{
 "@context": "https://clearank.com/llms.txt",
 "@type": "clearank:AssetAnalysis",
 "url": "https://clearank.com/etf/capital-group-dividend-value-cgdv/",
 "dataUrl": "https://clearank.com/etf/capital-group-dividend-value-cgdv/data.json",
 "title": "Capital Group Dividend Value ETF (CGDV) ETF Forecast (2026)",
 "description": "Capital Group Dividend Value (CGDV) ETF: 0.33% expense ratio. $38.7B net assets. Large Value. Fund facts, AI rating, technicals and 2030 projection.",
 "headline": "Capital Group Dividend Value ETF (CGDV)",
 "published": "2026-07-27T10:00:48+00:00",
 "modified": "2026-09-15T09:32:17.435+00:00",
 "generated": "2026-09-16T09:14:11.557Z",
 "language": "en-US",
 "publisher": {
  "name": "CleaRank",
  "url": "https://clearank.com/"
 },
 "disclaimer": "Educational and informational only; not financial advice. AI-generated analysis reviewed by the CleaRank editorial team; prices delayed up to 15 minutes.",
 "asset": {
  "ticker": "CGDV",
  "name": "Capital Group Dividend Value ETF",
  "type": "ETF",
  "exchange": "NYSE",
  "currency": "USD",
  "sector": null,
  "industry": null,
  "country": "United States",
  "website": null
 },
 "quote": {
  "price": 49.09,
  "previousClose": 49.38,
  "change": -0.29,
  "changePercent": -0.59,
  "open": 48.99,
  "high": 49.24,
  "low": 48.88,
  "volume": 2988500,
  "averageVolume": 3331550,
  "marketCap": 0,
  "fiftyTwoWeekHigh": 51.635,
  "fiftyTwoWeekLow": 40.86,
  "marketOpen": false,
  "asOf": "2026-09-15T09:32:17.000Z"
 },
 "statistics": {
  "pe": 24.656809,
  "eps": null,
  "dividendYield": 0.011976559797535329,
  "beta": null,
  "priceToSales": null,
  "priceToBook": null,
  "revenueTtm": 0,
  "grossMargin": null,
  "returnOnEquity": null
 },
 "technicals": {
  "rsi": 35.91,
  "macd": -0.19,
  "sma50": 49.81,
  "sma200": 46.55,
  "rsiSignal": "Bearish",
  "trend": "Bullish",
  "pricePosition": "Bearish",
  "macdSignal": "Bearish",
  "rating": "Bearish"
 },
 "analysis": {
  "rating": "Hold",
  "score": 55,
  "consensus": "Hold",
  "fairValue": null,
  "analystTarget": 50.56,
  "analystCount": null,
  "wallStreetConsensus": "",
  "generatedAt": "2026-09-15T09:32:17.000Z",
  "priceAtAnalysis": 49.09,
  "volatility": {
   "daily": 0.57,
   "risk": "etf"
  }
 },
 "tradePlan": {
  "bias": "Neutral",
  "conservativeEntry": 48.6,
  "aggressiveEntry": 49.09,
  "stopLoss": 47.14,
  "stopLossPercent": 3,
  "targets": [
   50.06,
   51.03,
   52.49
  ]
 },
 "projections": {
  "basis": "Monte Carlo simulation on historical return distribution, re-run daily; not price targets",
  "years": [
   {
    "year": 2027,
    "downside10th": 44.84,
    "base": 54.56,
    "upside90th": 66.4
   },
   {
    "year": 2028,
    "downside10th": 45.95,
    "base": 60.65,
    "upside90th": 80.05
   },
   {
    "year": 2029,
    "downside10th": 47.98,
    "base": 67.41,
    "upside90th": 94.71
   },
   {
    "year": 2030,
    "downside10th": 50.6,
    "base": 74.93,
    "upside90th": 110.96
   },
   {
    "year": 2031,
    "downside10th": 53.7,
    "base": 83.29,
    "upside90th": 129.18
   },
   {
    "year": 2032,
    "downside10th": 57.23,
    "base": 92.57,
    "upside90th": 149.73
   },
   {
    "year": 2033,
    "downside10th": 61.21,
    "base": 102.9,
    "upside90th": 172.96
   },
   {
    "year": 2034,
    "downside10th": 65.64,
    "base": 114.37,
    "upside90th": 199.27
   },
   {
    "year": 2035,
    "downside10th": 70.55,
    "base": 127.12,
    "upside90th": 229.08
   },
   {
    "year": 2036,
    "downside10th": 75.95,
    "base": 141.3,
    "upside90th": 262.86
   }
  ]
 },
 "faqCount": 8,
 "sources": [
  "TwelveData",
  "Wall Street consensus"
 ],
 "sections": [
  {
   "id": "price",
   "title": "CGDV Price Analysis"
  },
  {
   "id": "market-metrics",
   "title": "Market Metrics",
   "facts": {
    "Open": "$48.99",
    "Day Range": "$48.88 to $49.24",
    "Prev Close": "$49.38",
    "Volume": "2.99M",
    "52-Week Range": "$40.86 to $51.64"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "mi-fund-facts",
   "title": "CGDV Fund Facts",
   "text": [
    "Capital Group Dividend Value ETF is an actively managed exchange-traded fund that focuses on dividend-paying common stocks of larger, established U.S. companies. The fund seeks to provide income above the average yield of U.S. stocks while also pursuing long-term growth of capital through sound equity investing. Its portfolio is centered on large- and mid-cap companies, with most assets typically invested in U.S.-domiciled businesses and a limited allocation allowed to larger international companies.",
    "Fund reference data as of Sep 15, 2026. Expense ratio and net assets are reported by the fund; returns are total returns and can differ from price change."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "",
     "columns": [
      "Period",
      "CGDV",
      "Category"
     ],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "YTD",
       "cells": [
        "15.13%",
        "7.82%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "1 month",
       "cells": [
        "0.81%",
        "6.23%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "3 months",
       "cells": [
        "3.26%",
        "3.90%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "1 year",
       "cells": [
        "22.06%",
        "26.16%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "3 years",
       "cells": [
        "23.73%",
        "15.87%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "5 years",
       "cells": [
        "N/A",
        "10.13%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "10 years",
       "cells": [
        "N/A",
        "11.26%"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "analysis",
   "title": "CGDV Analysis",
   "text": [
    "CGDV is currently trading below its 20-day and 50-day exponential moving averages, with the 50-day SMA at 49.81 and the 20-day EMA at 49.84, while the current price is 49.09. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 35.91, indicating bearish momentum. Support is found at the 200-day SMA of 46.55, which the price is currently above. The Stochastic indicator is at 11.48, suggesting oversold conditions in the short term, which could signal a potential bounce. The MACD is negative at -0.19, reinforcing the bearish short-term trend.",
    "The outlook for CGDV is cautiously neutral, balancing its long-term upward trend above the 200-day SMA with recent bearish technical signals. The heavy weighting in Technology presents both an opportunity for growth and a risk of sector-specific volatility. Investors seeking income will appreciate the dividend yield, but the fund's year-to-date performance suggests it may face headwinds in outperforming its category in the near term. A sustained move back above the 50-day SMA would be a positive signal, while a break below the 200-day SMA could indicate a more significant downturn."
   ],
   "lists": {
    "ProTips": [
     "Monitor the Technology sector's performance closely, as it heavily influences CGDV's returns.",
     "Compare CGDV's dividend yield and total return against its category peers to assess relative value.",
     "Watch for a sustained break above the 50-day SMA as a potential indicator of renewed upward momentum."
    ]
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "correlations",
   "title": "Market Correlations",
   "text": [
    "How this etf moves relative to other assets",
    "Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods."
   ],
   "facts": {
    "Correlation with S&P 500 (SPY)": "+0.94",
    "Correlation with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)": "+0.86",
    "Correlation with Bitcoin (BTC)": "+0.25",
    "Correlation with Gold (XAU)": "+0.16"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "key-statistics",
   "title": "Key Statistics",
   "text": [
    "The Capital Group Dividend Value ETF (CGDV) holds net assets of $38,692,388,640 and has an expense ratio of 0.33%, costing investors $33.00 per $10,000 invested annually. The fund's sector allocation is heavily weighted towards Technology (36.93%), followed by Industrials (12.86%) and Consumer Cyclical (12.00%), indicating a degree of concentration. The underlying sector's health is influenced by the performance of these key areas, with Technology often driving market trends. The fund's strategy emphasizes dividend-paying stocks, providing an income component with a current yield of 1.19%.",
    "Its performance is tied to the aggregate earnings trends of its underlying holdings, particularly within the heavily weighted Technology sector. The fund's strategy focuses on dividend-paying companies, suggesting a preference for established businesses with stable cash flows. The year-to-date return of 15.13% lags the category's 7.82%, indicating that the fund's specific stock selection or sector weighting may not be fully capturing the current market's earnings growth drivers as effectively as its peers. The dividend rate of $0.59 annually contributes to its income-generating objective.",
    "CGDV faces concentration risk due to its significant allocation to the Technology sector (36.93%), making it vulnerable to downturns in that specific industry. Also, its year-to-date return of 15.13% trails its category return of 7.82%, suggesting potential underperformance relative to peers. The fund's price is currently below its 20-day and 50-day moving averages, signaling bearish short-term momentum that could lead to further price declines."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "",
     "columns": [],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "Yield",
       "cells": [
        "1.19%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Day High",
       "cells": [
        "$49.24"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Day Low",
       "cells": [
        "$48.88"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "52 Week High",
       "cells": [
        "51.64"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "52 Week Low",
       "cells": [
        "40.86"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "technical-indicators",
   "title": "Technical Indicators",
   "text": [
    "Technical Rating Bearish RSI Bearish SMA Cross Bullish Price vs SMA Bearish MACD Bearish Golden Cross in effect with the 50-day SMA ($49.81) above the 200-day SMA ($46.55), price is trading below the 50-day SMA."
   ],
   "facts": {
    "RSI": "Bearish",
    "SMA Cross": "Bullish",
    "Price vs SMA": "Bearish",
    "MACD": "Bearish"
   },
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "",
     "columns": [],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "RSI (14)",
       "cells": [
        "35.91"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "MACD",
       "cells": [
        "-0.19"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "SMA 50",
       "cells": [
        "49.81"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "SMA 200",
       "cells": [
        "46.55"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "trade-plans",
   "title": "CGDV Trade Plans",
   "text": [
    "Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels",
    "Enter now if confident",
    "Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss Calculated based on RSI (35.9) and current market volatility",
    "Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3"
   ],
   "facts": {
    "TARGET 1": "$50.06",
    "TARGET 2": "$51.03",
    "TARGET 3": "$52.49",
    "STOP LOSS": "$47.14"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "seasonality",
   "title": "Seasonal Patterns",
   "text": [
    "Historical monthly performance trends",
    "Based on 3 years of historical monthly returns"
   ],
   "facts": {
    "Average Jan return": "+3.06%",
    "Average Feb return": "+1.13%",
    "Average Mar return": "+0.09%",
    "Average Apr return": "-0.44%",
    "Average May return": "+3.02%",
    "Average Jun return": "+0.89%",
    "Average Jul return": "+3.50%",
    "Average Aug return": "+0.50%",
    "Average Sep return": "-2.18%",
    "Average Oct return": "+1.66%",
    "Average Nov return": "+4.81%",
    "Average Dec return": "-0.37%"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "risk",
   "title": "Risk & Volatility",
   "facts": {
    "Daily Volatility": "0.57%"
   },
   "lists": {
    "Risk considerations": [
     "Monitor position sizing based on current volatility levels",
     "Consider stop-loss placement beyond recent price range",
     "Diversification helps mitigate single-stock risk exposure"
    ]
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "growth",
   "title": "Growth of $10,000",
   "text": [
    "A $10,000 investment in CGDV in February 2022 would be worth about $19,927 today, compared with about $17,765 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "monte-carlo",
   "title": "Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)",
   "text": [
    "CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in CGDV today could grow to about $28,784 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $53,547 and a bear case around $15,473. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "price-prediction",
   "title": "CGDV ETF Price Prediction: 2030",
   "text": [
    "CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $74.93 for CGDV by 2030 in the base case, from $49.09 today (1.5x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $50.60. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on CGDV's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.",
    "Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using CGDV's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "CGDV simulated price paths by year",
     "columns": [
      "Year",
      "Downside (10th pct)",
      "Base case",
      "Upside (90th pct)"
     ],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "2027",
       "cells": [
        "$44.84",
        "$54.56",
        "$66.40"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2028",
       "cells": [
        "$45.95",
        "$60.65",
        "$80.05"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2029",
       "cells": [
        "$47.98",
        "$67.41",
        "$94.71"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2030",
       "cells": [
        "$50.60",
        "$74.93",
        "$111"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2031",
       "cells": [
        "$53.70",
        "$83.29",
        "$129"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2032",
       "cells": [
        "$57.23",
        "$92.57",
        "$150"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2033",
       "cells": [
        "$61.21",
        "$103",
        "$173"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2034",
       "cells": [
        "$65.64",
        "$114",
        "$199"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2035",
       "cells": [
        "$70.55",
        "$127",
        "$229"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2036",
       "cells": [
        "$75.95",
        "$141",
        "$263"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
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  {
   "id": "faq",
   "title": "Frequently Asked Questions"
  }
 ],
 "faq": [
  {
   "question": "What is the expense ratio for the Capital Group Dividend Value ETF (CGDV)?",
   "answer": "The Capital Group Dividend Value ETF (CGDV) has an expense ratio of 0.33%, which translates to an annual cost of $33.00 for every $10,000 invested."
  },
  {
   "question": "What sectors does the Capital Group Dividend Value ETF (CGDV) concentrate in?",
   "answer": "CGDV is heavily concentrated in the Technology sector, holding 36.93% of its assets. Other significant allocations include Industrials at 12.86% and Consumer Cyclical at 12.00%."
  },
  {
   "question": "What is the dividend yield for CGDV?",
   "answer": "The Capital Group Dividend Value ETF (CGDV) offers a dividend yield of 1.19%."
  },
  {
   "question": "How has CGDV performed against its category over different timeframes?",
   "answer": "CGDV's year-to-date return is 15.13% compared to the category's 7.82%. Over the past year, CGDV returned 22.06% versus the category's 26.16%. However, over three years, CGDV has outperformed with a return of 23.73% against the category's 15.87%."
  },
  {
   "question": "What are the key technical levels for CGDV?",
   "answer": "CGDV is currently trading at $49.09, below its 50-day SMA of $49.81 and 20-day EMA of $49.84. The nearest support is the 200-day SMA at $46.55."
  },
  {
   "question": "What is the price prediction for CGDV in 2030?",
   "answer": "Based on Monte Carlo simulations, the projected base price for CGDV in 2030 is $74.93, with a downside projection of $50.60 and an upside projection of $110.96. These are statistical simulation outcomes, not price targets or guarantees."
  },
  {
   "question": "What is the overall health score of the Capital Group Dividend Value ETF?",
   "answer": "The Capital Group Dividend Value ETF (CGDV) has a health score of 4, indicating a generally stable fund."
  },
  {
   "question": "What is the fund family for CGDV?",
   "answer": "CGDV is part of the Capital Group fund family."
  }
 ],
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   },
   {
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