{ "@context": "https://clearank.com/llms.txt", "@type": "clearank:AssetAnalysis", "url": "https://clearank.com/etf/ark-space-exploration-arkx/", "dataUrl": "https://clearank.com/etf/ark-space-exploration-arkx/data.json", "title": "ARK Space (ARKX) ETF Forecast & Price Target (2026)", "description": "ARK Space & Defense Innovation (ARKX) ETF: 0.75% expense ratio. $768M net assets. Technology. Fund facts, AI rating, technicals and 2030 projection.", "headline": "ARK Space & Defense Innovation ETF (ARKX)", "published": "2026-06-30T09:40:53+00:00", "modified": "2026-09-11T02:18:30.488+00:00", "generated": "2026-09-11T21:15:29.426Z", "language": "en-US", "publisher": { "name": "CleaRank", "url": "https://clearank.com/" }, "disclaimer": "Educational and informational only; not financial advice. AI-generated analysis reviewed by the CleaRank editorial team; prices delayed up to 15 minutes.", "asset": { "ticker": "ARKX", "name": "ARK Space & Defense Innovation ETF", "type": "ETF", "exchange": "CBOE", "currency": "USD", "sector": null, "industry": null, "country": "United States", "website": null }, "quote": { "price": 31.67, "previousClose": 31.84, "change": -0.17, "changePercent": -0.55, "open": 31.55, "high": 32.16, "low": 31.5001, "volume": 479493, "averageVolume": 378439, "marketCap": 0, "fiftyTwoWeekHigh": 37.89, "fiftyTwoWeekLow": 25.16, "marketOpen": false, "asOf": "2026-09-11T02:18:29.000Z" }, "statistics": { "pe": 31.380905, "eps": null, "dividendYield": 0, "beta": null, "priceToSales": null, "priceToBook": null, "revenueTtm": 0, "grossMargin": null, "returnOnEquity": null }, "technicals": { "rsi": 35.85, "macd": -0.24, "sma50": 32.36, "sma200": 32.11, "rsiSignal": "Bearish", "trend": "Neutral", "pricePosition": "Bearish", "macdSignal": "Bearish", "rating": "Bearish" }, "analysis": { "rating": "Sell", "score": 25, "consensus": "Sell", "fairValue": null, "analystTarget": 29.13, "analystCount": null, "wallStreetConsensus": "", "generatedAt": "2026-09-11T02:18:29.000Z", "priceAtAnalysis": 31.665, "volatility": { "daily": 1.75, "risk": "etf" } }, "tradePlan": { "bias": "Bearish", "conservativeEntry": 32.3, "aggressiveEntry": 31.67, "stopLoss": 33.31, "stopLossPercent": 3.14, "targets": [ 30.68, 29.07, 27.45 ] }, "projections": { "basis": "Monte Carlo simulation on historical return distribution, re-run daily; not price targets", "years": [ { "year": 2027, "downside10th": 23.95, "base": 34.16, "upside90th": 48.72 }, { "year": 2028, "downside10th": 22.3, "base": 36.84, "upside90th": 60.88 }, { "year": 2029, "downside10th": 21.48, "base": 39.74, "upside90th": 73.52 }, { "year": 2030, "downside10th": 21.07, "base": 42.87, "upside90th": 87.23 }, { "year": 2031, "downside10th": 20.9, "base": 46.24, "upside90th": 102.32 }, { "year": 2032, "downside10th": 20.9, "base": 49.88, "upside90th": 119.06 }, { "year": 2033, "downside10th": 21.03, "base": 53.81, "upside90th": 137.7 }, { "year": 2034, "downside10th": 21.26, "base": 58.04, "upside90th": 158.49 }, { "year": 2035, "downside10th": 21.57, "base": 62.61, "upside90th": 181.7 }, { "year": 2036, "downside10th": 21.97, "base": 67.53, "upside90th": 207.63 } ] }, "faqCount": 8, "sources": [ "TwelveData", "Wall Street consensus" ], "sections": [ { "id": "price", "title": "ARKX Price Analysis" }, { "id": "market-metrics", "title": "Market Metrics", "facts": { "Open": "$31.55", "Day Range": "$31.50 to $32.16", "Prev Close": "$31.84", "Volume": "479.5K", "52-Week Range": "$25.16 to $37.89" } }, { "id": "mi-fund-facts", "title": "ARKX Fund Facts", "text": [ "ARK Space & Defense Innovation ETF is an actively managed exchange-traded fund that focuses on companies involved in space exploration, space infrastructure, and defense innovation. The fund typically invests at least 80% of its assets in domestic and foreign equity securities tied to its theme, giving it exposure to businesses across orbital and sub-orbital aerospace, next-generation defense technologies, enabling technologies, and aerospace beneficiaries.", "Fund reference data as of Sep 11, 2026. Expense ratio and net assets are reported by the fund; returns are total returns and can differ from price change." ], "tables": [ { "caption": "", "columns": [ "Period", "ARKX", "Category" ], "rows": [ { "label": "YTD", "cells": [ "11.96%", "13.51%" ] }, { "label": "1 month", "cells": [ "5.82%", "19.10%" ] }, { "label": "3 months", "cells": [ "-13.32%", "10.83%" ] }, { "label": "1 year", "cells": [ "23.65%", "54.99%" ] }, { "label": "3 years", "cells": [ "30.38%", "27.86%" ] }, { "label": "5 years", "cells": [ "9.01%", "9.93%" ] }, { "label": "10 years", "cells": [ "N/A", "19.36%" ] } ] } ] }, { "id": "analysis", "title": "ARKX Analysis", "text": [ "ARKX is currently facing resistance at its 20-day Exponential Moving Average of $32.46, and its 50-day and 200-day Simple Moving Averages at $32.36 and $32.11, respectively. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 35.85, indicating bearish momentum. The Stochastic indicator is at 8.46, suggesting oversold conditions within the current bearish trend. The Commodity Channel Index (CCI) at -133.37 further supports a bearish outlook. The ETF's price of $31.67 is below all these key technical levels.", "The outlook for ARKX is cautious, given its current bearish technical trend and underperformance relative to its category. While the long-term thesis for space and defense innovation remains intact, the fund's active management and sector concentration expose it to significant volatility. Investors should monitor the fund's ability to regain upward momentum and outperform its peers. Over the next 6-12 months, ARKX will likely remain sensitive to broader market sentiment and specific news within the space and defense industries. A sustained move above the $32.11 to $32.46 resistance zone would be required to signal a potential trend reversal. Failure to do so could lead to further downside, testing lower support levels." ], "lists": { "ProTips": [ "Monitor the performance of the Industrials sector, as it represents the largest portion of ARKX's holdings.", "Compare ARKX's trailing returns against its category average to assess its ongoing performance.", "Consider the expense ratio of 0.75% when evaluating the total cost of holding this ETF.", "Be aware of the high concentration risk due to the fund's focus on specific innovative industries." ] }, "links": [ { "text": "CCI", "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/cci-stock-analysis/" } ] }, { "id": "correlations", "title": "Market Correlations", "text": [ "How this etf moves relative to other assets", "Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods." ], "facts": { "Correlation with S&P 500 (SPY)": "+0.74", "Correlation with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)": "+0.74", "Correlation with Bitcoin (BTC)": "+0.44", "Correlation with Gold (XAU)": "+0.25" } }, { "id": "key-statistics", "title": "Key Statistics", "text": [ "The ARK Space & Defense Innovation ETF is heavily concentrated in the Industrials sector, with 60.07% of its assets allocated there. Technology follows at 24.61%, with Consumer Cyclical and Communication Services making up the remainder. This concentration suggests that the fund's performance is highly dependent on the health and trends within the aerospace, defense, and related technology industries. The fund's overview highlights its focus on companies involved in space exploration, infrastructure, and defense innovation, including those in aerospace, communications, semiconductors, and robotics.", "Its top holdings are subject to earnings reports. The most recent earnings report for a key holding showed an EPS surprise of 13.1% ($1.64 actual vs $1.45 estimate), though the stock price declined by 6.38% following the announcement. This suggests that even positive earnings surprises may not translate into immediate stock price appreciation in the current market environment for this sector.", "The primary risk for ARKX is its high concentration in the Industrials sector (60.07%), making it vulnerable to downturns in aerospace and defense. Additionally, the fund's underperformance relative to its category, particularly over the 1-year and 3-month periods, highlights a risk of continued lagging returns. The bearish technical indicators, including the RSI and price being below key moving averages, suggest ongoing downward pressure." ], "tables": [ { "caption": "", "columns": [], "rows": [ { "label": "Yield", "cells": [ "0.00%" ] }, { "label": "Day High", "cells": [ "$32.16" ] }, { "label": "Day Low", "cells": [ "$31.50" ] }, { "label": "52 Week High", "cells": [ "37.89" ] }, { "label": "52 Week Low", "cells": [ "25.16" ] } ] } ] }, { "id": "technical-indicators", "title": "Technical Indicators", "text": [ "Technical Rating Bearish RSI Bearish SMA Cross Neutral Price vs SMA Bearish MACD Bearish Price is trading below the 50-day SMA." ], "facts": { "RSI": "Bearish", "SMA Cross": "Neutral", "Price vs SMA": "Bearish", "MACD": "Bearish" }, "tables": [ { "caption": "", "columns": [], "rows": [ { "label": "RSI (14)", "cells": [ "35.85" ] }, { "label": "MACD", "cells": [ "-0.24" ] }, { "label": "SMA 50", "cells": [ "32.36" ] }, { "label": "SMA 200", "cells": [ "32.11" ] } ] } ] }, { "id": "trade-plans", "title": "ARKX Trade Plans", "text": [ "Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels", "Lower risk, wait for rally", "Higher risk, chasing the move", "Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss Calculated based on RSI (35.9) and current market volatility", "Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3" ], "facts": { "TARGET 1": "$30.68", "TARGET 2": "$29.07", "TARGET 3": "$27.45", "STOP LOSS": "$33.31" } }, { "id": "seasonality", "title": "Seasonal Patterns", "text": [ "Historical monthly performance trends", "Based on 3 years of historical monthly returns" ], "facts": { "Average Jan return": "+1.74%", "Average Feb return": "-0.44%", "Average Mar return": "-0.71%", "Average Apr return": "-1.14%", "Average May return": "+4.25%", "Average Jun return": "+1.81%", "Average Jul return": "+2.55%", "Average Aug return": "+0.97%", "Average Sep return": "-1.18%", "Average Oct return": "+2.15%", "Average Nov return": "+3.05%", "Average Dec return": "+1.10%" } }, { "id": "risk", "title": "Risk & Volatility", "facts": { "Daily Volatility": "1.75%" }, "lists": { "Risk considerations": [ "Monitor position sizing based on current volatility levels", "Consider stop-loss placement beyond recent price range", "Diversification helps mitigate single-stock risk exposure" ] } }, { "id": "growth", "title": "Growth of $10,000", "text": [ "A $10,000 investment in ARKX in March 2021 would be worth about $15,599 today, compared with about $19,199 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark." ] }, { "id": "monte-carlo", "title": "Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)", "text": [ "CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in ARKX today could grow to about $21,328 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $65,569 and a bear case around $6,937. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees." ] }, { "id": "price-prediction", "title": "ARKX ETF Price Prediction: 2030", "text": [ "CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $42.87 for ARKX by 2030 in the base case, from $31.67 today (1.4x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $21.07. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on ARKX's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.", "Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using ARKX's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice." ], "tables": [ { "caption": "ARKX simulated price paths by year", "columns": [ "Year", "Downside (10th pct)", "Base case", "Upside (90th pct)" ], "rows": [ { "label": "2027", "cells": [ "$23.95", "$34.16", "$48.72" ] }, { "label": "2028", "cells": [ "$22.30", "$36.84", "$60.88" ] }, { "label": "2029", "cells": [ "$21.48", "$39.74", "$73.52" ] }, { "label": "2030", "cells": [ "$21.07", "$42.87", "$87.23" ] }, { "label": "2031", "cells": [ "$20.90", "$46.24", "$102" ] }, { "label": "2032", "cells": [ "$20.90", "$49.88", "$119" ] }, { "label": "2033", "cells": [ "$21.03", "$53.81", "$138" ] }, { "label": "2034", "cells": [ "$21.26", "$58.04", "$158" ] }, { "label": "2035", "cells": [ "$21.57", "$62.61", "$182" ] }, { "label": "2036", "cells": [ "$21.97", "$67.53", "$208" ] } ] } ] }, { "id": "people-also-watch", "title": "People Also Watch", "links": [ { "text": "QTUM Defiance Quantum ETF NASDAQ $147.80 +1.50%", "url": "https://clearank.com/etf/defiance-quantum-qtum/" }, { "text": "MGK Vanguard Mega Cap Growth ETF NYSE $90.09 +1.12%", "url": "https://clearank.com/etf/vanguard-mega-cap-growth-mgk/" }, { "text": "ARKQ ARK Autonomous Technology & Robotics ETF CBOE $121.51 +0.8465%", "url": "https://clearank.com/etf/ark-autonomous-robotics-arkq/" }, { "text": "GDXJ VanEck Junior Gold Miners ETF NYSE $125.96 +1.50%", "url": "https://clearank.com/etf/vaneck-junior-gold-miners-gdxj/" }, { "text": "IAUM iShares Gold Trust Micro NYSE $43.08 -1.73%", "url": "https://clearank.com/etf/iaum-etf-analysis/" }, { "text": "FEPI REX FANG & Innovation Equity Premium Income ETF NASDAQ $42.17 -0.7298%", "url": "https://clearank.com/etf/fepi-etf-analysis/" }, { "text": "DIA State Street SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF Trust NYSE $521.63 -0.4656%", "url": "https://clearank.com/etf/spdr-dow-jones-dia/" }, { "text": "JETS U.S. Global Jets ETF NYSE $28.12 +1.01%", "url": "https://clearank.com/etf/jets-etf-analysis/" } ] }, { "id": "related-comparisons", "title": "Popular Comparisons", "links": [ { "text": "BABA vs BIDU Comparison Head-to-head analysis →", "url": "https://clearank.com/compare/baba-vs-bidu/" }, { "text": "VUG vs QQQ Comparison Head-to-head analysis →", "url": "https://clearank.com/compare/vug-vs-qqq/" }, { "text": "VUG vs SCHG Comparison Head-to-head analysis →", "url": "https://clearank.com/compare/vug-vs-schg/" } ] }, { "id": "faq", "title": "Frequently Asked Questions" } ], "faq": [ { "question": "What is the expense ratio for the ARK Space & Defense Innovation ETF (ARKX)?", "answer": "The ARK Space & Defense Innovation ETF has an expense ratio of 0.75%. This means that for every $10,000 invested, $75 would be allocated to fund expenses annually." }, { "question": "What sectors does ARKX focus on and how concentrated is it?", "answer": "ARKX is heavily concentrated in the Industrials sector, holding 60.07% of its assets there. Technology accounts for 24.61%, with smaller allocations to Consumer Cyclical and Communication Services. This thematic focus provides targeted exposure to space and defense innovation." }, { "question": "What is the distribution yield for ARKX?", "answer": "The ARK Space & Defense Innovation ETF currently has a distribution yield of 0%." }, { "question": "How has ARKX performed against its category over different timeframes?", "answer": "In the year-to-date period, ARKX returned 11.96% compared to its category's 13.51%. Over the past year, the fund returned 23.65% while its category returned 54.99%. The 3-month return for ARKX was -13.32%, lagging the category's 10.83%." }, { "question": "What are the key technical indicators for ARKX?", "answer": "ARKX shows bearish momentum with an RSI at 35.9 and is trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($32.36 and $32.11). The 20-day EMA is at $32.46." }, { "question": "What is the outlook for ARKX based on its strategy?", "answer": "ARKX aims to capture innovation in space and defense, a sector with long-term growth potential driven by technological advancements and increased commercial and governmental activity. However, its active management and thematic focus can lead to higher volatility and sector-specific risks." }, { "question": "What are the main risks associated with investing in ARKX?", "answer": "Key risks include significant concentration in the Industrials sector, potential underperformance relative to broader market categories, and the inherent volatility associated with innovative and emerging industries like space and defense." }, { "question": "What is the price prediction for ARKX ETF in 2030?", "answer": "Based on a Monte Carlo simulation, the base case price prediction for the ARKX ETF in 2030 is $42.87. The simulation also indicates a downside price of $21.07 and an upside price of $87.23. 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We use our proprietary technology, expert analysis and verified trader insights, to deliver data driven broker evaluations you can trust. Our CLEAR™ Score is our foundation, a transparent, unbiased methodology that assesses brokers and firms based on the most critical factors including regulation, fees, platform reliability, and real user experiences. We are here to change an unfair system and unlike other review sites that are influenced by partnerships or subjective opinions, CleaRank is 100% independent–abiding by our rigorous CLEAR™ editorial code. We do not accept financial incentives from brokers, so what you see is what you get with no hidden agendas, just honest, actionable feedback. Clear data. Honest reviews. 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Technology. Fund facts, AI rating, technicals and 2030 projection.", "name": "ARK Space (ARKX) ETF Forecast & Price Target (2026)", "@id": "https://clearank.com/etf/ark-space-exploration-arkx/#richSnippet", "isPartOf": { "@id": "https://clearank.com/etf/ark-space-exploration-arkx/#webpage" }, "image": { "@id": "https://clearank.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/06/ARKX-ark-space-exploration-innovation-etf-analysis-2026-06.png" }, "inLanguage": "en-US", "mainEntityOfPage": { "@id": "https://clearank.com/etf/ark-space-exploration-arkx/#webpage" } } ] }, { "@context": "https://schema.org", "@type": "FinancialProduct", "name": "ARK Space & Defense Innovation ETF (ARKX)", "tickerSymbol": "ARKX", "url": "https://clearank.com/etf/ark-space-exploration-arkx/", "description": "AI-powered financial analysis for ARK Space & Defense Innovation ETF (ARKX) including technical indicators, market metrics, valuation, and price targets - refreshed daily by CleaRank Financial AI.", "exchange": "CBOE", "offers": { "@type": "Offer", "price": 31.665, "priceCurrency": "USD", "availability": "https://schema.org/InStock", "url": "https://clearank.com/etf/ark-space-exploration-arkx/", "priceValidUntil": "2026-09-12" } }, { "@context": "https://schema.org", "@type": "FAQPage", "mainEntity": [ { "@type": "Question", "name": "What is the expense ratio for the ARK Space & Defense Innovation ETF (ARKX)?", "acceptedAnswer": { "@type": "Answer", "text": "The ARK Space & Defense Innovation ETF has an expense ratio of 0.75%. This means that for every $10,000 invested, $75 would be allocated to fund expenses annually." } }, { "@type": "Question", "name": "What sectors does ARKX focus on and how concentrated is it?", "acceptedAnswer": { "@type": "Answer", "text": "ARKX is heavily concentrated in the Industrials sector, holding 60.07% of its assets there. Technology accounts for 24.61%, with smaller allocations to Consumer Cyclical and Communication Services. This thematic focus provides targeted exposure to space and defense innovation." } }, { "@type": "Question", "name": "What is the distribution yield for ARKX?", "acceptedAnswer": { "@type": "Answer", "text": "The ARK Space & Defense Innovation ETF currently has a distribution yield of 0%." } }, { "@type": "Question", "name": "How has ARKX performed against its category over different timeframes?", "acceptedAnswer": { "@type": "Answer", "text": "In the year-to-date period, ARKX returned 11.96% compared to its category's 13.51%. Over the past year, the fund returned 23.65% while its category returned 54.99%. The 3-month return for ARKX was -13.32%, lagging the category's 10.83%." } }, { "@type": "Question", "name": "What are the key technical indicators for ARKX?", "acceptedAnswer": { "@type": "Answer", "text": "ARKX shows bearish momentum with an RSI of 35.85 and is trading below its 50-day ($32.36) and 200-day ($32.11) SMAs. The 20-day EMA is at $32.46." } }, { "@type": "Question", "name": "What is the outlook for ARKX based on its strategy?", "acceptedAnswer": { "@type": "Answer", "text": "ARKX aims to capture innovation in space and defense, a sector with long-term growth potential driven by technological advancements and increased commercial and governmental activity. However, its active management and thematic focus can lead to higher volatility and sector-specific risks." } }, { "@type": "Question", "name": "What are the main risks associated with investing in ARKX?", "acceptedAnswer": { "@type": "Answer", "text": "Key risks include significant concentration in the Industrials sector, potential underperformance relative to broader market categories, and the inherent volatility associated with innovative and emerging industries like space and defense." } }, { "@type": "Question", "name": "What is the price prediction for ARKX ETF in 2030?", "acceptedAnswer": { "@type": "Answer", "text": "Based on a Monte Carlo simulation, the base case price prediction for the ARKX ETF in 2030 is $42.87. The simulation also indicates a downside price of $21.07 and an upside price of $87.23. These are statistical outcomes, not price targets or guarantees." } } ] } ] }