{
 "@context": "https://clearank.com/llms.txt",
 "@type": "clearank:AssetAnalysis",
 "url": "https://clearank.com/crypto/rune-usd-crypto-analysis/",
 "dataUrl": "https://clearank.com/crypto/rune-usd-crypto-analysis/data.json",
 "title": "THORChain (RUNE/USD) Price Prediction & Forecast (2026)",
 "description": "THORChain (RUNE/USD) crypto: $258M market cap. Live price, AI rating, key support and resistance, 2030 projection and trade plans, refreshed daily.",
 "headline": "THORChain (RUNE/USD)",
 "published": "2026-07-07T10:01:30+00:00",
 "modified": "2026-09-27T06:41:04.976+00:00",
 "generated": "2026-09-27T12:39:12.153Z",
 "language": "en-US",
 "publisher": {
  "name": "CleaRank",
  "url": "https://clearank.com/"
 },
 "disclaimer": "Educational and informational only; not financial advice. AI-generated analysis reviewed by the CleaRank editorial team; prices delayed up to 15 minutes.",
 "asset": {
  "ticker": "RUNE/USD",
  "name": "THORChain",
  "type": "Cryptocurrency",
  "exchange": "",
  "currency": "USD",
  "sector": "Cryptocurrency",
  "industry": "Digital Assets",
  "country": null,
  "website": null
 },
 "quote": {
  "price": 0.5,
  "previousClose": 0,
  "change": -0.05,
  "changePercent": -9.59,
  "open": null,
  "high": null,
  "low": null,
  "volume": null,
  "averageVolume": null,
  "marketCap": 258191292,
  "fiftyTwoWeekHigh": null,
  "fiftyTwoWeekLow": null,
  "marketOpen": true,
  "asOf": "2026-09-27T06:41:04.000Z"
 },
 "statistics": {
  "pe": null,
  "eps": null,
  "dividendYield": null,
  "beta": null,
  "priceToSales": null,
  "priceToBook": null,
  "revenueTtm": null,
  "grossMargin": null,
  "returnOnEquity": null
 },
 "technicals": {
  "rsi": 82.33,
  "macd": 0.06,
  "sma50": 0.5,
  "sma200": 0.46,
  "rsiSignal": "Overbought",
  "trend": "Bullish",
  "pricePosition": "Bearish",
  "macdSignal": "Bullish",
  "rating": "Bullish"
 },
 "analysis": {
  "rating": "Sell",
  "score": 35,
  "consensus": "Sell",
  "fairValue": null,
  "analystTarget": 0.6,
  "analystCount": null,
  "wallStreetConsensus": null,
  "generatedAt": "2026-09-27T06:41:04.000Z",
  "priceAtAnalysis": 0.502490929159203,
  "volatility": {
   "daily": 7.04,
   "risk": "crypto"
  }
 },
 "tradePlan": {
  "bias": "Bearish",
  "conservativeEntry": 0.51,
  "aggressiveEntry": 0.5,
  "stopLoss": 0.58,
  "stopLossPercent": 12.68,
  "targets": [
   0.49,
   0.46,
   0.44
  ]
 },
 "projections": {
  "basis": "Monte Carlo simulation on historical return distribution, re-run daily; not price targets",
  "years": [
   {
    "year": 2027,
    "downside10th": 0.27,
    "base": 0.52,
    "upside90th": 0.98
   },
   {
    "year": 2028,
    "downside10th": 0.21,
    "base": 0.53,
    "upside90th": 1.31
   },
   {
    "year": 2029,
    "downside10th": 0.18,
    "base": 0.55,
    "upside90th": 1.65
   },
   {
    "year": 2030,
    "downside10th": 0.16,
    "base": 0.56,
    "upside90th": 2.02
   },
   {
    "year": 2031,
    "downside10th": 0.14,
    "base": 0.58,
    "upside90th": 2.41
   },
   {
    "year": 2032,
    "downside10th": 0.12,
    "base": 0.59,
    "upside90th": 2.84
   },
   {
    "year": 2033,
    "downside10th": 0.11,
    "base": 0.61,
    "upside90th": 3.31
   },
   {
    "year": 2034,
    "downside10th": 0.1,
    "base": 0.62,
    "upside90th": 3.82
   },
   {
    "year": 2035,
    "downside10th": 0.09,
    "base": 0.64,
    "upside90th": 4.39
   },
   {
    "year": 2036,
    "downside10th": 0.09,
    "base": 0.66,
    "upside90th": 5
   }
  ]
 },
 "faqCount": 7,
 "sources": [
  "TwelveData",
  "Wall Street consensus",
  "CoinGecko"
 ],
 "sections": [
  {
   "id": "price",
   "title": "RUNE/USD Price Analysis"
  },
  {
   "id": "market-position",
   "title": "Market Position Analysis",
   "text": [
    "THORChain ranks #165 by market capitalization. Consider liquidity and market depth when evaluating position sizes."
   ],
   "facts": {
    "Market Cap": "258.19M",
    "24h Volume": "$629.93M",
    "24h Change": "-9.59%",
    "From ATH": "-96.2%"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "price-history",
   "title": "Price History & Milestones",
   "facts": {
    "All-Time High": "$20.87",
    "All-Time Low": "$0.008513"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "analysis",
   "title": "RUNE/USD Analysis",
   "text": [
    "THORChain (RUNE) RSI Reaches Extreme Overbought TerritoryTHORChain (RUNE) is exhibiting strong upward momentum, with its price trading significantly above its 20-day EMA (0.5993), 50-day SMA (0.5025), and 200-day SMA (0.4618). The Relative Strength Index (RSI) has surged to 82.33, firmly in overbought territory, indicating that the asset may be due for a correction. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) is currently at 0.0646, suggesting continued bullish momentum but also highlighting the stretched nature of the current rally. Given the extreme overbought conditions indicated by the RSI, a short-term pullback is highly probable. The 20-day EMA at 0.5993 is now acting as immediate support, but a break below this level could signal the start of a more significant correction. Investors should monitor the RSI for signs of cooling off and be prepared for potential profit-taking activity.",
    "THORChain (RUNE) Faces Correction Amidst Overbought ConditionsThe outlook for THORChain (RUNE) over the next 6 to 12 months is one of caution, primarily due to its current technical overextension. The RSI at 82.33 signals that the asset is significantly overbought, suggesting that a period of consolidation or a notable price correction is likely necessary to rebalance the market. While the fundamental drivers of adoption and network utility remain strong, the immediate technical picture indicates a high probability of short-term downward pressure. A potential catalyst for a correction could be profit-taking by recent buyers or a broader market downturn. If RUNE breaks below its 20-day EMA of $0.5993, it could signal a move towards the 50-day SMA at $0.5025. Conversely, if the market can absorb the current overbought conditions and consolidate, RUNE could eventually build a base for a further ascent, but significant upside is unlikely without a technical reset. Investors should monitor on-chain activity and broader market sentiment closely."
   ],
   "lists": {
    "ProTips": [
     "Monitor the RSI for a move back below 70 to confirm a cooling of overbought conditions.",
     "Watch for a break below the 20-day EMA ($0.5993) as a potential signal for a short-term downtrend.",
     "Consider waiting for consolidation or a pullback before entering new long positions in RUNE."
    ]
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "correlations",
   "title": "Market Correlations",
   "text": [
    "How this crypto moves relative to other assets",
    "Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods."
   ],
   "facts": {
    "Correlation with S&P 500 (SPY)": "+0.27",
    "Correlation with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)": "+0.32",
    "Correlation with Bitcoin (BTC)": "+0.45",
    "Correlation with Gold (XAU)": "+0.05"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "key-statistics",
   "title": "Valuation Metrics",
   "text": [
    "THORChain has a market capitalization of $258.19M. 92.9% of the capped supply is currently circulating. At 97.6% below its all-time high of $20.87, the asset is in a deep drawdown.",
    "THORChain (RUNE) Ecosystem Growth MetricsTHORChain's ecosystem expansion is primarily measured through on-chain activity and network growth metrics, rather than traditional financial earnings. The total value locked (TVL) within THORChain's liquidity pools serves as a key indicator of user confidence and platform utility. An increasing TVL suggests greater demand for RUNE's cross-chain services. Developer activity on the THORChain network, including code commits and protocol upgrades, reflects the ongoing commitment to innovation and improvement. Growth in the number of active wallets interacting with the protocol and the volume of transactions processed are also vital signs of a healthy and expanding ecosystem. These metrics collectively paint a picture of RUNE's fundamental strength and adoption trajectory.",
    "THORChain (RUNE) Faces Regulatory and Market RisksTHORChain (RUNE) faces several key risks, including potential regulatory scrutiny that could impact its operational framework and token utility. As a decentralized exchange protocol, it operates in a rapidly evolving regulatory landscape, and adverse policy changes could significantly affect its future. Additionally, the concentration of RUNE holdings among a small number of large wallets (whales) presents a risk of market manipulation and increased price volatility. The correlation of RUNE's price action with Bitcoin and the broader cryptocurrency market introduces macro-economic risks. A significant downturn in the overall crypto market could lead to substantial price declines for RUNE, irrespective of its individual network performance. Also, the inherent volatility of digital assets means that substantial price swings are always a possibility."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "",
     "columns": [],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "Market Cap",
       "cells": [
        "258.19M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Market Cap Rank",
       "cells": [
        "#165"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Circulating Supply",
       "cells": [
        "328.65M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Max Supply",
       "cells": [
        "353.92M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "All-Time High",
       "cells": [
        "$20.87"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "All-Time Low",
       "cells": [
        "$0.008513"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "technical-indicators",
   "title": "Technical Indicators",
   "text": [
    "Technical Rating Bullish RSI Overbought SMA Cross Bullish Price vs SMA Bearish MACD Bullish Golden Cross in effect with the 50-day SMA ($0.5025) above the 200-day SMA ($0.4618), price is trading below the 50-day SMA, RSI at 82.3 indicates overbought conditions; consider caution for immediate entries."
   ],
   "facts": {
    "RSI": "Overbought",
    "SMA Cross": "Bullish",
    "Price vs SMA": "Bearish",
    "MACD": "Bullish"
   },
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "",
     "columns": [],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "RSI (14)",
       "cells": [
        "82.33"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "MACD",
       "cells": [
        "0.06"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "SMA 50",
       "cells": [
        "0.5025"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "SMA 200",
       "cells": [
        "0.4618"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "trade-plans",
   "title": "RUNE/USD Trade Plans",
   "text": [
    "Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels",
    "Lower risk, wait for rally",
    "Higher risk, chasing the move",
    "Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss Calculated based on RSI (82.3) and current market volatility",
    "Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3"
   ],
   "facts": {
    "TARGET 1": "$0.4869",
    "TARGET 2": "$0.4613",
    "TARGET 3": "$0.4357",
    "STOP LOSS": "$0.5775"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "risk",
   "title": "Risk & Volatility",
   "facts": {
    "Daily Volatility": "7.04%"
   },
   "lists": {
    "Risk considerations": [
     "Monitor position sizing",
     "Set appropriate stop-loss",
     "Diversify holdings"
    ]
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "seasonality",
   "title": "Seasonal Patterns",
   "text": [
    "Historical monthly performance trends",
    "Based on 3 years of historical monthly returns"
   ],
   "facts": {
    "Average Jan return": "+3.13%",
    "Average Feb return": "-5.58%",
    "Average Mar return": "-29.52%",
    "Average Apr return": "+20.34%",
    "Average May return": "-14.09%",
    "Average Jun return": "-7.40%",
    "Average Jul return": "+15.74%",
    "Average Aug return": "-5.27%",
    "Average Sep return": "-2.25%",
    "Average Oct return": "-26.96%",
    "Average Nov return": "-24.72%",
    "Average Dec return": "-12.43%"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "growth",
   "title": "Growth of $10,000",
   "text": [
    "A $10,000 investment in RUNE/USD in September 2025 would be worth about $6,970 today, compared with about $11,622 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "monte-carlo",
   "title": "Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)",
   "text": [
    "CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in RUNE/USD today could grow to about $13,120 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $99,539 and a bear case around $1,729. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "price-prediction",
   "title": "RUNE/USD Price Prediction: 2030",
   "text": [
    "CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $0.5602 for RUNE/USD by 2030 in the base case, from $0.5025 today (1.1x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $0.1555. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on RUNE/USD's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.",
    "Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using RUNE/USD's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "RUNE/USD simulated price paths by year",
     "columns": [
      "Year",
      "Downside (10th pct)",
      "Base case",
      "Upside (90th pct)"
     ],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "2027",
       "cells": [
        "$0.272",
        "$0.5163",
        "$0.98"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2028",
       "cells": [
        "$0.2144",
        "$0.5305",
        "$1.31"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2029",
       "cells": [
        "$0.1797",
        "$0.5451",
        "$1.65"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2030",
       "cells": [
        "$0.1555",
        "$0.5602",
        "$2.02"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2031",
       "cells": [
        "$0.1373",
        "$0.5756",
        "$2.41"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2032",
       "cells": [
        "$0.1231",
        "$0.5914",
        "$2.84"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2033",
       "cells": [
        "$0.1115",
        "$0.6077",
        "$3.31"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2034",
       "cells": [
        "$0.1019",
        "$0.6244",
        "$3.82"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2035",
       "cells": [
        "$0.09384",
        "$0.6416",
        "$4.39"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2036",
       "cells": [
        "$0.0869",
        "$0.6593",
        "$5.00"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
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  },
  {
   "id": "on-chain",
   "title": "On-Chain & Market Metrics",
   "facts": {
    "24h Volume": "$629.93M",
    "24h Range": "$0.5025 to $0.8420",
    "From ATH": "-96.24%",
    "Market Rank": "#165"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "faq",
   "title": "Frequently Asked Questions"
  }
 ],
 "faq": [
  {
   "question": "What is the current price prediction for RUNE in 2030?",
   "answer": "The long-range projection for RUNE in 2030 suggests a base price of $0.8757, with a downside scenario of $0.2431 and an upside scenario of $3.155. These figures are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation and do not represent guaranteed price targets."
  },
  {
   "question": "Is THORChain (RUNE) overbought right now?",
   "answer": "Yes, THORChain (RUNE) is currently showing extreme overbought conditions with an RSI at 82.3 as of September 2026. This suggests a high probability of a price pullback in the near term."
  },
  {
   "question": "What are the key technical levels for RUNE?",
   "answer": "THORChain (RUNE) is currently trading above its 20-day EMA at $0.5993, which is now acting as immediate support. Previous resistance levels are being tested, and a break below the 20-day EMA could signal a move towards the 50-day SMA at $0.5025."
  },
  {
   "question": "What are the main risks facing THORChain (RUNE)?",
   "answer": "The primary risks for THORChain (RUNE) include potential regulatory changes impacting decentralized finance protocols, the risk of market manipulation due to whale concentration, and the general volatility inherent in the cryptocurrency market correlated with Bitcoin."
  },
  {
   "question": "How is THORChain's adoption trending?",
   "answer": "THORChain's adoption is trending positively, driven by its utility as a cross-chain liquidity protocol. Key indicators like total value locked (TVL) and transaction volumes are key for assessing its growing adoption and network value."
  },
  {
   "question": "What is the outlook for THORChain (RUNE) in the next 6-12 months?",
   "answer": "The outlook for THORChain (RUNE) in the next 6-12 months is cautious due to extreme overbought technicals, despite positive fundamental adoption trends. A potential pullback is expected to reset indicators before further upward movement can be sustained."
  },
  {
   "question": "Should I consider THORChain (RUNE) for investment now?",
   "answer": "Given the current extreme overbought RSI at 82.3, it may be prudent to wait for a potential pullback or consolidation before considering an investment in THORChain (RUNE) to achieve a better entry point."
  }
 ],
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   },
   {
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    "text": "Render",
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    "text": "Sei",
    "url": "https://clearank.com/crypto/sei-sei/"
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      "text": "THORChain's adoption is trending positively, driven by its utility as a cross-chain liquidity protocol. Key indicators like total value locked (TVL) and transaction volumes are key for assessing its growing adoption and network value."
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}