,
  "country": "United States",
  "website": null
 },
 "quote": {
  "price": 108.97,
  "previousClose": 110.19,
  "change": -1.22,
  "changePercent": -1.11,
  "open": 109.029999,
  "high": 109.88,
  "low": 108.61,
  "volume": 9324500,
  "averageVolume": 6415990,
  "marketCap": 0,
  "fiftyTwoWeekHigh": 120.405,
  "fiftyTwoWeekLow": 105.029999,
  "marketOpen": false,
  "asOf": "2026-10-22T07:45:59.000Z"
 },
 "statistics": {
  "pe": 15.9881,
  "eps": null,
  "dividendYield": 0.012673212668897581,
  "beta": null,
  "priceToSales": null,
  "priceToBook": null,
  "revenueTtm": 0,
  "grossMargin": null,
  "returnOnEquity": null
 },
 "technicals": {
  "rsi": 41.55,
  "macd": -0.5077,
  "sma50": 111.8,
  "sma200": 113.39,
  "rsiSignal": "Neutral",
  "trend": "Bearish",
  "pricePosition": "Bearish",
  "macdSignal": "Bearish",
  "rating": "Bearish"
 },
 "analysis": {
  "rating": "Sell",
  "score": 38,
  "consensus": "Sell",
  "fairValue": null,
  "analystTarget": null,
  "analystCount": null,
  "wallStreetConsensus": "",
  "generatedAt": "2026-10-22T07:45:59.000Z",
  "priceAtAnalysis": 108.97,
  "volatility": {
   "daily": 1.24,
   "risk": "etf"
  }
 },
 "tradePlan": {
  "bias": "Bearish",
  "conservativeEntry": 111.15,
  "aggressiveEntry": 108.97,
  "stopLoss": 114.48,
  "stopLossPercent": 3,
  "targets": [
   105.59,
   100.03,
   94.48
  ]
 },
 "projections": {
  "basis": "Monte Carlo simulation on historical return distribution, re-run daily; not price targets",
  "years": [
   {
    "year": 2027,
    "downside10th": 88.35,
    "base": 117.34,
    "upside90th": 155.83
   },
   {
    "year": 2028,
    "downside10th": 84.58,
    "base": 126.35,
    "upside90th": 188.73
   },
   {
    "year": 2029,
    "downside10th": 83.22,
    "base": 136.05,
    "upside90th": 222.4
   },
   {
    "year": 2030,
    "downside10th": 83.05,
    "base": 146.49,
    "upside90th": 258.39
   },
   {
    "year": 2031,
    "downside10th": 83.64,
    "base": 157.74,
    "upside90th": 297.5
   }
  ]
 },
 "faqCount": 10,
 "atAGlance": {
  "asOf": "October 22, 2026",
  "rating": "Sell",
  "score": 38,
  "evidence": [
   {
    "label": "Trend",
    "text": "Down: the price is below both its 50- and 200-day moving averages ($111.80 and $113.39)."
   },
   {
    "label": "Fund",
    "text": "Expense ratio 0.08%, $22.5B in net assets, price down 6.6% over 1 year."
   }
  ]
 },
 "figures": {
  "asOf": "October 22, 2026",
  "earningsReaction": null,
  "insiders": null,
  "drawdown": {
   "years": 8,
   "worstFallPercent": -45.09,
   "peak": "September 2021",
   "trough": "November 2022",
   "recoveredBy": "June 2024",
   "recoveryMonths": 19,
   "belowThatPeakNowPercent": null,
   "fromHighNowPercent": -9.25,
   "oneYearHoldsPositivePercent": 77,
   "dividendsReinvested": true
  },
  "seasonality": {
   "years": 9,
   "bestMonth": {
    "month": "Jan",
    "averagePercent": 5.75,
    "upYearsPercent": 75
   },
   "worstMonth": {
    "month": "Feb",
    "averagePercent": -1.64,
    "upYearsPercent": 38
   }
  },
  "correlations": null,
  "analystTargets": null,
  "dividend": {
   "yieldPercent": 1.24,
   "annualPerShare": null
  },
  "simulation": {
   "year": 2030,
   "base": 146.49,
   "percentile10": 83.05,
   "percentile90": 258.39,
   "note": "Monte Carlo simulation outcomes, not price targets"
  }
 },
 "sources": [
  "TwelveData",
  "Wall Street consensus"
 ],
 "sections": [
  {
   "id": "ch-overview",
   "title": "The short version",
   "text": [
    "Where XLC stands today, and what CleaRank Financial AI makes of it.",
    "State Street Communication Services Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLC): Sell, 38/100 on CleaRank's AI score.",
    "Figures as of October 22, 2026.",
    "XLC, or State Street Communication Services Select Sector SPDR ETF, receives a CleaRank rating of Sell and a model score of 38/100. Its cost helps the most, since the expense ratio is 0.08%. The trend drags the score down the most: the price is 3.90% below its 200-day average and 2.53% below its 50-day, while the 50-day average sits 1.40% under the 200-day. Those averages are $111.80 for the 50-day and $113.39 for the 200-day. Across the past year, the price has declined 6.58%.",
    "Figures we compute ourselves from XLC's own price history. Tap one to see it in context."
   ],
   "lists": {
    "XLC at a glance": [
     "Trend Down: the price is below both its 50- and 200-day moving averages ($111.80 and $113.39).",
     "Fund Expense ratio 0.08%, $22.5B in net assets, price down 6.6% over 1 year."
    ]
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "ch-price",
   "title": "Price and trading",
   "text": [
    "The chart, today's range and how far the price has moved over each period.",
    "Pick a period: each tab shows how far XLC has moved over it, to the last close.",
    "Where XLC sits inside today's range and its 52-week range."
   ],
   "lists": {
    "items": [
     "Price above its 50-day average › The price of $108.97 is 2.5% below the 50-day simple moving average of $111.80.",
     "Price above its 200-day average › The price is 3.9% below the 200-day simple moving average of $113.39.",
     "50-day average above the 200-day › The 50-day average ($111.80) is 1.4% below the 200-day average ($113.39), the arrangement of a falling longer-term trend.",
     "In the upper half of its 52-week range › The price sits at 26% of its 52-week range, between $105.03 and $120.41."
    ]
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "ch-fundamentals",
   "title": "Fund facts and valuation",
   "text": [
    "What the fund holds, what it costs and how it is valued.",
    "State Street Communication Services Select Sector SPDR ETF is an exchange-traded fund that provides targeted exposure to U.S. communication services companies. It seeks to track the performance of the Communication Services Select Sector Index, which includes large-cap businesses in areas such as telecommunications, media, entertainment, and interactive media services. The fund is designed for investors looking to access a focused slice of the U.S. equity market through a single portfolio of sector-specific stocks.",
    "As of Oct 22, 2026, XLC has an expense ratio of 0.08%, $22.53B in net assets and a distribution yield of 1.24%.",
    "Fund reference data as of Oct 22, 2026. Expense ratio and net assets are reported by the fund. The trailing returns are the fund family's own month-end total returns, with distributions included, so they can differ from the price changes elsewhere on this page.",
    "The headline figures for XLC.",
    "CleaRank Financial AI's reading of XLC's holdings, performance and risks.",
    "State Street Communication Services Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLC) is anchored by Communication Services, which accounts for 100.0% of the fund. With nearly all of its holdings in that single sector, XLC tends to move in step with it. XLC is a Communications fund run by State Street Investment Management and has been around since June 18, 2018.Costs are low at 0.08%, or $8.00 a year on a $10,000 holding. The fund has $22.5B in net assets. Its distribution yield stands at 1.24%, and portfolio turnover is 40%.",
    "Because Communication Services makes up 100.0% of the fund, weakness in that sector would hit nearly the entire portfolio. The price of XLC moves by 1.24% on a typical day, based on the 30-day standard deviation of its daily returns. While the price remains under both moving averages, the downtrend itself carries risk. The price has dropped 6.58% over the past year."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "",
     "columns": [
      "Period",
      "XLC"
     ],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "YTD",
       "cells": [
        "-4.88%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "1 month",
       "cells": [
        "-0.16%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "3 months",
       "cells": [
        "3.82%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "1 year",
       "cells": [
        "-5.12%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "3 years",
       "cells": [
        "20.53%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "5 years",
       "cells": [
        "7.85%"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ],
   "lists": {
    "items": [
     "Expense ratio at or below 0.20% › The fund charges 0.08% a year, $8.00 on a $10,000 holding.",
     "Over $1B in net assets › Net assets total $22.5B.",
     "No sector above 35% of the fund › The largest sector, Communication Services, makes up 100.0% of the fund.",
     "Pays a distribution › The distribution yield is 1.24%.",
     "Price up over one year › The price fell 6.58% over the past year."
    ]
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "ch-analysis",
   "title": "AI analysis and technicals",
   "text": [
    "CleaRank's score and reasoning, the indicators behind it, and what the price moves with.",
    "The score, the reasoning behind it, and what could move the price next.",
    "XLC changes hands at $108.97, below both of its main moving averages. It sits 2.53% below the 50-day average of $111.80 and 3.90% below the 200-day average of $113.39. The price is 3.75% above the 52-week low of $105.03, which places it at 26% of its 52-week range. The 50-day average is 1.40% below the 200-day, a sign that the shorter trend is weaker than the longer one.Every period on the chart shows a loss, with the price down 0.21% over the past three months, 7.56% over the past six months and 6.58% over the past year. The price fell 1.11% in the last session on volume 45.3% above its average. On momentum, the 14-day RSI reads 41.6, in the neutral zone, with the MACD line negative.",
    "XLC stays in a downtrend for as long as it trades under both its 50-day average, at $111.80, and its 200-day average, at $113.39. Reclaiming the 50-day on a closing basis would be the first sign of repair. Overhead, the 20-day EMA at $111.10 is the first barrier a rebound would have to clear.Below the current price, the next level to watch is the 52-week low of $105.03.",
    "Momentum and trend for XLC, from its daily closes.",
    "As of October 22, 2026, with XLC at $108.97, its 14-day RSI is 41.6 (neutral territory), its 50-day simple moving average is $111.80 and its 200-day is $113.39.",
    "Calculated by CleaRank on daily closes as of October 22, 2026: Wilder's 14-day RSI, 50- and 200-day simple moving averages, MACD line (12, 26).",
    "Correlation of daily returns over one year: +1 moves in step, 0 has no link, -1 moves the opposite way.",
    "As of October 22, 2026, XLC's 1-year correlation of daily returns is +0.75 with S&P 500 (SPY), +0.66 with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), +0.23 with Bitcoin (BTC) and +0.06 with gold (XAU)."
   ],
   "lists": {
    "items": [
     "RSI Neutral",
     "SMA cross Bearish",
     "Price vs SMA Bearish",
     "MACD Bearish"
    ]
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "ch-plan",
   "title": "A trade plan, if you want one",
   "text": [
    "Entry, stop and target levels from the moving averages and recent volatility. Educational, not advice.",
    "Entry, stop and target levels, sized to your account. Change the bias or the risk and every level updates.",
    "Lower risk, wait for rally",
    "Higher risk, chasing the move",
    "These levels come from XLC's moving averages and recent volatility, not from a forecast. Educational levels, not financial advice; the full disclaimer is at the foot of the page.",
    "Would this XLC plan have made money the last ten times?",
    "Your entry, stop and targets are set above. Replay them against XLC's own history and count how often the target hit before the stop.",
    "How much XLC tends to move, against the market and on its own."
   ],
   "lists": {
    "items": [
     "Wins vs stops",
     "Best exit",
     "Max drawdown"
    ]
   },
   "links": [
    {
     "text": "Position Size",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/tools/position-size-calculator/"
    },
    {
     "text": "Stop Loss",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/tools/stop-loss-calculator/"
    },
    {
     "text": "Risk/Reward",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/tools/risk-reward-calculator/"
    },
    {
     "text": "P&L Calculator",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/tools/profit-loss-calculator/"
    },
    {
     "text": "Trailing Stop",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/tools/trailing-stop-calculator/"
    },
    {
     "text": "Fibonacci",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/tools/fibonacci-calculator/"
    },
    {
     "text": "Pivot Points",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/tools/pivot-point-calculator/"
    },
    {
     "text": "Win Rate",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/tools/breakeven-win-rate-calculator/"
    },
    {
     "text": "Expectancy",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/tools/trade-expectancy-calculator/"
    },
    {
     "text": "Replay this plan on XLCStart free trial · $0 today",
     "url": "https://trade.clearank.com/portfolio/demo?utm_source=clearank&amp;utm_medium=cta&amp;utm_campaign=asset_plan&amp;utm_content=trial7"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "ch-risk",
   "title": "The long record",
   "text": [
    "XLC's worst falls and recoveries, what $10,000 became, and which months have been kind to it.",
    "As of October 22, 2026, XLC's worst peak-to-trough fall over the last 8 years with dividends reinvested was -45.1% (September 2021 to November 2022); it regained that peak by June 2024, 19 months after the low, and 77% of 1-year holding periods ended with a gain.",
    "From weekly closing values with dividends reinvested. A drawdown is the fall from the highest value reached so far to a later low.",
    "What $10,000 put into XLC in June 2018 is worth now, against the same amount in the S&P 500.",
    "Against the market: XLC trailed the S&P 500 over this period: $23,656 against $31,758.",
    "A $10,000 investment in XLC in June 2018 would be worth about $23,656 today with dividends reinvested, compared with about $31,758 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark (also with dividends reinvested).",
    "Which calendar months have been kind to XLC, and which have not.",
    "Strongest month, January: an average of +5.75%, up in 6 of 8 years.",
    "Weakest month, February: an average of -1.64%, up in 3 of 8 years.",
    "This month, October: has averaged -1.19%, up in 2 of 8 years. Past seasonality does not repeat on schedule.",
    "Over the last 9 years, XLC's strongest calendar month has been January (average +5.75%, up in 6 of 8 years) and its weakest February (average -1.64%, up in 3 of 8 years).",
    "Average return for each calendar month over the last 9 years, from weekly closing prices with dividends included."
   ],
   "lists": {
    "items": [
     "Average daily move under 2% › The price has moved 1.24% on an average day (30-day standard deviation of daily returns).",
     "Recovered from its worst fall › The worst fall was 45.1%, from September 2021 to November 2022, regained by June 2024.",
     "Most 1-year holds ended higher › 77% of 1-year holding periods in the last 8 years ended with a gain.",
     "Beat the S&P 500 since the chart begins › $10,000 invested in June 2018 is now worth $23,656, against $31,758 in the S&P 500 (SPY)."
    ]
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "ch-scenarios",
   "title": "Long-term scenarios",
   "text": [
    "Thousands of simulated paths from the price history. A range of outcomes, not a forecast.",
    "Thousands of simulated paths for $10,000 in XLC, from its own past volatility. The shaded area holds 80% of them.",
    "CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in XLC today could grow to about $20,954 by 2036 in the base case, with a 90th-percentile outcome near $51,399 and a 10th-percentile outcome around $8,543. The simulation models price only; at today's 1.24% yield, dividends would add to these figures. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.",
    "The same simulation in prices, year by year.",
    "CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $146 for XLC by 2030 in the base case, from $109 today (1.3x over 4 years). The 10th-percentile path ends near $83.05. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on XLC's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.",
    "Method: a lognormal simulation of XLC's own volatility and capped historical trend, re-run daily; base case is the median path, the outer columns the 10th and 90th percentiles.",
    "What would XLC do to your portfolio?",
    "Add it to what you already hold. Ten-year backtest, the drawdown it brings, and how much of it is just the S&P in disguise."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "XLC simulated price paths by year",
     "columns": [
      "Year",
      "10th percentile",
      "Base case",
      "90th percentile",
      "range base today"
     ],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "2027",
       "cells": [
        "$88.35",
        "$117",
        "$156",
        ""
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2028",
       "cells": [
        "$84.58",
        "$126",
        "$189",
        ""
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2029",
       "cells": [
        "$83.22",
        "$136",
        "$222",
        ""
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2030",
       "cells": [
        "$83.05",
        "$146",
        "$258",
        ""
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2031",
       "cells": [
        "$83.64",
        "$158",
        "$298",
        ""
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ],
   "lists": {
    "items": [
     "10-year backtest",
     "Drawdown added",
     "Correlation"
    ]
   },
   "links": [
    {
     "text": "Backtest my portfolio with XLCStart free trial · $0 today",
     "url": "https://trade.clearank.com/portfolio/demo?utm_source=clearank&amp;utm_medium=cta&amp;utm_campaign=asset_longterm&amp;utm_content=trial7"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "ch-faq",
   "title": "Questions people ask",
   "text": [
    "Answered from the figures on this page, as of October 22, 2026."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "ch-related",
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 ],
 "faq": [
  {
   "question": "Is State Street Communication Services Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLC) a buy right now?",
   "answer": "XLC scores 38/100 on CleaRank's model, which puts it in the Sell band. Most of the lift comes from cost, as the expense ratio is 0.08%. The biggest drag is the trend: the price is 3.90% below its 200-day average and 2.53% below its 50-day average, and the 50-day average is 1.40% below the 200-day. This describes the data on this page and is not a personal recommendation."
  },
  {
   "question": "How has State Street Communication Services Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLC) performed over the past year?",
   "answer": "Over the past year the price fell 6.58%. Over shorter periods it fell 0.21% in three months and fell 5.04% in the past month. It now trades 9.50% below its 52-week high of $120.41."
  },
  {
   "question": "What does XLC cost to own?",
   "answer": "At an expense ratio of 0.08%, XLC costs $8.00 a year on a $10,000 holding. That charge comes out of the fund's assets, so no separate bill is sent."
  },
  {
   "question": "What are the largest sectors in XLC?",
   "answer": "Communication Services is the fund's dominant sector, representing 100.0% of its assets."
  },
  {
   "question": "Does XLC pay a dividend?",
   "answer": "Yes, XLC pays a distribution yield of 1.24%. That yield is the payout divided by the price, so a change in either one moves it."
  },
  {
   "question": "What are the key price levels for XLC?",
   "answer": "On the upside, XLC meets the 20-day EMA at $111.10 first, followed by the 50-day SMA at $111.80. On the downside, the nearest level is the 52-week low at $105.03."
  },
  {
   "question": "How volatile is XLC?",
   "answer": "On an average day XLC's price moves 1.24%, based on the 30-day standard deviation of daily returns."
  },
  {
   "question": "What is the 52-week range of XLC?",
   "answer": "Over the last 52 weeks, XLC has moved between $105.03 and $120.41. With the price at $108.97, it stands at 26% of that band, 3.75% above the bottom and 9.50% below the top."
  },
  {
   "question": "Is XLC in an uptrend?",
   "answer": "No. State Street Communication Services Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLC) trades at $108.97, below both its 50- and 200-day moving averages ($111.80 and $113.39). Its 14-day RSI on daily closes is 41.6, in neutral territory."
  },
  {
   "question": "What is XLC's biggest drop in the last 8 years?",
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      "text": "XLC scores 38/100 on CleaRank's model, which puts it in the Sell band. Most of the lift comes from cost, as the expense ratio is 0.08%. The biggest drag is the trend: the price is 3.90% below its 200-day average and 2.53% below its 50-day average, and the 50-day average is 1.40% below the 200-day. This describes the data on this page and is not a personal recommendation."
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      "text": "Over the past year the price fell 6.58%. Over shorter periods it fell 0.21% in three months and fell 5.04% in the past month. It now trades 9.50% below its 52-week high of $120.41."
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      "text": "Yes, XLC pays a distribution yield of 1.24%. That yield is the payout divided by the price, so a change in either one moves it."
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      "text": "On the upside, XLC meets the 20-day EMA at $111.10 first, followed by the 50-day SMA at $111.80. On the downside, the nearest level is the 52-week low at $105.03."
     }
    },
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      "text": "On an average day XLC's price moves 1.24%, based on the 30-day standard deviation of daily returns."
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    },
    {
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      "text": "Over the last 52 weeks, XLC has moved between $105.03 and $120.41. With the price at $108.97, it stands at 26% of that band, 3.75% above the bottom and 9.50% below the top."
     }
    },
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      "text": "No. State Street Communication Services Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLC) trades at $108.97, below both its 50- and 200-day moving averages ($111.80 and $113.39). Its 14-day RSI on daily closes is 41.6, in neutral territory."
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     "acceptedAnswer": {
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      "text": "State Street Communication Services Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLC)'s worst peak-to-trough fall over the last 8 years was -45.1%, from September 2021 to November 2022 (with dividends reinvested). It regained that peak by June 2024, 19 months after the low. Over the same period, 77% of 1-year holding periods ended with a gain."
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  }
 ]
}